Billionaire investor Ray Dalio said on Thursday that the US appears to be on the path to "some form of civil war."
Dalio based his analysis on historical cases arguing that the combination of financial burdens, such as large deficits, high taxes and inflation, and large wealth and value gaps in a nation "leads to some sort of fighting for control."
"Maybe my views are right and maybe they're wrong," he wrote in a LinkedIn post summarizing excerpts from his book, "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order.""My goal is simply to pass along what I see for you to consider for yourself."
Dalio is the founder and co-chief investor of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund, with nearly $150 billion in assets under management.
He also argued that the country is witnessing greater amounts of populism and extremism, and outlined what he believes is a path to civil war through the lens of historical examples. A big divide, he said, is the gap between right-wing and left-wing politics, where both "sides" are "unwilling to compromise."
First, he said, extremists become the majority and respecting the rule of law becomes secondary to winning at all costs. Them, he argued, both moderates and the ability to compromise become diluted, leading to civil wars.
"Notably, when that happens at the same time as there are foreign powers that are becoming strong enough to challenge the leading world power that is encountering this civil war dynamic, it is an especially risky period," he added, saying that he thinks the US is currently in this period.
"By most of the measures that I use, the current financial conditions and irreconcilable differences in desires and values are consistent with the ingredients leading to some form of civil war."
Read more from the original source:
Billionaire investor says US seems to be on path to 'civil war' - Business Insider
- Joe Biden Should Terminate the Imperial Presidency - The National Interest Online [Last Updated On: December 26th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 26th, 2020]
- The year of Robin Swann, a one term populist president, Covid 19 and an uncertain future - Slugger O'Toole [Last Updated On: December 26th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 26th, 2020]
- Mass Politics and 'Populism' in the World of Indian Languages - Kashmir Times [Last Updated On: December 26th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 26th, 2020]
- The Right and the Left Are Teaming Up to Lie About the Stimulus Bill - New York Magazine [Last Updated On: December 26th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 26th, 2020]
- Populism in the Early Republican Period of Turkey - Modern Diplomacy [Last Updated On: December 26th, 2020] [Originally Added On: December 26th, 2020]
- Will The Debate Over $2,000 Stimulus Checks Help Democrats In Georgia? - FiveThirtyEight [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2021]
- Trump fails to redraw politics' battle lines - The Week [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2021]
- With the worst possible PM at the worst possible time, Britain's got no chance of a happy new year - Sydney Morning Herald [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2021]
- View from the EU: Britain 'taken over by gamblers, liars, clowns and their cheerleaders' - The Guardian [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2021]
- Bradford Kane's Book, Pitchfork Populism, Identifies the Roots of Trump's Turmoil - PRNewswire [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2021]
- Antitrust Populism and the Consumer Welfare Standard: What Are We Actually Debating? - JD Supra [Last Updated On: January 1st, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 1st, 2021]
- Go ahead with Australian Open and open all borders too - The Australian Financial Review [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Misinformation, prolonged pandemic pose security threat in Canada: Brock experts - CBC.ca [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Europe's populists looked to Donald Trump. But after the Capitol violence, they're now looking away - SBS News [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- The New Version of Unreality in the Long Web of Conspiracy 19/01/2021 World - KSU | The Sentinel Newspaper [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Companies are too big to be in the hands of businessmen, says researcher 1/18/2021 Worldwide - KSU | The Sentinel Newspaper [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Opinion: How Donald Trump's populist narrative led directly to the assault on the US Capitol - Newshub [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Trevor Munroe | Developing a vaccine against the populist virus and its insurrectionary variant - Jamaica Gleaner [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Is it curtains for Clive? What COVID means for populism in Australia - The Conversation AU [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Trump Is Gone but Trumpism Is Rampant: The Globalisation of Populism - The Wire [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- The Guardian view of Trump's populism: weaponised and silenced by social media - The Guardian [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- Is the populist tide ebbing? Despite Donald Trumps impending departure, growing global populism is still po - The Times of India Blog [Last Updated On: January 19th, 2021] [Originally Added On: January 19th, 2021]
- No, conservatives shouldn't quit the Republican Party - New York Post [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- Europe's Populists Ready to Seize on COVID Vaccination Bungle - Voice of America [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- RPT-COLUMN-Populist crowd fails to breach the silver fortress for now: Andy Home - Reuters [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- Column: Populist crowd fails to breach the silver fortress for now - Reuters [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- How wealth inequality, populism have impacted stock market - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- Bidens Policies Are Popular. What Does That Mean for Republicans? - The New York Times [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- The AltFi view on Gamestonk: Populism is coming to fintech - AltFi [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- The other contagion: Why the US Capitol attack is a warning to populists - European Council on Foreign Relations [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- The Problems With Populism Go Well Beyond Donald Trump - The Dispatch [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- The Congress Partys politics of populism - The New Indian Express [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- Populism in the pandemic age - New Statesman [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- Why the GameStop affair is a perfect example of 'platform populism' - The Guardian [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2021]
- How Covid is fuelling the rise of European populism - The New European [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- What lies beneath - Islington Tribune newspaper website [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- Cuomo and Newsom Symbolize the Rot of Corporate Democrats and the Dire Need for Progressive Populism - CounterPunch.org - CounterPunch [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- Cuomo and Newsom symbolize corporate Democrat rot and the need for progressive populism - Salon [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- What actually is populism? And why does it have a bad ... [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- Guest Column: Is There A Place For Conservative Populism In America? - FITSNews [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- Populism: Examples and Definition | Philosophy Terms [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- Populism - Wikipedia [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- populism | History, Facts, & Examples | Britannica [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2021]
- After decades of dictatorship and corruption, Tunisia cannot thrive as a democracy on its own - USA TODAY [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2021]
- Limbaugh: The indispensable man in the forging of Trumpism - National Catholic Reporter [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2021]
- Pope Francis visits Holocaust survivor's home in Rome to thank her - KHOU.com [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2021]
- Brands have things to learn from both Trump and Biden's approach to populism - CampaignLive [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2021]
- Populism and conservative media linked to COVID-19 conspiracy beliefs among both Republicans and Democrats - PsyPost [Last Updated On: February 25th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 25th, 2021]
- Democrats sought to impeach conservative populism instead of Trump | TheHill - The Hill [Last Updated On: February 25th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 25th, 2021]
- The new Draghi government and the fate of populism in Italy - EUROPP - European Politics and Policy [Last Updated On: February 25th, 2021] [Originally Added On: February 25th, 2021]
- Negative emotions are better predictors of populist attitudes - Mirage News [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- Steering clear of the sirens of extreme populism - www.ekathimerini.com [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- Opinion | Justin Trudeau and Doug Ford are showing America who the real populists are - Toronto Star [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- Supporters of populist parties exhibit higher levels of political engagement than non-populist voters - EUROPP - European Politics and Policy [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- Save your local pub and help defeat populism - The Guardian [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- Populism and counter-populism - The News International [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- Beyond populism: Freebies have worked for Dravidian parties. But their real success was pulling TN out of the - The Times of India Blog [Last Updated On: March 16th, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 16th, 2021]
- The Singur Agitation and the Contradictions of Agrarian Populism - Economic and Political Weekly [Last Updated On: March 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 21st, 2021]
- Campaign podcast: Populism vs high art, Nike and what makes an Agency of the Year - CampaignLive [Last Updated On: March 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 21st, 2021]
- Populism, politics, climate change and Mozart: Livestream lecture series will cover them all - CollingwoodToday.ca [Last Updated On: March 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 21st, 2021]
- A Pro-Europe, Anti-Populist Youth Party Scored Surprising Gains in the Dutch Elections - The New York Times [Last Updated On: March 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 21st, 2021]
- Book Review: Partha Chatterjee's "I am the People" discusses populism & the rise of the Hindu Right - Frontline [Last Updated On: March 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 21st, 2021]
- The other transformation - The Sunday Guardian Live - The Sunday Guardian [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Covid-19 jabs are at the sharp end of political risk - The Straits Times [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Keir Starmer, one year on: a communication gap? - EUROPP - European Politics and Policy [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Sadiq Khan has mastered the art of woke populism - Telegraph.co.uk [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- The state fails and factional populism rises as the ANC bickers - Daily Maverick [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Europe's technocrats play into populist hands with their bungled Covid response - The Guardian [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Fukuyama: Theres similarities between populism of Trump and Kirchnerism - Buenos Aires Times [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Is populism going to fritter away over time as George W. Bush predicts? - Chicago Daily Herald [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Populism without the people - New Statesman [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Lingering populism considered ongoing threat to trade - Western Producer [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Opinion | Why Cant Republicans Be Populists? - The New York Times [Last Updated On: March 31st, 2021] [Originally Added On: March 31st, 2021]
- Max Richter: Innovative composer on the glories of rave, and the perils of populism - Irish Examiner [Last Updated On: April 15th, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 15th, 2021]
- "Fratelli tutti" and the challenge of neo-populism - Vatican News [Last Updated On: April 15th, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 15th, 2021]
- Politics of Populism | Economic and Political Weekly - Economic and Political Weekly [Last Updated On: April 15th, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 15th, 2021]
- The GOP Is Dead, Long Live American Populism Gab News [Last Updated On: April 15th, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 15th, 2021]
- Populism and the World of Oz | National Museum of American ... [Last Updated On: April 15th, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 15th, 2021]
- For these working stiffs, ambivalence rather than amore from the Pope - Crux Now [Last Updated On: April 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 21st, 2021]
- Walter Mondale Is Dead, But His Visionary Liberalism Lives On - The New Republic [Last Updated On: April 21st, 2021] [Originally Added On: April 21st, 2021]