WeatherTalk: Expect an active hurricane season in the Atlantic and Caribbean – INFORUM

FARGO Tropical storm and hurricane activity has been on the rise in the Atlantic Basin in recent years, and this summer and fall are likely to be a continuation of that trend. The Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, says the June 1 through Nov. 30 Atlantic Hurricane Season has a 65% chance of an above average number of storms, a 25% chance of near average and only a 10% chance of a below average season.

The forecast calls for 14 to 21 tropical storms, six to 10 of which will become hurricanes, with three to six major (Category 3 or higher) hurricanes. Warmer than average sea-surface temperatures and weak trade winds will create an active environment, and an active African monsoon is expected to generate stronger Easterly Waves which are capable of producing more of the very strong Cape Verde hurricanes, especially during the fall months. What cannot be predicted is where these storms will hit.

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WeatherTalk: Expect an active hurricane season in the Atlantic and Caribbean - INFORUM