Daily Archives: January 9, 2022

The Conspirators: The Proud Boys and Oath Keepers on Jan. 6 – Lawfare

Posted: January 9, 2022 at 4:30 pm

A week before the Jan. 6 Capitol insurrection, Enrique Tarrio, the chairman of the Proud Boys, issued an unusual message to his crew. Originally launched in 2016, the Proud Boys are a violent, far-right group whose members describe themselves as Western chauvinists who refuse to apologize for creating the modern world.

In a Dec. 29, 2020, post on Parler, Tarrio called on gang members to turn out in record numbers on Jan. 6, but this time with a twist. He continued: We will not be wearing our traditional Black and Yellow. We will be incognito and we will be spread across downtown DC in smaller teams.

That same day, the head of a Florida Proud Boys chapter, Joe Biggs, issued his own Parler post highlighting the importance of blending in on Jan. 6.

You wont see us, he wrote. We are going to smell like you, move like you, and look like you. The only thing well do thats us is think like us! Jan 6th is gonna be epic.

By then, another far-right, extremist group, the Oath Keepers, was also preparing for Jan. 6. Two days before the riot, the groups founder and leader, Stewart Rhodes, posted a statement on the Oath Keepers website. It read in part:

It is CRITICAL that all patriots who can be in DC get to DC to stand tall in support of President Trumps fight to defeat the enemies foreign and domestic who are attempting a coup, through the massive vote fraud and related attacks on our Republic. [W]e will also have well armed and equipped QRF [quick reaction force] teams on standby, outside DC, in the event of a worst case scenario, where the President calls us up as part of the militia to assist him inside DC.

From Jan. 5 through Jan. 7, the Oath Keepers did, in fact, stash an arsenal of firearms and ammunition at the Comfort Inn in Ballston, Va.about a 15-minute drive from the Capitolaccording to an indictment subsequently brought by federal prosecutors.

Of the more than 700 individuals who have been charged with federal crimes stemming from the Jan. 6 Capitol Riot, only about 40 have been accused of conspiracymeaning that they are accused of planning and coordinating with others in advance to commit crimes on that date. Of the 40 conspiracy defendants, the vast majority are either Oath Keepers or Proud Boys.

These two groups appear to have played an outsized role in the events of that day, and their cases should hold particular interest for those trying to understand the causes of the insurrection. Some of these individualsmainly Proud Boysstand accused of having played crucial roles in initiating the violence that day and in getting the normies around them all riled up, as one Proud Boy later bragged of having done. Othersmainly Oath Keepersplayed semi-official roles at the rallies leading up to the riot, serving either as speakers themselves or providing security for speakers or VIPs.

Ill keep working on overall contact between Natl/congress team and stop the steal team for scheduling etc., Oath Keeper Kelly Meggs wrote, for instance, in an encrypted Oath Keeper chat channel on Signal on Jan. 4.

Twenty-one Oath Keepers (either dues-paying members or informal associates) have been charged in one indictment for, among other things, conspiring to corruptly obstruct an official proceedingnamely, the Joint Session of Congress devoted to counting the states previously certified Electoral College votes pursuant to the 12th Amendment and the Electoral Count Act. Four of these defendants have already pleaded guilty, pledging to cooperate. The remaining defendants, who have all pleaded not guilty, are set to go to trial on April 19.

The Proud Boys prosecutions are more numerous, splintered and harder to count definitivelyperhaps reflecting Tarrios instructions to remain incognito and to act in smaller teams. At least 15 Proud Boys (or their close associates) have been indicted for conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding, though they have been charged in four different cases. (One of these defendants has pleaded guilty.) In addition, at least a dozen more Proud Boys or associates have been charged with serious felonies stemming from the attackincluding assaulting police officersalthough not with conspiring to commit those felonies.

The groups leadersOath Keeper founder Rhodes and Proud Boy chairman Tarriohave not been charged, though each is alluded to in an indictment as an unindicted co-conspirator. Although Rhodes was present in D.C. on Jan. 6, he remained on the lawful side of the perimeter of the Capitol grounds restricted areas that day. He allegedly did communicate with his colleagues from there by phone and text, however. (Rhodes has denied that he or any Oath Keepers sought to disrupt certification of the Electoral College results, and has told the New York Times that the Oath Keepers who entered the Capitol building did so only to render aid after hearing that someone had been shot there. But according to the governments timeline, at least 14 Oath Keepers had penetrated the building five minutes before rioter Ashli Babbitt was shot in a hallway outside the Speakers Lobby.)

Tarrio, who is from Miami, was not in Washington, D.C. on Jan. 6. He arrived there Jan. 4, but was immediately arrested on charges stemming from violence after a Stop the Steal rally a month earlier. At the time of his arrest, he was found to be in felony possession of two high-capacity magazines compatible with AR-15 or M4 assault rifles. As a condition of pretrial release on Jan. 5, he was ordered to leave D.C. In July he pleaded guilty to having burned a Black Lives Matter banner vandalized from a historically Black church and to a misdemeanor charge relating to the magazines. Tarrio, who is believed to still be in custody on a five-month sentence imposed in late August, could not be reached for comment. His attorney, Lucas Dansie, declined to comment.

Although there is some evidence of coordination between at least some Oath Keepers and Proud Boys in the days leading up to Jan. 6, for the most part the groups acted in quite distinct ways that day.

The Oath Keepers, for their part, acted in an audaciously open, disciplined and military fashion as they allegedly attacked the heart and symbol of our democratic government. At about 2:39 p.m. that day, when about 14 of them allegedly helped force open the buildings Eastern doors near the Capitol Rotunda, they were decked out in full tactical gear, wearing hard-knuckled gloves, tactical vests or plate carriers, camo helmets, ballistic goggles, radios with earpieces, gaiters and boots. Certain individuals allegedly carried bear spray or a coil of paracord. The spectacle of at least 12 Oath Keepers maneuvering up the Capitol steps in stack formationeach holding the shoulder of the cadre in front of him or herbecame an indelible symbol of the insurrection. It was consistent with Rhodes repeated, months-long predictions of an imminent bloody, bloody civil-war.

The Oath Keepers case is also of special interest in that a number of these defendants were playing semi-official roles at the rallies that weekend as well as at earlier Stop the Steal rallies. At least one Oath KeeperJessica Watkinshad a VIP pass to provide security at the main rally at the Ellipse, while six others were providing security for longtime dirty trickster, convicted felon and Trump pardonee Roger Stone on Jan. 5 and 6.

Stone was not just a major promoter of the Stop the Steal movement and a key speaker at rallies on Jan. 5. He was also the original mastermind of the whole template for insurrection that played out on Jan. 6. Four years earlierin July 2016when Stone mistakenly assumed that Trump would lose his first Presidential contest against Hillary Clinton, he had laid out the entire insurrection formula in an interview on Breitbarts The Milo Yiannopoulos Show. He had observed then that a voting machine was essentially a computer and had reasoned, Who is to say they cannot be rigged? He continued:

I think we have widespread voter fraud, but the first thing that Trump needs to do is begin talking about it constantly. He needs to say for example: . . . I am leading in Florida. The polls all show it. If I lose Florida, we will know that theres voter fraud. If theres voter fraud, this election will be illegitimate, the election of the winner will be illegitimate, we will have a constitutional crisis, widespread civil disobedience, and the government will no longer be the government.

. . . I think hes gotta put them on notice that their Inauguration will be a rhetorical, and when I mean civil disobedience, not violence, but it will be a bloodbath. The government will be shut down if they attempt to steal this and swear Hillary in. No, we will not stand for it. We will not stand for it.

Turning to the Proud Boys, their role on Jan. 6 was far more furtive than the Oath Keepersbut also more violent and momentous. (Just one among the 21 accused Oath Keeper conspirators has been charged with assaulting a police officer, for instance, while many of the Proud Boys have been. The rest of the Oath Keepers are mainly charged with conspiracy, obstructing an official proceeding, impeding law enforcement officers during a civil disorder, damaging federal property and destroying evidence after the fact.)

By the time the Oath Keepers first helped the mob force its way into the east side of the Capitol at 2:39 p.m., the western side of the building had already been breached about a half hour earlier, at about 2:13 p.m. The Proud Boys had played a crucial role in accomplishing that feat, according to the government.

Moreover, as well see, there is evidence that the Proud Boys planned to storm the Capitol from before the day ever began. They were allegedly present when rioters pushed over the very first line of bike-rack barriers on the Capitols northwest side and overpowered the first set of Capitol Police officersleaving one with a concussion. Proud Boys then allegedly helped remove a second line of barriers closer to the building. They were allegedly at the forefront of those pushing up the steps beneath the Inaugural scaffolding to reach the Upper West Terrace. A Proud Boy broke out the very first window pane with a stolen riot shield at about 2:13 p.m. Over the next two minutes, at least six Proud Boys were among the first rioters to forcibly enter the Capitol building, either jumping through that broken window or walking through the door next to it, after a rioter forced it open from within.

In this article I provide an overview and timeline of whats known so far about the extraordinary roles the Oath Keepers and Proud Boys played on that historic day. It is based largely on the allegations of indictments, charging instruments and other government filings in the Proud Boys and Oath Keeper cases, but is supplemented with other publicly available source materials and media analysis. (I have also relied in some instances on allegations contained in civil suits filed against individual Oath Keepers and Proud Boys, especially those brought against certain members of those groups by Capitol Police officer Conrad Smith and seven other injured police officers and by the District of Columbia.)

At this stage, although none of the cases have gone to trial and much is yet to learn, we can make some tentative conclusions:

By May 2020, President Trump had begun laying the foundation for blaming his upcoming election loss on voter fraud. Apparently following Roger Stones template from 2016, he was alleging widespread voting fraud and talking about it constantly.

MAIL-IN VOTING VOTING WILL LEAD TO MASSIVE FRAUD AND ABUSE, he tweeted in May.

RIGGED 2020 ELECTION: MILLIONS OF MAIL-IN BALLOTS WILL BE PRINTED BY FOREIGN COUNTRIES, AND OTHERS, he tweeted in June. IT WILL BE THE SCANDAL OF OUR TIMES!

In September, Stone himself began implementing his own earlier narrative. In an interview with conspiracy theorist Alex Jones on Joness Infowars network, Stone said that ballots already cast in Nevada were completely corrupted, that we can prove voter fraud in the absentees right now and that the votes from Nevada should not be counted. Stone added that the only legitimate outcome to the 2020 election would be a Trump victory, and that Trump should consider declaring martial law or invoking the Insurrection Act.

In late October 2020, Oath Keepers founder Rhodes was also interviewed by Jones on Infowars, where he was a frequent guest. Whether by design or predisposition, Rhodes was fully onboard with the false election fraud narrative. He said that he would not recognize a Biden victory as legitimate, and that he didnt trust the electoral system any longer. He spoke of a coming civil war, expressed concern about someone staging a Benghazi-style attack on the White House on election night and urged Trump to invoke the Insurrection Act before then.

Rhodes and his Oath Keepers have always evinced a strong paranoid streak. A former Army paratrooper and 2004 Yale Law School graduate, Rhodes founded the group in 2009 after President Obama took office. The group recruits heavily among formerand even currentmilitary servicemen, police officers, firefighters and EMT personnel. Rhodes often wears an eye patch. That stems from a 1993 accident in which he dropped a loaded handgun, shooting himself in the face, according to the Atlantics Mike Giglio.

Rhodes built his organization on the premise that the U.S. government had been subverted by globalists and socialists. These enemies were not only going to try to seize Americans gunsthough that was certainly the primary fearbut also to throw them into concentration camps. Oath Keepers, therefore, take oaths to refuse to obey a list of improbable government orders including, for instance, any order to blockade American cities, thus turning them into giant concentration camps or any order to force American citizens into any form of detention camps.

On Nov. 7, 2020, the networks projected that then-former Vice President Joe Biden had won the election. The event had immediate implications for both the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers.

That same day, Proud Boy chairman Tarrio posted on Parler: Standby order has been rescinded.

Tarrio was referring to the galvanizing, legitimizing event that Trump had conferred upon the Proud Boys in late September, during a Presidential debate. Asked by Chris Wallace if he would disavow white supremacists and right-wing militia like, for instance, the Proud Boys, Trump had responded:

The Proud Boys, stand back, and stand by. But I'll tell you what. I'll tell you what somebody's got to do something about antifa and the left because this is not a right-wing problem.

After the debate, Proud Boys chairman Tarrio had posted on Parler, Standing by, sir. The head of the groups Florida chapter, Joe Biggs, had posted: Trump basically said to go fuck them up. This makes me so happy. (Biggs is a retired Army staff-sergeant who served in Afghanistan. Since his medical discharge in 2012, according to his lawyer, he has suffered from combat-related PTSD, depression, and some related alcohol problems. Before joining the Proud Boys, Biggs had been a correspondent for Alex Joness Infowars, and the two men remain close, according to the New York Timess Alan Feuer.)

Two days after Bidens apparent victory, Rhodes held a virtual conference over the GoToMeeting app with at least six other high-ranking Oath Keepers, including Jessica Watkins of Ohio and Kelly Meggs and Kenneth Harrelson of Florida. (It appears to have been taped, and the government quotes from it verbatim in its Oath Keeper indictment.)

Were going to defend the president, the duly elected president, Rhodes saidreferring to Trump"and we call on him to do what needs to be done to save the country. Because if you dont, guys, youre going to be in a bloody, bloody civil war and a bloodyyou can call it an insurrection or you can call it a war or a fight.

Rhodes then called on the Oath Keepers to show up in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 14 for what became known as the Million MAGA March. He continued:

If the fight comes, let the fight come. Let Antifaif they go kinetic on us, then well go kinetic back on them. . . . If they throw bombs at us and shoot us, great, because that brings the president his reason and rationale for dropping the Insurrection Act. . . . We hope he will give us the orders. We want him to declare an insurrection, and to call us up as the militia.

Afterward, Oath Keeper Watkins began recruiting people to join the tiny local militia she had founded, called the Ohio State Regular Militia, apparently in anticipation of bringing them to D.C., too. Watkins, then 38, ran a bar called The Jolly Roger in Woodstock, Ohio. She lived in an apartment above the bar with her companion, who was also a dues-paying Oath Keeper. Watkins is an Army vet who had served in Afghanistan. (According to later representations by her attorney, she is a transgender female who was forced out of the military after her sexual orientation was discovered. After the riot, when the FBI searched Watkinss home in January 2021, agents found two bomb-making recipes in her apartment, including one for Making Plastic Explosives from Bleach and another for a pyrotechnic called thermite.)

Basic training is mandatory, Watkins texted one would-be recruit in November 2020, according to a later government filing. I need you fighting fit by innaugeration [sic]. The training would include 2 days of wargames, she explained, incorporated into larger combat training for urban warfare, riot control, and rescue operations.

Other Oath Keepers, the government alleges, had already begun combat training even before the election. Florida Oath Keepers (and now Jan. 6 defendants) Kelly Meggs, Connie Meggs (Kellys wife) and Kenneth Harrelson had taken a private combat training course in Leesburg, Fla., in September, which included training on AR-platform firearms.

In November, Oath Keeper Meggs, 52, of Dunnellon, Fla., was also recruiting. He urged others on Facebook to join him in doing shit rather than just talking on Facebook, prosecutors allege.

On Nov.10, 2020, Rhodes posted a Call to Action! on the Oath Keeper web site, which was further entitled: March on DC, Stop the Steal, Defend the President, & Defeat the Deep State. It said in part:

This election was stolen and this is a communist/Deep State coup, every bit as corrupt and illegitimate as what is done in third world banana republics. We must refuse to EVER recognize this as a legitimate election, and refuse to recognize Biden as a legitimate winner, and refuse to ever recognize him as the President of the United States. This election was stolen by corrupt, law-breaking Democrat partisans on the ground, and by the manipulation of the CIA created HAMMR (Hammer) and Scorecard programs.

HAMMR (or HAMR or Hammer) is a fictitious CIA supercomputera hoax, according to then Cybersecurity Infrastructure Security Agency director Chris Krebsand Scorecard is the fantastical program that some conspiracy theorists imagine it runs. (Pro-Trump lawyer Sidney Powell also touted Hammer as a source of voting fraud shortly after the electionon Fox News Lou Dobbs Tonight on Nov. 6, for instancebefore she pivoted toward propagating false accusations about various voting device manufacturers, including Dominion Voting Systems and Smartmatic.)

Later that same day, Rhodes appeared on Alex Joness show again, where he mixed apocalyptic predictions about bloodshed to come with QAnon-like tirades about the need to expose deep-state pedophiles, including Chief Justice John Roberts, Jr.: Its either President Trump is encouraged, and bolstered, [and] strengthened to do what he must do, Rhodes said, or we wind up in a bloody fight. We all know that. The fights coming.

Several Oath Keepers attended the Million MAGA March, including Watkins and Donovan Crowl, 50, who was also a member of Watkinss militia in Ohio. Crowl is a former Marine whose later life, according to a post-riot New Yorker profile, had been marred by drinking, addiction, domestic violence and extreme overt racism. While they were in the D.C. area, Watkins and Crowl stayed at the farm of a retired Navy colonel, Tom Caldwell, of Berryville, Va., who was sympatico to the Oath Keepers objectives and worldview.

A few days after the Million MAGA March, Caldwell wrote to Crowl musing about next steps. I think there will be real violence for all of us next time, Caldwell wrote. I know its [sic] not my place but Im sure you have seen enough to know I am already working on the next D.C. op. We either WILL have a country and well be battling antifa-like bugs to keep it or we will have lost our country/freedom and we will be fighting to regain it.

Caldwell also texted Watkins a note a few days later, according to government filings:

I believe we will have to get violent to stop this, especially the antifa maggots who are sure to come out en masse even if we get the Prez for 4 more years. Stay sharp and we will meet again. You are my kinda person and we may have to fight next time. I have my own gear, I like to be ON TIME and go where the enemy is, especially after dark.

Since his post-riot arrest, Caldwells attorney has suggested in court filings that his client has a fertile imagination and likes to bluster, having once tried his hand at writing military-themed screenplays. Caldwell is 65, his attorney has noted, and is on full disability due to spinal injuries suffered while in the service. Its unlikely Caldwell could have ever effectuated many of the boasts found in his vivid emails and texts, his attorney has argued.

Still, prosecutors argue that Caldwell is dangerous. In November 2020, they stress, Caldwell ordered a double barreled, .380-calibre concealed handgun designed to look like a cellphone. In December he also emailed his Oath Keeper contacts links for weapons available on eBay, including a Zombie Killer Surgical Steel Tomahawk Axe. (The smartphone-gun did not arrive before Jan. 6, though Caldwell had written to the dealer in late December to remind him: I am eager to receive this weapon. Caldwell cancelled the still undelivered order in February, after his arrest.)

In any case, other Oath Keepers rhetoric was as apocalyptic as Caldwellsat least when it came to the prospect of a Biden Presidency. On Nov. 17, 2020 Watkins wrote to a recruit:

I don't underestimate the result of the deep state. Biden may still yet be our President. If he is, our way of life as we know it is over. Our Republic would be over. Then it is our duty as Americans to fight, kill and die for our rights. . . . If Biden get [sic] the steal, none of us have a chance in my mind. We already have our neck in the noose. They just havent kicked in the chair yet.

The Proud Boys rhetoric during this period was every bit as dire. In response to a social media post calling for unity, Proud Boy Biggs responded on Nov. 24: No bitch. This is war.

Proud Boy Ethan Nordeanan alleged member of the Proud Boys governing elders chapter and a sergeant-at-arms of its Seattle chapterissued the following post later that month, according to his indictment:

[W]e tried playing nice and by the rules, now you will deal with the monster you created. The spirit of 1776 has resurfaced and has created groups like the Proudboys and we will not be extinguished. We will grow like the flame that fuels us and spread like love that guides us. We are unstoppable, unrelenting and now unforgiving. Good luck to all you traitors of this county we so deeply love youre going to need it.

Earlier that month, Nordean had solicited militia groups in the Pacific Northwest to contact him on an encrypted social media application, according to Washington, D.C.s civil suit.

Proud Boy Zachary Rehl, the president of its Philadelphia chapter, was issuing similarly ominous warnings and threats, according to prosecutors: Hopefully the firing squads are for the traitors that are trying to steal the election from the American people, he wrote on Nov. 27, 2020. [S]ome people at the highest levels need to be made an example of with an execution or two or three.

More Stop the Steal rallies were held in Washington, D.C., on Dec. 12, two days before Presidential electors were to meet in state capitals to formalize the results of the 2020 election in their states. Speakers included Roger Stone, Proud Boy chairman Tarrio, Proud Boy elder Nordean, Oath Keeper founder Rhodes and conspiracy theorist Alex Jones.

Rhodess message was, again, paranoid and unhinged. He urged Trump to release Julian Assange and put him in charge of a data dump in order to:

show the world who the traitors are, and then use the Insurrection Act to drop the hammer on them. And all us veterans who swore that oath, until youre age 65, you can be called up as the militia, to support and defend the Constitution. He needs to know from you that you are with him, that if he does not do it now, while he is commander in chief, were going to have to do it ourselves later, in a much more desperate, much more bloody war. Lets get it on now while he is still the commander in chief. At the rally, Rhodess Oath Keepers provided security for Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, Trumps pardoned, former national security advisor. By then, Flynn was also calling for imposition of an at least limited form of martial law, with the military seizing voting devices and running a do-over election.

On Dec. 14, when each state certified its own electoral college votes, Rhodes published a screed entitled, Open Letter to President Trump: You Must Use the Insurrection Act to Stop the Steal and Defeat the Coup:

You must act NOW as a wartime President, pursuant to your oath to defend the Constitution. . . . We are already in a fight. Its better to wage it with you as Commander-in-Chief than to have you comply with a fraudulent election, leave office, and leave the White House in the hands of illegitimate usurpers and Chinese puppets. Please dont do it. Do NOT concede, and do NOT wait until January 20, 2021. Strike now. . . . If you fail to act while you are still in office, we the people will have to fight a bloody civil war and revolution against these two illegitimate Communist Chinese puppets, and their illegitimate regime.

On Dec. 19, Trump issued perhaps the most momentous dog whistle of his career: Statistically impossible to have lost the 2020 Election, he tweeted. Big protest in D.C. on January 6th. Be there, will be wild!

Within minutes, the tweet had been pinned on the home page of TheDonald.win, a site where extremist Trump supporters congregated. One user commented there, If youve been waiting for a signal, THATS IT, according to the civil suit later filed for Capitol Police Office Conrad Smith. He cant exactly openly tell you to revolt, observed another. This is the closest hell ever get.

Later that same day, Alex Jones told his viewers that Trumps will-be-wild tweet was one of the most historic events in American history, likening it to Paul Reveres ride in 1776. In language later quoted by the House Select Committee to Investigate the Jan. 6 attack on the United States Capitol in its November 2021 cover letter to Jones subpoenaing his testimony and pertinent documents, he continued:

He is now calling on We the People to take action and show our numbers. . . . The time for games is over. The time for action is now. Ive been on the air for 27 years and Ive never reported on anything that comes as close to being this huge. This is seismic.

(Jones has vowed to invoke his Fifth Amendment rights against self-incrimination to avoid testifying before the Committee, and has sued to block the panel from obtaining his phone records from AT&T.)

Oath Keeper Kelly Meggs was among the scores of Jan. 6 rioters now facing criminal charges who appear to have taken Trumps will-be-wild tweet as an invitation to violence. On Facebook he wrote: Trump said Its gonna be wild!!!!!!! Its gonna be wild!!!!!!! He wants us to make it WILD thats what hes saying. He called us all to the Capitol and wants us to make it wild !!! Sir Yes Sir!!! Gentleman we are heading to DC pack your shit !!

For months, the Oath Keepers had been coordinating with one another by holding virtual chat sessions over the GoToMeeting app. After the election, however, many of them stopped using their real names on those channels, and started using pseudonyms. Meggs, for instance, switched to Gator1; Ken Harrelson, to Gator6; Joseph Hackett, of Sarasota, Fla., became Ahab.

By late December, the GoToMeeting channels had taken on names like se leaders dc 1/6/21 op call and florida dc op planning chat.

Toward the end of December, the Oath Keepers set up invitation-only chat groups on the encrypted Signal app to supplement their communications. One Signal channel, used by at least 10 leadership-level Oath Keepersincluding Rhodes, Watkins and Meggswas called DC OP: Jan 6, 21. A second, Florida-centric Signal chat group, consisting of at least nine Oath Keepersincluding Meggs, Harrelson and Hackettwas called OK FL DC OP Jan 6.

Oath Keeper Hackett became particularly meticulous about secrecy during this period, according to prosecutors. When he used the Oath Keeper GoToMeeting channels, hed sign inunder his Ahab pseudonymthrough a virtual private network (VPN). Instead of placing calls or texts through his ordinary carrier, AT&T/TracFone, he used an app on his iPhone called TextMe. He then associated his Signal account with his TextMe phone number, rather than his AT&T number. His TextMe account was, in turn, registered to his encrypted Protonmail email address, which was listed under a false name, John Willow. Hackett also advised fellow Oath Keepers that when they sent plans on Signal, they should write them out longhand on a scrap of paper and then send a photo of the piece of paper. Messages in cursive to eliminate digital reads, he explained.

After Trumps will-be-wild tweet, the Oath Keepers began preparing for Jan. 6. On Christmas Day, Meggs wrote on Facebook: Dc is no guns. So mace and gas masks, some batons. If you have armor thats good.

Eventually, it was decided that firearms would be stored with a quick reaction force (QRF) just outside D.C. at the Comfort Inn in Ballston. An aging Oath Keeper named Paulreferred to as Person Three in the indictmentwas eventually chosen to watch over the arsenal there, apparently because he was too broken down to be on the ground all day, as Caldwell later put it in a text to Watkins.

At one point, as Jan. 6 approached, Caldwell and Meggs both toyed with the idea of floating the QRF arms across the Potomac to D.C. by boat, if the need arose.

Cant believe I just thought of this, Caldwell wrote to an associate affiliated with the Three Percenters on Jan. 3. (The Three Percenters are a far-right militia group premised on the false belief that only three percent of American colonists actually fought against the British during the Revolutionary War.) If we had someone standing by at a dock ramp (one near the Pentagon for sure) we could have our Quick Response Team with the heavy weapons standing by, quickly load them and ferry them across the river to our waiting arms.

Meggs had discussed a similar notion on the Oath Keepers leadership Signal chat channel on Jan. 2:1 if by land North side of Lincoln Memorial 2 if by sea Corner of west basin and Ohio [Ave.] is a water transport landing!! QRF rally points Water of [sic] the bridges get closed.

In late December, in one of the Signal chat rooms, Meggs and Rhodes also discussed the need to intimidate Congress:

Meggs: We need to make those senators very uncomfortable with all of us being a few hundred feet away. Our peaceful protests need to have a little more teeth. They arent listening. Now we arent talking about crossing the line. But we need to be standing on the line!!! Its all bad from here guys. We need Trump because it will make our jobs easier. There is gonna be blood in the streets no matter what.

Rhodes: I think Congress will screw [Trump] over. The only change [sic] we/he has is if we scare the shit out of them and convince them it will be torches and pitchforks time is [sic] they dont do the right thing. But I dont think they will listen.

As Jan. 6 approached, Alex Jones hinted that historic bombshells were afoot. On Dec. 29 he told his viewers: Now I know some incredible information that I am not at liberty to tell you. But I am at liberty to give you a hint, which I don't think is too hard. You notice Trump said, January 6th will be wild in D.C.? Well, it will be wild.

Wild rumors were circulating in right-wing circles. Many Oath Keepers were anticipating Trumps imminent invocation of the Insurrection Act:

Meggs: Trumps [sic] staying in, hes gonna use the emergency broadcast system on cell phones to broadcast to the American people. Then he will claim the insurrection act.

[Unidentified interlocutor:] Thats awesome. Any idea when?

Meggs: Next week Then wait for the 6th when we are all in DC to insurrection.

Oath Keeper Watkins texted her fellow Ohio militia member Crowl on Dec. 26: Trump wants all able bodied Patriots to come. . . . if Trump activates Insurrection Act, Id hate to miss it.

It begins for real Jan 5 and 6, wrote Caldwell on Facebook on Dec. 31, on [sic] Washington D.C. when we mobilize in thestreets [sic]. Let them try to certify some crud on capitol hill with a million or more patriots in the streets. This kettle is set to boil.In late December 2020, Kelly Meggs made several references to having struck some sort of alliance with the Proud Boys. Well, we are ready for the rioters, Meggs wrote on Facebook on Dec. 19. [T]his week I organized an alliance between Oath Keepers, Florida 3%ers, and Proud Boys. We have decided to work together to shut this shit down. He later described the Proud Boys as a force multiplier, because they always have a big group.

Still, its very unclear exactly what sort of allianceif anywas truly struck. Meggss references were vague, and seemed more targeted toward beating up Antifa in West Side Story-style rumbles than toward coordinating an attack on the Capitol. On Christmas Day, for instance, Meggs wrote on Facebook (according to a later government filing):

At night we have orchestrated a plan with the proud boys. Ive been communicating with [redacted] the leader. We are gonna March with them for a while then fall back to the back of the crowd and turn off. Then we will have the proud boys get in front of them the cops will get between Antifa and proud boys. We will come in behind antifa and beat the hell out of them.

On Dec. 29, Proud Boy chairman Tarrio issued the previously referenced order for his colleagues to remain atypically incognito on Jan. 6. That same day, the Proud Boys initiated a new leadership structure called the Ministry of Self Defense, prosecutors allege, consisting of Tarrio, Nordean, Biggs, Rehl and at least one other. To communicate, they set up an encrypted messaging channel on Telegram, called MOSD.

Chairman Tarrios Jan. 4 arrest appears to have momentarily thrown the Proud Boys plans into disarray. Apparently fearful that Tarrios phone would be searched, Proud Boy Nordean, of the Seattle chapter, took steps to nuke the MOSD communications channel and replace it with a New MOSD, according to the government. The New MOSD participants included Nordean, Biggs, Rehl and Charles Donohoe, the head of a Proud Boys chapter in North Carolina.

By that evening, however, the Proud Boys were regaining their footing. An unindicted Proud Boy co-conspirator wrote on the New MOSD channel: We had originally planned on breaking the guys into teams. Lets start divvying them up and getting baofeng channels picked out. (Baofeng is a brand of walkie-talkie type radios.)

The next day, Jan. 5, the Proud Boys created another encrypted messaging channel on Telegramwith over 60 userscalled Boots on the Ground, according to the government. In the early afternoon, Biggs used it to urge Proud Boys to stay out of trouble that day. We are trying to avoid getting into any shit tonight, he posted. Tomorrows the day. . . Just trying to get our numbers. So we can plan accordingly for tonight and tomorrows plan. Later, he reiterated, We have a plan.

On the afternoon and evening of Jan. 5, six Oath Keepers protected Roger Stone as he spoke at two rallies, according to the New York Times. They chauffeured him to and from events in a pair of golf carts.

This is nothing less than an epic struggle for the future of this country between Dark and Light, between the godly and the godless, between Good and Evil, Stone said at a rally near the White House that day, according to accounts in both the Times and Vice. And we will win this fightor America will step off into a thousand years of darkness. We dare not fail! . . . I will be with you tomorrowshoulder to shoulder!

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When the Rioters Came for Us on January 6 – The New Republic

Posted: at 4:30 pm

As a professor of constitutional law for three decades, an observer of the separation of powers and civil liberties, and someone who reveres liberal democracy and hates fascism and racism, I have the motivation to fight. I have taken big bipartisan groups of incoming House members to the U.S. Holocaust Museum for a tour before their first session begins, to emphasize the essential stakes of liberal democracy. I send everyone to the National Museum of African American History and Culture and the National Museum of the American Indian to learn about the centrality of slavery, racism, and white supremacy in shaping American politics and defining the American experience.

But, now, I am driven by the memory and spirit of my lost son, who wanted far more from our democracy, not far less. He expressed dread of fascism and what it had done to humanity in the last century and horror for Nietzschean politics based only on force and fraud and the will to power, as he used to mutter every time he read the newspaper. He wanted government as the active instrument for promoting the general welfare of not just all human beings but all living beings, and he wanted morality to replace violence as the essence of government power.

I wonder where all this chaos is taking us; whether Tabitha, Hank, and Julie are safe and will be rescued soon; whether I should try to turn back and find officers; whether these insurrectionists have firearms; whether Donald Trumps allies plan to escalate the violence; whether Sarah, Hannah, and Tabithas boyfriend, Ryan, are all right; whether we are facing an insurrection, a coup, or even a civil war; whether we will finally impeach the traitor for setting loose the dogs of war upon us or perhaps invoke, at last, the unsung Twenty-Fifth Amendment; whether dear America will survive this appalling head-first descent into political madness.

I feel curiosity, anger, resolve; but there is one thing I do not feel as we travel down, down, downFaster, please hurry, an officer exhorts usinto the dark complex basement passageways of the Capitol, one thing I dont sense as we are jostled this way and shepherded that. There is one emotion I have not experienced at all on this persistently gloomy and objectively terrifying day and that I will not experience all through the night: fear.

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For Russia and US, National Security Must Be Embedded in Mutual Security – Russia Matters

Posted: at 4:29 pm

As senior Russian officials prepare for talks on European security with Western counterparts, three aspects of the latest crisis around Ukraine point to its seeming intractability, but also lay bare an elemental factor that must be addressed if a way out of the impasse is to be found. First, the crisis underscores the scale of the challenge when the clash is over competing rights, not merely conflicting interests. Second, any solution depends on incentives favoring it, but when these are missing and disincentives prevail, little progress can be expected. Third, the absence of trust between the two sides is the elemental factor that creates a prior and fundamental obstacle to any movement forward and needs to be addressed separately. Together they undergird the danger with which leaders are struggling.

Common sense has long suggested that the safest and soundest level of national security resides in mutual security between and among states struggling in the scrum of international politics. During the brief halcyon years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, this idea was at the heart of the pledge by U.S., European and Russian leaders to create a Euro-Atlantic Security Community from Vancouver to Vladivostok. The pledge was not honored for lack of creativity and political will, but the basic idea remains key if the worst is to be averted and steps easing the crisis surrounding Ukraine are to be found. What then is to be done?

Russias latest military build-up near the Ukrainian border has once again put Moscow and Washington on a collision course in their pursuit of security, with each claiming rights that seem to infringe on the other sides. Russia, for its part, insists on its right to reinforce and move its military forces about as it likes within its borders; how it chooses is nobody elses business. The U.S. and its NATO allies, in turn, insist that Russian neighbors, including Ukraine, have the right to choose with whom to ally and what organizations they wish to join; Russia does not have a veto over their choices.

If Russia, however, has the right to do what it wishes with its military forces on its own territory, then Ukraine has the right to do whatever its leaders wish to enhance the defense of their own territory, including securing major military assistance from outside. Likewise, if Ukraine has the right, as the White House has officially said, to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraines aspirations to join NATO, then so does, say, Cuba. But how likely is it that the United States would react passively if Cuba entered a defense pact with Russia and allowed it to establish naval and air bases on the island? In these scenarios, Russia, Ukraine and Cuba are within their rights, but does this mean they would be wise to exercise them?

Unlike, say, the other preoccupation of leaders in Washington, Europe and Moscowthe COVID-related conflicts where a countrys citizens have clashed over one groups right to personal freedoms versus anothers right to public safetyconflicts between nations have no supreme arbiter, no level of government, capable of issuing and enforcing mandates or manipulating incentives to encourage one or both sides to back off the right they claim. The international system is a self-help system, and only the parties themselves can mitigate or eliminate the danger created by their claims. Thus, they have to produce the incentives leading in this direction.

At the moment, Russia and the West are focused on imposing unilateral negative incentives that lead in the opposite directionwith Russia threatening to invade Ukraine if it ends up in NATO (or NATO ends up in Ukraine) and the West threatening unprecedented sanctions if Ukraine is invaded. The escalatory risks inherent when countries insist on countervailing rights are thereby in danger of crossing the threshold into violence.

Instead, positive incentives are what is needed, but only if mutually beneficial. The measures taken would have to promise greater security with reduced risk than each side currently believes is better achieved through unilateral negative incentives. The goal should logically be national security embedded in mutual security, and the logical path toward this would be steps leading away from the use or threatened use of military force to resolve conflicts of interests. Steps toward this would include:

Substituting positive incentives for those currently favored by the two sides, however, is not enough. Managing the current sources of tension is crucial, but this should be done within an altered agenda whose major focus is on the existential threats facing both sides. These include: regaining control over a more complex multipolar nuclear world in danger of running out of control; containing the onrushing dangers created by climate change; and girding to deal with future health pandemics worse than the current one and the destructive socio-economic effects that will exacerbate them. Achieving a level of cooperation commensurate with the threat that each poses will be exceedingly difficult, but the first order of business should be for countries on both sides of the divide to make the effort a priority.

If seeking greater security through mutual benefit is the direction in which logic points, why is this not the direction that events have taken? The answer brings us to the ultimate factor at playthat of trust, or in this case its absence. Again, we see a parallel with the pandemic, which has forced U.S. public health officials, for example, to struggle against low trust in government and experts.

But alleviating mistrust between Russia and the United States, again, has to be a bilateral enterprise. And it is important because the obstacle created by mistrust exists before other sources of tension work their effect. It both paralyzes the will to try to alter the current trajectory of U.S.-Russian relations and short-circuits steps that might be taken to move in a more constructive direction. Moreover, as relations between Russia and the United States and its NATO allies have steadily deteriorated, mistrust has deepened and then congealed. As a result, it has become a factor separate from the specifics of the issues that set the two sides at odds.

Because mistrust is not only separate but a roadblock, merely acknowledging its role is not enough. If progress is to be achieved, building trust needs to be an initial and separate policy objective. The steps may be smallsuch as restoring diplomatic facilities to a functioning level or toning down information warfare in whatever form or opening the door to dialogue, as the two presidents have donebut they should be taken with the express purpose of restoring some level of trust. If policymakers in Moscow and Washington (and Brussels) are to move away from strategies favoring unilateral negative incentives and gradually open the way to strategies featuring mutually reinforcing positive incentives, they will need to relearn how to think in small constructive terms with the larger objective always in mind.

Photo by Kremlin.ru shared under a Creative Commons license. The opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author.

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Politics of hate has hit UPs development – The Tribune India

Posted: at 4:29 pm

Zoya Hasan

Professor Emerita, JNU

As Ayodhya, Varanasi and Mathura take centre stage in Indias weightiest state, it is clear that the ruling partys campaign in the poll-bound Uttar Pradesh (UP) is centred on Hinduising the voters, rather than bothering about the economy or harmony. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its lead campaigners are reluctant to focus on the track record of their double-engine government in the last five years. But they are never short on attacking past governments for lack of development and making exaggerated claims regarding development under their own government. Thats why, it is imperative to scrutinise the claims of the UP Government and the consequences of its divisive politics.

The state records one of the lowest growth rates in India. On most development indicators, UP ranks poorly compared to other states. It is economically backward and socially conservative. Even a cursory examination of the actual conditions of people would show no significant improvement in the quality of public life, health or education sectors or employment opportunities. Unemployment, lawlessness and the collapse of public infrastructure remain the calling cards of the state.

Even so, the BJP has been trying to portray UP as a transformed state under its government. The UP Chief Minister had said in March 2020, while marking his governments fourth year in office, that UP had been lifted from the Bimaru (Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh) status to Samarth (capable). But most development indicators belie these claims. UP was a Bimaru state and it has remained so. If anything, it has worsened in some respects in the last five years.

An important indication that things have not changed much can be seen from the states per capita income, which has increased by just 0.43 per cent over the four years of this government as against the claim of 100 per cent growth. Per capita income was half (Rs 41,023) of the national average (Rs 86,659) in 2019-20 and the second lowest in the country.

But still, the UP Government has been putting out front-page advertisements in leading newspapers that the state is making great progress, even claiming that UPs per capita income has doubled. These claims are based on figures of gross state domestic product (GSDP) in the budget documents of 2021-22, which was revised upward, implying an increase in growth over 2019-20.

But this is far removed from the official estimates of GSDP prepared by the Department of Economics and Statistics (Economic Growth in Uttar Pradesh in Recent Years, Economic and Political Weekly, December 11, 2021).

Let us look at the two crucial indicators of health and womens employment to gauge the state of development. UP is at the bottom of the 19 large states in the latest Niti Aayog health index for 2019-20. It is ranked the worst in institutional deliveries both in 2014-15 and 2019-20. The state was hit by the disastrous second wave of Covid-19. The states misery was reflected in oxygen shortages, failing public hospitals and visuals of hundreds of dead bodies buried hurriedly on the banks of the Ganga. UP is among the states with the lowest female participation in the workforce. It was less than 10 per cent in both urban and rural areas in pre-Covid-19 years and is unlikely to have grown since the pandemic. With 91 per cent of women out of the labour market in UP, they are among the poorest and most vulnerable. UPs economy has clearly failed them in terms of meagre employment generation and the lack of associated income opportunities.

The dismal state of development has to be seen in the backdrop of the growth of Hindu nationalism which dominates politics and society in that state. UP has been critical to the public staging of the Hindutva project in a way that is not true of other states. The figurative significance of Ayodhya, Kashi and Mathura in this process as symbols of Hindu unity and as a wedge around which communal consolidation can take place cannot be underestimated. None of the other states quite have this cache. Currently, nation and religion are interchangeable in UP, but, ironically, the state is more divided and unequal than before. In fact, the ideologues of Hindu nationalism never ever refer to distributive justice or equity or improving the lot of the poor. They seek to unify the majority by disguising the true state of development or livelihoods with the lure of religious nationalism, which then becomes a mask to obfuscate the most significant inequalities.

The head of a mutt is the head of the government. Under his watch, the states descent into a communal cul-de-sac has gained momentum. Every day, there is a frontal assault on secularity, justice and decency. Add to this, the discrimination and intimidation of Muslims by the highest political functionaries and their total exclusion from public institutions, fusing the state with religion (of the majority) entirely. This underlines the inability of religious nationalism to conceive of equal citizenship and equal participation as the foundation of democracy.

The stage is set for a high-voltage electoral battle in UP in the coming months. This is the moment when the state government must be held to account as regards its performance. This has acquired urgency as the BJP seeks to alter the very basis of politics to create a permanent ethnic voting bloc, privileging the majority Hindu community to establish Hindu dominance, with economic issues relegated to the background and matters of jobs, price rise and public health thrown out of the electoral fray.

The politics of hate adversely affects economic activity as it overtakes basic issues. As a result, UP is struggling with the contradictions between the socio-economic needs of the people and the communal agenda of the regime.

Hindu nationalism has subverted the political vocabulary from democracy, rights, equality and deliberation to sacrifice, duty, victimhood, pride, law and order, cow protection, love jihad and conversions. This vocabulary undercuts the language needed for actually developing and implementing policies that would benefit the people.

The rights-based approach to development, where people get benefits as a right, rather than as an act of benevolence from the government, is the way to rescue UP and reverse the damages caused by the counter-revolution in the heartland of our democracy.

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[Long Read] The Big Year: 22 Global Stories We Shall Be Chasing In 2022 – Swarajya

Posted: at 4:29 pm

After an eventful 2021, what omens does the year 2022 hold for global politics, economy, and civil society?

The pandemic entered its second year, with the Delta variant and ended with Omicron, decimating lives at a micro level and even some nations at a macro level.

The low interest rates gave the world stock markets the buoyancy that many found unexplainable, and the supply chains constrained businesses across the world, further exposing the vulnerabilities of an otherwise settled global economy.

President Joe Bidens first year as the leader of the free world ran into troubles and Chinas Xi Jinping secured the political validation for a lifelong term, worrying leaders in the West.

India, to the disbelief and dismay of most foreign observers, managed the worlds biggest and most successful vaccination drive, administering over 1,400 million doses, and in the neighbouring region, Pakistans economy continued its free fall and Afghanistan saw the infamous exit of American forces, one that will be etched in the darkest pages of history, and the consequent takeover of Taliban, resulting in a nation starved and betrayed.

Apple, surprisingly, disappointed its worshippers with the new range of iPhones yet the investors went home rich, and Facebook recoined itself to Meta, signalling the arrival of a new age of internet. A brave new world, reckless in definition for many traditionalists, ushered the bull run for cryptocurrencies and NFTs, and the string of stories goes on and on.

As President Bartlet from The West Wing would ask, Whats Next, and what are the global stories we would be chasing in 2022, and why are they important?

1. The Struggle For Semiconductors Is Real

Who would have thought that an industry that has raw materials thousands of times smaller than a virus would have been the main priority for policymakers and world leaders in the middle of a pandemic?

In January 2021, the average waiting time for a chip went up by six days, and in the succeeding month, by another week, thus pushing the waiting time to 15-weeks hampering trade across sectors worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

The horror did not end there for countries without a domestic manufacturing hub realised they were sitting on a ticking time-bomb for supply chains as most chip designers and semiconductor firms were relying on TSMC for their orders, the same company that would be the first victim of an imminent China-Taiwan conflict.

In 2022, the hefty investments committed by India, United States of America, and Europe would be formalised through free trade agreements with the likes of TSMC, Intel, and Samsung.

Alongside, Chinas $1.4 trillion investment over the next few years in the semiconductor industry to decouple its supply chains from the US after a round of sanctions under the Trump era would be on the watchlist of many.

2. Troubles In The Taiwan Strait

Not many in 2019 believed that the political takeover of Hong Kong by China was either feasible or possible, and yet, it happened. The National Security Law, introduced by the mainland China government, mandates arrest for any person, from any part of the world, for criticising the ways of the Chinese Communist Party, and yet, many fear, Hong Kong was nothing more than a dress rehearsal for the imminent Taiwan takeover.

President Xi Jinping has made no secret of his Taiwan temptation, stating how reunification was unavoidable, and any country, especially the US, would be playing with fire if they were to interfere. To make matters worse for Taiwan, the hastened exit of the American forces from Afghanistan and Bidens ambiguous and contradictory statements on US intervention in case of the Chinese invasion continues to alarm Japan, South Korea, and other small countries in the Indo-Pacific region.

While an all-out war in the Taiwan strait is off the cards for 2022, the island nation is bracing itself for more Chinese air patrols after a record number of intrusions, almost a thousand against 350-odd in 2020, in 2021. From the days of 1990s, when China was incapable of fielding an air force in the Taiwan strait, the country had as many as 56 incursions on a single day in October 2021. This year, the clouds of conflict will only grow darker.

3. Falling Like Dominos: Chinas Real Estate Crisis

The parallels between the Lehman Crisis of 2008 and the Evergrande Crisis in China in 2021 were not missed by many. However, unlike the US government in 2008 aiming to set an example in morality by allowing Lehman to fail, the Chinese government opted for a more realistic view of the situation.

Contributing to more than 25 per cent of the GDP growth, Chinas real estate and the sectors associated with it were sitting ducks as the Evergrande Group, with liabilities of over $330 billion, threatened to take the entire sector down.

For the latter half of the year, Chinas biggest real estate group struggled with payments on its maturing coupons, and had to strike a balance between homeowners waiting for their properties and debt restructuring.

In 2022, Chinas real estate developers will face dual challenges, one of raising funds and restructuring their debt to ward off the existential crisis they find themselves in, and two, to make pending payments on their maturing coupons.

Over $50 billion worth of overseas dollar bonds will mature in 2022, and the story of the slowing music in Chinas once celebrated real estate market will be the focus.

4. Indias Political Semi-Final That Feels Like A Final

To an outsider, Indias perpetual election mode is certainly confusing, but to an observer, no year, since 2019, is as politically important as 2022, for this election cycle, starting in February itself, may decide the course of Indias growth trajectory for the rest of the decade.

There are two parties with their futures at stake. One, the Grand Old Party of India, as many call it, the Congress would be looking to establish its resurgence by winning in the smaller states of Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand.

In Gujarat, the GOP would want to dent the ruling partys two-decade hegemony. A routing in these states would certainly accelerate the demise of the party under Rahul Gandhi and signal the emergence of TMC and its leader, Mamata Banerjee, as the new national opposition for 2024.

For BJP, its toughest and most significant battle will be in Uttar Pradesh under Yogi Adityanath. A big victory would certainly give the party enough momentum to win smaller states and eventually, the big national election of 2024. A win in Uttar Pradesh will not only give BJP a face for the post-Modi era, but also give it an opportunity to set the socio-economic agenda for the worlds biggest democracy for this decade and beyond.

5. The Emperors New Term And Tantrums

For China, the country, and the Chinese Communist Party, President Xi Jinping is the rightful derivation of the grand strategy that was pursued by Beijing in the wake of three events in close succession, also known as the Traumatic Trifecta in many academic circles. These events were the protests of Tiananmen Square of 1989, the Gulf War of 1990-91, and the infamous collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.

Each of these events acquainted China with the existential threat it faced, which was social unrest amongst a population corrupted by western ideas, the American military threat to China's ambitions in the Pacific, and the ideological threat it faced as the western model of democracy registered its final dent on Soviet communist with the fall of the Berlin Wall.

Today, more than three-decades later, Xi Jinping is preparing for a lifelong term, starting in 2022, with ruthless power and resources at his disposal. In his pursuit to establish a new world order led by China, Jinping is not only invested in correcting the course of the domestic economy through crackdown on tech, academia, and real estate, but also eye geopolitical supremacy in the Pacific region, Latin America, and Africa through economic coercion and military muscle.

6. Can The QUAD Evolve Into An Equivalent Of Asian NATO?

The year 2021 was a testament to the incapacity of the current world order to decouple from China. From the coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan to the political takeover in Hong Kong, and from the atrocities against minorities in Xinjiang to the wolf-warrior diplomacy against the European States, the inaction and silence of Western states demonstrated the free run China enjoys in contemporary geopolitics.

However, in March 2021, the leaders of the US, India, Australia, and Japan came together for the virtual summit of the QUAD, almost seventeen years after it was first envisioned in the wake of the 2004 Tsunami, and questions were asked if there was finally a NATO equivalent in the Pacific to curb China.

Come 2022, and the QUAD needs to do more. Australia has been in a prolonged trade and tariff war with China. Japan senses alarm as China flexes its muscles around Taiwan. India has been in a standoff for more than a year now in the Himalayas, and for the US, a new Chinese world order threatens its interests in Europe, Latin America, and Africa.

Can the four nations extend the QUAD to include ASEAN countries, or chalk out a plan to economically decouple from China, or have a plan of action thats more than just headlines?

7. Bitcoin, NFTs, And Everything Vice

For any traditional investor, a pandemic year and consequently excessive liquidity in the markets is the starting point of inflation, and yet, for the year 2021, gold, as a hedge against the rising prices, dropped 5 per cent.

In the brave new world of cryptocurrencies and NFTs, the promise of decentralised internet and a metaverse built on the principles of Web3, investors enjoyed the most astonishing bull run in the streets of crypto mania.

Even though Elon Musks tweet and Chinas ban on the mining of cryptocurrencies added to the volatility of the bitcoin and several other cryptocurrencies, there was a 50 per cent appreciation in the price of the bitcoin, and NFTs worth billions of dollars were sold. 360,000 owners, holding 2.7 million NFTs, valued at around $40 billion to be precise.

Come 2022 and the bigger question is that can crypto mania sustain? Yes, the pandemic and work-from-home life with excess money in the hands of many millionaires have created a market for imaginary commodities that are being built for a world that does not exist yet, but will bitcoin and NFTs continue to sideline gold and other traditional hedges? Will China and even India, possibly, banning cryptocurrency arrest this bull run, or are we in for the biggest Ponzi scheme in the history of finance?

8. The Soaring Giants Of Silicon Valley

For the players from Silicon Valley, the pandemic has been an enabler for a bull run many would not have anticipated in April 2020. In the last one year, the stock price of Apple has soared by more than 37 per cent, for Facebook, now Meta, by more than 25 per cent, for Googles parent company Alphabet by more than 67 per cent, for Microsoft by more than 54 per cent, for Netflix by more than 15 per cent, for Amazon around 5 per cent, given the high value of its single share.

Together, the five companies minus Netflix added close to $2.5 trillion to their market cap with Apple coming close to hitting the $3 trillion market cap target. Interestingly, the chip shortage that impacted the automobile industry did not dampen the spirits at Apple and Microsoft, even though iPhone shortages were widely reported.

Come 2022, and the rising interest rates would be on the stock calculators of every trader, as an imminent market correction unfolds. The question is will the dream bull run of the Big Tech finally come to an end, and will Apple be able to overcome the impact of chip shortages, and will the market bears finally get the better of Netflix, and what Facebooks transition to the Metaverse will be like, and will the narrative of breaking up the Big Tech be on the minds of the US Congress?

9. Tehran Threat Grows As The Sun Sets On JCPOA

It all started when US President Donald Trump, in May 2018, declared that he would walk out of the JCPOA or the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. The agreement between Iran and the US, the United Kingdom, Russia, the European Union, France, China, and Germany, the JCPOA, or the Iran Nuclear Deal, enabled Iran to attain economic relief in exchange for its nuclear ambitions.

Today, more than three years later, attempts are being made to salvage whatever is left of the JCPOA. Without the blessings of the hardliners from Tehran, the deal was doomed from the beginning, and with Trumps stance, it all went to the dogs, literally.

In Vienna, negotiators from all sides are trying to scrap together a solution to restore the status quo, but a nuclear crisis encompassing Saudi Arabia and Israel looks imminent in 2022.

For the US, the problems are plenty. The election of a new president, a hardliner cleric, complicates negotiations with the US. The nuclear programme of the country is already advancing, drawing it closer to accumulating weapons grade enriched uranium, as stated by the countrys foreign minister in 2019.

Iran, reluctant to get back to the negotiating table, is already demanding a guarantee of no unilateral withdrawal in the future on the part of the Americans, and a reversal of trade sanctions for them to undo the nuclear gains they have made. Clearly, a diplomatic deadlock with the peace of the entire Middle East at stake.

10. The Year When The Pandemic Becomes A Part Of Our Lives

Almost two years ago, the city of Wuhan in China was put on a lockdown as the spread of an unknown virus threatened the local population. Lockdown, seen as the tactic of a Chinese-like nanny state once upon a time, has become a refuge for the governments world over, much to the dismay of businesses and workers.

Twenty-months since the pandemic hit Europe, America, India, and other parts of the world, there is a prevailing reluctance to accept the virus as a part of our lives, even after a largely successful vaccination drive in the most populated countries, including India.

While the nightmares of the Delta variant continue to haunt policymakers across the globe, Omicron, the first variant of threat post the vaccination drive, is already frightening the governments. In some places, as many as six booster shots are being recommended, and it is only a matter of time before a daily shot is recommended with the morning coffee.

Will 2022 be the year when we finally decide to live with the Covid-19 virus, or will curfews, lockdowns, and other policy shenanigans from 2020 and 2021 continue to haunt us this year as well? This year will also impart more clarity on how the booster business shall work, and how vaccines will have to evolve with the threat and variants of the virus.

From here, the best case scenario is for the world to attain pre-pandemic lifestyles by the end of the year, or else, clearly, we are in for a long haul of economic uncertainties, and that will be far more difficult than the virus itself.

11. The Intricate Economics of Clean Energy Transition

The transition from fossil fuels to clean energy is dirty business, especially if one factors in the geopolitics and supply chain considerations around the rare earth metals that would be indispensable to the future of renewables.

As the world marvels over the development of electric vehicles, inculcation of solar energy in developing countries like India, and the employment of other sources of renewable energies, a bull run previously unheard of will be witnessed in the commodities sector.

Copper, Cobalt, Nickel, Lithium, Chromium, Zinc, Aluminium, and other rare earth metals will be deployed in varying permutations and combinations in manfacturing processes. For instance, Steel, Aluminium, Silver, Copper, and Polysilicon are essential to the production of solar panels while Lithium-ion batteries will mainly use Copper, Aluminium, Lithium, Cobalt, Nickel, and Manganese.

However, this brave new world of clean energy is susceptible to supply chain constraints. Post-2020, the price of solar panels has witnessed an upward trend due to polysilicon prices. Ironically, the world is counting on China to meet the growing demand for polysilicon. Similar trends in the prices of steel, a key raw material for wind turbines, is also hurting the prospects for growth.

The focus would be on Lithium, shortage of which is expected to last across 2022, and how it impacts the companies dealing in EVs. Couple this with the trade war between US and China and there lies the next big trade faultline after semiconductors.

12. Omicron, Oil, And OPEC

The growing threat of Omicron is a testament to the volatile future of oil prices and OPEC. While the pandemic inserted a new lease of life into an organisation that was beginning to come apart, the struggles for OPEC nations are far from over.

While the OPEC nations have cut production across 2021, how will they sustain this cooperation in the face of imminent pandemic disruptions and growing renewables remains to be seen.

On the other side, if the economy does go back to the pre-pandemic times, how oil prices might contribute to inflation across the world, as it did in the US in 2021, will also be important. For OPEC, the challenge would be balancing oversupply and stockpiles with soaring prices.

13. Honey, We Shrunk The Interest RatesToo Much

In December 2021, the serious people running the central banks across the world realised that they could no longer ignore inflation, and thus, what appeared to be a coordinated response from Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and central banks in Norway, Chile, Russia, Japan, amongst other countries was them hinting to push the rates up, with some even doing it.

In 2022, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve and the plausible virus variants, given the Fed has announced that it will hike the interest rate thrice. The tech stocks have already begun responding to the news of imminent rate cuts and one wonders if these are the ominous signs one was looking for a market too heated.

14. At Gods Mercy: The Freefall of Taliban And Pakistan

From fighting the very ideology that Taliban represents, most western states are now looking to negotiate with the new bosses of Afghanistan, even as citizens, especially women, are abused in the most heinous of ways. The country is without resources, people are without food, and children without a future, and yet, the west is slow to act.

A similar collapse, but at a far slower pace, is unfolding in Pakistan. Under Prime Minister Imran Khan, the currency has dropped 30 per cent in value against the dollar and is expected to continue its freefall. Inflation is beyond control even as people struggle for routine items. Even though elections are not due until 2023, will Imran Khans final act unfold in 2022?

15. Russian Roulette On The Cards?

After North Korea, Iran, and Taiwan, there is trouble brewing in the Balkans too. In the final weeks of 2021, Moscow has made it clear to its counterparts in the West that the NATO expansion cannot go on, demanded a curb on the infrastructure and installation of new weapon systems in areas that constitute former Soviet Territory, a stop on the military aid to Ukraine, and a complete ban on intermediate-range missiles in Europe.

While Vladimir Putin would not be reckless, or as is expected, to deploy a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine in 2022, time and diplomatic options for the West are running out. The year has begun with Russia installing more than 100,000 troops and heavy weaponry on the Ukrainian border. Also, would the US risk sanctioning Russia thus furthering its closeness with China?

16. Will A Possible Republican Resurgence Signal A Trump Comeback?

After India, it is the US that enjoys being in a perpetual election mode, but the Midterms this year are significant for two reasons. One, they could mark the comeback of Trump as Republicans look to strengthen their numbers in both the houses of Congress.

In America, the party in power tends to do very poorly in the first midterms, and in the last 100 years, the ruling party has picked up seats in the first midterm elections only in 1934, 1998, and 2002.

Two, the 2022 elections will be conducted after redistricting, and thus, the states traditionally voting red will displace the blue and vice-versa. Unlike India, redistricting is left to the states, and therefore, these midterms will only deepen the faultlines of an already fractured society. Bottom line, however, is that will Trump start gaining ground again this year for 2024?

17. To Be Or Not To Be In Beijing

Merely a month from now, Beijing will be hosting the 2022 Winter Olympics. However, the sporting event has already been politicised with some countries stating that while they will send their athletes, they would not send their government officials.

These include the United States, Australia, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Many human rights groups across the world are already using the event to demand accountability and answers from Beijing for its actions in Xinjiang, and more recently, in Hong Kong.

While China would look to use the event to further its posturing as the new global leader, especially for countries from Africa and South America, the focus would be a new diplomatic crisis may emerge further stressing the US-China relations.

18. Central Bank Digital Currencies: More Application, Less Theory

Beyond politics, the Beijing Olympics in February are important for one key reason. For the first time, a central bank digital currency (CBDC) would be tested for scale as China will distribute digital yuan to foreign visitors.

For a few years now, faced by the buoyant market for cryptocurrencies, policymakers across the world, including India, have been deliberating a digital currency issued directly by the central bank.

In India, a bill to ban cryptocurrency is also rumoured to include RBIs plan for a digital currency. The CBDCs could usher in the new age of banking with sector-specific monetary policies and credit expansion, a revamp of the traditional forms of banking, but most importantly, the supremacy of digital yuan across the world where China is heavily invested through the Belt and Road Initiative.

19. Will The World Graduate Towards More Resilient Supply Chains?

One of the biggest challenges to a recovering global economy last year (2021) was the sky-rocketing container rates. One, they were hard to find, and two, for the ones who did manage to find one, found it difficult to afford.

While the prices have cooled-off since the peak in September-October, they went 10 times higher than the pre-pandemic rates for a 40-foot container shipping from the West Coast in the US to China. The transit time between the two countries doubled between January 2020 and December 2021, from 30 to 60 days.

The problems are not restricted to the sea for companies will also look to diversify their supply chain in order to make them more resilient to shocks. Thus, for many developing economies, including India, a fortune awaits as the big corporations of the West hunt for a new home.

20. Will We Finally Get To See The Apple AR/VR Headset?

Apples tryst with a $3 trillion market cap is almost a certainty for 2022, but what beyond it? For the past year, the stock price of Apple has witnessed an upward trajectory as investors look forward to the rumoured Apple AR/VR headset. Touted to be the next big thing after the iPhone more than a decade ago, a successful AR/VR revolution from Apple could unleash an array of services, each going to become separate cash cows for the company.

Moreover, the company will look to challenge Facebook and Alphabet, also working on the metaverse phenomenon. Apples headset is rumoured to have a September launch, along with a new range of iPhones and other accessories.

21. NASA Will Gatecrash An Asteroid Party

The year 2022 will bring us many exciting new missions from space organisations across the world, but the most interesting one is NASAs DART or the Double Asteroid Redirection Test Mission. The mission will test a technique that has already been a part of many sci-fi stories, that of deflecting the trajectory of an asteroid by crashing a spacecraft into it, or what NASA calls it the kinetic impact technology.

The DART mission is not designed to destroy the asteroid but to deflect it from its original trajectory, in case it may hit the earth. The spacecraft will crash into an asteroid roughly 160 metres in size, bigger than the Pyramids at Giza, at a speed of 6.6 km/s, and the interception is predicted for September 2022. Assuming the mission is a success, this will change the way space organisations look at tackling asteroid threats from outer space.

22. The Streaming Business Is About To Get More Serious

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[Long Read] The Big Year: 22 Global Stories We Shall Be Chasing In 2022 - Swarajya

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TEACHER OF THE YEAR: Michelle Fisackerly reimagines the process of teaching History – The Vicksburg Post – Vicksburg Post

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This article is part of a series by The Vicksburg Post, in partnership with the Vicksburg-Warren County Chamber of Commerce, featuring each of the nominees for teacher of the year honors.

Michelle Fisackerly works to reinvent how she teaches her students history with other outlets. Fisackerly, a teacher at River City Early College, said she helps her students understand history by providing real experiences.

It makes teaching so much easier when you give your students something tangible to see and hear, Fisackerly said.

Fisaskerly is a finalist for the Vicksburg-Warren County Chamber of Commerces Educator of the Year award. The chamber will select and announce one elementary and one secondary teacher of the year at the chamber luncheon in February. The winner of each award will receive $1,000 from Ameristar Casino and the runner-up for each award will receive $500 from Mutual Credit Union.

Fisackerly began teaching in 2002 as a 5th-grade math teacher and 7th-grade science teacher at West Bolivar Middle School in Rosedale, Miss. In 2006, she began teaching at Vicksburg High School in U.S. history, world history, world geography, economics, and government. Starting in 2016, Fisaskerly began teaching at River City Early College for world history, U.S. history and leadership. She is also the sponsor of the Gaming Club and National Honor Society.

In 2001, Fisackerly received a Bachelor of Science in Education for elementary education at Delta State University. Then, in 2004, she received a Master of Education in social science education from Delta State University.

Showing them a virtual tour, having a special guest speaker or taking a field trip could flip a switch for them, Fiaskerly said in regard to her teaching strategy.

As stated in her Educator of the Year application, she builds these tangible connections by visiting the Civil Rights Museum during the days the Civil Rights Activists are giving tours, or meeting Silas House, author of Eli the Great, and having the chance to ask questions about the book.

It allows students to have an Aha moment, and they then can understand the topic so much better, she said.

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Martin Luther King, Jr.,s History Lessons – The New Yorker

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On March 25,1965, at the conclusion of the brutally consequential march from Selma to Montgomery, Martin Luther King,Jr., delivered a speech titled Our God Is Marching On! He spoke to a crowd of twenty-five thousand people on the grounds of the Alabama state capitol, in view of the office window of the segregationist governor George Wallace. The address is not among Kings best-known, but it is among the most revelatory. King argued that, in the decade since the bus boycotts in that city, a new movement had emerged and an older order was starting to fall away. Referring to the historian C.Vann Woodwards book The Strange Career of Jim Crow, King said that racial segregation had begun not simply as an expression of white supremacy but as a political stratagem employed by the emerging Bourbon interests in the South to keep the southern masses divided and southern labor the cheapest in the land. The so-called split-labor-market theory held that, by creating a hyper-exploited class of Black people, white lites could hold down the wages of white workers. And so racism didnt just injure Black people, its immediate object; it took a toll on white laborers, too.

The Montgomery speech is notable because it presages the interracial populism that became an increasingly prominent part of Kings thinking and organizing in his remaining years; its notable, too, because it highlights the extent to which his thought had always been informed by a study of American history. In his I Have a Dream speech, he had mentioned the ideas of interposition and nullification, which he attributed to Wallace, but which implicitly harked back to JohnC.Calhouns efforts to protect slavery. Kings final book, Where Do We Go from Here? (1967), rooted an argument for a universal basic income and general economic redistribution in the Homestead policies of the mid-nineteenth century. To an underappreciated extent, he related the nations contemporary concerns to a genealogy of past ones.

Such historical continuities stand to be lost in the mainstream American understanding. Legislation recently passed in eight statesa list that may expandseeks to restrict what students can be taught about our past, segregating laudatory and thereby permissible subjects in American history from a Jim Crow section in which the nations deepest shortcomings are hidden from view. These efforts come at a fraught moment. Last week, when President Joe Biden spoke to the nation from National Statuary Hall on the anniversary of the January 6th insurrection, he pointed out that the riot brought the Confederate flag into the halls of Congressa violation that had not occurred even during the Civil War.

The substance as well as the symbols of a divided era have been infiltrating our political spaces. In state after state, new laws are being written not to protect the vote but to deny it, not only to suppress the vote but to subvert it, the President observed. Kings speech at the Alabama capitol, it should be recalled, was given amid a fight for a voting-rights law. Stripping the right to vote from Black Southerners, King noted, laid the groundwork for laws that further disadvantaged poor people across racial lines. Then as now, Southern legislatures justified limiting the franchise with specious claims about electoral malfeasance.

The Selma campaign was marked by the particular brutality unleashed on the marchers; voting-rights activists (including the late representative John Lewis) were bludgeoned, and some were even killed. White Southerners who participated in this violence understood themselves to be acting defensively; the marchers, they believed, were the aggressors, whose actions left them no choice but to turn to violence. That sentiment will be familiar to anyone who has been observing recent events. A survey from the fall found that large numbers of Americans think the nations democracy is in trouble, but that the preponderance of those who consider it to be under major threat are Republicansthe party whose President incited the attack on the Capitol in the first place. Given the prevalence of disinformation and propaganda on social media and cable news, electoral mistrust among conservatives, and thus the prospect of democracy derailed by its defenders, is not a surprising development. But it is a deeply disquieting one.

President Bidens speech was an attempt to correct a false narrative taking hold on the right. The President criticized Donald Trump (without naming him) for creating a web of lies about the 2020 election. The word truth was used sixteen times. Yet purveyors of disinformation win simply by forcing their subjects to address their lies in public. Indeed, previous attempts to correct Trump-fuelled lies, not least Barack Obamas showing his birth certificate, in 2011, have not proved an effective remedy. And aggregated lies can congeal into a counterfeit history of their ownthe old Southern myths of the Lost Cause flutter the Confederate flags of today. As the Smithsonian curators Jon Grinspan and Peter Manseau argued in a chilling Times piece last week, it is not far-fetched to consider that Statuary Hall might one day feature a marble likeness of the QAnon Shaman, who, with his headdress of horns and fur, helped galvanize the January6th mob. A statue of Jefferson Davis, after all, has resided there since 1931.

This holiday honoring Martin Luther King, Jr., sees a nation embroiled in conflicts that would have looked numbingly familiar to him. As school curricula and online discourse threaten to narrow our understanding of both past and future, its more important than ever to take stock of our history and its consequences, as King did in his speech more than half a century ago. In Montgomery, the civil-rights leader spoke of the intransigent optimism that had led activists to fight for change, in the face of skepticism about what could actually be achieved. President Biden struck a similar note in his Statuary Hall speech. For those who believe in democracy, he said, anything is possibleanything. This is true, as the events of both March25,1965, and January6,2021, established. Anything is possible right now, and that is as much cause for hope as it is for grave concern.

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This week in history Jan. 7, 1922: More skiing and mining, less money spent at the movies – Summit Daily

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This week in history as reported by The Summit County Journal the week of Jan. 7, 1922:

A rich strike of silver ore that should assay about 1,700 ounces of silver to the ton was made at Kokomo this week on the Silver Queen Mine, operated by the Kokomo-Recen Mining and Dredging Corp.

The high-grade streak was encountered on a lower level of the property in a corresponding position in the vein with a rich streak that was taken out in the upper level. The Silver Queen has been a steady operator in the Kokomo district since it was leased to the new corporation.

Summit County Commissioner Henry A. Recen is one of the important stockholders of the new corporation, as is also his brother Albert Recen.

The ski course on Shock Hill has been put in fine shape, and many of the ski enthusiasts have already taken advantage of the last heavy fall of snow.

Much work had been done on this course the past year, and this winter should prove the fact that this new course will equal any in the district.

On Jan. 1, a change in the revenue law took off the war tax on all admissions of 10 cents and under. This will allow the Eclipse Theatre to reduce the admission of children under 12 to 10 cents.

There is no change in adult admission taxes, so the theater will make all adult admission 25 cents in the future, or 30 cents including the war tax.

An exceptional program will be offered to patrons Sunday. One of Goldwyns special productions, titled The Stronger Vow, will be shown, with Geraldine Farrar as the lead.

The swimming pool at the auditorium was formally opened to the public Tuesday evening. This was mens night, and it likely will be very popular as there were 28 eager swimmers in attendance.

Some of those who attended were not as apt as others, but all were willing to learn. From the enthusiasm shown, they will soon become very adept at this sport.

Thermometers registering around 30 below zero were not uncommon this week. On both Thursday and Friday nights, temperatures ranged from 24 to 30 degrees below zero.

On Thursday night a stiff breeze was blowing, making it appear to be much colder than last evening, which was quiet.

Compared with other counties in the state, Summit held its own position. For gold sent to the mint, it ranked second in the state, only being surpassed by San Miguel County, the production from this county being from large mills, treating enormous tonnages from low-grade mines.

Summit Countys production for last year was all from mines that were working only on a small scale and mostly from leasers. Large producers such as the Wellington Mine made no shipments during the year. The large gold production recorded at the mint came mainly from the regular shipments of gold bricks by the dredging companies, who managed to keep working most of the year.

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This week in history Jan. 7, 1922: More skiing and mining, less money spent at the movies - Summit Daily

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On This Day in Yonkers History… – Yonkers Times

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TV star, and Yonkers resident, Morey Amsterdam, right, on the Dick Van Dyke Show

By Mary Hoar, President Emerita, Yonkers Historical Society, recipient of the 2004 Key to History, President Untermyer Performing Arts Council

Monday, January 10thJanuary 10, 1938: The frantic barking of Doc, an English Spaniel owned by Reverend William Hicks of St. Andrews Episcopal Church, saved not only the clergymans life, but his wife! Doc, sleeping in the kitchen, started barking frantically about 1 am. When Hicks went down to see what the problem was, he found flames and fumes pouring out of the refrigerator, with the wall behind the appliance ablaze!

January 10, 1944: Nepperhan Avenues Corporal Leo Biegay, a mechanic in the First Army Field Artillery, was bombed with propaganda pamphlets while serving overseas. He sent samples to his sister Mrs. Lewis Morrison so she would have an idea of what the Germans were trying to say. The five pamphlets made some interesting statements, such as Although you had victories in France, your leaders know you will be slaughtered in Germany and still send you forward, You are dying for Britain, and your leaders are already involving you in a Third World War. Biegay told his sister no one took them seriously.

Tuesday, January 11thJanuary 11, 1938: NYS Supreme Court Justice Marsh Taylor declared Francis Heafy to be the legally elected City Clerk, succeeding William McCabe. Democrat McCabe had refused to acknowledge Mr. Heafys election by the new Republican majority on the Common Council.

January 11, 1955: The Yonkers General Hospital Womens Auxiliary inaugurated a new service; they photographed each newborn! Of course, copies of the photographs, taken for identification and record purposes, were given to the babies parents.

Wednesday, January 12thJanuary 12, 1943: Two thousand-eight hundred-fifty helmets finally arrived for the Yonkers civilian protection forces; this was four months after the Yonkers War Council was told they were on the way.

January 12, 1950: Yonkers held its second water holiday, dubbed Thirstday Thursday, to try to cut down and conserve our dwindling water supply. Our city was very successful and matched the success reached Dry Friday, the first water holiday shortly before Christmas.

Thursday January 13thJanuary 13, 1938: Mayor Joseph Loehr vetoed the city budget passed by the Republican majority in the Common Council, stating the were deliberately endangering the life, health and property of Yonkers citizens by cutting more than $800,000 out of his 1938 city budget. He then summoned the Aldermen to a special session at 11 am on January 15th, stating a default now exists with respect to the adoption of an annual estimate required by Section 75 of the Second Class Cities Law; it had been more than 90 days since Loehr sent the budget to the Council. Republicans claimed Loehr did not have veto power on a budget estimate. Especially in question were raises granted to city workers the mayor had included in his budget.

Friday, January 14th:January 14, 1911: Well known Yonkers baseball star Dave Fultz was signed to a second year as Coach of the Columbia University Baseball Team. During Fultzs first year at Columbia, the team had its best season in more than ten years.

January 14, 1931: Supreme Court Justice Joseph Morschauser announced he would inspect the flume built by the City of Yonkers to change the course of the Nepperhan River. Former Mayor Wallin asked for an injunction on behalf of Peenes Wharf Corporation; the company alleged $150,000 damage was done to their waterfront holdings. According to the filing, debris from the flume blocked one side of the companys dock.

January 14, 1952: Pianist Toba Brill of Edgecliff Terrace performed at Carnegie Hall with the National Orchestral Association. A child prodigy, she made her debut at Town Hall at the age of 14.

Saturday, January 15thJanuary 15, 1938: Assured by lawyers Mayor Loehr had exceeded his legal power by vetoing the Common Councils slashed 1938 budget, the seven Republican Alderman on the Common Council did not attend the special session called by the Mayor. It was expected the GOP coup would end up in court to force adoption of the original budget. Because of the unpassed budget, 2,000 city employees received their first 1938 paychecks with the raises Republicans cut out of their revised budget.

January 15, 1953: Television, radio and stage star and Yonkers resident Morey Amsterdam appeared at the Commanders Dinner of the Second Battalion, Auxiliary Police Corps, held at the American Legions Bregano Post on Crescent Place.

January 15, 1955: Otis Elevator Companys President L. A. Petersen held a meeting for all employees and their wives at Brandts Theater on South Broadway. He discussed the conditions management needed to keeping operations in Yonkers. Although claiming no decision to move had been made, he clearly stated the company could not remain in Yonkers unless costs were cut, while dangling the possibility of a mid-Western plant as the alternative.

Sunday, January 16thJanuary 16, 1915: After Vaudeville comedian Gus Williams of Waring Place met with his New York booking agent, he sent his sister-in-law a telegraph from theGetty SquareTrain Station, asking her to tend his wife Emma. After leaving the telegraph office Williams pulled out a pistol and shot himself. There was no suicide note, leaving family and friends to speculate why he ended his life; they assumed health issues and career concerns might be the reason. Besides being a nationally known entertainer, he had served in the Civil War, was active in the GAR Kitching Post No. 60, and frequently performed at Yonkers organization fundraisers.

January 16, 1947: Sixteen-year-old Doris Wish was installed as Secretary of the Treasury of the worlds smallest republic, the George Junior Republic. The first youth community in the country, it was established by William George in 1909; it had a constitution, legislative body and judiciary. Still in existence, George Junior Republic now is focused on helping at-risk youth become responsible, well-adjusted and successful adults.

Questions or comments? Email YonkersHistory1646@gmail.com.For information on the Yonkers Historical Society, Sherwood House and upcoming events, please visit our website http://www.yonkershistoricalsociety.org, call 914-961-8940 or email yhsociety@aol.com.

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NYC Apartment Fire One of Worst in History – NBC New York

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A horrifying apartment fire in the Bronx left 19 dead, including nine children, on Sunday, with dozens more injured.

Mayor Eric Adams said Sunday's blaze was the city's worst fire disaster since the infamous Happy Land arson in 1990, and the initial death toll confirms it will be recorded among the city's deadliest fires ever.

This is a look at some of the worst New York City fires of the last few decades.

A 58-year-old woman, her 7-month-old granddaughter, a mother and her 2- and 7-year-old daughters were among the 13 people who died when afast-moving fire caused by a child playing with a stove engulfed their Bronx apartment buildingin a matter of minutes just days after Christmas in 2017.

Authorities said the flames broke out on the first floor of the building and quickly spread up through the five-story, 25-unit structure. Authorities said Friday that asmall child playing with a stove in his first-floor kitchen appears to have sparked the blaze, which was the city's deadliest residential fire in decades.

UNITED STATES - MARCH 08: Firefighters tend to victims of three-alarm fire in apartment blaze at 1022 Woddycreast Ave., near W. 165th St. in High Bridge, the Bronx. The fire killed eight children and seriously injured 14 other people. (Photo by Ken Murray/NY Daily News Archive via Getty Images)

A fire believed to have been caused by a space heater kills 10 people, most of them children, wiping out at least one entire family.

At the time, it was the city's deadliest fire since the Happyland disaster.

In this 1990 file photo, news crews report on an arson fire at the Happy Land social club in which 87 people perished, in the Bronx borough of New York. March 25, 2015, marks the quarter-century anniversary of what was then the biggest mass murder in modern U.S. history. (AP Photo)

On March 25, 1990, a Cuban refugee named Julio Gonzalez tried to win back the woman who had spurned him.

Gonzalez entered the Happy Land social club in the Bronx, which was humming with people mostly immigrants partying and dancing. His former live-in girlfriend, Lydia Feliciano, was checking coats, and they had a virulent argument. Gonzalez was thrown out.

In a rage, he returned just after 3 a.m., splashing gasoline on Happy Land's only guest exit and lighting two matches. Then he pulled down the metal front gate.

Within minutes, 87 people were dead.

UNITED STATES - OCTOBER 24: Firemen carry bodies after Club Puerto Rican fire. (Photo by Thomas Monaster/NY Daily News Archive via Getty Images)

25 people are killed in an arson fire at the Puerto Rican Social Club in the Bronx. Authorities later said the fire was set by an angry clubgoer's spouse.

New York, N.Y.: Overview of New York City firemen standing waiting on October 18, 1966 as the search for victims continued in a fire and building collapse on Broadway between 22nd and 23rd Street in Manhattan. The disaster killed 12 firemen, 7 of them from Long Island. (Photo by Marvin Sussman/Newsday RM via Getty Images)

Some 12 FDNY firefighters are killed after a floor collapse while battling a blaze in Manhattan in Oct. 1966. It remained the deadliest day in the FDNY's history until the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

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