Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.
In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like CF Energy (CVE:CFY). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.
View our latest analysis for CF Energy
If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. CF Energy managed to grow EPS by 7.3% per year, over three years. While that sort of growth rate isn't amazing, it does show the business is growing.
Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While we note CF Energy's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 6.8% to CN394m. That's a real positive.
You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.
Since CF Energy is no giant, with a market capitalization of CA$30m, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.
Like standing at the lookout, surveying the horizon at sunrise, insider buying, for some investors, sparks joy. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.
We haven't seen any insiders selling CF Energy shares, in the last year. With that in mind, it's heartening that Yongbiao Ding, the Independent Director of the company, paid CN30k for shares at around CN0.44 each.
On top of the insider buying, we can also see that CF Energy insiders own a large chunk of the company. In fact, they own 55% of the company, so they will share in the same delights and challenges experienced by the ordinary shareholders. This makes me think they will be incentivised to plan for the long term - something I like to see. Of course, CF Energy is a very small company, with a market cap of only CA$30m. That means insiders only have CN16m worth of shares, despite the large proportional holding. That's not a huge stake in absolute terms, but it should help keep insiders aligned with other shareholders.
One positive for CF Energy is that it is growing EPS. That's nice to see. Better yet, insiders are significant shareholders, and have been buying more shares. To me, that all makes it well worth a spot on your watchlist, as well as continuing research. Even so, be aware that CF Energy is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are significant...
As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But CF Energy isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
More here:
Here's Why I Think CF Energy (CVE:CFY) Is An Interesting Stock - Simply Wall St
- About Cystic Fibrosis | CF Foundation [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2016]
- Cystic fibrosis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2016]
- cf. - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia [Last Updated On: June 16th, 2016] [Originally Added On: June 16th, 2016]
- CF - Definition by AcronymFinder [Last Updated On: July 3rd, 2016] [Originally Added On: July 3rd, 2016]
- Cf Indus Hldgs - CF - Stock Price Today - Zacks [Last Updated On: August 12th, 2016] [Originally Added On: August 12th, 2016]
- Cf. - Wikipedia [Last Updated On: October 27th, 2016] [Originally Added On: October 27th, 2016]
- Technicals in Focus for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) - The USA Commerce [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Real Madrid CF still on top of La Liga as Villarreal hold Sevilla to a draw - Hindustan Times [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Black Heart Bart heads Weir's CF Orr Stakes nominations - HorseRacing.com.au [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- One Simple Thing Reg CF Issuers Can Do To Raise More Money Crowdfunding - Crowdfund Insider [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Analysts Valuations For 2 Stocks: CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CF), Nordstrom, Inc. (NYSE:JWN) - The Voice Registrar [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Andrew McCutchen to Move from CF to RF in 2017: Latest Comments and Reaction - Bleacher Report [Last Updated On: February 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 6th, 2017]
- Basic Materials Stocks To Look Out For: Range Resources Corporation (RRC), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) - The Independent Republic [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Here's Why CF Industries Stock Gained 10.7% in January - Motley Fool [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Canyon releases lightweight Ultimate EVO CF 10.0 SL - Cyclingnews.com [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- How Does CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stack Up Right Now? - StockNewsJournal [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- CF Orr Stakes - An Early Look - Racing.com [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Own a Piece of the Pot: Fundanna is First Reg CF Crowdfunding Portal for Cannabis Industry - Crowdfund Insider [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- LaLiga: Valencia CF on the brink of a civil war - Yahoo Sports [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- CF Orr Stakes day Caulfield racing preview - The Sydney Morning Herald [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend - Business Wire (press release) [Last Updated On: February 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 9th, 2017]
- CF Athletic and Cage Warriors Announce Exclusive Long-Term Apparel Partnership Deal - PR Newswire (press release) [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Gallery: Tiago Machado's Canyon Aeroad CF SLX - BikeRadar.com [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- CF man pleads guilty to role in Eagle Point murder - Eau Claire ... - Leader-Telegram [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Cystic Fibrosis - National Library of Medicine - PubMed Health [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- CF - CF Industries Holdings Inc Stock quote - CNNMoney.com [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Cystic Fibrosis | CF | Cystic Fibrosis Symptoms | MedlinePlus [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Why Investors remained confident on Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC), CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)? - StockNewsJournal [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Two Canadian CF-18s were on approach to land at Florida airport ... - National Post [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- CF. Goldman Fall 2017 - WWD [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- CF Industries to Announce Its 4Q16 Earnings: What to Expect - Market Realist [Last Updated On: February 11th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 11th, 2017]
- Man steals $237 champagne from CF liquor store, police respond ... - Chippewa Herald [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- CF Orr Stakes Where To Next - Racing.com [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- Chainfire updates CF.lumen, Recently apps with Nougat-specific updates - Android Community [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Real Madrid Castilla 2-1 CF Fuenlabrada: Match Review ... - Managing Madrid [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- CF Industries' Rally Just Starting to Grow - TheStreet.com [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- U-CF School Board adds new member and approves preliminary budget - Chester County Press [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2017]
- Tiago Machado's Canyon Aeroad CF SLX Gallery - Cyclingnews.com [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2017]
- Agriculture Stocks Feb 15 Earnings Roster: ANDE, BG, CF - Zacks.com [Last Updated On: February 14th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 14th, 2017]
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Shares Bought by FIL Ltd - The Cerbat Gem [Last Updated On: February 15th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 15th, 2017]
- CF Industries' 4Q16 Profitability Disappointed Investors - Market Realist [Last Updated On: February 17th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 17th, 2017]
- CF Industries Holdings (CF) Q4 2016 Results - Earnings Call Transcript - Seeking Alpha [Last Updated On: February 17th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 17th, 2017]
- Op/Ed: Sanville wrong for U-CF - Chadds Ford Live [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2017]
- Canyon Ultimate CF Evo 10.0 SL review - BikeRadar - BikeRadar.com [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2017]
- Kansas City Royals: Yost Plans To Use Alex Gordon In CF - Call to the Pen [Last Updated On: February 19th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 19th, 2017]
- CF Industries (CF) Q4 Loss Wider than Expected, Sales Miss - Zacks.com [Last Updated On: February 19th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 19th, 2017]
- Father's death, mother's strength inspire Tigers CF Mikie Mahtook - Detroit Free Press [Last Updated On: February 19th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 19th, 2017]
- CF Rayo Majadahonda 0-1 Real Madrid Castilla - Managing Madrid [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2017]
- GridShare Targets Renewable Energy Crowdfunding under Reg CF, Plans International Expansion - Crowdfund Insider [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2017]
- CF group claims new data supports case for Orkambi approval - Irish Times [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2017]
- Cleveland Indians: Brandon Guyer To See Time In CF - Factory Of Sadness [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2017]
- KC Royals: Alex Gordon CF Trial Suggests Worry About Lorenzo Cain - Kings of Kauffman [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2017]
- CF Foundation lands big gift - Ocala [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2017]
- Just the Facts on CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) - StockNewsJournal [Last Updated On: February 23rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 23rd, 2017]
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conference - Yahoo Finance [Last Updated On: February 23rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 23rd, 2017]
- Galapagos doses first healthy volunteer with CF combo GLPG2222 and GLPG2451 - P&T Community [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Nivalis Therapeutics (NVLS) Says Cavosonstat Phase 2 Clinical ... - StreetInsider.com [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Pawtucket man arrested for narcotics in CF - WPRI 12 Eyewitness News [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Limerick CF parents: 'Our kid's lives are priceless' - Limerick Leader [Last Updated On: February 25th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 25th, 2017]
- Real Madrid CF battle back to win at Villarreal CF and stay on top of La Liga - Hindustan Times [Last Updated On: February 26th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 26th, 2017]
- Real Madrid CF slump to loss vs Valencia CF in La Liga - Hindustan Times [Last Updated On: February 26th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 26th, 2017]
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF): What's the Story? - StockNewsJournal [Last Updated On: February 28th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 28th, 2017]
- CF-18 pilot killed at Cold Lake did not eject or make mayday call - CBC.ca [Last Updated On: February 28th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 28th, 2017]
- Get rough with Panasonic's new hybrid Toughbook - CNET [Last Updated On: February 28th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 28th, 2017]
- The Technicals For CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), An Important Analysis - NY Stock News [Last Updated On: February 28th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 28th, 2017]
- The Panasonic CF-33 is a Toughbook you can tote - CNET [Last Updated On: February 28th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 28th, 2017]
- Sherby named CF mayor Falls mayor - Iron County Reporter [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- New classes at the CF Contemporary Center - Iron County Reporter [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Comment: You know the medical definition... but how many of you ... - Irish Independent [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Taoiseach expects deal on CF drug Orkambi in coming weeks - Irish Times [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Matheny on CF prospect Sierra: 'He's an electric player' - STLtoday.com [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Panasonic Toughbook CF-33 gets the 2-in-1 Windows 10 treatment - SlashGear [Last Updated On: March 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 2nd, 2017]
- PTC Therapeutics' ataluren flunks late-stage CF study; shares slump 24% premarket - Seeking Alpha [Last Updated On: March 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 2nd, 2017]
- CF to host men's and women's state hoops tournaments - Ocala [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- Tigers CF Mikie Mahtook: Expect The 2015 Version Of Me - CBS Detroit [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- SEC Report on Reg CF Crowdfunding: What Does it Mean? - Crowdfund Insider [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- Lat strain abates, Collins to rejoin CF fight soon - Detroit News - The Detroit News [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- PTC notches up full house of failures in CF with ataluren, dumps program - FierceBiotech [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- Panasonic's Toughbook CF-33 Might Be the Most Durable 2-in-1 Yet - Laptop Mag [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF): How Do the Technicals Stack Up? - The USA Commerce [Last Updated On: March 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 6th, 2017]