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Category Archives: Donald Trump

Will the coronavirus topple Donald Trump? – The Boston Globe

Posted: March 11, 2020 at 3:45 pm

In the two months since Covid-19 was first diagnosed in China, the Trump administrations response has been incompetent, short-sighted, and disastrous, and it may have increased the number of lives lost and the scale of the economic disruption caused by the disease.

Trump has, from the beginning of this crisis, consistently sought to minimize the impact of the coronavirus by not preparing for it.

His administration initially failed to set up a program for mass testing and allowed infected Americans to fly home on a commercial flight, which almost certainly caused more Americans to contract the virus. When his health officials suggested telling the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions, such as cardiovascular disease, lung disease, and diabetes, to avoid air travel, Trump overruled them. He even suggested that he wanted passengers stuck on a cruise ship to remain offshore because if they stepped foot on American soil it would increase the number of Americans stricken by the coronavirus and thus make him look bad. Going back further Trump, two years ago, closed down the office on the National Security Council tasked to deal with potential pandemics leaving the nation woefully unprepared for exactly the scenario unfolding right now.

Most disturbing, however, have been his public statements that have misstated the threat from the coronavirus and played down its potential impact on public health.

Trump has claimed that the virus is contained (its not). He said that the number of cases in the United States was going to be down to close to zero (they werent). He suggested that warm weather would wipe out the virus, even though its unknown at this point. In fact in Australia, where its summer, there are 100 confirmed cases of Covid-19 and three deaths as of Tuesday. Trump also claimed that anyone who wants a coronavirus test can get one (they cant). He even said that he is such an expert on the coronavirus that every one of these doctors said, how do you know so much about this? Maybe I have a natural ability."

Trumps rationale for saying things manifestly untrue is born of an apparent belief that he can prevent economic disruption and in particular a market sell-off by convincing Americans that the coronavirus is no big deal. This decision has, to put it mildly, backfired. If anything, Trump has made the economic downturn that is probably coming exponentially worse. Yet, the president doesnt see things that way.

According to NBC News, Trump has been advised by some close to him to let public health officials, rather than the politicians, take a more forward-facing role, according to a person familiar with the conversation. But a person close to the White House said Trump thinks it helps him politically to keep doing what he has been doing.

Spoiler alert it doesnt.

Indeed, with the stock market in free fall and businesses and consumers facing the possibility of serious economic disruption, Trumps chances of reelection may have taken an insurmountable hit.

Trump has been a historically unpopular president whose ability to keep his head above political water is a direct result of an extraordinarily strong economy. Without low unemployment and strong economic growth rate, Trump would probably be far more unpopular and this is a hypothesis that will be tested in the weeks to come. But for Trump to not take a political hit for a potentially severe economic disruption would be unprecedented.

Thats not even taking into account the possibility that many Americans blame Trump for the botched response to the coronavirus. There may be enough true Trump believers out there that the presidents numbers wont completely crater, but even a loss of support from a small segment of the electorate could be enough to doom his chances of a second term.

What is truly remarkable, however, is that this is even in question. The presidents response to the coronavirus is unmatched evidence of how woefully unprepared he is to deal with a major crisis. Trump is unable to look past his own ego to consider what is best for the American people. He ignores evidence, spreads lies, and makes clearly self-interested and heartless arguments. Last weekend, in the midst of a growing crisis, he was playing golf. His actions to date have undercut the US response to the pandemic and may have done direct economic and personal harm to Americans. How could he not pay a political price for the mess hes created?

After three years of watching Trumps poll numbers remain steady even in the face of unspeakable incompetence, cruelty, and mismanagement, I no longer make any assumptions about public opinion. But at some point there needs to be a reckoning for Trump. If he is not held responsible by Americans for his coronavirus failures, if they cannot see how completely over his head he is and that means even his supporters then we have more problems than just an emerging pandemic.

Have a point of view about this? Write a letter to the editor; well publish a select few. (Were experimenting with alternatives to the comment section for creating online conversation at Globe Opinion over the next month; you can let us know what you think of our experiments here.)

Michael A. Cohens column appears regularly in the Globe. Follow him on Twitter @speechboy71.

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Fact check: Donald Trump made 115 false claims in the last two weeks of February – CNN

Posted: at 3:45 pm

Trump made 67 false claims from February 17 through February 23; that was the 11th-highest total of the 34 weeks we've fact checked at CNN. He added 48 false claims from February 24 through March 1; that week ranked 25th out of 34. As usual, many of the false claims were ones he has uttered before.

Trump made 55 of the 115 total false claims at the four rallies: 19 in Las Vegas, 17 in Phoenix, 10 in Colorado Springs and nine in North Charleston, South Carolina. He added 13 false claims in his speech to CPAC, nine in his press conference in New Delhi and six apiece at three events -- one of which was a press conference on the coronavirus.

As concerns about the possible economic impact of the virus mounted, Trump made 27 false claims about the economy. He made 16 about health care, 15 about trade, 14 about China.

Trump is now up to 1,990 false claims since July 8, when we started our counting at CNN. He is averaging about 59 false claims per week.

The most egregious false claim: "Russia, if you're listening"

Trump was at a press conference at his Doral resort in Florida in 2016 when he made his "Russia, if you're listening" request for help obtaining Hillary Clinton emails. The journalists in the room were silent as he spoke.

The most revealing false claim: The flu mortality rate

It is not. Trump, though, has preferred during the coronavirus crisis to own the spotlight himself, while frequently providing inaccurate or incomplete information, rather than cede airtime to experts who could convey accurate information.

The most absurd false claim: Ronald Reagan's crowds

Here is the full list of 115 false claims, starting with the ones we haven't included in one of these roundups before:

Viruses

Awareness of Ebola in 2014

Ebola mortality

On two occasions, Trump contrasted the fatality rate for the coronavirus with the fatality rate for the Ebola outbreak of 2014 to 2016, saying "in the other case (Ebola), it was a virtual hundred percent" and that "with Ebola -- we were talking about it before -- you disintegrated. If you got Ebola, that was it."

"It was never 100%. That is just patently untrue," Fischer said.

The flu death rate

Gupta, CNN chief medical correspondent, told Trump at a press conference, "Mr. President, you talked about the flu and then in comparison to the coronavirus. The flu has a fatality ratio of about 0.1%." Trump said, "Correct." But Trump later disputed the figure, saying, "And the flu is higher than that. The flu is much higher than that." -- February 26 coronavirus press conference

Apple and China

"When you look at the parts that are done in China, we have reopened factories, so the factories were able to work through the conditions to reopen. They're reopening. They're also in ramp, and so I think of this as sort of the third phase of getting back to normal. And we're in phase three of the ramp mode," Cook said.

Immigration

Who is paying for the border wall

Bernie Sanders and deportations

Facts First: Sanders has not said he will "never do a deportation." He is calling for a temporary deportation freeze, not a permanent ban. While he is also proposing a permanent end to deportations of undocumented immigrants who have been in the US for five or more years, this is just one portion of the undocumented population.

Crowds and rallies

The time of Trump's Las Vegas rally

Trump's 2015 rally in Phoenix

President Ronald Reagan's crowds in Las Vegas

"There's never been this. You know, Ronald Reagan was great. I thought he was a great guy, great president, didn't like his policy on trade, that's OK ... but if he came to Las Vegas, you know, they'd have a ballroom. They'd have 500, maybe a thousand people." -- February 21 campaign rally in Las Vegas, Nevada

Russia, the Russia investigation and criminal justice

"Russia, if you're listening" and the media

"Remember this thing, 'Russia, if you're listening'? Remember, it was a big thing -- in front of 25,000 people. 'Russia if you're ...' It was all said in a joke. They cut it off right at the end so that you don't then see the laughter, the joke. And they said, 'He asked. He asked for help.' Right? 'Russia, if you're listening ...' A very famous -- they cut that thing so quick at the end because they didn't want to hear the laughter in the place and me laughing. It was just 'boom.'" -- February 29 speech at Conservative Political Action Conference

Facts First: Trump's story was comprehensively inaccurate. Trump did not make his famous 2016 "Russia, if you're listening" request -- for help obtaining deleted Hillary Clinton emails -- at an event with "25,000 people," nor did he laugh after he said it; he made the comment at a July 2016 news conference, with a straight face, and there was no audible laughter in the room. News outlets did not deceptively edit the footage.

Roger Stone and the Trump campaign

The jury foreperson in the Roger Stone trial

Trump accused the foreperson of the jury in Roger Stone's trial of bias. He added, "And you know how they caught her? When he was convicted and then a statement was made, she started jumping up and down screaming, 'Yes, yes.'" -- February 21 campaign rally in Las Vegas, Nevada

Navy sailor Kristian Saucier

The FBI and "go get him"

Democrats

Bloomberg's endorsers and campaign finance law

"And there are a lot of campaign finance violations there. There's no way you can do what he's doing. You know, you go into a town, you give somebody a contribution, two days later the guy comes, 'I'd like to support Mini Mike Bloomberg.' There's something strange with that whole deal." -- February 29 speech at Conservative Political Action Conference

"So long as we are talking about campaign contributions within statutory limits made without an explicit promise to do or not do something, there is nothing illegal going on," said Richard Hasen, a professor of law and political science at the University of California, Irvine and an expert on elections law.

Chuck Schumer and Trump's deal with China

Trump claimed on three occasions that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer had falsely claimed Trump's "phase one" trade deal with China involved Trump taking off tariffs.

After Trump made a previous version of this accusation on January 15, Schumer responded the same day: "I know what's in the deal. I'm not sure the president does. If he knows what's in the deal -- he should throw it away and take China back to the negotiating table. I will cheer him on if he does."

Biden's debate claim about guns

Hunter Biden

Trump claimed Hunter Biden, the son of Biden, "didn't have a job until his father became vice president." -- February 21 campaign rally in Las Vegas, Nevada

At the time Hunter Biden was appointed to the board of Ukrainian natural gas company Burisma Holdings in 2014, he was a lawyer at the firm Boies Schiller Flexner, an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's foreign service program, chairman of the board of World Food Program USA, and chief executive officer and chairman of Rosemont Seneca Advisors, an investment advisory firm. He also served on other boards.

Tom Steyer's performance in New Hampshire

Mark Kelly

Trump said of Mark Kelly, a Democratic Senate candidate in Arizona: "He wants to raise your taxes, open your borders, give away free health care to illegal immigrants, and he wants to obliterate your Second Amendment." -- February 19 campaign rally in Phoenix, Arizona

Facts First: Trump was misrepresenting Kelly's immigration positions.

Media coverage of Trump donating his salary

California water rules

When Qasem Soleimani was killed

"So we took out Al-Baghdadi, and then, we just took out two weeks ago, the world's top terrorist Qasem Soleimani of Iran and his evil reign of terror forever." -- February 21 campaign rally in Las Vegas, Nevada

A labor dispute in 2016

"Last time I had a strike in my building during the election. The only reason -- we would've won this state. Like brilliantly -- to save three cents. I could have settled the strike before the election. I wanted to save two dollars. Total. That was a brilliant move ... But we almost won the state despite I had a big strike." -- February 21 campaign rally in Las Vegas, Nevada

Facts First: There was a dispute between Trump and labor unions in Las Vegas during the 2016 election, and workers did picket his hotel, but there was not a strike; workers did not walk off the job, and Trump's company had not recognized the union in the first place.

Waivers for military athletes

The Muslim population of India

Trump's 200 million figure for the present Muslim population is about right.

The ratings of 'The Apprentice'

Trump claimed that "The Apprentice," his reality television show, steadily climbed in ratings all the way to the very top: "And then the show goes -- started at 10, went to eight, went to seven, went to five, went to four, went to two, it went to one. I had the number one show in all of television. Number one." -- February 21 campaign rally in Las Vegas, Nevada

There are various ways to slice and dice television ratings, so Trump might be able to point to some specific night, time slot, show category or viewer group in which "The Apprentice" was number one. But it certainly wasn't the top-rated show in all of TV, as he has long suggested.

Repeats

Here are the repeat false claims we have previously included in one of these roundups:

Economy

The estate tax

Trump claimed four times that he had eliminated the estate tax.

Apple and factories

The steel industry

Energy production

Wage growth

Median usual weekly warnings went from $330 per week in the second quarter of 2014 to $349 per week in the fourth quarter of 2016.

The Dow's starting point under Trump

Facts First: The Dow didn't start the Trump era at 16,000 points -- whether you're looking at its level on Trump's first day in office or whether you go back to the day after his election, as he sometimes argues we should. The Dow opened and closed above 19,700 points on Trump's inauguration day in January 2017; the Dow opened above 18,300 the day after Trump's election in November 2016.

Women's unemployment

Trump claimed three times that the women's unemployment rate is the lowest in "71 years."

The unemployment rate

Trump claimed three times that the unemployment rate is at its lowest level in "over 51 years."

Ivanka Trump and jobs

Trump claimed twice that Ivanka Trump is responsible for "15 million jobs" or more through the Pledge to America's Workers initiative.

The Waters of the United States and puddles

Venezuela's wealth

Facts First: Venezuela was not the wealthiest country in Latin America or South America either 15 or 20 years ago.

"Venezuela was one of the richest countries in the world 60 years ago. The richest in Latin America 40 years ago. But not 20 years ago," Ricardo Hausmann, a former Venezuelan planning minister and central bank board member, said in response to a previous version of this Trump claim. Hausmann, now a Harvard University professor, was chief economist of the Inter-American Development Bank from 1994 to 2000.

Venezuela's per capita gross domestic product in 2005 ($5,420) was lower than that of Mexico ($8,189) and Chile ($7,600), according to International Monetary Fund figures from 2019. Venezuela's per capita gross domestic product in 2000 ($4,824) was lower than that of Argentina ($8,387), Mexico ($7,016), Uruguay ($6,817) and Chile ($5,072).

Trade and China

Who is paying for Trump's tariffs on China

Trump claimed three times that the revenue from his tariffs on Chinese imports "came from China."

The trade deficit with China

On two separate occasions, Trump claimed that the US used to have a trade deficit with China of $500 billion or "more than $500 billion."

Facts First: The US has never had a $500 billion trade deficit with China.

China's peak agricultural spending

Trump said three times that China had never spent more than $16 billion on US agricultural products in a year.

Facts First: China spent $25.9 billion in 2012, according to figures from the Department of Agriculture.

The size of Trump's trade agreement with China

Trump claimed that his trade agreement with China was the "biggest trade deal ever made."

The US record at the World Trade Organization

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Fact check: Donald Trump made 115 false claims in the last two weeks of February - CNN

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From Homelessness to Donald Trump, This Art Group Takes on All – The New York Times

Posted: at 3:45 pm

This article is part of our latest Museums special section, which focuses on the intersection of art and politics.

SAN FRANCISCO A towering persona stands in the police criminal evidence warehouse here: a 6-foot-5, clay-and-silicone sculpture depicting a naked Donald Trump, with grotesquely exaggerated features, including a protruding belly.

The police seized the statue during the presidential campaign in August 2016 when Indecline, an anonymous activist art collective, caused a sensation by placing figures in prominent public spots in San Francisco, New York, Seattle, Cleveland and Los Angeles.

The collective said it planned to grab headlines again this year with its most ambitious schedule yet of illegal street displays.

Indeclines agenda goes beyond presidential politics. Other subjects include gun violence, with a display scheduled for Las Vegas, scene of a mass shooting in which 58 people were killed and more than 800 injured at a concert in 2017.

It would be an audacious, possibly offensive act in a city still recovering from the tragedy, but it is emblematic of Indecline. The group, which had troubling beginnings, has evolved after nearly two decades to become celebrated for political art, even though the artists themselves are unknown.

Indeclines body of work is predominantly illegal activities, virtually all of them felonies, said the groups spokesman, who declined to give his name. Thats the predominant reason we stay anonymous.

In recent years the artists removed commercial billboards to turn them into tents for homeless people in Oakland, Calif., and transformed a suite in Manhattans Trump International Hotel and Tower into a rat-infested presidential jail. After the deadly 2017 white supremacist rally in Charlottesville, Va., Indecline hung clownish Ku Klux Klan effigies from a tree in a Richmond park.

Ron English, the contemporary artist nicknamed the godfather of street art, called Indecline the Beatles of political art.

They are this new thing thats taking something that has been done for millennia and making it fresh and new and capturing a new market, bringing it to a new generation, Mr. English said.

The art itself is fleeting, typically removed by the authorities shortly after installation. The K.K.K. exhibit in Richmond, for example, was cordoned off as a crime scene almost immediately.

The Trump statues in 2016 were seized within hours, although the San Francisco version remained in the citys Castro neighborhood for an entire day. The local police declined requests to view the statue in its current lockup, where it remains even though the district attorney and city attorney ultimately decided not to press charges.

Its in a secure location, said Officer Robert Rueca, a San Francisco Police Department spokesman.

With so little public display time, Indeclines work often gets wider exposure via the news media. The group also photographs and videotapes its work to distribute on social media.

These things arent meant to really stay up very long, said the artists spokesman. Much of this is built for the day of instantaneous posting and social media, so it lives indefinitely on the internet.

Heather E. Dunn, a professor at the Institute for Doctoral Studies in the Visual Arts in Portland, Maine, said Indecline represents a hybrid of artist and activist known as artivists.

Its a way to engage the masses that maybe wouldnt go to a museum, Ms. Dunn, an expert in street art, said. Its a way to bring art to them. Its a way to bring a political message to them. In a lot of ways, I find that street art is more powerful than just about any other art thats being made at the moment.

Ms. Dunn said that even though illegal art created on other peoples property had long existed, street art with a more political focus gained momentum in the United States in the 1980s, when new laws in places like New York changed graffiti from a misdemeanor to a more serious crime. The art became a de facto antigovernment act.

Now, with heightened security and surveillance, the decision by some artists to be anonymous is an additional act of resistance. Its really hard to remain anonymous in the culture that we have right now, Ms. Dunn said. She noted other street artists doing similar political work, like Denis Ouch in New York and Plastic Jesus in Los Angeles.

Indeclines anonymous status is due, in part, to a dark past. The group was born amid outrage and legal strife with the 2002 video Bumfights: A Cause for Concern.

As young men, the groups four original members encountered homeless people in Southern California and Las Vegas, and we created this shockumentary, Indeclines spokesman said.

We start filming the going-ons of the homeless community, which for us was this really eye-opening experience, he said. Like, people are pulling their teeth out with pliers because their teeth hurt, and theyre drinking, theyre fighting, theyre doing whatever. Its insanity. And so Bumfights was supposed to be kind of a wake-up call.

Instead, the video was widely condemned as exploitative and demonizing. Scenes depicted homeless men performing seemingly dangerous stunts and acts of cruelty and violence for the camera. But the video became a sensation when promoted by radios Howard Stern, and 300,000 copies were sold at about $20 each.

The filmmakers, Daniel Tanner, Zachary Bubeck, Ryen McPherson and Michael Slyman, faced lawsuits and criminal charges. Plea bargains and settlements followed. The collective today consists of new members scattered across the country, but two of the founders remain active in the group, according to the spokesman.

Indecline has not monetized its notoriety on the scale of other street artists like Shepard Fairey or the anonymous Banksy, whose works can sell for millions. Instead, the spokesman said that collective members have jobs to support themselves, and that the group takes donations and sells merchandise to help fund projects.

Still, there are signs that Indecline could be headed toward a more mainstream future.

Two German galleries recently displayed a version of the Trump prison cell. The collective is producing a documentary about resistance art, featuring prominent artists, like Mr. Fairey. Theres also a satirical political play planned for September and a book in the works.

If all of that does not sound abrasive enough for Indecline, well, This year were also going to try to team up with PornHub, and were going to direct our first porno, the spokesman said. A political porno film.

Will it feature Stormy Daniels, a pornographic film actress linked to Mr. Trump? Shes definitely someone well be contacting, the spokesman said.

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From Homelessness to Donald Trump, This Art Group Takes on All - The New York Times

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Uncertainty in the Age of Pandemic – National Review

Posted: at 3:45 pm

President Donald Trump leads a press briefing on the administration response to the coronavirus at the White House in Washington, D.C, March 9, 2020. (Jonathan Ernst/Reuters)Sometimes, a disruptor-in-chief is the last thing you want.

Capital just wants to be loved to be in a steady, supportive relationship with a reliable partner.

Justin Trudeau is not that partner. Not as far as Teck Resources is concerned, anyway. In late February, the company walked away from a multibillion-dollar deal to develop an energy project in the fruitful Canadian oil sands. The problem, as the Wall Street Journal reports, was political uncertainty about oil-and-gas development in the resource-rich country.

Canadas oil and gas is mostly in its west, but the political power is in the east, and the two do not see eye-to-eye. The project has landed squarely at the nexus of a much broader national discussion on energy development, Indigenous reconciliation and, of course, climate change, the CEO said in an announcement to investors. We are stepping back to allow Canada to have this important discussion without a looming regulatory deadline for just one project. Thats the nice Canadian way of saying, Maybe well be back when you clowns get your act together. The company worried with good reason that any favorable decision about its project might prove short-lived, with Justin Trudeaus center-left government too easily bullied into submission.

If you do not have some confidence in the regulatory environment, the tax environment, or the legal environment, it is difficult to make intelligent long-term investments.

Uncertainty is expensive.

The big uncertainty news on Wall Street is that stocks have hemorrhaged (as of the closing bell Monday) almost 20 percent of their value since February. The problem is the coronavirus when Shanghai gets a cold, Wall Street sneezes. And when Wall Street sneezes, Washington gets nervous. My National Review colleague Michael Brendan Dougherty writes:

Some of Trumps self-appointed surrogates in the media, such as Rush Limbaugh, declared fears of coronavirus were being weaponized by the media to scare Wall Street and hurt Trumps re-election. The word hoax keeps popping up across social media among his defenders. Trump seemed to take a Wall Street First approach to the potential pandemic, sending White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow out onto television and instructing people tobuy the dip.

As I write this, Sean Hannity is on the radio, sounding like a man on a pogo stick and engaging in some serious hand-waving over President Donald Trumps performance, complaining that the Democrats are acting as though the president cooked up the virus in a lab with the Kremlin bio-terror team. Thats the word from the Oval Office: Not my fault! The buck doesnt stop here anymore.

Captain Chaos has been on Twitter, sneering and snorting and hectoring, and firing his chief of staff for the third time, and, inexplicably, sharing a meme depicting himself as Nero fiddling while Rome burns. Who knows what this means, but it sounds good to me! he wrote.

Lots of people know, Mr. President just not you.

When Trump ran for president in 2016, there was a great deal of bold talk about building a wall, getting control of the borders, and deporting remember this? every single illegal immigrant residing in these United States. (We would, the candidate promised, reimport the terrific ones.) None of that happened, of course, and the president did not even bother to organize the introduction of a bill, or even to suggest the rough outline of one, implementing his immigration priorities during the time when his party controlled both houses of Congress and might have enacted practically anything it wanted to. (What Republicans wanted to enact and did enact is what they always want to enact: an irresponsible tax cut.) Trump as a candidate presented this as a matter of economics (illegals stealing our jobs!) and crime (rapists!) and related concerns. He did not talk much about achieving meaningful border security as a matter of public health. As it turns out, that may be the most important aspect of the issue.

Sometimes, a disruptor-in-chief is the thing you want. Sometimes, a disruptor-in-chief is the last thing you want.

What will the U.S. government under the leadership of Donald Trump do in response to the coronavirus as the outbreak grows? Nobody knows. Donald Trump will be the last to know. Why would anybody bother telling him? Will the response be effective and competently administered? JFK and LAX are chaos on an ordinary Monday morning, our borders remain porous in spite of all the big talk, and our enforcement of compliance with visas is, in effect, nonexistent. We have cities full of people, many of them children, who havent been inoculated against ordinary diseases because they have fruity ideas about vaccines ideas that have been spread by, among others, Donald Trump. And, of course, we were already running a $1 trillion deficit without a public-health emergency on our hands because we refuse to prioritize and to say No when doing so is politically painful.

That is the kind of leadership we have. This is not uniquely the fault of Donald J. Trump of The Apprentice and Playboy Video Centerfold, who until this recent turnaround was boasting about the performance of the stock markets as a referendum on his leadership. But he is not exactly rising to the present challenge in a persuasive way, either.

And so what we have is uncertainty. That uncertainty has cost businesses and investors about $3.5 trillion in the past couple of weeks.

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Why Coronavirus May Be the Biggest Threat Yet to Donald Trump’s Re-Election – TIME

Posted: at 3:45 pm

The biggest threat to Donald Trumps re-election in 2020 may be COVID-19.

The spread of the novel coronavirus is shaping up as a test of Trumps core pitch to voters: that they are better off than they were when he took office. Sharp drops in the stock market, school and office closures, crashing oil prices and widespread disruptions to other major industries have some Trump supporters concerned that the virus is triggering a new financial crisis that could hurt Trumps bid for a second term more than any political test hes faced so far.

The economic ramifications of the coronavirus are increasingly likely to weigh heavily on Trumps re-election chances and quite possibly could cost him re-election, says Republican donor Dan Eberhart.

One recent historical precedent in particular troubles Trumps close allies. After the housing bubble precipitated an economic meltdown in 2008, voters turned from incumbent Republicans to opposition Democrats in that falls election, voting Barack Obama into the White House and sending Democratic majorities to both the House and the Senate. The parallels to 2008 are especially frightening from my vantage point right now, Eberhart says.

Some Republicans privately concede that the Administrations response has not inspired confidence. Trump has repeatedly downplayed the threat from the virus in press briefings, saying on Feb. 26, for example, that the risk to Americans remains very low and may not get bigger. He contradicted his own experts in saying that the the virus can be contained and its spread in the U.S. is not inevitable. U.S. public health officials were late to pivot from a strategy of containing to virus to one of mitigating its impact, and Trump Administration officials fell behind understanding how pervasive the virus is inside the U.S. because the initial set of tests designed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) didnt work well enough.

If he cant and his government doesnt get a handle on this thing and start to show some competence, yeah, there could absolutely be electoral fallout in November, says Reed Galen, an independent political strategist who was deputy campaign manager for John McCains unsuccessful 2008 presidential campaign, which was hampered by McCains mishandling of the economic swoon that fall.

Trumps re-election campaign is emphasizing the actions the President has taken to contain the virus so far, from tapping Vice President Mike Pence to lead the government response to the virus to restricting travel to the U.S. from China, South Korea, Italy and Iran. Public health officials, including Anne Schuchat, the principal deputy director at the CDC, believe the travel restrictions bought valuable time for the U.S. to prepare for the rise in COVID-19 cases. But some of that time was squandered by a flawed roll out of test kits, which has limited the U.S. ability to detect the domestic spread of the virus. State and local labs are still facing shortages of tests.

Keep up to date with our daily coronavirus newsletter by clicking here.

If there was any doubt that the virus will be a key campaign issue, polling shows that COVID-19 has already become one of the top news events of the last 10 years in Americans minds, according to a Public Opinion Strategies poll published Monday. So far, public opinion is mixed on whether the country is prepared for a broader outbreak, with 49% of Americans believing the country is ready and 46% saying they dont believe the nation is prepared.

Trump has been keenly focused on the number of COVID-19 cases in the U.S. On Friday, while touring the CDC headquarters in Atlanta, Trump said he would rather the passengers aboard the Grand Princess cruise ship remained aboard offshore, even as public health officials planned for the ship to dock and passengers to disembark. I like the numbers being where they are. I dont need to have the numbers double because of one ship, Trump said.

Trump has pushed White House aides to develop a package of aggressive measures to stimulate the economy, including a payroll tax cut, relief for hourly wage workers, loans for small businesses, and bailouts for the cruise-ship industry and airlines, he told reporters in the White House briefing room Monday night. Those steps, which werent ready to release Monday, will be presented to lawmakers on Tuesday, Trump said, and will be very dramatic.

We are going to take care of and have been taking care of the American public and the American economy, Trump said, adding: Its not our countrys fault. This is something we were thrown into and were going to handle it.

Trump has been resistant to scaling back his activities as a precaution even as several Republican officials have announced plans to self-quarantine including Trumps newly named chief of staff, former North Carolina Rep. Mark Meadows following interactions at the recent Conservative Political Action Conference with an infected individual. Trump himself had contact with two Republican congressman, Rep. Doug Collins of Georgia and Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida, before both lawmakers announced on Monday they were isolating themselves for 14 days. Collins shook hands with Trump at the CDC on Friday and Gaetz rode on Air Force One with Trump on Monday. White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham said Monday evening that Trump hasnt been tested for COVID-19 because he has neither had prolonged close contact with any known confirmed COVID-19 patients, nor does he have any symptoms.

Nor has Trump slowed down his campaign activities at a moment when many big public events are being canceled to stem the spread of the virus. On Monday, Trump attended a $4 million fundraiser with 300 people at a private home in Longwood, Fla. Hes held six rallies in the past month. When he toured the CDC on Friday, his red campaign hat was perched on his head, Trump said hed continue to hold rallies and it doesnt bother him to have thousands of supporters standing close together in an arena. The campaign is proceeding as normal, said Tim Murtaugh, director of communications for Trumps re-election campaign. We announce events when they are ready to be announced. The President held a rally last week, then a town hall, and fundraisers this week and over the weekend.

Trumps campaign strategy involves boosting turnout among Republicans, but if the public health crisis extends to Election Day on Nov. 3, it could potentially suppress the number of voters willing to go to the polls. In the meantime, the campaign has sought to blame Democrats for criticizing the Trump Administrations handling of the virus response. What is not helpful is the politicization of the coronavirus, which is exactly what Democrats are doing on Capitol Hill and on the campaign trail. Once again, we see politicians trying to scare people to score political points. Its reckless and irresponsible, said Kayleigh McEnany, the Trump campaigns national press secretary, in an email.

Whats clear is that a President who has been in permanent campaign mode since the first day of his term is keenly aware of the stakes. What we know is from natural disasters is the way a political leader handles a disaster can make or break a campaign, says Whit Ayers, a Republican pollster at North Star Opinion Research. Focus on the performance and the poll numbers will take care of themselves. Trumps performance is still unfolding, but one thing he knows for certain is that voters are watching.

With reporting by Alana Abramson/Washington

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Prince Harry Apparently Duped Into Saying Trump Has Blood On His Hands By Russian Pranksters Posing As Greta Thunberg – Deadline

Posted: at 3:45 pm

Prince Harry appears to have been duped into discussing Donald Trump, Prince Andrew and his resignation from the royal family by two Russian YouTubers posing as climate change activist Greta Thunberg.

Vladimir Kuznetsov and Alexey Stolyarov, who run the YouTube channel Vovan222prank, posted a now-deleted video purporting to contain recordings of Prince Harry taken from two separate phone calls on New Years Eve and January 22.

The pair posed as Thunberg and her father, Svante, and apparently lured the outgoing British royal into a sprawling conversation about politics and his personal life. Kuznetsov and Stolyarov have previously targeted Joe Biden.

Prince Harrys representatives and Buckingham Palace have so far declined comment, but have not disputed the veracity of the recordings, according to multiple reports.

Related StoryMSNBC Guest Sparks Anger After Comparing Meghan Markle To 'Trailer Trash'

In the recordings, which were obtained by British tabloids The Sun and The Daily Mail, Prince Harry reportedly said Trump has blood on his hands because he is promoting the coal industry. He added: Trump will want to meet you to make him look better but he wont want to have a discussion about climate change with you because you will outsmart him.

On his and Meghan Markles decision to step down from their royal duties, Prince Harry said: I can assure you, marrying a Prince or Princess is not all its made out to be. But sometimes the right decision isnt always the easy one. And this decision certainly wasnt the easy one but it was the right decision for our family, the right decision to be able to protect my son.

He also distanced himself from Prince Andrew, who has faced searching questions about his relationship with Jeffrey Epstein. I have very little to say on that. But whatever he has done or hasnt done, is completely separate from me and my wife, Prince Harry said.

On British prime minister Boris Johnson, he reportedly added: I think he is a good man, so you are one of few people who can reach into his soul and get him to feel and believe in you. But you have to understand that because he has been around for so long like all of these other people, they are already set in their ways. They believe what they want to believe, they believe what they have been told. So that is what youre up against, up against changing habits, as you know.

The prank is potentially embarrassing for Prince Harry and the royal family, who remain scrupulously politically neutral.

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Bank CEOs convene in Washington for meeting with President Trump on coronavirus response – CNBC

Posted: at 3:45 pm

U.S. President Donald Trump (L) is introduced by White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow during an Opportunity Zone conference with state, local, tribal and community leaders, in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building.

Mark Wilson | Getty Images

The leaders of the biggest U.S. banks are scheduled to meet with President Donald Trumpon Wednesday afternoon as the U.S. government grapples with the spread of the coronavirus.

CEOs expected to attend the 3 p.m. ET event include Brian Moynihan of Bank of America, Michael Corbat of Citigroup, Charles Scharf of Wells Fargo, David Solomon of Goldman Sachs and Stephen Schwarzman of alternative investments giant Blackstone.

Gordon Smith, co-president of JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank, will attend in place of CEO Jamie Dimon, who is recovering from heart surgery. Ken Griffin, the CEO of hedge fund Citadel, is also expected to attend. Other attendees expected include the CEOs of large regional lenders U.S. Bancorp and Truist, and the heads of the American Bankers Association and the Consumer Bankers Association.

Trump is expected to ask the CEOs what steps the banks are taking to help small- and medium-size companies weather the impacts of the coronavirus, particularly as loans come due, said people with knowledge of the matter.

Another topic will be how banks can contribute to the proper functioning of markets during the tumult caused by the disease, and if the administration can offer short-term regulatory changes to assist in this area. Markets have been whipsawed as investors come to grips with the widening financial and societal impact of COVID-19.

One CEO not expected to attend is Morgan Stanley's James Gorman, who recently engineered a $13 billion takeover of E-Trade. Unlike the other banks, Morgan Stanley doesn't have a significant presence lending to small businesses.

This is not the first time that Trump has leaned on financial leaders during rocky times: He called the heads of the biggest U.S. lenders last year as markets tumbled.

With reporting from CNBC's Eamon Javers and Dawn Giel.

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China Hawks Are Calling the Coronavirus a Wake-Up Call – The Atlantic

Posted: at 3:45 pm

Trump has yet to adopt all these policies. But the fallout from the global outbreak, which coincides with his reelection bid, could motivate him to do so. Coronavirus is the intersection of 3 issues @realDonaldTrump has been right about all along: border control, American manufacturing, China hawk, Donald Trump Jr. tweeted recently, in a preview of a possible campaign message.

Read: The strongest evidence yet that America is botching coronavirus testing

And, if implemented, such policies could upend global supply chains and renew a push to unwind economic integration between the worlds two largest economies, which could significantly reverse globalization. (This had slowed somewhat after the U.S. and China struck an interim trade agreement in January.) Globalism, with its unwieldy and complex systems tied to yet more complex systems, could be the biggest casualty in the war on the coronavirus, Curtis Ellis, the policy director of America First Policies, the nonprofit arm of a pro-Trump super PAC, wrote last month.

These arguments have been echoed by China hard-liners in Congress. In response to the coronavirus outbreak, Rubio and another Republican senator, Josh Hawley, have proposed separate bills to lessen Americas reliance on China for medical supplies. Whether the administration will support these initiatives isnt clear. During a congressional hearing last month, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said he shared Rubios concern about Americas reliance on China for active pharmaceutical ingredients. Yet he cautioned that disentangling globalized supply chains in favor of domestic manufacturing cant be accomplished overnight and could raise health-care costs for Americans.

Rubio has previously warned of the risks that China poses to the U.S. health-care industry and challenged Beijing on numerous issues, including its efforts to suppress pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong. He told me that the depletion of Americas manufacturing sector has left us with a huge national-security vulnerability, necessitating a 21st-century, pro-American industrial policy.

The bids to break free from Americas bonds with Beijing, moreover, go well beyond the medical sector. Mac Thornberry, the ranking Republican member of the House Armed Services Committee, has stated that while we want to get coronavirus contained [and] eliminated as fast as we can maybe we can also take this opportunity to reduce Americas reliance on China for defense-related products and components.

When I asked Rubio why he was taking a more confrontational approach to China during a global emergency that seemed to call for international cooperation, he maintained that the Chinese Communist Party has proven it is not a reliable or responsible global power.

China impeded efforts of international researchers and failed to share information on the source of the virus or best practices, he said. Their Communist Party is more interested in saving face and stamping out internal dissent [than] in helping [to] prevent the spread of [this] dangerous disease.

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Donald Trump Junior Urges US Troop Withdrawal from Kosovo – Balkan Insight

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Donald Trump Jr. Photo: EPA/FRANCIS R. MALASIG

Donald Trump Jr wrote on Twitter on Tuesday that he agrees with a suggestion by Republican senator David Perdue that the US should reconsider its presence in Kosovo if Pristina does not agree to fully revoke its 100 per cent tariffs on imports from Serbia.

There are 650 US troops in Kosovo. Time to get them home, said Trump Jr, who holds no official position in the US administration but is executive vice-president of his fathers Trump Organisation.

Senator Perdues comments stepped up the pressure on the Pristina authorities over the tariffs.

For over two decades, US forces have helped keep the peace between Kosovo & Serbia. Now, with historic progress in sight, Kosovo must do its part & abolish all duties imposed on Serbia. If Kosovo is not fully committed to peace, then the US should reconsider its presence there, Perdue wrote on Twitter.

Significantly for Kosovo politicians, Perdues message was retweeted by Trumps envoy for Kosovo-Serbia peace negotiations, Richard Grenell.

Grenell warned last week after Kosovos Prime Minister Albin Kurti said the tariffs on imports of Serbian products would only be gradually removed that the US would not waste our assistance if Kosovos leadership kept harming its people this way.

Kurtis proposal has not yet been agreed with his Vetevendosje (Self-Determination) partys junior governing partners, the Democratic League of Kosovo. The proposal has been dismissed by Serbia as a fraudulent and dishonest.

Suggestions that the US military could possibly pull out of Kosovo have sparked alarm among some politicians in the country.

President Hashim Thaci on Tuesday urged Kurtis government to call an emergency session to lift the tariffs. Thaci wrote on Facebook that the future of our country is in question.

The leader of the Democratic League of Kosovo, Isa Mustafa, sent his envoy Skender Hyseni to talk to Grenell about the issue.

After the talks, Hyseni said that he was told that Kosovo must find a solution or risk further tension with the US.

The White House and ambassador Grenell strongly urge the immediate and unconditional lifting of tariffs on goods from Serbia to pave the way for a Kosovo-Serbia dialogue that should and will be concluded with mutual recognition, Hyseni wrote on Facebook.

He said that he was told by Grenell that America cannot continue to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on military and other aid and projects in a place where the government works against the interests of its citizens.

US troops have been in Kosovo as part of NATOs KFOR peacekeeping mission since the war ended 1999.

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The Ticket: Beating Donald Trump, With David Plouffe – The Atlantic

Posted: at 3:45 pm

David Plouffe got it very wrong in 2016.

After confidently predicting Donald Trumps defeat, the campaign manager credited with Barack Obamas historic 2008 victory watched a reality-television star become commander in chief. Four years later, Plouffe says he rewatched that Election Night. Over and over.

And after absorbing the lessons of that day, hes written a book on what Democrats need to do to defeat Trumpa reelection battle that, as he told Edward-Isaac Dovere on the latest episode of The Ticket: Politics From The Atlantic, probably has the biggest stakes the countrys ever known. They discuss the presidents reelection campaign, the state of the Democratic Party, and a nomination fight thats suddenly become a two-man race.

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