Bill Kristols Latest Smug Prediction Is Good News for Rand Paul

Heres another doozy from TVs up-failing King of Bad Predictions: This Sunday on ABCs This Week, Bill Kristol declared that Rand Paul would get less votes than Ron Paul did in the 2012 Republican primaries.

Asked for his reaction to a Facebook survey showing 57% favorable interactions with the libertarian-leaning Sen. Paul (R-KY), Kristol said:

I think Rand Paul is totally overrated as a 2016 possibility. The media loves him because he takes a couple of liberal views, publicizes them in an incoherent way. I predict Rand Paul will get fewer votes than his father got in 2012.

The elder Paul, who was considered a long-shot from day one, received 2,095,795 primary votes (~11%) in 2012. It would be tough for Rand Paul not to surpass his fathers vote count, but, hey, Kristol could end up being correct a broken clock is right twice a day, etc., etc. And politics is a very unpredictable business (as Kristol knows well).

But given the Weekly Standard editors hilarious history of self-contradiction and poor predictive analysis: If youre rooting for Sen. Paul in 2016, Kristols assertion is undoubtedly encouraging.

(P.S. Readers, what are your favorite bad Kristol predictions? Mines that time he said in 1993 that the peak of the gay rights movement had passed. LOL.)

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Bill Kristols Latest Smug Prediction Is Good News for Rand Paul