Here are The Commish’s gambling picks for Week 4 of the NFL season – Courier & Press

Jason White| Special to the Courier & Press

Week 3 of the NFL season was a mixed bag of highs and lows for the betting public.

While bettors scored big when the Bills, Cardinals, and Packers covered their spreads in high volume betting, the sportsbooks regained their footing with outright wins by the underdog Saints, Chargers, and Vikings.

Underdogs continue to bark in the early stages of the seasonand now have a 30-18 record against the spread. Thats the best against the spread record by underdogs through the first three weeks of the season since 2002.

Remember to be disciplined this week when it comes to bankroll management. You should have a certain percentage of your bankroll designated to be utilized during each week of action. Its important to not go off script as a reaction to the results of your early game picks.

If you get off to a hot start and cash some big tickets, stick to the game plan. If you get off to a rough start and string together a few losses, stick to the game plan. Failing to do so can quickly erase any big gains, or dig an even deeper hole if you start chasing.

2-Team 6-point Teaser (-120):

CARDINALS (-7.5) @ Jaguars - WIN

BILLS (-7.5) vs. Washington - WIN

The Bills embarrassed Washington with an easy cover, while the Cardinals overcame a rough start to beat the number to gain.

OVER (42.5) Saints @ Patriots: Two missed field goal attempts by the Saints completely killed what would have been an easy cover. Saints 28, Patriots 13 - LOSS

UNDER (55.5) Buccaneers @ Rams: Things were going according to the plan as both teams combined for only 21 points in the 1st half. But a 27-point explosion in the 3rd quarter buried this bet. Rams 34, Buccaneers 24 - LOSS

JETS (+10.5) @ Broncos: The Jets were even more inept than anyone could have predicted. They managed to gain a meager total of 162 yards from scrimmage. Broncos 26, Jets 0 - LOSS

OVER (64.5) Receiving yards by Deebo Samuel - Packers @ 49ers (-115): Samuel had tallied a total of 17 targets, and 282 receiving yards in his first two games. And despite getting 40 yards in the 1st half, he finished with only 5 catches for 52 yards. Packers 30, 49ers 28 - LOSS

OVER (37.5) Rushing yards by Josh Allen - Washington @ Bills (-110): The overrated pass rush of Washington was non-existent in this one. Josh Allen had all day in the pocket and was never pressured into running the football. 4 carries, 9 yards - Bills 43, Washington 21 - LOSS

2-Team 6-point Teaser (-120)

BILLS (-17) vs. Texans: This Bills have the fourth best defense in the NFL, while the Texans continueto sputter with a backup quarterback. This is the biggest line of the season thus far, so teasing it to a more manageable number is too tempting to resist.

UNDER (51.5) Browns @ Vikings: Look for both teams to try to establish their running games early to set up opportunities down the field. The defense of the Browns has been stout, giving up the third fewest offensive yards in the league. There will be some points scored in this gamebut not enough to beat this teased number.

BEARS (-3) vs. Lions: Before the season began, the Bears would have looked at the schedule and viewed this matchup as one of their easiest home games. But the start to their season has been nothing short of a dumpster fire. In honor of the stout Chicago defenses of the past, Im putting my faith in their defense once again. Look for the Bears to dial up pressure on Jared Goff and produce some takeaways. Rumored changes to the offensive play calling for Chicago will result in a much more palatable performance.

RAVENS (-1) @ Broncos: The Broncos have exploded onto the scene this year with one of their best starts in recent memory. But theyve done so on the backs of a schedule that provided victories over three winless teams. Dont shy away from this one simply due to my pathetic Jets prediction last week. If Lamar Jackson plays, the Ravens will provide the Broncos with a serious reality check. Shop around for the best juice on this one, checking both the spread and money line odds.

BUCCANEERS (-7) @ Patriots: This matchup has been capturing all of the headlines this week with Tom Brady returning to the city where he dominated the NFL for two decades. There are a ton of off the field storylines here, centering around who needs this win more from a legacy standpoint. But even against a suspect Tampa Bay defense, quarterback Mac Jones will need to be absolutely perfect to have a chance. New England head coach Bill Belichick is regarded by many as the best head coach in NFL history, but the Bucs have far too many weapons for the Pats to keep this game tight.

OVER (65.5) Rushing yards by Antonio Gibson - Washington @ Falcons (-115): This is the week Washington finally utilizes their stud running back. If Gibson can get the 12-15 touches he deserves, hell blow past this total.

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Here are The Commish's gambling picks for Week 4 of the NFL season - Courier & Press