What would President Obama do with a second term?

Posted: March 9, 2012 at 8:08 am

The Democratic incumbent is campaigning hard for four more years. He's been less vigorous in explaining what he'd do with them

The Republican presidential candidates have spent months throwing out ideas for what they'd do if elected cut taxes, reform Medicare, roll back regulations, build moon colonies but President Obama has been rather vague about what he would do if he wins re-election in November. That fuzziness has left Obama's allies to "project their brightest hopes on him," while allowing rivals to warn of second-term plans that "range from dour to near-apocalyptic," say David Fahrenthold and Peter Wallsten in The Washington Post. Here, seven predictions of what Obama might do or try to do if voters keep him around through January 2017:

1. Embrace the cause of same-sex marriageObama has been "evolving" in his views on gay marriage since at least December 2010, says Max Markham at PolicyMic, but if he's re-elected, he'll have to stop evolving and "unequivocally come out in favor of same-sex marriage." A growing number of powerful Democrats now endorse same-sex marriage laws, and the public is increasingly on board. In his first term, Obama oversaw the repeal of "don't ask, don't tell"; he will "contribute to the repeal of the discriminatory Defence of Marriage Act in his second term."

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2. Pass strict new gun lawsIt's no surprise that "gun sales have rocketed"as Obama's re-election odds have improved,says Steve Watson at Infowars.com. Many gun-loving Americans want to stock up while they can, fearing that Obama "will use a lame duck presidency to fulfill promises to gun control advocates to take a bite out of the Second Amendment." Obama clearly wants four more years to "destroy" the right to bear arms, NRA chief Wayne LaPierre told the Conservative Political Action Conference in February. "All that first-term lip service to gun owners is part of a massive Obama conspiracy to deceive voters."

3. Kill the Bush tax cutsOne of the first issues a re-elected Obama would have to face is the future of the Bush tax cuts, set to expire at the end of 2012, says Noam Schrieber atThe Daily Beast. It's no secret that Obama wants to roll back the tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans, while potentially keeping the lower tax rates for families making $250,000 a year or less. But remember, in 2009, Obama briefly flirted with the idea of letting all the tax cuts lapse. And "having been tempted to end all of the Bush tax cuts in 2009, the president would only find the idea more attractive were he to win a second term," especially as the pressure to cut the deficit grows more intense.

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4. Champion civil libertiesMy swooning predictions that "Obama would be our first civil libertarian president" have been met with "plenty of disappointments," like the TSA "naked body scanners" debacle, says Jeffrey Rosen in The New Republic. "If Obama wins a second term, I hope re-election gives him the freedom to redeem that unfulfilled promise" by appointing committed civil-libertarian judges and federal regulators. He will also need to meet the challenge of protecting both our privacy and free speech rights in an age where "Google and Facebook are in a race to track consumers as ubiquitously as possible."

5. Play defenseAs the historian H.W. Brands noted, "every president that history deems great was re-elected, but no second term goes well," says Erica Grieder atThe Economist. So let's not expect much from Obama 2.0. "Most likely, the president would focus his energy on protecting the programs that Congress enacted in his first term, namely health care," says presidential historian Julian Zelizer at CNN. He would also likely push narrower, achievable projects like rebuilding infrastructure.

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What would President Obama do with a second term?

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