Daily Archives: March 6, 2024

Now It’s Germany’s Turn to Frustrate Allies Over Ukraine – The New York Times

Posted: March 6, 2024 at 3:59 pm

First it was Frances president, Emmanuel Macron, who angered his NATO allies by suggesting that soon the West could be forced to send troops to Ukraine, portending a direct confrontation with Russian forces that the rest of the alliance has long rejected.

Then Chancellor Olaf Scholz of Germany took his own turn exposing new divisions. Trying to justify why Germany was withholding its most powerful missile, the Taurus, from Ukrainian hands, he hinted that Britain, France and the United States may secretly be helping Ukraine target similar weapons, a step he said Germany simply could not take. While neither Britain or France has commented officially they almost never discuss how their weapons are deployed Mr. Scholz was immediately accused by former officials of revealing war secrets.

Scholzs behavior has showed that as far as the security of Europe goes he is the wrong man in the wrong job at the wrong time, Ben Wallace, Britains former defense minister, told The Evening Standard, a London daily. Tobias Ellwood, a Conservative who once chaired a key defense committee in the House of Commons was widely quoted in the British press calling the statement a flagrant abuse of intelligence.

Coming in a week when President Vladimir V. Putin threatened nuclear escalation if NATO troops entered the conflict, the tensions among Western allies underscored the ways they are struggling to maintain unity at a moment of apparent stalemate in the war and of flagging support, particularly in Washington.

For NATO the challenge now is to find some combination of new weapons and financial support without prompting a direct confrontation with Mr. Putin, never knowing precisely where that line is. It is a particularly difficult dance for Mr. Scholz.

Germany has provided more arms and promised more aid to Ukraine than any nation bar the United States but Mr. Scholz has drawn the line at the Taurus, whose powers, he fears, could particularly provoke Mr. Putin.

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Now It's Germany's Turn to Frustrate Allies Over Ukraine - The New York Times

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Putin the only winner as Poland’s Tusk flounders over Ukraine border fight – POLITICO Europe

Posted: at 3:58 pm

Russian grain producers recently boasted that they doubled their exports to the EU last year and are on course to reap another record harvest.

And Russia is using its prodigious exports to drive down international grain prices, which in turn has pushed prices in the EU to their lowest levels since 2020. That has made it less profitable for Polish farmers to sell their own grain. Instead of blaming Moscow, however, they have turned their anger on Kyiv.

In any case, an embargo on Russian goods just like the existing Ukrainian one, which was imposed by the previous Polish government but maintained when Tusk took over in December would do nothing to ease their situation because the amounts entering Poland are too small to cause market problems, according to Olipra, from Credit Agricole.

"This is a very short-term solution that puts out part of the fire, but let's not forget what the source of this fire is," he said, referring to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which exposed the extreme vulnerability of Poland's agricultural sector to foreign competition due to decades of political neglect and a lack of structural reforms.

Instead of letting the protesters direct their anger at Ukraine, Tusk and his government would be better off pursuing more pragmatic solutions, such as improving infrastructure and securing better contracts for farmers, according to Przemysaw Baejewski, an agricultural commodities broker at BST Brokers.

We are treating the situation by sticking on more Band-Aids, Baejewski wrote on X (formerly Twitter).

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Ukraines Zelensky struggles to draft more troops as Russia advances – The Washington Post

Posted: at 3:58 pm

KYIV Even as he promises international partners that Ukraine will handle the fighting if given needed weapons and other support, President Volodymyr Zelensky and his top military commanders have failed so far to come up with a clear plan to conscript or recruit many thousands of new soldiers critically needed to defend against Russias continuing attacks.

Zelenskys inability to forge a political consensus on a mobilization strategy despite months of warnings about a severe shortage of qualified troops on the front has fueled deep divisions in Ukraines parliament and more broadly in Ukrainian society. It has left the military relying on a hodgepodge of recruiting efforts and sown panic among fighting-age men, some of whom have gone into hiding, worried that they will be drafted into an ill-equipped army and sent to certain death given that aid for Ukraine remains stalled in Washington.

The quandary over how to fill the ranks has confronted Zelensky with perhaps the greatest challenge to his leadership since the start of the February 2022 invasion. The lack of a clear mobilization strategy or even agreement on how many more troops Ukraine needs factored into Zelenskys dismissal of his top general in February, but the new commander in chief, Oleksandr Syrsky, so far has brought no new clarity.

Syrsky has been tasked with auditing the existing armed forces to find more combat-eligible troops, after Zelenskys office recently announced that of the 1 million people who have been mobilized, only about 300,000 have fought at the front lines. But nearly a month after his promotion, no one in the military leadership or the presidential administration has explained where those 700,000 are or what they have been doing.

Ukrainian lawmakers say the lack of a unified message from the president and the military has added confusion over next steps.

I dont know why Zelensky or his team still try to convince society that everything is always fine, said Solomiia Bobrovska, a lawmaker from Holos, a liberal opposition party. Its not especially with the army.

Ukraines dwindling number of battle-ready troops is now a strategic crisis that was at least partially to blame for its recent retreat from the eastern city of Avdiivka and surrounding villages, where Ukrainian forces were far outnumbered.

Oleksiy Bezhevets, an adviser to the Defense Ministry on recruitment, said civilians of fighting age must accept that theres no time for you left to sit home.

Its quite possible Russians will move much closer quite soon if theres nobody to stop them, Bezhevets said. If, in addition to the lack of ammunition, weapons, shells and so on, weve got a lack of personnel, its a tragedy, he added.

But after two years of all-out war, the sense of public urgency that spurred new troops to the battlefield and fueled Ukraines early successes has faded. Many soldiers are wounded or exhausted.

For all this time, men between the ages of 18 and 60 have been banned from leaving the country, and men 27 and older have been eligible to be drafted, with some exceptions. Civilians between 18 and 27 can sign up on their own. Parliament has now spent months heatedly debating a bill that would change the mobilization process and widen the scope of the draft, in part by lowering the eligibility age to 25.

More than 4,000 amendments have been made to the mobilization bill, and some lawmakers see the measure as an attempt by Zelensky to pass off responsibility to parliament for inevitably unpopular decisions.

Its time to start an adult conversation with society and not to be afraid of it, Bobrovska said. Its not 2022, when emotions took over.

Zelensky has long tried to control public messaging about the state of the war to preserve public morale. He publicly announced a death toll for Ukrainian troops for the first time last weekend, saying that 31,000 have been killed since February 2022 a number that could not be independently confirmed.

Zelensky is also facing mounting pessimism at home and abroad about Ukraines chances of holding off the Russian onslaught without more help from the United States. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) has refused to take up legislation that includes some $60 billion in aid for Ukraine.

Its time for serious talks with society serious and honest talks and to explain what we have to do without any artificial bravery, said Volodymyr Aryev, a lawmaker from the opposition European Solidarity party.

Bobrovska is backing proposed changes to the bill that would ensure the demobilization of troops who have already served lengthy stints in front-line positions. As it stands, she said, the only way to be back is injured or killed.

War is math, she added. We have to count our resources.

Aryev voted against an earlier draft of the mobilization bill that he deemed too punitive. He opposes measures like suspending drivers licenses and seizing bank assets of citizens who do not register for the draft. In January, fearing such measures, account holders rushed to withdraw their money, taking out more than $700 million in a single month the most withdrawn since February 2022.

The priority, Aryev said, should be to guarantee to people who will be mobilized for military service that they will not be sent to the front line without trainings and without proper equipment. Its really scaring people and creates a lack of trust [in] the government.

Those fears are driving some draft-eligible men to take evasive steps.

One 31-year-old man, whose parents are living under Russian occupation in eastern Ukraine, said he is hiding in an apartment in Kyiv, fearful that he will be drafted and sent to the front unprepared and ill-equipped. He spoke on the condition of anonymity because of concerns for his safety.

In December, while visiting the central Ukrainian city of Vinnytsia, soldiers stopped him on the street and handed him a draft notice. He left without visiting the recruitment office there, hoping his case would disappear into a disorganized bureaucratic system.

But a month later, police in Kyiv stopped him for a random check. When they searched his name in their database, he saw the word WANTED pop up in big red letters. Officials in Vinnytsia had registered his failure to appear.

He was ordered to appear at a recruitment office the next morning, but had a panic attack and did not go. He has no military experience. You cannot imagine a person who is further from the army or military stuff, he said. It just doesnt really make sense to me to hunt me like that.

In November, the Defense Ministry partnered with Lobby X, a recruiting platform that posts job openings in the military, ranging from front-line roles to rear-end logistics or IT.

People first of all want to control their future as much as possible and want to have clarity about what they will do in the army, said Vladyslav Greziev, co-founder of Lobby X. While applications have soared for less risky posts, the challenge is to fill the combat positions, Greziev said.

The 31-year-old in hiding said he considered applying for a noncombat role but fears that once enrolled, he could be transferred to combat duty. For now, he plans to stay inside indefinitely until a lawyer can help resolve his case. Its still better than going there and dying in a week, which is my maximum, I think, he said.

Yaroslav Yurchyshyn, a member of parliament from the Holos party, said lawmakers are seeking an appropriate motivation mechanism to encourage enlistment, including bonuses for destroying Russian equipment and new financial benefits for veterans.

Its a hard discussion because previously we mobilized people who have this feeling of duty, Yurchyshyn said. Now we must motivate our people to serve in the army.

Bezhevets, the adviser to the Defense Ministry, said, The country has a future up to the moment where there are people who are ready to fight for it and to die for it.

I dont like to die for it its better to kill for it, he added. But despite the existential threat to Ukraine, many civilians, he said, are just dust in the wind.

Kostiantyn Khudov and Serhiy Morgunov in Kyiv contributed to this report.

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Ukraine first lady declines State of the Union invitation – The Hill

Posted: at 3:58 pm

Ukraine’s first lady Olena Zelenska was invited to attend President Biden’s State of the Union address but is unable to come, according to the White House.

Zelenska was invited by the White House to sit with first lady Jill Biden on Thursday during Biden’s address to Congress, but she declined.

The effort to have her present comes as the president has been pushing lawmakers to pass more aid to Ukraine for its war effort, a push he is expected to make during his speech because the second anniversary of Russia’s invasion into the region recently passed.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Washington in December to call for more aid and to urge unity in Congress against Russian aggression.

The White House had also invited Yulia Navalnaya, the widow of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, but she was also unable to come, according to the White House.

Biden met Navalnaya and her daughter, Dasha, in San Francisco last month shortly after Navalny died in a Russian prison on Feb. 16.

The first lady will sit at the address with Kate Cox, who sued for the right to terminate a nonviable pregnancy in Texas and later left the state to receive abortion care.

Also in attendance for the address will be the parents of detained Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich, who were invited by Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.).

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Ukraine hits behind frontlines as Odesa blasts rock Greek PM visit – Yahoo! Voices

Posted: at 3:58 pm

Ukraine stepped up attacks behind Russian lines on Wednesday with the apparent killing of a Russian election official in a car bomb and a drone assault on a metals plant.

Strikes also rocked the Ukrainian port city of Odesa during a visit by Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, who was holding talks in the city with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

Both Russia and Ukraine have increased their aerial attacks as Moscow's troops advance on the frontlines and Kyiv faces a shortage of manpower and weapons.

"We heard the sound of sirens and explosions that took place near us. We did not have time to get to a shelter. It is a very intense experience," Mitsotakis said through a translator in Odesa.

Zelensky said the strike had left "dead and wounded", but he did not have figures.

"You can see who we are facing. They don't care where they strike," he he told the joint press conference.

The apparent hit comes just days after 12 people, including five children, were killed when a Russian drone hit an apartment block in the Black Sea city, one of the deadliest attacks on civilians for weeks.

- Car bomb -

Authorities in the Russian-occupied city of Berdyansk in southern Ukraine said a local election official had been killed in a car bombing it blamed on Kyiv.

"A homemade explosive device was planted under the vehicle of a member of the precinct election commission," the Investigative Committee said in a statement.

"The victim died from her injuries," it added, publishing a video of a blown-out small beige car parked on a dirt track.

The attack came with early voting already underway across occupied Ukraine for this month's Russian presidential election.

The Moscow-installed head of the Zaporizhzhia region Yevgeny Balitsky blamed Ukrainian authorities for the attack and said they were trying to "intimidate" residents ahead of the ballot.

A number of Russian-installed officials have been targeted since Moscow launched its full-scale military operation in Ukraine two years ago.

Russia also said Ukraine hit a fuel tank at a metals plant in the Kursk region in an early morning drone strike.

"A drone attacked a fuel and lubricants warehouse," at the Mikhailovsky Mining and Processing Plant in the city of Zheleznogorsk, some 90 kilometres (55 miles) from the border with Ukraine, Kursk governor Roman Starovoyt said.

Videos posted on Russian social media showed thick grey smoke billowing as a fire raged inside a cylindrical fuel storage tank.

- Fortifications -

Ukrainian forces have launched a wave of drone attacks at Russian energy facilities in recent months, trying to target the country's vital energy and gas sector that it says fuels the invasion.

Meanwhile, Russian-installed officials said a Ukrainian artillery strike on Kreminna, a town in Ukraine's Lugansk region, killed two people.

Five more were killed when a bus drove over a mine in Kirovsk, also in Lugansk, the Moscow-appointed head of the region said.

Lugansk is one of the four Ukrainian regions -- along with Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhia -- that Russia claimed to annex in 2022.

The region has been at war since 2014 when Russian-backed separatists tried to secede following a pro-EU revolution in Kyiv.

On the frontlines, the Ukrainian army said Wednesday it had built an "extensive system" of fortifications near the town of Adviivka -- captured last month by Russia -- in a bid to stop further Russian advances.

Hold-ups to Western aid, mainly a crucial $60-billion package from the United States, have left Ukraine's troops in a vulnerable position, forced to ration ammunition and unable to mount large-scale offensives.

- 'Active combat zone' -

Russian President Vladimir Putin also held talks with the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Rafael Grossi, in Sochi to discuss the situation at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.

The facility, Europe's largest nuclear energy site, was seized by Russian troops in the first days of the war.

Speaking to AFP ahead of the meeting, Grossi rejected Russian suggestions that the plant could be put back online.

"That is not imminent," he told AFP in response to suggestions by the Russian operator that it could be switched back on.

"First of all, this is an active combat zone, and this cannot be forgotten. Secondly, this plant has been in shutdown for a prolonged period of time," he added.

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This little rover will ride shotgun on Japan’s ambitious Mars moon sample-return mission – Space.com

Posted: at 3:58 pm

A small rover built in Europe has arrived in Japan in preparation for its voyage to Mars.

The autonomous 55-pound (25-kilogram) rover is called IDEFIX and is part of the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency's (JAXA) Martian Moon Exploration (MMX) probe that aims to collect samples of the Mars' moon, Phobos.

The little, four-wheeled rover recently arrived in Japan, according to a Feb. 26 post on X (formerly known as Twitter) written by the MMX mission account.

Related: New Japanese spacecraft aims to explore the mysterious moons of Mars

IDEFIX, named for the small white dog in the Asterix comics, was jointly built by the German Aerospace Center (known by the German acronym DLR) and the French space agency Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES).

The main MMX spacecraft aims to grab 0.35 ounces (10 grams) of Phobos' material in 2029. It will then send the precious cargo towards Earth; arrival is expected to occur in 2031. IDEFIX will play a part in this overall objective by landing on Phobos first and gathering key information in preparation for the landing of the main spacecraft. The rover will also analyze the Martian moon's surface composition and texture at selected locations, according to DLR if it can land and operate successfully in a near zero-gravity environment all by itself, that is.

"The biggest challenge for IDEFIX is that it has to carry out many operations particularly the uprighting after landing on Phobos fully autonomously in order to survive," Stphane Mary, CNES Project Manager for IDEFIX, said in a DLR statement. "It wouldn't survive if it waited for commands from Earth to arrive."

A key goal of MMX is to determine whether Phobos and its fellow Martian satellite Deimos are captured asteroids or a coalescence of fragments that were blown into orbit after a giant impact struck Mars.

MMX was originally scheduled to launch in September of this year, yet doubts over the readiness of the new Japanese H3 rocket meant JAXA took the decision to delay the mission until the next Mars launch window in 2026.

H3 has since reached Earth orbit for the first time, bouncing back from the failure of its debut launch in 2023. The mission will launch on an H3 rocket from Tanegashima Space Center in 2026, hopefully arriving in Mars orbit in 2027 to begin mapping and analyzing Deimos and Phobos. IDEFIX and the main MMX spacecraft will then be able to land on Phobos in 2029.

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The science value of Mars Sample Return – The Planetary Society

Posted: at 3:58 pm

For all the wonders robotic space missions have to offer, they are limited by mass, power, and size requirements. We cant carry all our large, precise laboratory equipment to space. That limits us when we want to precisely know a rocks age, the conditions in which it formed, and whether it carries signatures of past life, said Jeffrey Johnson, a planetary geologist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory.

Many Martian science objectives can only be achieved by analyzing returned samples in laboratories on Earth, he said. The sophisticated instruments at such facilities can detect subtle chemical, mineralogical, and morphological signatures with greater precision and accuracy than is possible with miniaturized robotic instruments on the Martian surface.

Whereas a single spacecraft instrument tends to be designed for one particular function, the samples we return from Mars can be subjected to the full range of current and future scientific tools available on Earth.

Its not that we cant miniaturize and flight-harden one instrument, its that we cant do it for all the instruments and analyses that wed be able to perform on these rocks once theyre returned to Earth, said Amy Williams, an assistant professor in geological sciences at the University of Florida.

Many important analytical tests performed on rock and soil samples require careful preparation using fluids or slicing at ultrafine, nanometer scales. That just cant happen on Mars. Nor can we bring to Mars the full range of equipment found in a single geosciences department, let alone the scope of advanced laboratories around the Earth. With returned samples, multiple labs will work together to validate, verify, and confirm key findings multiple lines of evidence for, and confidence in, important scientific discoveries. This level of certainty and reproducibility is critical for bombshell results such as a possible sign of past life.

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Study determines the original orientations of rocks drilled on Mars – MIT News

Posted: at 3:58 pm

As it trundles around an ancient lakebed on Mars, NASAs Perseverance rover is assembling a one-of-a-kind rock collection. The car-sized explorer is methodically drilling into the Red Planets surface and pulling out cores of bedrock that its storing in sturdy titanium tubes. Scientists hope to one day return the tubes to Earth and analyze their contents for traces of embedded microbial life.

Since it touched down on the surface of Mars in 2021, the rover has filled 20 of its 43 tubes with cores of bedrock. Now, MIT geologists have remotely determined a crucial property of the rocks collected to date, which will help scientists answer key questions about the planets past.

Image: NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU/MSSS

In a study appearing today in the journal Earth and Space Science, an MIT team reports that they have determined the original orientation of most bedrock samples collected by the rover to date. By using the rovers own engineering data, such as the positioning of the vehicle and its drill, the scientists could estimate the orientation of each sample of bedrock before it was drilled out from the Martian ground.

The results represent the first time scientists have oriented samples of bedrock on another planet. The teams method can be applied to future samples that the rover collects as it expands its exploration outside the ancient basin. Piecing together the orientations of multiple rocks at various locations can then give scientists clues to the conditions on Mars in which the rocks originally formed.

There are so many science questions that rely on being able to know the orientation of the samples were bringing back from Mars, says study author Elias Mansbach, a graduate student in MITs Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences.

The orientation of rocks can tell you something about any magnetic field that may have existed on the planet, adds Benjamin Weiss, professor of planetary sciences at MIT. You can also study how water and lava flowed on the planet, the direction of the ancient wind, and tectonic processes, like what was uplifted and what sunk. So its a dream to be able to orient bedrock on another planet, because its going to open up so many scientific investigations.

Weiss and Mansbachs co-authors are Tanja Bosak and Jennifer Fentress at MIT, along with collaborators at multiple institutions including the Jet Propulsion Laboratory at Caltech.

Profound shift

The Perseverance rover, nicknamed Percy, is exploring the floor of Jezero Crater, a large impact crater layered with igneous rocks, which may have been deposited from past volcanic eruptions, as well as sedimentary rocks that likely formed from long-dried-out rivers that fed into the basin.

Image: NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU/MSSS

Image: NASA/JPL-Caltech/ASU/MSSS

Mars was once warm and wet, and theres a possibility there was life there at one time, Weiss says. Its now cold and dry, and something profound must have happened on the planet.

Many scientists, including Weiss, suspect that Mars, like Earth, once harbored a magnetic field that shielded the planet from the suns solar wind. Conditions then may have been favorable for water and life, at least for a time.

Once that magnetic field went away, the suns solar wind this plasma that boils off the sun and moves faster than the speed of sound just slammed into Mars atmosphere and may have removed it over billions of years, Weiss says. We want to know what happened, and why.

The rocks beneath the Martian surface likely hold a record of the planets ancient magnetic field. When rocks first form on a planets surface, the direction of their magnetic minerals is set by the surrounding magnetic field. The orientation of rocks can thus help to retrace the direction and intensity of the planets magnetic field and how it changed over time.

Since the Perseverance rover was collecting samples of bedrock, along with surface soil and air, as part of its exploratory mission, Weiss, who is a member of the rovers science team, and Mansbach looked for ways to determine the original orientation of the rovers bedrock samples as a first step toward reconstructing Mars magnetic history.

It was an amazing opportunity, but initially there was no mission requirement to orient bedrock, Mansbach notes.

Roll with it

Over several months, Mansbach and Weiss met with NASA engineers to hash out a plan for how to estimate the original orientation of each sample of bedrock before it was drilled out of the ground. The problem was a bit like predicting what direction a small circle of sheetcake is pointing, before twisting a round cookie cutter in to pull out a piece. Similarly, to sample bedrock, Perseverance corkscrews a tube-shaped drill into the ground at a perpendicular angle, then pulls the drill directly back out, along with any rock that it penetrates.

To estimate the orientation of the rock before it was drilled out of the ground, the team realized they need to measure three angles, the hade, azimuth, and roll, which are similar to the pitch, yaw, and roll of a boat. The hade is essentially the tilt of the sample, while the azimuth is the absolute direction the sample is pointing relative to true north. The roll refers to how much a sample must turn before returning to its original position.

In talking with engineers at NASA, the MIT geologists found that the three angles they required were related to measurements that the rover takes on its own in the course of its normal operations. They realized that to estimate a samples hade and azimuth they could use the rovers measurements of the drills orientation, as they could assume the tilt of the drill is parallel to any sample that it extracts.

To estimate a samples roll, the team took advantage of one of the rovers onboard cameras, which snaps an image of the surface where the drill is about to sample. They reasoned that they could use any distinguishing features on the surface image to determine how much the sample would have to turn in order to return to its original orientation.

In cases where the surface bore no distinguishing features, the team used the rovers onboard laser to make a mark in the rock, in the shape of the letter L, before drilling out a sample a move that was jokingly referred to at the time as the first graffiti on another planet.

By combining all the rovers positioning, orienting, and imaging data, the team estimated the original orientations of all 20 of the Martian bedrock samples collected so far, with a precision that is comparable to orienting rocks on Earth.

We know the orientations to within 2.7 degrees uncertainty, which is better than what we can do with rocks in the Earth, Mansbach says. Were working with engineers now to automate this orienting process so that it can be done with other samples in the future.

The next phase will be the most exciting, Weiss says. The rover will drive outside the crater to get the oldest known rocks on Mars, and its an incredible opportunity to be able to orient these rocks, and hopefully uncover a lot of these ancient processes.

This research was supported, in part, by NASA and the Mars 2020 Participating Scientist program.

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The secret history of water on Mars: What ancient climate change tells us about the future on Earth – Salon

Posted: at 3:58 pm

If you suddenly found yourself standing on the surface of Mars, it would feel like youd been transported into a dusty space western. The arid soil lays a rocky palette of red powder across the horizon, where youd see sprawling canyons and old volcanoes with edges whipped sharp by unforgiving wind storms. But, 4.5 billion years ago, this barren wasteland was home to a rich system of groundwater, vast oceans and galloping rivers. And in the the past month, a growing tide of scientific research has begun uncovering a hidden history of Mars once-rushing waters.

Evidence of an ancient planet-wide groundwater system, previously only theorized, was discovered in 2019. But only recently, in early February, a NASA spacecraft brought back exciting images of Mars surface which contained evidence the planet teemed with flowing water across an ancient spread of now-dry lake beds, channels, valleys and gullies. The same week, the European Space Agencys Mars Express discovered ice buried under the equator, hinting at massive groundwater aquifers.

Unlocking the secret of how those aquifers recharge (or refill) is the next step in exploring a possible human future on Mars. Last November, a team of Chinese scientists found a way to create oxygen out of the water found on Mars. Now, researchers at the University of Texas at Austin have combined a number of methods from new computer models to simple back-of-the-envelope calculations to uncover something curious about how that ice came to be in the first place. Despite a climate full of surging rainstorms, the scientists said, early Martian soil simply didnt absorb much of it. The groundwater systems refilled themselves, but we have no idea how.

Understanding groundwater flow can help inform where to find water today, said lead study author Eric Hiatt, in a university release. Whether youre looking for signs of ancient life, trying to sustain human explorers, or making rocket fuel to get back home to Earth, its essential to know where the water would most likely be.

"Understanding groundwater flow can help inform where to find water today."

The new findings, published in the journal Icarus, raise even more questions about how water systems work on Mars compared to those which exist on Earth today. And, because these groundwater systems likely fed Mars ancient network of lakes, finding out how long it took those lakes to fill up and overflow onto the surface could help us figure out whether, and where, life on Mars may have existed in the past.

The fact that the groundwater isnt as big of a process could mean that other things are, Hiatt said. It might magnify the importance of runoff, or it could mean that it just didnt rain as much on Mars. But its just fundamentally different from how we think about [water] on Earth.

Much of the groundwater mystery centers on one of Mars most notable features, called the great dichotomy. The term describes the stark difference in land height between two of the planets regions the northern lowlands and the southern highlands. This contrast in elevation is where we can see how groundwater aquifers surged up to the surface, creating markers and leaving a trail of evidence for scientists to follow today.

Researchers said most of the liquid water that existed on Mars billions of years ago resided in a vast ocean in the northern lowlands. But when Hiatts team used their new combination of computer modeling techniques to analyze the great dichotomy, they were able to estimate how much groundwater recharge occurred in the Martian southern highlands.

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The mystery deepened when researchers found the groundwater aquifers in the southern highlands on Mars only recharged about 0.03 millimeters (0.001 inches) per year. The Trinity and Edwards-Trinity Plateau aquifers which provide water for the city of San Antonio range between 2.5 to 50 millimeters (0.1 inches to 2 inches) per year. Thats 80 to 1600 times more annual recharge than Martian groundwater.

While other studies have simulated groundwater flow on Mars using similar techniques, this research by [Hiatt] published in [Icarus] is the first to incorporate the influence of the oceans that existed on Mars more than three billion years ago, in the Hellas, Argyre, and Borealis basins, the university said in a tweet.

Even as the sharp differences between Mars and Earths water systems emerge in the teams latest findings, research like this could also help us understand how to survive water and climate changes on our own planet. The technology were using to find water on Mars now, for instance, can also double in value for our own planets inhabitants. Using it to find leaks in public water systems has already proven to be a more effective and inexpensive than traditional methods.

"When we think about what Mars looked like 3.5 billion years ago, we probably should be thinking about an environment that in some ways looks a lot like Earth," said University of Texas Associate Professor Tim Goudge in a 2021 interview.

Mars atmosphere was thick and wet, with four times more pressure than Earths today and resulting raindrops that were so tiny they looked more like a dense fog and couldnt even penetrate the soil. As that pressure waned, though, rainfall came down hard on the Red Planets surface, carving grooves and valleys. Just as floods on Earth carved out the Grand Canyon, catastrophic floods accounted for a quarter of Mars surface erosion, according to UTA researchers.

Then things changed. Mars lost its magnetic field, and with it the vast oceans which contained more water than contained in the Earths Artic Ocean today. A new theory from the University of Chicago emerged on Feb. 14 after a duo of scientists examined sediment and erosion evidence on Mars and noticed a pattern in the planets history.

Like Earth, which has over the past billion years experienced periods of global glaciations and hyperthermals, the climate history of early Mars may have been intermittent, the study authors write in Nature Geosciences.

We suggest that Mars did not undergo a single wet-to-dry transition, but rather experienced seven major climate transitions, with the planet intermittently under climates warm enough to support surface liquid water even after 3.0billion years ago (Ga). However, there is evidence for long dry spells, with some locations fully dry after 3.6Ga.

The study also looks into the reasons driving these climate shifts testing hypotheses about volcanic eruptions and changes in the planets axial tilt. This new wave of Martian water research is quickly expanding our base of knowledge about alien climates, and understanding how a procession of climate changes could dramatically shape Mars could give us key insight into the challenges Earth may face as it encounters its own climate upheaval.

Critically, though, the more we can figure out about the mystery of Martian water, the sooner we can figure out how human life on a new planet could work and how, if ever, it worked in the past.

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Bridging the cultural divide for moon to Mars – SpaceNews

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Bridging cultures to serve a greater goal is extremely hard. NASA has three dominant cultures, human spaceflight (HSF), engineering and science, which must be integrated to achieve the grand objective of returning humans to the moon and going on to Mars. In the moon to Mars (M2M) Architecture document, NASA clearly explains the purpose of these extraordinary efforts: to conduct world-class science, to establish a national posture that will affect humanitys future and to inspire current and future generations.

In my 50 year career, Ive seen the space world from many different vantage points: National Lab, startup venture, consultant, center director of NASA Ames, peer-reviewed journal editor and adjunct professor at Stanford. These experiences have exposed me to the strengths and weaknesses of all three cultures and given me some insights on how they must be blended to explore other worlds.

As the founder of NASAs Astrobiology Institute, I learned firsthand that getting disparate scientists, including geologists, astronomers and biologists to work together can be challenging. The very first requirement was developing a common language to bridge the chasms among minerals, parsecs and DNA, for example. Alongside a greater understanding of the other disciplines came an absolute need to be in the same room at the same time. Exchanging documents and papers is fine, but only after the various science groups, led by a highly respected scientist who values interdisciplinary work, have first reached a consensus. Science is a grassroots endeavor where all must be heard, a consensus reached after extended debate and then an ongoing reexamination as new data emerges. Such is true as well for developing M2M science objectives.

In 1999, two NASA Mars missions disappeared. As a result of these failures, I was asked to go to NASA HQs and fix the mess. Upon my arrival, I found that at least five different individuals claimed leadership of the existing Mars program. My first duty was to clarify that I would be in charge as the first-ever Mars Program Director. Todays program suffers a similar problem: Those of us observing Artemis and M2M cannot identify the overall leader. This must be remedied. Next, the distrust between organizations and cultures needed to be bridged. Leading scientists to work with engineers (and vice versa) to develop a flight project is a unique challenge requiring special management skills. The fundamental need is for each group to understand and respect the capabilities and contributions of the other. Scientists discover things, using the time-tested method of hypothesis generation, experimentation and data analysis; engineers build things using established procedures of physics, design, analysis and test. Getting scientists to create implementable requirements that will lead to new discoveries and engineers to develop a robust design that is cost effective is best achieved through an iterative approach that utilizes the best program leadership available. Im happy to say that the restructuring my team and I accomplished resulted in a 20-year architecture of successful Mars missions.

In 2003, I was asked to serve as the only NASA member of the Columbia Accident Investigation Board. For seven months, the board labored deep inside the Shuttle program to determine not only the technical reasons for the loss of crew and vehicle, but what organizational and cultural issues led to the tragedy. I learned that the HSF mindset tends to be top-down and hierarchical, accompanied by a strong personal dedication to the mission. This culture also brings along with it more than a bit of stubbornness. It was only after my live TV demonstration of the technical cause of the accident that all what ifs vanished and a consensus Return to Flight approach could be adopted.

In the end, while the scientific community can resemble a debating society, HSF seems more like the military with its chain of command. That said, the critical difference from scientific work is that in HSF, lives are at stake. Compared to robotic science missions, human crewed missions to the moon or Mars must include Human Health and Performance requirements, presenting an undeniable fundamental distinction between the two mindsets. The engineering culture supports both enterprises, although in somewhat different ways.

Serving on the Columbia Accident Investigation Board also taught me that once established, a culture changes only slowly, under- constant pressure and leadership from the top. Because science is formally stated as one of the three pillars for NASAs exploration architecture, achieving a unified, so-called One NASA approach for M2M will need a blending of science, engineering and unique HSF attributes. And that will take some time years, probably. Merely changing the name plaque on the door or a box on an organizational chart is not nearly sufficient.

What can be done to facilitate and accelerate bridging the cultural divide? I think there must be a real dedication to a One NASA M2M program, starting by asking the top leadership (Administrator, Deputy Administrator and Associate Administrator) to embrace the principles of cross-organizational culture change, and then ensuring the next layer of NASA leadership is skilled in and committed to interdisciplinary and cross-organizational efforts. In that spirit, I recommend that NASA HQs immediately appoint a program scientist with authority and stature equal to the existing program management staff for Artemis and M2M.

Next, there needs to be a series of corresponding project scientists at lower levels who work shoulder to shoulder with the current Artemis and M2M project staff and engineers. Those scientists must be skilled in planetary science, astrobiology and Human Health and Performance disciplines, and must be able to communicate with the external communities.

Finally, I suggest an independent Standing Review Board populated by individuals outside of NASA that include senior scientists (with acknowledged achievements in the sciences described above), engineers, technologists, managers and leaders who can meet regularly to review the progress of Artemis and M2M. This group cannot be reactive but must be proactive in its pursuit of the One NASA goal of humanity exploring other worlds to meet the three pillars of science, national posture, and inspiration.

Returning humans to the moon and going on to Mars is a generational goal that may require new organizational structures, technologies and scientific creativity, but this is a challenge worthy of a great nation and America is up to the task!

G. Scott Hubbard has held key roles at NASA, including director of Ames Research Center, first Mars Program director, founder of NASAs Astrobiology Institute, and the agencys sole member of the Columbia Accident Investigation Board. Hubbard, now retired, serves on committees for the National Academy, NASA, and others, holding eight NASA medals, including the Distinguished Service Medal.

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