Warning.
What youre about to read is wildly opinionated.
But hey, its Friday. And its time to get a MASSIVE market forecast in front of you. After all, I want YOU to be ahead of the big story before it shows up on the nightly news.
My publisher, Matt Insley who rarely writes his own articles these days felt that this story was too important not to be heard.
This is a story the mainstream media isnt covering.
And millennials arent going to get the memo either, before its too late.
But, mark my words
This is the death of Bitcoin
Over the weekend we saw a random pop culture/news story hit the wire
The worlds foremost TV/movie streaming company, Netflix, was hacked. And the trail of breadcrumbs leading away from the crime scene leads me to a shocking conclusion.
The hack was simple and deliberate. A hacker by the name of thedarkoverlord gained access to the upcoming season of a popular Netflix original series Orange Is the New Black.
Long story short, the hacker stole TV content and threatened to give it away online before Netflixs intended release date. Unless Netflix paid a modest ransom of around $50,000.
Another ho-hum hacking story, right? Not so fast. This is where the story takes a turn.
Any good movie-watcher knows that when a ransom is demanded, its not the money that matters its the getaway.
After all, how are you supposed to ransom $1 Million (or in this case $50k) pick it up from a gas station trash can and actually GET AWAY with it?
Ah ha! Thats the hard part.
You see, the Netflix ransom was demanded in mysterious and untraceable Bitcoin.
And its becoming more common practice to demand ransom in Bitcoin, too. This from the NYT:
Those threats have increased with the advent of ransomware, malicious software that encrypts victims data and prevents them from accessing it until they pay a ransom, often hundreds or thousands of dollars worth of Bitcoin, a cryptocurrency.
If you dont know the story about Bitcoin Ill get you caught up.
With my opinion of course
The cryptocurrency holds a lot of technology. And to really understand it, you need to know about blockchain. (Keep up here. Times are changing and knowing about things like blockchain matter in todays market, as youll see)
Blockchain is a distributed database that continuously evolves. Think of it as a growing list of records that cant be tampered with. Or for a real world example, pretend for a second that every single U.S. dollar bill in America was catalogued electronically in an online database by serial number. From the second it comes off the printing press the bills history is on record. Every transaction, continuously updated.
Importantly, blockchain doesnt require anyones legal name or actual address, either in that sense its anonymous.
Okay. So thats what blockchain brings to the table solid technology that can track transactions and keep tabs on digital currency.
And over the years the popularity of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin has gone through the roof
All said, Bitcoin is impressively-encrypted, money-transferring technology. From my perch, calling it a currency is a little generous.
Looking through the lens of a technology, thats where things get interesting with this Netflix/Bitcoin story.
History shows that with great technology comes great responsibility.
The revolver and semi-automatic weapons
Automobiles
Military weaponry
Even the advent of the internet
With each of these impressive technologies came a sinister downside
Bitcoin is no different. If you look under the hood youll see that what really makes Bitcoin tick is less-talked-about, more sinister transaction record. Oh if that blockchain could talk!
Money laundering. Illegal transfers. Moving money outside of U.S. sanctions. Funding offshore accounts. Funding illegal online gambling are just a few of the HUGE black-market forces that underpin bitcoin.
So, the Silicon Valley logic that bitcoin is free market technology and you can use it to protect against inflation invest pay friends shop etc is NOT the whole picture. Its also why Im all puffed-up about Bitcoin.
And mark my words, coming soon the script on Bitcoin is going to flip
Similar to the disruptive technologies I listed above, Bitcoin will undergo the standard lifecycle of development and I believe that will include swift, sweeping government regulation. Similar to gun control, car insurance, cyber regulation and more
However, unlike most of those other technologies, I dont think Bitcoin will survive this deathblow of regulation.
Heres an example of what I mean
The Netflix example above was, for all intents and purposes, harmless. Yes, hacking and demanding a ransom is illegal. But, the large scale ramifications arent that big.
Thats all going to change when the bad guys up the game.
For instance, what if someone hacks a more important/vital piece of U.S. infrastructure? Instead of the latest season of Orange Is The New Black?
Or, worse
What if American lives are at stake. What if ransoms for high-value kidnappings come tethered to one nasty little reoccurring detail pay us in Bitcoin.
Thats when the encrypted emperor will be stripped naked. Bitcoin will bear the full brunt of a media and government onslaught. It wont be pretty.
Mind you, this could happen overnight. Just like the Netflix news a few days ago.
All it takes is large-scale ransom disaster and swift action by congress. And that $30B in crypto-cash market cap could be wiped out.
After all, weve seen this exact type of action before. Much like the sanctions against countries like Russia or Iran or the financial regulation changes for say, online gambling.
You see, right now you can transfer money directly from U.S. bank accounts, through a third party, into Bitcoin.
But, like a sock puppet, the U.S. Government controls the banking system as well as the credit system.
Add it all up and one single emotional, urgent, media-driven government regulation could destroy the financial transaction that funds cryptocurrency.
Itll be the death blow to Bitcoin. And its not just me saying it either
I just heard an interview from Agora Financials Chief Technology Officer, Ray Blanco, who shares my same concerns about Bitcoin:
I look at bitcoin right now, I see huge risk. Blockchain advances all get figured out in the years ahead regardless. Bitcoin itself, its doomed. The end is near. Soon as Congress has a reason, they figure out how to shut it down. You mark my words. Too many banks have too much to lose. And if we know one thing, its that big banks and Congress are part of the same beast.
Just wait until the next hack comes to light and the victim is a bit more important than a Netflix series.
This is a story you wont find in the mainstream. And if you or any loved ones are playing around with Bitcoin accounts, this is your fair warning. This Bitcoin disaster could happen overnight. Any day.
I bet its only a matter of time.
Have a good weekend,
Matt Insley
Publisher, The Daily Edge EdgeFeedback@AgoraFinancial.com
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