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Discontent Is Never Enough – by Jonah Goldberg – The G-File – The Dispatch
Posted: August 4, 2022 at 2:46 pm
Hey,
I set out to write this new effort to launch a third party and then, a few hundred words in, I started putting out a cigar on my face just to remind myself Im alive. So, Im starting over.
Dont get me wrong, Id be delighted to see a third party emerge that could send either the GOP or the Democrats the way of the Whigs. Its just that the topic has been so exhaustingly chewed-over you could drink it with a straw. So let me at least try to come at it from a different angle.
First, I do think that conditions have not been better in my lifetime for a third party to emerge.
Think of it like a man with three buttocks. No, wait, dont do that.
Think of it like our national forests, where bears continue to defecate with libertarian impunity. Weve spent a century suppressing natural fires to the point that theres an enormous amount of fuel lying around, making a much bigger fire inevitable.
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Climate change and the Supreme Courts version of police abolitionism – The Hill
Posted: at 2:46 pm
West Virginia v. Environmental Protection Agency, which in June gutted the Biden administrations ability to reduce the electrical power industrys carbon emissions, may be the Supreme Courts most reckless and lawless decision (in an extremely competitive field). The court comes close to anarchism, crippling Congresss capacity to protect the country from disaster and undermining the fundamental purpose of the Constitution.
Chief Justice John Roberts, writing for the court, embraced a newly bloated version of the major questions rule for interpreting statutes, one that Congress could not have known about when it gave the president the power to create environmental regulations: there are extraordinary cases . . . in which the history and the breadth of authority that the agency has asserted and the economic and political significance of that assertion provide a reason to hesitate before concluding that Congress meant to confer such authority. The challenged Obama-era plan would have restructured an entire industry, and Roberts declared that there was little reason to think Congress assigned such decisions to the Agency.
If you need a reason, how about the plain words of the statute? Section 111of the Clean Air Act instructs the EPA to select the best system of emission reduction for power plants, as part of its mandate to regulate stationary sources of any substance that causes, or contributes significantly to, air pollution and may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.
Roberts says the court should look to the history and breadth of the authority asserted by the agency as well as the economic and political significance of the regulation, and then speculate as to whether Congress really meant to confer such authority. But the best evidence of what Congress meant is the language it enacted.
The current Court is textualist only when being so suits it, wrote Justice Elena Kagan, dissenting. When that method would frustrate broader goals, special canons like the major questions doctrine magically appear as get-out-of-text-free cards. (A few months ago, she made the same point about the courts invalidation of OSHAs rules to limit COVID-19 in workplaces.) The courts decision is already being cited in challenges to regulations of pipelines, asbestos, nuclear waste, corporate disclosures and highway planning.
Roberts observes that the EPA has rarely used its Section 111 power. But statutes dont disappear because they arent being used. They remain in effect until they are repealed. Right now, we are seeing antiabortion laws that have been dead for half a century suddenly spring back into life.
Justice Neil Gorsuch, concurring, offers a more specific account of how one decides what counts as a major question, explaining that the first question a court should ask is whether an agency claims the power to resolve a matter of great political significance.
How does a court know what gives a matter great political significance? Gorsuch cites earnest and profound debate across the country not at the time of enactment, but decades later. OSHAs effort to prevent thousands of COVID-19 deaths was improper because it came at a time when Congress and state legislatures were engaged in robust debates over vaccine mandates.
I thought I was offering a reductio ad absurdum last January when I wrote that the Supreme Court was making Fox News a source of law. But Gorsuch isnt even hiding it: If the conservative press raises enough of a fuss to trigger a political fight, then government action that was previously authorized will become illegal.
Congress in the 1970s was under the impression that air pollution and workplace dangers were unquestionably evils, and that creating agencies was the best way to address those threats. The court declared way back in 1819 that Congress has broad discretion to choose the most convenient means for carrying out its powers. Kagan observed: A key reason Congress makes broad delegations like Section 111 is so an agency can respond, appropriately and commensurately, to new and big problems. Congress knows what it doesnt and cant know when it drafts a statute.
It knew that scientific knowledge would improve. For instance, now we understand that coal the leading source of water and air pollution is the worst fossil fuel: When one accounts for the costs it imposes, every unit that is burned has negative economic value. The EPA aimed to have coal provide 27 percent of the nations electricity by 2030, down from 38 percent in 2014.
Most Americans once would have been astounded to learn that anyone would ever try to block efforts to contain a pandemic or prevent environmental catastrophe. The courts decision reflects the growing influence of libertarianism, which thinks that liberty means a government that is small and weak. Libertarians have been unable to think clearly about environmental harms. Thats why, for all their purported cold rationality, they are drawn to daffy climate change denialism and, more recently, antivaxx ideology. The libertarians capture of the Republican Party is so complete that its members will not give President Biden a single vote for his climate plan. Actually, from a libertarian standpoint, the effects of climate change involve clear violations of property rights that the state must remedy: One isnt permitted to devastate other peoples land.
The slogan abolish the police, embraced by some on the left, is foolish because it focuses on government dysfunction while failing to notice what government is for. The court has now embraced its own form of reckless anarchism and at the worst possible time. In the midst of a deadly plague and worsening climate catastrophe, it has blocked Congresss ability to choose the tools it deems most effective and left unclear what Congress or the EPA is now allowed to do to protect the human race from impending disaster.
Gorsuch presumes that an agency exceeds its authority when it seeks to regulate a significant portion of the American economy, or require billions of dollars in spending by private persons or entities. Both he and Roberts tell us, in effect, that the bigger the problem, the less capacity Congress has to address it by delegation. This is like a weirdly selective form of police abolition that abolishes only the homicide squad or yanks police out of high-crime neighborhoods.
There have always been some Americans who did not like the Constitution, who thought that it created government that was too powerful. In 1788 they almost prevented it from being ratified. Most voters, however, have repeatedly rejected the radical libertarian notion that liberty means a government too feeble to solve the nations most urgent problems. They voted that way when the Constitution was adopted, and again when Congress created these agencies. Todays Supreme Court perversely interprets law as if the Constitutions opponents had won.
Andrew Koppelman, John Paul Stevens Professor of Law at Northwestern University, is the author of Burning Down the House: How Libertarian Philosophy Was Corrupted by Delusion and Greed (St. Martins Press, forthcoming).Follow him on Twitter@AndrewKoppelman.
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Progressive Conservatism: How Republicans Will Become America’s Natural Governing Party – The Ripon Society
Posted: at 2:46 pm
Q&A with Frank Buckley
With polls showing that Republicans stand a good chance of recapturing control of the U.S. House and possibly the Senate in the November election, many Americans are asking what the party will do if it holds the reins of power next year.
In the House, Republicans are attempting to provide an answer to that question by rolling out a series of proposals which they are calling their Commitment to America aimed at addressing high energy prices, rising violence, and some of the other key challenges Americans face.
In the Senate, Republicans appear to be of two minds about which is the proper course to take. Some, such as Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, believe the focus of the upcoming election should be on what Democrats have done or failed to do over the past two years. Others, such as Florida Senator Rick Scott, believe the party need to follow the Houses lead and put down in writing what they hope to achieve if they hold the majority next year.
Frank Buckley is taking an even broader view. Buckley is a professor at George Mason Universitys Scalia School of Law who is perhaps better known in Republican circles as the author of several speeches Donald Trump delivered during the 2016 presidential campaign. Buckley is no longer a supporter of the former President he calls him toxic. But he is a supporter of some of the positions that Trump took and some of the messages that he conveyed.
Buckley believes it is time for Republicans to move beyond the former President and get behind a vision that not only encapsulates some of these positions and messages, but appeals to the broad swath of working class Americans who supported Trump in response. Buckley lays out just such a vision in a new book. Called Progressive Conservatism: How Republicans Will Become Americas Natural Governing Party, the book recommends that members of the GOP look to three leading statesmen from the GOPs past for guidance about the path to follow, and argues that issues relating to improving economic mobility, fighting corruption, and making government work will be keys to the partys success in the years ahead.
The Forum spoke with Buckley recently about his book, his vision for progressive conservatism, and where he would like to see the party go in 2022 and beyond.
________________________________
RF: First things first explain to our readers, what is a progressive conservative?
FB: A progressive conservative is someone who is faithful to the leading statesmen of the Republican Party Eisenhower, Theodore Roosevelt, Lincoln. There are several themes that are associated with those statesmen.
Lincoln was the one who invented the American Dream the idea that whoever you are, wherever you come from, you should be able to get ahead and your kids will have it better than you did. When polled in 2014, Americans said, We no longer believe in the American Dream. We dont think its happening. And the economic evidence bears them out. That should have been a sign of a revolution in American politics. But the only person who picked up on that was Trump, and they elected him president.
So I think the Republican Party has to take on mobility economic intergenerational mobility as a big theme, and specifically point out how its the Democrats who are holding people back with their immigration policies and their education policies and their regulatory policies. They have placed a boulder in front of the people who want to get ahead. So that should be an important element of what progressive conservatism means. And it all goes back to Lincoln.
Teddy Roosevelt came to government as a reformer an anti-corruption reformer. And, you know, the GOP has given away the issue of corruption to Democrats. And thats just wrong. There are things we should be doing. We should be taking up the issue of corruption, specifically with respect to regulating lobbyist contributions to politicians and closing the revolving door between K Street and Congress. Those should be Republican themes.
And then finally, like Ike, we have to make our peace with the welfare state and recognize, as Lincoln did, that we want equality of opportunity, not equality of results. And the government has a role to play in achieving this goal. The government has a role in providing good, decent school choice, for example. Were on the right side of that. These are all themes that define progressive conservatism.
RF: Lets talk about the progressive conservative vision on some of the challenges facing America today. You mentioned school choice. To expand on that, where do progressive conservatives come down on the issue of education?
FB: Well, were in favor of good education. The guy who really was an education president was Lincoln, who supported the land grant colleges through the Morrill Act, and who was not merely in favor of the equality of opportunity, but who lived it himself, rising from a hardscrabble farm to the presidency. What was really basic to Lincoln was the idea that all Americans both white and black should have the opportunity to get ahead. And a good part of that is education. Lincoln is the only president to hold a patent, and loved the idea of education for farmers as a means by which everybody can get ahead.
RF: Were in the middle of a heat wave right now. What about climate change?
FB: Climate change is an issue on which I think one is permitted to be skeptical. Ive read what Bjorn Lomborg has had to say in the Wall Street Journal. I agree theres such a thing as global warming. Im something of a skeptic as to the subject of spending a vast amount of money to try to cure the problem. At this particular point, you ask whats to be done today. Well, the big issue today is inflation. So big government spending programs right now arent going to be the answer.
RF: What about defense and foreign policy. What is the progressive conservative view towards Ukraine and the importance of American leadership abroad?
FB: You know, if there was a pro-Russian fellow in the Trump campaign, that wouldve been me. I helped draft Trumps foreign policy speech in the beginning of the campaign, I put in a line to the effect that I could see why the Russians were troubled by the expansion of NATO. That line was taken out. And what was substituted was a line that said, They say we cant trust the Russians to cut a deal. I intend to find out. Thats what Trump said. I think thats, thats what we should have done.
The tragedy of the idiotic Russian collusion paranoia was it prevented anything like a deal with the Russians. And clearly, a deal was the way to solve the problem. Even now in Ukraine, even at this moment, we should be getting on the blower with Putin as Macron does, as the Pope does and try to craft a deal. I mean, you do peace deals with your enemies, not with your friends. Putins very much an adversary who we threw into the lap of the Chinese, which is madness.
I dont think we should be spending money fighting a proxy war which gets Ukrainians killed. I think what we should be trying to do is craft a peace treaty that would solve the problem. Indeed, the opportunity for such a deal even now I think exists with Putin. That also, by the way, is what Henry Kissinger thinks.
RF: Picking up on your earlier point about corruption, you dedicate an entire chapter in your book to draining the swamp, First, what is your definition of the swamp? Is it entrenched bureaucrats, entrenched special interests, or both? And how do you propose to go about doing it?
FB: Well, I have some specific suggestions geared towards reining in the lobbyists and closing the revolving door between K Street and Congress. Its been said that Congress is a farm team for K street, right? People come here and they never leave they just move down to K Street. Those are the kinds of issues that I think Republicans should take on.
RF: You write about the importance of having a government that is aligned to the whole of the voters and say Republican Virtue will be required to reach that goal. Could you talk about that for a moment?
FB: The idea of Republican Virtue is traced back to the Founders in 1776. They thought that the revolution wouldnt succeed unless it was supported by Americans who had a disinterested desire to promote the common good of Americans. Republican Virtue is also something I identify with the West. Im from the West. And so I buy into Frederick Jackson Turners story of the frontier as being crucial in American history and, and history as being a contest between the West which is democratic, egalitarian, mobile, and virtuous, as opposed to an aristocratic and corrupt East. So Republican Virtue thus means that what is for the common good of all Americans let us support that.
The cynical view, which I associate with Madison, is that were also intrinsically corrupt and we cant be trusted to promote Republican Virtue. Were disinterested in virtue in any way, and the best we can do is just have people bargain with one another. Thats called pluralism, and its an idea that traditionally was associated with the Democratic Party a party of coalitions. The notion is that everybody is bargaining at the table. Everybody will be well taken care of. And that obviously didnt happen.
I think we have to break away from that idea of dividing us up by race or gender or whatever leave that job for the Democrats. Instead, ask for people to speak to that which is for the common good of all Americans. And that historically has been what the Republicans have done as opposed to the Democrats.
RF: Lets return to progressive conservatism and the politics of today. You wrote speeches for Donald Trump in 2016, yet write that you believe Republicans need to move beyond Trump in 2024. Why do you no longer support him? And what kind of candidate do you believe the party needs to get behind the next time around?
FB: Well, I think hes toxic for any number of reasons. January 6th, obviously, but even before that, he was a failed President by virtue of his inability to know which levers to pull when he was in office. He didnt have a sense as to the kinds of people who should be appointed. He surrounded himself with the most knavish of people. I hope that the January 6th hearings persuade the American people that the fellow should be toast. If they do that, what theyll have done in the end is help the GOP more than the Democrats.
So yes, we have to say goodbye to Trump. But I think what we want to do at the same time is remember that this guy won in 2016, and he brought to the party a whole bunch of people who had never voted Republican before. And were not going to win an election if we say goodbye to them. If we revert to the old right wing party of Barry Goldwater, thats not going to work.
What well need is a party that recognizes the limitation of 60 years of libertarianism and of being a party that was indifferent to issues like mobility and corruption.
RF: I think the term you used in your book is that Republicans need a happy warrior in 2024
FB: Which is to say I rather like Ike. We need a smiling person who doesnt communicate a sense of hostility. And thats certainly not Trump. Its more like Ike.
###
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Former TV anchorman wins GOP nomination in Missouris 4th Congressional District – Missouri Independent
Posted: at 2:46 pm
Former Kansas City anchorman Mark Alford emerged from the crowded GOP primary in the 4th Congressional District on Tuesday.
In the sprawling 24-county 4th District, Alfort bested his main rivals Sen. Rick Brattin, farmer Kalena Bruce and former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks in a race that saw massive outside spending from political action committees lined up behind their preferred candidate.
Alford will now face Jack Truman of Lamar, who was unopposed in the Democratic primary, and Libertarian Randy Langkraehr.
The seat opened up after the incumbent, U.S. Rep. Vicky Hartzler, decided to run for Senate.
Alford, who worked as a news anchor at Fox 4 in Kansas City before retiring, boasted support for former President Donald Trumps border wall, gun rights, congressional term limits and school choice, along with total opposition to abortion.
We must deport illegal aliens, Alford said during a debate last month. And no, we have enough jobs here in America for Americans to fill.
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Local News: Donnie Brown elected as 149th representative (8/2/22) | Standard Democrat – Standard-Democrat
Posted: at 2:46 pm
Donnie Brown
NEW MADRID, Mo. Donnie Brown of New Madrid will be the next representative from the 149th District.
According to unofficial vote totals from the office of New Madrid County Clerk Amy Brown, Republican Brown received 1,255 votes in New Madrid County. His opponent on the Republican ticket Eric Garris had 396 votes. There were no Democrats seeking the office.
The 149th District also includes Mississippi County and a portion of Pemiscot County. Brown had 727 votes in Mississippi County and 310 votes in Pemiscot County for a total of 2,292. Garris had 331 votes in Mississippi County and 285 votes in Pemiscot County giving him 1,012 votes overall.
Brown offered his thanks following his win.
I had so many generous people that donated to the campaign, that walked with me, put signs up. I couldnt have done it without them, Brown said.
According to Brown, he will make jobs a priority when serving as the 149th District representative along with technical skills education to provide the work force to fill those jobs. Also he said he hopes to serve on the states budget committee.
Nearly 87 percent of the 1,972 voters casting ballots Tuesday opted for a Republican ballot. There were a total of 1,701 voters picking up the GOP primary ballot and 270 who selected a Democratic ballot. Only one person voted the Libertarian ticket and there were no Constitution Party voters in the county.
Overseeing her second election since appointed New Madrid County Clerk, Amy Brown said overall the election on Tuesday went smoothly.
With no locally contested primary races, turnout in New Madrid County was just under 18 percent, or 1,972 of the countys 11,030 registered voters.
There will be one contested county election in November.
Mary Hunter Starnes had 239 votes cast for her by Democrats for the office of New Madrid County treasurer. Republicans cast 1,226 votes for Renee Westmoreland Smith as their partys nominee for New Madrid County treasurer. They will face one another in the November election.
The remaining candidates for county office were without opposition in the August primary.
Listed on the Democratic ballot for county office was incumbent Recorder of Deeds Kim St. Mary Hall, who had 250 votes.
On the Republican ticket for county office were incumbents Josh Underwood, associate circuit judge, 1,304 votes; Mark Baker, presiding commissioner, 1,262 votes; Amy Brown, county clerk, 1,276 votes; Shannon Harris-Landers, circuit clerk, 1,259 votes; Andrew C. Lawson, prosecuting attorney, 1,259 votes; and Dewayne Nowlin, collector, 1,331 votes.
In Portageville, voters approved a proposal to issue combined waterworks and sewerage system revenue bonds for $7 million. The money will be used to acquire, construct, improve, extend and equip the citys water and sewage system. The principal and interest of the bonds will be paid through the operation of the system.
There were 195 votes in favor of the issue compared to 105 opposed.
For U.S. representative from the Eighth District, Republican incumbent Jason Smith received the nod from New Madrid County voters over challenger Jacob Turner. Smith had 1,405 votes to 186 votes for Turner.
In November, Smith will face Democrat Randi McCallian, who had 237 votes cast in his favor in New Madrid County and Libertarian Jim Higgins, who received 1 vote in Tuesdays county primary.
The top vote-getter from a long list of Republicans vying to be the partys nominee for U.S. senator in New Madrid County was Eric Greitens. The candidates and their vote totals in New Madrid County were: Patrick A. Lewis, 21; Eric Schmitt, 650; Billy Long, 7; Eric Greitens, 680; Bernie Mowinski, 3; C.W. Gardner, 2; Deshon Porter, 4; Vicky Hartzler, 240; Dave Sims, 2: Mark McCloskey, 14: Eric McElroy, 2; Dennis Lee Chilton, 0: Robert Allen, 2; Dave Schatz, 1; Hartford Tunnell, 1; Kevin C. Schepers, 1; Rickey Joiner, 1: Robert Olson, 2; Russel Pealer Breyfogle Jr., 2; Darrell Leon McClanahan III, 1: and Curtis D. Vaughn, 3.
New Madrid County residents who picked up a Democratic ballot picked Trudy Bush Valentine as their candidate for U.S. senator. The vote tally was as follows: Lewis Rolen, 26: Gena Ross, 18; Carla Coffee Wright, 20; Josh Shipp, 9; Spencer Toder, 11; Lucas Kunce, 60; Jewel Kelly, 12; Clarence (Clay) Taylor, 16: Pat Kelly, 16: Valentine, 62: and Ronald (Ron) William Harris, 7.
Jonathan Dine, the Libertarian Party candidate, garnered 1 vote and no votes were cast for Paul Venable, the Constitution Party candidate for U.S. senator.
For state auditor on the Republican ticket, New Madrid County residents opted for Scott Fitzpatrick, who received 868 votes over David Gregory, who had 569 votes. Alan Green, who was the sole Democrat on the ballot for state auditor, polled 224 votes and John A. Hartwig Jr., the Libertarian Party candidate, had 1 vote.
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Local News: Donnie Brown elected as 149th representative (8/2/22) | Standard Democrat - Standard-Democrat
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10 of the Worlds Most Groundbreaking Futurists – HowStuffWorks
Posted: August 2, 2022 at 3:47 pm
In 1900, Smithsonian Institution curator John Elfreth Watkins wrote an article for The Ladies' Home Journal, entitled "What May Happen in the Next Hundred Years," filled with predictions that many of his readers probably scoffed at as ridiculously improbable. Indeed, Watkins was pretty far off about some things. He predicted, for example, that the letters 'C,' 'X' and 'Q' would vanish from the alphabet, streets would be relocated underground, and farms would grow strawberries as large as apples. But what's more impressive is the extent to which Watkins' vision of the future actually has come to pass -- wireless phone networks on which a person in New York could talk to another in China, live TV images being transmitted around the globe, MRI machines, aerial warfare, and high-speed trains traveling between cities at 150 miles per hour. Watkins even predicted the food trucks that have become a fad in cities throughout America [source: Watkins].
Today's futurists -- who aim to forecast trends, inventions and events that will appear in the decades ahead -- would love to be that prescient. But unlike Watkins, who mostly seems to have relied upon his own imagination and wishful thinking, modern forecasters have developed more sophisticated methods for divining what may lie ahead. As Timothy Mack, president of the World Future Society, explains on the organization's Web site, futurists systematically scan the news media and published results of scientific studies, and conduct carefully structured surveys called "Delphi polls" in which they probe the minds of experts in various fields. Many also now create computer simulations and even conduct role-playing games in an effort to foresee what events and trends might result from certain changes, such as worsening environmental problems, the development of new energy sources or changes in the tax system [source: Mack].
Futurists -- whose work often is underwritten by companies and governments trying to prepare for future problems or gain a competitive edge from foresight -- also know that their predictions actually may shape the world ahead. "The main purpose of studying the future is to look at what may happen if present trends continue, decide if this is desirable, and, if not, work to change it," Mack explains [source: Mack].
Here are 10 futurists who've greatly influenced modern society with their predictions of what may lie ahead.
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What exactly is a Futurist , and How Can I Become One?
Posted: at 3:47 pm
What exactly is a Futurist, and How Can I Become One?
by Ben Parsons
You've probably heard me throwing the world "futurist" out there to describe myself fairly frequently in the last few weeks, months, or even years, and might be wondering if I'd possibly lost the plot, or had maybe even traded my teaching textbooks for tarot cards and tea leaves. Well, I'm happy to inform that that's hardly the case. Actually, I think I've always innately been a futurist, despite having only recently realised it, and I believe many of you reading this article are futurists also, perhaps without even knowing it. This article will explain what a futurist is, why I think it's the most important role in a democracy, and how you can become one too, if you aren't one already.
Put simply, a futurist is a person who, using a combination of research, statistics, imagination, and intuition, analyses and makes educated projections and predictions about the future. These projections and predictions can be pretty much about anything: from evolving demographic patterns, to technological trends, to health issues, to trends in education, and to predictions relating to our physical environment. While early futurism began with Sir Isaac Newton's Principia Mathematicain 1967, believe it or not, the concept of modern futurism has its roots with early 20th century science fiction writer H.G. Wells, author of the classic futurist novelsWar of the Worlds and The Time Machine.Futurism as a concept was then propagated and continued by subsequent sci-fi writers well into the 20th century, such as Isaac Asimov, Arthur C. Clarke, Frank Herbert, and others. Midway through the 21st century, futurism branched out into other fields, and became a bone fide occupation, existing in some form in a range of other professions. In fact, most companies probably employ futurists without even knowing, and have them perform some of the most vital roles in the organisation.
In fact, Candy & Schultz (Acceleration Watch) have identified at least twelve different kinds of futurists from a range of fields and disciplines in two major areas.Social Futuristsgenerally tend to predict and project future states for the self, society, and the environment, whereasMethodological Futuristsfocus on the tools of prediction and projection, and how we can claim to make those social projections:
2. Personal futurist:One who uses foresight to solve problems primarily for themselves, within the conventions of society, and whose current behavior is oriented to and influenced by their future expectations and plans.
3. Imaginative futurist:One who habitually develops future visions, scenarios, expectations, and plans in relation to self and others, knowing but sometimes breaking the conventions and norms of society.
4. Agenda-driven futurist:One who creates or works toward top-down developed (received, believed) ideological, religious, or organizationally-preferred agendas (sets of rules, norms) and their related problems, for the future of a group.
5. Consensus-driven futurist:One who helps create or work toward bottom-up developed (facilitated, emergent), group-, communally-, institutionally- or socially-preferred futures.
6. Professional futurist:One who explores change for a paying client or audience, who seeks to describe and advance possible, probable, or preferable future scenarios while avoiding undesirable ones, and who may seek to help their client or audience apply these insights (manage change).
8. Alternative futurist:One who explores and proposes a range of possible or imaginable futures, including those beyond one's personal, organizational, and cultural conventional and consensus views.
9. Predictive futurist:One who forecasts probable futures, events and processes that they expect are likely to occur, in a statistical sense, both as a result of anticipated personal and social choices, and for autonomous processes that appear independent of human choice.
10. Evolutionary developmental (Evo devo) futurist:One who explores evolutionary possibilities and predicts developmental outcomes, and attempts differentiate between evolutionary (chaotic, reversible, unpredictable) and developmental (convergent, irreversible, statistically predictable) processes of universal change.
11. Validating futurist:One who seeks to evaluate, systematize, and validate the completeness (for critical and alternative futures) and accuracy (for predictive and evo devo futures) of methodologies used to consider the future.
12. Epistemological futurist:One who investigates the epistemology (how we know what we know) of the future, and seeks to improve the paradigms of foresight scholarship and practice
More recently, however, I think I've fallen very much into the realms ofimaginative futurist, critical futurist,andpredictive futurist.Recently, I wrote a dissertation for my Master's Degree in English that dealt with all three. To put things simply, I argue that science fiction allows readers to better imagine and understand the complex science of climate change, better imagine and understand the potential, abstract, future consequences of climate change, and hopefully imagine the required social, political, and economic transformation that is most certainly going to be required in humanity is to avert climate catastrophe.I also recently delivered a TEDx Talkon the subject, and plan to deliver more.
In my education career, I think I've apredictive futuristquite a lot recently. As an advocate of STEAM and educational technology, and have spent a lot of time researching, training, teaching, and deploying a range of educational technology I see as being the future of education, such as Minecraft, Computer-Aided Design, and 3D Printing. Hopefully, in the coming years, I can delve more into the other schools of futurism.
What kind of futurist are you?
Nothing can possibly matter more than the future. We are literally setting the foundations today for the world our kids and grandkids will inhabit tomorrow. Humans are fully capable of perceiving and realising the consequences of short-term phenomena: if we drop poison into a river, we almost immediately see dead fish. If an oil tanker sinks, we almost immediately see the consequences for surrounding sea life. But, in terms of climate change, how can we perceive the consequences of present-day actions that occur so far into the future? How do we begin to perceive and imagine the social, political, and economic consequences of something as seemingly abstract as releasing an invisible gas, carbon dioxide, into the atmosphere over decades, or even centuries? Animaginative futuristcan provide compelling visions of those consequences, and through science fiction literature, can compel readers to take action. Morecritical and predictive futuristslike myself can explore these visions, analyse them, and write about them, as I'm doing now. As a meta-prediction, I predict that futurism will be one of the defining skills of the 21st century, one that every organisation will need to not just survive in an automated and changing world, but thrive.
Happy futuring, all!
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What exactly is a Futurist , and How Can I Become One?
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Forgotten Concept: Great Wall Futurist | The Daily Drive | Consumer …
Posted: at 3:47 pm
Great Wall Futurist
This is an installment in a series of posts looking back on show cars that we feel deserved a little more attention than they got. If you have a suggestion for a Forgotten Concept topic, please shoot us a line or leave a comment below.
First Shown: 2020 Beijing Auto Show
Description: Electric hardtop sedan
Sales Pitch: Futurist explores an all-new design that is both retro and high tech.
More Forgotten Concepts
Great Wall Futurist
Details:
First shown at the 2020 Beijing Auto Show, the Great Wall Futurist in a compact electric sedan which seems unlikely to see production in its present form. The retro-themed concept car was designed by one-time Range Rover design head Phil Simmons and has drawn comparisons to a number of classic Japanese and British sedans, as well as the American Studebaker Lark and the classic BMW 2002.
The Futurist features a pillarless hardtop profile, and rear-hinged suicide second-row doors. The cabin combines classic and contemporary styling elements, with the chrome steering-wheel horn ring a definite nod to vintage design.
Per Great Wall Motors, the Futurist is capable of traveling 700 kilometers (about 435 miles) on a single charge of its lithium-free battery. Talk in 2020 suggested that the concept car could see production as part of either Great Walls Haval or Ora sub brands. For those unfamiliar, Great Wall Motors is one of the largest automakers in China, retailing 1.3 million cars in 2021.
Forgotten Concept: AMC AM Van
Great Wall Futurist
CG Says:
Perhaps more overlooked than forgotten, the Futurist is a refreshingly clean and restrained design from a country known for over-the-top concept cars. I love the look, and am most drawn to the cars improbable combination of sleek and stubby elements. Though the Futurist is not destined for productionat least not so far as anyone has reportedperhaps elements of this eye-catching design will eventually hit the road. Sadly, we are unlikely to see the likes of any such car here in North America.
Forgotten Concept: Ford Ranger II
Great Wall Futurist
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DAVID HOULE: Desperately seeking new ideas, visions, plans, and goals – Sarasota Herald-Tribune
Posted: at 3:47 pm
David Houle| Sarasota Herald-Tribune
Columns here over the past few months have dealt with all the changes to Sarasota and Bradenton and that many of them are causing concern. Concern that paradise is no longer. Much of this change is the perpetuation of the way things have always been done.
Frequent readers of this column know the term I use for this is legacy thinking." Thoughts from the past. Meaning doing today what was done yesterday. Therefore today is never new but just a continuation of yesterday. New visions never get developed as the old ones are perpetuated.
That is why the climate crisis is such a good metaphor for how we should look ahead to the future we want.
The climate crisis, simply put, is something that has never happened since homo sapiens have been alive on Earth. The rate of CO2increase in the atmosphere occurring today has not happened for 50 million years. This means that we have no history or experience with what is going on. This provides the cover for both the people who used to be called deniers and all climate scientists. Neither group had any background for what was ahead.
The deniers, at least up to 2000, could be granted a partial pass as something that has never happened is hard to believe will happen. The scientists underestimated the rapidity of global warming, and the consequences as there has never been something that has happened so quickly.
The deniers couldnt understand something that had never happened, and the scientists were winging it on the speed that it would happen. We now know that global warming is incredibly and dangerously real, life-threatening, incredibly costly and that it is happening much much faster that even the top scientists had predicted.
Simply stated, what has happened to the Gulf Coast the past 100 years will not be what will happen this century. Actually, relative to Sea Level Rise, the amount that has occurred on the Gulf Coast since 1900 will be doubled by 2050.This means that new ideas, visions, plans, investments, initiatives and goals need to be new, for this new future.
The climate crisis was not something that had to be factored into future plans last century but is essential for the decades ahead. Whatever the reasons for denial, resistance, and the lack of initiative to face what is clearly ahead, must be set aside.
Unfortunately, people like to be led rather than think independently. For some reason, hard to fathom, the climate crisis has become a political issue.The climate crisis is about everything. Literally everything. There is not a species or a place that will not be affected. Yet so much of what could be done is not occurring, simply due to politics. At this time in our countrys history that is a disaster!
I have spoken about global warming all around the world for decades, mostly in the U.S. I have written a column for this newspaper for the better part of 10 years. Back in 2015, when I published the first of two books on climate and co-founded a Sarasota-based nonprofit to create crew consciousness, I started to write more columns in this space about climate, clean energy, sea level rise and what might be ahead. I received numerous emails from readers, the vast majority positive.
Yet I knew, and know, that anytime I write about some climate-related topic, I will get some highly negative comments that simply doubt both the reality of crisis and malign me personally. None that set forth any intellectual or scientific arguments. I have received a number of emails from readers stating that the only explanation of my comments was thatI was an ultra-liberal, a socialist, and one man called me a communist.
The point here is that communism and democracy have nothing to do with global warming, yet people still think that it does. We have to stop this politicization of what is simply the biggest challenge facing our species.
If we want Sarasota, Bradenton and the Gulf Coast communities near usto thrive, adapt, and continue to be places where we want to live, we must let go of what is clearly dated and replace with new visions that adapt to the new realities coming our way in the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s.
As I referenced in recent columns, will it not be better to accept that all barrier island beaches may be gone in the 2040s and plan for a redefined economy, than to simply do nothing and then panic, react and move when this becomes a reality?
To think that the next 30 years in Sarasota will be like the last 30 yearsis insanity. Do we want insane thinking to guide us? So far the answer seems to be yes.
Do we want our children, our grandchildren and all those yet unborn to look at us with disgust that we sleepwalked when we could have mobilized to create our paradise in the future? I dont think so.
Sarasota resident David Houle is a globally recognized futurist. He has given speeches on six continents, written 13 books and is futurist in residence at Ringling College of Art andDesign. His websites aredavidhoule.comand the2020sdecade.com. Email him at david@davidhoule.com.
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DAVID HOULE: Desperately seeking new ideas, visions, plans, and goals - Sarasota Herald-Tribune
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5 Tasty Condiments That Aren’t Pink Sauce – Futurism
Posted: at 3:47 pm
Pink Sauce: the condiment thats trending for all the wrong reasons. Its a lesson in TikTok hype, hive mind kayfabe, and perhaps most of all, the importance of the FDA. And at the end of the day, its just bad mayonnaise with just enough pink dye to look like Pepto Bismol. Instead of hitting this horrible sauce, we recommend five condiments that are worthy of going viral. Viral in a good way, not the painful stomach bug way.
Key Selling Point: Get in on the next big condiment craze before everyone else does.
Are you familiar with chili crunch? The popular Asian condiment is having a bit of a moment right now, and its about to go big time. You know, the way Sriracha took over the hot sauce world around the early 00s. Its a blend of sesame seeds, chilis, shallots, garlic, and a bunch of other tasty stuff steeped in oil which makes for a bright red sauce thats fiery and flavorful without being too spicy. Its great on noodles, rice, and the best thing you could ever dip takeout gyoza into. This ones recipe was crafted by Chef David Chang, so you can pretty much guarantee that its going to be tasty as hell.
Key Selling Point: Taco-truck tastiness in a charming squeeze bottle.
Its so very difficult to find a bottle of salsa on a store shelf that hits quite as good as one made by your friendly neighborhood abuelita. For those of us who arent within driving distance of a taco truck, theres the Herdez Taqueria Sauce Verde. Like any great green taco sauce, its made from charred poblano and jalapeno peppers and comes in an easy squeeze bottle. Its great on tacos, nachos, and a plate of huevos rancheros, but it would work equally well as a marinade or even salad dressing. Its not as good as homemade, but its pretty darn close.
Key Selling Point: A flavor profile from Washington D.C. ready to make a 50-state sweep.
When salty meets sweet, some of the tastiest matches are made, from chocolate-dipped pretzels to the ever-reliable peanut butter and jelly sandwich. Capital City Mumbo Sauce is sweet, salty, and even packs a good bit of heat, for a condiment thats not just delicious, but damn near universal. While it is primarily a sauce intended for wings, its great as a finishing glaze, marinade, and anything and everything bound for the grill. Its also totally vegan, without an ounce of high fructose corn syrup.
Key Selling Point: An unnecessary, but deliciously innovative way to enjoy your next burger.
Have you ever stared at a burger and thought, I need to make this unhealthy meal downright hedonistic? The Heinz Dip and Crunch Burger Dip is a little extra, but not an altogether terrible idea. While you do need to supply your own burger, this package not only comes with a dip to dunk your sandwich in but a small pile of crushed potato chips. You know, for texture. Its not just a dipping sauce, its an experience. And it may just change the way you eat burgers forever.
Key Selling Point: Why choose between drinks and dessert when you can have both?
Fruit and wine go together like beer and cheese. Separately, they compliment each other, but together, some seriously tasty alchemy happens. These Wine-Infused Dessert Sauces are crafted in small batches, with an ingredients list you can actually read. Wine, fruit, sugar, and little else, so the flavor profiles within these sauces can truly shine. Available in three tantalizing flavors including Blackberry Merlot, Dark Cherry Zinfandel, and Mango Pinot Grigio, which are great one ice cream, yogurt, sourdough toast, or simply eaten with a spoon at 2 am in front of your fridge. No judgment.
This post was created by a non-news editorial team at Recurrent Media, Futurisms owner. Futurism may receive a portion of sales on products linked within this post.
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5 Tasty Condiments That Aren't Pink Sauce - Futurism
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