Theres a dangerous lie going around.
Folks arent spreading it intentionally
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Why Buying Sees Candy Was Such A Big Deal For Warren Buffett
Many smart investors I talk to genuinely believe it to be the truth.
As aRiskHedgereader, youre in the top 1% of people who understand disruption and the moneymaking opportunities it can create.
But if you accept this widespread lie, youll likely make the wrong decisions when investing in disruptive companies.
In todays issue, Ill explain the real truth and why it matters to you.
Its a phone, camera, camcorder, Walkman, watch, wallet, radio, global map, TV, VCR, and computer all in one.
We have Moores law to thank for this.
Named after Intel founder Gordon Moore, it observes that computing power doubles roughly every two years.
This has led to exponential growth in computing power.
Exponential growth snowballs over time. It builds momentum and eventually leads to vertical gains, as you can see here:
For the past few decades, computing power has more or less followed this path.
The number of transistors that can fit on a computer chip doubles about every two years.
Transistors allow computers to compute. The more transistors you cram onto a chip, the more computing power it has.
Again, for the past 50 years, this has more or less held true. Back in 1965, only 64 transistors fit on the worlds most complex computer chip.
More than 10 billion transistors can fit on todays chips.
Moores law is responsible for many of the giant stock market gains of the past few decades. Leaps in computing power enabled big disruptors like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon to achieve huge gains like 50,800%, 159,900%, and 111,560%.
And along the way, the companies that make the computer chips have gotten rich, too.
Taiwan Semiconductor, Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU), and Intel achieved gains of 1,014%, 3,256%, and 35,050%.
Conventional wisdom is that Moores law will continue. As progress gets faster and faster, you can understand why many folks think were headed for a tech utopia.
Moores law isnt really a law. Its an observation and a forecast.
As I mentioned, since 1965, it has held true.
But heres the key...
Moores lawis breaking down as I type.
You see, although todays transistors are microscopic, they still take up physical space.
Theres a limit to how small you can make anything that occupies physical space.
We are now approaching that limit with transistors. In other words, Moores law has reached its breaking point.
Does that mean progress will stop?
Not a chance.
There are three new technologies that will pick up where Moores law leaves off.
What does a city do when it runs short of land?
It builds skyscrapers.
By building up, you can create real estate with the footprint of a one-story building, but one that holds 100X more people.
Something similar is just getting underway in computing.
You see, the guts of computers have always been two-dimensional. Flat computer chips sit on a flat motherboard. Nothing moves in 3D. Theres no up or down inside a computer chip.
Thats now changing. In June, Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC)announced its first-ever processor that will be made using 3D chip technology.
Tech reporters are touting it as how Intel will beat Moores law.
Chips stacked in 3D are far superior to ones placed side by side. Not only can you fit multiples of transistors in the same footprint; you can better integrate all the chips functions.
This shortens the distance information needs to travel. And it creates many more pathways for information to flow.
The result will be much more speed and power packed into a small space. Eventually, 3D chips could be1,000 times fasterthan existing ones.
DNA, as you know, carries the instructions that enable life.
As incredible as it sounds, DNA can be used for computing. In 1994, a computer scientist at the University of Southern California used DNA to solve a well-known mathematical problem.
One pound of DNA has the capacity to store more information than all the computers ever built.
A thumbnail-size DNA computer could theoretically be more powerful than todays supercomputers.
I wont get deep into the science here. DNA computing is still very early-stage. But several companies, including Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), are working to push the technology forward.
And we know the technology works. Earlier this year, a DNA computer successfully calculated the square root of numbers up to 900.
Again, this is just the first step But I can see DNA computers eventually replacing traditional computers.
The science behind quantum computing will bend your mind.
To understand its potential, all you really need to know is this:
The basic unit of conventional computation is thebit.
The more bits a computer has, the more calculations it can perform at once, and the more powerful it is.
With quantum computing, the basic unit of computation is called a quantum bitorqubit.
Bits behave linearly. With a 20-bit computer, you might add 2+2+2+2+2+2+2+2+2+2.
Qubits are different. Every qubitdoublescomputing power.
So, a ten-qubit computer could do 2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2x2 calculations at once, or 1,024.
A 100-qubit quantum computer could perform over 1,000 billion billion billion simultaneous calculations.
Those numbers are too big for humans to comprehend.
In theory, a small quantum computer could exceed the power of a regular computer the size of the Milky Way galaxy.
With enough computing firepower, a quantum computer could solveanyproblem.
If we ever achieve far-out goals like controlling the weather, colonizing Mars, or reversing human aging, quantum computing will likely be the driving force.
Although these three technologies are exciting, theyre all years off. We need a solutionnow. Moores law is on life support.
Thats where Atomera Inc (NASDAQ:ATOM)comes in, the tiny stock I recommended to my paid-upProject 5Xmembers in May 2020...
In short...Atomeras created a new way to make microchips. It fused silicon with another element... resulting in superchips that are up to 100% more powerful than todays bleeding edge chips.
Simply by applying Atomeras patented tech, semiconductor companies can make chips more powerfulwithoutneeding to double the number of transistors on a chip.
Thats game-changing for the entire industry. Atomeras tech could deliver as much power and performance improvement as a full two years of Moores Law.
Thanks to Atomeras big breakthrough, the stock has jumped since my original recommendation.
Accounting for our free ride back in January (which is when you sell enough shares to recoup your initial investment), were up 165% on this trade.
ATOM is not quite a ground floor opportunity anymore. And I currently rate the stock a HOLD in our portfolio. But new readers can consider taking asmallstake on weakness. My one-year price target is $50which would deliver a 150% gain from here.
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Article By Chris Wood Editor, Project 5X
Updated on Dec 23, 2021, 10:51 am
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