From ‘100 percent’ to ‘a disaster’: A timeline on how MLB’s season has been pushed to the brink – Yahoo Sports

Negotiations between Major League Baseball and the Major League Baseball Players Association reached possibly their bleakest point on Monday after three months of coronavirus-induced hiatus.

Almost simultaneously, MLB commissioner Rob Manfred said he no longer believes the odds of a 2020 season happening are 100 percent, while word got out that the MLBPA received a message from the league saying there would be no season unless players agreed to not file a grievance. Player reactions ranged from perplexed to livid to suspicious of an MLB ploy.

Then on Tuesday, Manfred flew to Arizona to meet with union chief Tony Clark, and by Wednesday the league had delivered a new 60-game proposal that included prorated salaries. The union countered with a 70-game proposal that the league rejected.

How did we get to this point?

Heres a timeline on a contentious few months of negotiations and soundbites between the league and union.

Plenty more has happened with MLB and the coronavirus, like the leagues avaricious handling of minor-league player pay and cutting down the 2020 MLB draft. We will be focusing on the major events of the leagues negotiations with the MLBPA and how we reached a point where both sides appeared to exit the table, then returned.

Following the shutdown of the NBA and NHL seasons, MLB put spring training on hiatus and announced the beginning of the season would be delayed by at least two weeks. Its safe to say that was an understatement.

With much of the season still up in the air, MLB and the MLBPA came to an agreement that seemed to figure all of this out at the time. In exchange for a salary advance and assurances about service time, the MLBPA agreed to not sue for full salaries in the event of a canceled season. It also agreed on prorated salaries in the event the season would have to be shortened, so an 81-game season would supposedly pay out 50 percent of the usual salaries to players.

MLB has since contended that agreement was just a starting point, and insisted the players take lower pay on a per-game basis. MLBPA has held firm that such an idea is a non-starter, and that standoff is essentially the foundation for where baseball finds itself now.

With coronavirus cases still rising across the country, MLB held off on making any real plans for pretty much all of April. There were some test balloons floated about playing the season in an isolated area like the NBA is about to do with Disney World, but nothing that was really taken seriously in the end.

First, the season could be held in total isolation in Arizona. No, wait, Arizona and Florida. What if we threw Texas in there? None of this went anywhere, and both the league and the union have since appeared to agree that any season would be held in each teams home stadium with no fans in attendance.

After two months of hiatus, MLB appeared to take its first step toward reviving the season when owners approved a plan for an 82-game season that would begin around July 4. However, that plan included a revenue-sharing proposal that leaked in the media before it was ever officially proposed, and turned out to be a non-starter for the players.

Simply put, the MLBPA didnt trust MLB to give it its full share of the pie, so it requested the league open up its books if it wanted a revenue-sharing plan. Teams have long cried poor and insisted that they arent as profitable as people say, but have always been loath to present any real evidence of that fact. That request was also a non-starter.

No formal proposal ever came out of MLBs revenue-sharing plan.

An actual offer came two-and-a-half months after the season shut down, and it took about two-and-a-half minutes for the players to start saying no.

The plan was built on a sliding-scale model in which higher-paid players saw a larger pay cut. For 82 games, players making the league minimum would receive 72.5 percent of their original salary on a per-game basis while players with salaries above $20 million would get 20 percent.

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Many saw the plan as an attempt to turn lower-paid players against their more well-paid colleagues, which did not appear to happen.

Details of the plan:

Season length: 82-game regular season, postseason expanded to 14 teams

Payment: sliding scale salaries between 72.5 percent and 20 percent of per-game pay

Actual proposal: 23.9 percent of original 2020 salaries, according toBeyond the Box Scores calculations.

The MLBPA responded five days later with a plan that saw similar reception from the league. Standing firm on full prorated salaries, the players called for 114 games with full per-game pay between June and Oct. 31.

Details of the plan:

Season length: 114-game regular season, postseason expanded to 14 teams for two years

Payment: full prorated salaries

Actual proposal: 70.4 percent of original 2020 salaries

After a strong reaction from the MLBPA, MLB looked at its first official proposal and offered not much more, and even less if the postseason cant be played.

Details of the plan:

Season length: 76-game regular season, postseason expanded to 16 teams

Payment: up to 75 percent of per-game pay if postseason is played, 50 percent if not

Actual proposal: 35.2 percentof original 2020 salaries with postseason and23.4 percentwithout postseason

The MLBPAs second counterproposal moved a step in MLBs favor by going from 114 games to 89, but still did little to move MLB off its insistence that players must take further pay cuts.

Details of the plan:

Season length: 89-game regular season, postseason expanded to 16 teams for two years

Payment: full prorated salaries

Actual proposal: 54.9 percentof original 2020 salaries

So far, four official proposals and four immediate rejections from the other side.

With both sides seeming to make some progress, Manfred appeared on MLB Network and made a proclamation that would not last long.

Were going to play baseball in 2020, 100 percent, Manfred said.

That belief was likely rooted in the idea that in the worst-case scenario, Manfred could unilaterally impose a shorter season at fully prorated salaries, said to be around 48 games. In that case, owners would be able to keep costs down while still reaping a decent chunk of television money, and players wouldnt have to cave on prorated salaries. Of course, it would still be a mockery of a season.

In the event of a 48-game regular season at full pay, youre looking at 29.6 percent of original 2020 salaries. It wasnt a formal proposal, but it seemed to be a theoretical baseline. However, the idea also seemed to raise the possibility of the MLBPA filing a grievance against the league.

Two days later, MLB delivered another proposal. It again asked players to take another pay cut, and threw out a Sunday deadline that unsurprisingly passed without an agreement. Like its previous offer, the league tied salaries to the postseason with slightly better terms.

Details of the plan:

Season length: 72-game regular season, postseason expanded to 16 teams

Payment: up to 83 percent of per-game pay if postseason is played, 70 percent if not

Actual proposal: 36.9 percentof original 2020 salaries with postseason and31.1 percentwithout postseason

Fed up with MLB insisting on pay cuts, the MLBPA stopped negotiating and released a statement requesting MLB simply tell them how many games they will pay (at prorated salaries) and when/where to report.

That has become the players official position, putting the ball in MLBs court. Previous reports of Manfred considering a shortened season with full per-game pay seemed to indicate there was a minimum that would work, but MLB decided to go in a different direction.

Whatever optimism remained in negotiations seemed to leave the room on Monday, as Manfred told ESPN he no longer believes there is a 100 percent chance of the season happening:

"I'm not confident. I think there's real risk; and as long as there's no dialogue, that real risk is gonna continue," Manfred told Mike Greenberg for ESPN's "The Return of Sports" special.

"It's just a disaster for our game, absolutely no question about it. It shouldn't be happening, and it's important that we find a way to get past it and get the game back on the field for the benefit of our fans."

At the same time, it was reported that MLB said there would be no season unless the MLBPA promised not to file a grievance alleging bad faith, a move that seems questionable unless MLB believes it would lose such a grievance, or wants to burn time on a still-ticking clock.

The players reacted how you would expect, but one of the more intriguing reactions came from always outspoken Cincinnati Reds pitcher Trevor Bauer. In an extended Twitter thread, Bauer explained his belief that MLB is stalling so it can implement a shorter season, since a 50-game season would end far earlier than the usual late October if put in place now.

True or not, it was clear that all trust had gone completely out the window on both sides.

June 17: MLB makes new proposal after Manfred-Clark meeting

And just like that, optimism again. Major League Baseball sent the players union a new proposal for restarting the 2020 season after a face-to-face meeting between commissioner Rob Manfred and union chief Tony Clark in Arizona.

Reports indicate the proposal involves a 60-game season with the fully prorated salaries players agreed upon in March, and that the season could start by July 19. The Athletics Ken Rosenthal also reported the union may counter seeking more games, but it was widely viewed as a significant step toward ending the protracted fight.

Details of the plan:

Season length: 60-game regular season, postseason expanded to 16 teams

Payment: full prorated salaries

Actual proposal: 37.0 percentof original 2020 salaries

June 18: Union responds with 70-game proposal

The players associations counterproposal asked for only 10 more games, but also reportedly sought an increase in playoff money $50M in bonuses in 2020 and a 50/50 split of new postseason TV revenues in 2021. The total cost difference was estimated at about $300 million.

Regardless, owners were reportedly infuriated by the union countering at all, saying they believed Manfred and Clark had worked out a deal.

The unions proposal set off another war of statements and barbed quotes through the media.

June 19: MLB says it will not counter with new offer

Friday night, The Athletics Ken Rosenthal reported the league wont counter the players associations proposal, that there will be no 64 or 66 game compromise.

On a day where positive coronavirus tests surfaced across the sport, the move puts MLB owners back in position to impose a shorter season while running the risk of facing a grievance from the players association over the negotiation.

The union issued a statement saying the league will not play more than 60 games and saying the players were committed to getting back to work as soon as possible.

Every day is a day lost in the MLB season. (AP Photo/John Raoux)

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From '100 percent' to 'a disaster': A timeline on how MLB's season has been pushed to the brink - Yahoo Sports