Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions – USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire

The Colorado Rockies (23-29) host the Atlanta Braves (26-27) Saturday at Coors Field for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Lets analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Braves vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Atlanta won the first 2 games of this series, 13-6 Thursday and 3-1 in 10 innings Friday.

Fridays game was 0-0 after 9 innings, spoiling pitching gems from Atlanta SP Max Fried (8 IP, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K) and Colorado SP Chad Kuhl (6 IP, 5 H, 2 BB 3 K). Braves 1B Matt Olsons 2-run RBI single in the top of the 10th keyed Atlantas victory.

RHP Spencer Strider vs. LHP Kyle Freeland

Strider is 1-2 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 13.8 K/9 in 28 2/3 IP across 1 start and 11 relief appearances.

Freeland is 1-5 with a 4.96 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:51 p.m. ET.

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Braves 10, Rockies 4

BET 1 UNIT on the BRAVES (-190).

They have a decisive 3-phase edge over the Rockies (+155) in starting and relief pitching and hitting.

Strider ranks higher in most advanced pitching metrics than Freeland and his stuff is much nastier. Strider grades in the 99th percentile of K%, 98th percentile of fastball velocity and 95th percentile of whiff rate, per Statcast.

Colorados bullpen has the worst ERA (5.27) in baseball and second-worst WHIP (1.50) and xFIP (4.53), according to FanGraphs. Atlantas bullpen is 8th in both ERA (3.31) and xFIP (3.68) and 3rd in home runs allowed per 9 innings (0.61).

The Braves are 12-6 overall vs. left-handed starters and their lineup is 2nd in wRC+ (121) and 3rd in wOBA (.349) against lefties. The Rockies are 16-19 vs. right-handed starters, 24th in wRC+ (87) and score almost 1 run less per 9 against righties.

If your standard wager is $100, risk that on BRAVES (-190)to earn a $52.63 payout.

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LEAN BRAVES -1.5 (-120)because it should cash, and Im not crazy about laying it with the Rockies +1.5 (+100) at Coors Field.

A bigger wager on Atlantas ML is a better option, but the Braves should hammer the Rockies Saturday.

PASS.

Theres suspicious reverse-line movement headed south of the total in the betting market (per Pregame.com) and this is a sharp number. Most of the public and cash is on the Over, but the total has been lowered from a 12-run opener. It seems like the sportsbooks are daring the public to bet the Over.

Also, the Braves are 5-6 O/U as road favorites and the Rockies are 6-9 O/U as home underdogs.

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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions - USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire