Daily Archives: December 25, 2021

Here are my favorite player props on DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday and Sundays Week 16 NFL action. For updates, be sure to check back here and find me on Twitter @Nick_Friar.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

The Cardinals arent exactly coming off their best showing of the season, and their defense hasnt been trending in the right direction. Jared Goff went 21-for-26 and threw for three touchdowns in Detroits big-time upset. But now the Cardinals will face a quarterback who threw a pick on only 12 attempts in Week 15.

Unless Arizonas offense sputters again, Carson Wentz should have to throw a little more than he did against New England. The more he throws, the more I like the team thats forced 12 interceptions in 14 games to force No. 13 on Saturday. Even though hes only been picked off six times this season, Wentz hasnt been accurate this season. His 62.7% completion percentage ranks 26th in the NFL.

In case you werent aware, the Jets arent good. Whatever angle you want to examine their defense from, its not going to be pretty. For example, the Jets have put up terrible numbers against running backs.

The Jets have given up 21 rushing touchdowns and four receiving touchdowns to running backs this season. Opposing backs have logged a rushing touchdown in 11 of 14 games vs. the Jets, six of those games resulting in multiple rushing TD performances from opposing backfields. Also, in one of those three games without a rushing touchdown, Dolphins running back Myles Gaskin logged a receiving TD vs. the Jets.

Point is, running backs get it done vs. New York. And with Robinson out from under Urban Meyers thumb, the Jacksonville RB wont run short on opportunities to make some noise.

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NFL Picks & Predictions: Football Player Prop Bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for Week 16 - DraftKings Nation

If 64-year-old New Jersey man Kevin LaRose wasnt a fan of the Wyoming Cowboys mens basketball team prior to last Saturday, he certainly is now.

A longtime sports bettor who has worked in construction for about 20 years, LaRose had already wrapped up the first 24 legs of a massive 25-leg parlay he placed at Caesars Sportsbook on December 11 as Wyomings game against the Utah Valley Wolverines was coming to a close.

In order for the parlay to hit and the $25 bet that LaRose placed on the Caesars app to turn into a $237,553.11 win, Wyoming needed to beat Utah Valley by more than eight points. To the delight of LaRose and his wife of 37 years, the Cowboys knocked off the Wolverines by 12.

I took a picture of the Caesars Sportsbook screen that congratulated me for winning $237,000 and change, he said. It was awesome, I popped open a bottle of wine and we stayed up until like 4:30 in the morning.

Though he will place other bets at Caesars, LaRoses favorite type of sportsbook wager is the parlay and hell usually place more than one after doing an hour or so of research to sort out his picks.

I usually try to put in one giant parlay whenever theres enough games to choose from, LaRose said. I like college basketball, theres a lot of games you can choose from on Saturdays. I wanted to get to 25 games for this parlay, and I needed a couple more so I checked out the NBA. I dont really bet the NBA that much, but I saw those teams and I felt they had a good shot at pulling off the wins.

On the Saturday that he won his extraordinary parlay, LaRose had two others bust earlier in the day and was barely able to squeeze in his winning slate of games.

So just how historic was LaRoses parlay? asks Caesars. There have been 112 25-leg parlays that have cashed at Caesars Sportsbook. The highest winning amount on the previous 111? $3,400. Because LaRose threw in 10 spread bets with -110 juice on his parlay compared to just putting in huge moneyline favorites and laying heavier numbers, his $237,553.11 winnings was substantially higher than the others.

Well played.

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New Jersey Man Turns $25 Bet Into $237,000 Win by Hitting All 25 Legs of Massive Parlay - InsideHook

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NFL Week 15 drags on with a rare Tuesday slate that consists of multiple games. Lets dig into some odds on DraftKings Sportsbook!

These TNF and MNF articles will always list out some of my favorite plays to consider. For my full card, including any bets I lock in from primetime games, make sure to check out my NFL Best Bets article. For updates, always follow along on Twitter @julianedlow.

Tracking these COVID games that change dates are a lot of work. They were moved for a reason with so many people ruled out, and then we have to figure out whos able to return for the game on the new date and who isnt.

The Eagles seem to be relatively healthy here at home in a massive game for playoff implications with Washington. The Football Team is getting the short end of the stick here, potentially playing without their top-two quarterbacks. Once we can confirm Garrett Gilbert will be the QB for Washington, thats the time I want to lock this one in. The Eagles should control the game on the ground, and asking Gilbert to go out and win a divisional road game in December seems like a tall order.

In the other game, at first it was the Rams hit hardest with COVID. But now key names like Odell Beckham Jr. and Jalen Ramsey are off the list. Seattle has had some key names like Tyler Lockett go on the list, and now the Seahawks are probably in the tougher spot here. After a terrific performance from the Rams on defense on MNF, I think theyll be able to control this game at home and do enough on offense to earn the win.

Favorites have done pretty well in these postponed COVID games, dating back through last season. We saw two road favorites get wins on Monday, and I like the chances even more with these two large home favorites.

This number feels extremely modest for Hurts on the ground. Hes gone over this number in seven in a row (six if the number eclipses 44), and has gone over in 10 of 12 games this season (nine if the number eclipses 44).

Hurts is averaging 62.7 rushing yards over his last seven games, and Washington ranks in the bottom-10 in the NFL in rushing yards allowed to opposing QBs. While Hurts is returning from an ankle injury, it kept him out just one game to get rest around the bye. He hasnt seen the field since November 28, so he should be pretty fresh. This is a must-win game, so no reason to hold anything back. Hurts should be aggressive to take yards on the ground.

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All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.

The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).

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NFL Week 15 Tuesday Best Bets: Washington Football Team vs. Eagles and Seahawks vs. Rams Picks, Predictions, - DraftKings Nation

JB Smoove and Caesars get our nod as the best sportsbook ad of 2021.

Raise your hand if you didnt see a sportsbook commercial this year.

That was a trick question. We all saw sportsbook commercials in 2021. Not once, not twice, but many, many times.

Most commercials are annoying. Which is why a great commercial is so enjoyable. Its like having a fun visit to the dentist; like discovering a Dane Cook joke thats actually funny; like finding a good-tasting fruitcake.

Here are our choices for the five best sportsbook or sports betting commercials from 2021.

The biggest winner of 2021 was Caesars with its campaign featuring comedians JB Smoove and Patton Oswalt. These spots have the feel of improv, which is appropriate since both Smoove and Oswalt have a reputation for improvisation in their work.

Oswalts nerdy, obsessive rants are reminiscent of his iconic filibuster performance on Parks & Recreation, when he breathlessly ad-libbed several minutes of Star Wars geekiness.

Smoove is brilliant as always with his self-assured, over the top bravado and command of the language, as he shows us how a benevolent Caesar may have acted. The former Def Comedy Jam member and Emmy-nominated actor is cool enough and funny enough to draw your eyes and ears to his every move. Thats the perfect recipe for a great commercial.

Kudos to BetMGM for securing Jamie Foxx, a true Hollywood superstar for its signature branding campaign. Foxx has a presence and personal stature that sells the King of Sportsbooks message. This is the best of the many advertisements featuring the Oscar-winning actor. I especially like his legit right-handed home run swing. The EPS (Explosions Per Second) are off the charts in this one.

We can debate how clever the phrase Live Your Bet Life is, but these PointsBet commercials are pretty solid. This series is hosted by Drew Brees, who finds himself with a group of pals celebrating parlay and prop bet wins, etc.

You cant go wrong with Zubaz, which make a brief appearance in this quick-cut montage style advert from FanDuel. No stars, no fireworks, no comedians, just a series of images to get you excited about the thrills of sports betting and big moments.

Truth is, we could have had three or four Caesars commercials that feature JB Smoove in our rankings. Thats how good this series has been. Look at it this way: PointsBet had an entire series of adverts with Shaquille ONeal. They were pretty amusing, and sometimes clever. But they look way under 7-feet tall compared to the giant success of the Smoove commercials from Caesars. Thats how good these spots are.

In this one, titled The Press Conference, we get Smoove again as Caesar, with his lovely Cleopatra sidekick played by Halle Berry, and special appearances by four Mannings: Archie, Peyton, Eli, and Cooper. Its the non-football star Cooper who steals this commercial, with his weird facial expressions and perfect giggle from the backrow.

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Ranking The Best Sportsbook Commercials Of 2021 - GamingTodaySlotsToday

The Boston Celtics (16-16) head to the Cream City for a Christmas day game against the Milwaukee Bucks (21-13) at the Fiserv Forum. The tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Celtics vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Boston has alternated between winning and losing over the last six games with the most recent being a 111-101 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 6.5-point home favorites.

The Celtics are 3-3 straight-up (SU), 3-2-1 ATS and 2-4 O/U over the past two weeks with the 12th-ranked non-garbage time net rating (plus-0.3 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Milwaukee has won back-to-back games over the Houston Rockets 128-106 Wednesday and at the Dallas Mavericks 102-95 Thursday.

The Bucks are 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS and 3-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the 11th-best non-garbage time net rating (plus-2.3 points per 100 possessions), per CTG.

Boston won and covered its first two meetings of the season with Milwaukee, and either side of the total cashed in those two contests. The most recent was a Celtics 117-103 beatdown (Dec. 13) when both teams were at full health.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8 p.m. ET.

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Celtics

Bucks

Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Lets make this interesting. Bet now!

Celtics 115, Bucks 109

Milwaukee received positive news Christmas Eve when it was announced Giannis would be a game-time decision after clearing the health and safety protocols.

Boston has played much better this season against top-10 teams in net rating. For instance, the Celtics are seventh in non-garbage time net rating (minus-1.3 points per 100 possessions) and 10th in spread differential (minus-0.5 ATS margin) vs. teams top-10 in efficiency differential (CTG).

Whereas the Bucks are 22nd in non-garbage time net rating (minus-6.8 points per 100 possessions) and the second-worst in spread differential (minus-7.5 ATS margin), per CTG.

Also, this could be the one day on the whole NBA calendar thats popular for money line parlays. So I could see the sportsbooks needing the Celtics to pull off an upset to bust a bunch of money line parlays, which include the Bucks and other big Christmas day favorites.

In fact, according to the Yahoo! Sports app, 92% of the cash is on Milwaukees money line at the time of publishing. Id guess that most of the people betting the Bucks (-205) are doing so with it parlayed with another favorite.

SlightLEANto the CELTICS (+230) because I like Boston plus the points and want to sprinkle on the underdogs money line.

DefinitelyBETtheCELTICS +6.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of Bostons money line.

But, Id wait closer till tip-off before making the wager. because if Giannis gets ruled in then Milwaukee could easily balloon up to a 7-point favorite. Obviously, thats a tough ask on Christmas day but thats the nature of the business.

Plus the Celtics are one of the few teams equipped to face the Bucks double-headed wing monster in Giannis and Khris Middleton. Boston All-StarsJayson TatumandJaylen Brownare a legit one-two punch that has the talent to neutralize Giannis and Middleton.

Furthermore, both teams play a high frequency of isolation offense: Boston runs the second-most action out of isolation and Milwaukee runs the fourth-most. But, the Celtics rank higher in offensive efficiency out of isolation plays and the Bucks have the fourth-worst defensive efficiency vs. iso-ball.

LEANto theOVER 220.5 (-110) for a small wager, if at all, because I much prefer the Boston side more than the total in this game.

However, the first Celtics-Bucks meeting this season snapped a six-game streak of Overs played between these two teams. And the total only went Under by 3 points.

Lastly, according to Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app, vastly more money has been wagered on the Under, which has caused the total to be lowered from the 234.5-point opening total. My instinct is to fade such a large line swing.

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Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction - USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire

If youre celebrating the holidays with eggnog and some NFL football, make sure to add a few hundred bucks courtesy of BetMGM. There are two games on today, and theyre both great ones: the Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers and then the Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals.

This promo from BetMGM is as free money as it gets: Bet $10 on any NFL moneyline today (or this week), and youll get $200 in your account if that team has at least one passing yard. Kyler, Baker, Rodgers, Wentz take your pick of team and QB, and you should be counting the money quite soon.

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MGM has been a famous brand for decades, but youve probably started to hear about them more in the online betting space. They have a casino on the strip in Las Vegas, and theyve launched their mobile, online sportsbook in 10+ states over the last few years.

Theyve consistently been a favorite of users around the country thanks to their fair odds, great app and website, and awesome new user offers, like the ones youll find here. These are no-brainer offers, which means theyre essentially giving you $200 plus to start your account. Not bad at all.

Heres how this one works (there are more below, too): Simply click on a link on this page, sign up, deposit, and bet $10 on any NFL team this week. At that point, youve claimed your new user bonus, and youll get credited $200 if the team you bet on has a single passing yard. Something tells me every single team is going accomplish that extremely easy feat.

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Seeing Charlie Woods play with his father, Tiger, at this weekends PNC Championship had at least some bettors asking: When can I get in on this action?

Anyone wanting to jump the market and get money down on 12-year-old Charlie to win the Masters some day will have to wait. At least in the United States.

Only one sportsbook in one state FanDuel in Connecticut got approval to offer odds on the PNC Tournament, which featured 20 golf champions paired in a scramble with a family member. FanDuel Spokesman Kevin Hennessy said the company ultimately decided to pass on offering betting due to the optics of betting on minors. As for betting on Charlie?

No gaming commission would allow us and we wouldnt offer it due to the fact that he is not a professional, Hennessy said.

Outside of the U.S., these types of bets are popular. In 2004, Ladbrokes offered Rory McIlroys father, Gerry, 500/1 odds on his son to win The Open Championship.

Gerry cashed in to the tune of winning more than $340,000.

Ladbrokes is offering odds on Woods to win a major before the age of 30, but the odds areinsanely short at +1000 (bet $100, profit $1000).

The interest comes after Charlie shined once again next to his dad as the two finished second in the tournament. Charlie took advantage of the platform, hitting remarkable shots throughout. But 10-1 odds on a 12-year-old to win a major in the next 18 years isnt a bet anyone would recommend. In his most recent junior tournament competing against 11-to-13 year olds, Charlie finished 8th out of 14 participants in the South Florida Fall Junior Open.

Ladbrokes says it receives thousands of requests each year, so much so that they offer fixed long-term odds of 1000-1 for any child under the age of six to play for England and 500-1 to play in the Premier League.

The grandfather of Harry Wilson made himself $165,000 doing just that. When Harry was 18 months old, Wilsons grandfather bet $65 on Wilson to one day play international soccer at 2500-1 odds. Wilson became the youngest player for Wales in 2013.

The overseas betting on future events isnt just limited to child stars.

In April 1964, a London man was given 1000-1 odds by William Hill that a man should land on the moon by Dec. 31, 1969. When they did in the summer of 1969, David Threlfell won $24,000.

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Charlie Woods Major Odds Listed at European Sportsbook - The Action Network

After an error filled loss last week to the Colts that surely left Bill Belichick in a sour mood, more than usual, the New England Patriots are back home this week for a rematch with the Buffalo Bills that could determine the AFC East title.

The last time these two teams met, back in Week 13, the Patriots held the Bills to just 230 yards of offense on the way to a 14-10 win for New England. The Patriots only put up 241 yards in that one, 222 of those on the ground as they dominated the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. The Colts snapped their two-game skid with a win over the Panthers last week, but beating the Patriots will be a much taller order. Kickoff for this one is at 1:00 p.m. on Sunday.

Here, well take a look at our picks for best bets for the Bills-Patriots matchup in Week 16 of the NFL season. Odds come via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Spread: Patriots -2.5Point total: 43.5Moneyline: Bills +115, Patriots -135

Pick against the spread: Patriots -2.5

The Bills have failed to cover in six of their last nine games. With the AFC East title on the line and the Patriots coming off a mistake-plagued loss to the Colts last week, this feels like one of those games where Bill Belichick will have things wired pretty tight.

Over/under: Under 43.5

The last time these two teams played there were a total of 24 points on the board when it ended. The Patriots put a cap on Buffalos offense in that one, controlling the line of scrimmage. Expect a similar playbook this week.

Preferred player prop: Josh Allen under 246.5 passing yards (-115)

You have to go all the way back to Week 6 for the last time the Patriots allowed an opponent to pass for more than 247 yards. Even in last weeks loss, the Colts managed less than 300 total yards and just 49 on the ground.

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Bills vs. Patriots predictions: Picks, best bets for Week 16 NFL matchup - DraftKings Nation

Sports bettors are faced with a challenging question this season. Do they bet early in the lookahead market to get the best of the number or bet later in the week when all the COVID-19 dust has settled? Both options have inherent flaws, so any handicap must be based on sound information. Bettors also have to stay abreast of the leagues COVID-19 protocols along with the requirements for players to test out. If youre wondering why this is important, its because this Lions-Falcons game is wrought with COVID-19 implications.

On Monday, Detroit added starting quarterback Jared Goff to the reserve/COVID-19 list. Goff can still play on Sunday if he can produce a negative test before Sunday. However, things are now at a point that bookmakers are still putting up lines even amidst the uncertainty.

Atlanta is as high as a six-point favorite, but this line likely reflects Goff being out. The reality is that the NFL recently relaxed the requirements for players to return to action from COVID-19. As a result, the odds for teams to get their players back sooner are better, yet its not accounted for in the point spread. This makes the favorite in this spot a bit overvalued.

If we look at the total, which is now as low as 42, bookmakers are projecting a lower-scoring game. That makes each point even more valuable in the game, and in this spot, youre better off having the extra points in your pocket with the underdog.

Lastly, laying six points with Matt Ryan has been a losing proposition of late. In his past 20 games in this spot, Ryan is 6-14 for -7.97 units.

Take the points with the Lions on the road.

All NFL predictions and picks are courtesy of SportsGrid.

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Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds, Trends and Picks for NFL Week 16 on FanDuel Sportsbook - NESN.com