Daily Archives: January 14, 2022

How St. Paul Became The Twin Cities’ Leader On Justice Reform – The Appeal

Posted: January 14, 2022 at 9:04 pm

This story was published in partnership with Sahan Journal, a nonprofit news organization covering immigrants and communities of color in Minnesota.

When leaders in Ramsey County, Minnesota, considered building a new youth jail in 2016, residents responded with outrage.

The community showed up in a very angry way, said Ramsey County Attorney John Choi, recounting a public hearing about the project. All the people that were there shut it down.

In 2011, Choi became the first Korean American chief prosecutor in the U.S. Since then, Choi, whose jurisdiction includes St. Paul and nearby communities, has quietly developed a reputation as one of the nations most reform-minded prosecutors.

Choi spent the years leading up to the 2016 fight over the child jail by collaborating with county officials and community leaders. The goal was to decrease youth incarceration rates by offering diversion programs to kids who ended up in court. And it was working: At Boys Totem Town, a jail in St. Pauls Battle Creek neighborhood, a facility built for 36 boys held just six in its final year.

Community members in 2019 successfully pushed the county to close Boys Totem Town for good. Choi says the fight over Boys Totem Town sparked a local movement to transform the countys criminal legal system, which polices and incarcerates Black and Native people at disproportionately higher rates than white people. Neighboring Minneapolis in Hennepin County may have garnered significantly more headlines since Minneapolis police killed George Floyd, but St. Paul may be the municipality that has made more strides toward transforming its criminal legal system.

I believe that the solutions are embedded in our community, especially the aspect of our community that has been the most impacted by violence, the most impacted by mass incarceration, Choi said. [We need] to engage those communities to be a part of the solution. And thats the conversation that weve been having for the past three years.

Since the killing of George Floyd in 2020 and the subsequent uprising, the coalition that formed to close Boys Totem Town has succeeded in its push for significant legal reforms in Minnesotas second most populous county after Hennepin. Choi has embraced reforms including an effort to reduce the use of cash bail and a policy to not prosecute most felonies that arise from pretextual traffic stops when a cop pulls someone over for a small driving infraction and uses that stop as an excuse to search or detain them. Studies have found that pretextual traffic-stops are disproportionately deployed against people of color, and civil rights groups maintain that such stops violate Fourth Amendment bans on unreasonable searches. And the Ramsey County Commission agrees with these changes: Commissioners recently approved a plan for unarmed, community-based responders to address some situations that would normally be handled by police, a move that could make a difference for thousands of people who might otherwise face arrest.

But not all of those reforms have sailed through without opposition.

At first, nobody complained about any of this, Choi told Sahan Journal and The Appeal. In fact, it was celebrated. But thats starting to change. Now its being blamed for a whole bunch of things.

Despite the countys reputation as a progressive stronghold, Ramsey County Sheriff Bob Fletcher and other major state law-enforcement groups have fought Chois attempts to change policing in St. Paul and its surrounding communities. Fletcher has argued that more children should be jailed and has ordered his deputies not to comply with Chois ban on pretextual stops.

This is a crisis and you can say the juvenile justice system failure is a crisis, Fletcher told KSTP, the local ABC affiliate, in September. If we dont restore those 40 to 50 beds for these juveniles, then we are going to continue on the cycle that were at.

Now the county is taking an even bigger step toward reshaping policing, and its unclear how Fletcher and the states powerful police unions will react.

In November, the county approved $13.2 million to fund alternative ways of handling some 911 calls that would typically be dealt with by police. Dubbed the Appropriate Responses Initiative, the plan could put Ramsey County on the leading edge of new approaches to public safety. While many jurisdictions in the U.S. send mental health professionals or social workers to 911 calls alongside police, this plan would remove police from certain situations entirely. Officials hope to revamp how the county responds to mental health crises, homelessness, and a range of non-emergency calls, for example.

We know there is a disproportionate number of Black and American Indian individuals that are engaged with the criminal justice system, Nancie Pass, the Ramsey County Emergency Communication Center director, said in a presentation to commissioners on Nov. 9. Our goal with this initiative is to connect people with community services before the need to engage with traditional responders, and to connect them with the most appropriate resource to meet their need.

Black residents in Ramsey County are almost 13 times as likely to be admitted to prison compared to white people; Native residents are about 12 times as likely.

The initiative includes three models of alternative responses. The first is co-response, in which both police and professionals from other government agencies, such as mental health care providers, respond to emergencies. The county is already using this approach during limited hours in some areas.

Currently, police request a co-responder when they think they need it. Under the new initiative, a 911 dispatcher will make the choice based on information from the callers themselves. Passs presentation to the board included hypothetical scenarios that could be handled by co-responders, including domestic violence and suicide attempts.

But the plan also enables responses that dont involve police at all.

For 911 calls where theres no threat of violence like panhandling, someone living in a car, or a welfare check (a visit to a persons home to make sure theyre OK) dispatchers could send public health or social workers without police. And in other cases, such as noise complaints, someone from a community-based organization could respond, avoiding government intervention altogether. A study that Ramsey County completed in October found other comparable programs with non-law enforcement dispatchable resources that respond to more than just mental health related calls in just four U.S. cities: Denver, Houston, Eugene, Oregon, and Olympia, Washington.

This could make a difference for thousands of people in Ramsey County who would otherwise interact with police each year. In November alone, police made nearly 800 welfare checks and responded to about 500 noise complaints. And out of about 79,000 911 calls, more than half were non-emergencies, according to county data.

We cant be a rubber stamp to what the police want. We have to be an independent actor willing to hold police accountable, Choi said. We have to work towards a more just way of responding to incidents and finding justice, safety, and wellness for everybody.

Raj Sethuraju, a criminal justice professor at Metropolitan State University in Brooklyn Park, works closely with Choi and is involved in developing the Appropriate Responses Initiative.

We practice mass punishment, mass incarceration and mass surveillanceversus trusting humanity, right, breaking the barriers, so that human beings can flourish in our community.

Sethuraju conducts restorative justice circles, which bring together victims and the people who committed crimes against them for a discussion on healing. The meetings serve as an alternative to criminal charges in some cases. Sethuraju says the county also uses feedback from restorative justice circles when developing new policies.

Weve been talking about all of the challenges, all of the barriers, all of the ways our work can be impactful, Sethuraju said.

Efforts like this have led officials to embrace bold measures like the Appropriate Responses Initiative. At a time when the role of police is up for debate across the country, a decade of changes in Ramsey County have laid the groundwork for this transformation.

Under Chois leadership, the number of people sent to prison between 2013 and 2019 in Ramsey County decreased by 47 percent, to 652 from 1,226. For youth, there was an even steeper decline: The number of people ages 16 to 25 sent to prison between 2010 and 2019 decreased by two-thirds to 112 from 317. At the same time, the county attorneys office brought down the number of people on probation by nearly a quarter to 12,787 from 16,711 while eliminating $1 million in fines against defendants. Choi told Sahan Journal and The Appeal he attributes that change in part to creating an office culture in which prosecutors arent judged by the number of convictions they land.

The racial disparities are still way too high, Choi said. But all the numbers went down. It wasnt like one group benefited more during this reduction period.

More recent reforms could change policing and drive down incarceration even further. In September, Choi announced he wont prosecute most felonies that result from pretextual traffic stops.

And in September 2020, Choi partnered with the Minnesota Freedom Fund, a nonprofit bail fund, to work toward eliminating the cash bail system, which disproportionately subjects Black and brown people to pretrial incarceration.

Oftentimes people who are under detention have not been adjudicated guilty, said Elizer Darris, co-executive director of the Minnesota Freedom Fund. The harm is that each day that goes by, youre not able to go to work, youre not able to contribute to the family.

Darris, Choi, and other county officials and stakeholders have been examining alternatives to cash bail, including a pretrial risk assessment tool to determine whether someone can be safely released without bail before trial. Critics of pretrial risk assessments have alleged that such tools are racially biased and poor predictors of pretrial misconduct. Darris described the reform process as slow moving. But he noted that this is necessary in order to include people like him who have experienced incarceration and other aspects of the criminal legal system.

Part of the shift thats happening is a lot of those of us who are directly impacted who have gone through a lot of these systems are now becoming involved with helping to shape and craft the outcomes, he said.

But these efforts could be derailed if opposition from Ramsey County Sheriff Bob Fletcher gains traction. Fletcher, who has drawn the ire of local officials for live-streaming his patrols, has begun to vocally critique the Boys Totem Town closure and other reforms. In September, Fletcher called for a return to jailing Ramsey Countys children, and said he plans to propose an initiative concerning youth crime to state lawmakers.

I have talked with dozens of parents who have made it clear: the status quo is not working; there are no consequences, no resources and no support, Fletcher said in a statement. Youth are frequently released from custody only to repeat the same dangerous and criminal behavior.

Fletcher did not respond to a request for comment from The Appeal and Sahan Journal.

Choi, however, disagrees. Whats driving a lot of the crime and the repetitive nature of youth who are coming back in the system is a much more complicated thing that relates really specifically to the pandemic, it relates to other things that are happening in a community, he said. He added that incarcerating youth only perpetuates the cycle. Young people end up going deep deep into the system, and they can never get out.

Fletcher and other law enforcement officials testified before the Minnesota Senate in October at what politicians described as an informational hearing on violent crime in the Twin Cities. I know a lot about juvenile crime, Fletcher said. Shooters start out as juvenile delinquents and they evolve through the system. He added: We need some type of location that we can stop the evolution of these children before they become shooters. Studies have shown that incarcerating youth doesnt decrease their risk of committing future crimes and may actually increase it in some cases.

Fletcher has also been a vocal opponent of Chois policy not to prosecute cases that stemmed from pretextual traffic stops. He has said his office will still conduct low-level traffic stops despite the county attorneys policy.

Other major law-enforcement leaders and groups, such as the statewide Minnesota Police and Peace Officers Association (MPPOA), said Chois pretextual-stop ban endangered Ramsey County residents.

Basically the county attorney just announced his office wont uphold the law and wont prosecute those who break it, MPPOA President Brian Peters told state lawmakers. Thats absurd and a slap in the face to victims of crime. In other cities where prosecutors have attempted to make the criminal system more humane such as Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Los Angeles local police departments, sheriffs, and police unions have fought bitterly against proposed police reforms.

But despite roadblocks from the Ramsey County sheriffs office and others, reformers told Sahan Journal and The Appeal that they are still optimistic about getting the Appropriate Responders Initiative off the ground. Those involved with the plan said it could take at least another year before community-based responders actually hit the streets.

It becomes more difficult, especially now, because were facing immense skepticism and criticism around some of the new justice reform efforts, Choi said. But we have to keep pushing forward in this space, because the alternative is to go back to the status quo.

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Macau keeps casino licences limited to six, halves duration – Reuters

Posted: at 9:02 pm

Traffic flows past gaming resorts at Cotai Strip in Macau, China May 15, 2018. REUTERS/Bobby Yip

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HONG KONG, Jan 14 (Reuters) - The number of new casino operators allowed to operate in Macau, the world's largest gambling hub, will continue to be limited to six concessionaires but their operating period will be halved to 10 years, the government said on Friday.

The announcement, which has been long awaited by casino executives, investors and analysts, puts an end to concerns that the government would change the status quo for the number of operators in the Chinese controlled territory.

The former Portuguese colony is the world's biggest gambling hub in terms of money wagered.

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It massively tightened scrutiny of casinos in recent years, with authorities clamping down on illicit capital flows from mainland China and targeting underground lending and illegal cash transfers.

A casino executive familiar with the legislation said the government decided not to proceed with the proposal for a government official to directly supervise the casinos after feedback from the operators.

The licences of the six operators, Wynn Macau (1128.HK), Sands China (1928.HK), MGM China (2282.HK), SJM Holdings (0880.HK), Galaxy Entertainment (0880.HK) and Melco Resorts , are all due to expire in June this year.

Shares of U.S. casino companies Las Vegas Sands Corp and Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN.O) jumped 10%, while MGM Resorts International was up 4%before the opening bell. U.S.-listed shares of Melco were up 12%.

The government said all existing or potential operators need to apply through a new tender process. It did not detail when operators will have to bid or whether the current licence term will be extended, according to a notice posted on its website.

Casino operators must increase the amount of capital to 5 billion patacas ($623.67 million) from 200 million patacas and increase the requirement for a Macau based director of the company to hold 15% from 10%.

Macau's casino stocks lost billions in market value last September ahead of a 45-day public gaming consultation to gage public consensus over new licences.

The consultation focused on nine areas including the number of licences, employee welfare, as well as introducing government representatives to supervise day to day operations at the casinos.

Beijing, increasingly wary of Macau's acute reliance on gambling, has not yet indicated how the licence rebidding process will be judged. To appeal to authorities, operators have tried to bolster their corporate responsibility and diversify into non-gaming offerings.

($1 = 8.0170 patacas)

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Reporting by Farah Master and Twinnie Siu; Editing by Jason Neely, Kim Coghill and Alison Williams

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Cooperation zone sees increase of 32.55% Macau-invested firms after inauguration – Macau Daily Times

Posted: at 9:02 pm

183 Macau-invested enterprises have set up in the Guangdong-Macao In-Depth Cooperation Zone in Hengqin since the inauguration of its administrative organizations, a year-on-year increase of 32.55%, according to a forum held earlier this year.

As of now, there are a total of 4,744 Macau-invested enterprises in the Zone, covering 17 major industry sectors of the national economy.

By the end of 2021, about 10,000 tech enterpriseshadregistered in the zone, among which there arenearly 800 Macau-fundedorganisations, 328 national-level high-tech companies, and 18 national and provincial technology innovation platformsincluding techcompanyincubators and newtype ofR&Dinstitutions.

Besides, the registered enterprises in the Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Industrial Park of Co-operation between Guangdong and Macau, have amounted to 216, 52 of which are from the SAR. Also, 25 projects in the Guangdong-Macau Cooperation Industrial Parkhavecommencedconstruction.

Data from the statistics bureau of the zone shows that, from January to November of 2021, the general public budget revenue of the zone hit9.868 billionyuan, an increase of 11.1% year-on-year. Its fiscal revenue has reached 1.576 billion yuan after the establishment. Moreover, its GDP in the first three quarters of 2021 stood at 33.269 billion yuan, increased by 9.1% over the previous year.

Earlier this week, the zone announced that Macau residents who work full time in Hengqin are eligible for a subsidy of up to RMB12,000 for not more than 36 months and a one-time bonus of RMB50,000.

In the document issued, Macau residents with a bachelors degree can receive RMB7,000, those with a masters degree can receive RMB9,000 and those with a doctoral degree, RMB12,000.

The subsidy, according to the document, aims to enhance the benefits for Macau residents in the cooperation zone, as well as encourage employers to recruit Macau residents for employment.

Meanwhile, according to Nie Xinping, director of the Hengqin Office of the Guangdong Provincial Peoples Government, in 2022, the zone will take the lead in innovation of key areas and links of the reform and opening up. It will provide better policy support and make every effort to develop new technology, new industry, new business forms and models, so as to create an international business and living environment and offer broad development space for everyone to start up businesses as well as work and live here.

The zone will also launchpolicies and measures to support the development of Macau enterprises likethe cross-boundaryoperation of commercial registration. Also, it sticks tomakinggood use of central financial assistance support,acceleratingthe formulation of a catalogue of industries enjoying preferential corporate income tax policies, and refined preferential personal income tax measures.

To perfecta talent protection mechanism, the zone is formulating an overallplan for talent development, a catalogue list of high-end and urgently-needed talent, compiling trial management measures for occupation record of overseas professionalsand a list of overseas qualifications. It is also acceleratingthe implementation of the double 15% income tax preferential policy.

The introduction of talent has to be combined with industry, and alsowith the talent plan that Macaois now ready to implement, said Secretary for Economy and Finance Lei Wai Nong, who also acts as the director of the Executive Committee of the zone. MDT/NewsGD

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Japan confirms over 20,000 daily COVID-19 infection cases – Macau Business

Posted: at 9:02 pm

Japans number of daily COVID-19 cases stood at 22,045 on Friday, surpassing 20,000 for the first time since Sept. 1, according to data compiled from reports by prefectural governments.

The data also showed that it took only two days to reach the current level after surpassing 10,000 daily infections nationwide.

Tokyo logged 4,051 new cases on Friday, topping 4,000 for the first time since late August, while Osaka Prefecture reported 2,826 cases.

Osaka Governor Hirofumi Yoshimura said that he is considering asking the central government to impose a quasi-state of emergency in the western prefecture if its occupancy rate of hospital beds for COVID-19 patients, which stood at 21.5 percent as of Friday, reaches 35 percent.

Okinawa Prefecture marked 1,596 infections on Friday and has been under a quasi-state of emergency since last Sunday.

A quasi-emergency enables governors to request dining establishments to shorten business hours and stop serving alcohol.

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Last nine years all among 10 hottest-ever, says US – Macau Business

Posted: at 9:02 pm

The nine years spanning 2013-2021 all rank among the 10 hottest on record, according to an annual report a US agency released Thursday, the latest data underscoring the global climate crisis.

For 2021, the average temperature across global surfaces was 1.51 degrees Fahrenheit (0.84 degrees Celsius) above the 20th-century average, making the year the sixth-hottest in the overall record, which goes back to 1880.

Of course, all this is driven by increasing concentrations of heat trapping gases like carbon dioxide, Russell Vose, a senior climatologist for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) told reporters.

Theres probably a 99 percent chance that 2022 will rank in the top 10, a 50-50 chance, maybe a little less, itll rank in the top five, and a 10 percent chance itll rank first barring an unforeseen event like a major volcanic eruption or a large comet hitting Earth, he said.

Thursday itself saw mercury rise to a sweltering 123.3F (50.7C) in the coastal town of Onslow in Western Australia, making it the countrys hottest day on record.

NOAA uses the 21-year span from 1880 to 1900 as a surrogate to assess pre-industrial conditions, and found the 2021 global land and ocean temperature was 1.87F (1.04C) above the average.

A separate analysis of global temperature released by NASA had 2021 tying with 2018 as the sixth-warmest on record.

Both data sets vary very slightly from the European Unions Copernicus Climate Change Service in their assessment, which had 2021 as the fifth warmest in records tracking back to the mid-19th century.

But the overall convergence of trends increases scientists confidence in their conclusions.

Increases in abundance of atmospheric greenhouse gases since the industrial revolution are mainly the result of human activity and are largely responsible for the observed increases.

Climate scientists say it is crucial to hold end-of-century warming to within a 1.5C (2.7F) rise to avert the worst impacts from mega-storms to mass die-offs in coral reefs and the decimation of coastal communities.

At the present rate of heating, the planet might hit 1.5C in the 2030s.

But its not the case that at 1.4 everything is hunky dory and at 1.6 all hell has broken loose, said NASA climate expert Gavin Schmidt.

The impacts have been increasingly felt in recent years including record-shattering wildfires across Australia and Siberia, a once-in-1,000-years heatwave in North America and extreme rainfall that caused massive flooding in Asia, Africa, the US and Europe.

Last year also saw nearly 700 people die in the contiguous United States due to extreme weather events, such as Hurricane Ida, and a maximum temperature in Sicily of nearly 120F, a European record if verified.

The heat records observed in 2021 came despite the year beginning in a cold phase thanks to an El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) episode across the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.

Heating might have also been partly offset by the resumption of activities that created heat-reflecting aerosols, which were lower during the Covid related lockdowns of 2020, said Schmidt.

The Northern Hemisphere land surface temperature was the third highest on record. The 2021 Southern Hemisphere surface temperature was the ninth highest on record.

Land heat records were broken in parts of northern Africa, southern Asia, and southern South America in 2021, while record-high sea surface temperatures were observed across parts of the Atlantic and Pacific oceans.

There were no cold records broken for land or ocean areas.

Average annual Northern Hemisphere snow cover was 9.3 million square miles (24.3 million square kilometers), the seventh-smallest annual snow cover extent in the 1967-2021 record.

Meanwhile, with the exception of September and December, each month of 2021 had Arctic sea ice levels in the top-10 lowest levels for those respective months.

Overall, the Arctic is heating around three times faster than the global average adding to sea level rises and the release of more carbon dioxide and methane from the permafrost, an effect known as Arctic amplification.

by Issam AHMED

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US health authority says Omicron to dominate infections in America – Macau Business

Posted: at 9:02 pm

Top U.S. health authorities have warned that the Omicron variant is so contagious that it is likely most people in the United States will be infected, The Guardian reported on Wednesday.

The Omicron variant, which replaced Delta in less than a month, is now responsible for more than 98 percent of new COVID-19 cases in the country, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

I think its hard to process whats actually happening right now, which is (that) most people are going to get Covid, all right? the British newspaper quoted Janet Woodcock, acting head of the Food and Drug Administration, as saying.

What we need to do is make sure the hospitals can still function, Woodcock added.

Omicron, with its extraordinary, unprecedented degree of efficiency of transmissibility, will ultimately find just about everybody, Anthony Fauci, chief medical advisor to the White House, was quoted as saying.

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Australian town hits record high temperature of 50.7C – Macau Business

Posted: at 9:02 pm

A remote town in Western Australia has equalled the countrys hottest day on record, reporting a scorching 50.7 degrees Celsius (123.26 degrees Fahrenheit), the Bureau of Meteorology said.

Such temperatures could become commonplace in Australia due to global warming, the countrys Climate Council warned.

The coastal town of Onslow hit the blistering high on Thursday afternoon.

NEW Western Australian maximum temperature record and equal National temperature record! the states Bureau of Meteorology posted on Twitter.

Onslow reached an unprecedented 50.7C which is a WA record and equals Australias hottest day set 62 years ago in Oodnadatta SA.

The country last recorded a temperature of 50.7C on January 2, 1960 at South Australias Oodnadatta Airport, according to the bureaus website.

Climate Council research director Dr Martin Rice said the record was part of a long-term warming trend driven by the burning of coal, oil and gas.

He said extreme temperatures were already having deadly catastrophic consequences in Australia.

Heatwaves are the silent killer in Australia, they cause more deaths than any other extreme weather events, he said.

Australia has experienced a summer with bushfires in the countrys west and deadly flooding on its eastern coast.

Rice said that, without a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, such record temperatures could become commonplace in Australia.

In Sydney and Melbourne, we will see 50-degree summer days by 2030, he said.

The Bureau of Meteorology is expected to confirm the record officially on Friday afternoon after quality control checks are completed.

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Record US inflation growing concern for Fed, business – Macau Business

Posted: at 9:02 pm

The scourge of rising prices now ranks among American business leaders top concerns, according to a survey released Thursday, while Federal Reserve officials indicated the central bank is ready to move against inflation.

Official data showed signs the wave of increases may have peaked at the end of the year, but with inflation at its highest level in nearly four decades, more economists and some Fed officials say the bank might have to be more aggressive to stem the surge.

Inflation is the number-two worry among chief executives, behind labor shortages, and the price pressures could persist into 2023, according to a survey by The Conference Board released Thursday.

Im very concerned about the high level of inflation, Fed GovernorLael Brainard said at her nomination hearing before the Senate Banking Committee.

Brainard, whom President Joe Biden nominated to serve as vice chair of the central bank, said most forecasts show prices are likely to stay high for the first half of the year and come down later in 2022.

But she warned to take these projections with a fair amount of caution.

Brainard told lawmakers the Fed will focus on bringing inflation back down to its two-percent target but will do so consistent with a sustained and strong recovery.

The Feds key inflation-fighting tool is the benchmark lending rate, which was slashed to zero at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Many economists expect three rate hikes this year, but St LouisFederal Bank President James Bullard said Wednesday policymakers might have to be more aggressive and raise four times.

Another regional Fed president, Raphael Bostic of Atlanta, said he was open to hiking as early as March.

Inflation has stayed higher for longer than any of us thought it was going to, said Fed governor Christopher Waller, in a Thursday night interview with Bloomberg TV.

Inflation pressures will drop off in the second half of this year, he said, predicting a fall to about 2.5 percent by the end of 2022.

Policy rates had been lowered to a range of 0 to 0.25 percent in March 2020 in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic

Waller said he favored a 0.25-point rate hike in March, but not more because we have not prepared markets for anything that dramatic.

He said he also anticipates three rate hikes in 2022, but if inflation in the second half of the year stays high, there could be four or five hikes.

On the other hand, if inflation falls back in the second half of the year, as many of us think it will, as some of the supply chain issues get sorted out, then you can actually pause, Waller said.

Brainard, however, said the moves would be made in a well communicated way to ensure a measured response by financial markets and allow the economy to continue to recover jobs.

If confirmed, Brainard would replace Richard Clarida, who in a paper released prior to his Friday departure from the Fed argued that the price increases were closer to the banks target than they appear.

The unwelcome surge in inflation in 2021, once these relative price adjustments are complete and bottlenecks have unclogged, will in the end prove to be largely transitory under appropriate monetary policy, he wrote.

The Feds hawkish shift comes after the consumer price index ended the year with a seven percent jump, the highest since 1982, while the producer price index hit a record 9.7 percent.

But the data showed price pressures easing in the final month of the year, with producer prices for energy and food declining.

Producer prices ended the year on an encouraging note, rising less than expectations as both the headline and core PPI moderated in December, said Mahir Rasheed of Oxford Economics.

The Covid-19 pandemic has created shortages of critical goods such as computer chips for cars while transportation snags have further fanned inflation, all as new strains of the virus cause additional business disruptions.

Persistent supply disruptions will pin producer prices near record levels in the near term, especially given a rapidly spreading Omicron variant that will fan inflation pressures, Rasheed said.

The price surge has battered Bidens reputation even as the economy recovers from the damage inflicted by the pandemic, and his White House welcomed signs the pressures might be abating.

Monthly inflation results are always volatile, and this report was driven in large part by a reduction in highly volatile energy and food prices, but also reflects potential improvement in prices for supply-chain related goods and services, said Cecilia Rouse, head of the White House Council of Economic Advisors.

But she said the data underscores the need to continue to work to resolve the supply chain issues.

Even as the economy has had a historic recovery, we continue to face challenges with prices driven by supply chain disruptions around the world.

by Heather SCOTT

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Vanguard University saying goodbye to the Pit – Los Angeles Times

Posted: at 9:01 pm

After 80 years, it is time for Vanguard University to say goodbye to the Pit.

The university plans to demolish the gymnasium this summer and hold a groundbreaking for a new facility, Lions Arena, which officials are hoping to open on campus in 2024.

The construction is part of Vanguards 30-year campus master plan, which was approved by the Costa Mesa City Council in 2019. The first improvement was the opening of the Waugh Student Center in 2020, and the campus perimeter fencing and corner monument sign are now under construction.

Vanguard sent out an email blast to 60,000 alumni, fans and donors last week to announce Lions Arena, said David Vazquez, the schools senior director of external relations.

"[The Pit] is in the minds and hearts of so many people, Vazquez said. Its crazy. Were sad to see it go, but it needs to go. We need something new For us, its all about enhancing the Vanguard experience. This building was chosen as the next one because it does that, on the heels of doing the student center. Its enhancing the student experience overall.

A rendering of the outside of Lions Arena, which is slated to open on the Vanguard University campus in 2024.

(Courtesy of Vanguard University)

Lions Arena will be a three-story, 61,000-square-foot building that seats up to 1,910 people for athletic events, more than double the Pits capacity. It will also feature locker rooms, a weight room, athletics training room and various athletic offices.

As importantly, it will be home to the kinesiology department, including department offices, laboratories and four new general classrooms.

Vazquez said the total cost to bring Lions Arena online will be just more than $40 million. He said the university is actively raising $12.8 million of that total; the rest will be financed.

It will be a home for a burgeoning Lions athletic community. Vanguards student-athlete population has more than doubled to over 400 students in the last four years, Lions associate athletic director Rhett Soliday said, and the school has introduced new sports such as wrestling, a dance team, mens and womens golf and mens volleyball.

They add to the Lions proud tradition, which includes NAIA national championships in womens basketball in 2008 and mens basketball in 2014. The schools new STUNT cheer team won a national title in 2021.

Soliday is also the mens basketball coach, which means he has had plenty of special moments in the Pit. His children ages 16, 11 and 9 have grown up during his 12 years at Vanguard.

I can say without any doubt Ill cry when they take the Pit down, just because of the memories, he said. People talk about the Pit a lot, but when I think about this place I think about the people that have come through. Whether its the coaching staff, leadership change is hard, but its also necessary. [Lions Arena] is going to be a beautiful thing.

Lauren Baumgartner, a junior who plays point guard for the Vanguard University womens basketball team, gets some shots up at the Pit on Tuesday.

(Kevin Chang / Staff Photographer)

Vazquez said the school is trying to preserve some of the tradition of the Pit, which predates Vanguard at its current spot. The school, then called Southern California Bible College, moved to the present campus in 1950.

The court at Lions Arena will still be called Bill and Shirley Reynolds Court, in honor of the late former mens basketball coach and his wife. Vanguard is calling this the Pits farewell season and is holding alumni events at its mens and womens basketball home games on Jan. 22 and Feb. 17. Then, on April 29, there will be one final Farewell to the Pit event.

Vanguard womens basketball coach Russ Davis, in his 26th year, is excited for Lions Arena but will surely be sad to see it go. The games were a highlight, but also the basketball summer camps that the school would put on.

Davis was a friend of the late Los Angeles Lakers star Kobe Bryant, who would have his Mamba Academy teams practice in the Vanguard gym. Four days after Bryant and eight others, including his daughter Gianna, died in a helicopter crash in January 2020, Davis returned to the bench to coach Vanguard after undergoing a battle with throat cancer.

I knew everybody in the helicopter, except for the pilot, Davis said. It was sad to bring back those memories but that was a special night.

Another memory Davis had of the Pit was during the 1997-98 season. In his second year in charge, he led Vanguard then called Southern California College to the Golden State Athletic Conference title.

Lions Arena, when completed, will hold 1,910 fans in its gymnasium, more than double the amount of the Pit.

(Courtesy of Vanguard University)

Its been home for me for so many years, and weve had lots of great memories in our program there, Davis said. Lots of great wins, championships, great times with the team. I have a ton of memories that Ill hold with me forever.

Vanguard mens basketball senior Christian Wilson said the experience of the Pit definitely is unique. Unlike most more spacious college gyms, the stands go right up to the edge of the court, which can encourage trash-talking at times.

Its really loud and sweaty, Wilson said. There are times when the windows are fogging up, because of the people in there and how much energy is in there. Im going to miss that small environment. When a big play happens, its so loud you cant hear someone talk in front of you.

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Vanguard University saying goodbye to the Pit - Los Angeles Times

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Energy Ended Up as a Good Bet Last Year. But Now What? – The New York Times

Posted: at 9:01 pm

Energy companies defied the odds last year.

Despite a pandemic and pressure to phase out fossil fuels to combat global warming, the share prices of major energy companies outshone the rest of the S&P 500.

Oil and natural gas prices, which soared 59 percent, were the main impetus for the energy stock rally.

But the boom wasnt a steady one. Although energy stocks in the S&P 500 rose around 50 percent, it was an up-and-down year.

The ride getting there has been extreme, said Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. She cautioned investors thinking of jumping in now to be mindful of the peril of chasing sector performance based on what it has done in the past year.

In 2021, oil prices rebounded from a decline in 2020, rising in response to growing demand as the coronavirus pandemic appeared to be ebbing. That helped drive inflation, and consumers grumbled about higher prices at the pump.

In November, President Biden led a multilateral effort which included Britain, Japan, South Korea, India and China to release oil from national reserves. OPEC Plus, a group of oil-producing nations, agreed to increase supply gradually. Adding to uncertainty about the oil prices are the still unclear effects of the Omicron variant of the Covid-19 virus on the economic recovery. Longer term, there are major questions about how the world might make the transition to cleaner forms of energy like solar and wind power from oil, coal and natural gas.

David Lebovitz, a global market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, said the large integrated oil and natural gas producers are working on developing renewable energy technologies in a bid to stay relevant. They have one foot on either side of the energy line, he said, so its a way for investors to play both sides of the story if they dont want to make a commitment.

Jan. 14, 2022, 6:54 p.m. ET

Funds that invest in the energy industry tend to be dominated by these global companies. For example, the Energy Select Sector SPDR, an exchange-traded fund run by State Street Global Advisors that ended the year with $26.4 billion in assets, had total returns of 53.26 percent in 2021 after a management fee of 0.12 percent. Forty-four percent of the portfolio is invested in two companies, Exxon Mobil and Chevron.

Michael Jin, a senior equity research analyst at Epoch Investment Partners, a New York subsidiary of Toronto-Dominion Bank, says U.S. utility companies are beginning to embrace solar and wind turbines. We kind of tiptoed into investing in renewable energy through the utilities sector, he said. Its a good way to gain exposure. They are still able to generate cash flow and pay dividends.

Utility funds, traditionally viewed as generators of steady income because of their holdings in regulated public utilities, posted strong returns last year. The Vanguard Utilities exchange-traded fund, with $5.6 billion in assets, returned 17.33 percent in 2021 after the 0.1 percent management fee. The funds yield was 2.7 percent.

The $4.9 billion Vanguard Energy fund, which once held mainly energy companies, has directed half its assets to holdings of utility companies since late 2020. Last year, the fund had total returns of 27.71 percent after a management fee of 0.33 percent. Its yield was 3.63 percent, according to Morningstar Direct.

How much demand there will be for oil in the coming decades remains a crucial issue for energy investors. A recent Morningstar report forecasts that global oil demand will peak around 2030 and then gradually decline. By the middle of this century, the report estimates, the global economy will consume 11 percent less oil than it did in 2019, in large part based on the projection that more than half the traffic on the worlds roadways will be electric vehicles.

Were bullish on the adoption of electric vehicles, said Dave Meats, the director of research for energy and utilities at Morningstar. In part, he said, that is because China has been subsidizing the development of electric vehicle technology in the hope of dominating this global market in the future.

But he predicted that oil would continue to be needed for global shipping and air travel in 2050. The weight of the batteries needed to cover long distances could be too much to keep ships afloat and planes aloft. He added that jet biofuel from sources like corn or used cooking oil would probably be more expensive than traditional fuel.

Oil may not be the fuel of the future, but oil consumption wont vanish overnight. Unlikely as it may seem, its possible that energy companies can continue defying the odds for some time.

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Energy Ended Up as a Good Bet Last Year. But Now What? - The New York Times

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