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Daily Archives: August 30, 2023
Union pool recognized by training company | Local News … – The Missourian
Posted: August 30, 2023 at 1:28 am
The Union Splash-N-Swimplex is taking note of how it is rated with the company that trains its lifeguards.
The facility and lifeguards are rated by StarGuard Elite. According to the minutes from the Aug. 14 Board of Aldermen meeting, the guards were rated a four out of five the last two years, while the pool itself received a rating five out of six.
Parks Director Chad Pohlmann presented trainers Kate Schroeder and Alyson Heggemann with an Aquatic Safety Award. Theyre the two certified trainers in StarGuard training, Pohlmann said of Schroeder and Heggemann, who are both city employees. They train all of our guards.
The plaque that will be updated every year with a new medallion with the years ratings.
The award was for the 2022 season. The ratings for the 2023 swimming season, which ended Aug. 20, will be submitted later. The 2022 year is in there, Pohlmann said. Once we get the 2023 rating, we can put that in, as well.
StarGuard officials come in and perform audits at the pool, Pohlmann said.
They assess how well the guards are doing in things related to their jobs, as far as scanning the water, reacting to different things that would happen, he said. Well simulate drownings and how they respond to that. They say in these areas youre great, in these areas you need to grow.
Union switched to StarGuard for the 2020 swim season after previously using American Red Cross lifeguard training, according to previous Missourian reporting.
StarGuard, based in Orlando, Florida, was founded in 1999 and has more than 300 clients worldwide, according to the companys website. Its clients are split between public and private entities. Along with park systems, clients include waterparks, hotels and resorts, pool management companies, swim schools, camps and even private islands.
StarGuard claims to use evidence-based protocols that are the most evolutionary and up to date of any training agency in the world.
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Arctic Circle Express Train Journey in Lofoten Islands and Narvik … – Luxury Travel Magazine
Posted: at 1:28 am
For 2024, Up Norway, the leading curator of sustainable luxury travel experiences in Norway, will be offering a northern extension to its Arctic Circle Express Train Journey with stops in Lofoten and then on to Narvik.
The 15-night rail centric experience begins in Oslo, the vibrant heart of Norway where a bustling metropolitan atmosphere meets pioneering art, architecture, and design. The itinerary continues on from Oslo by train, stopping in Bergen, lesund, Trondheim, Bod, and, with the new extension, Lofoten and Narvik. With Bod poised to shine as the European Capital of Culture in 2024, an extra layer of cultural enrichment adds to the allure. Along the entire journey, travelers will enjoy personal encounters with locals that offer unique perspectives, a diversity of local sea and farm to table cuisine, and impactful activities from cruising the fjord and kayaking along narrow waterways to the UNESCO protected Bryggen Wharf, hiking the Alnes lighthouse on Godya island, exploration of both large cities and small town, and more. In Lofoten, with the added trip extension, travelers can enjoy remote villages, a dramatic Scenic Route, adrenaline-pumping arctic surfing, and international art collections. Then, theyll progress on to Narvik where a private guided tour of the War Museum offers insight into the World War II events that shaped the area. Additionally, the Narvikfjellet Cable Car provides panoramic views of the city and its surrounding fjords and mountains.
But perhaps the standout highlight of this itinerary is the journey itself on a trio of Norway's most spectacular railways: Flm, Rauma, and Ofotbanen. The Flm Railway, an engineering marvel and Europe's steepest rail line, treats travelers to a descent of 2,828 feet to the fjord below. Meanwhile, the Rauma Railway offers an unrivaled passage through the dramatic Romsdalen valley, and the Ofotbanen Arctic Train is a unique marvel fully above the Arctic Circle presenting panoramic views of towering peaks and cascading waterfalls.
Luxurious and authentic accommodations range from boutique hotels that overlook the commanding Hardangerjkulen glacier to the cozy embrace of a traditional fisherman's cabin. In 2024, guests can also opt to stay at the brand new Basecamp Narvik in the Narvikfjellet Mountains.
This enhanced 15-night itinerary invites discerning travelers to embark on an immersive adventure through Norway's captivating Northern landscapes, unveiling hidden gems and rich cultural experiences along the way. Up Norway provides effortless travel experiences every step of the journey over dates of ones choosing. Guests are provided with a comprehensive pre-trip digital guide filled with insider tips and recommendations, all travel details, and a 24-hour direct chat to access the Up Norway team with any questions.
The 15-night Arctic Circle Express with Lofoten and Narvik starts at $6,587 USD per person for a couple. Without the extension, the 11-night Arctic Circle Express Journey starts at $4,639 USD per person. For more details about the new extension of the Arctic Circle Express Itinerary, visit https://upnorway.com/journeys/hop-on-the-arctic-circle-express-train.
Photo Credit: Kylling Bru (Leif Johnny Olestad)
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How Maui’s Wildfire Sparked a Disaster Capitalist Power Grab for … – Earthjustice
Posted: at 1:28 am
On August 8, 2023, massive wildfires raged through the historic West Maui town of Lahaina. Once upon a time, Lahaina was a vibrant and productive wetland community central to Native Hawaiian culture and commerce, known as the Venice of the Pacific. Excessive water diversions by plantations and land developers with colonial roots turned Lahaina into a desert overrun by dry invasive grasses. More than a century of water and land mismanagement, in addition to drought worsened by climate change, set the conditions for the most devastating wildfire in the history of Hawaii and the entire United States in more than a century. As recovery efforts begin, the fight for who controls Mauis waters is rearing its head.
To understand what is happening in the aftermath of the unprecedented wildfires in Lahaina, it is important to understand the history of water law and policy in Hawaii. For those who have visited Lahaina, it may be hard to imagine, but in the 1850s Lahaina was verdant. The royal capitol of the Hawaiian Kingdom, this town bustled amid rivers and waterways with an actively managed fishpond in the center. Streams were understood then to be the lifeblood of the communities that grew up around them.
As the 19th century waned, plantation barons grabbed land and water across the islands, then conspired to illegally overthrow the Hawaiian nation. Their monocrop plantations of pineapple and sugarcane spread across the Hawaiian Islands, and most streams were so extensively diverted that the streambeds were dry most of the time. For Lahaina, this meant the fishpond and the wetlands eventually turned to dirt. In place of native lowland forests, a variety of highly invasive and flammable grasses and brush took over.
At the turn of the 20th century, Native Hawaiians faced a rolling mass extinction event in the form of a pandemic, economic invasion, political coup, and widespread displacement happening all around the same time. As plantations drained rivers and streams dry for private profit, traditional Hawaiian society and culture suffered. But under both customary and contemporary law, water is a public trust that belongs to the people, including generations yet unborn.
The modern movement to restore water as a public trust began with the Hawaii Supreme Court, led by Chief Justice Richardson. The court ruled in the McBryde case in 1973 that the state and its people had an interest in river flows diverted by two plantations. This historic decision was part of a cultural and legal renaissance leading to the establishment of the public trust doctrine in Hawaiis constitution in 1978, and the water code and water commission in 1987.
Fast forward to the 1990s, and many of the plantation companies have converted into real estate companies specializing in luxury subdivisions and resorts. The water for the landscaping, golf courses, swimming pools, and decorative fountains for these new developments was the water previously used to irrigate sugar and pineapple that is, the water taken from Hawaiians, sometimes by force, by plantation barons a century earlier.
For Lahaina, this meant that millions of gallons of water a day were diverted from the highest reaches of their streams and sent to luxury homes and resort hotels on either side of Lahaina for their non-potable water uses. Diverting that much water for such an extended time meant that Lahaina itself evolved into a desert. Native Hawaiians who endured on their ancestral homes lived along streambeds that were dry most of the time.
To address this imbalance and injustice, the mostly working-class community of Maui Komohana came together over a multi-year effort to support the state Water Commission in establishing instream flow standards (IFSs) and designating their ground and surface water resources as a Water Management Area (WMA). The large private land and water companies strongly opposed these efforts because it would foster public transparency and accountability and curtail greedy private diversions. The Maui Komohana community secured their historic WMA designation last summer, and the first permit applications for Maui Komohanas newly protected water resources were due to the water commission on Monday August 7th, one day before the devastating wildfires.
In a series of letters sent to the Chair of the Department of Land and Natural Resources between August 9 and 11, one of the big landowners and private water diverters in the area, West Maui Land Co. (which bought out Pioneer Mill, a sugar plantation in Lahaina established in 1860), insinuated that the water commissions deputy director prevented them from taking more water to fight the fires. This is dishonest because the West Maui Land Co.s reservoirs are not connected to the countys fire hydrant system, and the helicopters were grounded due to high winds.
The Governor responded by falsely accusing community members for opposing the use of water to fight fires, suspending the state Water Code, and signaling his intent to reverse the designation of the Maui Komohana Water Management Area and make changes to the Water Code next legislative session. This blitzkrieg attack culminated in the ousting of Kaleo Manuel, the most diligent and respected water deputy to date. He is the longest serving water deputy and the first of Native Hawaiian ancestry.
At the same time, on the east side of Maui, the Attorney General filed an action before the Hawaii Supreme Court blaming the environmental courts recent ruling in favor of community efforts to restore instream flows as the cause of the fires in that region. Their argument is blatant and shameful opportunism. The County of Maui filed a motion clarifying that more water in the east Maui reservoirs (that are operated by Alexander & Baldwin, a former plantation company, and Mahi Pono, a farming company) would not have helped fight any of the fires on Maui in August.
Thankfully communities from across Hawaii are coming together now in solidarity for Lahaina and for our public trust water resources. Learn more about the movement to return water to Hawaiis streams across the islands.
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Pres. inaugurates completed projects in three islands of Laamu atoll – Raajjemv
Posted: at 1:28 am
Newly completed infrastructure projects have been inaugurated in three islands of Laamu atoll.
President Ibrahim Mohamed Solih inaugurated the projects during separate ceremonies held in Isdhoo, Kalaidhoo and Dhanbidhoo islands on Monday.
Inaugurated on Monday were water supply networks on all three islands and an upgraded harbor in Isdhoo.
President Solih was accorded a warm welcome upon arrival in all three islands.
The Maldivian leader inaugurated the projects as part of his campaign tour across Laamu atoll, ongoing as part of his bid for re-election in this years Presidential election, slated for September.
The Maldives Transport and Contracting Company (MTCC) was contracted to complete the Isdhoo island harbor under which the company conducted harbor basin and channel dredging operations and established a seawall measuring 160 meters. Further, MTCC also developed a 48-meter quay wall, a revetment measuring 98 meters and other port-related work.
This upgrade is expected to enhance the functionality and safety of the island harbor, for residents and visitors alike.
The water supply networks on Isdhoo and Kalaidhoo were carried out by S.M.C. Infrastructure Private Limited with S.A.S. E. Construction Private Limited having completed the water supply network on Dhanbidhoo.
These initiatives came under the administration's efforts to develop water networks across all inhabited islands and aim to significantly improve the quality of life for local communities by providing access to clean and reliable water sources.
The incumbent administration has made significant strides towards the equitable development of all inhabited islands nationwide without discrimination, under the capable leadership of President Solih.
The government-led initiatives have ensured that the quality of life of island residents has been enhanced and they have been empowered to lead dignified lives.
President Solih has been officially inaugurating several development initiatives that have been completed across the scatter of islands comprising the Maldives, as part of his campaign tours.
The initiatives underway on the islands represent significant investments in the development and well-being of island communities and are expected to enhance their quality of life.
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Insight: Boosting Resilience of Pacific Islands’ Infrastructure – Mirage News
Posted: at 1:28 am
For more than 50 years, Australia and the Pacific have worked together to achieve lasting sovereignty, stability, security and prosperity for all Pacific countries and peoples.
A major part of Australia's development program to the Pacific is infrastructure development. Australia is the largest infrastructure financier to Pacific governments after the Asian Development Bank (ADB).
ADB estimates over US$30 billion needs to be invested in the Pacific's infrastructure by 2030. Better roads, ports, telecommunications, water and energy infrastructure will underpin economic development, increase employment and attract investment into new industries. It will enable Pacific nations to integrate with global supply chains and participate in the global economy.
At a grassroots level, robust infrastructure ensures remote Pacific communities can access essential services. There is also an urgent need for climate-resilient infrastructure.
The Developing Sustainable Resilient Infrastructure in the Blue Pacific Conference will highlight opportunities for Australian companies to invest in or build infrastructure across the Pacific. Attendees will hear about countries' infrastructure pipelines for the next 35 years and how to get involved in these projects. The conference will help companies understand how to engage with businesses in the Pacific Islands, including how to work with local workforces and supply chains.
'Australian companies make solid business partners for Pacific organisations,' says Adrian Weeks, Austrade's Senior Trade Commissioner, Port Moresby and Solomon Islands. 'We are well regarded for delivering high-quality projects in partnership with Pacific companies and development agencies.
This conference will present great opportunities to bring innovative solutions to projects. This innovation can then be transferred to project partners, building local capacity and new capabilities.
International development donors have made major investments in the Pacific that have improved the quality of life. The investments have helped bring essential services such as water storage and treatment, hospitals and schools to remote communities.
However, Pacific Island countries are among the most exposed nations, globally, to the effects of climate change. Yet many lack the resources and capacity to respond to external shocks because of ageing or inadequate roads, sea walls, ports and power networks.
The Pacific region also faces energy challenges. Its limited supply of fossil fuels has led to a historical dependence on imported diesel for power generation. This has made nations vulnerable to fluctuating energy prices.
At the same time, outdated power infrastructure, geographical dispersion, small economies of scale, and limited generation capacity have resulted in high power costs, transmission and distribution losses, and low electrification rates.
The most critical infrastructure projects are focused on strengthening climate and disaster resilience. These include building new marinas and seawalls and investing in renewable energy projects. There is high demand for construction services for the marine environment, renewable energy solutions, and power infrastructure and transmission.
Projects differ between nations. In Fiji, the focus is on improving water supply and treatment, with the Water Authority of Fiji tendering for suppliers. Samoa, Tonga and Kiribati are seeking renewable energy products to reduce their use of diesel fuel. Meanwhile, renewing port infrastructure is top of mind for Papua New Guinea.
Australian companies continue to deliver on major projects. Power Protection Industries (PPI) is customising electrical solutions for infrastructure projects across the Pacific. Hall Contracting, Australia's largest dredging company, is delivering climate adaptation projects with a focus on community resilience in Nuie and Tuvalu. Hydroflux is providing ecologically sustainable water and wastewater solutions for businesses and municipalities in Fiji. Geofabrics has developed a range of coast protection solutions to build climate resilience.
Australian companies are not only building infrastructure, they are helping train the next generation. Beca HunterH20 is working with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade through the Australian Water Partnership. This initiative includes the Young Water Professionals program, which is helping train young people in the Pacific region.
'We've trained them in a range of areas around modern water utilities,' says Peter Dennis, Beca HunterH20's General Manager of Water. 'These include governance and technical skills and procurement and risk and built their toolbox to become water utility professionals. It's a great example of supporting our neighbours in the Pacific.'
Many infrastructure projects in the Pacific are funded by the Australian Government and/or multilateral development agencies such as the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank. Pacific Marine Group recently built a provincial wharf in Alotau in Papua New Guinea with funding from the Asian Development Bank and the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. The project was an initiative of the PNG Climate Change Development Authority, which focuses on constructing climate changeresistant infrastructure.
'Most bilateral and multilateral agencies are open to discussion about solutions for infrastructure gaps,' says Weeks. 'Deeper collaboration is often needed to solve complex challenges like energy or fresh water supply to remote or rural areas.'
There are also investment opportunities. Private-sector investment will be critical to deliver large-scale projects such as renewable energy infrastructure. Palau's first utility-scale solar and battery energy storage facility was built by renewable energy developer Solar Pacific Pristine Power. It received $31.4 million in funding from the Australian Infrastructure Financing Facility for the Pacific (AIFPP).
Since being established in 2019, AIFFP has signed agreements for 12 projects in 9 Pacific Island countries worth over $1.2 billion. AIFFP is supporting a range of transformative projects, including new ICT cables to provide connectivity across the region and major investments in PNG ports and airports in Fiji, Timor and Nauru.
Austrade will host a stand at the Developing Sustainable Resilient Infrastructure in the Blue Pacific Conference and Trade Expo. Interested parties can meet with Austrade to discuss aspects of doing business across the Pacific.
'The conference will give Australian companies a first-hand understanding of the investments being made and assess how their capabilities could contribute to the projects,' says Weeks. 'We can share insights about the potential challenges and the importance of partnerships and networks to address the challenges.
'Our Pacific neighbours are living with the effects of climate change. We are at a critical point in time where Australian companies can help mitigate these effects and make a lasting contribution to climate resilience in the Pacific.'
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Over 60000 Lives Lost To Farmers-Herders Clashes – Speaker Abass – – TVCNews
Posted: at 1:27 am
The Speaker of Nigerias House of Representatives, Tajudeen Abbas, says more than sixty thousand lives have been lost to recurring farmers-herders clashes across the country.
At an interactive meeting with leading actors in the Agricultural and security chains, speakers identified politicisation, absence of institutional reforms and grazing reserves as some of the causes of the rift.
Recurring confrontations between two hitherto mutually co-existing groups is the reason behind this sitting.
The damaging effects of the crisis has led the Bola Tinubu government to declare a state of emergency on food security.
Gombe state legislator, Inuwa Garba, is the sponsor of the motion leading to this investigative hearing.
He says vibrant lives are being lost daily and properties being destroyed at will as a result of hostilities between herders and farmers.
For the leadership of the House, the high rate of fatalities, injuries and kidnappings has done a lot of harm to the nation.
It says all hands must be on deck for a long lasting solution.
Its an opportunity for leading actors to speak on the crisis and suggest a way forward.
Institutional reforms, development of grazing reserves and implementation of the ECOWAS protocol on Trans-Human Code of practice are some of the suggested ways out.
The ad hoc committee frowns at the absence of security chiefs including the IGP and Service Chiefs, at this meeting.
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N.H. attorney general ‘carefully reviewing’ arguments that could keep Trump off state’s ballot – POLITICO
Posted: at 1:26 am
I dont think the effort to limit the options for our primary voters has any legs whatsoever, Chris Ager, chair of the state Republican Party, told POLITICO.
Now, the states top legal and election officials are weighing in.
Both the Secretary of States Office and the Attorney Generals Office are aware of public discourse regarding the potential applicability of Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution to the upcoming presidential election cycle, New Hampshire Attorney General John Formella and Secretary of State David Scanlan said in a joint statement on Tuesday, calling out misinformation implying that Scanlans office had already taken a position on the issue.
The statement comes after the Secretary of States Office was bombarded with calls on Monday, according to NBC News, after conservative talk show host Charlie Kirk told listeners that New Hampshire was trying to block Trump from the ballot.
Neither the Secretary of States Office nor the Attorney Generals Office has taken any position regarding the potential applicability of Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment to the United States Constitution to the upcoming presidential election cycle, the statement says.
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Mark Meadows news: The defense of Trump’s perfect phone call is really something. – Slate
Posted: at 1:26 am
A recording of the Jan. 2, 2021, phone call during which Donald Trump asked Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger to help him find 11,780 votes became public almost immediatelyand was just as quickly compared to the smoking gun tapes that helped bring down the Nixon presidency. Fair enough! With all due respect to storing classified documents in a resort bathroom, telling a local official to invalidate the precise number of votes that would be required to change the outcome of the election is the thing Trump has done with the most pronounced I dont think you can do that feel.
The call is back in the news this week thanks to former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, who testified Monday in a Georgia hearing related to the Fulton County district attorneys allegations that he was part of Trumps criminal conspiracy to overturn the 2020 election. Meadows is seeking to have his case moved from state court to federal court on the grounds that he is being prosecuted for activities that he undertook in his official capacity. Hes hoping that claim could secure him a more favorable jury pool (itd be drawn from the more conservative northern district of Georgia as a whole, rather than just Democratic-leaning Fulton County) or, if the judge in his case is sufficiently convinced that Meadows was legally fulfilling executive-branch duties, an outright dismissal of charges.
According to Vox, the judge who listened to Meadows argument on Monday appeared skeptical. There are many problems with the case, but part of the gist is that White House employees are prohibited by law from attempting to influence the outcome of elections, and Meadows can be shown to have known that. As such, one of the things the former chief of staff argued in court on Monday was that he didnt realize his late 2020 activities were related to partisan campaign efforts to overturn the electioni.e., that he didnt understand the connection between President Donald Trumps interest in vote-counting procedures in Georgia (and Michigan) and candidate Donald Trumps ongoing efforts to reverse the results of voting in those states. From the Washington Post:
On several occasions, Mark Meadows claimed to have no knowledge of the Trump campaigns efforts to contest the election results. On Donald Trumps phone call with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, on Jan. 2, 2021, which Meadows participated in, he said he did not know that three lawyers on the callCleta Mitchell, Kurt Hilbert and Alex Kaufmanhad participated in a campaign lawsuit against Raffensperger.
(Meadows said he didnt remember how Mitchell, a prominent voter-fraud conspiracy theorist with whom hed previously been in contact, had ended up on the Georgia call.)
In addition, when questioned about an Oval Office meeting he attended with Trump and Michigan state lawmakers, Meadows said he didnt know that the campaign was contesting the results in that state.
According to Meadows testimony, he believed at the time that he was advancing the executive branchs interest in accurate and fair elections and helping resolve Trumps concerns about voter fraud in order to eliminate a roadblock to the transfer of powerin other words, that he did not understand, in January 2021, that Donald Trump was involved in election litigation for selfish reasons. (A recent New York Times piece that documents Meadows history of vacantly telling whomever he was talking to exactly what they wanted to hear suggests, troublingly, that this might actually be true.)
Meadows claims are similar to the one that Trump has made about his own behavior in 2020that he believed the election was rigged against him as a matter of objective fact, meaning that his actions were reasonable attempts to secure the correct outcome. In his telling, the smoking gun was in fact a perfect phone call.
This line of reasoning was reintroduced to circulation by right-wing law professor Jonathan Turley on Fox News after the Fulton County indictments were announced:
You know, it makes perfect sense when youre challenging an election to say, You know, I only need around 11,000 votes. So if you do a statewide review, thats not a lot in a state like Georgia. Thats not criminal. Thats making a case for a recount.
Georgia, however, had already completed two recountsone by hand and one by machineby the time that Trump and Meadows spoke with Raffensperger. The fraud allegations the president was pursuing, moreover, were largely if not entirely sourced from random social media accounts and online message boards, and had already been dismissed by his own administrations Department of Justice.
As a legal matter, Trumps contention he truly believed that voting results were rigged has problems. Among them are the concept of willful blindness and Trumps alleged statement that Vice President Mike Pence was being too honest in his response to the election, which would seem to imply an awareness that his own conduct was not honest.
Recall, too, that this trial may be taking place during the presidential campaign. Trump will be defending himself against a smoking gun by arguing, while his closest advisers testify that they could not possibly handle a gun without shooting themselves in the leg, that he believes guns are made out of cheese. And should he convince 12 jurors in Georgia and the District of Columbia that he is an insane person with low-IQ support staff, and secure a not-guilty verdict on the basis of such a triumph, he will then be asking the rest of his fellow citizens to reinstall him as president. It seems like a tall task, but if you think that its impossible, youre probably the kind of person who is still 100 percent sure that the moon is made of rocks.
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Mark Meadows news: The defense of Trump's perfect phone call is really something. - Slate
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Opinion | The Thing Is, Most Republicans Really Like Trump – The New York Times
Posted: at 1:26 am
Much of what is happening in American politics today can be explained by two simple yet seemingly contradictory phenomena: Most partisans believe that the other side is more powerful than their own, while at the same time feeling quite certain that their own team will prevail in the upcoming election.
Just as Democrats view Republicans as wielding outsize influence through dark money, structural advantages in our political system and control of institutions like the Supreme Court, Republicans view themselves as under siege by not just a federal government largely controlled by Democrats but also by the media, the entertainment industry and, increasingly, corporate C-suites.
Republicans in particular hold a fatalistic view of the future of the country. In a recent Times poll, 56 percent said they believe we are in danger of failing as a nation. Far from the party of Ronald Reagans Morning in America ad, the presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy countered during last weeks debate: Its not morning in America. We live in a dark moment.
Given that many Republicans have such an apocalyptic view of the future, believing that the future of the country hangs in the balance if their party does not win the 2024 election, you might assume that Republicans would prioritize electability as they choose a nominee and seek a safe, steady standard-bearer to face President Biden next November. And you might assume, as many pundits and commentators do, that Republicans would begin to consider that nominating Donald Trump, with all his troubles and legal peril, would be too great a risk.
But the belief that the other party would be simply disastrous for the nation is feeding the deep confidence that ones own side is going to prevail in 2024.
What does this mean for Republicans? It means that G.O.P. voters see Mr. Biden as eminently beatable, and they think most Americans see him as they do. Given that, most Republicans arent looking to be rescued from Donald Trump. The fact is, they really do like him, and at this point they think hes their best shot.
Despite losing the 2020 elections and then experiencing a disappointing 2022 midterm, most Republicans seem confident that their candidate even Donald Trump, especially Donald Trump would defeat Joe Biden handily in 2024. They have watched as Mr. Biden has increasingly stumbled, as gas prices have remained high and as Americans have continued to doubt the value of Bidenomics. Many of them believe the pernicious fantasy pushed by Mr. Trump and indulged by too many Republican leaders who should know better that the 2020 election was not actually a loss.
Republican voters see the same polls that I do, showing Mr. Trump effectively tied against Mr. Biden even though commentators tell them that Mr. Trump is electoral poison. And they remember that many of those same voices told them in 2016 that Mr. Trump would never set foot in the White House. In light of those facts, Republicans skepticism of claims that Mr. Trump is a surefire loser begins to make more sense.
It didnt have to be this way. In the immediate aftermath of the 2022 midterms, which were disappointing for many Republicans, there was a brief moment where it seemed like the party might take a step back, reflect and decide to pursue a new approach with new leadership. In my own polling immediately after the election, I found the Florida governor, Ron DeSantis running even with Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup among likely Republican primary voters, a finding that held throughout the winter. Even voters who consider themselves very conservative gravitated away from Mr. Trump and toward the prospect of an alternative for a time.
But by the end of the spring of 2023, after the indictment of Mr. Trump by the Manhattan district attorney, Alvin Bragg, and Mr. DeSantiss rocky entrance into the presidential race, Mr. Trump had not only regained his lead but had also expanded upon it. Quinnipiacs polling of Republican primary voters showed that Mr. Trump held only a six-point lead over Mr. DeSantis in February, but that lead had grown to a whopping 31 points by May.
Any notion that Republicans ought to turn the page, lest they face another electoral defeat, largely evaporated. And the multitude of criminal indictments against Mr. Trump have not shaken the support of Republicans for him, but have instead seemingly galvanized them.
In our focus group of 11 Republican voters in early primary states this month, Times Opinion recruited a range of likely primary voters and caucusgoers to weigh in on the state of the race. They were not universally smitten with Donald Trump; some described him as troubled, arrogant or a train wreck. About half of our participants said they were interested in seeing a strong competitor to Mr. Trump within the party.
But the argument that Donald Trump wont be able to defeat Joe Biden? Not a single participant thought that Mr. Trump or any Republican, really would lose to Mr. Biden. In polling by CBS News, the ability to beat Joe Biden is one of the top qualities Republican primary voters say they are looking for, and they think Mr. Trump is the best poised to deliver on that result. Only 9 percent of likely Republican primary voters think Mr. Trump is a long shot to beat Mr. Biden, and more than six in 10 think Mr. Trump is a sure bet against Mr. Biden. Additionally, only 14 percent of Republican primary voters who are considering a Trump alternative said they were doing so because they worried that Mr. Trump couldnt win.
In an otherwise strong debate performance last week, when Nikki Haley argued that we have to face the fact that Trump is the most disliked politician in America we cant win a general election that way, the reaction from the crowd was decidedly mixed. This isnt to say that such an argument cant become more successful as the primary season goes on, as Mr. Trumps legal woes (and legal bills) continue to mount and as the alternatives to Mr. Trump gain greater exposure.
But for now they think that Mr. Biden is both enormously destructive and eminently beatable. They are undeterred by pleas from party elites who say Mr. Trump is taking the Republican Party to the point of no return.
Republicans both deeply fear a 2024 loss and cant fathom its actually happening. Candidates seeking to defeat Mr. Trump in the primary cant just assume that Republican voters will naturally conclude the stakes are too high to bet it all on Trump. For now, many of those voters think Mr. Trump is the safest bet theyve got.
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Opinion | The Thing Is, Most Republicans Really Like Trump - The New York Times
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Can Trump Appeal His Federal Election Trial Date? What to Know. – The New York Times
Posted: at 1:26 am
Former President Donald J. Trump immediately vowed to challenge the March 4 start date for his criminal trial over his efforts to overturn the 2020 election, raising questions of whether or how he could try to push back the timing of the case.
I will APPEAL! Mr. Trump wrote on social media shortly after Judge Tanya S. Chutkan issued her order on Monday.
But despite complaining about the date, a lawyer for Mr. Trump, John Lauro, said in court that the defense team would abide by her decision as we must. Mr. Lauro had proposed the trial begin in April 2026, citing the volume of evidence defense lawyers needed to study, while prosecutors had suggested starting in January.
Here is a closer look.
The date comes in the middle of an already crammed calendar for Mr. Trump, who faces an array of criminal cases and civil lawsuits as he seeks the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
In particular, as Mr. Trump noted, the day after the trial would begin is Super Tuesday, when voters in over a dozen states will cast their primary votes. That voting will take place amid the likelihood of negative headlines pegged to the start of the trial, and his ability to travel and hold rallies campaigning for primaries in subsequent weeks is likely to be limited.
Defendants are generally required to be present at their trials. After preliminary matters like jury selection, prosecutors have estimated they will need about four to six weeks to present their case, after which defense lawyers will also have an opportunity to call additional witnesses.
Typically, no, but there are complexities.
First, Mr. Lauro could file a motion asking Judge Chutkan to reconsider the timing and fleshing out his argument that March 4 does not give the defense enough time to adequately prepare.
But if she declines to change it, decisions by a Federal District Court judge over a prospective trial calendar are not usually considered subject to an immediate appeal. Instead, if a claimed problem can be remedied by later overturning any guilty verdict, an appeal raising that issue must wait until after the trial.
Indeed, if the former president is convicted, Mr. Lauro appears to be laying the groundwork for Mr. Trump to argue in an appeal after the trial that the start date violated his constitutional right to have meaningful legal representation. Mr. Lauro told the judge on Monday that the defense team would not be able to provide adequate representation to Mr. Trump if it had to be prepared by March 4. Such a trial date would deny his client the opportunity to have effective assistance of counsel, he added.
But Mr. Trump has another way to ask a higher court to review the calendar before the trial starts. It is called a petition for a writ of mandamus, and while it is not technically considered to be an appeal, legal experts say, it looks very similar.
It is a judicial order to a lower-court judge mandating some action. It functions as a safety release valve, allowing what are essentially early appeals. It is reserved for extraordinary situations where a judge has made a mistake that will cause a defendant irreparable harm, so the normal process of waiting until after any guilty verdict to raise the issue on appeal could not provide a remedy.
Thus, while Mr. Trump would normally have to wait until after the trial to ask a higher court to review Judge Chutkans calendar decision, his defense team could, in theory, try to short-circuit that process by filing a mandamus petition to the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit or even directly to the Supreme Court.
No. In general, a mandamus petition is very likely to be denied, legal experts say. Higher courts, reluctant to disrupt the ordinary judicial process, have set a steep bar before they agree to intervene this way.
In a 1999 ruling, for example, the D.C. Circuit said it would not even consider a mandamus petition based on an argument that the trial judge had made a clearly wrong decision since the problem could be addressed later through an ordinary appeal.
As we have seen, any error even a clear one could be corrected on appeal without irreparable harm, the judges wrote.
In a 2004 ruling, the Supreme Court said the right to relief must be clear and indisputable and there must be no other adequate means to obtain it. And even then, it said, a higher court still has discretion to decline issuing such an order if it nevertheless believes that intervening would not be appropriate under the circumstances.
By itself, the objection raised by Mr. Lauro that March 4 will not give Mr. Trumps lawyers adequate time to prepare would almost certainly fall short as a reason for a higher court to intervene early, according to Paul F. Rothstein, a Georgetown University law professor and specialist in criminal procedure.
But Professor Rothstein said it was harder to predict what would happen if Mr. Trumps team also raised an objection the former president has made in his public comments: that the trial date interferes with the election. There is a stronger argument for a claim of irreparable harm since various primaries will be over by the time of a verdict.
Still, there is scant precedent to guide a higher courts decision about whether a trial dates effect on an election is sufficient to consider intervening early. And even if so, he said, it is also uncertain where the higher court might land on whether the public interest is better served by delaying a trial or by letting it go forward so voters can know about a major candidates criminality as soon as possible.
Like so many things with these unprecedented questions that the Trump cases present, the law does not have a definite answer, Prof. Rothstein said.
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Can Trump Appeal His Federal Election Trial Date? What to Know. - The New York Times
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