Daily Archives: December 23, 2021

Meatless meat, Web 3.0 and Big Tech battles: Tech trends we look forward to in 2022 – The Daily Star

Posted: December 23, 2021 at 10:32 pm

After a year that made the terms WFH (work from home) and metaverse instantly recognisable for many people, there are a new set of technological trends headed this way for 2022. Here's a selection of how technology may change lives in the coming year:

Meatless meat

Meat alternatives have become common in an increasing number of US households, thanks in part to Beyond Meat and Impossible Food plant-based products that come far closer to the texture and flavour of red meat. As the products have improved and the prices edged downward, demand has been boosted by concern about the environment: raising animals for food is responsible for a whopping 14.5 per cent of human-linked greenhouse gas emissions, according to UN data. The global market for plant-based meats is expected to be worth $35 billion in 2027 -- up from $13.5 billion in 2020, thanks in part to expansion beyond the United States, according to a report from Research and Markets.

"2022 will be the crowning year of food made from plant-based proteins," said David Bchiri, president of US consulting firm Fabernovel. "The products are mature and good. They're going to become mainstream."

Web 3.0 and crypto

The internet's first phase was the creation of websites and blogs, which allowed the emergence of companies like Yahoo, eBay, or Amazon. The next iteration was Web 2.0, defined by social media and user-generated content on sites like Facebook and YouTube.These platforms "get the money and control it, they let you on their platform," summarised Benedict Evans, an independent analyst specializing in Silicon Valley. So, is Web 3.0 coming? In this iteration, "users, creators and developers would have stakes and votes" in a platform in much the way cooperative works,

Evans said on his "Another Podcast."Such a revolutionary step could be made possible by blockchain technology, where computer programs run on networks of thousands or millions of computers. So far, blockchain has enabled the rise of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, and more recently, the unique digital objects such as drawings or animations called NFTs. "We talk a lot about decentralized finance, but I think that in 2022 we will see more localized use cases, which will enter everyday life," said Bchiri of consulting firm Fabernovel.

As highly-volatile digital monies like bitcoin have hit record high values in 2021, a huge range of players has gotten into the game including versions launched by the cities of Miami and New York.

Ransomware, everywhere

The spike toward record ransomware attacks and data leaks in 2021 looks likely to spill over into the coming year. Cyber-extortion heists break into a victim's network to encrypt data, then demand a ransom, typically paid via cryptocurrency in exchange to unlock it. A confluence of factors has fueled the trend, including the booming value of cryptocurrencies, victims' willingness to pay and the difficulty authorities have in catching attackers. Cybersecurity company SonicWall wrote in late October: "With 495 million ransomware attacks logged by the company this year to date, 2021 will be the most costly and dangerous year on record. "

"When I think about 2022, the thing that's top of mind for me and for my colleagues continues to be ransomware. It's simply too lucrative," wrote Sandra Joyce, executive vice president and head of global intelligence at cybersecurity firm Mandiant.

Big Tech regulation?

It's difficult to say if 2022 is the year Big Tech will finally be hit with significant new rules, but a series of regulatory and legal threats launched in 2021 will provoke major battles. In the United States, the Federal Trade Commission's antitrust lawsuit against Facebook represents a genuine threat to the social media giant, though a court has already dismissed the case once. More lawsuits and a federal investigation -- and maybe even finally new laws -- are possible in the wake of the damning whistleblower leaks showing Facebook executives knew its sites could cause harm. Some critics say the firm's major push into realizing the metaverse -- a virtual reality version of the internet -- is an effort to change the subject after years of criticism.

Apple dodged a bullet in 2021 when a US federal court said Fortnite maker Epic Games failed to show the iPhone giant held an illegal monopoly, but the firm was still ordered to loosen control over its App Store. Both sides have appealed. New regulations may come sooner in the EU as it pushes through new laws, such as the Digital Services Act which would create much stricter oversight of harmful and illegal content on platforms like Facebook.

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Biden’s big bill is dead. What tech provisions might live on? – Politico

Posted: at 10:32 pm

With help from Rebecca Kern, John Hendel and Mark Scott

PROGRAMMING NOTE: Morning Tech wont publish from Friday, Dec. 24-Friday, Dec. 31. Well be back on our normal schedule on Monday, Jan. 3.

Editors Note: Morning Tech is a free version of POLITICO Pro Technology's morning newsletter, which is delivered to our subscribers each morning at 6 a.m. The POLITICO Pro platform combines the news you need with tools you can use to take action on the days biggest stories. Act on the news with POLITICO Pro.

Life after BBB: Here are the tech and telecom provisions that could survive the wreckage of the Build Back Better Act, congressional aides told us amid Sundays chaos.

Looking to the new year: The digital ads industrys major trade group wants to get more vocal, and has hired an Amazon public policy executive to help.

Amazons ties to FBI and DOJ: The e-commerce giant has increasingly tipped off the Justice Department to investigate alleged fraud by the sellers using its platform and even Amazons own employees.

HAPPY MONDAY AND WELCOME TO MORNING TECH! Im your guest host, Emily Birnbaum. Ill be filling in during this unexpectedly busy week drop me a line if theres something you think we should cover before Christmas!

You can reach out via @birnbaum_e or [emailprotected]. Got an event for our calendar? Send details to [emailprotected]. Anything else? Team info below. And dont forget: Add @MorningTech and @PoliticoPro on Twitter.

A message from Save Our Standards:

Technical standards like 5G and Wi-Fi have the power to transform industries, fuel the economy, and create high-quality jobs. But that only happens if owners of patents essential to standards honor their commitments to license all innovators to use those patents on fair and reasonable terms. A new draft Administration statement restores the balance vital to standards adoption and job creation. Support the Administration to promote American manufacturing and limit product bans on standard-essential patents.

WHATS LEFT FOR TECH Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) stunned the White House and sent many in Washington scrambling on Sunday by crushing Democrats chances of passing the House version of President Joe Bidens massive social spending bill. Now Senate Democrats are scheming about what elements might survive if they can assemble a more Manchin-friendly bill. Among the possibilities for the bills tech provisions:

FTCs new privacy bureau: Democrats are hopeful they can still use a pared-down legislative package to provide $500 million for creating an Federal Trade Commission data privacy bureau, one senior aide told MT on Sunday.

Though some Republicans have warned against an expansion of the agencys authority especially under Bidens FTC chair, Lina Khan lawmakers have shown some bipartisan interest in firming up the FTCs ability to respond to concerns like data breaches and tech companies privacy practices. Manchin has not weighed in publicly on the issue, but he has previously supported privacy legislation.

$1 billion for antitrust enforcement: The BBB called for splitting an influx of antitrust funding evenly between the Justice Department and the FTC. Both agencies are cash-strapped but are pursuing major cases against Google and Facebook, with suits against Apple and Amazon under consideration.

Another senior Democratic aide told MT on Sunday that its very likely that upcoming packages including the U.S. Innovation and Competition Act, which has passed the Senate and passed out of committee in the House will include additional funds for the agencies, though that figure may not be $1 billion.

FTC penalty authority: The commission has long sought the ability to fine companies that deceive consumers by lying about their privacy or data security practices. A provision granting this authority was tucked into the House bill, though the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and top Republicans like Sen. Roger Wicker of Mississippi oppose it. Its unlikely that the civil penalty authority will make it through any future vehicle amid intensifying opposition.

Broadband investments: The House-passed bill included $1.15 billion for broadband internet, a pot of money meant to supplement the $65 billion in broadband spending included in the bipartisan infrastructure law signed by Biden this year. The BBBs proposals included $300 million for bolstering remote-learning subsidies and a $280 million pilot program on urban broadband affordability. Manchin has not stated a clear position on these provisions.

$470 million to upgrade 911 call centers: Democrats urgently hope to upgrade the countrys 911 system for the digital age. This money in the BBB a fraction of the billions lawmakers originally proposed would enable emergency call centers to receive text messages, video and photos, not just phone calls. Manchin has not weighed in on this proposal, either.

FIRST IN MT: A NEW CHAPTER FOR IAB The Interactive Advertising Bureau, a massive trade group that represents companies on all sides of the digital ads ecosystem, is about to get a whole lot more involved in tech policy discussions on Capitol Hill.

IAB has tapped Lartease Tiffith, an Amazon public policy executive and former aide to Vice President Kamala Harris, to lead its policy shop. And he plans to make the groups presence known.

IABs challenges: The group has faced serious disagreements among its roughly 700 members, who include both the big tech platforms such as Google, Meta and Amazon as well as smaller publishers and brands that feel exploited by those companies control over the digital ads ecosystem. IAB too often advocates on behalf of the biggest tech companies.

Tiffith believes it will be his job to find consensus among IABs diverse membership, he said in an interview. His top priorities include lobbying for federal privacy legislation that preempts state laws and against digital services taxes. The digital advertising ecosystem is one that our country relies on, Tiffith said.

He added that he is absolutely in touch with the vice president and her close aides, and said he intends to advocate particularly on behalf of the small- and medium-sized businesses that benefit from digital ads. I do think there will be some opportunities to be more vocal about what we do and dont do, Tiffith said. We want to make sure people know where IAB stands.

What IABs CEO says: Chief executive David Cohen said the trade group tries to not focus itself on Google or Meta or Amazon or anyone. We are industry-focused. Thats why it has stayed out of the congressional antitrust battles the tech giants are facing so far, though Cohen said IAB reserves the right to change our perspective on that.

If there are individual member companies doing things that are harmful to the industry at large there are other forums, like courts and judicial systems, that would be better suited than a trade association to weigh in on that, Cohen said.

AMAZONS TIES TO THE FEDS: The federal government has indicted 20 people for crimes related to Amazon in the past year and a half a number that exceeds indictments related to other comparably large retail and logistics companies like Walmart and FedEx, according to a POLITICO report from your host and Daniel Lippman. In many of those cases, Amazon either tipped off the government or cooperated closely with the investigations, according to public disclosures. The crimes relate to a range of issues including fraud and counterfeits.

While federal officials have discretion over which criminal cases they choose to pursue, Amazon has invested significant resources into pushing prosecutors and investigators to take on cases it wants them tos.

And the company appears to be getting results. This looks like a huge and powerful company attempting to generate goodwill and appear to be cooperative with the government, said J. Kelly Strader, an academic focused on how companies deal with the government when they handle white-collar crime.

Amazons response: Amazon says its referrals to law enforcement show that it is taking forceful action against criminal activity.

We take our responsibility seriously to protect our customers and selling partners from fraud and abuse, said Amazon spokesperson Jodi Seth. We are proud of the industry-leading investments weve made in technology and human expertise to prevent criminal activity and deter bad actors.

Amazons revolving door: As part of its efforts to get closer to the feds, Amazon has hired people with deep ties to federal law enforcement. The company employs at least 21 former federal prosecutors and at least 49 former FBI employees, according to a review of LinkedIn pages of current Amazon employees.

TODAY: LIGHTBOX TO UNVEIL BROADBAND MAPPING TOOLS LightBox, a company known for crunching reams of real estate data, is today announcing what it is calling a SmartFabric, a newly enriched and customizable map of location data that it hopes states will tap to guide their broadband funding decisions.

We have a state that is already signed up, LightBox CEO Eric Frank told John, though he declined to say which state. They've also asked us to do all the work so were actually collecting the ISP data, were building the map, mapping the ISP data to location data, doing the gap analysis, identifying service versus non-serviceable and building the public website so the public can interrogate it. Watch for more details soon, Frank said.

And LightBox still wants that bigger nationwide FCC contract: The company is in the middle of a challenge to the FCCs November decision to award a $45 million location fabric contract to a rival company known as CostQuest Associates, which had worked with USTelecom to run a mapping pilot effort in two states in 2019.

Todays announcement is another sign of LightBoxs ongoing broadband ambitions. Other customers using LightBoxs location data include internet service providers like AT&T and Charter Communications, tech giants like Google and Microsoft and real estate companies Zillow and Redfin.

The Government Accountability Office has up to 100 days to review the FCC contract decision, meaning the agency may not be able to proceed with a key part of its federal mapping efforts until sometime in February.

FCC Chair Jessica Rosenworcel has complained of the associated delays and suggested Congress may want to intervene. If Congress wishes to identify a legislative way to

expedite this process, the agency will provide whatever further information is necessary to assist, she assured lawmakers in a letter unveiled Friday.

FACEBOOK GRAPPLES WITH ISLAMIC EXTREMISM: Supporters of the Islamic State and the Taliban continue to sidestep the social networks content moderation rules, despite the companys claims to be clamping down on extremist material. In multiple open Facebook groups at least one of which had more than 100,000 members jihadist groups posted beheading videos, propaganda and violent hate speech, according to a report by POLITICOs Mark Scott, who conducted a review of months of social media activity

Refresher: Internal Facebook documents, made public by Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen earlier this year, showed the companys own researchers had repeatedly raised concerns that hate speech targeting war-torn countries like Iraq and Afghanistan was avoiding detection by the platforms moderators.

A message from Save Our Standards:

Eva Berneke was appointed CEO of telecom company Eutelsat. She was previously CEO of IT company KMD.

International scamming: The New York Times conducted an investigation into an enormous online scam involving Harvard and several prominent media personalities in India.

Not just Meta: How TikTok inundates teens with videos to encourage eating disorders, via The Wall Street Journal.

ICYMI: We recommend this fabulous POLITICO piece by Nancy Scola about how Republican Colorado Rep. Ken Buck tries to avoid using products from Google, Amazon, Twitter and Apple.

Revolving door hits Kanter: Advocacy groups say Googles attack on DOJ antitrust chief Jonathan Kanter is far-fetched, according to Motherboard.

ICYMI: Critics say businesses regularly exploit H-1B visa holders, paying them below market wages, POLITICOs Rikha Sharma Rani writes.

A message from Save Our Standards:

Support US Jobs. Stop SEP Abuse.

A new draft policy statement on standard-essential patents (SEPs) committed for licensing on fair, reasonable, and non-discriminatory terms was released jointly by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, and the Department of Justice. The draft statement provides guidance on appropriate remedies in cases involving the use of these patents, and presents an approach to SEPs that strives to balance the interests of patent holders with the broad range of U.S. industries that use standards to protect the future of innovation.

Save Our Standards is a broad-based coalition working to end abusive practices in SEP licensing. We welcome the draft statement and support the Biden Administration for their leadership protecting U.S. competitiveness in charting out this balanced approach. Comments are being accepted through February 4. Support the Biden Administration to stop SEP abuse.

Tips, comments, suggestions? Send them along via email to our team: Bob King ([emailprotected]), Heidi Vogt ([emailprotected]), Emily Birnbaum ([emailprotected]), John Hendel ([emailprotected]), Rebecca Kern ([emailprotected]), Alexandra S. Levine ([emailprotected]) and Leah Nylen ([emailprotected]). Got an event for our calendar? Send details to [emailprotected]. And don't forget: Add @MorningTech and @PoliticoPro on Twitter.

TTYL!

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high seas | maritime law | Britannica

Posted: at 10:31 pm

high seas, in maritime law, all parts of the mass of saltwater surrounding the globe that are not part of the territorial sea or internal waters of a state. For several centuries beginning in the European Middle Ages, a number of maritime states asserted sovereignty over large portions of the high seas. Well-known examples were the claims of Genoa in the Mediterranean and of Great Britain in the North Sea and elsewhere.

The doctrine that the high seas in time of peace are open to all nations and may not be subjected to national sovereignty (freedom of the seas) was proposed by the Dutch jurist Hugo Grotius as early as 1609. It did not become an accepted principle of international law, however, until the 19th century. Freedom of the seas was ideologically connected with other 19th-century freedoms, particularly laissez-faire economic theory, and was vigorously pressed by the great maritime and commercial powers, especially Great Britain. Freedom of the high seas is now recognized to include freedom of navigation, fishing, the laying of submarine cables and pipelines, and overflight of aircraft.

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international law: High seas and seabed

Traditionally, the high seas beyond the territorial waters of states have been regarded as open to all and incapable of...

By the second half of the 20th century, demands by some coastal states for increased security and customs zones, for exclusive offshore-fishing rights, for conservation of maritime resources, and for exploitation of resources, especially oil, found in continental shelves caused serious conflicts. The first United Nations Conference on the Law of the Sea, meeting at Geneva in 1958, sought to codify the law of the high seas but was unable to resolve many issues, notably the maximum permissible breadth of the territorial sea subject to national sovereignty. A second conference (Geneva, 1960) also failed to resolve this point; and a third conference began in Caracas in 1973, later convening in Geneva and New York City.

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Coast Guard award recognizes focus on high seas cocaine-trafficking prosecutions – The San Diego Union-Tribune

Posted: at 10:31 pm

For the second time in three years, a San Diego U.S. attorney was honored with the Coast Guards highest civilian award for prosecutions targeting cocaine traffickers on the high seas.

Former U.S. Attorney Robert Brewer accepted the Distinguished Public Service Award earlier this month from Rear Adm. Brian Penoyer, a district commander, on behalf of the agencys commandant. It is the guards highest public honor, other than the gold and silver lifesaving medals.

In 2018, then-U.S. Attorney Adam Braverman a career drug prosecutor who had been approved by Congress to fill in between official Obama and Trump nominees received the same award. Brewer succeed Braverman as President Donald Trumps pick, and he served for two years before resigning at the end of February with the change in administrations.

Both awards illustrate the ramped up focus on the Eastern Pacific Ocean. The route has shifted to the east over the past few decades as trafficking organizations sought to avoid heavy drug enforcement on the once dominant Caribbean route, and as cocaine producers realized it was cheaper to outsource its smuggling to Mexican cartels.

Bulk cocaine often goes by sea from South and Central America, then is offloaded on spots along Mexicos western coast before being smuggled on established land corridors through the U.S.-Mexico border.

Former U.S. Attorney Robert Brewer speaks at a news conference in this 2020 file photo in San Diego.

(Ariana Drehsler/For The San Diego Union-Tribune)

As Coast Guard and Navy operations have expanded in the area, so have interdictions. In fiscal 2019 the Coast Guard seized 175 metric tons from the Eastern Pacific, with much of the contraband found on sleek, low-profile and go-fast vessels designed to blend into the ocean horizon.

In April 2020, Trump ordered an enforcement surge in the Western hemisphere, spurring accompanying prosecutions in San Diego. The results: the conviction of six defendants in two jury trials, the prosecution of crewmembers aboard 20 vessels and the arrests of key organizers in Central and South America, according to the U.S. Attorneys Office.

One semi-submersible vessel stopped more than 500 nautical miles off Central America in August 2020 was loaded with more than 2,000 kilograms of cocaine worth an estimated $35 million, prosecutors said. Its operator, a Colombian national, had already been convicted and served prison time in the U.S. for similar exploits.

The overall prosecutorial effort effectively stymied the flow of maritime smuggling and delivered a major setback to numerous drug trafficking organizations, the award states.

During Brewers tenure, the U.S. Attorneys Office indicted 125 high-level targets as investigators worked up the chain of command, and dismantled major organizations in Colombia, Ecuador and Guatemala, the award states. Also seized in connection with the San Diego-based investigations were 45 metric tons of cocaine and $4.5 million in bulk cash.

One of those targets is Iram Adonas Mrida Cobn, who was extradited to San Diego earlier this month on a 2019 federal grand jury indictment charging him with an international conspiracy to distribute cocaine.

The Coast Guard seizes a semi-submersible off the coast of Central America in August 2020 carrying 2,000 kilograms of cocaine.

(Courtesy of U.S. Attorneys Office)

Mrida Cobn, who goes by the nicknames El Dorado or Bucfalo, was arrested by Guatemalan authorities in April at an upscale shopping center in Guatemala City.

The U.S. indictment does not include details of the case. However, the Guatemalan government said he and his partners in a criminal organization are suspected of transporting multiple tons of cocaine from South America through Central America and Mexico to be distributed in the United States. The group has been under investigation since 2016.

At the award ceremony on Dec. 15, Brewer reflected on the honor.

This very special award is really a reflection on the entire U.S. Attorneys Office for the Southern District of California, he said. It is a tribute to the hard work of the dedicated and innovative team that made these prosecutions possible.

After stepping down as U.S. attorney, Brewer returned to San Diego law firm Seltzer Caplan McMahon Vitek as of counsel focusing on civil litigation and white-collar defense. President Joe Biden has yet to name his nominee for the office.

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Dave Perillo Reveals Maelstrom, Orange Bird Art Coming to the 2022 EPCOT International Festival of the Arts – wdwnt.com

Posted: at 10:31 pm

The 2022 EPCOT International Festival of the Arts is just around the corner, and artist Dave Perillo has revealed a look at two of his upcoming four offerings that honor the history of Walt Disney World.

EPCOT fanatics are sure to love this piece honoring Maelstrom, the high-seas adventure that operated at the Norway Pavilion from 1988 to 2014. According to Perillo, his favorite part of the ride was the three-headed troll which sent guests back, back, over the falls, so he was determined to include it in the piece.

For Magic Kingdom lovers, the Orange Bird flies high above Sunshine Tree Terrace, Citrus Swirl in hand in this piece.

Additionally, Perillo provided a look at his process with this original concept sketch for the piece.

Perillo, whose art has been featured at previous festivals, will be available to sign his work at the Wonderground Gallery tent near the France Pavilion from January 15-21. You can get a full look at his signing schedule here!

The 2022 EPCOT International Festival of the Arts runs from January 14 through February 21, 2022.

As always, keep following WDWNT for all of your Disney Parks news, and for the absolute latest, follow WDW News Today on Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram.

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The CDC is investigating Royal Caribbean’s Odyssey of the Seas with 55 COVID cases onboard – USA TODAY

Posted: at 10:31 pm

Royal Caribbean announces new nine-month world cruise

If nine months on a cruise ship sounds good to you, we have the trip for you!

Staff video, USA TODAY

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating Royal Caribbean's Odyssey of the Seas ship as it continues to sailwith more than 50 cases of COVID onboard.

"CDC is investigating the recent increase in COVID-19 cases identified on Royal Caribbean Internationals (RCI)Odyssey of the Seas," CDC spokesperson David Daigle told USA TODAY Thursday."All cases appear to be mild or asymptomatic. Additionally, there have been no COVID-19 related hospitalizations, medical evacuations, ventilator use, or deaths from this ship."

Fifty-five passengers and crew members tested positive for COVID-19 on Royal Caribbean's Odyssey of the Seas cruise ship, which departed Fort Lauderdale, Florida, on Saturday for an eight-night Caribbean trip, a spokesperson for Royal Caribbean told USA TODAY Wednesday.

The health agencyis working closely with Royal Caribbean and will "consider multiple factors" before marking the ship as "Red" status at which point it would be required to return to port.

As of Thursday afternoon, Odyssey of the Seas was classified as "Yellow" status meaning the "CDC has investigated and ship remains under observation."

Odyssey of the Seas is currently sailing in the Caribbean and is due to return to Fort Lauderdale on Sunday.

The ship, whichreturned briefly to port on Sunday to disembarka passenger with COVID-19, is carrying 3,587 passengers and 1,599 crew.With vaccinations required among all crew members and guests 12 and older, 95% of those on board were fully vaccinated, according to Royal Caribbean.

"During routine weekly testing of our fully vaccinated crew members, there were test results that came back positive for COVID-19,"the company said in a statement shared by spokesperson Lyan Sierra-Carolate Tuesday night."Close contacts were quickly identified, and they each immediately went into quarantine."

The passengers and crewwho tested positiveand their close contactsare quarantining, according to Royal Caribbean. Those who tested positive areeither mildly symptomatic or asymptomatic andbeing monitored by an on-board medical team.

Royal Caribbean announced Wednesday that the cruisewill notstop in Curacao or Aruba as planned.

"The decision was made together with the islands and out of an abundance of caution due to the current trend of cases in the destination communities and having COVID-19 positive cases on board ...representing 1.1% of the onboard community," according to a statement shared by Sierra-Caro.

After disembarking, she tested positive: A cruise line didn't provide a COVID test to a symptomatic passenger

Royal Caribbean's newest ship: Odyssey of the Seas, makes brief return to port due to COVID

Weekly testing of crew members is one of the protocols on Royal Caribbean's ships, part of a "multilayered set of comprehensive health and safety measures,"the company said.Other protocols includeenhanced cleaning, a vaccine requirement for passengers and crew, and the use of masks, among others.

"In an abundance of caution for the well-being of our guests and crew, adjustments have been made toOdyssey of the Seasschedule of shows and activities on board the Dec. 18 sailing," Royal Caribbean said in thestatement shared by Sierra-Caro.

The CDC has been working with global public health experts andindustry partners to learn about omicron, Daigle said. "We are still learning how easily it spreads, the severity of illness it causes, and how well available vaccines and medications work against it."

He continued that "cruise travel is not a zero-risk activity."

The likelihood of contracting COVID-19 on cruise ships is "high because the virus spreads easily between people in close quarters aboard ships," Daigle said.

The CDC advises people who are not fully vaccinated against COVID-19 to avoid cruise travel and advises travelers get a booster shot if eligible.

'Everything was so confusing': 48 people test positive for COVID on Royal Caribbean Symphony of the Seas ship

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The CDC is investigating Royal Caribbean's Odyssey of the Seas with 55 COVID cases onboard - USA TODAY

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Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond – Bangor Daily News

Posted: at 10:31 pm

KODIAK ISLAND, Alaska Forces profound and alarming are reshaping the upper reaches of the North Pacific and Arctic oceans, breaking the food chain that supports billions of creatures and one of the worlds most important fisheries.

In the last five years, scientists have observed animal die-offs of unprecedented size, scope and duration in the waters of the Beaufort, Chukchi and northern Bering seas, while recording the displacement and disappearance of entire species of fish and ocean-dwelling invertebrates. The ecosystem is critical for resident seals, walruses and bears, as well as migratory gray whales, birds, sea lions and numerous other animals.

Historically long stretches of record-breaking ocean heat and loss of sea ice have fundamentally changed this ecosystem from bottom to top and top to bottom, say researchers who study its inhabitants. Not only are algae and zooplankton affected, but now apex predators such as killer whales are moving into areas once locked away by ice gaining unfettered access to a spoil of riches.

Scientists describe whats going on as less an ecosystem collapse than a brutal regime shift an event in which many species may disappear, but others will replace them.

You can think of it in terms of winners and losers, said Janet Duffy-Anderson, a Seattle-based marine scientist who leads annual surveys of the Bering Sea for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrations Alaska Fisheries Science Center. Something is going to emerge and become the more dominant species, and something is going to decline because it cant adapt to that changing food web.

A team from The Times traveled to Alaska and spoke with dozens of scientists conducting field research in the Bering Sea and high Arctic to better understand these dramatic changes. Their findings suggest that this vast, near-polar ecosystem stable for thousands for years and resilient to brief but dramatic swings in temperature is undergoing an irreversible transition.

Its like the gates of hell have been opened, said Lorenzo Ciannelli, a fisheries oceanographer at Oregon State University, referring to a once ice-covered portion of the Bering Sea that has largely disappeared.

Since 2019, federal investigators have declared unexplained mortality events for a variety of animals, including gray whales that migrate past California and several species of Arctic seals. They are also examining large die-offs or wrecks, as avian biologists call them in dozens of seabird species including horned puffins, black-legged kittiwakes and shearwaters.

At the same time, they are documenting the disappearance of the cold pool a region of the northern Bering Sea that for thousands of years has served as a barrier that protects cold-water species, such as Arctic cod and snow crab, from subarctic species, such as walleye pollock and Pacific cod. In the last five years, many of these Arctic species have almost entirely disappeared from the northern Bering, while populations of warmer-dwelling fish have proliferated.

In 2010, a federal survey estimated there were 319,000 metric tons of snow crab in the northern Bering Sea. As of this year, that number had dropped by more than 75 percent. Meanwhile, a subarctic fish, the Pacific cod, has skyrocketed going from 29,124 metric tons in 2010 to 227,577 in 2021.

Whether the warming has diminished these super-cold-water species or forced them to migrate elsewhere farther north or west, across the U.S.-Russia border, where American scientists can no longer observe them remains unclear. But scientists say animals seem to be suffering in these more distant polar regions too, according to sporadic reports from the area.

Which gets to the basic challenge of studying this ecosystem: For so long, its remoteness, freezing temperatures and lack of winter sunlight have made the region largely inaccessible. Unlike in temperate and tropical climates, where scientists can obtain reasonably accurate population counts of many species, the Arctic doesnt yield its secrets easily. That makes it hard to establish baseline data for scores of species especially those with little commercial value.

That part is really frustrating, said Peter Boveng, who studies Arctic seals for NOAAs Alaska Fisheries Science Center. He said he and his colleagues wonder if the information they are now gathering is truly baseline data, or has already been shifted by years of warming.

Only recently have he and other scientists had the technology to conduct these kinds of counts using cameras instead of observers in airplanes, for instance, or installing sound buoys across the ice and sea to capture the movement of whales, seals and bears.

Were only just beginning to understand what is happening up there, said Deborah Giles, a killer whale researcher at the University of Washingtons Center for Conservation Biology. We just couldnt be there or see things in the way a drone can.

The dramatic shifts that Giles, Boveng and others are observing have ramifications that stretch far beyond the Arctic. The Bering Sea is one of the planets major fishing grounds the eastern Bering Sea, for instance, supplies more than 40 percent of the annual U.S. catch of fish and shellfish and is a crucial food source for thousands of Russians and Indigenous Alaskans who rely on fish, birds eggs, walrus and seal for protein.

Globally, cold-water ecosystems support the worlds fisheries. Halibut, all of the cod, all of the benthic crabs, lobsters. This is the majority of the food source for the world, said NOAAs Duffy-Anderson.

The potential ripple effect could shut down fisheries and leave migrating animals starving for food. These include gray whales and short-tailed shearwaters a bird that travels more than 9,000 miles every year from Australia and New Zealand to feed in the Arctic smorgasbord before flying home.

Alaska is a bellwether for what other systems can expect, she added. Its really just a beginning.

::

Flying along the southeastern coastline of Alaskas Kodiak Island, Matthew Van Daele wearing a safety harness tethered to the inside a U.S. Coast Guard MH-60T Jayhawk leaned out the helicopter door, scanning the beaches below for dead whales and seals.

The clouds hung low, so the copter hugged close to the sandstone cliffs that rise from this green island, which gets about 80 inches of rain and 60 inches of snowfall every year. Although few dead animals were spotted on this September afternoon, plenty of furry brown Kodiak bears could be seen bounding across open fields and along the beaches, trying to escape the ruckus of the approaching chopper.

Theres one! yelled Van Daele, natural resources director for the Sunaq Tribe, speaking through the intercom system to the choppers pilots as he pointed to a rotting whale carcass on the beach.

The pilots circled and deftly landed on a little strip of sand, careful to keep the rotor blades from hitting the eroding wall of rock on the beachs edge.

Joe Sekerak, a NOAA enforcement officer, jumped out after Van Daele, holding a rifle should hungry Kodiak bears arrive to challenge the small team in its attempt to examine the whale carcass.

According to Van Daele, the whale had been dead several weeks; her body was in poor shape, with little fat.

Since 2019, hundreds of gray whales have died along North Americas Pacific coastline, many appearing skinny or underfed.

Although researchers have not determined the cause of the die-off, there are ominous signs something is amiss in their high Arctic feeding grounds.

Were used to change around here, said Alexus Kwatchka, a commercial fisherman who has navigated Alaskan waters for more than 30 years. He noted some years are cold, some are warm; sometimes all of the fish seem to be in one area for a few years, and then resettle elsewhere.

This fall has been extremely cold in Alaska; the town of Kotzebue, in the northwest, hit minus-31 degrees on Nov. 28 the record low for that date. This follows several years of record-setting warmth in the region.

What is new, said Kwatchka, is the persistence of this change. Its not like it gets super warm for one or two years and then goes back to normal, he said. Now the changes last, and he said hes encountering things hes never seen before such as gray whales feeding along the beaches of Kodiak, or swimming in packs.

Usually there are whales just scattered around the island, he said. But Ive seen them kind of bunched up and podded up, and Im seeing them in places where I dont ordinarily see them.

In September, an emaciated young male gray whale was seen off a beach near Kodiak, behaving as though it were trying to feed, scooping material from the shallow shore bottom and filtering it through his baleen, a system many leviathans use to separate food from sand and water.

Three weeks later, that same young male washed ashore dead, not far from where he had been spotted previously.

Dozens of scientists validated Kwatchkas observations, describing these periods of intense ocean heat and cooling as stanzas, which are growing more extreme and lasting longer than those of the past.

Thats a problem, said Duffy-Anderson, because the longer you stress a system, the deeper and broader the impacts and therefore the harder for it to bounce back.

While its always possible the current stanza is temporary and the ecosystem could reset itself, that is unlikely, said Rick Thoman, an Alaska climate specialist at the University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Due to atmospheric warming, the worlds oceans hold so much excess heat that its improbable the Chukchi Sea will ever be covered again with thick, multiyear ice, he said. Nor will we see many more years where the spring ice extends across the Bering, he said.

Even though Nome saw one of its coldest Novembers in 100 years of record keeping, and King Salmon a town of roughly 300 near Katmai National Park and Preserve recorded its all-time lowest November temperatures, the escalator of warming is going up, Thoman said.

He conjured up an image of a 5-year-old running up and down an ascending escalator. Somebody standing off of the escalator might say, oh, it looks like the kid is going down. But as we know, the escalator is continuing to go up.

What weve seen in the Bering Sea in recent years is, he added, unprecedented.

::

Lee Cooper and Jackie Grebmeier, researchers at the University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, have visited these waters every year since the 1980s, when they were graduate students at the University of Alaska. Their initial proposal centered on one basic question: What makes these Arctic-like waters of the northern Bering Sea so productive?

It was tough work. So much of the ocean was frozen, and therefore inaccessible. Other researchers faced the same challenge.

When we started out, we couldnt get north into the Bering Strait area because of ice until mid-June, said Kathy Kuletz, a bird biologist with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, who has been researching the northern Bering Sea and high Arctic since 2006 and studying Alaskan birds since 1978. Even then, it wasnt until late June that you could get into the Chukchi. And thats certainly not been the issue since, lets see, about 2015 or so.

Researchers are focused on ice or the lack of it because the frozen ocean is the foundation of the regions rich ecosystems. It not only keeps the waters beneath it cool, but a layer of algae grows on the underside of these ice sheets the key to the entire food web.

For eons, as the sun moved south in autumn and the temperatures dropped in the high latitudes, Arctic sea ice thickened near the North Pole. At its edges, it reached its frosty fingers into the inlets along the Chukchi and Beaufort seas, winding its way south through the Bering Strait and into the northern Bering Sea. By March, the northern Bering Sea was typically a vast field of white ice, its edges marked by broken sheets that had been pushed into a vertical position by whipping winds and churning currents below.

But for the last 50 years, as the regions warm stanzas have increased in duration and intensity, that seasonal ice has dwindled.

A 2020 study published in the journal Science documented a reduction in ice extent unlike any other in the last 5,500 years: Its extent in 2018 and 2019 was 60 percent to 70 percent lower than the historical average. In an Arctic report card released just this week, federal scientists called the regions changes alarming and undeniable.

Long before the sea was named for the 18th century Danish cartographer and Russian naval explorer Vitus Jonassen Bering, the icy water body consisted of two distinct ecosystems one subarctic, the other resembling the high Arctic. Fish in the subarctic zone such as Pacific cod were deterred by the frigid temperatures of the cold pool, which hover just below 32 degrees. But other fish such as Arctic cod, capelin and flatfish evolved to thrive in this environment, with the cold pool serving as a protective barrier.

Now that thermal force field has all but vanished.

Lyle Britt, director of the Resource Assessment and Conservation Engineering division of the Alaska Fisheries Science Center, leads annual trawl surveys in the Bering Sea, part of a U.S. effort to systematically monitor commercial fish populations and their ecosystems. The federal government has conducted a survey of the eastern Bering Sea every year since 1982 with the exception of 2020, when COVID grounded the personnel and boats. Federal surveying of the northern Bering Sea began in 2010 amid concerns about the loss of seasonal sea ice; the government has surveyed it a total of five times.

With each survey, Britt and his mariner colleagues navigate the sea as if tracing over the same piece of graph paper, year after year, with 520 evenly dispersed stations at 20-mile intervals. At each one 376 in the eastern Bering Sea and 144 in the northern Bering Sea they stop to collect environmental data, such as bottom- and surface-water temperatures, as well as a sampling of fish and invertebrates, which they count and weigh.

Data from a Bering Sea mooring shows the average temperature throughout the water column has risen markedly in the last several years: in 2018, water temperatures were 9 degrees above the historical average.

Not only have the scientists noticed, so too have the fish.

Consider the plight of the walleye pollock also known as Alaska pollock one of the regions most important fisheries.

While adult walleye pollock are averse to super cold water, juveniles are known to gravitate to the interior of the cold pool. In this protective chilly dome, the young fish are not only walled off from cold-hating predators, but as their metabolisms slow in the frigid temperatures, they can gorge on and grow from the Arctic ecosystems fatty, rich food sources.

With the cold pool gone, theres no refuge for small fish seeking to grow big, said Duffy-Anderson. Instead, the adult fish can now move into those spaces.

So what has happened to the Arctic fish? Have they just moved north, following the cold water?

Its not that simple, said Britt. The northern Bering Sea is very shallow. When ice is not there to cover it, it warms up quickly and can exceed temperatures detected in the subarctic southern Bering Sea.

So we dont fully understand all the implications of why the fish are moving in the directions and patterns that they are, he said. But in some places particularly the places that once harbored cold-loving fish such as Arctic cod and capelin they are just gone.

In a healthy Arctic system, thousands of bottom-dwelling species bottom fish, clams, crabs and shrimp-like critters feast on the lipid-rich algae that falls from the ice to the bottom of the sea. But in a warm-water system, the algae gets taken up in the water column, said Duffy-Anderson.

The healthy system is highly energy-efficient with sediment-dwelling invertebrates and bottom fish feeding on the rain of algae, and then birds and large-bodied mammals, such as walrus and whales, scooping them up.

One of the things Im really concerned about is that the whole food web dynamic kind of comes apart, she said. As warmer waters and animals infiltrate the system, you put more links in the food chain, and then less and less of that energy is transferred efficiently. And that is what were beginning to see.

Ice is also essential habitat for some Arctic mammals. As with gray whales, several types of ice seals which include ringed, spotted and bearded seals started showing up skinny or dead around the Chukchi and Bering seas in 2018, spurring a federal investigation. These Arctic-dwelling species rely on sea ice to pup, nurse and molt. Without it, they spend more time in the cold water, where they expend too much energy. Young seals are particularly vulnerable; their chances for survival plummet without the ice, said the Alaska Fisheries Science Centers Boveng.

There are also reports of killer whales also known as orcas showing up in areas they havent been spotted before, feeding on beluga whales, bowheads and narwhals, said Giles, the University of Washington orca researcher.

They are finding channels and openings through the ice, and in some cases preying on animals that have never seen killer whales before, she said.

Climate scientists worldwide have long warned that as the planet warms, humans and wildlife will become more vulnerable to infectious diseases previously confined to certain locations and environments. That dynamic could be a factor in the massive die-off of birds in the Bering Sea experts estimate at least tens of thousands of birds have died there since 2013.

The culprit was avian cholera, a disease not previously detected in these high latitudes, and one that elsewhere rarely fells seabirds such as thick-billed murres, auklets, common eiders, northern fulmars and gulls.

Toxic algae associated with warmer waters has also been detected in a few dead birds (and some healthy birds) in the Bering Sea, said Robb Kaler, a wildlife biologist with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and may have been responsible for the death of a person living on St. Lawrence Island.

Kuletz, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife biologist who has been observing birds in Alaska since the late 1970s, said shes never before seen the large-scale changes of recent years. In 2013, the dead birds did not show signs of being emaciated, but in 2017, hundreds to thousands more began to wash up dead on beaches with clear signs of starvation, she said.

Thereve always been little peaks of die-offs that would last a year or so, but then things would go back to normal, she said. These animals are resilient. They can forgo breeding if they arent getting enough nutrition.

Not all bird species are suffering. Albatross, which are surface feeders, are booming, underscoring for Kuletz the idea that there could be winners and losers in the changing region. Albatross do not nest in Alaska. They only come in the summer to feed, and are therefore not tied to eggs or nests while looking for food.

Yet for some scientists, it isnt easy to reconcile how a system in balance could so quickly go off the rails, even if some species adapt and thrive as others struggle.

For me, its actually very emotional, said Thoman, the University of Alaska climate specialist, recalling his elementary school days, when he read Jack Londons To Build a Fire and other stories from the Arctic.

The environment that he described, the environment that I saw going through National Geographics in the 1970s? That environment doesnt exist anymore.

Susanne Rust, Los Angeles Times

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Software Is Eating The State – Bitcoin Magazine

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Software is Eating the World

Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object, evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.

Thomas Jefferson, "Declaration Of Independence," 1776

Marc Andreessens most famous prophecy, that software is eating the world is continually proving its remarkable prescience. Not only is software transforming most business models, but it is also disrupting the largest enterprise in human history the nation state. In each industry disrupted by digital innovation, previously impossible economic efficiencies have been unlocked, making the lives of consumers easier and cheaper. But what happens when digital innovation disrupts modernitys dominant enterprise, the state?

To understand the implications of nation-state disruption, we must first understand the purpose of its business model.

In a most basic sense, nation states are compulsory territorial monopolies equipped with the power to impose taxation (property extractions) on taxpayers to fund the protection of taxpayer life, liberty and property. Read that definition again, slowly. Upon careful reading, it becomes immediately clear that the nation state is a self-contradictory enterprise: a property protection service that funds itself by violating the property of its customers.

Anyone that has studied basic economics will quickly realize that nation states, as monopolies, must be overcharging for these protection services, and that the quality of their services must be suboptimal. In other words, nation states are businesses incentivized to increase their own tax revenues while at the same time decreasing the quality of protection services they provide. No wonder virtually every taxpayer worldwide is dissatisfied with their government!

If nation-state tax rates were negotiable, and if citizens had the option to secede and self-organize new states, then the economic exchanges involved would be strictly voluntary. In such a scenario, the nation state would become a non-coercive organizational model, and tax payments would be optional, as customers dissatisfied with the quality of services rendered could secede and start their own states. As Ludwig von Mises wrote on these two essential conditions for non-coercive statism:

...whenever the inhabitants of a particular territory, whether it be a single village, a whole district, or a series of adjacent districts, make it known, by a freely conducted plebiscite, that they no longer wish to remain united to the state to which they belong at the time, their wishes are to be respected and complied with. This is the only feasible and effective way of preventing revolutions and international wars.

Peaceful secession is not something typically afforded by states historically. For instance, during the years leading up to The American War of Southern Independence (commonly called the Civil War in the U.S.), the South attempted many times to secede peacefully, but the Union refused to allow it, and applied political pressure until war broke out within the divided young nation. If Mises conditions are considered deeply, and taken to their ultimate conclusions, the right to secede peacefully effectively renders the state a voluntary club or membership organization, where taxes are essentially nothing more than club dues either paid voluntarily or not at all in the case of secession.

So, what does this all have to do with the disruptive potential of the Digital Age? Well, as Andreessen so brilliantly presaged: Software is eating the world

and that includes the state.

[The State] forbids private murder, but itself organizes murder on a colossal scale. It punishes private theft, but itself lays unscrupulous hands on anything it wants, whether the property of citizen or of alien.

Albert Jay Nock, On Doing The Right Thing, 1928

...the advent of the cybereconomy will bring competition on new terms to provision of sovereignty services. A proliferation of jurisdictions will mean proliferating experimentation in new ways of enforcing contracts and otherwise securing the safety of persons and property.

James Dale Davidson and Lord William Rees-Mogg, The Sovereign Individual, 1997

Digital technology has already radically transformed, or even completely disrupted, several industries. As of the time of this writing in late 2021, digitizations impact on the integrity of social institutions is being widely felt as well. Among those at risk of being eaten by software stand even modernitys largest and most dominant institutions: the nation state and (its primary apparatus of surreptitious property violation) the central bank. If digital technology is to transform these monolithic institutions, it will need to provide ways for citizens to peacefully secede and voluntarily self-organize within new structures of governance.

In 1849, Gustave de Molinari a prominent French economist and teacher of Vilfredo Pareto wrote a systemic and trenchant takedown of the traditional structure of governance under statism. With great theoretical rigor and apparent clairvoyance, Molinari argued that it is always in the best interest of consumers that all economic exchange remain absolutely free and voluntary, even in the industry monopolized by all states security and violence. With astonishing accuracy, Molinari predicted the consequences of the monopolization of security and violence:

If, on the contrary, the consumer is not free to buy security wherever he pleases, you forthwith see open up a large profession dedicated to arbitrariness and bad management. Justice becomes slow and costly, the police vexatious, individual liberty is no longer respected, the price of security is abusively inflated and inequitably apportioned, according to the power and influence of this or that class of consumers.

Gustave de Molinari (translated by J. Huston McCulloch), The Production Of Security, 1849

In the Digital Age, through the advent of peer-to-peer telecommunications technologies and, more recently, peer-to-peer private money in bitcoin, people today are radically empowered to live independent of the state.

Today, if a nation state increases taxes too aggressively, a citizen can move their capital into bitcoin, and secede by renouncing their citizenship and circumventing any potential exit tax. With encrypted messaging applications, nation states can no longer sequester or censor private communications. This makes self-organization of large groups much easier, more flexible and resistant to coercion. Taken in combination, these options to exit and self organize change the nature of relations between citizens and nation states to something that looks more like voluntary clubs instead of tax farms.

Digital technology makes possible the Misesian conditions for effective, non-coercive models of human organization within novel structures of governance. Since coercion cannot effectively sway digital interactions, individuals facing rising coercion by insolvent nation states will increasingly come to rely on digital rails to move their ideas and capital.

In these international waters of the Digital Age, overly taxed or otherwise coerced individuals will take refuge from nation-state predation. And since most nation states today are totally insolvent after decades of capital confiscation and misallocation, their future efforts to increase tax revenues will push citizens to shelter their capital by any means necessary. As the ultimate offshore bank, bitcoin is the obvious tool of choice in the face of rising monetary and fiscal policy aggressions.

Such digital high seas are a sudden transformation of the technological realities of the world, and represent an extreme disruption event for the business model of statism which generates revenues exclusively through coercion, compulsion and violence. It is extremely difficult to coerce an individual when their capital is held outside central-bank-controlled monetary networks. Compulsion becomes near impossible when individuals are able to break their physical identity from their digital identity and capital. Finally, the risk-to-reward ratio of violence is significantly increased when guns can be 3D printed and money can be kept in theft-proof custody schemas (like geographically-distributed Bitcoin multisig arrangements).

The result will likely be a flow of talent, experience and capital into those jurisdictions where people receive the highest-quality security services at the most fair price. In many ways, we can view the ongoing digitization of human relations as the disruption of coercion.

As alternative forums for human action, the coercion-resistant channels characterizing the nascent Digital Age will be increasingly preferred by individuals as opposed to living under the thumb of the state. By empowering individual choice, coercion is becoming a less profitable business strategy. For these reasons, software is eating the world, and that includes the state.

This is a guest post by Robert Breedlove. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

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A total of 21kg heroin seized in Thoothukudi; six arrested – The Hindu

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A police special team has seized 21kg heroin, worth about 21 crore in the international market, and arrested six persons in this connection.

According to Superintendent of Police S. Jayakumar, a police special team, which was monitoring Tooveypuram area on Tuesday night following information about drug smuggling, picked-up one Ansar Ali, 26, of Thoothukudi while he was moving around in suspicious manner near Tooveypuram Park. When the police frisked him, it was found that he was carrying a few packets with white powder, suspected to be heroin.

Based on the information provided by him, the police also nabbed his associates Marimuthu, 26, and Imran Khan, 27, also from Thoothukudi, from whom the police recovered a few more packets with white powder, totally weighing about 162gm.

When we grilled the trio, it led to the arrest of three more persons, all fishermen, who had kept 21kg heroin in a hideout in Tharuvaikulam near Thoothukudi, in the early hours of Wednesday, Mr. Jayakumar said.

During investigation, the police found that the arrested fishermen found a parcel floating when they were fishing near Minicoy Islands about ten months ago. On finding the parcel containing heroin, which might have been dumped into the sea by the drug smugglers on seeing the Indian Coast Guard and Indian Navy patrolling, the fishermen had brought it to Thoothukudi to be sold to the persons who were in need of the drug.

Since the patrolling Indian Coast Guard and the Indian Navy used to check the fishing boats in the high seas for drugs and other banned articles, the smugglers might have dropped the parcel into the sea on seeing the patrol ships nearing their boats, Mr. Jayakumar said.

Without knowing the value of the drug, which costs about 1 crore a kilo in the international market they had sold it for 1.50 lakh per kg. While the other crew in the mechanised fishing boat have confirmed that they had retrieved the mysterious packet from the sea and were unaware of the material packed in it, the three fishermen under the police custody now are suspected to have sold the heroin to Ansar Ali and others.

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How the United States Planned to Invade Canada – The National Interest

Posted: at 10:31 pm

Heres What You Need to Remember:In the end, the United States would have occupied the vast bulk of Canada, at the cost of most of its Pacific possessions.

The end of a war only rarely settles the central questions that started the conflict. Indeed, many wars do not end in the traditional sense; World War II, for example, stretched on for years in parts of Eastern Europe and the Asia-Pacific.

Even as the guns fell silent along the Western Front in 1918, the United States and the United Kingdom began jockeying for position. Washington and London bitterly disagreed on the nature of the settlements in Europe and Asia, as well as the shape of the postwar naval balance. In late 1920 and early 1921,these tensions reached panic levelsin Washington, London and especially Ottawa.

The general exhaustion of war, combined with the Washington Naval Treaty, succeeded in quelling these questions and setting the foundation for the great Anglo-American partnership of the twentieth century. But what if that hadnt happened? What if the United States and United Kingdom had instead gone to war in the spring of 1921?

The Liberation of Canada

The U.S.-Canadian border would have constituted the central front of the War of 1921. Although Washington maintained good relations with Ottawa, war plans in both the United States and the United Kingdom expected amultiprongedinvasion into Americas northern neighbor, designed to quickly occupy the country before British (or Japanese) reinforcement could arrive. Canadian declarations of neutrality would have had minimal impact on this process. Plans for initial attacks included the seizure of Vancouver, Winnipeg, the Niagara Falls area and most of Ontario.

Given the overwhelming disparity between available U.S. and Canadian military forces, most of these offensives would probably have succeeded in short order. The major battle would have revolved around British and Canadian efforts to hold Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and especially the port of Halifax, which would have served both as the primary portal for British troops and as the main local base for the Royal Navy.U.S. military planners understood that Halifaxwas the key to winning the war quickly, and investigated several options (including poison gas and an amphibious assault) for taking the port.

Assuming they held the line, could British and Canadian forces have prevented the severing of supply lines between Halifax and the main cities of Quebec and the Great Lakes region? Unlikely. The U.S. Army would have had major advantages in numbers, logistics, and mobility. Ottawa and Toronto might each have proven too big to swallow and digest quickly, but severing their connection to the Atlantic would have made the question of their eventual surrender only a matter of time.

And what about Quebec? The nationalism of the early twentieth century did not look kindly on large enclaves ofethno-linguisticminorities. Moreover, the United States had no constitutional mechanisms through which it could offer unique concessions to the French speaking majority of the province. In this context, Quebecois leaders might have sought an accord with Washington that resulted in Quebecs independence in exchange for support for the American war effort, and Washington might plausibly have accepted such an offer. An accord of this nature might also have forestalled French support from their erstwhile British allies. If not, the U.S. Army planned to seize Quebec City through an overland offensive through Vermont.

Operations in the Atlantic

British war planning considered the prospect of simply abandoning Canada in favor of operations in the Caribbean. However, public pressure might have forced the Royal Navy to establish and maintain transatlantic supply lines against a committed U.S. Navy. While it might have struggled to do this over the long term, the RN still had a sufficient margin of superiority over theUSNto make a game of it.

Theeight standard-type super-dreadnought battleships of theUSNflatly outclassed any British warship on any metric other than speed. TheUSNalso possessed ten older dreadnoughts, plus a substantial fleet of pre-dreadnoughts that would have undertaken coastal defense duties. The United States did not operate a submarine arm comparable to that of Imperial Germany, and what boats it had lacked experience in either fleet actions or commerce raiding.

For its part, the Royal Navy had at its disposal nine dreadnoughts, twenty-three super-dreadnoughts and nine battle cruisers. The British ships were generally older, less well armored and less heavily armed than their American counterparts. Nevertheless, the Royal Navy had the benefit of years of experience in both war and peace that theUSNlacked. Moreover, the RN had a huge advantage in cruisers and destroyers, as well as a smaller advantage in naval aviation.

But how would the RN have deployed its ships? Blockading the U.S. East Coast is a far more difficult task than blockading Germany, and theUSN(like the High Seas Fleet) would only have offered battle in advantageous circumstances. While the RN might have considered a sortie against Boston, Long Island or other northern coastal regions, most of its operations would have concentrated on supporting British and Canadian ground forces in the Maritimes.

Operations in the Pacific

Both the United States and the United Kingdom expected Japan to join any conflict on the British side. The connections between the Royal Navy and the Imperial Japanese Navy ran back to the Meiji Restoration, and Tokyo remained hungry for territory in the Pacific. In the First World War, Japan had opportunistically gobbled up most of the German Pacific possessions, before deploying a portion of its navy in support of Entente operations in the Mediterranean. In the case of a U.S.-UK war, theIJNwould likely have undertaken similar efforts against American territories. These included many of the islands that Japan invaded in 1941 and 1942, although the invasions would have moved forward without the benefit of years of careful preparation.

Given the strength of theIJN(four battle cruisers, five super-dreadnoughts, two dreadnoughts) and the necessary commitment to an Atlantic first strategy, the United States probably could not have held the Philippines, Guam, Wake, Midway or most of the other Pacific islands. Hawaii might have proven a bit too far and too big, and it is deeply unlikely that the Japanese would have risked a land deployment to western Canada (although U.S. planners feared such an eventuality), but the war would have overturned the balance of power in the Western Pacific.

Would It Work?

The British Army and the Royal Navy could, possibly, have erected a credible defense of Nova Scotia, preventing the United States from completely rolling up Canada. London could also have offered support for resistance forces in the Canadian wilderness, although even supplying guerilla operations in the far north would have tested British logistics and resolve.

In the end, however, the United States would have occupied the vast bulk of Canada, at the cost of most of its Pacific possessions. And the Canadians, having finally been liberated by their brothers to the south? Eventually, the conquest and occupation of Canada would have resultedin statehood for some configurationof provinces, although not likely along the same lines as existed in 1920 (offering five full states likely would have resulted in an undesirable amount of formerly Canadian representation in the U.S. Senate). Theprocess of political rehabilitationmight have resembled the Reconstruction of the American South, without the racial element.

The new map, then, might have included a United States that extended to the Arctic, an independent Quebec, a rump Canada consisting mostly of the Maritimes and Japanese control of the entirety of the Western Pacific. Tokyo, rather than London or Washington, would have stood as the biggest winner, hegemonic in its own sphere of influence and fully capable of managing international access to China.

Robert Farley, a frequent contributor to theNational Interest, is author ofThe Battleship Book. He serves as a Senior Lecturer at the Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce at the University of Kentucky. His work includes military doctrine, national security, and maritime affairs. He blogs atLawyers, Guns and MoneyandInformation Disseminationand theDiplomat.

This article first appeared in 2017.

Image: Reuters.

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