Category Archives: Donald Trump

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Western allies are hedging against Donald Trump - Financial Times

Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) on Sunday dismissed far-right Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greenes (R-Ga.) latest stunt as just more stupid stuff from a radical Republican caucus.

Greene, during a speech at Donald Trumps latest 2024 campaign rally in South Carolina on Saturday, demanded the former presidents two impeachments be expunged.

Trump was first impeached in 2019 for attempting to extort Ukraine. His second impeachment was in 2021 for inciting the Capitol riot amid his efforts to overturn his 2020 election loss to Joe Biden.

Lieu, an impeachment manager in Trumps insurrection impeachment, scoffed at Greenes demand.

There is no such thing known as an expungement of an impeachment in the United States Constitution, the California Democrat told MSNBC.

This is totally a made-up process. It is nothing more than a glorified press release with a fake vote, he added.

Lieu noted that Trumps impeachment following the insurrection received bipartisan support in the House and Senate, even though a majority of Senate Republicans voted against conviction.

You cant just erase that, he said. It was televised. Millions of people saw it.

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Rep. Ted Lieu Gives Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's Donald Trump Call A Blunt Reality Check - Yahoo News

Glenn Kirschner on Saturday said it seems like special counsel Jack Smith still has a good bit of investigating to go in his probe into former President Donald Trumps alleged mishandling of classified documents.

MSNBCs Jonathan Capehart asked Kirschner, a former U.S. Army prosecutor and current legal analyst for the network, what he made of a New York Times report that said Smiths probe is still investigating aspects of the case, even after Trumps indictment.

What I make of this is that Jack Smith is just getting warmed up, Kirschner replied. It seems like he is intent on investigating all of the potential crimes, of not only Donald Trump but anybody else down at Mar-a-Lago, anybody else in Florida who may have been involved in assisting, facilitating, or who may be covering up, who may be an accessory after the fact, to Donald Trumps crimes.

Kirschner explained how in the big investigations it is common to ask the grand jury to vote out one indictment with perhaps one or two defendants, and a limited number of charges and continue to investigate in the grand jury any other crimes and then ask the grand jury to return a subsequent, or what we call a superseding, indictment.

It could mean additional charges for existing defendants, or adding additional defendants to the charges, he said.

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The former president also remains under investigation for his role in the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection, and for trying to overturn his 2020 election loss in Georgia.

He faces trial in the Stormy Daniels hush money case in 2024.

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Ex-Prosecutor Warns Donald Trump: 'Jack Smith Is Just Getting Warmed Up - Yahoo! Voices

Robert Montgomery

Most of us are not psychologists, but we can easily recognize when a spoiled child is having a tantrum. Often, they will sit on the floor and kick. As they grow up, they always want their own way and pout or cry if they dont get it. Many become bullies as older children and even as adults. I cannot help but be reminded of such persons by the behavior of Donald J. Trump.

There are two main issues with spoiled persons. One is their desire for something and the second is power to get what is wanted. When people want something, there are ways to get it that are usually acceptable and even sometimes admired, such as hard work so that the work will be rewarded with fulfillment of the desire. We are constantly seeking to make this possible in our democracy. However, a spoiled person may use unacceptable and wrong means to gain what is desired. We saw that Donald Trump was greatly disappointed when he did not win the 2020 election and he immediately lied, saying that he had won. This encouraged his followers to believe the same thing even though many courts rejected the Big Lie of massive fraud. Numerous false stories were made up about the election. But it did not stop there.

More: Opinion: Understanding past wrongs is first step in preventing them from happening again

Because Trump did not have the power to overturn the election, that did not stop him and his followers from trying to do just that as we clearly heard and saw on TV on Jan. 6, 2021. A frustrated spoiled child sits on the floor and kicks, as we have seen, and the former President and his followers did the adult equivalent of that as they tried to do the anti-democratic thing by exercising coercive force on the nation to get their way. They said they wanted to take back the country as if the country we all live in had somehow been taken away from them.

A major question in all societies is who should exercise power? Democracies have an orderly means for settling the matter of who should exercise power. It is through the whole process of trying to persuade the electorate by speeches and writings that are then followed by elections. The speeches and writings are backed by political parties that present different policies and programs for the future. They represent different governing philosophies and vie for approval from the electorate. The competition should remain within legal boundaries, but the law protecting the Capital or the Seat of Power was clearly broken by Trump and his followers, acting like spoiled children. I have been wanting to say that for a long time.

More: Opinion: Religions and nations often try to use each other leading to coercive power

No society, including American society, has been perfect, but democracy provides a way to continually improve society. This will never be evenly done, but we can constantly correct cases where the desire of some, especially those who are used to getting their way, becomes harmful. Also, through democracy we have a way to balance power between those contending for power. This is the purpose of elections as well as courts of law. We will always have spoiled people, who probably learned to be that way in early life, often a privileged life. Parents can play a part in the correction of such people, but so can teachers. Beyond these, there is the school of hard knocks, which seems built in to much of life. It can also be part of the judgement that comes with bad behavior

Our democracy is meant to enable the life of most people to proceed so that the proper use of our desires and power is encouraged and rewarded. At the same time, for those who have desires that bring harm to others and use unlawful means to obtain those desires will be hindered and blocked. This applies to all of life, including to government and to economic affairs, where power and its social effects can be very harmful to many.

Democracy is the government devised by the founders to create a society in which law prevails among equals. That is why we say No one is above the Law and not only say it, but attempt to carry this principle. This requires both courage and effort from as many people as possible in our society, We also welcome as many nations as possible to join us in the movement for freedom and democracy.

Rev. Robert L. Montgomery, Ph.D, lives in Black Mountain.

This article originally appeared on Asheville Citizen Times: Opinion: Who should exercise power? Not bullies such as Donald Trump.

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Opinion: Donald Trump is a bully who never grew up, throws tantrums to get what he wants - Yahoo Sports

Donald Trump, once again, wants us not to believe our own lying ears. The template for this defense was set on October 7, 2016, when the Washington Post published a tape of Trump laughing crudely as he described to the Access Hollywood host Billy Bush his ability to do what he wanted with women (grab em by the pussy), because when youre a star, they let you do it. The gaslighting that followed the leaking of that tape was a master class in Trumps ability to obfuscate, bluster, and brazen his way out of the trouble that his big mouth had got him intoeven if it meant denying that he meant what everyone had heard him say.

We are about to find out now whether Trumps deny-it-even-if-you-said-it approach has any chance of succeeding in a federal courtroom, where he stands accused of thirty-seven criminal counts of taking classified documents from the White House and obstructing efforts by the government to reclaim them. Trumps own words, captured on tape on July 21, 2021, about one such documentan alleged Pentagon war plan for Iranfigured prominently in the indictment, given that Trump was recorded at his golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey, claiming that he possessed it and admitting that he knew showing it off was wrong. On Monday, CNN broadcast the audio. Talk about a gotcha tape.

With the sounds of papers rustling in the background, Trump is heard complaining about General Mark Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He said that I wanted to attack Iranisnt it amazing? Trump told his visitors, who included book advisers to his former chief of staff, Mark Meadows. A few days earlier, I had reported about Milleys concerns in the final months of Trumps Presidency that Trump might provoke a military conflict with Iran as part of his effort to remain in power, despite losing the 2020 election. This, Milley told others, was one of the nightmare scenarios that he was working to prevent. At Bedminster, Trump apparently brandished the Pentagons attack planwhich he claimed had been presented to him by Milley. This totally wins my case, Trump said. You know, except, like, it is highly confidential. He added, See, as President, I could have declassified it; now I cant, but this is classified.... its so cool. The tape ends with a line that was not included in the federal indictment: Trump asking, Bring some Cokes in, please? The whole exchange was happening, in other words, not in some top-secret facility but with someone standing by to fetch drinks, in Trumps office, right near the pool at his country club.

To legal observers and, indeed, to pretty much anyone who could hear, the audiotape sounded like an admission of guilt. But this is Trump, a serial liar for whom an obvious defense presents itself: that he was not telling the truth to his visitors when he claimed to be showing them secret papers. And, sure enough, by Tuesday, Trump told reporters on his way back from a New Hampshire campaign appearance, It was bravado, if you want to know the truthbravado here being a Trump synonym for bullshitting. This is the 2023 equivalent of dismissing the Access Hollywood tape as mere locker-room talk that had nothing to do with Trumps actual behavior toward women. He even suggested that the papers he is heard shuffling through were just building plans. For Trump, its better to be a liar than a convict.

The damning evidence against Trump would not exist if not for his rift with Mark Milley, a remarkable feud between the Commander-in-Chief and the nations top general that had been a secret backdrop to the public drama that played out after the 2020 election. At the time the tape was made, in the summer of 2021, Trump was apoplectic that Milleys fears about him were becoming public. Two recently published booksone by the journalists Carol Leonnig and Phil Rucker of the Post, and the other by Michael Bender, then of the Wall Street Journalhad reported new details about Milleys efforts, including regular land the plane phone calls with Meadows, the White House chief of staff, to prevent Trump from drawing the military into his quest to overturn the 2020 election. Milley was even quoted fretting about Trump and his supporters staging a Reichstag momenta fear that seemed eerily prescient on January 6, 2021, when a violent mob of Trump supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol, seeking to block congressional certification of Trumps defeat. Trump, in turn, publicly denounced Milley and said that he had only picked him as chairman in 2018 to spite James Mattis, his soon-to-quit Defense Secretary at the time.

One thing the books did not reveal was Milleys concern throughout the volatile post-election period that Trump might escalate a confrontation with Iran. I learned about this as part of my reporting for The Divider, a book on Trumps Presidency I was working on with my husband, Peter Baker of the Times, and decided to publish the information then, given its relevance to the new disclosures about the Trump-Milley rift. The resulting July 15, 2021, piece described repeated meetings after the election, during which Milley objected to the prospect of strikes, which were being pressed on Trump by a circle of Iran hawks around the President as well as by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Milley even flew to Israel to have a meeting with him, at his home in Jerusalem, to urge him to back off. If you do this, youre gonna have a fucking war, Milley told Netanyahu. Iran was in fact the subject of the final meeting Milley had with Trump, on January 3, 2021, when the chairman and other national-security advisers were summoned to the Oval Office on a Sunday afternoon to debate the matter one last time. At the end of the meeting, Trump raised the upcoming January 6th rally of his supporters to Milley and his acting Defense Secretary, Christopher Miller. Its gonna be a big deal, Milley heard Trump say. Youre ready for that, right?

The reporting about his rift with Milley seemed to have greatly rattled Trump. In the summer of 2021, he was just a few months out of office, an unhappy exile spending most of his time at his clubs in New Jersey and Florida. In interviews, he fulminated about the rigged election and ran through his many grievances. While working on The Divider, Peter and I sat through two such performances, which were guided less by our questions than by whatever Trump wanted to talk about. Milley was still very much on his mind. During our second interview with Trump, in November of 2021, months after these initial stories had come out, he told us that the chairman was weak and stupid and had made up a lot of that stuff after I was done.

None of which was particularly useful for us authors, but it was certainly revealing of Trumps mind-set as the events that would result in this unprecedented federal criminal case against a former President were taking shape. To listen to the tape is to hear Trump reduced to his reckless and menacing essence: an angry, vengeful man who obsessed over his negative press and sought to weaponize secret information to smite an enemy. When Meadowss ghostwriters showed up at Bedminster that day, the former President saw a chance to plant his story about Milley. It worked, by the way: the book that Meadows ultimately published in November of 2021, The Chiefs Chief, included a detailed account of the meeting in Bedminster, with the sound of children laughing at the pool outside drifting into the room as Trump, dressed in a sport coat and a crisp white shirt, recalled a four-page report typed up by Mark Milley himself that purportedly contained the generals own plan to attack Iran.

No one made much of this attack on Milley when Meadowss book came out. If anything, it underscored Trumps own ignorance about the role of the Pentagon in dealing with its Commander-in-Chief. It is the militarys job, and that of its chairman as the Presidents senior military adviser, to draw up war plans for any number of scenarios. Presenting such a plan to Trump on Iran is hardly proof of advocacy to use it.

What Milley had been so worried about in the final days of Trumps Presidency was the spectre of an erratic leader, one who was cavalier with the nations secrets, impetuous in his thinking about war and peace, and consumed with himself and his effort to stay in power. All this was only confirmed by Trumps rant against him. This totally wins my case, Trump had said in the taped interview that will now be used against him in court. But it already seems clear that the case it proved was Milleys.

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Why Donald Trump Was So Mad at Mark Milley That He Confessed ... - The New Yorker

Olivier Dacourt

Olivier Dacourt enjoyed a successful 18-year professional career playing for clubs such as Inter Milan, Roma, Everton and Leeds United, as well as making 21 appearances for France.

The former midfielder won a couple of Serie A titles and Confederations Cups during his time as a football, but off the pitch he had some notable moments too, including a run-in with business magnate and then-future American president Donald Trump.

When asked about suing Trump, Dacourt responded to FourFourTwo: "Haha - yes!

"Wow, that was a long time ago. As investors we bought some apartments in Manhattan, but there was a lot of trouble with it so we sued Trump because he was the previous owner. There were around 30 of us. Of course, we didnt know that we were suing the future president of America!"

That's not the only story Dacourt has of an incident involving someone high-profile outside of football, though. Indeed, while playing at Everton during the 1998/99 season, Dacourt lived next door to Gerry and the Pacemakers lead singer Gerry Marsden in Liverpool.

The neighbours struck up a bond in that period, playing golf and going clay pigeon shooting together, as Dacourt explains.

"Gerry was unbelievable with me, and I actually didnt know anything about his music background. He took me to play golf and we went clay pigeon shooting. He didnt have to do that, but he was a very kind person.

"I was sad when I received the call [in 2021] to tell me that he had died. But hed had a great life."

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Suing Donald Trump and clay pigeon shooting with Gerry Marsden ... - Yahoo Life

When Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, a great many newsrooms that had been lulled into thinking the election was all but a blue formality suddenly found themselves staring into a harsh new red light.

Its well-documented that major news organizations were way off the mark in calling the 2016 presidential electionso much so it prompted a reckoning within the industry about how journalists should cover the political horse race while ensuring the issues voters care about remain front and center.

Seven years later, how should the media cover Trumpagain a candidate for president, but now facing a slew of state and federal chargesin the 2024 election? Northeastern experts say journalists should seek a better balance of issues-based reporting and tread carefully when it comes to covering defendant Trump in the context of an election.

Not the odds, but the stakes

Invoking the prominent journalist and media critic Jay Rosens credo of not the odds, but the stakes, Peter Mancusi, an associate teaching professor of journalism at Northeastern and former editor and member of the Spotlight Team at The Boston Globe, says that coverage of Trump and the 2024 election should focus more on whats at stake for democracy, and less on the candidates chances of winning.

In other words, Mancusi agrees with the popular critique of the media that emerged post-2016: that there was an excess of horse race coverage, which experts say diminishes the publics knowledge of substantive issues and sows distrust. According to one analysis, matters of policy accounted for just 10% of overall coverage during the 2016 cycle. Additional research suggests that in the lead-up to the election major media publications covered Trump far more favorably despite his low polling initially, which helped propel him in the polls.

Meg Heckman, an associate professor of journalism and media innovation at Northeastern, says that too much attention on the odds and, by extension, the oddsmakers can be problematic in 2024. As it pertains to Trump, it risks further normalizing the former presidenta tension that many journalists felt early in the 2016 cycle that became the source of much handwringing in press, she says.

Heckman and Mancusi both acknowledge that its not easy to cover Trump. There is no playbook for this, Heckman says. But now that the former president is also a criminal defendant in two separate casesan unprecedented development in American politicsreporters should take great care not to downplay the gravity of the situation.

It is completely appropriate for journalists to cover the indictment of a former president, says Heckman, who covered the New Hampshire primary for years at The Concord Monitor. As many have said, this is an unprecedented situation. Novelty is a news value, and the watchdog role of the press dictates it should be covering the indictment of an elected official intensely particularly given that what Trump is accused of doing in the federal case involves matters of national security and public well-being.

But Heckman said the press should scrupulously avoid commenting on how Trumps legal troubles sway voters opinion of him.

Where it gets a little problematic is to the extent coverage is limited to how the indictments are impacting Trumps poll numbers, she adds. Its a small part of the story, but it needs to be just that.

Were used to seeing questions about poll numbers when a candidate says something they shouldnt on the campaign trail, or has an unscripted encounter with a voterthats all normal stuff, Heckman says. Being indicted on really serious federal chargesthats radically different, and should be treated as such.

Framing and context

When more than 2,000 Trump supporters stormed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in an effort to stop lawmakers from certifying President Joe Bidens victory, the stakes for democracy became crystal clear, Mancusi says.

Trumps strategy to outright deny the results of the 2020 presidential electionits predictable and observably direct impact on democratic processes and public trustperhaps marked a turning point in the presss relationship with Trump the newsmaker, Mancusi says.

If the mainstream media was already in the midst ofa sea change prior to Jan. 6 as it concerns Trump, the birth of The Washington Posts democracy team heralded a whole new chapter. Mancusi says that the proliferation of the democracy beat, which focuses on issues of transparency, voting rights, poll access, among others, signaled a new direction for political journalism. Increased attention to issues of democracy provides critical framing and context for reporters, who otherwise might get caught up in the he said, she said style of reporting that some experts say leads to an environment where false claims and half-truths are more likely to go unchallenged.

He said, she said journalism describes the expectation that reporters give equal voice to both sides in a dispute or story. Reporters shouldnt avoid reaching out to both sides, but rather position dubious or outright false claims within a context that flags them as such, Mancusi says. Reflexively seeking the other side without the proper context can lead to a fallacy of bothsidesism, or false balance, Heckman says.

To me, its all about framing and context, Mancusi says. That should be the organizing principle journalists should adopt when covering the 2024 campaign.

Inherent to all democracies worldwide is the fundamental assumption of a free press. As a result, the issues facing democracy take on even greater importance in the media, Mancusi says.

Lots of reporters are framing their stories in different ways, given the threats, he says. And the defense of democracy seems to be a common theme.

Andrew Donohue, managing editor of Reveal from the Center for Investigative Reporting, writing in the aftermath of the Jan. 6 attacks, summarized the crisis facing democracy todayin a post-truth world: Even if this anti-democratic movement doesnt succeed over the next month, its shown a path to undermining the legitimacy of an election. Its exposed how much of our system relies on the integrity of the officials in county canvassing boards, state legislatures, and the offices of each secretary of state.

Back to basics

In some ways, the lessons of 2016 really call for a return to basics, Mancusi says. That means continued rigorous fact-checking and asking tough questions.

Referencing a recent Fox News interview between Bret Baier and Trump, Mancusi says that journalists with access to Trump ought simply to continue to ask pointed questions targeting inconsistencies and past lies, leveraging the evidence presented in the indictments to drill down to the truth.

Mancusi says hes already noticed that news organizations are starting to change their tune ahead of 2024. For one, major TV stations have shied away from airing lengthy unedited footage of Trump rallies and speeches. Mancusi and Heckman agree that to do so this time around would be inappropriate.

Another change: the willingness to label Trump a liar.

During his first term, it took quite a while before the newspapers would even or even use the word lie, Mancusi says. For a long time, they would use language like, [Trump] mischaracterized or falsely asserted, but never that he lied.

After a certain point, [the media] crossed the river, Mancusi adds.

Heckman noted that when Trump first burst on the political scene, it had a destabilizing effect on the profession.

Journalism, especially political journalism, relies heavily on professional norms and routines, Heckman says. There are some very good reasons for that.

For one, the news can be very chaotic and, by definition, unpredictable, she adds. It makes sense that journalists have a set of professional routines and norms that they follow when things get hectic.

As reporters and their editors grappled with how to cover a candidate who, according to The Washington Posts official tally, lied to or misled the public on 30,573 occasions during the course of his presidency, those norms and routines were to some degree upended or jettisoned. Whats more, Heckman says outliers like Trump demand we reconsider them.

A trial start date in the case involving Trumps alleged mishandling of classified documents is tentatively scheduled for Aug. 14.

Tanner Stening is a Northeastern Global News reporter. Email him at t.stening@northeastern.edu. Follow him on Twitter @tstening90.

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How Should the Media Cover Donald Trump in 2024? - Northeastern University

And now, with Trump expanding his lead over his GOP primary rivals, pollsters are fretting about a bloc of the electorate that has made his support nearly impossible to measure accurately.

Its looking a lot like Trump is going to be on the ballot next November, said Democratic pollster Andrew Baumann. So that is all back with a vengeance.

Its not that Trump is some mystical force. The problems are practical. In 2020, he drew out significant numbers of people who had rarely if ever voted and who either werent included in polls or refused to participate in them. Trump trashed the polls that found him consistently trailing Biden. This created a feedback loop that made his supporters even less likely to respond, making the polls even more wrong.

Baumann was among the attendees and presenters at this weeks American Association for Public Opinion Researchs annual conference, a yearly gathering of pollsters from the academic, media and campaign worlds.

That organization has been grappling with the future of political polling for decades. Just looking at the polls over the past two federal election cycles will give you whiplash. By most measures, last years midterms represented the pinnacle of election polling. FiveThirtyEights post-election evaluation found that polls were more accurate than any year since 1998.

But that came two years after the preceding presidential race, when national polls were further off than they had been in 40 years, and the state polls were the worst in recorded history.

The specter of yet another polling failure is looming over the industrys continuing efforts to overhaul its methods.

Among public pollsters, CNN made some of the most dramatic changes to its methodology. Mostly abandoning its longstanding process of random-digit phone sampling, the network and its polling vendor SSRS randomly selected street addresses for its national surveys and mailed out solicitations to complete a poll online or by dialing a number.

For much of their state polling which requires faster turnaround times to poll statewide races like those for governor or Senate some voters were surveyed off a file of registered voters and contacted either by email or telephone, depending on the best contact information available. Others were added from SSRS existing panel of respondents who said they were registered to vote.

The results were remarkable. CNNs polls correctly identified the winner in eight of the nine major statewide races they surveyed missing only the Nevada Senate race and half of the candidate vote shares were accurate within a single percentage point.

We were within the error margin on just about every [poll] we did, said Jennifer Agiesta, the director of polling and election analytics at CNN. So I feel pretty good about how these turned out. I would say that does give me some confidence between now and 2024.

But Agiesta said its too soon to tell if the same problems that plagued pollsters in 2020 will resurface.

I dont think that [Trumps] comments on polling and the way that he presented his views on polling to his supporters were helpful in terms of response rate in 2020, added Agiesta, who also began a one-year term as president of the pollsters organization at this weeks conference. But I dont know if thats going to be the same in future elections.

The Democratic polling firm Global Strategy Group is trying a significant methodological change on the back end. According to research the firm presented at the AAPOR conference, their 2022 polls were made more accurate by using voters self-reported 2020 general-election presidential vote as a variable a practice numerous others have also adopted, though its still far from universal.

That, in addition to other adjustments like trying to include voters who arent as politically active, was an important discovery, because Global Strategy Group like pollsters across the public and private campaign worlds significantly underestimated Republicans in its 2020 polling.

We think that the stuff that weve done to correct for that between accounting for past vote history in the 2020 election and looking at how important politics is to a persons identity are going to be able to capture that and correct for these biases that really bit us in the ass in 2020, said Baumann, who is a partner at Global Strategy Group.

The phenomenon that led a segment of Trump voters to boycott the polls is similar to other trends, including those picked up in new polling this week from YouGov, which found that Republicans trust almost all media outlets less than Democrats, with the exception of conservative media.

If anybody wants to really be honest, it is going to be an enormous challenge if it indeed is going to be Trump [against] Biden in 24, said Don Levy, the director of the Siena College Research Institute, which conducted polling in 2022 for the New York Times and the local cable news outlet chain Spectrum News. Because we know that that voter is disinclined to speak to us.

But thats only part of the problems that pollsters have identified since 2020. Its not just that voters closely aligned with Trump are harder to reach less-engaged voters of all stripes are less likely to participate, too.

And, the evidence suggests, the best way to reach those voters who very well may cast ballots in high-turnout presidential elections like 2020 but are less likely to participate in midterms remains the traditional and expensive form of phone surveys. Some pollsters have replaced or eschewed that method entirely to save money.

Not all pollsters see a sharp dividing line between 2022 and 2024. Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster whose 2022 clients included Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), said that while Trump wasnt a candidate for office last year, he was still a major issue in the midterm campaign.

Trump was on the ballot, said Greenberg. Between Mar-a-Lago documents and the Jan. 6 commission, and then certainly at the statewide level, the so-called MAGA candidates: Blake Masters, [Mehmet] Oz, [Doug] Mastriano there was so much coverage of these being his candidates.

Overall, the mood at this weeks conference was mostly positive, riding high from 2022 even with the prospects of another Trump-sparked miss looming in next years presidential election.

Im still worried about 2024, said Baumann. I dont think that any pollster should be out there feeling superconfident that we have everything fixed, because we were confident that we did after 2016. And we didnt.

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Pollsters worry Trump problem is 'back with a vengeance' - POLITICO

Washington In the same Washington, D.C., courthouse where the Justice Department has been convening grand juries to investigate former President Donald Trump's actions around the 2020 presidential election and his handling of classified documents, federal prosecutors managing a separate case were successful Friday in their request to delay a Trump deposition that had been scheduled for later this month in a four-year-old civil lawsuit filed by former FBI officials.

Former FBI counterintelligence official Peter Strzok and a one-time attorney at the Bureau, Lisa Page, sued the Justice Department after they were both fired during the federal probe into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election. In the course of the investigation, text messages exchanged by the two revealed anti-Trump sentiments.

Strzok's lawsuit claims he was unjustly fired from the job for political reasons and seeks reinstatement at the FBI and back pay. Page argues the text messages were unlawfully released and violated her privacy.

In a minute order issued Friday evening, Judge Amy Berman Jackson ruled in favor of the Justice Department's request that FBI Director Christopher Wray be deposed before Strzok has a chance to question Trump.

click to expand

Both Strzok and Page have moved to depose numerous former and current government officials, and earlier this year, Jackson ruled Strzok had the right to interview Trump and FWray. But according to an emergency filing on Thursday, federal prosecutors say Trump's deposition, which was supposed to take place May 24, was scheduled before any such meeting was set for Wray. The Justice Department said this violates long-standing norms that federal officials are to be questioned in order of their seniority.

"Contrary to the request of the United States, Mr. Strzok seeks to depose former President Trump before Director Wray," prosecutors wrote Thursday, "thereby making it impossible to determine if the Director's deposition might obviate the need to depose the former President."

They asked the judge to order a new schedule for the depositions and threatened to take the issue to the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals if she did not agree.

"The Solicitor General authorized the government to petition the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit for a writ of mandamus as to this Court's determination that former President Trump may be deposed in this matter," the Justice Department revealed in the filing. Writs of Mandamus are rare orders issued by higher courts that supersede findings by lower court judges.

"For decades, the D.C. Circuit and virtually every other court of appeals have recognized that subjecting high-level government officialsto say nothing of current or former Presidents 'to oral deposition is not normally countenanced,'" prosecutors wrote in their redacted motion.

In her order Friday, Jackson wrote that "the parties have done nothing more than wrangle over the order of the two depositions."

"The government seems chagrined that the Court did not order that the deposition of the FBI Director be completed first, but it may recall that it was the Court's view that it was Director Wray, the only current high-ranking public official in the group of proposed deponents, whose ongoing essential duties fell most squarely under the protection of the doctrine in question," Jackson wrote. "However, in order to get the parties -- who apparently still cannot agree on anything -- over this impasse, it is hereby ORDERED that the deposition of Christopher Wray proceed first, rendering the instant motion moot."

Attorneys for both Strzok and Page's legal team did not immediately respond to Jackson's order when reached by CBS News.

Earlier this year, the White House said it would not assert executive privilege over Trump's testimony and thereby shield him from deposition, and federal prosecutors said the former president did not request the privilege.

Strzok and Page's text messages and involvement in the Russia investigation fueled much of Trump's ire toward the FBI during the Mueller investigation, alleging anti-Trump views inside the Justice Department at the time. An inspector general report found that while the conduct was "completely antithetical to the core values of the department," there was no evidence that any bias ultimately changed the outcome of the investigation.

In his lawsuit, Strzok alleges "The FBI fired [him] because of his protected political speech in violation of his rights under the First Amendment to the Constitution of the United States." And Page contends the release of the text messages was unlawful and led her to be the subject of "frequent attacks by the President of the United States, as well as his allies and supporters."

The Justice Department asked Judge Jackson to respond to their request to block Trump's testimony by Tuesday.

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Judge agrees to postpone Trump deposition in FBI lawsuit - CBS News

Historian and Hoover Institution senior fellow Niall Ferguson argued that former President Donald Trump is not only a strong candidate for reelection in 2024, but the most likely person to win and take back the White House.

"A second Trump act is not just possible. Its fast becoming my base case," Ferguson wrote in an op-ed for The Spectator.

Ferguson explained that even a sustained "campaign of lawfare" against the former president by his political enemies is not enough to stop him from coming back into the White House. In fact, "the prospect of him performing the perp walk attracts media coverage, and media coverage is the free publicity on which Trump has always thrived," he said.

TRUMP FIRES BACK AT CRITICS SLAMMING HIS TOWN HALL: DID THE RIGHT THING

Historian and Hoover Institution senior fellow Niall Ferguson argued that former President Donald Trump was not only a strong candidate for reelection in 2024, but the most likely person to win and take back the White House. (James Devaney/GC Images)

Trump was found liable for sexual abuse against writer E. Jean Carroll on May 9 in a verdict that fell short of the accusations of rape that Carroll made. Carroll alleged that Trump sexually abused her in a Manhattan department store nearly three decades ago, though she could not remember "if the alleged assault happened in 1995 or 1996," Ferguson pointed out.

But even that verdict helps bring attention to Trump, according to Ferguson. "Every column inch or minute of airtime his legal battles earn him is an inch or a minute less for his Republican rivals for the nomination," he wrote.

Ferguson also argued that Trump is the "clear frontrunner" among the Republican field for 2024. A Fox News survey in April showed that Trump maintained a solid, 53 percent lead in April among Republican primary voters, beating out Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis by 32 points.

DEMOCRATS TERRIFIED TRUMP COULD BEAT BIDEN IN 2024 REMATCH: 'BE VERY F---ING WORRIED'

DeSantis has still yet to officially declare for the presidency, though he is highly anticipated to do so.

DeSantis has still yet to officially declare for the presidency, though he is highly anticipated to do so.

But even DeSantis popularity among some of the Republican base far from guarantees him a chance at beating Trump. As Ferguson explained, the "Republican primary process favours candidates with early leads because most states award delegates on a winner takes all or winner takes most basis."

CNN FACING 'FURY' FROM STAFFERS OVER TRUMP TOWN HALL: 'IT FELT LIKE 2016 ALL OVER AGAIN'

It is a "lesson of history" that is clear, Ferguson said, and one that bodes well for Trump: "The Republican frontrunner usually wins the nomination, and a post-recession incumbent usually loses the presidential election."

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That's because a recession would also help boost Trumps chances for victory in 2024, Ferguson added, writing that it "does not need to be as severe as the Great Depression that destroyed Herbert Hoovers presidency. A plain vanilla recession will suffice."

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Trump as president in 2024 is not just possible, but likely: Historian - Fox News