Severe Weather Outlook For New Zealand – Scoop

Posted: March 13, 2022 at 8:26 am

Sunday, 13 March 2022, 6:42 pmPress Release: Gisborne District Council

Valid from Tuesday 15 Mar 2022 to Friday 18 Mar2022

A subtropical low to the northeast of theNorth Island moves slowly away to the east late Tuesday andduring Wednesday. This low is expected to direct a moistsouth to southeast flow over central and northern parts ofNew Zealand and bring periods of rain to eastern districtsof the North Island.

From Tuesday to early Thursday,there is low confidence of rainfall amounts reaching warningcriteria in Gisborne south of Tokomaru Bay and Hawke's Baynorth of Napier, but especially about the WairoaDistrict.

A front moves over southern and easternparts of the South Island on Tuesday and Wednesday thenweakens. A ridge then spreads over much of southern andcentral New Zealand from late Wednesday through into Friday,directing and easterly flow over northern NewZealand.

Lowconfidence: a 20% likelihood (or 1 chance in 5)that the event will actuallyhappen.Moderate confidence: a40% likelihood (or 2 chances in 5) that the event willactually happen.High confidence:a 60% likelihood (or 3 chances in 5) that the event willactuallyhappen

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Severe Weather Outlook For New Zealand - Scoop

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