Why Casino Stocks Have Jumped This Week – The Motley Fool

What happened

Shares of casino stocks jumped across the industry this week, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Stocks with exposure to Macao like MGM Resorts (NYSE:MGM), Las Vegas Sands (NYSE:LVS), and Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN) jumped as Macao eased some travel restrictions to the region. U.S. casino operators Penn National (NASDAQ:PENN), Caesars Entertainment (NASDAQ:CZR), and Boyd Gaming (NYSE:BYD) jumped on a combination of bullishness for online gambling and the relief of investors who think low interest rates will last a little longer. Here's a look at how these stocks performed from the close of the market last Friday through the close of the market on Thursday, Aug. 26.

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

With so many moving parts for casino stocks, let's break down what happened this week.

Image source: Getty Images.

The biggest news was out of Macao, where the government eased a rule that visitors from Guangdong province in China need a negative COVID-19 test from within 48 hours prior to arrival. The new regulation specifies a negative test from within seven days. This may seem like a small change, but for travelers going to Macao on short notice, it's great news.

Macao is critical to operators like MGM, Wynn, and Las Vegas Sands because it's been the world's largest gambling market for about a decade. But gambling revenue in the region was just $1.05 billion in July, down from $2.84 billion in July 2019. There's a long way to go for the region to fully recover, so any good news is usually cheered by the market.

In the U.S., online gambling was in focus. After a rough summer, investors are betting that the upcoming college football and NFL seasons will lead to an increase in online gambling. Brick-and-mortar casinos have recovered well, but there's still an opportunity for more casual gambling on football from home. If football does indeed become a cash generator from the online business, MGM, Penn National, and Caesars likely have the most to gain.

There were also market tailwinds behind casino stocks this week. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated the central bank won't take its foot off the gas too quickly when it comes to quantitative easing or interest rates. The idea for casino investors is that this will lead to continued low interest rates on debt, which could help drive better profitability from both brick-and-mortar and online casinos.

The hope for investors is that a recovery in Macao and growth in online gambling will turn casino stocks into growth stocks once again. This week, the tailwinds were behind these stocks as it seemed every bit of news was good for the industry.

What we haven't seen is these companies really turning the corner financially. Business is still down, particularly in Macao, and while there are signs of optimism, we need to see results eventually. I'm holding on to my casino shares this week, but don't be surprised to see more volatility if news from Macao or online gambling companies isn't as favorable as hoped in coming weeks.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the official recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium advisory service. Were motley! Questioning an investing thesis -- even one of our own -- helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer.

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Why Casino Stocks Have Jumped This Week - The Motley Fool