1/31/24 – 2024 Matchups: Biden Opens Up Lead Over Trump In Head-To-Head, Quinnipiac University National Poll … – Quinnipiac University Poll

As signs point to the 2024 presidential election being a repeat of the 2020 race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Biden holds a lead over Trump 50 - 44 percent among registered voters in a hypothetical general election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll of registered voters released today.

In Quinnipiac University's December 20, 2023 poll, the same hypothetical 2024 general election matchup was 'too close to call' as President Biden received 47 percent support and former President Trump received 46 percent support.

In today's poll, Democrats (96 - 2 percent) and independents (52 - 40 percent) support Biden, while Republicans (91 - 7 percent) support Trump.

The gender gap is widening.

Women 58 - 36 percent support Biden, up from December when it was 53 - 41 percent.

Men 53 - 42 percent support Trump, largely unchanged from December when it was 51 - 41 percent.

In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup that includes independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 39 percent support, Trump receives 37 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 14 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support.

Among independents in the five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, Biden receives 35 percent support, Trump receives 27 percent support, Kennedy receives 24 percent support, West receives 5 percent support, and Stein receives 5 percent support.

In a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup between President Biden and Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley, a former United Nations Ambassador and South Carolina Governor, 47 percent of voters support Haley and 42 percent support Biden.

In today's poll, Democrats (87 - 10 percent) support Biden, while Republicans (79 - 4 percent) and independents (53 - 37 percent) support Haley.

In a five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup that includes independent and Green Party candidates, Biden receives 36 percent support, Haley receives 29 percent support, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. receives 21 percent support, independent candidate Cornel West receives 3 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support.

Among Republicans in the five-person hypothetical 2024 general election matchup, Biden receives 3 percent support, Haley receives 57 percent support, Kennedy receives 24 percent support, and West receives 1 percent support.

With the 2024 Republican presidential primary now whittled down to two candidates, 77 percent of Republican and Republican leaning voters support Trump and 21 percent support Haley. In December's poll with more candidates in the race, Trump received 67 percent support and Haley received 11 percent support.

In the 2024 Democratic presidential primary, Biden receives 78 percent support among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters, author Marianne Williamson receives 11 percent support, and U.S. Representative from Minnesota Dean Phillips receives 6 percent support.

Voters give President Biden a negative 41 - 55 percent job approval rating. While still deep in the red, it is his highest job approval rating since June 2023.

Voters were asked about Biden's handling of...

More than 8 in 10 voters (84 percent) are either very concerned (41 percent) or somewhat concerned (43 percent) that the United States will be drawn into a military conflict in the Middle East, while 15 percent are either not so concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (4 percent).

Given a list of 10 issues and asked which is the most urgent one facing the country today, 24 percent of voters say preserving democracy in the United States, 20 percent say the economy, and 20 percent say immigration.

There are wide gaps by party identification.

Among Republicans, the top issues are immigration (38 percent), the economy (29 percent), and preserving democracy in the United States (12 percent).

Among Democrats, the top issue is preserving democracy in the United States (39 percent) followed by the economy (12 percent), with no other issue reaching double digits.

Among independents, the top issues are preserving democracy in the United States (23 percent), immigration (19 percent), and the economy (18 percent).

A majority of voters (61 percent) consider the situation at the border between the U.S. and Mexico a crisis, while 33 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis, and 4 percent think it is not a problem at all.

There are wide gaps by party identification.

Among Republicans, 82 percent think it is a crisis and 17 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis.

Among Democrats, 43 percent think it is a crisis, 51 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis, and 6 percent think it is not a problem at all.

Among independents, 60 percent think it is a crisis, 35 percent think it is a problem but not a crisis, and 3 percent think it is not a problem at all.

Nearly 6 in 10 voters (59 percent) think U.S. policy on immigration is not strict enough, 20 percent think it is about right, and 15 percent think it is too strict.

Voters are split when it comes to building a wall along the border with Mexico, with 49 percent opposing building a wall and 47 percent supporting it. This compares to a Quinnipiac University national poll in October 2023 when 52 percent supported building a wall along the border with Mexico (an all-time high) and 44 percent opposed it.

Nearly 6 in 10 voters (58 percent) think immigrants from other cultures have a mainly positive impact on American society, while 27 percent think immigrants from other countries have a mainly negative impact, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.

Thirty-six percent of voters describe the state of the nation's economy these days as either excellent (6 percent) or good (30 percent), while 63 percent describe it as either not so good (29 percent) or poor (34 percent).

This compares to a Quinnipiac University poll in August 2023 when 30 percent of voters described it as either excellent (3 percent) or good (27 percent) and 69 percent described it as either not so good (32 percent) or poor (37 percent).

Asked what they consider is the best measure of how the nation's economy is doing, 46 percent of voters say the prices of goods and services they buy, 19 percent say the unemployment rate and job reports, 15 percent say their personal finances, 9 percent say the housing market, and 5 percent say the stock market index.

1,650 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from January 25th - 29th with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey included 696 Republican and Republican leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. The survey included 693 Democratic and Democratic leaning voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

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1/31/24 - 2024 Matchups: Biden Opens Up Lead Over Trump In Head-To-Head, Quinnipiac University National Poll ... - Quinnipiac University Poll