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Category Archives: Transhuman News
What are we saying about ourselves? – The Citizen.com
Posted: December 8, 2019 at 3:48 pm
Is there anyone left who doesnt have a handicapped sticker on their vehicles? I drive a lot between several offices and it seems that every third vehicle has a handicapped tag.
Before you get your blood pressure up, it is none of my business whether or not someone needs a handicapped tag. That isnt where this article is going, but it makes a perfect illustration for what I want to address. Our behaviors say something about us individually and our group behaviors say something about us collectively.
A year ago I had a serious accident that nearly took my life and created a major interruption in my mobility for many months. I could have gotten a disability tag and it would have made my life much easier. And if I had gotten that tag, I probably could have kept it forever. After all, Im in the geriatric population and it wouldnt be hard for me to get whatever confirmation I might need to present about the difficulties of my injury, my age, and my aches and pains.
But I didnt because I refuse to see myself as a victim. I prefer to see myself as a survivor.
In my ten-year study of survivors of trauma, one of the things I found that separated healthy survivors of trauma from those who were debilitated was the unwillingness to see themselves as victims. As hard as the troubles they faced might have been, they never gave up. They clung to a philosophy of I can as opposed to I cant. Actually, for most of them, they didnt even recognize this as a philosophy. It was more of an assumption.
More than ever, we live in a culture of victimization and entitlement. The metaphor of the handicapped tag simply illustrates it. I watched a driver wait several minutes for a handicapped parking spot at a store not long ago. There was an open spot right next to it. The lady got out and spryly walked into the store.
Again, I know I dont know what all might be going on in her life. My own leg injury would be invisible to anyone looking unless I was wearing shorts and sandals. I also know handicapped spaces are larger to make room for wheel chairs, walkers, and other mobility assistance. But that didnt appear to be a problem for this lady.
My father was a child of the depression. He grew up with very limited means and worked hard to be successful, and he was. Thankfully, he now is living a restful retirement for which he worked very hard.
From my very youngest days he instilled in me the idea that I was responsible for myself. I got my first job when I was in the fifth grade and Ive never had less than two or three jobs at a time since then. Im grateful for that training.
When I left home for a life as an adult it never crossed my mind to rely on anyone but myself. I just assumed I would make ends meet and I faced each challenge over the past nearly 60 years with an assumption that I would survive.
There are times where we have to ask for help. There is no shame in that. Whether it is food stamps, government housing, or other assistance, a responsible society helps those in need to get back on their feet. One of my dear colleagues told me once that if it hadnt been for public assistance she wouldnt have made it. But as soon as she was able, like any survivor, she took responsibility for herself and her family. She is now a doctoral student and has come a very long way in life to care for herself, her family, and her loved ones.
Our behaviors have meaning on the micro scale (our individual decisions), a meso scale (our communities), and a macro scale (our nation). These behaviors say something about what we value and where our priorities lie.
If an archeologist 1,000 years from now were to dig up a bunch of vehicles from this period in history, she or he would probably conclude were a bunch of ill, unhealthy, and needy people. I think we are more than that and I dont want to be a contributor to that conclusion.
I can predict the angry email Ill get from this column. My grandmother You cant assume Have you no empathy for those who Ill probably get at least a few emails arguing that handicapped or disability are politically incorrect terms. Anyone considering that, be aware in advance that you will only be validating my point.
[Gregory K. Moffatt, Ph.D., is a college professor, published author, licensed counselor, certified professional counselor supervisor, newspaper and online columnist and public speaker. His website is gregmoffatt.com.]
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Tanzania at 58: the economy in two major U-turns – The Citizen Daily
Posted: at 3:48 pm
Every December 9, Tanzania celebrates its political independence day. In 2019, the then Tanganyika, now Tanzania, turns 58.
In this article, the author argues and documents that Tanzania has seen two major U-turns in its economy in the past 58 years. The U-turns separate three different epochs.
Each of the U-turns brought with it major changes with major and far-reaching implications in many spheres of life.
In the economic front, the 1961 1967 period remained more or less the same as it was in the colonial times in some aspects. The economy continued to be owned, controlled and managed by the private sector.
The main actors in terms of ownership of major means of production were Europeans and Tanzanians of Asian origin. Indigenous Tanzanians largely remained spectators than meaningful players in the game.
The first U-turn (change) in the economic history of Tanzania was made in 1967. This was the year when the Arusha Declaration saw the light of the day. Along with it came the Ujamaa ideology.
It was the time period when Tanzania nationalized major means of production that were hitherto owned and controlled by the private sector.
It was an epoch when the country embraced Marxist-Leninist inclined economic philosophy. It was an era of state controlled, owned and planned economy.
This epoch was characterized by state monopolistic market structure in virtually all sectors of the economy.
Air Tanzania Corporation dominated the sky, Radio Tanzania Dar es Salaam controlled air waves as Daily News and Uhuru were the standard references in the print media, to list but a few.
Market-oriented and influenced private sector was seen as the enemy of the state. Some would call the private sector such names as exploiters, capitalists and economic saboteurs.
Entrepreneurship suffered
It was almost sinful and politically incorrect to be rich or to be seen attempting to become one. The Ujamaa ideology planted anti-entrepreneurial attitudes and mental framework amongst most Tanzanians.
As part of this, the education system produced white colour job seekers instead of crafting entrepreneurs who would be job craters.
Keynesian economics was put in action in form of interventionist state having its visible hands fully in the economy. It planned, owned, produced, distributed and even influenced consumption of goods and services. The rather closed economy was locally owned, managed and controlled.
The Mid-1980s U-turn (change)
The second U-turn unfolded in mid 1980s. It is more or less a mirror image of the ujamaa era.
It is the Zanzibar Declaration (1991) that kissed goodbye the Ujamaa era and embraced this epoch that is characterized by market-led economic thinking. It is an epoch characterized by neo-liberal economics following Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs) of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund.
As opposed to the era immediately before this, the economy is now largely foreign-owned, managed and controlled through Foreign Direct Investments. The economy is more outward-looking, there is flexible exchange rate regime characterized by exchange rate volatility.
Although there is free interplay of market forces of supply and demand, the government has its hands on the economy.
Its role now is that of facilitator and creator of conducive business and investment climate. This is done through overseeing policies, laws, rules, regulations, peace, order and tranquility that are essential for a proper functioning market economy.
Although the market rules the economy, there are various sectoral regulatory authorities. There have the role of ensuring that the private sector is not abusing its market power.
One also sees executive agencies providing non-core public services on commercial basis as agents of the government whose role is one of a principal.
Tanzanias economic journey since independence is eventfull. The more dramatic epochs are those of 1967 to mid 1980s and mid 1980s to now.
Among the lessons that should be learnt include the fact the state controlled economy era was not particularly successful when one uses such indicators as availability of goods and services.
However, the ideology of the time has been crucial in laying foundations on which the mid 1980s U-turn was built.
For future success of the economy, it is very important for the government to do what governments do best in market economies.
It has to ensure that there are very attractive and friendly investments and business environment for private sector to succeed.
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Futurist, Cathy Hackl, Named Top Voice in Tech by LinkedIn for 2nd Year in a Row – PRNewswire
Posted: December 6, 2019 at 8:49 pm
NEW YORK, Dec. 4, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- Futurist, author, and keynote speaker, Cathy Hackl,has been named one of the Top Voices in Technology in 2019 by LinkedIn. It is the highest honor a content creator can receive on the platform, and only 346 individuals out of more than 260 million users made the list.
"Everyday, more than 2 million posts stream through the LinkedIn feed. That's a lot of great conversations happening and our LinkedIn Editors team set out to uncover some of the best professionals igniting those exchanges. The result is our 2019 #LinkedInTopVoiceslist," wrote Laura Lorenzetti Soper, Senior Editor, Special Projects at LinkedIn.
To find the top voices on the platform globally, LinkedIn used a combination of quantitative and qualitative signals, starting with a custom algorithm from their LinkedIn Data Science team and then curated by their LinkedIn Editors.
"As part of the AR, VR, and Spatial Computing industry, I'm honored to be one of the top voices in tech on LinkedIn," highlighted Hackl. "Latina women hold only 5% of STEM jobs, so I'm hoping to inspire more women and minorities to pursue a career in technology."
According to LinkedIn, Hackl's updates give a glimpse into the future. Whether it's covering the convergence of virtual reality and augmented reality, transforming the physical into the digital or the intersection of art and technology, from her unique vantage point she continues to spark dialogues around the next big technology trends and all things AR, including virtual beings like Lil Miquela, Alexa and Mica, as well as the convergence of AI, AR, 5G and quantum computing. Follow Cathy Hackl on LinkedIn at linkedin.com/in/cathyhackl or visit cathyhackl.com.
About Cathy HacklCathy Hackl is one of the most sought-after keynote technology speakers in the world. Considered one of the top women in augmented reality, virtual reality, spatial computing, and innovation, she works at the intersection of future technology, strategy, and storytelling, engaging audiences across the globe and across industries.
She's spoken in more than 12 countries, including memorable talks at Twitter's HQ in San Francisco, Facebook's HQ in Menlo Park, and Sony's HQ in San Diego.
Media contact:Cathy Hackl 230410@email4pr.com678-913-8133
SOURCE Cathy Hackl
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Futurist, Cathy Hackl, Named Top Voice in Tech by LinkedIn for 2nd Year in a Row - PRNewswire
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Futurist sees the end of the world as we know it for average person – Haaretz
Posted: at 8:49 pm
In Providence, Rhode Island where Dr. Roey Tzezana now lives, signs on the street advertise Rent a Son. The signs are put up by people offering services that a son is supposed to do for his parents: shovel the snow, hang pictures and come for a visit. Someone looking in from the outside might think that this is a brilliant initiative after all, the population is aging and many of the elderly live alone. Why be just a handyman if you can be a son for rent?
But Tzezana, an Israeli future studies researcher, who studies the job markets of the years to come, too, sees the signs as a glimpse into the future. Tzezana, a researcher at the Blavatnik Interdisciplinary Cyber Research Center of Tel Aviv University, and a research fellow at the Humanity Centered Robotics Initiative of Brown University, says such services are exactly the jobs that those who cant find a place in technological professions will be forced into and some are being forced into them now.
This forecast is not good news for most people: The polarization in the job market will only grow and the inequality between those who buy the new smart machines, those who build them, and those who cannot will only widen.
In an interview with TheMarker, Tzezana sets aside all the most recent reports, such as that of the World Economic Forum, which shows that in addition to the forecasts of millions of jobs being eliminated, new jobs are created too because this, he says, is simply the wrong debate.
The deeper and more interesting questions are not whether new jobs will be created, but what is the pace that old jobs disappear and new jobs open up, or what is the pace at which the tasks the jobs require change and create a demand for new expertise, specializations and skills. The speed of closing tasks and opening new tasks is changing, and it is overwhelming, he says.
All the reports of the McKinsey consulting firm talk about technological progress requiring up skills and the ability to adapt; a view that is possible to develop, learn and grow and a way of thinking of an entrepreneur all the time looking for opportunities. All these are wonderful slogans that the large international consulting companies spread and there is a reason for it the profile of the employees in these organizations is that of young workers who learn all the time, says Tzezana. But he points out that the researchers who are happy to talk about adopting new capabilities, lifelong learning and all sorts of other buzzwords that are heard everywhere do not ask themselves whether it is appropriate for everyone.
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Many already recognize the reality that Tzezana is describing: We arent talking about a 45-year-old employee who lost a job and no one want his skills. Certainly there are people who can learn new things at any age. But how many of these people are there? Most of those in their 50s are sure they know and think they deserve to enjoy the fruits of their efforts and the seeds they sowed that experience has value.
Recently the Boston Consulting Group released a report on global trends in future jobs and found that the jobs of the future are ones such as waiting on tables, cleaning, child care and nursing care and the groups of job skills with the highest rate of growth after digital skills is social services and education.
BCG analyzed millions of job ads over three years and found that some professions have a high growth rate without being related to digital skills, such as child care, animal care, fitness training and behavioral analysis skills, are all related to the growing pursuit of general well-being and leisure. But if you ask Tzezana, this is part of the problem.
We see large polarization of the job market, in other words a continuing rise in polarization, he says, mentioning what Andrew Haldane, the chief economist at the Bank of England, said back in 2015. Even though technology has created many new jobs in recent centuries, at the same time it has led to polarization too, those with jobs requiring expertise, preferably in the exact sciences, have higher wages, while those who make do with a lower level of expertise receive lower pay. This is a result of the continual inflow of professionals in the middle whose jobs are disappearing because of automation those with a medium level of expertise.
Haldane asks, justifiably, whether we want to become a society with extreme inequality with a small number of super-rich and a great number of poor, which we are already seeing in the United States, says Tzezana. We are seeing people moving from the middle class, for example manufacturing workers whose factories closed down because the work moved to China. Now factories are returning to the United States, and this doesnt help anyone because they are automated, he says.
A factory that in the past employed 1,000 workers needs only 100 today. Those with high-level skills know how to operate the machines that replace the workers, but the workers who in the past were responsible for the machines or who did the same task as the machines need to find a new job. They are going to work in services for Uber or renting out apartments, says Tzezana.
So this is entrepreneurship, creativity? An excellent example of the entrepreneurial spirit, no?
The salary of someone who moves into the service professions drops dramatically sometimes a quarter of the previous salary, and this is not the problem of just one or two people, says Tzezana. When a lot of people experience this drop, we are talking about an economic crisis: It is not just a problem only for those who cant pay their mortgages. Sixty percent of the sales of most companies are to the general public and if the public cant afford to buy a new computer, the entire economy enters a crisis.
Penty of McJobs
So low unemployment doesnt tell the real story?
The level of unemployment in the United States is the lowest ever, but many of the new jobs only keep those filling them alive so they dont complain too much. In general, from the 1950s we have been seeing that the productivity compared to the effort invested has risen at a stupefying pace that is how the world will become a better place. To produce more with less.
But if until the 1970s the hourly pay for an employee rose at the same rate a relationship existed between productivity and hourly wages 40 to 50 years ago a dramatic change began. Productivity continued to grow, between 1973 and 2014 it rose by 74% but the hourly pay rose only by 9%. Its amazing. My explanation for this process is that at the same time the machines that were capable of being programmed came in, so did flexible work. You needed the average worker from the middle class less and it was possible to switch to machines to close factories and move them to China, where wages are lower, says Tzezana.
This figure is the end of the world for the average people. It reflects a rather depressing picture: The state and the economy are advancing by storm but the workers are almost not benefitting from this progress and are left behind. It is almost a catastrophe, he says. It doesnt match the ideas of democracy because democracy is based on the middle class. It is harder for workers from the lower class to vote in an intelligent manner and make intelligent decisions. It is a situation that over time does not enable the continuation of democracy as we know it.
This is just the beginning, says Tzezana. In a few more years we will be nearing a world in which machines will do everything at the level of human beings, and after a little while longer at a higher level. And then all the trends and forecasts will be scrambled. This is the point of singularity after which it will be hard to estimate what will happen because we have never been in such a situation in human history.
Nonetheless, Tzezana is trying to sketch a picture of the future. According to a survey conducted in the past few years among hundreds of artificial intelligence researchers, the Asian researchers believe that within 40 years artificial intelligence will do all the tasks that humans are capable of doing. This means that in another five or 10 years we will already see the changes in progress.
Dont we see it already?
We see it, but not completely. Many of the jobs have already opened, and someone who is hard-working and intelligent will find work, and in the worst case will manage barely to support themselves. Artificial intelligence knows how to give medical advice better than doctors, he says. Tzezana says the claim that people will still have a human advantage is wrong: We need to take into account technological developments, such as computers being able to understand people and the creation of avatars on the screen and in virtual reality. These avatars will be able in the next decade or two to provide more sensitive and considerate service than any human service representative can.
Status symbol
We will continue to buy services from other people, but not necessarily because we need them more because it is a status symbol, Tzezana continues. In medicine, the poor will receive a higher level of treatment from robots and machines. The rich will receive the same treatment, while the person representing the machine will be a human doctor who will say what the computer does and provide the feeling that a person is there. His role will be mostly to be an actor, a celebrity. People will come to him not because he is the best doctor, but because those who get services from him say about themselves: Im good. Tzezana says this will be true for many other professions.
The four winners will be those who control the machines, the programmers and owners the rich; those who have built up a reputation, so the rich will want to receive services from them; those who manage the teams and machines; and the fourth group, the entrepreneurs.
Whats the solution?
No one knows. What is clear is that it will be a period of large and fast changes, and it is a bit like asking me: What is the solution in the Industrial Revolution for all the remaining farmers. They will not stay farmers. In the short term, maybe it would be better to ask what is the solution that individuals can adopt so they have a better chance for work that will pay enough to support themselves respectably.
The answer is what is called the entrepreneurial spirit, learning all the time lifelong learning. To find 20 or 30 minutes a day to listen to podcasts, take online courses, even if you dont get grades or credit for them, he says. To expand your knowledge so the minute something new comes out you can jump on it before everyone and always remain a bit ahead of the crowd.
The second thing is to know how to work with computers not work on a computer, but with and alongside a computer, Tzezana says. Computers will become our collaborators in the coming decades. Governments must take a number of steps too. They must try to move as many people as possible to professions that require a high level of expertise and training, such as computer science, statistics and the exact sciences.
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SpaceX Is Sending Super-Muscular Mice to the Space Station – Futurism
Posted: at 8:49 pm
Buff Rodents
The International Space Station is about to get some unusually strong visitors.
On Saturday, a SpaceX Dragon spacecraft is scheduled to deliver 2,585 kilograms (5,700 pounds) worth of cargo to the ISS. Amongst the supplies and equipment will be a few extremely muscular mighty mice and they could help ensure future astronauts stay healthy while in space.
For the Rodent Research-19 experiment, scientists on Earth genetically engineered mice to lack myostatin, a protein that limits how much the animals muscles grow. This causes the mice to have about twice the skeletal muscle mass of normal mice.
In addition to sending those mice to the ISS, theyre also sending some micethat arent genetically altered, which astronauts will treat with an experimental drug that inhibits myostatin.
Researchers hope that sending the mice to the ISS, where theyll be subjected to the same microgravity environment as astronauts, could yield valuable insights into how myostatin targeting could prevent muscle loss in humans in space andalso on Earth.
Were also excited because we think that this could have applications for many many conditions that people experience here back on Earth in which muscle and bone loss is a serious problem, researcher Se-Jin Lee said in an ISS video.
READ MORE: SpaceX to Launch Beer Experiment, Mighty Mice and More for NASA Today. How to Watch [Space.com]
More on muscle loss: Scientists Want to Jack Astronauts up on Steroids
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19 Newly Discovered Galaxies Appear to Be Missing Dark Matter – Futurism
Posted: at 8:49 pm
Missing Stuff
Scientists recently discovered 19 small galaxies, all of which share a puzzling quirk: they appear to be totally devoid of dark matter.
Dark matter the invisible stuff thought to hold together galaxies is crucial to one of the leading explanations of galactic formation. But now, Live Science reports, astronomers are faced with a difficult choice: prove this new discovery wrong, or reconcile it with their understanding of the cosmos.
Scientists can tell that a galaxy is loaded up with dark matter if it spirals faster than it would if it were only subject to the gravitational forces of the matter that we can see, according to Live Science.
The 19 new galaxies appear to be spinning slower than a typical galaxy of their size would, according to research published last week in Nature Astronomy, suggesting theres no dark matter giving them a boost.
Some of the galaxies could have had their dark matter vacuumed away by the stronger gravitational pull of nearby galaxies, Live Science reports. But others are too isolated in the cosmos for that explanation to make sense.
Physicists told Live Science that the obvious next step is to not only revisit this new papers findings, but also to analyze the 19 galaxies with a variety of tools and techniques so they can get to the bottom of things.
READ MORE: 19 Galaxies Are Apparently Missing Dark Matter. No One Knows Why. [Live Science]
More on space: Astronomers Find Isolated Galaxy Packed Full of Dark Matter
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19 Newly Discovered Galaxies Appear to Be Missing Dark Matter - Futurism
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Interview: Shaping the future – The Actuary
Posted: at 8:49 pm
Futurist Ray Hammond talks to Stephen Hyamsabout revolutions in healthcare, the future of work and cryptocurrencies
05 DECEMBER 2019 | STEPHEN HYAMS
Ray Hammond has a long record of accurate foresight about the future, such as identifying the coming importance of the internet shortly after its launch.
How did he become a futurist?
It happened by accident, he says. After finishing with journalism, I wanted to become a writer. During a small book tour in San Diego, I met the well-respected futurist Alvin Toffler. We kept in touch and he encouraged me to broaden out beyond technology, which was then my focus, to understand the way that todays trends may shape reality in 10 to 20 years time.
The future of health
Hammond is excited by the current revolutions in healthcare, of which he expects digital health to havethe earliest impact. Within 10 to 15 years, perhaps30% of hospital inpatients will be at home in bed but monitored so thoroughly that its almost as if they were in the hospital, he says. A team of mobile nurses will take care of their physical needs. Its also going to have a profound impact on the way drugs are developed, because drug companies can use the data that flows back from digital devices to learn how were responding. Eventually, it will be as if every patient is taking part in a real-time clinical experiment.
DNA-based and stem cell medicine will also play a significant role during the next five to 10 years. For privacy reasons, it will take a while for people to accept having their DNA stored., says Hammond. For many people, DNA stands for do not ask. Once the benefits of DNA analysis are understood fully, the word will spread and, with full consideration for privacy and data protection, DNA-based medicine will be an enormously powerful tool. He cites the detection of genetic abnormalities in the earliest stages of embryonic development during pregnancy as an example.
Its early days for stem cell medicine, but Hammond predicts that it will become very important within 10 years. It seems to have so many applications, a bit like penicillin, and promises to deal with lots of diseases that are currently intractable. Using stem cells from ones own body avoids the risk of rejection. Im certain that in 10 years time we will be taking organs off the shelf, or theyll be grown to order for us.
Hammond believes two other healthcare revolutions will have longer-term implications. The first is nanoscale medicine, which he believes will have a huge impact, but not for another 20 years. Manipulating molecules at the nanoscale level will enable the production of drugs designed to produce specific proteins that are tailored for certain illnesses. Nanoparticles are currently being developed for the targeted delivery of drugs, while there is some research involving nanoparticles that seeks to develop a vaccine for influenza. Hammond believes the other healthcare revolution will be in gene editing to enable removal of damaging pieces of DNA from a patients tissue but care is needed to avoid it affecting the germline, for fear of unintended consequences.
Healthcare outlook
What will be the collective impact of these developments? During the next 20 to 30 years they will transform healthcare, and I think it is likely we will see a return to higher rates of mortality improvements in the UK, following the period of lower rates seen during the past few years.
Hammond is excited by two recent pieces of research into anti-ageing, one of which removes senescent cells from the body. These cells are widely believed to contribute to ageing. The other work involves therapyto reprogram genes to reverse the ageing process.
In human trials, there have been some startling achievements in a single year, 70% to 80% of the patients had their biological clock reversed by two and a half years, he says. The results were so stunning that the researchers have easily been able to raise the money to carry out much wider trials. Until a year ago, I was highly sceptical about rejuvenation and life extension, but not any longer. By 2030 or 2040 I think we could see some patients extending their lives as healthy centenarians. Within the next 20-30 years, Hammond also thinks that most types of cancer will be controllable, as opposed to being cured.
How can we meet the cost of healthcare for an ageing population? During the next 10 years it will be a problem, but there are indications that things will improve significantly, mostly thanks to digital technology, says Hammond. The key is 5G networks, which will be super-fast and reliable, with instant, real-time responses and no bandwidth problems. This will facilitate distributed care, in which many patients are monitored from their homes, thereby taking the pressure off hospital space. The healthcare revolutions will mean fewer people in hospital, and for less time.
The collection and analysis of healthcare data is developing fast, and it must remain secure for people to remain comfortable in providing it. Could insurers seek to use the data for underwriting purposes? There are currently legal barriers to the discriminatory use by insurers of DNA information, while they are also no longer allowed to ask the catch-all question of whether there is any other information that would be relevant.
Digital monitoring devices will not be for everyone, while those who do use them will need clear instructions explaining that they are not fully accurate and no substitute for proper medical advice.
Robotics will have developed to the point where most of the non-medical tasks in a hospital are handled by machines, Hammond says. For example, a robot nurse in triage could perform standard tests before passing the patient to a doctor, if necessary. Remote robotic surgery will also become very efficient oneeye specialist in London might be treating people anywhere in the UK, or around the world. Another interesting development is the growing use of virtual reality as an alternative to conventional anaesthetic.
Technology and work
Will robotics and automation put jobs at risk? During the next 15 years, there will be a lot of disruption in the workplace, says Hammond. Peoples roles will change, and retraining will be needed, but there will still be a lot of demand for human employment. After that period, Im not so sure; by the mid-2030s I think robots will be so ubiquitous, powerful and capable that a lot of human endeavour will not be needed. Robots will be increasing productivity to such an extent that society will have enough money to give to people who are not employed.
Such a fundamental change brings challenges, though. For many people, work is part of their identity, and when theyre denied it an important part of their life disappears, Hammond says. I dont have the answerto that, but Im worried.
Part of the solution is to recognise and pay for carers in the family, and Hammond predicts there will still be plenty of demand here. Robots will empathise and form attachments, but when real help or comfort is needed,I think well want a human for the foreseeable future.
I ask about the impact of artificial intelligence (AI)on replacing human work. Today AI is, at best, as intelligent as a rodent. I think it will be at least 30 years before AI is a threat to humanity in terms of its decision-making capabilities.
Cryptocurrencies and cash
Hammond expects blockchain technology, invented for the cryptocurrency Bitcoin, to have a huge and wide-ranging impact. Blockchain will be everywhere for example, managing patients in hospitals, or the assets and policies of an insurance company. The biggest drawback is its high energy demand, but there have been recent breakthroughs in that respect.
Cryptocurrencies do not need an issuing bank or government to authenticate them, as they are self-authenticating, so this poses a threat to the conventional banking industry and national sovereignty over finance, he continues. I dont see it happening on a big scale within 10 years, but in the longer term, if political will allows, there is no doubt that cryptocurrencies will replace fiat currencies.
Does this signal the end of cash? In my 1983 book Computers and Your Child I predicted there would be no cash in society by the year 2000, Hammond says.I was looking at the technology, and in that respect my prediction could have been correct, but I was forgetting human psychology. People like to feel they hold cash.I think cash will still be around in 10-15 years, but very much reduced.
I conclude by asking Hammond what his biggest concern for the future is. Climate change, with the extreme weather events that are going to become more frequent and severe and continue for at least the next30-40 years.
What excites him the most? The continuing improvement in human health. I love the idea of looking to a future where most serious illness is eradicated, with far less human suffering.
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‘The Future of X’ Turns to Collaboration in the Workplace. Tune In – OZY
Posted: at 8:48 pm
In a new five-part podcast, in partnership with Smartsheet, OZY paints a picture of the workplace to come, from productivity and privacy to social enterprise and the rise of gamification. Listen up on OZY.com, Spotify, Apple or wherever you prefer to stream your audio.
Collaboration. Teamwork. In the superconnected, crazily networked jobs of the future, how we work together will be critical. And so will the teams we work in. This season on The Future of X, OZY is exploring future of the workplace. In the latest episode, we asked some leading futurists and business executives about what the future of work means for one of the most important elements of any business: working with other people.
You should think of it like a rock band.
Liselotte Lyngs, founding partner, Future Navigator
Workplaces have been organized around hierarchical divisions of labor for centuries. And that was a perfectly sensible way of doing things, say, 150 years ago, says Mark Stevenson, a futurist and author of An Optimists Tour of the Future. Now its looking like there are better ways of organizing ourselves, which are more like diverse, bottom-up collaborative systems.
A more collaborative workforce means that finding the right team members, and the best groupings, becomes paramount.You should think of it like a rock band, says Liselotte Lyngs, a founding partner of Future Navigator, a think tank based in Copenhagen. They take a lot of practice working together and you need the same kind of patience in order to get a team that is really working well together.
In the future, companies will move from headhunting to team hunting. Specialized teams will move from company to company and project to project.And the resulting interpersonal relationships that will build up as you and your teammates move across companies and projects as one will be key to not just job performance but also your overall health and well-being.
Were gonna have more diverse teams that are going to add a lot more value to companies in ways they didnt expect, says Lisa Bodell, a futurist and CEO of FutureThink. Innovation is going to really take off in the next 15, 20 years.
This episodes Future Tip? If you want to get ahead in your career, go pick up a book on parenting. Tomorrows workplace values can be found in todays developments in the study of family dynamics. The new rules in childhood development are based on decades of research and moving away from awards systems and tough love and toward empowerment, communication and empathy. Plus, it may help when your boss is acting like a 3-year-old. There are endless parenting books and podcasts, of course, but weve put a few of our favorites here:
Check out the latest episode of The Future of X: The Workplace to learn more about the future of collaboration at work. Now available on OZY and all podcast platforms.
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As Facebook caves to Singapore censorship, the writing is on the wall – The Interpreter
Posted: December 3, 2019 at 12:52 am
Observers have been waiting to see how Singapores Protection from Online Falsehoods and Manipulation Act (known more commonly as POFMA) would be applied since it was passed in Parliament in May this year, coming into effect on 2 October. But it was only in the past week that the first directive was issued under the law quickly followed by the second and third.
On 25 November, Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat directed the newly established POFMA Office to issue an order to opposition politician Brad Bowyer over a Facebook post. Bowyer was thus required to edit his post, adding a notice indicating that it contained false statements of fact, with a link to a government website containing the correct facts.
Three days later, Home Affairs and Law Minister K Shanmugam issued a directive to the States Times Review a website known for its political stance against the ruling Peoples Action Party demanding that they publish a similar correction notice on a Facebook post. While the sites publisher, Singaporean-turned-Australian Alex Tan, refused to comply, the minister then issued a directive to Facebook instead.
This isnt just Singapores problem. A law that offers so much additional power over its peoples flow of communications and information is a tempting one to adopt for all sorts of governments.
Unsurprisingly, the tech giant complied. The cost-benefit analysis was clear: failure to do so could have led to a fine of up to S$1 million ($1,072,500), with an additional S$100,000 per day of noncompliance after conviction. Then theres the unwritten but presumptive cost of damaging a relationship with the government of a country in which Facebook has a significant presence an estimated 3.5 million Singaporeans, well over half the population, actively use Facebook.
The least they could do was make it clear that it wasnt a voluntary move. Facebook is legally required to tell you that the Singapore government says that this post has false information, said a terse notification alongside a button pointing people to the government page. The company also told the media it hoped that the Singapore governments assurances that it will not impact free expression will lead to a measured and transparent approach to implementation.
This hope, of course, is highly optimistic, dependent on the whims and preferences of the Peoples Action Party and the ministers in its government (all of whom have power to issue directives under POFMA). When it comes to legislation that allows the government to decide what is or isnt a false statement of fact, there are few restraints on power.
The question of whether its easy to really distinguish fact from opinion is still an unanswered one; looking at the correct facts issued on Bowyers Facebook post, we see that the authorities are taking offence at what they say is implied as well as clear factual statements. Beyond that, it isnt even clear why a blunt yet powerful tool like POFMA was required in these instanceswas there any real risk of harm to society or incitement of hatred or violence? Why would normal press statements and clarifications measures that the government has resorted to for years to respond to articles and criticism not have sufficed?
Few of the concerns raised before the passage of the bill have been adequately addressed, and weve yet to see how some of the reassurances given such as expedited and less cost-prohibitive court processes will play out in practical terms. While time might perhaps offer a little bit more clarity on some details, the problem with POFMA is not just a matter of execution or implementation, but issues of checks and balances, due process, fairness, and respect for democratic rights.
The fact is that, in Singapores current (and long-standing) political landscape, the only political party that has direct access to POFMAs powers is the ruling Peoples Action Party. Using this law, the party is free to take aim at political opponents or anti-PAP platformsas they have done. No other political party or civil society group is able to wield such power, even though falsehoods and misleading claims are also circulated about opposition politicians and activists online, including from pro-PAP pages.
What POFMA does, then, is give the PAP government more control over discourse in Singapore, allowing it to take aim at what it says are false facts or implied false facts while asserting its own set of correct facts. To further cement this imbalance in power, Section 61 of law also allows ministers to exempt any person or class of persons from any provision of this Act, thus allowing the PAP government to grant immunity from this law to anyone they choose.
This isnt just Singapores problem. A law that offers so much additional power over its peoples flow of communications and information is a tempting one to adopt for all sorts of governments. The Nigerian government, for example, has mooted an almost identical bill a suggestion that has been met with protests from Nigerians. An Anti-False Content bill, also bearing remarkable similarity to POFMA, has been introduced in the Philippines Senate, triggering criticism of suppressing freedom of expression, and likely in contravention of Article 19 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR).
Anxieties about disinformation and misinformation are going global, but so is the practice of capitalising on these anxieties to consolidate power. The use of a law like POFMA and the compliance of the big tech companies whose platforms so often perform the role of a virtual public square for citizens might only be taking place in Singapore today, but its apparent success provides legitimacy and political cover for it to be used elsewhere tomorrow.
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WeChat users in the US say the app is censoring their messages about Hong Kong – Business Insider
Posted: at 12:52 am
Chinese American users of the messaging app WeChat are finding their messages containing political criticism of China particularly those aimed at the protests in Hong Kong are being censored, The Verge reports.
In one instance an American information security analyst named Bin Xie had his account taken down after writing "The pro-China candidates totally lost," referring to Hong Kong's recent election in which pro-democracy candidates gained huge ground against pro-China candidates.
"If you have censorship in China, fine," he told The Verge. "But in this country? I'm a Republican, but on WeChat I suffer the same as Democrats we are all censored."
Xie then joined a WhatsApp group full of Chinese Americans who had similarly been kicked off WeChat for expressing political views.
For Chinese Americans with family in China, being kicked off WeChat is a major problem. The WeChat app is more or less ubiquitous in China, where it covers a broad range of uses. It acts as a messaging app, a dominant payment platform, a social network, and a platform for accomplishing everyday tasks like paying utility bills and booking doctor's appointments. WeChat and its rival Alipay's payment systems have become so everyday that even street vendors and buskers use QR codes rather than accept cash.
Losing access to the app is a major hindrance to anyone wishing to contact Chinese relatives as popular Western messaging apps like Facebook and WhatsApp are blocked in China and for anyone who wants to visit the country.
The Verge notes that while generally WeChat applies different censorship rules to Chinese nationals and foreigners, Chinese Americans may fall through the net if they once possessed a Chinese phone number.
In a statement to Business Insider, WeChat's parent company Tencent noted that WeChat is a separate app to Weixin, which operates inside China. Tencent said WeChat and Weixin are are interoperable, describing them as "sister apps." People signing up with Chinese phone numbers would be using Weixin, while people with international numbers would use WeChat.
"Tencent operates in a complex regulatory environment, both in China and elsewhere. Like any global company, a core tenant is that we comply with local laws and regulations in the markets where we operate," a spokeswoman said.
"Weixin and WeChat use different servers, with data stored in different locations. WeChat's servers are outside of China and not subject to Chinese law, while Weixin's servers are in China and subject to Chinese law," she noted.
She added that the interoperablity between WeChat and Weixin messages could lead to "misunderstandings."
"For example, if a WeChat user sends a message to a friend using Weixin, China law applies to the Weixin user and certain content may be blocked. The same content shared between two WeChat users however, would not be blocked," she said.
The extension of Chinese censorship laws beyond its borders has become more pertinent to American citizens in recent months through three high-profile news stories.
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