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United Kingdom PPI Core Output (MoM) nsa registered at 0.5% above expectations (0.3%) in April - FXStreet

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Global Feed Grade Vitamin Premixes Market 2021 Industry Perspective, Comprehensive Analysis, and Forecast by 2028 | Nutreco, Cargill, InVivo NSA The...

Total All Unemployment Claims

As much as the big miss in employment was a shock on Friday May 7, the May 12 CPI data turned out to be a double whammy.April headline CPI came in at +0.8% M/M, while market consensus was +0.2%, another huge miss by market forecasters.Y/Y CPI was+4.2%, up significantly from Marchs 2.6% Y/Y print. What appears strange to us, and looks to be contradictory to reality, is that the Wall Street narrative continues to be that the employment numbers were an aberration, (i.e., we are in a boom) but, the CPI numbers (clearly caused by base effects (i.e., the fact that the CPI had dipped significantly last spring) and temporary supply chain issues) were symptomatic of a systemic 1970s style inflation.Neither sentiment, we think, recognizes reality.

Beneath the Employment Data

Looking at the changes in the raw (Not Seasonally Adjusted NSA) job numbers (from the Establishment/Payroll Survey) just for the last three reported months of 2021 (February through April) (see table), it is clear that the NSA net new jobs are over a million each month.

Chang in Nonfarm Payrolls (000s)

But, the Seasonally Adjusted (SA) data are much lower, especially for April.Must be an anomaly, right?Wrong!The following table shows both the NSA and SA data for March and April since 2015.

Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (000s)

Excluding the year 2020, Marchs 1176K NSA number is significantly higher than the data from 2015 to 2019, indicating that the SA number should be higher than its predecessors.When it comes to April, however, the 2021 1089K NSA number is not much different than the 2015-2019 data.The mean of the NSA data for the April 2015 2019 data is 1068K, and the mean of the SA data for that period is 215.If we apply the ratio formula to the 1089K NSA number for 2021, we get 219 (1089/1068*215 = 219).While it appears a little high, we would tend to trust the 266K reading, as the SA factors may have changed slightly. So, No!Aprils 1089K reading is not a number that represents a booming economy and the 266K SA number is not an aberration.Now, lets turn to the March data.Using the same process as above produces a number for March of 258K, not 770K.If anything, the 770K number actually appears to be the aberration. Conclusion: The economy is not booming.

More Slowdown Data

In the latest weekly Department of Labor release (for the week ending May 8), Initial Unemployment Claims (ICs) at the state level fell to 487K from 514K.By the way, that 514K was revised up from 505K, so the drop, as far as the market was concerned was just -18K, really not significant given the size of recent revisions.In the special Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) programs, there was a slight uptick in ICs from 102K to 104K. Not a word in the financial media this week about the weekly DOL unemployment data!If anything, this data confirms our analysis that there really is no boom, just some recovery toward the pre-pandemic slow-growth economy.Of course, a continuation of helicopter money (the IRS just sent out $1400 checks to individuals as they process 2020 tax returns totaling $1.8 billion) will continue to fan the flames of the boom mentality.

The critical Continuing Unemployment Claims (CCs) rose nearly 700K the week ended April 24 latest data (see the chart at the top of this blog) and now sit at 16.9 million.Of these, 13.0 million reside in the PUA programs.The chart shows almost no progress for these CCs for the past three months.

Disincentives

After having been buried for months, the disincentive topic is finally seeing the light of day.The question is whether or not the enhanced (additional) federal unemployment benefits of $300/week is such a disincentive that it isnt worth the effort for those unemployed who worked in the lower wage service sectors to return to work or find a new job.In the May 12 edition of the Wall Street Journal (States End Enhanced Aid for Jobless, A-2, McCormick & Cambon), the authors state that the extra $300/week supplements the state average of $318/week.Using a 40-hour workweek, this $618 week benefit is equivalent to $15.45/hour and to $32,136/year.In two recent editions of Barrons, reference was made to the enhanced benefits being equivalent to a job paying over $32,000; so, these numbers corroborate each other.

In prior blogs, we indicated our belief that the enhanced $300/week benefit was a disincentive to work, especially for the lower paying wage sectors like leisure/hospitality. We have observed that the No. 1 complaint of businesses has been the lack of applicants, and we have pointed out the ubiquitous-ness of the Help Wanted sign.

Now, after pleas from businesses and The Chamber of Commerce to halt the $300/week federal supplemental benefit, several states (all with Republican governors) are ending these enhanced federal supplements.At this writing, 11 states are moving toward the elimination of the enhanced $300/week benefit, and it appears more will join.If this indeed occurs, we should see significant reductions in the CCs, likely beginning in June.

Note: It appears that the Biden Administration has stumbled upon a de facto method to raise the minimum wage as companies are now competing with the $15.45/hour effective unemployment wage!

Inflation

As indicated above, the headline CPI was a shocker.Core CPI (ex food and energy) was the highest monthly increase since 1982.The day after the CPI, the PPI (Producer Price Index) produced another shockwave.Aprils PPI (+0.6% M/M) was double the consensus view (+0.3%).On a Y/Y basis, PPI grew 6.2%, much of which had to do with base effects, but that number still plays to the view that the economy has entered a period of systemic inflation.As if in anticipation that the Fed would now be forced to abandon its inflation will be transitory and last for a couple of quarters stance, yield curves have risen.In addition, the idea that the Fed might have to tighten earlier than anticipated set off some selling in the equity markets, which were down three days in a row early in the May 9-15 week.

An analysis of the CPI data suggests that the price increases were concentrated in 7% of the economic sectors.For example:

The above two sectors were simply returning to their pre-pandemic pricing, as the travel/tourism economy has begun to reopen.Airfares are still down -20% in the index from pre-pandemic levels, and average hotel rates are still -6% lower.Las Vegas, for example, is now nearly 100% reopened.

The auto rental business has limited supply, and apparently didnt effectively anticipate reopening demand.Early in the pandemic, rental companies slashed their rental fleets due to the shutdown and plummeting demand.

Demand for used cars remains high as people still are avoiding public transportation.The recent CDC announcement that vaccinated people neednt wear masks any longer may help the public transportation industry, but we believe that the return of pre-pandemic demand is still a long way off.

For the other 93% of the economy, the core CPI index rose +0.3% M/M (annualized to 3.66%), and the all-important rent, medical, and education components only rose +0.2% M/M.

As we have stated in past blogs, we agree with the Fed that the inflation in our midst is transient.

Conclusions

A deep analysis of the recent employment data convinces us that employment is lagging despite reopening and the need of businesses, and this lag seems to rest squarely on the disincentives provided by the federal governments enhanced unemployment benefits.The financial media has finally recognized the topic.After business pleas, several states have moved to cancel the federal enhanced benefit before it expires in September.We believe such moves will result in a faster normalization of the labor markets.

Our views of the demand and supply landscape keep us in the transient inflation camp.We expect that by Q4, markets will realize that economic growth will return to 1%-2% (i.e., no boom) and that the inflation that we are currently seeing, and will continue to see for several more months, will calm, if not turn to deflation as the nearly 17 million unemployed vie for the eight million jobs that recently showed up in the latest JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey).

(Joshua Barone contributed to this blog.)

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Its Difficult To Ignore The Disincentives, With Employment Numbers Still Low - Forbes

PFC SP came to NSA more than 30 years ago because she needed a full-time job. Shed been working several part-time jobs and heard the Federal Government had opportunities. A job in law enforcement was not on her radar, but she filled out the paperwork and got the job.

I didnt know anything, but I guess I was supposed to be here, PFC SP said recently. Once I got here and went through the training, it just clicked.

When she joined the force, it was part of the General Services Administrations Federal Protective Service. Soon after, in 1986, it became NSAs Security Protective Force. In 2001, the name changed again to the NSA Police when the force gained the authority to conduct arrests and apprehensions. The change meant more money, better training, and better equipment for the officers who are charged with protecting the workforce and facilities of NSA.

For National Police Week 9-15 May, PFC SP took the time to reflect on her career, the highs, the lows and what has kept her at NSA for so long.

Before coming to NSA, PFC SP had never carried or shot a gun. She says she made it through training but was no Annie Oakley. She has never had to shoot her gun on duty, but after someone she worked with had to shoot theirs, it really hit home.

In 35 years you never pull a gun but then something freaky happens, and its an eye opening experience, she said. Police work is dangerous no matter where you work It can make you cry to see how quickly things can escalate.

Officers are trained to stop potential and imminent threats which ultimately could require use of force. It can be a heavy weight, PFC SP admitted.

Separating that from my beliefs is hard, she said, but she chose this line of work because she likes helping people. Its a balance.

PFC SP has held various positions in the department including working at the gate, serving as a lead alarm officer, and now head armorer for first relief responsible for tracking guns, ammunition, radios, and equipment for those on post.

Her best memory was the day former President George W. Bush visited in 1991. She was supposed to be the armorer that day but ended up in the lobby where he was due to arrive. She remembers being told by an FBI special agent not to look at the president because then, she wouldnt be doing her job. When President Bush walked in, he set down his coffee and immediately began talking to her.

We hit it off like we were old friends, she said. She has an autographed photo of them to remember the occasion.

These days, theres definitely a down side to being a police officer. PFC SP said that she used to wear her uniform home, but not anymore. She puts on her plain clothes when she leaves for the day.

I hate current events. All the shootings and killings, she said. I dont tell people what I do for a living. I dont know where people have been or how they have been affected When things go awry, it puts you in a difficult position. Its hard. It breaks my heart.

But still, she comes to work each day to ensure the people and facilities of NSA are safe.

I still enjoy the work I do, she said. I make a difference.

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Making a Difference Over 30 Years with the NSA Police Homeland Security Today - HSToday

NSA baseball defeats Norfolk Collegiate

Nansemond-Suffolk Academy defeated Norfolk Collegiate 14-0 in baseball on April 15.

NSA runs: Faircloth 3, Crosland 3, Brooks 2, Martin, Howell, Grady, Morris, Gottlieb, Claxton

NSA RBIs: Howell 2, Crosland 2, Howlett 2, Decandido, Faircloth, Brooks

Decandido got the win on the mound.

NSA boys lacrosse defeated Norfolk Collegiate 19-3 on April 15.

NSA 19

Norfolk Collegiate 3

NSA Goals: Russell 5, Dowd 4, Yeatts 3, Dailey 2, Parker, Eisenhart, Greene, Morgan, Strange

David Russell led the Saints with 5 goals and 3 assists.

Jackie Taylor, of Suffolk, got a hole-in-one on the 112-yard hole #13 at Riverfront Golf Club on April 17. Taylor used a pitching wedge.

Nansemond-Suffolk Academy baseball defeated Norfolk Academy 9-4 on April 17.

NSA runs: Decandido 2, Spence 2, Morris 2, Conway Grady, Crosland

NSA RBIs: Howell 3, Howlett 3, Faircloth, Morris, Conway

Phillips got the win on the mound.

The Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Lady Saints lacrosse team defeated Cape Henry 9-8 on April 20.

Page Henry had two goals and one assist, including the game-winner with four seconds left. Also scoring goals were Haley Price, Maddy Byars, Marlin Price, Grace Russell (2 goals, 1 assist) and Morgan Kozak (2 goals, 1 assist).

Aiden Lemieux had nine saves in goal for the Lady Saints.

Nansemond-Suffolk Academy baseball defeated Cape Henry Collegiate 5-0 on April 20.

McGhee got the win on the mound.

NSA runs: Howell, Decandido, Faircloth, Crosland, Martin

NSA RBIs: Howlett 2, Howell, Faircloth, Crosland

Original post:
Sports Briefs - The Suffolk News-Herald - Suffolk News-Herald

Justice Mathur admits guilt about CAA protests hearing not being taken to conclusion, criticises liberal use of NSA and sedition law, expresses concern over the law and order situation in UP and plays down Madras HCs murder remark against EC. The session was moderated by Assistant Editor Apurva Vishwanath.

APURVA VISHWANATH: As the country grapples with the pandemic, what is the role of the judiciary in this hour of crisis?

The role of the judiciary is to protect the law, to impart justice to every citizen Also, if the court notices something wrong, it can take suo motu cognizance The first responsibility of the court is to protect citizens from any event that is not in accordance with the law. When the government is working, the doctors and police are onboard, then how can the courts remain closed. So we decided to continue The first suo motu cognizance was taken by a Bench that I was also a part of. Then, as chief justice, I constituted a Special Bench and it is still working. Fortunately, it has given very effective directions and played a very vital role in protecting people from coronavirus in Uttar Pradesh At present, things are in bad shape as far as coronavirus is concerned.

APURVA VISHWANATH: Can you tell us about your experience of dealing with civil liberty cases?

In the last few years, the State has been taking several actions or sometimes supporting the mob that is attacking civil liberties of individuals. In such times, it is necessary for courts to protect civil liberties. It is very easy to call any person anti-national But I believe that 99.9% of the citizens of this country are committed to this nation. They are patriots. I can have a different view on a specific issue and you can have a different view The government is required to protect this if it is not against the interest of country What is sedition? If I am raising slogans against some person, if I am opposing some legislation, that doesnt mean that I am waging war against the State. In Uttar Pradesh, I dont know what has happened, but many people think that they can take law into their hands, they can punish people on roads and, unfortunately, to some extent, the government failed to protect such people. So it was necessary and it is necessary for courts to intervene.

In Lucknow, in March 2020, posters (carrying photographs and details of people accused of violence during anti-CAA protests) had come up, and the Allahabad HC took suo motu cognizance. The judiciary is always required to come forward to protect constitutional values. Our Constitution is our Gita. It is not only a political or legal document, it is a social document, which is required to be adopted by every citizen of this country, to make our society more civilized.

ASAD REHMAN: Earlier this year, two ordinances the UP Prohibition of Unlawful Conversion of Religion Ordinance, 2020, and the UP Recovery of Damage to Public and Private Property Ordinance, 2020 were cleared by the UP Cabinet and they became Acts. Do they stand the test of constitutional validity?

I cant say what I would have done on it. But yes, I would have protected all constitutional values and rights of the people

APURVA VISHWANATH: But you had a prima facie view on these legislation?

Yes. I admitted the petitions for hearing only for the reason that prima facie I was satisfied that the provisions were in conflict with our constitutional provisions.

APURVA VISHWANATH: You also passed many orders in cases linked to the National Security Act, and in most cases you suggested that the law was being misused.

The National Security Act came up in 1980, and even at the time there was a huge debate in Parliament about it being prone to misuse The NSA cant be invoked in a circumstance which can be dealt with other criminal laws. For the Act to be invoked, first national security has to be at stake. Now, if I express my view, that is not causing any injury to national security. Recently, I read somewhere that if any person is opposing (Covid-19) protocols, he will be dealt with under the NSA. Our system, our Constitution doesnt permit for such liberal use of the NSA.

APURVA VISHWANATH: So when the government perceives something like cow slaughter to be a matter of national security

No, not at all. These are not issues of national security. Security is quite a big thing. There is an advisory board also (for the Act), but I have noticed that the orders passed by it are mechanical in nature. Maybe because two of the members on it come from bureaucracy or are nominated. These are political appointees, these nominations are political nominations, and while making political nominations the government must be aware that a statutory duty has to be discharged very seriously. No hanky-panky business must go on there.

APURVA VISHWANATH: In recent days, many high courts have asked tough questions of the government regarding the pandemic. You have passed orders linked to misuse of the NSA. Do these orders bring about any change?

In the constitutional structure, the judiciary is also a face of the State. The executive, legislature and judiciary need to have respect for each other. Unfortunately, sometimes, bureaucrats, and even political persons, consider the judiciary a rival. Judiciary is not a rival, it is just extending its support to the State. The State does not mean any political party or government led by a political party or a person. The State is the Union of India or a state government. We are taking care of the State, which includes its fundamental unit, its citizens. I fail to understand why the Executive opposes the judiciary However, I also feel that the judiciary should not interfere in every matter, especially those that are linked to small policy issues and are not affecting constitutional rights.

MANRAJ GREWAL SHARMA: The legal fraternity seems quite hesitant to say anything to the executive when a case goes to the Supreme Court. But earlier this year, in a love jihad case where two Muslim men were booked under the anti-conversion law, when the UP Police said that the case was before the Supreme Court, you responded that it doesnt preclude the high court from answering a challenge to the law.

We have the Union judiciary as well as the state judiciary. Now, if an order of the state high court is challenged before the Supreme Court, that doesnt mean that the high court should stop its work. Only if a stay is granted that should happen. When a judge is appointed, they take an oath which says that they will work fairly and fearlessly. Every judge is under oath to work fearlessly.

APURVA VISHWANATH: In the case of the anti-CAA posters, while the Allahabad HC ordered for them to be removed, the state went to the Supreme Court. Do such parallel proceedings undermine the high courts orders?

The Supreme Court admitted the Special Leave Petition for hearing and an interim order was also passed. Then, an ordinance was introduced (UP Recovery of Damage to Public and Private Property Ordinance, 2020), which went on to become an enactment. So, the direction given on the suo motu petition became infructuous at that stage. The enactment was challenged and a Division Bench, of which I was also a part, admitted the petition. Unfortunately, it was in March last year, when the pandemic struck. Though that matter was listed, for some reason it had to be adjourned. It has been more than a year, and the court has failed to decide the issue I feel guilty for the delay.

APURVA VISWANATH: There were a clutch of cases linked to the anti-CAA protests. Peoples properties were being auctioned While the court put a stay, why was the larger case not heard?

In 90% of the cases, the courts gave interim orders, protected people and many of those arrested were released. The fine imposed was also stayed in 100% cases. So interim relief was granted But yes, as far as the validity of provisions (under the ordinance) is concerned, that should have been decided by the court at the earliest. Because of certain unavoidable reasons, including the pandemic, the court failed to do so.

NIRUPAMA SUBRAMANIAN: Do you think that somewhere the leaderships commitment to the Constitution also needs to be addressed?

Very frankly, yes. You see, when you are making decisions on the basis of caste and not on merit I am talking about the political arena In my younger days, casteism was a negative thing. Now, while deciding candidates for constituencies, caste plays a vital role, tickets are given based on it There is another tendency in the executive these days, to leave things on courts. They dont want to take any action There is no effort on the part of political parties as well as the executive to have constitutional values as our social values. Some political parties or NGOs must be doing something about it, but I have not seen any result because it is still about whether I am Hindu or Muslim or something else, but not a citizen who has to abide by constitutional provisions Its like whenever I get a chance to violate constitutional provisions for my personal gains, I will do that. It is a dangerous phenomenon. Our leaders have also not escaped it. They are also doing the same thing.

ANANT GOENKA: Do you think there is more pressure today on judges than there has been historically?

In my last 17 years, I have had no pressure of any kind. In Rajasthan, I dealt with a number of cases, including the Bhanwari Devi case, where a Cabinet minister ultimately resigned, but nobody dared to tell me anything. But yes, at times some efforts may be made indirectly. If a judge doesnt take pressure, nobody tells you anything.

The pressure is of a different kind, when it is about future appointments. The allurement of being appointed as a presiding officer of, say, the Human Rights Commission or any tribunal is very dangerous. Judges should not accept it and Parliament should not make any provision for retired judges to be appointed as heads of any tribunal We must ensure that enactments for post-retirement employment must be abandoned I am not going to accept any government assignment in the remaining part of life.

APURVA VISHWANATH: How did you view Justice Ranjan Gogois nomination to the Rajya Sabha?

I would not like to say anything about it.

APURVA VISHWANATH: Would you accept a Rajya Sabha seat?

Never. If I have an opportunity to go to Parliament by contesting an election, I will go, but not by nomination.

ANANT GOENKA: Is the media a factor while cases are being heard in court?

Yes, no doubt. Journalism, at least in subordinate judiciary, plays a vital role during trials. I am of the opinion that there should be no media trial. On a subconscious level, it affects the mind of a judge, especially younger judges. Additional district judges in the age group of 35-37 years are deciding on important trials like capital punishment. Ultimately, judges are also human beings. There must be some code for the media Not a written code, but mostly ethics which the media must adhere to.

LIZ MATHEW: In recent times, high courts have been burdened with a number of cases linked to ideological issues love jihad, cow slaughter. Do you think it is a cause for concern?

If an ideological issue or an ideology is in conflict with constitutional provisions, then it is not a simple ideological issue Like in case of love jihad, the court cant say that we will not examine the case because it is an ideological issue. If ideology is in conflict with law, we are required to protect the law. But this is not new. In Kerala, when the EMS Namboodiripad government introduced the education Bill, they were accused of implementing their ideology Eventually, the enactment was set aside. So, this is quite common. Now we get more such cases In the last few years, we have been in a very weird condition. On the one hand, you want to decentralise power, and on the other you wish to centralise everything in your hands. Our bureaucracy is not interested in leaving its powers, which are available to it from the colonial era.

APURVA VISHWANATH: How important is it to have more women judges?

It certainly matters In higher judiciary, where the appointment is made by the Collegium, it is difficult. The Bar Council of India, the state bar councils, and even judges must promote women lawyers. You will not find adequate representation from the SC, ST or other minority communities either. It is because there are not enough lawyers from the SC, ST communities or even women As far as minorities are concerned, I have no hesitation in saying that a different kind of mentality works that a young person from a minority will not be appointed. It is not in the mind of judges but at government level.

I am a product of the Collegium system, but I have noticed that this system has caused great injury to our justice delivering system We must think of some alternative system for appointment of judges.

Apurva Vishwanath: Are you referring to the appointment of Muslim lawyers as judges?

Yes, files are pending with the government.

APURVA VISHWANATH: Is the lacuna on governments side or in judiciary?

It is in the judiciary itself. As far as the Allahabad High Court is concerned, the difficulty before the chief justice or the Collegium is also in identifying lawyers (who can be appointed judges). There are 15,000-18,000 lawyers. At times, judges who have been working at the court for 10 or 11 years dont know the name of the lawyer appearing before them. So, the chief justice of Allahabad HC is dependent on several other factors for making recommendations for appointments. A huge volume of work is an issue but the huge volume of lawyers is also a very important issue The Collegium system needs a 100% (relook). After the failure of the National Judicial Appointments Commission, why did the government leave this entire issue? I fail to understand.

BHUPENDRA PANDEY: The UP government has often ignored directions passed by the Allahabad High Court, including in the Hathras rape case and, more recently, in implementing lockdown in certain areas because of rising Covid-19 cases

As far as lockdown is concerned, I have read the order. It was passed after my retirement. The court asked (the government) to examine viability of imposing a lockdown in a specific manner. And interestingly, even though an interim order was passed by the Supreme Court (for an interim stay on the Allahabad HCs order), from that very day there was a lockdown in UP.

In the Hathras case, I am proud of the judges who took suo motu cognizance of the matter. An outstanding order was passed by them I am of the view that honouring those directions would have enhanced the prestige of the state also. But what happened ultimately? When you talk about the position of law and order in Uttar Pradesh, I dont think it is up to the mark I am not saying things like there is jungle raj etc But it is no less than that.

KRISHN KAUSHIK: Do high courts take their cues from the Supreme Court?

In our constitutional scheme, the Union judiciary and state judiciary are absolutely different. The state judiciary is absolutely independent. But by certain other means, like the State Legal Services Authority Act, there is a window for the Union judiciary to look into the state judiciary. I deprecate that. Next is the Collegium system. It is making a link between the two independent organisations Judges sometimes are under pressure as to what has been said by the Supreme Court It is against the constitutional scheme of the justice delivery system.

VANDITA MISHRA: In recent years, the judiciary seems to have dropped the ball on issues of civil liberties. Is it because of an executive with a decisive majority which is weaponising that mandate, or is it because of the larger process of institutional decline?

If you see the history of Indian judiciary, in the early 1970s, at that time also, a majoritarian executive was there. Today also, it is the same position. At that time, the election of Mrs Indira Gandhi was set aside by the Allahabad High Court, and after 1977, a series of judgments were passed by the Supreme Court as well as by different high courts which were certainly progressive. Those judgments played a very vital role in ensuring civil liberties, personal liberty of a person and so many other fundamental issues. Maybe, the same sort of circumstances are prevailing now The judiciary cant be pressurised by a majoritarian executive I am of the view that most of the judges in this country are working fearlessly.

MONOJIT MAJUMDAR: One of the complaints that the present as well as previous governments have had is of judicial overreach. Do you believe that judges sometimes step out of line?

You used the term overreach and overreaching is always wrong. If anything is overreaching, then a system is prescribed. If the high court has tried to overreach, then go to the Supreme Court. And if the Supreme Court notices that there has been an overreach, it sets aside that order Some errors happen and everybody is prone to errors. Those are to be rectified.

APURVA VISHWANATH: The Madras High Court recently said that the Election Commission should face murder charge for failing to enforce Covid protocols during polls

Please try to understand the circumstances in which courts work It is a simple observation, not a hue and cry issue. The media should also understand that during heated arguments, this is quite common It is not the lead news. Ultimately, it is the order that has been passed by the court that prevails. During these heated arguments, many things are uttered. If you are going to take cognizance of each and every statement, then it would be very difficult.

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In last few years, at times state has backed mob attacking civil liberties. It is necessary for courts to protect liberties: Justice Govid Mathur -...

Walter Pincusis a contributing senior national security columnist for The Cipher Brief. He spent forty years at The Washington Post, writing on topics from nuclear weapons to politics.

OPINION Cyber is now the critical domain to every facet of our National Security.

Those words were spoken last Friday by Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wisc.) at a hearing of the House Armed Services Subcommittee on Cyber, Innovative Technologies, and Information Systems, where, in the wake of the Colonial Pipelines hack, government witnesses described the increase in such attacks and House members called for more government funds, attention and responses to be devoted to deterring those activities.

Gallagher, ranking member of the subcommittee, is hardly a novice on the subject of cyberspace. He served as co-chair of the bipartisan Cyberspace Solarium Commission which in March 2020, came up with 25 recommendations which were later adopted into law. The subcommittee chairman, Rep. James Langevin (D-R.I.), is also a member of the Solarium Commission and together the two have taken an active interest in Operations in Cyberspace and Building Cyber Capabilities Across the Department of Defense, which was the title of Fridays hearing.

Ms. Mieke Eoyang, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy, told the members, The cyberspace domain is both more important and more contested that it has been in recent memory.

She pointed out that because of our growing reliance on technology, cyber criminals and major state actors alike took advantage of COVID-19 by releasing ransomware on health care facilities, targeting vaccine production and supply teams, exploiting fear by spreading disinformation and even disrupting pipeline companies.

Describing the unique situation that has arisen, she said, The line between nation state and criminal actors is increasingly blurry as nation states turn to criminal proxies as a tool of state power and then turn a blind eye to cyber crimes perpetrated by the same malicious actors. She described that technique as a common practice for Russia, whose Security Services leverage criminals while shielding them from prosecution for crimes they commit for personal benefit. We have also seen some states allow their government actors to moonlight as cyber criminals.

Gen. Paul M. Nakasone, Commander, U.S. Cyber Command and Director, National Security Agency (NSA), told the House panel that Russia in the Solar Winds attack, showed it could invade other companies using one companys supply chain; and China, in the hack of Microsofts Exchange, showed one systems vulnerabilities allowed attacks on other systems around the world. Nakasone added that the Colonial Pipeline attack illustrated a growing trend of companies and even government agencies being held hostage by malicious actors.

Nakasone also noted the increase in activity. Over the past 14 months, he said, weve seen a tremendous difference in the [cyber] environment. Adversaries are demonstrating a changed risk calculation. They are undertaking malign activities in cyberspace at greater scope, scale and sophistication. They desire to take on the United States in cyberspace below the level of armed conflict.

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The subcommittee members brought up a wide range of subjects beginning with the possible establishment of a Digital Service Academy which, as Rep. Rogers (R-Ala.) said, would help train a person to take on this [cyber] challenge. Nakasone talked of Cyber Excepted Service, a 2016-created occupational structure for the Defense Departments cyber community which provides greater flexibilities and options for recruiting and retaining cyber professionals. He said it has become an avenue for us to be able go to recruiting fairs and offer final job opportunities and opportunities for young people to consider a career with Cyber Command. He also said there has been a dramatic drop in the time it takes to get a security clearance if hired under Cyber Excepted Service. In the past, it took some 110 days to bring someone into the civilian service, while now it has dropped into the 60-day range, Nakasone said.

Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.), a former CIA analyst and Pentagon official during the Obama administration, told Nakasone she thought it would be really important to truly present a transformational budget on cyber whenever you guys submit it. I think the committee is crying out for it. I think the country is crying out for it, and we know that it will come at the expense of older systems, legacy systems [and] pork. And Congress has the responsibility to help you with that, which we dont always live up to. But I really want to encourage you to be bold and provide something that really helps move us into the 21st Century so we can maintain our military edge.

Slotkin also raised the issue of secrecy that surrounds the ways in which Cyber Command and NSA respond to publicized cyber attacks.

She said the American people are on the front lines of the attack, yet they cant feel, they dont know what their country is doing to respond. I know thats a difficult position for you all. What you do should be under the radar. But I would just note there is a real sense that there is no deterrent on a cyber attack that a Russian group or a Chinese group can attack us with impunity.

Slotkin ended by saying, We are going to need to figure out how to not just do it in the shadows but communicate to the American people that we are not leaving ourselves open as this becomes the primary form of attack on the average American citizen.

The secrecy surrounding Cyber Commands or NSAs responses to foreign attacks reminded me of that time during the Vietnam War, when the U.S.-directed bombing of North Vietnam supply routes in Laos was classified. I was then working for Sen. J.W. Fulbright (D-Ark.), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. After personally observing U.S. forward air controllers in action in Laos, I participated in the Fulbright committee hearings on the bombing in Laos which eventually led the Nixon administration to publicly disclose what was going on. The Fulbright argument was that the Russians, Chinese, Laotians and North Vietnamese knew the U.S. was running the bombing, only the American public did not know.

The cyber response situation appears to be similar.

Gen. Nakasone, in his opening statement last Friday, said, U.S. Cyber Command conducted more than two dozen operations to get ahead of foreign threats before they interfered with or influenced our elections in 2020. I am proud of the work the command and the election security group performed. Later, while answering a question, he said that during 2020, his Cyber Mission Teams undertook 11 projects overseas in 9 countries as part of the U.S. election security effort.

It is time either Nakasone or the White House describes the details of those operations to give the American public the confidence that a real response has taken place that will the rise of cyberattacks. The Russians, Chinese and criminal hackers are aware of what the U.S. response has been. Its time the American people know, too.

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A Duty to Inform the Public on Cyber - The Cipher Brief

A Minotaur 1 vehicle is prepared for launch at NASA Wallops Pad 0B. Image: NASA / Wallops Flight FacilityThe United States Space Force (USSF) will be launching a classified rocket mission from the NASA Wallops spaceport on the Virginia coast on June 15. Describing it only as a national security payload, the mission, NROL-111, is being lifted into space for the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO.)

The NRO is a member of the U.S. Intelligence Community, a sister agency to the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), National Security Agency (NSA), and Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA.) While the NRO was created in 1960, its existence was kept classified until 1992. The NRO is the Intelligence Community element and a Department of Defense agency responsible for developing, acquiring, launching, and operating Americas intelligence satellites to meet the national security needs of the nation.The classified payload will enter space atop a Northrop Grumman Minotaur I rocket. Derived from the Minuteman II missile, it is now used to launch small satellites for the U.S. Government. The rocket stands roughly 63 feet tall and has a diameter of about 5 and a half feet. It can carry objects weighing as much as 730 pounds to sun-synchronous orbit and objects up to 1,280 pounds for low-Earth orbit, the orbit likely used by NRO for this mission.

Minotaur I rockets were successfully launched from the NASA Wallops facility on June 30, 2011 and again on November 20, 2013.The rocket launch should be visible around a wide area of the Mid Atlantic when it launches. However, with these classified missions, the specific launch time and countdown arent always revealed ahead of time. The Space Force Space and Missile Systems Centers Launch Enterprise is providing the launch services for this mission and not the more public-friendly and accessible NASA.

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Space Force to Launch Classified Rocket from Mid Atlantic - Weatherboy

Written by Shannon Vavra May 14, 2021 | CYBERSCOOP

Lawmakers on Capitol Hill are clamoring for the U.S. government to better communicate what its doing to fend off foreign hackers, a concern that has come front and center in recent days as Americans have queued up at gas stations following a ransomware attack against a major U.S. pipeline company.

Colonial Pipeline, the largest pipeline in the country, temporarily had to shut down operations earlier this month in response to a ransomware attack impacting its IT networks. The company shut down operations to prevent the malicious software from spreading to its operational networks.

The incident has raised questions about the fragility of U.S. critical infrastructure cybersecurity, and Rep. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., indicated Friday she wants the U.S. government to tell the American people more about what its doing to try to prevent these kinds of attacks in the first place.

It is so hard to explain to the American public what were doing to respond when they see these very visible attacks whether theyre from a foreign entity and ransomware and whatnot, Slotkin explained during a House Armed Services Committee hearing Friday. Our constituents, they are on the front line of the attacks and yet they dont know what their country is doing to respond. And I know that thats a difficult position for you all what you do should be under the radar.

Rep. Seth Moulton, D-Mass., raised similar concerns that Americans dont have a clear picture of how U.S. government entities, such as the National Security Agency, Cyber Command, Department of Homeland Security and FBI, coordinate their efforts to prevent foreign hacking.

NSA Director Gen. Paul Nakasone who also serves as commander of Cyber Command, the Department of Defenses offensive cyber unit suggested during the hearing that interagency coordination to protect the U.S. presidential elections was well-executed in both 2018 and 2020.

There could not have been a closer partnership between U.S. Cyber Command, the National Security Agency, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Department of Homeland Security, Nakasone said, referring to the efforts to protect the elections.

Moulton told CyberScoop following the hearing that if the government does good work to deter foreign hackers but doesnt tell the American people about it effectively, some of those successes might be lost in translation.

Our federal cyber organizations are doing great work, but I worry when I see that large portions of the population do not recognize or accept that work is happening. Take, for example, the excellent work to protect the 2020 elections, Moulton told CyberScoop. The cyber community can do all the good work in the world to defend critical infrastructure and networks, but if the general population doesnt trust that work and assumes infrastructure and networks have been compromised, we still have major problems.

The NSA declined to comment for this story. The White House and Cyber Command did not immediately return requests for comment.

The lawmakers concerns follows a whole flurry of high-profile hacking incidents namely the Russian governments hacking of federal contractor, SolarWinds, which affected hundreds of companies and nine federal agencies, as well as the suspected Chinese hacking of Microsoft Exchange Server.

Its not entirely clear what Americans think about the U.S. governments efforts to share information about deterring foreign hackers. In a Gallup survey released in March, 82% of Americans said they think the use of computers to cause disruption or fear in society what the survey called cyberterrorism will be a critical threat to the U.S. over the coming decade. Only 2% of Americans said it is not a critical threat.

Those numbers, of course, dont speak to what Americans think about deterrence or whether they think the government is doing enough to deter foreign hackers.

But the recent ransomware incident that hit Colonial Pipeline and the following panic-buying of gasoline that occurred in several states on the East Cost of the country could be a harbinger of a future in which more Americans come face to face with the second and third order effects of foreign hacking.

Slotkins concerns about foreign hacking arent just about communicating to the American people. Following years of foreign government hackers targeting the U.S. private and public sector, Slotkin appears to also have concerns about whether the U.S. government has been responding adequately.

There is a real sense that there is just no deterrence on a cyberattack, that a Russian group or a Chinese group can just attack us with impunity they can steal a million records and we put out a strongly worded press release, Slotkin said, referring to when Chinese hackers stole personal data on 22 million current and former federal employees.

The federal government has made many efforts in recent days to communicate what it is doing to respond to the Colonial Pipeline incident, from issuing waivers to encourage more fuel transports to White House cybersecurity officials speaking with members of the press to communicate the latest with the American people.

President Joe Biden also announced Thursday that the U.S. is planning to go after the Russian criminals behind the Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack, and didnt rule out a retaliatory cyberattack against them.

As for deterring future hacks like this, there is some indication that all the furor about the Colonial Pipeline hack is having an impression. XSS, a popular underground forum, announced Thursday it would ban ransomware sales, rentals and affiliates, which could put a dent in future ransomware attacks.

Biden, too, said Thursday that he plans to raise the issue of governments like Russia allowing ransomware actors like DarkSide to operate with impunity from within their countries at an upcoming summit with his Russian counterpart.

Biden just this week also signed a sweeping executive order aimed at boosting federal contractors cybersecurity and reporting of cybersecurity incidents when they occur, which is intended to address issues inherent to the Colonial Pipeline attack as well as other recent hacking from Russia and China. The administration also attributed the SolarWinds hack to Russias Foreign Intelligence Service and expelled Russian officials in response to the SolarWinds espionage.

The NSA, for its part, stood up a directorate almost two years ago specifically focused on communicating threat information about foreign hacking to the public to boost cyberdefenses.

Fort Meade has also taken pains to get the NSA, the so-called No Such Agency, to become more public-facing in recent years. Just last year, following a report from CyberScoop that accounts were using Nakasones likeness to catfish women online, Fort Meade created official social media accounts for Nakasone.

Slotkin and Moulton both indicated they think more needs to be done to reassure Americans about the state of cybersecurity in the U.S. moving forward.

We are going to need to figure out how to not just do it in the shadows but communicate to the American people that were not leaving ourselves open as this becomes the primary form of attack on the average American citizen, Slotkin said.

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Lawmakers want DOD to share more info with Americans on deterring hacks - CyberScoop

New Delhi: Justice Govind Mathur, who retired as chief justice of the Allahabad high court last month, said that many of the challenges that the Indian judiciary faces today are similar to those it encountered in the early 1970s in the face of a majoritarian executive in an interaction with the Indian Express.

He noted that after the end of the Emergency in 1977, the Supreme Court and a number of high courts passed a series of judgments which were very progressive. Those judgments played a very vital role in ensuring civil liberties, personal liberty of a person and so many other fundamental issues. Maybe, the same sort of circumstances are prevailing now The judiciary cant be pressurised by a majoritarian executive I am of the view that most of the judges in this country are working fearlessly, he said.

Justice Mathur also spoke about the need for representation of women and minorities in the judiciary.

The Bar Council of India, the state bar councils, and even judges must promote women lawyers. You will not find adequate representation from the SC, ST or other minority communities either. It is because there are not enough lawyers from the SC, ST communities or even women, Justice Mathur said and further added that when it came to minorities a different kind of mentality works that a young person from a minority will not be appointed. It is not in the mind of judges but at government level.

When asked whether he was referring to the appointment of Muslim lawyers as judges, Justice Mathur said, Yes, files are pending with the government.

On the role of the judiciary during the COVID-19 pandemic, Justice Mathur said that it was the responsibility of courts to protect the law and citizens from any event not in accordance with the law. When the government is working, the doctors and police are onboard, then how can the courts remain closed. So we decided to continue The first suo motu cognizance was taken by a bench that I was also a part of, he added.

Also read: Restoring Public Trust in the Indian Judiciary Calls for More Scrutiny, Not Less

On cases related to civil rights, Justice Mathur said that it was necessary for courts to protect civil liberties and that in the last few years, the state has been taking several actions or sometimes supporting the mob that is attacking civil liberties of individuals.

It is very easy to call any person anti-national But I believe that 99.9% of the citizens of this country are committed to this nation. They are patriots. I can have a different view on a specific issue and you can have a different view The government is required to protect this if it is not against the interest of country What is sedition? If I am raising slogans against some person, if I am opposing some legislation, that doesnt mean that I am waging war against the state, he said.

In Uttar Pradesh, I dont know what has happened, but many people think that they can take law into their hands, they can punish people on roads and, unfortunately, to some extent, the government failed to protect such people. So it was necessary and it is necessary for courts to intervene, he further added. Noting that the constitution was like the Gita, Justice Mathur said that when posters carrying photographs and details of people accused of violence during anti-CAA protests were erected in Lucknow, in March 2020, the Allahabad HC had taken suo motu cognizance.

On the misuse of the National Security Act, Justice Mathur said, The NSA cant be invoked in a circumstance which can be dealt with other criminal laws. For the Act to be invoked, first national security has to be at stake. Now, if I express my view, that is not causing any injury to national security. Recently, I read somewhere that if any person is opposing (Covid-19) protocols, he will be dealt with under the NSA. Our system, our constitution doesnt permit for such liberal use of the NSA.

On the case involving the rape and murder of a Dalit woman in Hathras, he said, I am proud of the judges who took suo motu cognizance of the matter. An outstanding order was passed by them I am of the view that honouring those directions would have enhanced the prestige of the state also. He added, But what happened ultimately? When you talk about the position of law and order in Uttar Pradesh, I dont think it is up to the mark I am not saying things like there is jungle raj etc But it is no less than that.

On whether the leaderships commitment to the constitution needed to be addressed, Justice Mathur said, There is no effort on the part of political parties as well as the executive to have constitutional values as our social values. Some political parties or NGOs must be doing something about it, but I have not seen any result because it is still about whether I am Hindu or Muslim or something else, but not a citizen who has to abide by constitutional provisions Its like whenever I get a chance to violate constitutional provisions for my personal gains, I will do that. It is a dangerous phenomenon. Our leaders have also not escaped it. They are also doing the same thing.

Also read: Why Is it So Hard to Fill up the Judicial Vacancies in Our Courts?

Justice Mathur also said that there was a different type of pressure on judges now and the possibility of post-retirement appointments was dangerous. The pressure is of a different kind, when it is about future appointments. The allurement of being appointed as a presiding officer of, say, the Human Rights Commission or any tribunal is very dangerous. Judges should not accept it and parliament should not make any provision for retired judges to be appointed as heads of any tribunal We must ensure that enactments for post-retirement employment must be abandoned I am not going to accept any government assignment in the remaining part of life, Justice Mathur said.

On how courts should deal with the increased number of cases linked to ideological issues like love jihad or cow slaughter, Justice Mathur said, If an ideological issue or an ideology is in conflict with constitutional provisions, then it is not a simple ideological issue Like in case of love jihad, the court cant say that we will not examine the case because it is an ideological issue. If ideology is in conflict with law, we are required to protect the law.

On the Madras high courts remarks that the Election Commission was responsible for the second wave of COVID-19 in the country and should face murder charges, Justice Mathur said that it was a simple observation.

Please try to understand the circumstances in which courts work It is a simple observation, not a hue and cry issue. The media should also understand that during heated arguments, this is quite common It is not the lead news. Ultimately, it is the order that has been passed by the court that prevails. During these heated arguments, many things are uttered. If you are going to take cognizance of each and every statement, then it would be very difficult, he said.

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If Ideology Conflicts With Law, Courts Should Protect the Law: Former Allahabad HC CJ - The Wire