The Role of Russian Espionage in Re-Shaping the West – Russia Matters

BOOK REVIEW

Shadow State: Murder, Mayhem and Russias Remaking of the WestBy Luke HardingHarper, June 2020Luke Harding, a journalist with The Guardian and a prolific author of books, mostly Russia-related, but also about Julian Assange and Edward Snowden, published his latest saga, Shadow State: Murder, Mayhem and Russias Remaking of the West as a sequel to his earlier text Collusion: Secret Meetings, Dirty Money and How Russia Helped Donald Trump Win (2017), before the release of the Russia report by the Intelligence and Security Committee of the U.K. Parliament (ISC). The primary goal of Hardings book is to highlight the obvious to the nearly 50 percent of Britons, according to a recent poll, who believe that Russia messed with British democracy, including Brexit, the Scottish referendum and the general elections. But the ISC report, just as Robert Muellers investigative report, which Harding called a historical miss, came as a disappointment to Harding after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson in his response had refused to investigate the Kremlins meddling in the 2016 EU referendum for the lack of evidence.

Shadow State is one of those books that can be extolled by one political camp and dismissed as a fake conspiracy theory by another. Harding tends to the hypothesis that Putin controls both U.S. President Donald Trump and Johnson as stooges through money and kompromat. This hypothesis has generated hype and a significant body of circumstantial evidence, and Harding scrupulously presents every bit of it. One of the central pieces is the dossier on then-candidate Trump, compiled by retired British intelligence officer Christopher Steele. (Harding considers Steele to be the most famous MI6 officer since James Bond, even though two weeks after his book had been published, the U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary released declassified documents that raised further serious questions about the reliability of this controversial dossier.)

Throughout the 14 chapters and epilogue of the book, Harding employs a docu-thriller narrative on the role of Russian espionage in re-shaping the West. In the preface, Harding explains the value-add of his story about a dozen or so dramatis personaefrom the tourists in Salisbury to Manaforts aide Konstantin Kilimnik and the shady dealer-wheeler characters of Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman. He posits on the very first page, if America is to push back Moscows aggression, it needs to understand its adversaries better. Hardings intention to understand adversaries is commendable. After all, in the field of strategy, be it chess or negotiation, this exercise in empathy remains crucial. But aside from a few minor details, I didnt find anything in the book that has not been in the public domain, often extensively covered by media. For example, the troubled criminal teen years of Yevgeny Prigozhin, Putins chef and the mastermind and cash dispenser for the Internet Research Agency troll factory, is only a few clicks away, along with details on his family members, their properties and businesses, and even on the origins of his passion for exquisite Russian culinary delights. To add color to his docu-thriller, Harding devotes pages to providing the reader with a lengthy history of the building that houses the Russian military intelligence (GRU). The books excessive supply of such colorful information only clutters the understanding of the adversary for pluralitas non est ponenda sine necessitate (plurality should not be posited without necessity), as stated by the philosophical principle of Occams razor.

This brings me to the most critical point about the book. Instead of referencing sources for various claims and assertions, the author provides notes on sources on two and half pages at the end of the book. In addition to Muellers report, Harding mentions his own experience with individuals whom he describes as GRU spies and SVR operatives in Moscow; his contacts (none named) in Moscow from the days when he was The Guardians correspondent there; Russian migrs in LondonBoris Berezovsky (died in 2013) and his associate Nikolai Glushkov (died in 2018), Marina Litvinenko and a GRU defector (1978) Viktor Suvorov; a wide range of expert sources in the U.S. (none named, except George Papadopoulos, former Trump foreign affairs adviser); the Panama Papers; Bellingcat; Mikhail Khodorkovskys the Dossier Center; and journalists from the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, the New York Times, Sddeutsche Zeitung and many other publications.

To give Harding credit, he poses some good questions, and one of them is almost invariably avoided in this discourse. If it is true that Russian President Vladimir Putins espionage was so successful, what does it say about the intelligence communities of the U.K. and U.S.? Harding is less concerned with the intelligence community of the U.S., comprised of 17 organizations with annual budgets of up to $70 billion. However, he believes the U.K.s intelligence community was asleep at the wheel, and when they finally reportedly reported to Downing Street 10, the political decision from Prime Minister Theresa May, and later from Boris Johnson, was a no to further investigations. Another achievement of the book is the extensively researched London laundromat scene in the last couple of decades that has served as a fertile ground for espionage and active measures. These pages of the book fully resonate with the findings in the ISC report that the Russian influence in the U.K. is the new normal, and there are a lot of Russians with very close links to Putin who are well integrated into the U.K. business and social scene, and accepted because of their wealth. This level of integrationin Londongrad in particularmeans that any measures now being taken by the Government are not preventative but rather constitute damage limitation.

Still, according to Harding, out of the failures of the intelligence community and politicians sprung a bright, rising star of open-source reporting: Bellingcat. The British nerd army took advantage of the digital revolution and has broken a number of GRU scoops. Yet, Harding admits that not all data used by Bellingcat came from open sources. Russian data bases with private information about Russian citizens were obtained through bribes and Russian corruption, the perennial weakness of the Russian state, and became an equalizing factor, Harding writes.

"Meanwhile, Russian markets sold CDs of mass official information: home addresses, car registrations, telephone directories and other bulk indexes. For $100 or so you could buy traffic police records. With the right contacts, and a modest cash payment, it was even possible to gain access to the national passport database. Paradoxically, this low-level corruption made Russia one of the most open societies in the world. Corruption was the friend of investigative journalism. And the enemy of government military secrets."

Despite the fallacy of the incomplete evidence, Hardings hypothesis is embraced enthusiastically by many. After all, it may very well be that for lack of direct evidence, the treasonous crime has gone unpunished. It will take time, but above all, political re-configurations in the U.S. and U.K. allowing new investigations to provide proof and refutations, to establish not the intentwhich very few argue even in Russianot the interferencewhich has been establishedbut the impact on political processes. This only means that the book will be in high demand for the foreseeable future especially among readers who are seeking data to confirm their conclusion that Putin somehow controls Trump and Johnson.

The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author.

Official White House photo by Shealah Craighead.

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The Role of Russian Espionage in Re-Shaping the West - Russia Matters