Daily Archives: July 31, 2022

As Sweden gets ready for NATO, will its approach to nuclear weapons change? – Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

Posted: July 31, 2022 at 9:19 pm

Sweden's Supreme Commander Micael Bydn commented on the decision to apply for Swedish NATO membership at a May press conference. Photo credit: Henrik Lundqvist Rdmark/Swedish Armed Forces

With Sweden and Finland on a fast track to become members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, the consequences for Swedens traditional stance on disarmament issues are now becoming more obvious. Many voices asked for a debate on these issues before Sweden applied for membership, but it is not until now that signs of such public discussion have been broadly seen. Swedens new alignment raises several questions also on the international level.

In a letter of intent dated July 5, Swedens Foreign Minister Ann Linde wrote to NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg that Sweden accepts NATOs approach to security and defense, including the essential role of nuclear weapons, intends to participate fully in NATOs military structure and collective defence planning processes and is willing to commit forces and capabilities for the full range of Alliance missions.

For a country that, in the mid-1990s, told the International Court of Justice that use of nuclear arms would not be in accordance with international law, this shift of view on nuclear weapons is large. In his personal capacity, senior analyst Robert Dalsj at Swedens Defence Research Agency summarized the shift in a tweet reading: Now we take the step from the nursery to the adult world.

Swedish disarmament proponents have harshly criticized this new step. The Swedish Peace and Arbitration Society, the Swedish Physicians against Nuclear Weapons, and the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, headed by Swedish-born Beatrice Fihn, made a joint statement on July 12, when the Swedish letter of intent was made public by Swedish Television (SVT). Sweden is willing to offer capacity to the full range of the alliance missions. This includes use of nuclear weapons, which would be a violation of international law, the three organizations wrote and then continued: In addition, Sweden is opening up to accept and receive nuclear weapons on Swedish territory. We cannot interpret it in any other way.

There is an alternate interpretation of the letter of intent, however: Sweden is still likely to adopt policies similar to those of Norway and Denmark, which feature declarations on not allowing the stationing of nuclear weapons on the countries territories (at least not in times of peace). Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson made such a promise in parliament on May 16, echoing a decision by the Social Democratic Party the day before.

Regarding how we shoulder the membership when our application has been ratified, the government believes that Sweden should act as Norway and Denmark, Andersson said. We think that Sweden should clearly declare that we do not want nuclear weapons or permanent bases on Swedish territory. It is an attitude from Norway and Denmark that has always been respected, and the corresponding Swedish line is natural. It is worth noting that opposition leader Ulf Kristersson pledged his support to this position in the same debate. Sweden is holding general elections in September of this year.

Following the Norwegian and Danish examples does not exclude future Swedish cooperation and participation in NATO exercises that have a nuclear component, such as supporting nuclear operations with conventional means, for instance by use of Swedish fighter aircraft to escort US nuclear bombers.

For a country with an international profile that includes strong support of nuclear disarmament, even these more limited steps must of course be viewed as major.

For the Swedish Armed Forces, the scope of the shift may, however, be both huge and small at the same time. In its response to the inquiry into the consequences of a Swedish accession to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in 2019, the defense forces wrote that when nuclear-weapon states are involved in multinational operations and defense exercises, there is always an implicit nuclear dimension. Although this prompted the Swedish defense minister to publicly state that no part of Swedens cooperation with NATO involves nuclear weapons, the response wasnt retracted.

Next week, the review conference of the Non-Proliferation Treaty is to start. Sweden has invested a lot of energy in the so called Stockholm initiativea 2019 proposal by 16 non-nuclear weapons countries for an ambitious, yet realistic agenda for nuclear disarmamentprior to the conference. Some wonder if Swedens application to join NATO will influence how Sweden pushes this initiative and other disarmament issues at the conference.

The Stockholm initiative already includes countries that are NATO members, and many observers say that it is not heavy on concrete or radical disarmament proposals. The purpose of the initiative was from the beginning to find smaller steps to take that would lay a foundation for future disarmament efforts. It would be hard to find reasons for Sweden not to fulfill this strategy in the current situation. But one might assume that Sweden will adjust its rhetoric, in order not to provoke her new-old alliance friends.

After eventually becoming a NATO member, Sweden will likely continue viewing nuclear disarmament as something desirable. From time to time, Sweden will join hands with other moderate NATO members on arms control and disarmament issues. In general Sweden is, however, known to be loyal to organizations it joins, and for this reason Sweden will be less likely to initiate more independent initiatives in the future, in my view.

Following Swedish public televisions disclosure of the letter of intent sent to NATO, the Swedish Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to SVT via email.

As long as nuclear weapons exist, NATO will remain a nuclear alliance, the ministry wrote, echoing well known NATO language, and continued: NATO members are covered by the organizations nuclear doctrine, where nuclear weapons are the last and ultimate part of the Alliances deterrence capability. NATO is a defense alliance. A membership in NATO does not mean that Sweden must place nuclear weapons on its territory.

As a NATO member, Sweden will contribute to security and to the collective defense of all member states. Decisions on how and where Sweden would contribute in the event of a crisis will continue to be made by Sweden. What Swedish contributions would look like will be discussed at a later stage, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said.

Time will tell if those discussions will be fully transparent, inclusive, and timely.

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A Pro-Nazi’ in the EU and NATO? Hungarian PM Condemned – Al Bawaba

Posted: at 9:19 pm

Being a member of the European Union and the NATO alliance, comments made by Hungary's Prime Minister Victor Orban have prompted a strong backlash by EU leaders, as they were perceived as "pro-Nazi" ones.

Delivering an annual speech in Romania for an educational program last week, Hungarian Prime MinisterVictor Orban warned of "mixed-racepopulations" in Europe, saying a non-European "flooding" of immigrants is taking over "our European homeland".

"There is a world in which European peoples are mixed together with those arriving from outside Europe [...] Now, that is a mixed-race world [...] We are simply a mixture of peoples living in our own European homeland. ... We are willing to mix with one another, but we do not want to become peoples of mixed-race.'' - Hungary's Victor Orban - 27 July 2022

Following Victor Orban's remarks, many European leaders issued statements condemning the speech, deeming it a "purely Nazi one".

In a TV interview,President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen considered Orban's speech a slam on EU values, saying "Discriminate on the basis of race is trampling on values the European Union is built on; equality, tolerance, fairness, and justice".

While leaders of EU parliaments consideredVictor Orban's statements as "openly racist",Zsuzsa Hegedus, one of Orban's long-time allies submitted her resignation, calling his speech a "pure Nazi text" and comparing him toGerman Nazi politician Joseph Goebbels who was the chief propagandist for the Nazi Party between1933 to 1945.

Moreover,the International Auschwitz Committee called on the European Unionto continue to "distance itself from" what they described as Orban's "racist undertones" and to "make it clear to the world that a Mr. Orban has no future in Europe."

The USenvoy against anti-Semitism Deborah Lipstadt also said she was"deeply alarmed" by the"use of rhetoric that clearly evokes Nazi racial ideology".

Victor Orban's comments have prompted mixed reactions online, with some commentators arguing that his "Nazi" remarks echo a rising sentiment in Europe after waves of migration from outside the continent, while others mentioned names of other right-wingimmigration-opposing politicians with growing popularity in the world, such as former US PresidentDonald Trump,Italian politicians Matteo Salvini and Giorgia Meloni, in addition to French politicians Marine Le Pen andEric Zemmour who just lost the bid for the presidency last Spring.

Even though Victor Orban assumed the Prime Minister's office for the second time in2010, after a first term between 1998 and 2002, his remarks over European race have been stirring controveries since 2018, which coincided with the rising popularity of white nationalism in Europe and North America.

During a meeting of the Association of Cities with County Rights in 2018, Victor Orban openly declared opposition to "diversity in Europe", saying "We must state that we do not want to be diverse and do not want to be mixed: we do not want our own color, traditions and national culture to be mixed with those of others. We do not want this. We do not want that at all. We do not want to be a diverse country".

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US Spymaster Burns Down Rumors On Russia; Gets Everything Right From Tactical Nukes To NATOs Provocation – EurAsian Times

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As the United States pumps in more money to arm Ukraine with the latest arms package of $270 million with no end to the war in sight, Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) director William Burns has often made statements about Russia that go against popular myths and beliefs.

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It includes denying President Vladimir Putin is sick; disproving that cases of nausea, headache, dizziness, and other sickness afflicting US diplomats and officials abroad are owing to sonic and microwave attacks (dubbed the Havana Syndrome); pointing to the lack of evidence of Russia possibly using tactical nuclear weapons, and lastly, predicting that expanding the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) eastward would provoke Russia.

The Russian military intervention continues with Ukraine losing the south, the eastern breakaway region of Donbas, and much of its artillery and ammunition.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov recently announced that its geographic aims might include more areas apparently in retaliation to the US continuing to fuel the war.

The US has supplied Ukraine with Javelin anti-tank guided missiles, M-777 lightweight towed Howitzer, Switchblade loitering munitions, and the High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS).

A slight misstep triggered the latest round of speculation about Putting being ill after getting off his plane during his visit to Tehran. At the same time, he also coughed during another public appearance.

Before that was Ukrainian intelligence chief Major General Kyrylo Budanovs claim about Putting having less than two years to live.

It was preceded by claims of Putin suffering from Parkinsons earlier in June based on footage of him gripping a table during a meeting with Sergei Kulikov, CEO of the RusNano Corporation.

Other videos of Putin shaking and struggling to stand, having a puffed face and his legs appearing thinned, had triggered rampant rumors of thyroid cancer. Burns, on June 20, put a rest to the speculations saying that Putin is entirely too healthy at the Aspen Institute annual security conference.

In January, the CIA released an interim report about the mysterious Havana syndrome cases whose inconclusive findings implied that the agency did not blame Russia, China, Iran, or any other foreign power.

Burns subsequent statement appeared unconvinced that US adversaries were targeting American spies, diplomats and officials posted abroad.

While we have reached some significant interim findings, we are not done. We will continue the mission to investigate these incidents and provide access to world-class care for those who need it, Burns said.

Neither the US government nor the CIA officially blamed Russia, China, or Iran when claims and theories of the Havana Syndrome began doing the rounds in late 2019.

He similarly framed his comments on April 15 about Russia possibly using tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine to reverse battlefield losses in non-accusatory terms, not even ascribing intentions to such actions to Russia.

Given the potential desperation of President Putin and the Russian leadership, given the setbacks theyve faced so far, militarily, none of us can take lightly the threat posed by a potential resort to tactical nuclear weapons or low-yield nuclear weapons, Burns said.

Again, on May 7, during a conference hosted by the Financial Times, he said the intelligence agency (does) not see practical evidence of Russian planning for the deployment or even potential use of tactical nuclear weapons.

It was after Putin ordered his strategic nuclear forces to be put on high alert in what was mere signaling to deter Western countries from militarily intervening in the conflict. However, Burns added that they cant take lightly those possibilitiesgiven the kind of sabre rattling from the Russian leadership. That Burns indirectly pointed to the intelligence not matching the Russian rhetoric was telling.

His 2008 diplomatic cable as the US Ambassador to Russia, leaked by Wikileaks, directly echoed Russias security concerns.

Ukraine and Georgias NATO aspirations not only touch a raw nerve in Russia, but they also engender serious concerns about the consequences of stability in the region, his cable read.

But his July 2021 interview with NPR about his efforts to run the agency more objectively without succumbing to political exigencies explains his moderating approach to Russia.

My job at CIA is to support and inform policymakers, so they make the best possible choices; its not to become policymakers. Our obligation is to deliver (intelligence) in an unvarnished way without any political or policy agenda, he said.

He even candidly admitted he did fight the temptation sometimes, having been in public service, and has asked his colleagues to kick him under the table if he started to stray back into policy issues.

This certainly doesnt mean that Burns isnt a Russia hawk or does not promote continuing the Great Power contest and strategically challenging Beijing or Moscow. But his approach seems grounded in practicality and mindful of the devastating consequences of rising tensions with peer competitors.

Before the Ukraine war, even the late George Kennan and Henry Kissinger doyens of American policy who shaped US diplomacy with Russia and China at the height of the Cold War criticized NATO expansion and predicted the backlash from Russia.

They were also conservative Republicans, proving they were far from Communism or Socialism to make a common cause with Russia or China. Burns seems to belong to this realist school of foreign policy.

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US Spymaster Burns Down Rumors On Russia; Gets Everything Right From Tactical Nukes To NATOs Provocation - EurAsian Times

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Galactic diversity captured in new Hubble telescope photo – Space.com

Posted: at 9:16 pm

Multiple galaxies shine bright against the dark backdrop of space in a newly released Hubble Space Telescope image.

The image captures several spiral and irregular galaxies in the constellation of Hercules. The most noticeable galaxy, named LEDA 58109 or MCG+07-34-030, stands alone in the upper right of the image. It has a bright core and exhibits a spiral structure, similar to our own Milky Way galaxy.

Two other galactic objects lie to the lower left of LEDA 58109, and appear to overlap. One of the objects an active galactic nucleus (AGN) called SDSS J162558.14+435746.4 partially obscures the galaxy SDSS J162557.25+435743.5, according to a statement (opens in new tab) from the European Space Agency (ESA).

Related: The best Hubble Space Telescope images of all time!

These two objects lie further away from Earth than LEDA 58109. In the new Hubble image, the galaxy SDSS J162557.25+435743.5 appears to peak out to the right from behind the AGN which is characterized by a much-higher-than-normal luminosity fueled by the accretion of matter by a supermassive black hole at the center of its host galaxy.

Typically, galaxies are classified as either spiral and elliptical. However, this new Hubble image captures a diverse number of galaxies, highlighting the complexity of classifying these collections of stars, dust and dark matter, according to the statement.

"The sample of galaxies here also illustrates the wide variety of names that galaxies have: Some relatively short, like LEDA 58109, and some very long and challenging to remember, such as the two galaxies to the left," ESA officials said in the statement. "This is due to the variety of cataloging systems that chart the celestial objects in the night sky. No one catalog is exhaustive, and they cover overlapping regions of the sky, so that many galaxies belong to several different catalogs."

The new image was shared on July 25.

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What did Hubble Telescope see on your birthday? Find out here – India Today

Posted: at 9:16 pm

The image shows a detailed portrait of the Triangulum, composed of 54 Hubble fields of view stitched together, revealing nearly 25 million individually resolved stars. Nasa said that the image was captured on July 28, 2019, that trace the jagged edge of the mosaic, which spans 19,400 light-years across with striking areas of star birth glowing bright blue throughout the galaxy.

Find out what Hubble saw on your birthday here

The Hubble spacecraft has been in space for 32 years now and has gone through several repairs and maintenance work when the Shuttle missions were ongoing. The flying observatory has completed one billion seconds of operations in Zero gravity and conducted more than 1.5 million scientific observations.

The telescope has been critical in discovering worlds hundreds of light-years away from Earth, outside of our Solar System. The telescope has been recovered from complete shutdown twice in 2021, showing the engineering and technological advancement of the system and the team behind it.

Deployed on April 25, 1990, Hubble, before the arrival of the Webb Telescope, was working in tandem with ESS, the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite, which aims to find promising exoplanets. Scientists have said that the Webb Telescope and the upcoming Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope will build upon the legacy left behind by Hubble.

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Opinion: At $10 billion, the Webb telescope is a bargain – Daily Press

Posted: at 9:16 pm

Those spectacular pictures of galaxies forming at a time very near the origin of the universe from the James Webb Space Telescope came at a pretty price: $9.7 billion, to be precise. It is fair to ask, Is the Webb telescope project worth the price?

The James Webb Space Telescope project began in 1996 with an expected launch in 2007 for a relatively low cost of $1 billion to $3.5 billion. But the project underwent a bewildering array of delays and unexpected scientific challenges. By the time the telescope was launched on Christmas Day 2021, the cost spiraled to nearly $10 billion. One journal referred to Webb as the telescope that ate astronomy.

To be fair, that price tag covers the entire lifetime of the project, and it has been partly shouldered by the European and Canadian space agencies as well as NASA. The telescope is scheduled to be operational for more than five years in space but has enough fuel to last more than 10 years, if all goes well.

In assessing whether we are getting our moneys worth, consider what we stand to gain beyond the stunning pictures of the cosmos as it existed 13 billion years ago. The primary mission of JWST is to better understand the life history of the universe. The universe is ever-expanding since its origin in the Big Bang, casting light from distant objects in reddish tones. Unlike the Hubble Telescope, the Webb is an infrared telescope, making it uniquely sensitive to deep red light and 100 times more powerful. Webb can see much deeper into space and farther back in time than any instrument ever invented on Earth.

JWST will show us galaxies as they were when the universe was less than a billion years old. It will show us galaxies colliding and merging and revealing their chemical secrets. We are going to look straight into black holes and their escaping materials. These are the sights that will help unravel the history of our universe. What price is that alone worth?

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A secondary mission of the Webb telescope is to probe for an answer to the age-old question: Are we alone in the universe? Webb is already searching for Earth 2.0 exoplanets with environments similar to Earth capable of sustaining life as we know it. JWST will examine the atmospheres of exoplanets beyond our solar system for oxygen or methane gases that signal living organisms. Though not likely, maybe Webb will find evidence of other sentient beings. JWST offers the best shot to date at such discoveries.

This new eye on the universe will test, challenge and develop the science of physics. Hundreds of years ago, the first telescopes revealed that the Earth is not the center of the universe. Todays better understanding of how the universe works is what, for better or worse, brought us computers and cellphones. Who knows how Webb may retool human knowledge, but experience suggests it will most certainly affect our learning curve.

The James Webb Space Telescope project has enthralled the imaginations of people all over the globe. A recent online poll found that three in five Americans believe the Webb telescope has been a good investment. Only 13% of those polled thought it was a bad investment.

Most people were not even thinking about the price tag when the James Webb Space Telescope lit up our screens with remarkable detail of emerging stellar births and individual stars within the cosmic clouds of Carina Nebula, near the center of the universe. Astonishment in the face of incredible beauty, as one observer poetically described the image. And this is just a sneak preview of what is yet to come.

The Webb telescope is likely to change how we understand the universe, refine our knowledge of physics and cosmology, and rewrite our textbooks.

Even aside from the eventual scientific and economic spinoffs, simply better knowing our place in the universe cannot be measured in dollars. Yes, indeed, the James Webb Space Telescope is worth the price and so much more.

Craig Holman is a government affairs lobbyist for Public Citizen. The views expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Public Citizen or its members. He wrote this for InsideSources.com.

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AI Ethics: A Guide to Ethical AI – Built In

Posted: at 9:13 pm

Artificial intelligence can be used to help a company narrow down its pool of thousands of job applicants. AI can be applied to help a doctor make a recommendation for care or perform a procedure. AI might show up in daily life by helping a driver find a faster route home.

But what if the recommendation in the doctors office is wrong or the algorithm used to make hiring decisions systematically excludes certain types of candidates? This advanced field of computer science thats intended to improve lives might end up doing more harm than good in some instances. Not to mention, companies can also suffer from reputational or legal damages if AI is used irresponsibly.

AI ethics are the principles around responsible and moral use of artificial intelligence.

To ensure AI is being used in the most accurate, unbiased and moral manner, it is important for companies to put ethical AI into practice. Thats why companies like Microsoft and IBM have created comprehensive AI ethics guidelines and smaller tech companies are creating standards around how to use AI responsibly, too.

The precision needs to be much higher in healthcare than in other situations where were just going about our lives, and youre getting a recommendation on Google Maps for a restaurant you might like, said Sachin Patel, CEO at Apixio, a healthcare AI platform. Worst case, youre like, Oh, I actually dont want to eat that today, and youre fine. But in this case, we want to make sure that youre able to very specifically make a recommendation and feel like youre 90 percent plus on that precision metric.

Built In spoke with AI and ethics experts about best practices for tech companies to ensure they are exercising strong AI ethics.

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First, a company should articulate why they are planning to use AI and how it will benefit people.

They have to say we want to be making technology that benefits the world, thats not making the world a worse place, because we all have to live here together.

Is it being used for bad things like autonomous weapons systems versus drug discovery for helping people in medicine? said Brian Green, director of technology ethics at the Markkula Center for Applied Ethics at Santa Clara University.

Even in less extreme cases, AI can cause harm to individuals by making people feel more isolated or addicted to their devices.

Theres so many algorithms and apps out there that use machine learning or other kinds of tactics to try to keep you addicted to them, which kind of violates human freedom in some ways, Green said. Youre being manipulated, basically, by these things.

For example, Flappy Bird was a mobile game where users navigated a digital bird around obstacles. After jumping to one of the top 10 most downloaded apps in the U.S. in 2014, the designer realized that the game was addictive, so he decided to pull the game from app stores.

That probably made him lose money overall, but at the same time, at least he knew himself that he wasnt going to be hurting the world by what he was doing because he had a bigger picture, Green said. Theres more important things than money.

Companies should consider how the use of AI will affect the people that use the product or engage with the technology and aim to use AI only in ways that will benefit peoples lives. For example, AI can take a toll on the environment because of the significant amount of energy that machine learning models require for training, but AI can also be used to help solve climate and efficiency issues, Green said.

I think the first thing to do for a company is the leadership has to fundamentally make a choice, Green said. They have to say we want to be making technology that benefits the world, thats not making the world a worse place, because we all have to live here together.

When a company decides to proceed with using AI in its business model, then the next step should be to articulate the organizations values and rules around how AI will be used.

Just as long as they have a set of principles, thats a good start, but then you have to figure out how to operationalize them and actually make them happen in the company, Green said. You need to get it into the product ultimately. That means you need to somehow engage the engineers, to engage the product managers. You need to engage people who are in the leadership in that part of the company. Get them on board. They need to become champions of ethics.

The Markkula Center for Applied Ethics has a toolkit to help engineers and designers think about AI ethics in their work, such as conducting ethical risk sweeping or ethical pre- and post-mortems to repond to and adjust to any ethical failures. At Apixio, the companys head of data science created an internal AI ethics oath for the whole company, but especially for the data scientists, that outlines best practices around topics like secure data transfer and data privacy, Patel said.

HireVue, a hiring platform that uses AI for pre-hire assessments and customer engagement, has created an AI explainability statement that it shares publicly. The document outlines for its customers why and how the company uses AI.

At my time with HireVue, I have seen us move more and more towards just being more transparent because what weve seen is that if we dont tell people what were doing, they often assume the worse, said Lindsey Zuloaga, chief data scientist at HireVue.

Startups using AI often find themselves rapidly testing. While its necessary, it can lead to forgetting how algorithms were initially created and why certain decisions were made at a given time, Patel said. Transparency around the creation of algorithms can help with understanding the traceability and reasoning behind decisions.

Its black box for the engineers who actually built it as well ... and that makes it even harder to figure out when the biases creeped in and how to fix the model.

Well train up a bunch of signals. They learn on their own. Its the nature of machine learning, and then youre like, Do I know how to trace to make sure [I understand] what it learned on its own? Patel said. Oftentimes, you go back a year later, and youre like, Oh, Ive got to actually relearn that now.

Sometimes machine learning techniques can become so complex that humans cant possibly understand them. Black box models in AI are created from data by an algorithm where theres no explanation to humans as to why the decisions were made. If we cant understand the algorithm, thats a problem. We want to try to protect the people who are being analyzed by the algorithm, Green said.

Transparency around algorithms is a way to help reduce potential biases in AI decision making, said Sameer Maskey, adjunct associate professor at Columbia University and CEO of Fusemachines, a machine learning company.

These days, with deep learning systems with a hundred million parameters, it spits out a decision. Its a black box for most people, Maskey said. Its black box for the engineers who actually built it as well. A lot of engineers dont have the needed transparency in figuring out why it made that decision, and that makes it even harder to figure out when the biases creeped in and how to fix the model.

Bias can creep into algorithms when the data used in AI models is over representative, inaccurate or otherwise skewed by humans. Bias is a big issue. I would say its the elephant in the room, and theres no easy way to address it, Maskey said, who further emphasized that lack of transparency in AI models is one of the major culprits.

One way to potentially decrease biases is to have a checklist for engineers to think through with regard to the data they receive before building a model, he said. Those questions might be how was the data collected? Whats the history behind it? Who was involved in collecting it? What questions were asked?

I think one of the main things that a lot of enterprises should do is having very clear guidelines on how to do a data analysis to figure out if there is bias already seeped into the model and providing very clear guidelines on that when the engineers are designing the systems, Maskey said.

Apixio uses data with wide geographic spread and representing a variety of lifestyle factors, Patel said. The company can then make healthcare recommendations based on what state a provider is in and the type of environment like a rural versus urban setting.

We feel much more confident now eight years into our journey of training these algorithms, and having seen the 40 million charts, that were actually making predictions at a level that feels good. It takes time, Patel said.

HireVue has trained evaluators who analyze thousands of data samples for bias to ensure job candidates are assessed consistently and fairly. Is the training data biased? Does it have groups that are not represented in the data? Does it represent the group of people that you want to apply the algorithm to? Zuloaga said.

Data scientists at HireVue will reoptimize algorithms if they find that decisions are not aligning with the way that a client wants to use the AI. Often, if we do see any problems, it could be we have a customer thats using an algorithm on a population thats different from the population we trained on, Zuloaga said.

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Maintaining high quality data hygiene ensures accuracy and relevancy, and companies using AI should also make sure peoples personal information is safe and kept private, Patel said.

HireVue adheres to the European Unions General Data Protection Regulation, which is one of the toughest privacy laws in the world and regulates how companies must protect the personal data of EU citizens.

We do business globally. We have to adhere to the strictest standards, so were seeing that Europe is really paving the way, and I think states are starting to follow, Zuloaga said.

In an ideal world, Maskey said opt-in for users deciding to share their personal data, rather than opt-out, would be the standard, and ideally, people would be able to easily access and research all data thats collected about them.

Its counterproductive for a lot of companies because they are using the same data to make money, Maskey said. Thats where I think the government and organizations need to come together to come up with the right framework and write policy that is more balanced, taking user privacy into account, but allowing businesses at the same time to collect data, but with a lot of controls for the users.

AI ethics evaluations can become part of a companys regular risk assessment practice. Apixio has a team of four who regularly assess whether or not the company is abiding by its AI ethics oath, Patel said.

All businesses do some sort of quarterly risk assessments, usually in the IT security realm, but what weve added to it a few years ago is actually this AI piece, so its more of a risk and ethics meeting, Patel said.

At HireVue, the company has conducted third-party audits to evaluate its AI practices, in addition to consulting with an expert advisory board that includes people with diverse backgrounds in law, industrial and organizational psychology and artificial intelligence. Theres no standard of what an AI audit is at this point. Every audit we did was really different, Zuloaga said.

If youre a minority candidate, you may be concerned that youre gonna be treated differently, so how do we kind of address all of those concerns?

HireVue conducted one AI audit with ONeil Risk Consulting & Algorithmic Auditing, which is led by Cathy ONeil, a data science consultant and author of Weapons of Math Destruction: How Big Data Increases Inequality And Threatens Democracy.

She very much took a holistic approach of saying, who are all the different people that interact with this, and how do we represent all those groups? Zuloaga said. What are their concerns? Whether theyre legitimately true or not, the concern is real. If youre a minority candidate, you may be concerned that youre gonna be treated differently, so how do we kind of address all of those concerns?

AI audits and consulting with third parties can point out potential risks of how a companys AI is being used and ways to address these concerns.

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AI Ethics: A Guide to Ethical AI - Built In

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Googles AI chatbotsentient and similar to a kid that happened to know physicsis also racist and biased, fired engineer contends – Fortune

Posted: at 9:13 pm

A former Google engineer fired by the company after going public with concerns that its artificial intelligence chatbot is sentient isnt concerned about convincing the public.

He does, however, want others to know that the chatbot holds discriminatory views against those of some races and religions, he recently told Business Insider.

The kinds of problems these AI pose, the people building them are blind to them, Blake Lemoine said in an interview published Sunday, blaming the issue on a lack of diversity in engineers working on the project.

Theyve never been poor. Theyve never lived in communities of color. Theyve never lived in the developing nations of the world. They have no idea how this AI might impact people unlike themselves.

Lemoine said he was placed on leave in June after publishing transcripts between himself and the companys LaMDA (language model for dialogue applications) chatbot, according to TheWashington Post. The chatbot, he told The Post, thinks and feels like a human child.

If I didnt know exactly what it was, which is this computer program we built recently, Id think it was a 7-year-old, 9-year-old kid that happens to know physics, Lemoine, 41,told the newspaper last month, adding that the bot talked about its rights and personhood, and changed his mind about Isaac Asimovs third law of robotics.

Among Lemoines new accusations to Insider: that the bot said lets go get some fried chicken and waffles when asked to do an impression of a Black man from Georgia, and that Muslims are more violent than Christians when asked about the differences between religious groups.

Data being used to build the technology is missing contributions from many cultures throughout the globe, Lemonine said.

If you want to develop that AI, then you have a moral responsibility to go out and collect the relevant data that isnt on the internet, he told Insider. Otherwise, all youre doing is creating AI that is going to be biased towards rich, white Western values.

Google told the publication that LaMDA had been through 11 ethics reviews, adding that it is taking a restrained, careful approach.

Ethicists and technologists have reviewed Blakes concerns per our AI principles and have informed him that the evidence does not support his claims, a company spokesperson told The Post last month.

He was told that there was no evidence that LaMDA was sentient (and lots of evidence against it).

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Googles AI chatbotsentient and similar to a kid that happened to know physicsis also racist and biased, fired engineer contends - Fortune

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Bam! AI exits the Batcave to confront the jobs market – VentureBeat

Posted: at 9:13 pm

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What is the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) in an economy that has been whipsawed by worker resignations on one hand, and layoffs and hiring freezes on the other?

As I think about this one-two punch, Batman comes to mind. Hear me out.

For years, AI-driven automation has been seen as a potential job killer. The thinking: robots and drones would replace the hands-on work of builders and doers. Were getting a glimpse of this with driverless cars and automated factories.

But its possible that AI could have the opposite effect and drive demand for skilled workers in new jobs. In this scenario, rote administrative work might indeed give way to algorithmic processes, but new opportunities are created for workers in data-intensive businesses.

Back to Batman. A perennial favorite in popular culture, Batman is sometimes viewed warily by those that may not fully understand him. Hes both the Dark Knight and a force for good.

AI has its own duality, the dark side being its stereotyped reputation as a job killer. But becauseAI can spur new-style jobs while also driving efficiencies, the business world, like Gotham City, will be a better place.

Im convinced that AI will be a net positive for todays workforce, as well as for businesses that are trying to strike the right balance in a global economy that rewards operational efficiency yet punishes those unable to attract and retain talent.

AI-driven processes and applications push both of those levers. They can increase business productivity while also establishing high-value jobs. Those do not have to be competing interests, nor should they.

The productivity boost as much as 40%, according to Accenture and Frontier Economics comes in the form of automation. At the same time, the thing that AI does really well is provide the underpinnings for a data-driven business environment. This is where job creation or what we might call job metamorphosis happens, as even entry-level workers take a bigger role in the data value chain. Instead of work that depends on monotonous routines, or is arduous or even dangerous, AI can free up people to focus on tasks that engage their human ingenuity.

These data-driven, AI-enabled jobs are the ones that will attract and retain a modern workforce, and there are many ways to do it. I worked with a company that had a cadre of employees whose jobs entailed creating routine marketing reports each week by hand-compiling incoming data from the companys multitude of regions and business units. It was repetitive, assembly-line work, without much of a career path.

The company replaced that workbench approach with an AI-driven, self-service model that gave business units more flexibility to do their own data crunching. That freed up the reports team to pursue more innovative analysis and intellectually engaging projects. In the process, the company was able to trim costs by reducing its dependency on outside agencies it had relied on for the deep insights that the in-house reports team now had time for.

Its understandable that people may not be 100% comfortable about the impact that AI can have on jobs. Weve heard the dystopian predictions disappearing jobs, AI bias, even our inability to trust AI.

To take the Dark Knight analogy one step further, if CEOs had a Batphone on their desk during the Great Resignation, many would have called for help. As recently as May, there were 11.3 million unfilled jobs in the United States, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Notably, it was the COVID pandemic, not AI, that caused the jobs crisis. But AI is now viewed by many business leaders as a potential solution to all those unfillable jobs. When talent is hard to find, workplace efficiency becomes a necessity. And AI excels at that.

The World Economic Forums Future of Jobs Report 2020 shows both sides of this long-term trend. It forecasts that 85 million jobs will be displaced by automation by 2025. At the same time, 97 million jobs of tomorrow will be created, resulting in a net gain of 12 million jobs.

The types of jobs that involve data know-how are fast expanding. We see evidence of this every day across industries, including automotive, financial services and manufacturing. Even farms are using sensors and data intelligence to grow corn and soybeans.

At the center of the activity are data practitioners data scientists, data engineers, data architects and business analysts. Increasingly, however, even workers who may not have four-year college degrees are becoming part of the data continuum. For example, in a data-first retailing operation to which all employees have access and are encouraged to participate, a sales associate in a sports store may make note of growing interest in a new style of running shoe, providing input into the enterprise-wide system.

The career path for these workers can be enriched and made more valuable, benefiting employers and employees alike, when data touchpoints are among the job responsibilities.

As more businesses move in this direction, its important to understand that the objective is not simply to accumulate and process more data. Many organizations already have more data than they can manage, and it just keeps growing. AI, by sifting through mountains of data, can empower humans to act upon business-expanding insights.

The key to success is creating actionable data, and CEOs dont need a cape to do that. It starts with a data-driven, AI-enabled culture that includes the entire workforce.

Florian Douetteau is cofounder and CEO of Dataiku.

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Bam! AI exits the Batcave to confront the jobs market - VentureBeat

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Andrew Hopkins of Exscientia: the man using AI to cure disease – The Guardian

Posted: at 9:13 pm

It was early one morning in 1996 when Andrew Hopkins, then a PhD biophysics student at Oxford University, had a brainwave as he walked home from a late-night lab meeting.

He was trying to find molecules to fight HIV and to better understand drug resistance.

I remember this idea struck me that there must be a better way to do drug discovery other than the complex and expensive way everyone was following, he says. Why couldnt we design an automated approach to drug design that would use all the information in parallel so that even a humble PhD student could create a medicine? That idea really stuck with me. I remember almost the exact moment to this day. And that was the genesis of the idea that eventually became Exscientia.

It was to prove a lucrative brainwave. Hopkins set up the company in 2012 as a spinout from the University of Dundee, where he was by then working as a professor. It uses artificial intelligence (AI) systems, which are being trained to mimic human creativity, to develop new medicines. This involves the use of automated computer algorithms to sift through large datasets to design novel compounds that can treat diseases, and to help select the right patients for each treatment.

Age 50

Family Married with a 10-year-old daughter. He met his wife, Iva Hopkins Navratilova, at Pfizer. Her business, Kinetic Discovery, merged with his to create the experimental biology labs at Exscientia.

Education Dwr-y-Felin comprehensive and Neath College in south Wales; degree in chemistry at Manchester; doctorate in molecular biophysics at Oxford.

Pay 415,000

Last holiday Czech Republic to visit his wifes family at Easter.

Best advice he has been given My dad worked in a factory. He said to me: Get a good education and get a job you enjoy doing. Its worth an extra six grand a year. And I definitely got a job I enjoy doing.

Biggest career mistake Its too early to tell. He quotes Miles Davis: Its not the note you play thats the wrong note its the note you play afterwards that makes it right or wrong.

Words he overuses Fundamentally; the heart of the matter.

How he relaxes Reading and dog walking. I am a bibliophile. I immerse myself in books to relax.

This approach drastically cuts the time of drug development. Hopkins says that for Exscientias pipeline it has typically taken 12 to 15 months from starting a project to identifying a drug candidate, compared with four and a half years in the traditional pharmaceutical industry.

The average cost of developing a medicine is $2bn, according to Deloittes latest pharma report, and many drugs fail the failure rate is 90% for medicines that are in early clinical studies (where they are tested on humans).

Typically, pharma companies make 2,500 compounds to test them against a specific disease, while AI enables Oxford-based Exscientia to whittle down that number to about 250, Hopkins says. Its a much more methodical approach.

Last autumn, the Welsh scientist became one of Britains richest entrepreneurs, with a paper fortune of 400m after the company achieved a $2.9bn stock market debut on Nasdaq in New York, making it one of Britains biggest biotech firms. Hopkinss stake of nearly 16% is now worth 170m, as the share price has lost 60% of its value in a bloodbath for Wall Street stocks.

Exscientia was part of a transatlantic trend that is defying government attempts to build a biotech powerhouse in the UK. Abcam, a pioneering Cambridge antibody company, recently announced it was moving its stock market listing from the UK to the US. We are a British company; we choose to be in Oxford because we can attract global talent, Hopkins says. But to be seen as a global company, we listed on what is the global technology index, which is Nasdaq. What we have now is an incredibly international shareholder base from across the world.

The business came up with the first AI-designed drug to enter clinical trials a treatment for obsessive-compulsive disorder in partnership with Japans Sumitomo, although Sumitomo later decided not to proceed with it. The Japanese firm is currently studying another drug developed by Exscientia, for the treatment of Alzheimers disease psychosis, in early human trials.

Hopkins, now 50, fell in love with science thanks to an inspirational chemistry teacher. He has worked as a scientist since the age of 16, when he did a stint in industrial chemistry at the Port Talbot steelworks in south Wales, which he says taught him about the benefits of automation in boosting productivity.

He spent nearly a decade at the US drug giant Pfizer, where he was on a data warehouse project that led to some of the first machine-learning applications in the pharmaceutical industry, with the findings published in Nature in 2006.

During the subsequent five years at Dundee University, he further researched applying data mining and machine learning to drug discovery. He says being a professor is actually one of the best jobs in the world and gave him the freedom to research AI methods at length. He maintains his links with the university, where he is honorary chair of medicinal informatics at the School of Life Sciences.

Exscientia (which means from knowledge in Latin) soon moved to the Schrdinger Building at the Oxford science park, and now employs 450 people worldwide, from Vienna to Boston, Miami and Osaka, equally split between AI engineering, chemistry and biology.

It is building a new robotics laboratory at Milton Park near Oxford, focused on the automation of chemistry and biology to accelerate drug development and its declared goal is drugs designed by AI, made by robot. Other pharma companies have also introduced some automation into their processes, but generally lab technology is similar to how it was when he was a student in the 1990s, Hopkins says.

The firm is involved in 30 projects, some in partnership with big pharmaceutical companies including Frances Sanofi and the US firm Bristol Myers Squibb (BMS). It is also working with Oxford University on developing medicines that target neuroinflammation for the treatment of Alzheimers disease. Among the firms solo projects, a cancer drug for solid tumours is about to go into early clinical trials.

Exscientia is also working on a broader coronavirus pill to rival Paxlovid, the Covid-19 treatment made by Hopkinss former employer Pfizer. This work is funded by a $1.5m grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which took a stake in Exscientia. The companys other investors include BMS, Celgene (now a BMS subsidiary) and Germanys Evotec, as well as Japans Softbank, the US fund manager BlackRock and the life science investor Novo Holdings.

Hopkins says the team has identified a set of molecules that could work as a broader treatment for Covid-19, new mutations and other coronaviruses, and that there will be more news later this year. The firm is aiming for a low-cost pill that could be distributed globally and given quickly to people who fall ill to prevent serious illness and hospitalisation. Covid-19 infections are rising again in 110 countries and the World Health Organizations director general, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, has warned that the pandemic is far from over.

Firms across the pharmaceutical industry have started using AI in recent years. AstraZeneca is investing heavily in it for its entire research and development infrastructure, and GSK has built an AI team of 120 engineers, with plans to reach 160 next year, making it the largest such in-house team in the industry.

AI systems require a lot of computing power and enormous datasets. Their use should boost the number of new drugs being approved every year typically 40 to 50 in the US to many more. Hopkins confidently predicts: This is the way all drugs will be designed in the future. In the next decade, this technology will become ubiquitous.

The sub-heading of this article was amended on 31 July 2022. An earlier version referred to the employment of AI to to drastically reduce the speed of drug development when cut the time of drug development was meant.

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Andrew Hopkins of Exscientia: the man using AI to cure disease - The Guardian

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