Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions – USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire

Posted: June 11, 2022 at 1:00 am

The Toronto Blue Jays (33-23) head to Comerica Park Friday to start a 3-game set with the Detroit Tigers (23-33). First pitch for the series opener set for a 7:10 p.m. ET. Lets analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Blue Jaysvs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Toronto is 7-3 straight up (SU) over the last 10 games, which includes a 3-game sweep of the Chicago White Sox, a 2-1 series loss to the Minnesota Twins and a 2-1 series win over the Kansas City Royals.

Detroit is 6-4 SU in the last 10, winning an interleague set at the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday-Wednesday after being swept by the New York Yankees, which followed the Tigers taking 4 of 5 games from the Twins.

Fridays Blue Jays-Tigers meeting will be their 1st of the year.

RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Elvin Rodriguez

Berrios is 4-2 with a 5.24 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 56 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

Rodriguez is 0-1 with a 10.13 ERA (16 IP, 18 ER), 1.69 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 across 3 starts vs. the Twins (road), Cleveland Guardians (home) and the Yankees (road) and 1 bullpen appearance.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

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Tigers 6, Blue Jays 5

SPRINKLEon theTIGERS (+180)with the plan of hitting their RL harder since the Blue Jays (-230) are overpriced because Berrios is on the hill.

Berrios inked a fat, new extension this offseason but has underperformed thus far. He ranks 346th out of 356 tracked pitchers in barrel rate (per Statcast) and grades in the 5th percentile or worse in expected ERA, expected batting average, wOBA and slugging percentage slash line.

Detroits RL is the sharper wager but theres some value in theTIGERS (+180).

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BET1 unit on theTIGERS +1.5 (+110).

The Blue Jays are just 6-10 RL as road favorites while being 10-6 SU.

Not only is Berrios getting too much love but Torontos bullpen is mediocre. The Blue Jays relievers have a 4.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and the 5th most blown saves (10).

Detroits bullpen has the 2nd-best ERA (2.78) and WHIP (1.09) and should be rested since Thursday was an off-day. The Tigers are 4-2 RL when playing after 1 day off.

Even if Rodriguez gets raked by Torontos lineup or Detroits lineup doesnt hit Berrios, theTIGERS +1.5 (+110) could still sneak through the backdoor vs. Torontos suspect bullpen.

PASS.

Lean to the Over 8.5 (-135) because neither starter has looked sharp this year and the Blue Jays are 8-3 O/U in Berrios 11 starts.

But, there are a bunch of Under-friendly trends including Detroits 15-26 O/U record as an underdogand the Blue Jays-Tigers going Under in their last 4 meetings in Detroit.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers odds, picks and predictions - USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire

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