CEOs are hugely expensive why not automate them? – New Statesman

Over the next two weeks, the boards of BAE Systems, AstraZeneca, Glencore, Flutter Entertainment and the London Stock Exchange all face the possibility of shareholder revolts over executive pay at their forthcoming annual general meetings (AGMs). As the AGM season begins, there is a particular focus on pay.

Executive pay is often the most contentious item at an AGM, but this year is clearly exceptional. The people running companies that have been severely impacted by Covid-19 cant be blamed for the devastation of their revenues by the pandemic, but they also cant take credit for the government stimulus that has kept them afloat. Last week, for example, nearly 40 per cent of shareholders in the estate agentsFoxtons voted againstits chief executive officer, Nicholas Budden, receiving a bonus of just under 1m; Foxtons has received about 7m in direct government assistanceand is benefiting from the governments continued inflation of the housing market. The person who has done most to ensure Foxtonsongoing good fortune is not Nicholas Budden but Rishi Sunak.

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Under the Enterprise and Regulatory Reform Act, executive pay is voted on at least every three years, and this process forces shareholders and the public to confront how much the people at the top take home. Tim Steiner, the highest-paid CEO in the FTSE 100, was paid 58.7m in 2019 for running Ocado, which is 2,605 times the median income of his employees for that year, while the average FTSE100 CEO makes more than 15,000 a day.

As the High Pay Centres annual assessment of CEO pay points out, a top-heavy wage bill extends beyond the CEO, and could be unsustainable for any company this year. When one considers high earners beyond the CEO, says the report, there is actually quite significant potential for companies to safeguard jobs and incomes by asking higher-paid staff to make sacrifices.

In the longer term, as companies commit to greater automation of many roles, it's pertinent to ask whether a company needs a CEO at all.

A few weeks ago Christine Carrillo, an American tech CEO, raised this question herself when she tweeted a spectacularly tone-deaf appreciation of her executive assistant, whose work allows Carrillo to write [and] surf every day as well as cook dinner and read every night. In Carrillos unusually frank description of the work her EA does most of her emails, most of the work on fundraising, playbooks, operations, recruitment, research, updating investors, invoicing and so much more she guessed that this unnamed worker saves me 60% of time.

Predictably, a horde arrived to point out that if someone else is doing 60 per cent of Carrillos job, they should be paid 50 per cent more than her. But as Carrillo with a frankly breathtaking lack of self-awareness informed another commenter, her EA is based in the Philippines. The main (and often the only) reason to outsource a role is to pay less for it.

If a role can be outsourced, it can be automated. But while companies are racing to automate entry- and mid-level roles, senior executives and decision makers show much less interest in automating themselves.

There's a good argument for automating from the top rather than from the bottom. As we know from the annotated copy of Thinking, Fast and Slow that sits (I assume) on every CEOs Isamu Noguchi nightstand, human decision-making is the product of irrational biases and assumptions. This is one of the reasons strategy is so difficult, and roles that involve strategic decision-making are so well paid. But the difficulty of making genuinely rational strategic decisions, and the cost of the people who do so, are also good reasons to hand this work over to software.

Automating jobs can be risky, especially in public-facing roles. After Microsoft sacked a large team of journalists last year in order to replace them with AI, it almost immediately had to contend with the PR disaster of the softwares failure to distinguish between two women of colour. Amazon had to abandon its AI recruitment tool after it learned to discriminate against women. And when GPT-3, one of the most advanced AI language models, was used as a medical chatbot last year, it responded to a (simulated) patient presenting with suicidal ideation by telling them to kill themselves.

What links these examples is that they were all attempts to automate the kind of work that happens without being scrutinised by lots of other people in a company. Top-level strategic decisions are different. They are usually debated before theyre put into practice unless, and this is just another reason to automate them, employees feel they cant speak up for fear of incurring the CEOs displeasure.

Where automated management or decision intelligence, as Google and IBM call it has been deployed, its produced impressive results. Hong Kongs mass transit system put software in charge of scheduling its maintenance in 2004, and enjoys a reputation as one of the worlds most punctual and best-run metros.

Clearly, chief execs didnt get where they are today by volunteering to clear out their corner offices and hand over their caviar spittoons to robots. But management is a very large variable cost that only seems to increase Persimmon's bonus scheme paid out half a billion pounds to 150 execs in a single year while technology moves in the other direction, becoming cheaper and more reliable over time.

It is often asked whether CEO pay is fair or ethical. But company owners and investors should be asking if their top management could be done well by a machine and if so, why is it so expensive?

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CEOs are hugely expensive why not automate them? - New Statesman