Locks
NBA (0.5 Unit) Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic -9.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on Bally Sports FL
We might be reaching the top of the market with Orlando here, as Im not completely sold that they should be a double-digit favorite. Unless of course the opponent is Washington, who continues to show a complete lack of seriousness on the court. That lack of seriousness and competitiveness mostly comes in the second half of games for the Wizards, as theyre 29th in average second-half margin.
So that has me looking away from the strong Magic record in first halves and expecting their talent to eventually win out down the stretch here. The strength of Orlandos defense should carry them, even against an up-tempo team like the Wizards, who will refuse to play any defense themselves. With the Magic an excellent 8-1 against the number in home games, I expect them to be able to win by margin here against an awful team.
NBA (0.75 Unit) Houston Rockets/Denver Nuggets Under 216.5 (-110; Odds Via Caesars): 8:00 PM CT on Altitude
Im not usually looking to mess with the under on totals in this range given the modern NBA, but these teams are different. Houston and Denver are a combined 22-11 to the under this season, and get off to especially slow starts. And theyve already played twice this season, going under in both meetings with just 211 and 191 points.
As usual its all about tempo, and these are two of the slowest teams in the league with the Rockets 28th and the Nuggets 25th in pace. Theyre also very good defensively, with both teams top-8 in defensive rating, efficiency, points allowed, and opponent effective field goal rate. There are also plenty of injury issues for both squads including Nikola Jokic, so Im just not seeing a lot of points in this one.
NCAA Basketball (1 Unit) North Florida/Iowa First Half Over 80 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 8:00 PM CT on BTN
Itll take an act of Congress for me to stop betting the over when Iowa hosts a cupcake school in Carver-Hawkeye Arena. The consistency is amazing, as their three games this year have averaged 87.3 first half points. The second halves are actually slowing down though, averaging just 81 points, which makes this derivative total out of line with the full-game number of 167.5 points.
Im jumping on that value here as the opponent doesnt seem to matter for the Hawkeyes, they just run it up and make numbers like this very reachable. I dont think theyll have any trouble with that against a North Florida team thats 330th in adjusted defensive efficiency, and havent seen an offense anywhere near what they will tonight. The Ospreys also hoist the 11th-most threes in the country, so those will either go in or create runouts, leading to plenty of early points no matter what.
NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Colorado/Colorado State Over 148 (-110; Odds via BetMGM): 8:00 PM CT on CBSSN
If this game has half the excitement of the football game these schools played this fall, were in for a fun and high-scoring game. These are two very good teams with very good offenses, both top-40 in adjusted offensive efficiency, and both play at an above average pace.
The key for me here is Colorados usually strong defense taking a big step back when the team isnt at home, and this will be their first true road game. Colorado State has long been a team that pushes tempo and scores like crazy in Fort Collins, so with KenPom making this just a slight over lean, Ill take a shot that the offenses shine tonight.
NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Louisiana Tech/New Mexico Over 148.5 (-110; Odds via DraftKings): 8:00 PM CT on MW Network
Another slight edge from KenPom has this game sneaking over the total, but its a number I was surprised by. New Mexico is always going to play up-tempo with a strong offensive game, and are actually all the way up to 6th nationally in adjusted tempo. I just dont think Louisiana Tech is ready for it, as they havent played a team anywhere near as fast-paced as the Lobos this year.
The only actual test from their extremely soft schedule was a trip to the aforementioned Colorado State Rams, who put up 81 points with excellent interior scoring. Thats what New Mexico does best, as theyre 13th in the country for percentage of points from inside the arc. I think this Bulldogs defense is in for a rude awakening here, and Ill take the over on what is a very discounted total when the Lobos are involved.
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 1710-1504 ATS (+87.6 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games hes confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
Follow this link:
Tiny Nicks Gambling Picks: 11/29 - Zone Coverage
- OnlineGambling.com > #1 Online Gambling Sites Guide 2016 [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2016]
- Gambling Problem Hotline - 800 Gambler [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2016]
- Online Gambling Sites & Games Guide | Gambling.com [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2016]
- World Casino Directory - Casino Guide and Gambling Forums [Last Updated On: June 12th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 12th, 2016]
- South Florida Events & Restaurants - southflorida.com [Last Updated On: June 12th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 12th, 2016]
- Online Casino & Online Poker Room - 888.com [Last Updated On: June 12th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 12th, 2016]
- Gambling Addiction and Problem Gambling - helpguide.org [Last Updated On: June 16th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 16th, 2016]
- The History of Gambling - Complete Gambling History Timeline [Last Updated On: June 21st, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 21st, 2016]
- Welcome to The Alderney Gambling Control Commission [Last Updated On: June 29th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 29th, 2016]
- Gambling Law US - State Gambling Laws United States [Last Updated On: June 29th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 29th, 2016]
- Gambling Addiction: Ten Ways to Stop Forever | Healdove [Last Updated On: July 14th, 2016] [Originally Added On: July 14th, 2016]
- GambleAware: Gambling Help & Gambling Addiction [Last Updated On: July 14th, 2016] [Originally Added On: July 14th, 2016]
- New York Casinos & Gambling in New York [Last Updated On: July 31st, 2016] [Originally Added On: July 31st, 2016]
- Virginia Casinos & Gambling in Virginia - World Casino ... [Last Updated On: September 2nd, 2016] [Originally Added On: September 2nd, 2016]
- William Hill Casino Club - Up To 150 Casino Bonus [Last Updated On: September 6th, 2016] [Originally Added On: September 6th, 2016]
- gambling | Britannica.com [Last Updated On: September 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: September 10th, 2016]
- Texas Casinos & Gambling in Texas - Texas Casino Directory [Last Updated On: September 16th, 2016] [Originally Added On: September 16th, 2016]
- Problem gambling - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: September 20th, 2016] [Originally Added On: September 20th, 2016]
- Casino Gambling Web | Best Online Gambling News and Casinos ... [Last Updated On: October 13th, 2016] [Originally Added On: October 13th, 2016]
- Gambling | Wex Legal Dictionary / Encyclopedia | LII / Legal ... [Last Updated On: October 13th, 2016] [Originally Added On: October 13th, 2016]
- The Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling [Last Updated On: October 13th, 2016] [Originally Added On: October 13th, 2016]
- Gambling Addiction: Symptoms, Causes, and Treatment [Last Updated On: October 13th, 2016] [Originally Added On: October 13th, 2016]
- Gambling Addiction Treatment Center, Rehab - Non Gambler [Last Updated On: October 25th, 2016] [Originally Added On: October 25th, 2016]
- New Jersey Casinos & Gambling in New Jersey [Last Updated On: November 21st, 2016] [Originally Added On: November 21st, 2016]
- Gambling | Las Vegas Review-Journal [Last Updated On: November 23rd, 2016] [Originally Added On: November 23rd, 2016]
- Remote Gambling Association (RGA) [Last Updated On: December 16th, 2016] [Originally Added On: December 16th, 2016]
- Gambling - The New York Times [Last Updated On: December 23rd, 2016] [Originally Added On: December 23rd, 2016]
- Hard Rock Casino proposal announced for Meadowlands [Originally Added On: December 26th, 2016]
- Trusted Online Gambling Sites Since 1996 - Online.Gambling.org [Last Updated On: January 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: January 6th, 2017]
- One of the biggest gambling days of the year: Super Bowl Sunday brings big temptation for gambling addicts - fox6now.com [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Famous YouTube FIFA gamer fined for gambling offences - Goal.com [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Gambling Stock Roundup: Macau Sales Rise Again in January, Nevada Records a Drop in December - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Carryout owner facing gambling house charges - Lima Ohio [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Crackdown on illegal gambling in the Philippines now underway - GamingTodaySlotsToday [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Problem Gambling Researchers Know Issue All Too Well - KNPR [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Military should screen for gambling disorder, GAO says - Virginian-Pilot [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Gambling with people's autonomy - Spiked [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- YouTuber admits Fifa gambling offences - BBC News [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Older gamblers face worse odds for addiction - Times Herald-Record [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Bill introduced to lower age for legal gambling in Nevada - Las Vegas Review-Journal [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Dangers of sports gambling - Daily Sundial [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Military Should Screen for Gambling Problems, says Government Report - Casino.Org News [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Gambling inquiry: Pokies no different than going to the movies, hospitality group says - ABC Online [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- GAO report recommends military members be screened for ... - wtkr.com [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- How to Handle Gambling Wins and Losses This Tax Season - TheStreet.com [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- FIFA gaming YouTuber faces huge fine after pleading guilty to gambling charges - Digital Trends [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- The Newest Challenge in Gambling: Finding Growth - Motley Fool [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Federal oversight agency wants the military to screen for gambling addiction - Military Times [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- Gambling and plastic politics - San Diego Reader [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- Is gambling 'good for Gearhart'? - Daily Astorian [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- Super Bowl Betting Tally Helps Make the Case for Legalized Sports Gambling - TheStreet.com [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- Idaho House panel introduces bill limiting Indian gambling - Virginian-Pilot [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- MLB commissioner admits the league is rethinking its stance on gambling - FOXSports.com [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- YouTubers fined for running illegal FIFA 17 gambling site - Ars Technica [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- Proposal to lower legal gambling age gets cold reception from gaming industry - News3LV [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- South Australia's gambling tax highlights the regulatory mess of online betting - The Conversation AU [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- MLB Commish Opens Door to Legalized Gambling: 'We Are Reexamining Our Stance' - Mediaite [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Kenyan youth splashing cash on looks, gambling Geopoll study - Nairobi News (satire) (press release) (blog) [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- No truth to alleged link between missing Spencerport teen, illegal gambling - 13WHAM-TV [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Gamblers caught in Hat Yai open-air casino bust - Bangkok Post [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Idaho House Panel Introduces Bill Limiting Indian Gambling | Boise ... - Boise State Public Radio [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Duterte orders war on illegal gambling - Philippine Star [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- OUR VIEW: Transparency needed in gambling operations - Pacific Daily News [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Rob Manfred may change MLB's stance on gambling - SB Nation [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Kenya: Gambling in Kenya Gets Out of Hand - AllAfrica.com [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- The world's biggest gamblers - The Economist (blog) [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Gambling Responsibly - New York Times [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Do you have a mobile gambling/gaming problem? - KMTV [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Worldwide Gambling Win Totaled $385 Billion in 2016, Australia Biggest Loser - Casino.Org News [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- New York State transformation into the gambling big leagues nearly ... - The Daily Freeman [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- Palace: Duterte won't hesitate to remove officials protecting gambling lords - Philippine Star [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- UFC 208 odds, gambling guide - MMA Fighting [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- Vote down gambling - The Augusta Chronicle [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Casino gambling in Texas: Probably not this session, says lawmaker - LubbockOnline.com [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Calendar urges gamblers to cut their losses l Dayton, Ohio - Dayton Daily News [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- AFL: Geelong's Harry Taylor questions 'worrying' effects of gambling advertising on children - ABC Online [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Football's gambling problem: You better, you better, you bet - Football365.com [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- States are gambling with law enforcement safety | TheHill - The Hill (blog) [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Scary graph shows how Australians are the biggest losers - NEWS.com.au [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Last holdout Lakewood to vote on repealing video gambling ban - Northwest Herald [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2017]