Daily Archives: September 15, 2022

The Sacred Heart of Uvalde – The Texas Observer

Posted: September 15, 2022 at 9:57 pm

On August 27, I stood before the state capitol in Austin surrounded by fellow Uvaldeans and people from all over the state to protest our gun laws in the wake of the Robb Elementary massacre. One after another, victims families came down the steps, demanding accountability and change.

During a transition, someone shouted: No justice!

The people responded: No peace!

Pick two people in Uvalde and theyre probably within two degrees of separation from each other. Its no Mayberry: There are unspoken rules and impenetrable tiers and enclaves and much hidden poverty and suffering and abuse. But, of course, I saw many I know in Austin.

Throughout the protest, I stood near a friend of my wife from our parish, Sacred Heart Catholic Church. Afterward, we talked about Sacred Heart and about Uvalde. Like many, we were both feeling disaffected, alienated by our communitys power structure. As we parted, I said: But its not just their town, and its not just their church. Its ours, too. Im done just taking it. From now on, Im going to give it, too.

I little knew how soon my words would be tested.

This wasnt the first time Id made such a resolution, but before now most people did not care what happened in our forgotten corner of Texas. In 2018, events at the university that employs me first made me conscious of its historic neglect of my community, and for better or for worse, I decided to speak out. The neglect of our students, who are overwhelmingly Hispanic, female, low-income, and first-generation, is consistent with the regions history.

I sought advice from my friend, Aide Escamilla, who has a strong sense of social justice. We are both parishioners at Sacred Heart. She recommended that I seek counsel from our priest, Eduardo Morales, or, as we know him, Father Eddy.

A few years earlier, Aide had agreed to advocate for a high school senior, a Latina who had been named valedictorian but who was being pressured by school administrators to step down. A complaint from the salutatorians prominent Anglo family had prompted them to find a technicality in the rules and adjust the numbers, flipping the top two students ranking. The Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund got involved. Public awareness grew.

Since the Robb Elementary massacre, the tension in our parish has become almost intolerable.

Father Eddy, a Uvalde native, was not living here then, but his mother, Genoveva Morales, attended the school board meeting. Her presence sent a message: It was her 1970 civil rights lawsuit that had ended de facto school segregation in Uvalde. The board decided in favor of Aides mentee.

Not long after, Father Eddy returned to Uvalde, assuming pastoral leadership of Sacred Heart. Wed spent several years under a troubled priest who had abruptly quit one Saturday afternoon. Father Eddy brought much-needed stability. But no prophet is accepted at home. If you have a problem with me, Eddy told us, dont go to my mother. Come to me.

Following Aides advice, I met with Father Eddy. He listened patiently and shared some of his experiences, but warned me to count the cost. If you speak out about injustice, he said, they will all come for you.

The history of the Uvalde Catholic community is fraught. In 1883, after years of celebrating mass in homes, Father Austin Heyburn of Eagle Pass had a church built for the Mexicans, but not by the Mexicans, as Florence Anthons Early History of Uvalde and Surrounding Territory put it. They called it Sacred Heart and it stood on North High Street. Later, they moved it to the corner of the property to make room for the American church, St. Marys. In 1913, Sacred Heart was relocated to a back street and attached to a school for Spanish-speaking children staffed by Teresian sisters who were refugees from the Mexican Revolution.

Father Agapito Santos integrated the parishes in 1964. Sacred Heart absorbed St. Marys and moved into the building it still uses today. This forced mixing sets it apart from many other churches in Uvalde, though you can sometimes see old fault lines. Its a fair sample of the towns four-fifths Hispanic population. Two Spanish and three English masses are celebrated every Sunday by one priest with the assistance of several deacons.

Priests come and go. Deacons remain. The most prominent is Ken Dirksen, a surveying engineer. His column in the Uvalde Leader-News makes him the parishs public face. There, his anodyne Christian exhortations are offset by his letters to the editor, angry rightwing diatribes and warnings of things to come. For example, in 2020, after a petition began circulating to move Uvaldes Confederate monument from the courthouse lawn to the library museum, Dirksens letter decried the erasure of history, warning that the Black Lives Matter movement aimed to destroy the nuclear family, rip out white Jesus statues, and usher in a mass-murdering Marxist revolution. He sometimes also turns up at protests to observe, to intimidate, or perhaps simply to see whos there.

In the aftermath of the Robb tragedy, in which nineteen children and two adults were murdered by a young man who had legally acquired his weapons at a popular Uvalde outfitter, agencies at local and state levels seem intent chiefly on protecting themselves. Many hearts have been changed in Uvalde, many eyes opened, many consciences awakened. But some seem simply to have become more entrenched in their distrust of activism.

On July 11, Dirksen came to a gathering at Jardin de los Heroes Park. He stood to one side, arms folded, silently watching activists make signs for the Unheard Voices Rally that afternoon. I saw him take a copy of La Voz de Uvalde County, the monthly bilingual newsletter Im trying to help my friend Alfredo Santos revive, from a bundle someone had set on the ground. He leafed through it, saw my name, and approached, plainly agitated.

He offered to advertise with us, but only if we promised to tell the truth. When I replied that I generally try to do that, he scoffed, saying that hed seen my own writings in the Uvalde Leaders-News and that I only tell the half-truths that support my views.

Deacon Ken basically just called you a liar, my 12-year-old daughter later observed.

You caught that, did you? I asked.

Im not stupid, Dad, she replied.

Since the Robb Elementary massacre, the tension in our parish has become almost intolerable. Many victims had their funerals there, but many political leadersincluding those criticized for their response to the shooting or the way theyve kept its details from the publicare parishioners, too. Father Eddy has preached restraint and forgiveness; the church has maintained a neutrality that is uneasy but much-needed.

Thats why I found it jarring when Father Eddy criticized the no justice, no peace slogan in his August 14 homily. Peace must precede justice, he said, and different people have different ideas of justice. The latter is certainly true in Uvalde, as all the world now knows, but its not something I can resign myself to. Ironically, the August 14 scripture readings were about Jeremiah being cast into the cistern for demoralizing the city and Jesus preaching that he had come to bring not peace but division.

The system that allowed the Robb tragedy to unfold as it did now seeks to protect itself, perhaps even at the expense of justice.

Then, on August 28, the day after the Austin protest, another deacon, Dan Ibarra, gave a homily on humility. After citing the views of Canadian author and pontificator Jordan Peterson on the subject, Ibarra said we need to temper our tongues, especially on social media. He said that we needed to stop pointing out the sins of others and focus on our own. In case the point wasnt clear, he argued that his admonitions are something the town of Uvalde is especially in need of right now. Its our part to humbly pray for our leaders who are having a hard time. Actually, he said, we should be glad that we even have leaders.

There were scattered claps and amens. Thats demonstrative for a Catholic church. Sitting in the pew behind me were Sheriff Ruben Nolasco and Mayor Don McLaughlin.

Let me be clear. I welcome their attendance. They belong as much as any member of our community. I would prefer for us all to be able to attend with as much privacy and peace as we desire. But our congregation also includes victims families, and I cant imagine what it would be like to receive such counsel or see others dissuaded from supporting their struggle. I dont know to what extent our elected leaders are to blame for all that has happened, which, of course, is part of the problem. But in throwing its authority behind them and against families crying out for justice, the parish itself crossed a line.

Division is of the devil, they say. Am I causing division by writing this? Perhaps. But I also hear of people who have quietly left our parish for others in nearby towns. Its been happening for a while, since before the shooting. Maybe its not much. But its not nothing, either. Who caused that division? Well, in Uvalde, its always little people speaking up who disrupt unity. The big people talking down are just telling the truth.

I respect Father Eddy. I have no wish to add to his burden, something I feel certain of doing. I also understand the desire for a return to normalcy. But the system that allowed the Robb tragedy to unfold as it did now seeks to protect itself, perhaps even at the expense of justice. It must be torn down bit by bit and replaced with something better.

I keep thinking of another passage from Jeremiah: They have healed the wound of my people lightly, saying, Peace, peace, when there is no peace. Ill always remember my conversation with Father Eddy in 2018. It grieves me now to put his counsel to the test, this time in my own faith community.

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Thriving on Atlantica: April Bey & her Speculative Futurism – Art & Object

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First conceived when she was a child (though she named it later), Atlantica was used by Beys father to explain Earths oppressive systems. Inspired by the science fiction they both loved, he told Bey that they were aliens from outer space, which gave them distance from which to observe Earths problems. In doing so, they created an imagined home built from resistanceand full of possibilitythat was not always available in her every day.

Bey spent most of her childhood in the Bahamas, a place that was vibrantly beautiful and giving, but also home to a post-colonial culture. Its breathtakingly beautiful everywhere. Our houses are painted Pepto Bismol pink, teal, and purple. The ocean was amazing, and growing up, we lived off of it, and what it produced, she recalls. On the other hand, its a post-colonial British country, and I grew up in the colonial school systems with corporal punishment.

Her family ran a booze cruise and a restaurant, and she explains that growing up in the tourism industry was very traumatic. When people go on vacation, a lot of rules that they ordinarily would follow at home go out the window. I was introduced to a lot of adult things that I should not have been introduced to. It made me dislike drinking alcohol, it made me dislike loud environments, she says. Also, the standard of living is a lot different for Bahamians than it is for visitors. She points to the fact that electricity was diverted to support tourism, meaning the hotels would not experience outages, while Bahamians would go without power. Bey considers tourism a form of colonialism, and its something that comes up in her workits also why nothing like this happens on Atlantica.

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Save Hundreds on the Best Desktop Gaming PCs in September – Futurism

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Summer is finally winding down, and there are few things as satisfying as gaming during pumpkin spice months. The temperatures cooling off mean you can finally game on your PC without the fear of your desktop overheating. Still, if your go-to device is a little less than powerful, theres a sale on tower gaming PCs going on right now so you can be ready for all the fun the season has to offer. Heres a selection of the best September gaming desktop PC deals available right now.

Acer Predator Orion 3000 PO3-630-UA15 Gaming Desktop, $1,459 (Was $1,699)

The Acer Predator Orion 3000 isnt just a desktop gaming PC, its a performance juggernaut. The 11th Gen Intel Core i7 processor and NVIDIA GeForce RTX 3070 Graphics provides the kind of specs to play all your favorite hardcore titles with room to spare. Gaming in summer or hotter environments is possible with Acer Predator Orion 3000s FrostBlade fans, which keep your device running cool without sacrificing speed. Its even got customizable RGB lighting for some of the best personalization available. And for a limited time during these September gaming desktop PC deals, you can save $240 on a new device.

CYBERPOWERPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC Intel Core i5-11400F 2.6GHz, 8GB DDR4, RTX 2060, $899 (Was $1,014)

CYBERPOWERPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC Intel Core i5-11400F 2.6GHz, GeForce RTX 3050 8GB, RTX 3050, $929 (Was $1,129)

Skytech Chronos Gaming PC Desktop Intel Core i5 12600K 3.7 GHz, RTX 3070, 1TB NVME SSD, 32G DDR5, 650W Gold PSU, $1,499 (Was 1,599)

iBUYPOWER Pro Gaming PC Computer Desktop SlateMR 281a AMD Ryzen 5 5600G 3.9 GHz, Nvidia Geforce RTX 3060 12GB, 16GB DDR4, 500GB NVME SSD, $949 (Was $1,299)

Futurism may receive a portion of sales on products linked within this post.

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Chinese Researchers Test Cars That Hover Over Road Using Magnets – Futurism

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They were able to go way faster than 88 mph.Maglev Cars

Chinese researchers at Southwest Jiaotong University have tested modified cars capable of magnetically levitating almost an inch and a half off of the ground over a stretch of specially modified highway, state-run media outlet Xinhua reports.

A video of the test shows a modified passenger vehicle gliding along the surface, while its four tires spin helplessly in the air, rendered useless by what appear to be magnetic repulsors attached to the bottom of the vehicle.

Is this really the "Back to the Future"-esque future of the car? The researchers behind the test are hoping maglev cars could reduce energy consumption.

But judging by the clunky equipment and rocky ride seen in the video, immense engineering challenges and likely safety ones, as well remain before the tech could possibly become practical.

Details surrounding the test are still sparse. According to Xinhua, eight modified vehicles were tested on a roughly five mile stretch of highway.

Both the roadway, located in the eastern province of Jiangsu, and the vehicles themselves had to be heavily modified to pull off the stunt. Engineers added an array of permanent magnets to the floor of the vehicles, while running a conductor rail along the length of the highway.

The speed was also striking, with cars reached a reported velocity of 143 mph. While that's pretty fast, it's still a far cry from the country's maglev bullet trains, the fastest of which can reach speeds of up to 373 mph.

China also announced the construction of the "country's first independently-developed trial line" using maglev technologies, Xinhua reported last month.

READ MORE: Maglev car technology tested on highway in East China [Xinhua]

More on maglev: Startup Says Train Powered by "Veillance Flux" Could Travel 620 MPH

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Harvard Professor Defends Claim That Alien Spacecraft Cruised Through Solar System – Futurism

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Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb has long suggested that there's a chance 'Oumuamua, a mysterious object that visited our solar system back in 2017, may have been an alien spacecraft that came by for a visit.

In a 2021 paper, Loeb argued that 'Oumuamua could have been a probe sent by an extraterrestrial civilization, an explanation that has proven divisive among his peers.

Most recently, an international team of researchers attempted to dismantle a core aspect of Loeb's argument: that 'Oumuamua was a solar sail, an advanced form of propulsionthat would allowa spacecraft to use the low pressure of solar radiation to move through space.

According to their study, which has been accepted for publication in the journalAstronomy and Astrophysics, the team concluded that "'Oumuamua is unlikely to be a light sail. The dynamics of an intruding light sail, if it exists, has distinct observational signatures, which can be quantitatively identified and analyzed with our methods in future surveys."

Loeb, however, isn't having it.He's sticking to his guns.

"There are a few points that the authors have overlooked," he told The Daily Beastthis week.

The international team, which was led by Shangfei Liu, an astronomer at Sun Yat-sen University in Zhuhai, China, argued that if 'Oumuamua was a light sail, it would've featured a large, flat surface that would have reflected more light than what we saw emanating from the mysterious object in our limited observations.

"If it was a light sail, the brightness variation should be much larger," Shangfei told Beast.

Loeb, however, argues that the sail itself "need not be flat." According to his own research, it could've been a light sail of a different shape, reflecting light in unexpected ways.

The astronomer went as far as to suggest to Beast that 'Oumuamua "may not be a sail at all, but just a surface layer torn apart from a bigger object" in other words, a piece of alien spacecraft detritus that just happened to hurtle through our star system.

Of course, extraordinary claims call for extraordinary measures. Maybe the object was nothing more than a comet venting gas as it screamed through space.

Unfortunately, it's exceedingly rare to encounter an interstellar object like 'Oumuamua.

But given the opportunity, and "with help of a huge amount of highly accurate observation data in the future," as Shangfei and his colleagues argue in their paper, perhaps we could finally put the mystery to rest.

More on 'Oumuamua:Avi Loeb and the Great Unknown

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Asking the Public to Name Probe to Uranus May Have Been a Mistake – Futurism

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They must've seen it coming.

A space exploration enthusiast account on Twitter asked the internet to name an upcoming mission to the planet Uranus, in what almost feels like a setup for a punch line, considering the public's endless interest in potty humor and butt-related puns.

And yes, it went mildly viral, in a hail of scatological references.

"This seems like the perfect time for Astroglide to sponsor space exploration," one user suggested, referring to a popular brand of personal lubricant.

"Operation Butt Plug," another user proffered.

"You're really asking the internet to name a probe going to Uranus?" one outraged commenter asked.

Jokes aside, there are serious implications of this kind of humor.

"I truly do worry that it will make it difficult to actually get a mission to study this planet because I think that NASA would be sensitive to these headlines," prominent Space Science Institute and Planetary Society astronomer Heidi Hammel told Futurism last year, "and sensitive to all the ridicule that they would get if they wanted to get a mission to this planet."

"We do want to send atmospheric probes, and we do call them probes, and it's impossible to separate that from the whole aliens probing humans thing," she added.

But fortunately, many replies to the viral tweet included far more sensible names that we could actually see NASA using for an upcoming mission.

Several users suggested naming the mission after British astronomer William Herschel, who discovered the celestial body and its moons Titania and Oberon back in the 1700s.

And since Uranus' moons are named after Shakespearean characters, many other users suggested naming the mission "Tempest" after one of the poet's plays.

Some also suggested naming it after Odin, the Norse God who fought ice giants, or Caelus, the Roman equivalent of the Greek god Uranus.

Whether we'll actually ever see a mission to Uranus any time soon remains tough to say. While a NASA-affiliated panel of experts recommended to visit the planet, pointing it out to be a scientific target of "the highest priority" in a massive decadal report published earlier this year, the space agency has yet to announce any upcoming plans to go visit Uranus.

And there are plenty of reasons for a visit, though. Most intriguingly, Uranus' moons are suspected to hold vast oceans of liquid water.

A mission could also offer us tantalizing clues about its history, including why it's tipped on its side, or why it has two sets of rings.

In short, joking about sending a probe to Uranus is all fun and games but public support for a publicly funded mission to a faraway planet is key to generate enough of a groundswell in interest, especially among lawmakers.

Besides, the butt jokes may actually be a positive thing.

"I think it's good to get engagement in my work in any way," University of California astronomy PhD candidate Ned Molter told Futurism last year.

"Obviously, do the jokes get really tired and repetitive? Absolutely," Molter added. "I wouldn't say I get frustrated at all. It starts a conversation."

READ MORE: The Internet Was Asked to Name A Probe For Uranus. Here's How That Went Down [Science Alert]

More on Uranus: Here's What Uranus Scientists Think About Your Disgusting Jokes

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Elon Musk Furious That the Government Isn’t Giving Him More Free Money – Futurism

Posted: at 9:56 pm

After years of huge subsidies, Elon Musk is big mad that the US government isn't giving one of his companies another substantial grant.

After the Federal Communications Commission blocked an $885.5 million broadband funding grant to SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet service, the Musk company is appealing the decision and calling it "grossly unfair."

AsArs Technicanotes, SpaceX's appeal isunlikely to succeed but it could be a precursor to a lawsuit against the government for, in essence, refusing to give Musk hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars.

That would be striking, because in the past Musk has expressed a strong opposition to government subsidies.

"Im literally saying get rid of all subsidies,"he said last year, "but also for oil and gas."

In spite of that libertarian posturing, the reality is that Musk's companies have received billions of dollars in US government funding.

For the better part of a decade, news of large-figure subsidies have cropped up around the SpaceX and Telsa CEO's companies. In 2015, theLos Angeles Times reported that Tesla, SpaceX, and SolarCity had been granted a cumulative $4.9 billion from various federal agencies.

An analysis fromGrid News published in April of this year found that Tesla has sold off $6 billion in regulatory tax credits a maneuver which, per the Trefis financial data firm, could have resulted in the company appearing more profitable than it actually is.

In public, though, Musk has taken a decidedly anti-subsidy stance. Curious!

In December 2021, he trashed President Joe Biden's plan to boost the electric vehicle industry with grants.

Back in 2015, one financial expert warned that eventually, the government coffers would not be so open to Musk.

"He definitely goes where there is government money," Dan Dolev, a Jeffries Equity Research analyst, told the LA Times. "Thats a great strategy, but the government will cut you off one day."

And with the latest news from the FCC, it seems that just might be starting to happen.

READ MORE: Starlink appeals FCC rejection of $886M grant, calls reversal grossly unfair [Ars Technica]

More Musk v. USA:Elon Musk Had to Prove He's "Not a Drug Addict" After Smoking Weed With Joe Rogan

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Elon Musk Says His Tweets Are Being Suppressed, in a Tweet We Can See Perfectly Fine – Futurism

Posted: at 9:56 pm

You're not being shadowbanned, dude people just don't like your tweets that much.Ban Me Daddy

The world's richest man is now claiming that his speech is being suppressed on Twitter but we can see the tweet he posted about it just fine.

"My tweets are being suppressed!" Musk ragedunder the display name "Naughtius Maximus," in an apparent reference to the character Nortius Maximus from "Monty Python's Life of Brian" who is best-known for a song from the film called "You Mean You Were Raped?"

That questionable context in hand, Musk followed up with another tweet tagging Twitter, the company's verification page, and Parag Agrawal, the company's current CEO.

Less than an hour later, Musk again referenced "Monty Python And the Holy Grail" by tweeting, without threading, context, or commentary, a meme gif of a character from the film yelling "Help, I'm being suppressed!"

Again, we can see all theses tweets just fine.

Curiously, Musk's unsubstantiated claims of tweet suppression came just after Twitter shareholders voted in favor of him taking over the company in spite of his repeated requests and pending court maneuvers geared towards withdrawing from the $44 billion dollar deal.

This is not, of course, the first time the world's richest man has claimed that he's been "shadowbanned," or had his posts secretly suppressed, by the social network that he initially tried to buy over supposed free speech concerns.

He joked earlier this year that a "shadow ban council" was reviewing his grainy-image meme tweets, and right-wing commentators like Sean Hannity have pushed conspiracy theories claiming that Musk's takeover bid "exposed" an internal shadowbanning campaign.

Like most people who claim they've been shadowbanned, it's unlikely that there's an any conspiracy to suppress his speech on Twitter or anywhere else and, as in most other cases when folks cry shadowbanning, any lowered engagement is likely the result of people simply being annoyed by or disinterested in their posts.

More Muskery:Elon Musk Furious That the Government Isn't Giving Him More Free Money

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Hundreds of Thousands of American Homes Will Be Swallowed by the Sea, Scientists Say – Futurism

Posted: at 9:56 pm

This is not good.New Atlantis

Owners of coveted coastal properties, beware.

According to a new analysis published this week by the research nonprofit Climate Central, roughly 4.4 million acres of land and 650,000 individual properties will be below sea level by the year 2050, based on current emission levels.

Needless to say, that's a staggering amount of lost land and money a shocking illustration of the devastating effects of climate change.

"As the sea is rising, tide lines are moving up elevation, upslope and inland," Don Bain, the senior adviser at Climate Central who led the study, told The Washington Post. "People really haven't internalized that yet that 'Hey, I'm going to have something taken away from me by the sea.'"

As far as the United States is concerned, Louisiana is the most vulnerable state. According to the Climate Central's models, over 25,000 properties could be completely submerged by 2050 in the state alone.

In fact, Isle de Jean Charles, which is located off the coast of South Louisiana and home to the Band of Biloxi-Chitimacha-Choctaw, is already 98 percent underwater.

But the research doesn't just address how much land will physically be gone it also addresses the potential ramifications of that loss from a very grounded lens: property value.

Affected land assets would total at least $108 billion in collective value by the century's end, which could have plenty of other knock-on effects.

"Diminished property values and a smaller tax base," reads the analysis, "can lead to lower tax revenues and reduced public services a potential downward spiral of disinvestment and population decline, reduced tax base and public services, and so on."

With lower tax revenue, local governments will also have less money to invest in any meaningful climate mitigation.

But the researchers aren't totally without hope. While humans will almost certainly need to adapt to rising sea levels, some mitigation is still possible.

"If we get our act together, we can get to a lower curve, and that buys us time," Bain told WaPo. "We don't want [seas] rising so fast that it outpaces our capacity to adapt."

READ MORE: Rising seas could swallow millions of U.S. acres within decades [The Washington Post]

More on rising seas: Now "Inevitable" That Greenland's Ice Cap Will Melt and Cause Major Sea-level Rise, Scientists Warn

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Bad Times Ahead: Even the Futurists Have Given Up on the Future – Literary Hub

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Jaron Lanier, an apostate futurist, once remarked to me on Keen On that he missed the future. Lanier meant that he was nostalgic for the promise of tomorrow as being better than yesterday. This was a familiar future for cheerful 20th-century Americans, especially technologists like Jaron Lanier. A future in which progress was not only taken for granted, but imagined exponentially. An American, hockey-stick shaped future. With everything pointing up.

This fantasy had a good run. But, like the futurism business itself, its now history. The Harvard-educated, Berkeley economics professor Brad DeLong explained on Keen On this week that this economic juggernaut originated in 1870 with the globalizing German industrial revolution and came to a shuddering halt with the Great Global Recession of 2008.

This is the 140 years of progress that DeLong historicizes in Slouching Toward Utopia, his lucid new economic story of the very long and prosperous 20th century. An American, hockey-stick-shaped century. Designed by free market economists like DeLong and his Harvard and Berkeley colleagues. With all their economic data pointing up.

We arent slouching toward utopia anymore. The 21st century might have begun late, but it began in 2008 with a bang and those bangs have only become louder and more destructive since. Today, in September 2022, the futureof ourselves, of our economy and of our planetappears apocalyptic rather than utopian. Even professional futurists, not normally distinguished by their prescience, are beginning to recognize that the future, as a metaphor for hockey-stick-shaped progress, is finished.

I had one of these self-styled futurists on Keen On this week who warned about the exponential informational overload of the 21st century. We now need to thrive on overload, he advises us in his new book. Excuse me? Thriving on overload. As if we are washing machines. Or one of those bioengineered replicants out of Blade Runner.

I asked the futurist to convince me that he himself wasnt a replicant. He didnt. I suspect he couldnt.

I rewatched Blade Runner recently and the once dystopian look and feel of Ridley Scotts 1982 movie now has the look and feel of classic social realism. No wonder that another recent Keen On guest, the video essayist Evan Puschak, remains obsessed with Blade Runner. Its become a kind of Bicycle Thief for the 2020s. From Philip K. Dick back to Vittorio De Sica in forty years. History as anything but progress.

Nobody quite knows what the 21st century is going to look like, but as Douglas Rushkoff, another apostate futurist, told me on Keen On earlier this week, technology billionaires arent sticking around to see what is going to happen to a world that theyve helped destroy. In his new book, Survival of the Richest, Rushkoff presents this tech-bro class of Jeff Bezos and Elon Musk, with their pre-pubescent fantasies of colonizing space, as the final gasp, the last breath of Brad DeLongs long 20th century. Let Musk and Bezos thrive on overload on Mars, I say. Although most Martians, one suspects, wouldnt agree.

For the rest of us, stuck on what Bill McGuire, another Keen On guest this week, calls Hothouse Earth, the future is more prosaic. Weve got 90 months, McGuire warns, to decisively act to save the planet from slouching to extinction. Capitalism is the problem, the British environmentalist argues.

The economic models and data idealized by the economist Brad DeLong and his Harvard and Berkeley colleagues has led us, Bill McGuire believes, to the destruction of the planet. Its what comes from putting ones money on an American hockey-stick future.

Even Blade Runner had a kind of miserably happy ending. But there isnt going to be an even ambiguously uplifting conclusion to the 21st century. At best, we are going back to the future.

Brad DeLong begins Slouching Towards Utopia with the miserable British cleric and amateur demographer, Thomas Robert Malthus, who incorrectly predicted a catastrophic conclusion to exponential population growth. For DeLong, the unsocial-scientific Malthus is the 19th-century bookend to a 20th century defined by a supposedly scientific faith in economics and economists.

Economics as faith? Economists as Gods? So what comes after our century of faith in economics, I asked Brad DeLong. If the English cleric Malthus stands before the 20th century, then who captures life after it?

Its not a return to the dystopian demographics of Malthusianism. Nor is it some sort of magical new economic theory. No, economics is now the past, not the future. I suspect that the thinker whose ideas are best suited to defining the 21st century is the German sociologist Max Weber who coined the post-religious concept of disenchantment.

We are, I suspect, slouching back to Webers world of a world without God. Its a world in which everything appears broken. Economics, politics, our psyches, the environment. Even sex. Earlier this week, the British feminist writer Louise Perry appeared on Keen On to talk about what she calls female sexual disenchantment. Weberian disenchantment is exponential. The future is an upside down hockey-stick. With everything, in good Freudian fashion, pointing downwards.

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Bad Times Ahead: Even the Futurists Have Given Up on the Future - Literary Hub

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