Before getting to that question, let's first ask ourselves, what exactly is a meme stock?
The term "meme" was first coined by the evolutionary biologist Richard Dawkins in his book The Selfish Gene, where Dawkins explored whether ideas themselves could be subject to the same evolutionary pressures as genes. The study of how ideas replicate and spread is now known as "memetics".
When we connect this idea of a meme to investing, we get the concept of a meme stock. A meme stock is a stock that spreads by means of imitation from person to person within a culture and often carries symbolic meaning representing a particular phenomenon or theme.
Bear with me while I take this just a step further. Stocks are also called equities, right?
Equity is typically defined as the amount of money that shareholders will get paid if all of the company's assets were liquidated and all of the debts paid off. It's more or less synonymous with cold hard cash.
Admittedly, "meme equity" doesn't quite have the same ring as meme stock, but I do think that it's a more accurate description of what investors who buy shares of GameStop are getting.
I think that it also provides a better light with which to ask ourselves whether or not a stock split in GameStop is likely to benefit shareholders.
Looking at GameStop's balance sheet, it's clear that there has been a substantial increase in the equity enjoyed by shareholders over the past year.
As of 31 January 2021, shareholder equity was $436.7 million. A year later, on 31 January 2022, that increased to $1.6 billion. That's a big increase. The "per share" equity went from $6.70 to $21.11. Apparently, being a meme stock has been good for shareholder equity.
How exactly did this increase in shareholder equity come about? Was it because GameStop made a huge profit in 2021? No. GameStop's expenses exceeded its revenues in 2021 for a loss of $381.6 million.
So how did GameStop more than triple shareholder equity in 2021? It printed more stock and sold it in the public markets to raise cash to pay off debt. Less debt equals more shareholder equity. No doubt, that's a pretty cool gig when you can get it.
In the 2022 SEC filing by GameStop announcing the upcoming shareholder vote on a stock split, we learned that GameStop intends to ask shareholders to vote for an increase in the number of authorised shares of Class A common stock from 300 million to 1 billion. That's a lot more shares!
What's curious is that there are currently only 75.9 million shares of GameStop that are publicly traded, which means that GameStop still has 224.1 million shares to work with if it wants to do a stock dividend.
It's already got nearly 3 times its current publicly traded shares available to do a split. With the available shares, GameStop could do a nearly 4 for 1 stock split.
Is it going to try to do a 10 for 1 stock split to try to bring its stock down to the $10 per share range?
It's hard to say, which is always the case with meme equity. Meme equity has no connections to fundamentals. It has no connection to the one metric that everyone can measure cash flow.
Remember, the main thing about a meme-anything is that it spreads by means of imitation from person to person within a culture and carries symbolic meaning.
From that perspective, it's perfectly clear why GameStop would want to increase its available shares to 1 billion: Its shares are now its currency.
GameStop believes that it can now play the same game as the Federal Reserve. It can literally print its own currency and then go sell it in the public markets to raise cash.
There's no denying that it worked in 2021 when GameStop's shares soared from $15 to nearly $500. So far, it hasn't worked well in 2022, when GameStop's shares have fallen as low as $77.
If you think that GameStop can rediscover the 2021 meme-stock-mojo to send its share price soaring again soon, and you want a meme-driven future, then this proposed increase in shares is a good thing for shareholders. It means that GameStop can print more money.
GameStop is betting that its brand will carry it forward to a prominent place in the world of blockchain gaming and cryptocurrencies. It's in the letter from the CEO on the first page of its annual report.
Meanwhile, the list of risks to this transformative vision is long and detailed. They cover nearly 10 pages of the annual report (pp. 6 to 15). The section on "Risks Related to Our Common Stock" is particularly relevant. Anyone considering buying GameStop should read it carefully.
What happened in 2021 is not likely to repeat again anytime soon. It was a confluence of so many single events as to be essentially unrepeatable. The best days of meme stocks are behind us. There will surely be intermittent and spectacular rallies that will be egged on by the media, but they will be more of a death rattle than a return to health.
Meme equity isn't going to be putting food on the table again anytime soon.
Richard Smith is chairman and executive director of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, a nonprofit that studies recurring patterns in economics, social sciences and nature.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article (which may be subject to change without notice) are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Finder and its employees. The information contained in this article is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice or recommendation of any sort. Neither the author nor Finder has taken into account your personal circumstances. You should seek professional advice before making any further decisions based on this information.
Images: Getty Images, Finder, Supplied
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GameStop stock split: What you need to know - finder.com.au
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