Daily Archives: April 13, 2022

Daniel Hannan: In Poland, proof the nation state is our surest shield against tyranny – ConservativeHome

Posted: April 13, 2022 at 6:12 pm

Lord Hannan of Kingsclere is a Conservative peer, writer and columnist. He was a Conservative MEP from 1999 to 2020, and is now President of the Initiative for Free Trade.

Fyodor Dostoyevsky set parts of his magnum opus, The Brothers Karamazov, in the Optina monastery near the small town of Kozelsk. Here, his characters debated the books fundamental questions.

How can a benevolent God have created a world full of horrors? Then again, in what sense other than by religious criteria can they definitively be said to be horrors? How, in short, is any morality possible without God?

In April 1940, in the same monastery, Dostoyevskys questions found a grisly non-fictional answer. Optina was used as a base by Stalins security agency, the NKVD. Being Communists, they had been taught that leaving behind the superstition and flummery of Christianity would allow them to make rational judgments not least about the value of human life.

This reasoning led them to condemn 21,892 army officers, priests and intellectuals who had been arrested following the USSRs invasion of Poland the previous year.

The captured Poles, many of whom were held at Kozelsk, had proved unwilling to adopt a properly Soviet outlook. They kept their uniforms too tidy, and continued to observe military rank in captivity. Local peasants recalled that their very bearing made them stand out.

They had insisted on celebrating Christmas in their prison camps. Early in 1940, Lavrentiy Beria, Stalins gruesome security chief, decided to eliminate them and, as was his way, decreed a target number to be shot.

When the time came, the Poles climbed trustingly into their buses, thinking they were being sent home. It simply did not occur to them that they might be murdered without judicial process. One officer, Adam Solski, kept a diary which ended abruptly: They asked about my wedding ring, which I

He and his comrades were driven into the Katyn forest and shot in batches.

The annihilation of Polands military, civil and ecclesiastical leaders was hushed up by the Soviet authorities. By the time evidence reached the West, Hitler had invaded the USSR, and no one wanted to hear about abominations committed by their new allies.

For years, the crime went unacknowledged. But on the seventieth anniversary, 10 April 2010, Vladimir Putin invited Polands leaders to a commemoration at the site of the massacre.

They never made it. In heavy fog, their plane crashed in the forest outside the nearby town of Smolensk, killing Lech Kaczyski, the President, his wife Maria, the Chief of General Staff, the President of the National Bank, the leadership of the governing PiS party, including several ministers, and various senior army officers and clergymen.

Once again, in the same place and on the same date, Poland lost its military, civil and ecclesiastical leaders.

Last Sunday, the twelfth anniversary of the Smolensk catastrophe, I led a delegation of Conservative MPs and peers to place wreaths at memorials for the victims and attend a commemorative Mass in Warsaw, along with Polands President and Prime Minister and the Ukrainian ambassador.

Afterwards, we walked with the congregation, joined by a huge throng outside the church, to hear a speech by the slain presidents identical twin, Jarosaw, who is technically Deputy Prime Minister but who, as leader of the PiS, is the chief force in Polands government.

I can only imagine what it must be like to lose a twin. Norris McWhirter, whose twin brother Ross was murdered by the IRA, once told me: Its not bereavement; its amputation.

From his chilly outdoor podium, Kaczyski repeated his charge that the Smolensk disaster had been a planned Russian assassination. He told the crowd that only force would contain the bandit regime in the Kremlin and that, if Ukraine fell, Latvia and Lithuania would follow.

I tell you all this because I think it puts Polands response to the Ukrainian calamity in context. I hope Polish readers will forgive me if I observe that, by and large, Poles are not a light-hearted people; but, by Heaven, they know how to rise to a challenge.

We Tory parliamentarians were there as part of a five-day visit, distributing aid to Ukrainian refugees and building a playground for orphans who had been moved en masse to a new facility in Pomerania when the war began. The work was organised through Project Maja, which runs Conservative social action initiatives overseas.

It was our tenth project, and I want to thank the parliamentarians who gave up a slice of their recess: Amanda Solloway, Tom Randall, Natalie Elphicke, James Wild and Baronesses Evans of Bowes Park and Hodgson of Abinger.

We were awe-struck at the unfussy professionalism with which Poland has taken in 2.6 million refugees. Schools have expanded and laid on Polish-language lessons. Newspapers are printing Ukrainian editions. Mobile phone operators are giving away data. Owners of Airbnbs are opening their premises, business consortiums offering free hotel rooms.

More than once, I found myself wondering whether Britain would have coped in the same way. Its not that I doubt the generosity of our people, who are queuing up to open their homes.

Rather, I doubt the capacity of our bureaucracy. Refugee centres would be closed because they were not Covid-compliant, hosts rejected on grounds that they hadnt completed their DBS checks, foster parents required to do diversity training. If that sounds far-fetched, look at the spectacular failure of the Home Office to process visas.

Poles have little time for such niceties. History has taught them the value of self-reliance, which is why they sympathise so deeply with their Ukrainian neighbours.

We remember Poland as the only European ally that was on our side from the beginning of the Second World War to the end. But, from Polands point of view, that alliance worked only one way. Polish servicemen fought at our side in Norway, at Dunkirk, in North Africa, at Monte Casino, in the Normandy landings, at Arnhem and on the high seas.

But we were in no position to return the favour when their homeland was twice overrun.

Unsurprisingly, Poles see the Ukrainian cause as their own; indeed, as the cause of everyone who believes in national independence. In pursuit of that same cause, they recently declared that Polish law was supreme over EU law on their own soil a dispute that has resulted in Brussels fining them a million euros a day even as they accommodate the displaced Ukrainians.

I am not trying to make a point-scoring Eurosceptic argument. Ukraine, after all, has asked to join the EU, albeit in very particular circumstances.

No, my point is a wider one. The war began because Ukraine insisted on being a fully sovereign state. Poles recognise that sentiment. Nationhood, for so long treated as a swear-word in European circles, is again proving its worth as the chief antidote to tyranny.

We declared war in 1939, not because we had been attacked, but in order to defend the sovereignty of a friendly state. We failed. Poland was occupied by the Red Army for 45 years though we continued, at least, to host the government in exile.

Patriotism was the force that inspired us to defend the cause of all nations, that led to the defeat of Nazism and, eventually, of Soviet communism, too. The nation-state remains the most secure container for liberty. Poles know it. So, I think, do we.

See the article here:

Daniel Hannan: In Poland, proof the nation state is our surest shield against tyranny - ConservativeHome

Posted in High Seas | Comments Off on Daniel Hannan: In Poland, proof the nation state is our surest shield against tyranny – ConservativeHome

MARSHA P. JOHNSON INSTITUTE AND H&M KICK OFF THEIR SECOND-YEAR PARTNERSHIP – PR Newswire

Posted: at 6:11 pm

H&M plans to elevate MPJI and its community throughout the year with a series of programs and events aimed to celebrate artistic expression and provide mental health awareness and resources. The retailer and nonprofit will leverage key celebrities and influencers to amplify the work of MPJI and more importantly, provide much-needed resources to the Black transgender community.

"At MPJI, we encourage everyone to be themselves and respect others for who they are, not just today but every day, " said Elle Moxley of MPJI. "We are thrilled to continue our partnership with H&M and celebrate the Black transgender community through programs that provide real impact."

Programs planned for the year include events centered on mental health awareness and resources, PRIDE, and a fireside chat for H&M employees with Moxley and one of the co-chairs of PrisHM, the company's LGBTQ+ colleague resource group.

"H&M is a company that values our employees bringing their true selves to our organization, and the communities we serve, every day. We are proud to partner with the Marsha P. Johnson Institute for a second year so that we can assist in further amplifying their mission of elevating the Black transgender community," said Carlos Duarte, President, H&M Americas.

The partnership will also include an extended return of the inaugural event from last year, where hundreds of teens and young adults across the country participated in a 'Fresh and Fabulous for the Fall' back-to-school makeover event and received H&M Gift Cards and VIP cards.

About MPJIThe Marsha P. Johnson Institute (MPJI) protects and defends the human rights of BLACK transgender people. We do this by organizing, advocating, creating an intentional community to heal, developing transformative leadership, and promoting our collective power.

For more information on H&M please contact:H&M Media RelationsEmail: [emailprotected]

H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) was founded in Sweden in 1947 and is quoted on Nasdaq Stockholm. H&M's business idea is to offer fashion and quality at the best price in a sustainable way. In addition to H&M, the group includes the brands COS, Monki, Weekday, & Other Stories, H&M HOME and ARKET as well as Afound. The H&M group has 54 online markets and approximately 4,800 stores in 75 markets including franchise markets. In 2021, net sales were SEK 199 billion. The number of employees amounts to approximately 155,000. For further information, visit hmgroup.com.

Media Contact: Heather HansenHumanity Communications Collective[emailprotected]

SOURCE H&M

See the original post here:

MARSHA P. JOHNSON INSTITUTE AND H&M KICK OFF THEIR SECOND-YEAR PARTNERSHIP - PR Newswire

Posted in Intentional Communities | Comments Off on MARSHA P. JOHNSON INSTITUTE AND H&M KICK OFF THEIR SECOND-YEAR PARTNERSHIP – PR Newswire

Booker, Sewell Introduce Legislation to Advance Health Equity and Access to Care – Senator Cory Booker

Posted: at 6:11 pm

Washington,D.C. -U.S. Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) and Representative Terri Sewell (D-AL-7th) introduced the John Lewis Equality in Medicare and Medicaid Treatment (EMMT) Act that would require the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) to work with experts to consider health disparities when developing payment models.

Established by the Affordable Care Act, CMMI works to develop, test, and implement new value-based payment models. Under current law, however, CMMI is not required to consider social determinants of health - such as a patients environment, education, and economic status-when implementing and testing new payment models. The current status quo incentivizes health providers to pick patients who will produce favorable clinical outcomes, which leaves women, people in rural communities, and Black and Brown people sidelined in the development of payment models.

The John Lewis EMMT Act would direct CMMI to consult with experts on health disparities, such as the Office of Minority Health of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, the Federal Office of Rural Health Policy, and the Office on WomensHealth, ondeveloping new payment models that focus not only on lowering costs but also advancing health equity and improving access to care.

The current health care system contains numerous disparities in health equity and access to care, a fact that has been exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic,said Sen. Booker. My dear colleague John Lewis understood this and fought to make our health care system fairer. I am proud to continue this fight with this bicameral legislation that would make critical reforms to our health care system, helping our nation address health disparities and improve health outcomes, especially for underserved communities.

Our late colleague, Congressman John Lewis, knew that in order to achieve true justice, we must be intentional about increasing access to health care for communities of color,said Rep. Sewell. As co-chair of the Ways and Means Committees Racial Equity Initiative, Im committed to advancing his legacy by bringing health equity to the forefront of our policy agenda. By ensuring that the Center for Medicare & Medicaid Innovation considers the impact of new payment models on communities of color, the John Lewis Equalityin Medicare and Medicaid Treatment Act will help us reduce racial disparities and build a fairer and more just health care system. Im proud to join Senator Booker in introducing this bill and urge my colleagues to give it their full support.

Movement is Life commends Senator Booker for his outstanding leadership on health equity,said Mary OConnor, MD and Chair of Movement is Life.Ensuring that the CMS Innovation Center develops and tests health payment models which do not exacerbate health disparities is essential to achieving health equity. On behalf of the millions of Americans who are hurt by the discrimination currently embedded in our healthcare system by these biased payment models, thank you.

Specifically, the John Lewis Equality in Medicare and Medicaid Treatment Act directs CMMI to:

Consider a models impact on access to care for people of color, women, and people in rural areas, in addition to cost and quality.

Include experts in health disparities and social determinants of health during the evaluation and review process for new payment models.

Directs CMMI to create a Social Determinants of Health Model that focuses on health conditions of those dually eligible for Medicaid and Medicare, behavioral health, and maternal mortality.

The John Lewis Equality in Medicare and Medicaid Treatment Act is supported by the National Association of Orthopaedic Nurses,The Root Cause Coalition, the National Black Nurses Association,the Osteoarthritis Action Alliance,and the Academy of Medical-Surgical Nurses.The legislation is cosponsored in the Senate by Senators Alex Padilla (D-CA) and Sherrod Brown (D-OH).

See the original post here:

Booker, Sewell Introduce Legislation to Advance Health Equity and Access to Care - Senator Cory Booker

Posted in Intentional Communities | Comments Off on Booker, Sewell Introduce Legislation to Advance Health Equity and Access to Care – Senator Cory Booker

Cardona: We are at the doorstep of a new chapter in American education – Smartbrief

Posted: at 6:11 pm

(Image credit: Kanoe Namahoe)

Want more stories like this? Sign up for ASCD SmartBrief.

Education cannot return to what it was in March 2020; that system did not work for everyone, Education Secretary Miguel Cardona said to educators at this years ASCD Annual Conference in Chicago.

We are at the doorstep of a new chapter of American education, Cardona said. Will we use this moment as a reset to boldly and unapologetically tackle the issues that have been pervasive in education? Or will we beat COVID only to succumb to complacency? We have more influence now than ever before in education. Lets remember why we signed up for this profession.

Cardona outlined his vision for moving American education forward and the role whole child education plays in it during his closing keynote discussion with ASCD board member Avis Williams and a post-keynote interview with me. Here are six takeaways from those conversations.

The most important thing school leaders can do in the next 22 months is create a culture of shared expectations a culture of problem-solving, where they may face unique challenges and not have all the answers, Cardona said.

These are different times, he explained. Creating a culture of intentional collaboration and looking at the whole child and the whole educator is probably more important now than ever before.

Cardona credited intentional collaboration teamwork among educators, school leaders and administrators for getting schools to 100% in-person, full-time instruction. This type of collaboration will be key to bringing true reset to our schools, he said.

Like the African proverb teaches us: If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go together, he said. Even this citys own Michael Jordan once said, Talent wins games, but teamwork and intelligence wins championships. For our students each day in the classroom is a championship.

Improving outcomes for the whole child begins with improving support of the whole educator, according to Cardona.

We need to think differently about how we support our educators or else we shouldnt be surprised that they walk away, he said. He outlined three strategies he gleaned from conversations and visits hes held with educators over the last year.

Offer a competitive salary. Many educators hold a masters degree or higher; yet their salaries are not commensurate with their degrees. Added to this is the money they spend buying supplies for their classrooms and the time they take away from their families to plan lessons, grade school work or participate in school functions.

We need to change that culture in education, he said. Lift the profession by paying what educators should be getting paid. And this doesnt mean just [the American Rescue Plan]. We need to create the understanding at the state level [of the] importance of state funding for education and local funding.

Improve working conditions. Teachers need emotional support resources. Many suffered stress, anxiety and personal loss amid the pandemic. Counselors and other mental health resources offer valuable support as teachers continue navigating their new norm. When teachers know theyre cared for, theyre more likely to give their best, Cardona asserted.

When that emotional bandwidth is full because youre dealing with problems, its hard for you to be 100% of your job, he said. We have to make sure that we have folks whose job it is to be dedicated to the well-being of our professional staff, our classified staff, because when theyre OK, theyre going to take care of our kids better.

Engage teachers meaningfully. The work day should be conducive to professional growth. Cardona encouraged leaders to nurture intentional collaboration at their sites by embedding into the workday time for staff to come together, share ideas, discuss issues and problem-solve. Teachers shouldnt have to be learning about how to do a better job outside school hours, outside of their workday, he said.

COVID-19 turned students lives upside down. It was especially difficult for English-language learners, students with special needs and those with messy home lives absent parents, food insecurity, homelessness and domestic violence, among other issues. Helping students recuperate academically and emotionally from the pandemic will call for a new relationship between home and school, Cardona said.

The systems responsibility now is to go beyond the traditional relationship with families, he said. How do we help families so they can support their children?

Cardona urged school leaders to use their ARP funds to provide support services for families counseling, behavioral health assistance, after-school programming and help them reconnect with the school community. He cited the example of school districts in Boston and Las Vegas that used ARP dollars to develop parent engagement programs. At some sites, parents hold leadership roles at the school or in classrooms. Other sites hired family-school liaisons. These individuals visit students homes and foster relationships with families, in particular those who may have suffered increased trauma from the pandemic.

Programs like these go a long way toward reengaging the home-school connection. We must build these partnerships if we want to move forward educating children, said Cardona.

Parents must be at the table. Theyre the most influential and most important teachers of our students, he said. Whether theyre prepared or not, we have to work to build a family.

Educators need to share the wins theyre seeing in their classrooms. We talk a lot about what happened during the time schools were closed, said Cardona. But why do we brush over the improvement that happened in September when students were back in school because of the work of educators?

Its time to go on the offensive and control the narrative, asserted Cardona. Dont wait to defend what youre doing, he advised. Talk about the great work youre doing. Put faces to the benefits of the American Rescue Plan. You are experts in education.

Cardona highlighted a school district in Canton, Mich., that restructured the school schedules for all 6,000 of its high-school students. The new schedule gives every high-schooler one period per day for mental health support or social-emotional well-being activities. They made it happen, he said, referencing Cantons high-school leaders. They were bold, and they said, Were going to do this because its good for kids.

Talk about your successes, and be your districts biggest cheerleader for improvement and innovation, Cardona told the ASCD audience.

I believe the appetite for education funding in the next decade in this country will be guided by the perception of how ARP funds are used in the next 24 months, he said. I want you to share your best practices. I want you to lift up stories of success. If were not controlling our narrative, somebody else will.

Now is the time for schools to be bold about what they want to fix, Cardona said. He cautioned educators not to fall into a trap of complacency.

I would say over the last two years, I was afraid of COVID. For the next few years, Im afraid of complacency, he said.

Cardona exhorted leaders to maintain a high level of urgency around addressing disparity and invest their ARP money into programs aimed at breaking these cycles. He gave the example of Cascade School District in Washington. The district used its ARP dollars for evidence-based reading and math interventions, summer school and after-school tutoring.

Now its time to level up education to really build it to where its going to have impact for generations to come, he said. Embrace this opportunity to hit the reset on the things that we know didnt work. And let your fingerprints be on the plan for education in our country, and well move forward.

Education in America is on the cusp of change. Forging a new pathway wont be easy, but going backward is not an option, Cardona asserted.

We cant go back to March 2020. That system didnt work for everyone, he said. The decisions we make in the next 24 months will either help close the achievement disparities or widen them, especially for those students that were in the most impacted communities.

Cardona repeated his charge for educators to use their ARP resources for wraparound programs tutoring, mentoring and enrichment curricula that can help close these gaps.

Lets give every student in every phase of their academic lives the support they need to succeed, he said. If we make investments in our students and educators now, were champions not only for our school communities of today, but the school communities of tomorrow.

Success is within reach, but getting there will require a collective effort, Cardona said.

We need all hands on deck here. To level up our education system, we must involve teachers, school leaders, families, students and entire communities, said Cardona. Its not going to be easy. Its not meant to be easy. But I want you to work together. Were blessed to be in this position. This is the best time to be in education. Lets make a difference.

Kanoe Namahoe is the director of content for SmartBrief Education and Business Services. Reach her at kanoe.namahoe@futurenet.com.

________________________________

If you liked this article, sign up for SmartBriefs free email newsletter from ASCD. Its among SmartBriefs more than 250 industry-focused newsletters.

More from SmartBrief Education:

Read the rest here:

Cardona: We are at the doorstep of a new chapter in American education - Smartbrief

Posted in Intentional Communities | Comments Off on Cardona: We are at the doorstep of a new chapter in American education – Smartbrief

IndyBar: Intentional Investment: Providing Opportunities to the Next Generation of Lawyers – Indiana Lawyer

Posted: at 6:11 pm

Chaka Coleman

By Chaka Coleman

What is leadership? This is a question I endeavored to answer when I took former Dean Andy Klein and professor Susan Brooks Leadership in the Law class at IU McKinney this past fall.

Too many times as students of color we have been asked, Do you know Jimmie McMillian? While I believe Jimmie to be a remarkable human being, he is just that human. He cannot mentor the entire city of Indianapolis, be a husband, father, top tier attorney and not sacrifice time. He needs your help, and as future lawyers, so do we. There are many potential Jimmie McMillians in the legal profession, many of whom youve never heard of, waiting for the chance to be elevated and challenged to provide solutions.

As I think back on my time in that classroom, I can name a place where each of the 20 or so students would thrive as leaders. The wonderful thing about IU McKinneys law program is that it accepts students from diverse backgrounds parents, police officers, engineers, educators and utilizes their real-world experiences to benefit the legal field. If attorneys dont provide these students with real leadership opportunities, not based on years of practice but based on the experience they already bring to the table, they are doing a disservice to ingenuity and relegating perseverance to an afterthought of the human psyche.

I had a candid conversation about leadership with IndyBar President Judge Alicia Gooden this past summer. I asked, How can you tell someone who navigated law school with a family and full-time job and who now practices complex bond financing deals or litigates major felony cases that they are not qualified to hold a leadership position?

Crisis management, financing and feeding humans certainly qualifies you for any position in any association, board or committee. And that, dear colleagues, should be the attitude that each of us takes with us when we look for a potential addition to our leadership teams.

The lack of leadership opportunities is even more prevalent in communities of color, which is disheartening. Quite frankly, there arent enough of us to not provide fresh perspectives the opportunity to shine. I liken this to both a fear of the unknown and a lack of faith; but faith is what we need to push our profession into the next generation of change. A great example of tapped potential is Angka Hinshaw. She is a soft-spoken superhero who has done a phenomenal job advocating for cultural awareness and equity within the legal profession alongside Justice Steven David.

Undoubtedly, expertise is important, and many attorneys are successful and accomplished and should be celebrated as such. I am advocating for the collective to continue to encourage and promote the unknown who may also desire the opportunity to make an impact but may not quite know how. Although not always the case, Im sure that veteran attorneys would like to go home to their families, proud of the fact that they are building a legacy of future policymakers, judges and litigators, one relinquished duty at a time.

So, I ask again: What is leadership? Well, sometimes it is simply asking what you can do to support someone elses growth. As practitioners of the law, we are taught to mitigate risk and keep our clients needs safe behind the shield of justice. But what we are not taught is that leadership and leadership opportunities are inherently risky, with rewards that can arguably outweigh any peril involved.

In conclusion, before you ask students and fledgling attorneys if they know Jimmie McMillian, I challenge you to first ask yourself if you know anyone other than Jimmie McMillian who can serve as a resource and support system to help a new attorney on their legal journey. Then ask yourself if there is a leadership opportunity not that he can provide, but that you, your network or organization are willing to provide. It takes confidence and fortitude to witness someone else succeed, but there is no greater gift that you can give than intentionality, and when it comes to opportunities, intentional investment in the next generation of leaders is what our legal community needs.

Read the original here:

IndyBar: Intentional Investment: Providing Opportunities to the Next Generation of Lawyers - Indiana Lawyer

Posted in Intentional Communities | Comments Off on IndyBar: Intentional Investment: Providing Opportunities to the Next Generation of Lawyers – Indiana Lawyer

Mayor Scott Announces Vision for Community Violence Intervention Ecosystem in Baltimore – Mayor Brandon M. Scott

Posted: at 6:11 pm

Scott will invest over $10 million in ARPA dollars to establish CVI ecosystem and address violence across the city.

BALTIMORE, MD (Wednesday, April 13, 2022) Today, Mayor Brandon M. Scott stood as a national leader in the Community Violence Intervention (CVI) space to lay out his strategy toexpand Baltimores CVI ecosystem. Mayor Scott was joined by the Mayors Office of Neighborhood Safety and Engagement (MONSE), White House Community Violence Intervention Collaborative (CVIC) technical advisors, the National Coalition for Criminal Justice Reform, The Health Alliance for Violence Intervention (HAVI), Safe Streets Baltimore, community-based organization partners, Baltimore-area hospital system partners, and community partners.

Baltimores Comprehensive Violence Prevention Plan (CVPP) outlines the Mayors commitment to invest in evidence-based violence intervention programming rooted in community and a public health approach. Scott has already committed to accelerating the implementation of the CVPP through a $50 million American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) investment into comprehensive public safety efforts announced last fall.

We know that in order to reduce violence, Baltimores capacity to transform conflict positively and reduce violence must drastically expand, said Mayor Brandon M. Scott. Community Violence Intervention is a nationally-acclaimed and implemented strategy that is proven to save lives and produce sustainable outcomes for communities experiencing devastating levels of violence. Establishing this ecosystem is a critical part of my Comprehensive Violence Prevention Plans approach to breaking the vicious cycle of violence by addressing it as a law enforcement issue and a public health epidemic.

Between FY22 - FY25, Baltimore will invest $10,025,000 from ARPA to issue a minimum of 30 contracts with partner organizations at the institutional and grassroots levels in outreach and conflict mediation, violence intervention, hospital-based violence intervention, school-based violence intervention, intensive case management and life coaching, and victim services.

Making our communities safer will take meaningful investment anda coordinated approach to response and intervention efforts. Thats why Im glad to see Mayor Scott leveraging federal American Rescue Plan funds in his comprehensive vision to improve public safety in Baltimore," said U.S. Senator Chris Van Hollen. The Community Violence Intervention Ecosystem plan both increases support for victims while offering pathways to homegrown economic opportunity that gives people hope for their futures. This initiative is an important part of an overall strategy to strengthen public safety and make Baltimore an even better place to live and work, and Ill keep fighting for more federal resources to support these efforts.

Today, Scott detailed his approach to developing, coordinating, and fostering a Community Violence Intervention ecosystem in Baltimore that includes violence intervention programming and victim services, intensive life coaching, hospital-based response, and other wraparound supports.

Scotts vision for an expanded CVI ecosystem includes:

In addition, Scott released Establishing the Ecosystem: A Vision for Community Violence Intervention in Baltimore, an in-depth report outlining the ways his administration will invest in trauma-informed, community-centered, and evidence-based public health interventions to stem the tide of violence through the establishment of a comprehensive and multi-faceted Community Violence Intervention (CVI) ecosystem.

Before the Scott Administration, Baltimores CVI landscape included ten Safe Streets sites, some partnerships with hospitals for hospital-based violence intervention programs, and one contract with Roca, which provides life coaching and other support to older teens and young adults.

Baltimores CVI ecosystem will include familiar programs, like Safe Streets and Roca, and grow to include additional partnerships with hospitals, public schools, victim services providers, life coaches, and case managers - each working together, covering more ground across the city, and playing a uniquely important role in the overall strategy to prevent and reduce violence. This approach is supported by the White House as a best practice to reduce violent crime in partnership with local communities.

Baltimore City is home to ten Safe Streets sites, each with its own staff and physical location based in the community, across eight administrators. Each Safe Streets site is intentionally located in a BPD post in the top percentile of gun violence across the city.

Currently, these ten sites cover only approximately 2.6 square miles of a 90 square mile city. MONSE will use ARPA funding to contract with community based organizations and service providers to build capacity and amplify the effectiveness of community violence intervention strategy components including, but not limited to, the provision of direct services and wraparound supports. Organizations can learn more about funding opportunities and submit a letter of interest at the Mayor's Office of Neighborhood Safety and Engagement's Funding Portal.

For over two decades, Safe Streets violence interrupters have been trusted messengers in the community and have stood on the frontlines, putting themselves in between a person pointing a gun and the person the gun is being pointed at to to interrupt the transmission of violence, said Shantay Jackson, Director of the Mayors Office of Neighborhood Safety and Engagement. The Scott administration is committed to cultivating a CVI network that is intentional about establishing support for those experiencing violence, and for those working on the ground to prevent it from occurring.

MONSE conducted an in-depth review of Baltimores ten current Safe Streets at Mayor Scotts direction. This evaluation focused on operational and cultural norms across the sites and was completed in the second half of 2021. As outlined in the 33-page report, MONSE will prioritize workforce safety, oversight and accountability of the program, training and development, workforce morale, career pathways for violence interrupters, and overall program efficacy.

An updated academic evaluation of Safe Streets is currently underway. One part of the study will analyze and evaluate Safe Streets Baltimores impact on gun violence. Another aspect of the study will include an investigation of Safe Streets sites in the Western District to generate a deeper qualitative understanding of how the sites engage with program participants, staff, local community-based and government organizations, and community members. The findings of these evaluations will be public and are expected to be shared in the first half of 2023.

Members of the public can read the report in full here.

Original post:

Mayor Scott Announces Vision for Community Violence Intervention Ecosystem in Baltimore - Mayor Brandon M. Scott

Posted in Intentional Communities | Comments Off on Mayor Scott Announces Vision for Community Violence Intervention Ecosystem in Baltimore – Mayor Brandon M. Scott

Defeating the Equity Regime by Frank Resartus | Articles – First Things

Posted: at 6:11 pm

It is useless, for now, to predict where the six-justice conservative majority on the Supreme Court may be heading. But one possibility is worth noting: If the majority holds firm on just a handful of constitutional questions, it can decisively defeat what I call the coercive equity regime. The Court has an opportunity not only to halt the rise of wokeness but to dismantle its legal foundation. Americas traditional constitutional order can then be restored to vitality.

The Court can perform this rescue operation without any rethinking of constitutional theory and even without a reliable majority on most questions of constitutional law. I leave aside the stimulating debates over whether to abandon or modify originalism. My aim in this essay is narrow. I wish only to show that a conventional right-wing jurisprudencewhether described as originalist or noton a select number of questions is a mortal threat to the regime. The only question is whether the conservative majority will act decisively before it is too late.

To describe Americans as living under a regimelike Eastern Europeans living under communism during the Cold Waris to court dismay and disbelief. After all, the constitutional order that Americans founded in the eighteenth century remains recognizable. The forms of governmentthe periodic elections, the divided branches, the flag and sealpersist. The institutions of civil societychurches, schools, businesses, and associationsremain nominally independent of the state. No one eventan invasion, a coup, or victory in a civil warmarks the ascendancy of a new system of rule (although the late toppling of the old orders monuments makes one wonder). For these reasons, a powerful faction of American conservatives dismisses critics of the regime as dangerous catastrophists.

At the same time, Americans endure affronts to their heritage that not long ago would scarcely have been imaginable. Mobs desecrate statues of Christopher Columbus, George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, and Abraham Lincoln. Hospital systems propose to withhold life-saving medicines based on race. The vice president celebrates political violence (and her administrations Department of Justice seeks leniency for homicidal arsonists). Scholars submit professions of loyalty as a condition of hiring or advancement. Public school teachers urge children to sterilize themselves and mutilate their sex organs. Virtually every institution in American life boasts a permanent diversity, equity, and inclusion bureaucracy. The United States government flies the rainbow and Black Lives Matter flags and funds the advance of woke ideology abroad.

These developments follow from the embrace of a new moral principle unknown to generations before the 1960s. In its most benign form, the principle is as follows: Any disparity in outcome between groups, whether defined by race, ethnicity, religion, or sex (or more recently, sexual practices and gender identification), is evidence of injustice. But that formulation turns out to be inadequate. The overrepresentation of black people in the National Basketball Association or of Indian Brahmins in medicine attracts neither comment nor criticism. Instead, the evil that the principle demands to be corrected is any over-representation of the characteristics of any historically European populationheterosexual, white, and Christian. The demand for reduction in the power, status, and representation of such Americans we may call the principle of equity.

The principle of equity has not just advanced as an idea but become institutionalized. Public schools teach critical race theory. Universities boast multiple grievance studies departments and pledge tens of millions to increase faculty diversity, while their administratorsmany of them answerable to student demands for adherence to the principle of equityoutnumber faculty. On his first day in office, President Biden ordered equity audits of every federal agency. The principle of equity, in short, is not just a moral aspiration. It is the fountainhead of a sprawling network of power. That network we may call the equity regime.

Mercifully, the equity regime is relatively mild. It will not soon be constructing a gulag to house dissidents. Nevertheless, like communism, which sought equality of material wealth, equity, which seeks equality of outcomes for those in protected classes, can be achieved only through coercion. Indeed, socialism is far less utopian than the doctrine of equity. Zealous intentional communities, from the Benedictines to the Shakers, can achieve common ownership of property. But no society has ever eliminated disparities among racial and ethnic groups or between the sexes. As Thomas Sowell has documented, set patterns of achievement and social capital persist among different populations in an extraordinary variety of political and social circumstances. Whatever the causes, which are probably deep and intractable, disparities among different groups have outlasted all the policiesfrom affirmative action and social handicaps to expulsion, dispossession, and massacreever adopted to erase them.

Only the equity regimes hypocrisy prevents the principle of equity from taking more extreme forms. By the principle of equity, for example, colleges and professional schools should suspend the admission of whites for at least a generation, businesses should declare a moratorium on white male advancement, judges should favor the party who has more intersectional credit, and a special racial tax should be imposed to fund reparations. So far, the regime has yet to go to those extremes, but it is hard to identify a principled reason why not. (Ibram X. Kendi proposes a constitutional amendment that would indeed impose antiracist totalitarianism.) The doctrine of equity is perhaps silently held in check only by the many powerful white peoplesuch as the Bush, Biden, Clinton, and Sulzberger clanswho, even as they profess support for the equity regime, would lose their own power and privileges if the regime consistently sought to achieve its goals.

Inevitably, however, the failure of the regime to realize the principle of equity gets noticed. It takes but one event to catalyze the next lurch toward the obliteration of the old American order. In 2020, after George Floyd died while in police custody, a nationwide orgy of arson, murder, and looting ensued. The ruling class did not condemn the violence or aid its victims. On the contrary, corporations and universities pledged billions more dollars for the cause of equity. A year later, their candidate for president announced that he would appoint a black woman to the Supreme Courta wonderfully explicit commitment to discrimination on the basis of race and sex.

One cannot predict what, exactly, the coercive equity regime will target next. A decade ago, few imagined that biological males would find glory in humiliating girls in sports. After all, just a generation earlier, the principle of equity had forced the cancellation of male athletic programs (such as wrestling) on the theory that girls and boys are equally interested in sports and therefore should be able to join the same number of sports teams. Now its the turn of womens sports to be the victim of the principle of equity. Likewise, ten years ago, it seemed unlikely that uttering a moral sentiment as old as the Axial Ageall lives matterwould be met with demands for struggle sessions and groveling apologies. The next manifestation of the principle of equity is arbitrary, as parents of transgender children are discovering. But that the next one is coming is certain.

Vast and inexorable as the coercive equity regime may appear, it is vulnerable. As can occasionally be seen, a willingness to exert political power can halt its progress. Thus parents can confront school boards that support shaming students for their whiteness, and voters can demand that prosecutors and politicians incarcerate criminals (regardless of race) and keep streets and neighborhoods safe. Americans can and should resist this or that extension of the principle of equity where they can.

Meanwhile, one institutionthe Supreme Courthas the power to defeat the regime altogether. To do so, the Court need only follow through on a small number of constitutional reappraisals of civil rights doctrine that it developed in the decade and a half after the passage of the Civil Rights Act in 1964, reappraisals that already enjoy wide acceptance in the conservative legal establishment. In other words, no radical overhaul is needed. The Court, aided by the work of activists who can bring the necessary cases and controversies, need only do what conservatives for decades have hoped their pipeline of favored nominees would accomplish.

Hostile work environment. Under the theory of hostile work environment discrimination, an employer can be held liable merely for tolerating what anyone in a protected class might deem offensive. To be sure, a plaintiff can prevail only if the offensive conduct is severe and pervasive. But those standards are vague. A prudent corporate executive seeks to avoid liability, and this means adopting a zero-tolerance policy that prohibits any speech or conduct that could offend. Further, to bolster their bona fides should they be sued, employers make sure to adopt the latest ideological fashions. These business imperatives in turn require human resource departments that formulate and enforce diversity, equity, and inclusion guidelines. The result is that it is all but illegal to permit discussion of, say, the latest book by Charles Murray, and all but mandatory to endorse, say, the Black Lives Matter movement.

In short, hostile work environment law both promotes woke ideology and proscribes dissent. The Supreme Court can eliminate this systematic bias by holding that hostile work environment doctrine violates the constitutional right to free speech. Such a holding would not be especially radical. In the public school and university settings, two circuit court cases have held that anti-harassment guidelines conflict with free speech rights. Even the oncenotoriously progressive Ninth Circuit (though speaking through retired Reagan appointee Alex Kozinski) noted that an employers speech is entitled to significant breathing space before it will be deemed harassment. A conventionally conservative Supreme Court would be expected to hold that hostile work environment law violates the free speech clause. To be effective, the Supreme Courts holding must limit the power of Congress, state and local governments, and administrative agencies to revive hostile environment claims. A case must be brought where hostile work environment guidance can be held facially invalid.

Disparate impact. The fons et origo of the equity regime is the theory of disparate impact liability in employment discrimination cases. First conjured by the Supreme Court in the 1971 case of Griggs v. Duke Power Company, disparate impact law allows a plaintiff in an employment discrimination case to prevail without evidence of discriminatory intent, simply by showing that a job requirement or hiring procedure has a disparate impact on the plaintiffs protected class. Put in todays parlance, disparate impact law assumes systemic racism.

In theory, a disparate impact claim does not automatically prevail, for the law allows businesses to defend a practice by proving business necessity. But that is a costly and uncertain prospect. For businesses, the practical import of disparate impact is clear: Any failure to achieve proportionate outcomes among groups is an invitation to a lawsuit. To avoid disparate impact claims, employers must monitor the race, ethnicity, sex, and sexual orientation of their employees to keep numbers up for those in protected classes. To be sure, overt discrimination remains technically unlawful, which partly explains why employers shroud their practices in the latest rhetoric of inclusion recommended by a permanent staff of diversity professionals. Nevertheless, achieving diversity means discriminating on the basis of race and ethnicitythe very practice Americans thought they had outlawed with the 1964 Civil Rights Act.

Justice Thomas has argued that Griggs should be overturned. Indeed, but the Court must go further. As Justice Scalia wrote in a 2009 concurrence, the day is coming when the Supreme Court must decide whether the government, through disparate impact law, can effectively compel employers to discriminate on the basis of race or other ascriptive characteristics. The Supreme Court should not shrink from providing an answer. As soon as the occasion arises, it should hold that disparate-impact liability violates the Fifth Amendments guarantee of equal protection. To defeat the equity regime, disparate impact must not only be purged from civil rights law. It must be constitutionally cremated and buried, never again to be resurrected by Congress or government agencies.

Race-conscious admissions. The Courts tortured affirmative action jurisprudence has simultaneously legitimized the doctrine of equity and revealed its absurdity. Almost twenty years ago, Justice OConnors majority opinion in Grutter v. Bollinger upheld race-conscious admissions on the theory that racial diversity in the student body serves a compelling state interest. (Before its elevation into a sacred value, diversity was one justices makeshift attempt in 1978 to rationalize racial discrimination in university admissions.) But OConnor added that race-conscious admissions must be limited in time, and announced that the majority expected racial preferences to be unnecessary after twenty-five more years.

We are now nineteen years in, and racial gaps in test scores and GPA still show no sign of narrowing. Grutter itself was decided forty-two years after affirmative action had begun. Whether cynically or sincerely, OConnors opinion postponed a reckoning on racial discrimination for one more generation. The ongoing failure to achieve proportionate outcomes among all groupsnot just in universities, but in any domain of lifepointedly demonstrates the folly of trying or expecting it ever to happen. Why arent more firefighters women? Why arent more men nurses? Why are there so few black tax lawyers? And what about ensuring roles for transgender persons in movies?

In the pending cases in which Students for Fair Admissions is suing both Harvard and the University of North Carolina, asking the court to overturn Grutter, the Supreme Court must do more than reject diversity as a legitimate pretext for discriminating on the basis of race or other characteristics. Surely the Court knows that striking down affirmative action as unconstitutional will provoke resistance on a scale to dwarf the massive resistance attempted in the wake of Brown v. Board of Education (1954). Segregationists in the 1950s represented but one divided region of the country, a region held in disdain by the richest and most powerful people of that era. By contrast, the practitioners of affirmative action control every powerful institution in America. To counter the inevitable backlash, the Supreme Court must give Americans the weapons they need to stop quota-driven discimination altogether.

The crucial move is to elaborate a burden-shifting framework that will make it impossible for universities to camouflage the practice of discrimination. First, the Court should hold that, in light of decades of covert discrimination, any concealment or obsfucation of admissions criteria will be treated as conclusive evidence of a constitutional violation of equal protection (or in the case of a private university receiving federal financial assistance, a violation of Title VI of the Civil Rights Act). For a university to defend against a claim of an equal protection violation, the Court should hold that it must disclose how many slots are available for which categories of admission, such as legacies, athletes, residents of particular areas, and children of major donors, as well as the academically gifted. Likewise, a defense must also require disclosure of what facially race-neutral methods, criteria, or formulae are applied to fill each category and the class as a whole.

But mere disclosure of targets and methods is not enough. Once a university discloses targets and methods, the Court should hold that a plaintiff has a prima facie case of discrimination if a universitys actual admissions results differ materially from the results that would be achieved if the purported methods were applied to the population at large. With a prima facie case established, the university can then seek to justify the deviation. Consistent with the Courts jurisprudence that protects fundamental rights from violation, any justification must be strictly necessary and narrowly tailored to achieve a superior educational outcome.

This burden-shifting framework would have the effect of making it all but impossible for universities to discriminate in admissions on the basis of race or any other factor. Even the dishonest and covert discrimination of the past fifty years would be untenable. Moreover, the framework would be a massive embarrassment to the equity regime. It would force out into the open the reality that groups differ in performance. It does not even matter what metrics the universities choose. They could abandon IQ substitutes like the SAT and admit students based on skill at playing hopscotchstill, group differences would inevitably emerge. The requirement that actual admissions results match the distribution of sought-after talents and characteristics in the population at large would effectively elevate natural inequalitya reality that the Founders and our constitutional order once took for grantedinto a constitutional principle.

Let utopians remain free to pursue their dreams of equality, as Robert Owen and others did theirs in the nineteenth century. But do not let them continue to employ the coercive powers of the state to impose their vision on others. Many say that the rising generation demands measures to ensure diversity, equity, and inclusion, and that institutions and companies that hope to recruit the best and brightest must comply with the equity regime. Fine, let woke college students make demands. But handing them the coercive power of our rule of law has been among the most irresponsible acts of recent decades. By requiring universities to justify in court any deviations from measurable inequalities, the Supreme Court can not only end government-protected racial discrimination but permanently discredit the doctrine of equity. Perhaps, after twenty-five years, it will no longer be necessary to continue the burden-shifting device. Only time can tell.

More radical theories. One can certainly imagine a more radical Court that is willing to take constitutional theories now considered off the wall and affix them to the wall of legitimate interpretation. Freedom of association, for example, is perhaps the most vital freedom of all in the American tradition of ordered liberty, yet it has been given short shrift by the Supreme Court, apart from a narrow category of expressive association. To take another example, an expansive definition of religion for establishment clause purposes would imply that public schools cannot teach divisive secular religions such as wokeness. A Supreme Court that manifested a will to lead our country away from its current path to woke tyrannya will that we very much need right nowcould recognize freedom of association as a fundamental right protected by the Fourteenth Amendments long-dormant Privileges or Immunities Clause, and it could use the Establishment Clause to cast doubt on the constitutionality of governing schools. Perhaps this seems a reach. But those who recognize the dangers posed by the coercive equity regime can certainly dream.

Americans often take solace in the thought that extremism must eventually bring a healthy reaction. The pendulum will swing back, they say. They assure themselves that what cannot go on must eventually come to an end. In reality, oppressive regimes can last indefinitely. The caste system in Indialike wokeness, a sacralized system of subordinationhas persisted for thousands of years. The doctrine of equity has already shown exceptional durability. For three generations, it has only advanced, paused, and advanced again. This is not because the doctrine of equity is popular. Given the chance, voters have rejected it, even in liberal bastions such as California. Rather, the doctrine of equity grinds on toward complete dominance because it has been awarded tremendous legal power to destroy dissenters. To defeat it will require leadership and the exercise of political power. The Supreme Court has the power. It only has to use it.

Frank Resartusteaches at a law school in the Northeast.

Image by Epsos via Creative Commons. Image cropped.

See the rest here:

Defeating the Equity Regime by Frank Resartus | Articles - First Things

Posted in Intentional Communities | Comments Off on Defeating the Equity Regime by Frank Resartus | Articles – First Things

The socio-economic consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle …

Posted: at 6:10 pm

Confronted with COVID-19, high-income Gulf countries have done better than most of their middle- and low-income neighbours; Jordan and Morocco are also positive exceptions.

The COVID-19 pandemic has hit already stagnant and macroeconomically fragile economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) through lockdown measures, interrupted supply chains, dramatic declines in tourism revenues and labour remittances, and temporarily low oil prices. In this article, we build on a January 2021 Bruegel Policy Contribution to analyse the scale of the health crisis and its various socio-economic consequences for MENA (see Table 1 for the countries we include), using information and data available at the beginning of May 2021.

COVID-19 in the MENA region

Iran was one of the early victims of the pandemic, with a first wave of fatal cases as early as March 2020. With few exceptions, MENA countries experienced three waves of the pandemic, similarly to Europe. However, a comparative cross-country analysis of infection intensity is difficult due to inadequate diagnostic and reporting systems in some countries.

The relative frequency of testing may provide an indirect measure of the effectiveness of the diagnostic system. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain have been regional leaders, and their testing figures have exceeded those of several advanced economies (Table 1). At the other end of the regional spectrum, the number of tests per million people in Mauritania, Egypt, Algeria, Sudan, and war-affected Syria and Yemen has been low.

Table 1: MENA, COVID-19 basic statistical numbers (as of 10 May 2021)

Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/.

Despite data gaps, Table 1 suggests that, on average, there were fewer cases and deaths per million people in MENA than in the United States and most European and Latin American countries. Lebanon, Tunisia, Jordan, Iran, and Palestine recorded the highest numbers of deaths per million inhabitants.

Social and economic support measures

During the pandemic, the percentage of the population in MENA countries receiving social assistance has risen significantly, from around 20% to over 70%. However, the region has also recorded the lowest rise in benefit adequacy. This can be primarily explained by the predominance of untargeted support, mainly subsidies, in many countries throughout the region.

Almost all countries have adopted some form of recovery plan. The International Monetary Fund provides a detailed database of national fiscal responses. In some of the more affluent MENA countries, fiscal support was comparable to advanced economies. As early as March 2020, Qatar announced a package of measures worth around 14% of its GDP. It focused mainly on small and medium-sized enterprises and the sectors most affected by the pandemic (eg tourism, hospitality). Bahrain also introduced a large package, totalling around 6% of GDP in March 2020 which was then further expanded. Most central banks in the region also played a role through monetary expansion.

Some middle- and low-income economies also provided substantial support to their populations and businesses: the package announced at the outset of the pandemic in Iran amounted to 10% of its GDP. Other countries have been more fiscally constrained, able to implement only smaller programmes. Public bodies in several countries established funds to collect donations to finance anti-crisis measures (eg Iraq, Jordan, and Lebanon). International support has been essential in some of the poorer economies in the region (see below on the rollout of new IMF programmes).

These fiscal packages have generally combined measures of immediate budgetary impact, with delayed payments and guarantee funds. The range of measures employed has been varied, although primarily focused on combating the health emergency, fighting unemployment, supporting the most vulnerable and helping businesses survive, especially in hard-hit sectors (such as tourism). In Jordan, a plan to reinstate one year of military service is underway to combat youth unemployment.

Commodity markets and financial shock

The pandemic-related economic shock in MENA was magnified by the collapse of commodity markets and capital flight from emerging markets. Oil producers were particularly heavily hit by the sudden oil-price fall in March 2020 (Figure 1), driven both by the decrease in global demand and the breakdown of coordination between suppliers within the OPEC+ agreement (in particular, between Russia and Saudi Arabia).

Figure 1: Monthly crude oil prices, $ per barrel, November 2020 May 2021

Source: Bloomberg.

This coordination was partially reinstated in April 2020, stabilising prices at a level of around $40 per barrel between June and November 2020. Since November 2020, due to partial economic recovery worldwide, oil prices have grown again, achieving their pre-pandemic level (above $60 per barrel) in March 2021.

At the end of February and in early March 2020, the MENA region was hit by capital flight: the IMF estimated portfolio capital outflows of about $6 billion to $8 billion during the early days, numbers that they conceded might be even larger. However, the magnitude of this shock was smaller than in other emerging markets, especially in Latin America and the countries that made up the former Soviet Union. This may be explained by less financial openness in most MENA countries than elsewhere.

After the initial outflow, inflows in the second half of 2020 were $4 billion. By February 2021, cumulative flows since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic were positive, although this was reversed with the increase in US longer-term yields in March and April 2021.

Figure 2 shows the spreads between the dollar-denominated debt and US Treasuries (UST) in selected MENA countries. While spreads widened significantly in the first days of the crisis, market confidence has recovered in most cases, with spreads nearing their pre-COVID-19 levels. This improvement in market sentiment is partly explained by the significant monetary and fiscal policy response in advanced economies, which has loosened global financing conditions. Countries with high credit ratings (oil producers) and lower credit-rated countries such as Egypt have managed to maintain market access, both with dollar-denominated and local-currency bonds. The one obvious exception is Lebanon (excluded from Figure 2 to avoid excessive skew), where the unsustainable sovereign debt situation accumulated over many years leading to default in March 2020. Restructuring has been stalled by a lack of political stability and general economic deterioration.

Figure 2: Spreads between sovereign dollar-denominated debt and UST, basis points, February 2020 May 2021

Source: Bloomberg. Note: Lebanon excluded as its values were off the scale, between 2500 and 7000 basis points for the analysed period.

Depreciation of MENA currencies has been modest, and they have largely recovered (sometimes even with a positive margin) after an initial fall in March and April 2020. It is worth keeping in mind that most MENA currencies are pegged to the dollar and not all MENA currencies are fully convertible. While data on the changes in international reserves comes with an inevitable delay, reserve levels in the region are generally considered comfortable; these act as a protective buffer against uncertainty and fluctuations in US yields. The recovery of the oil price will also increase the reserves of oil exporters.

IMF assistance

To help address COVID-19-related economic and social consequences, the IMF provided emergency assistance to several MENA countries. Egypt, Jordan, and Tunisia received emergency assistance under the Rapid Financing Instrument. Djibouti and Mauritania have benefited from the Rapid Credit Facility, which includes concessional servicing terms. Because neither of these instruments includes policy conditionality, it is unlikely assistance will trigger structural reforms like the standard IMF assistance programmes. Morocco has drawn from its precautionary credit line, the IMF Extended Fund Facility in Jordan has been modified, Mauritania augmented its Extended Credit Facility, and a new Stand-By Arrangement with Egypt was approved.

Region-wide recession

Like in other parts of the world, the economic impact of the COVID-19 in the MENA region has been severe. Only Egypt and Iran recorded positive growth in 2020, other countries suffered from recession (Table 2). On average, net hydrocarbon exporters and importers were affected equally. It is also worth remembering that the 2020 recession followed mediocre growth performance in the second half of the 2010s.

Table 2: MENA: GDP, constant prices, % change, 2019-2021

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database, April 2021. Notes: red text indicates IMF staff estimates and forecasts; data for Syria is not available.

There are two outliers in Table 2 Libya and Lebanon. In Libya, profound fluctuations in GDP have resulted from domestic conflict, leading to periodic interruptions in oil production and exports. Lebanon, as mentioned above, has seen a full-blown sovereign debt crisis. Worse, internal political strife has prevented the formation of a stable government to prepare a rescue programme and start negotiations with the IMF.

Trade data confirms the recessional impact of the pandemic (Table 3). In 2020, most MENA countries recorded deep contractions of both imports and exports. Among a few exceptions, Irans oil exports increased in the second half of 2020, probably by circumventing the United States oil embargo, explaining the increase in real GDP (Table 2).

Table 3: MENA: Changes in volume of imports and exports of goods and services in 2020 as compared to 2019, %

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database, April 2021. Notes: red text indicates IMF staff estimates and forecasts; data for Iraq and Syria is not available.

Deepening of fiscal and macroeconomic imbalances

The deep recession, lower general government (GG) revenues, and higher expenditures further deteriorated fiscal balances and debt-to-GDP levels in most MENA economies (Table 4; Figures 3 and 4).

Apart from Egypt, Lebanon, Mauritania and Sudan, GG balances in MENA countries deteriorated in 2020 compared to 2019. In some cases, such as the Gulf countries (except Qatar), Iraq, Libya and Tunisia, this deterioration was substantial. Large fiscal deficits and GDP declines resulted in dramatic increases in gross and net GG-debt-to-GDP ratios (Figures 3 and 4).

Except for Iran and Lebanon, gross GG debt increased everywhere, often by more than ten percentage points of GDP (Figure 3). In oil-producing Sudan, it reached 262.5% of GDP, in Bahrain 132.9%. In Lebanon, which defaulted in March 2020, it remains at 154.4% of GDP. In Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Oman, Qatar, Tunisia and Yemen, it exceeds 80% of GDP. We cannot exclude the possibility of new sovereign defaults in the MENA region in the coming years.

Table 4: MENA; GG revenue, expenditure and balance (net lending/borrowing), % of GDP, 2020-2021

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database, April 2021. Notes: red text indicates IMF staff estimates and forecasts; data for Syria is not available.

The net debt figures (gross debt minus financial assets correspondent to debt instruments) are only available for some MENA countries. In 2020, net debt also increased in all reported economies except Iran and Lebanon (Figure 4). Only in Oman and Saudi Arabia is the difference between gross and net debt meaningful but decreasing over time, which suggests gradual depleting of their sovereign wealth funds. The lack of net-debt data for other Gulf states means we cannot assess the size of their sovereign assets and their potential depletion.

Current account balances in MENA also deteriorated in 2020. In some countries Djibouti, Iraq, Kuwait and Libya this deterioration exceeded ten percentage points of GDP. On the other hand, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Yemen managed to improve their current account balances marginally due to a more significant declines in imports than exports. Only Lebanon recorded a higher improvement of its very high current account deficit (from -26.5% of GDP in 2019 to -14.3% of GDP) at the costs of deep recession (Table 2) and a drastic decline in domestic demand.

Regarding inflation, there was no single trend in the region in 2020. It jumped to very high and high levels in Sudan (269.3%), Lebanon (150.4%), Iran (48.0%), Yemen (45.0%) and Libya (22.3%). However, it was negative in Qatar (-3.4%), the UAE (-2.1%), Bahrain (-1.6%), Morocco and Oman (both -0.9%), and Jordan (-0.3%), that is, in the countries which have their currencies pegged to the dollar. In other cases, inflation remained on a low one-digit level.

Figure 3: MENA: GG gross debt, % of GDP, 2020-2021

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database, April 2021. Note: data for Libya and Syria is not available.

Figure 4: MENA: GG net debt, % of GDP, 2020-2021

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook database, April 2021.

Uncertain prospects

The April 2021 IMF World Economic Outlook predicts a modest recovery in the region in 2021 (last column of Table 2). Still, all forecasts are subject to frequent corrections and updates, compounded by pandemic-related uncertainty.

The pace of global economic recovery will impact international hydrocarbon prices which are crucial for MENA oil and natural gas exporters. On the regional level, fighting the pandemic (mainly by vaccination) will be the most critical factor determining the speed of opening up of individual economies and the most vulnerable sectors such as tourism. In the longer term, economic recovery will depend on the resolution of regional conflicts, the political ability to reduce fiscal deficits and public debt, a continuation of structural, institutional, and social reforms, and finding a constructive response to the increasing democratic aspirations of MENA societies.

Figure 5 shows the progress of COVID-19 vaccination in the MENA region. The UAE, Bahrain, Qatar and Kuwait lead in the region, with Morocco not too far behind.

Figure 5: MENA: Share of people who received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine (up to 8 May 2021)

Source: https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations. Note: countries with no data and with the share of vaccinated population below 1% are omitted.

While vaccines administered in the MENA region come from various suppliers, Chinese producers play the dominant role. Overall, the region struggles with limited access to vaccines, especially those produced in the US and Europe (BioNTech/Pfizer, Moderna and Astra Zeneca). Some countries, especially those affected by violent conflicts and political disintegration, lack the administrative and logistical capacity to conduct mass vaccination.

Different responses across the region

Overall, our analysis suggests intra-regional differences in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. To a large degree, these reflect differences in the GDP per capita levels of individual countries and the quality and resources of health systems and public administrations. High-income Gulf countries have been doing much better than most of their middle- and low-income neighbours, although there have been some positive exceptions among the latter, for example, Jordan and Morocco.

Acknowledgement

The authors would like to thank Uri Dadush for his valuable comments on a draft of this blog post.

Recommended citation:

Dabrowski, M. and M. Domnguez-Jimnez (2021) The socio-economic consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle East and North Africa, Bruegel Blog, 14 June

Bruegel considers itself a public good and takes no institutional standpoint. Anyone is free to republish and/or quote this post without prior consent. Please provide a full reference, clearly stating Bruegel and the relevant author as the source, and include a prominent hyperlink to the original post.

See more here:

The socio-economic consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle ...

Posted in Socio-economic Collapse | Comments Off on The socio-economic consequences of COVID-19 in the Middle …

The broken record keeps playing the same song – FXStreet

Posted: at 6:10 pm

Good day... And a Wonderful Wednesday to you... I watched my beloved Cardinals last night win their game against their foes across the state. I kept switching back and forth to the Blues game that they also won in Boston... So a good night for St. Louis sports teams and fans... I had to chase the squirrels out of my gas barbeque pit again yesterday, they had built another nest in the pit, and there were 3 baby squirrels in there that I had to chase out, don't worry squirrel lovers, the mama came back and got her babies and were off to build another nest... Little Feat greets me this morning with their rock classic song: Dixie Chicken...

Well, the dollar got sold for a brief time yesterday, after the consumer inflation data printed, and showed even in the watered-down, stupid CPI, prices increased to 8.5%, the highest level for CPI since 1981, and back then the number was on its way down, not on its way up, like now. But, that selling of the dollar didn't last too long and by the end of the day the dollar was getting bought again, and the BBDXY dollar index a 1 1/4 points gain...

Gold continues its march to higher ground albeit in small amounts, but gains nonetheless. I find this dollar strength to be stranger than fiction, but I also view Gold's rise while the dollar is so strong to be curious, indeed... Gold gained $12.10 yesterday to close the day at $1,967.20, and Silver turned around its early loss of 10-cents, to show again on the day of 25-cents, which put Silver's closing price @ $25.43.... Bonds rallied yesterday ( was the Fed/Cabal/Cartel buying again?).... And Oil also rallied to move back above $100.....

In the overnight markets last night... The broken record keeps playing the same song, as the dollar continues to get bought, along with Gold & Silver... Gold is up $13, and Silver is up 41-cents this morning... My spider-sense is tingling and I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that Gold & Silver have turned the corner, and are on their respective ways to much higher ground. I also have the thought that Oil is moving higher too...

Yesterday, the gov't's watered down, stupid CPI showed that inflation for March rose at the fastest clip since 1981, with the difference between then and now being that inflation is now on its way up! The CPI was 8.5% for March year on year... And that report got the fires roaring under Gold, and Oil...

Well, the gov't's inflation numbers did not disappoint, were still looking for additional price increases because if you recall, PPI ( wholesale inflation), to work its way through to consumer inflation.... It's really gotten out of hand, all this inflation... But have no fear, folks, Mighty Mouse is going to save us with two, back-to-back rate hike beginning this month.... Yeah, that should do the trick....NOT!

I think the thing about hiking rates 50 Basis Points at a time, that's being shrugged off is the effect that the rate hike will have on the already, stumbling, bumbling, fumbling economy.... Recall the Jerome Powell promised us the he could fight inflation and deliver a soft landing for the economy... I'm from Missouri, so he's going to have to show me, how that's done, because I'm not buying what he's selling... The boys and girls at the Eccles Building are so far behind the inflation 8-ball.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), being a proactive bank, hiked their Official Cash Rate (OCR), yesterday, another 25 Basis Points to bring their OCR to 1.50%...

And in the U.K. their consumer inflation report for March was just about as bad as it was here. U.K. inflation rose to 7%, March year on year, and is the fastest rate of inflation since 1992... And after I tell you this little ditty, I bet you'll say to yourself or maybe out loud,, "That's what we should have done in 2008 and now!"

Swiss judges sentenced a banker to three and three-quarters years in prison as it found him guilty of fraud and other counts, in a trial that has gripped the nation. He was a former Swiss 'banker of the year'

Man can you imagine, what the world would be like if the U.S. gov't, lawmakers, etc. had started down the list of corrupt bankers back in 2008, and started throwing them in jail? And then continuing their jobs through to today, I'm thinking of all the fraud that Wells Fargo has been charged with, and JPMorgan's list of bad things, among others... The world would be a better place, the financial system would be better/ stronger, and future bankers would think twice before going down that road... I'm just saying...

OK... so remember last spring when I went down the road of talking about defaults and digital currencies, etc? To jog your memory, I talked about how with all the debt in the world, that eventually we would see a country default, and then another and another, and didn't leave out the U.S. defaulting... Well, here are a year later, and not one country but two are on the edge of defaulting... Russia has 30 days to come up with the hard assets to pay their bond holders, and Sri Lanka is taking steps to avoid default, but I doubt they'll get it worked out...

This is not to be taken as something that can be shrugged off folks... I can't put enough emphasis on this, because this is just the beginning... Too much debt in the world is going to come home to roost, this summer, making this summer to be known in the future as the summer of debt default...

On a sidebar, this June we will celebrate the 55th anniversary of the Summer of Love... Where were you in 1967? Maybe you participated in the Summer of Love? I know I've lost quite a few of you, for you were too young, or not even born yet... But this was real, folks...

OK... Well, I've already gone over the stupid CPI report that printed yesterday... Today's Data Cupboard is basically empty, and in need of restocking! And restocking it will get, as tomorrow's Data Cupboard will have Retail Sales for March along with other prints. The BHI (Butler Household Index) indicates that March Retail Sales will be better than February's that were nearly flat...

I'm talking about tomorrow's Data Cupboard, because.... I won't be writing tomorrow. You probably don't want to know why, but I'll tell you any way. Remember those spots on my bald head that I told you had gone, after I applied the magic lotion the doctor gave me? Well, they're back and worse than before, so the doctor said, get your self in here and let me look at them. And so that's where I'll be tomorrow bright and early in the morning... So now, you know!

To recap... The broken record keeps playing the same song, that goes like this: the dollar, Gold & Silver continue to get bought... It's a catchy tune but I don't think you could dance to it! New Zealand hike their OCR, and in the U.K. their inflation is soaring too... Faster than any time since 1992... So the Bank of England is far behind the inflation 8-ball, just like their brothers in the U.S.

Here's your snippet: "The tiny island nation of Sri Lanka in the Indian Ocean released a statement Tuesday that said it would default on its foreign debt, including bonds and government-to-government borrowings, amid its worst economic crisis in over seven decades.

Sri Lanka's finance ministry said it "has had an unblemished record of external debt service since independence in 1948."

A confluence of factors has drained the South Asian island nation's foreign exchange reserves by more than 70% since the virus pandemic began, including the collapse in tourism and poorly timed tax cuts.

"Recent events, however, including the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and the fallout from the hostilities in Ukraine, have eroded Sri Lanka's fiscal position that continued normal servicing of external public debt obligations has become impossible," the statement said.

Last month, the Washington-based International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned Sri Lanka's debt is unsustainable:

"Although the government has taken extraordinary steps in an effort to remain current on all of its external indebtedness, it is now clear that this is no longer a tenable policy," IMF said.

The socio-economic crisis unfolding on the island nation of 22 million people has already sparked mass unrest. It suffers from widespread food shortages, out-of-control inflation, and rolling blackouts."

Chuck again... Yes, this is just the beginning folks, buckle yourself in snuggly, and keep your arms and legs inside the car at all times...

Market Prices 4/13/2022: American Style: A$ .7412, kiwi .6772, C$ .7901, euro 1.0828, sterling 1.3006, Swiss 1.0695, European Style: rand 14.5050, krone 8.8383, SEK 9.5418, forint 348.73, zloty 4.2861, koruna 22.5605, RUB 82.59, yen 125.89, sing 1.3752, HKD 7.8392, INR 75.97, China 6.3680, peso 19.76, BRL 4.6761, BBDXY 1,210.64, Dollar Index 100.39, Oil $102.27, 10-year 2.72%, Silver $25.76, Platinum $980.00, Palladium $2,459.00, Copper $4.66, and Gold... $1,977.30

That's it for today... I'm late, I'm late for a very important date... I'm having so many issues with my laptop, that it takes me about 2 hours longer each day to get this letter out than normal... I know, buck up and buy and new one, right? Ahh, grasshopper it's not that easy... All the Cardinals' runs last night came by the home run... Now I have nothing against home runs, but I prefer old time baseball, with hit and runs, bunts, sacrifices, etc. That brand of baseball produces more action, and less sitting around waiting for a 3-run homer... I'm just saying... ELO (Electric Light Orchestra) takes us to the finish line today with a live version of their song: Can't Get You Out of My Head.... I hope you have a Wonderful Wednesday today, and please remember to Be Good To Yourself!

Visit link:

The broken record keeps playing the same song - FXStreet

Posted in Socio-economic Collapse | Comments Off on The broken record keeps playing the same song – FXStreet

4 Female Digital Artists on the Future of NFTs and the Metaverse – HYPEBAE

Posted: at 6:09 pm

NFTs are one of the most talked-about topics today when it comes to art, fashion and so much more. With industry leaders like Meta pushing for the metaverse and major brands releasing digital collections, the virtual space has become a huge platform for new and rising artists to showcase their work.

Hypebae China caught up with four female digital artists KARA RABBIT, Ruby Gloom, Hsunic-Ann and Helen, The Creator to chat about the future of all things web3. KARA RABBIT is an independent designer who creates pixelated rabbits for her NFT collection, while Ruby Gloom is the artist behind RUBY 9100M, a digital trans-human being that wears all sorts of hyperrealistic outfits. Hsunic-Ann is a Chinese illustrator creating the three-dimensional series Miss Button, and Helen, The Creator is the founder of Asian Girlz NFT.

Continue scrolling to read our conversation with KARA RABBIT, Ruby Gloom, Hsunic-Ann and Helen, The Creator on the future of NFTs, the metaverse and more.

RUBY 9100M, a trans-human being created by Ruby Gloom.

How would you describe your artistic style?

KARA RABBIT My style focuses on 8-bit graphics, as well as a flat, two-dimensional look and pop art aesthetic. The entire KARA RABBIT collection is pixelated, which allows the creation of complex images from the simplest elements, thus sparking imagination.

Pixel Rabbit was my first NFT collection, and the original goal was to create a rabbit that was super elemental, similar to the Elementalist Lux Skin on Riot Games League of Legends. I wanted my rabbit to be both cute and fun. The artwork itself gives a relaxing, calm feel, and I also hope that my rabbits can bring a sense of healing to people.

Helen, The Creator My NFT work combines the use of art with storytelling and utility. The Asian Girlz NFT characters are inspired by my love for 80s arcade and Nintendo video games. Each NFT character inspires viewers and buyers to imagine the interesting backstories and lives of our characters giving way to our storytelling platform.

Ruby Gloom Ruby 9100M is a character that could be seen as an extension of my identity, but also a door that separates the real world from the virtual space. When I first created her, I just wanted to create an identity that would live on social media. Having spent a lot of time on the internet, I felt like I was losing my sense of self. I decided to learn 3D art and found it was a great way for me to connect with myself, so I created Ruby 9100M to express my emotions.

Hsunic-Ann I like to combine all of my favorite figures and models to create my NFT work. I believe that there are so many more possibilities to explore in the NFT space, which is now so prominent in China. For example, many platforms are tapping into the metaverse.

What are your views on NFTs and digital work from an artists perspective?

KARA RABBIT Before I tapped into NFTs, my perception of digital art was more of CGI and illustration design in games.

Helen, The Creator Most of my artistic creations in the past were more traditional, such as physical paintings and sculptures. When I got into NFTs, I started experimenting more with digital tools and applications, such as computer-generated graphics, animation and 3D.

Ruby Gloom NFT is one of the things that builds value for digital art. In my opinion, most NFTs with high artistic value is created by a team or created with the participation of well-known artists. NFTs can also help spotlight the works of artists that are not as well-known.

Hsunic-Ann I agree with Ruby that NFT is bringing a new atmosphere to the digital art scene. Digital art is at the core of commercial art at the moment. Since we are in an age that is heavily driven by technology, there are so many artworks that are based on computers and electronic products. I am an animation major myself, and now animations are produced on computers rather than traditional paper and brushes.

Speaking of the wider impact of digital art, Helen, how did you first come up with the idea of presenting Asian women from different backgrounds in the form of NFTs?

Helen, The Creator I started Asian Girlz as an NFT project to bring together the power of blockchain technology and a community of supporters. We gave them the opportunity to help fund a project that empowers Asian women and to take part in building a culturally significant and powerful entertainment company. Each of our Asian Girlz NFT characters has different names, jobs, locations and backstories. Our Asian Girlz characters ask the viewer or buyer of the NFT to imagine them as real human beings with diverse and complex stories.

Throughout the pandemic, anti-Asian hate crimes and assaults against Asian women have been on the rise at alarming rates. This NFT project comes at a very important time where art, technology and storytelling can help bridge what divides us and hopefully help the fight against racism.

How do you think being a female creator makes your work different? And how does it generate different social influences?

KARA RABBIT I believe the art that we create is not in the material world, but rather in the spiritual world. I hope my work has the power to cure. We are not just creating NFTs but spreading positive energy through them. We hope to continue to build a strong community in the metaverse where more people can participate and connect.

Helen, The Creator Thanks to web3, more women are starting to get involved in the male-dominated world of technology. Its really exciting to see more female-led NFT projects. I hope these initiatives will help girls gain the confidence to try new things in this space.

Ruby Gloom This space is mostly dominated by male creators and buyers. As a female artist, I believe in pushing for more projects with female-focused themes to encourage more participation from women all around the world.

Hsunic-Ann Miss Button, the IP that Im currently publishing on NFT platforms is more feminine in terms of creative elements and style compared to others that Ive created in the past. I didnt particularly create these visuals for female collectors, but I would be happy if it could attract more women to the world of NFTs.

The current digital space serves as a platform for women who are considered less mainstream in the field, allowing them to offer different and unique perspectives to the community. How do you see the future of female artists in NFT creation and digital art?

KARA RABBIT NFTs are an extension of the metaverse, which is in its early stages at the moment. We should be focusing not only on digital art but also on the development of technologies spanning VR, artificial intelligence, 5G and more. Id love to see more artists and tech experts get involved with building the future of the metaverse.

As a female artist, I hope that we can not only promote art in the virtual world but also raise awareness of social issues. We can use the digital space to help support those in need.

Helen, The Creator The NFT industry is really just starting to take off and is changing rapidly every day. We are starting to see so many different types of projects and I think this is exciting because female artists have an amazing opportunity to really be creative in this space and make a big impact and even start leading in this space.

Read the original here:
4 Female Digital Artists on the Future of NFTs and the Metaverse - HYPEBAE

Posted in Transhuman | Comments Off on 4 Female Digital Artists on the Future of NFTs and the Metaverse – HYPEBAE