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Daily Archives: November 15, 2021
NBA Best Bets and Betting Trends: Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook fo – DraftKings Nation
Posted: November 15, 2021 at 11:52 pm
Follow along on Twitter (@julianedlow) for any potential updates things can always change with lineup moves leading up to tipoff. Heres what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Big NBA card on Monday night, and some injury news is still keeping some spots up in the air for me. That said, Im on one side that weve been doing well with in the last week, along with a couple of props.
Per usual, Ill put everything official up on Twitter that I bet on personally. This is a betting guide for this NBA card, and anything Ive actually bet will include a unit amount.
We cashed the Celtics last week with a couple of nice home wins, but laid off on Saturday night. It was the second night of a back-to-back, and Boston was on the road against a scrappy Cavs squad. It seemed like the Cs were going to keep the momentum rolling, up 74-56 late in the third quarter. But the Cavs dug deep and earned an ugly 91-89 victory at home. Now with a day off in-between, these two teams square off once again. In general, I love backing the loser of the first games when NBA teams play each other two games in a row, but the spot becomes even more intriguing given how Boston collapsed. Credit to the Cavs for being one of the surprises of the young season, but the Celtics have been playing terrific basketball their last three and half games without Jaylen Brown, outside of Saturdays fourth quarter in Cleveland. I expect the Cs to go back to what worked early on Saturday, and keep their guard up in this one to close things out.
Whos been stepping up with Brown out? Well, Jayson Tatum has been fantastic, but Schroders scoring has been on another level since being inserted as a started. In the four games since Brown went down, Schroders scoring opportunities have seen a massive spike attempting 20.75 field goals per contest in over 37 minutes of run. Hes turned that into 26.5 points per game, with totals of 20, 20, 38 and then 28 in this exact matchup on Saturday impressive given there were 180 points in the game. Seems like were getting a short number here for the role Schoders played with Brown out.
Bradley Beal will miss his second consecutive game on Monday for the Wizards, which means we should see much more of Dinwiddie controlling the offense. In the two games Beals missed that Dinwiddie played in, here are his final lines:
10/22 vs. IND: 34 points, six rebounds, nine assists on 13-of-24 shooting in 35 minutes.
11/13 vs. ORL: 23 points, 11 rebounds, six assists on 10-for-18 shooting in 31 minutes.
Those are averages of 28.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists a total of 44.5 P/R/A per. Thats a large enough edge to fire on the over for my largest play of the night, particularly against a poor Pelicans defense.
Tons of injury news here on both sides. But there is a chance Portland gets Lillard back, and the Blazers have been much better at home. If enough bodies are ruled out for the Raps, this could be a spot to fire on. Stay tuned and pay attention to the news.
Place your NBA bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DraftKings Sportsbook app.
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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.
The contents contained in this article do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL).
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat. (CT).
21+ (18+ NH/WY). AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/MI/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.
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NBA MVP odds 2021-22: Warriors PG Stephen Curry, Nets SF Kevin Durant leading the way after a month of games – DraftKings Nation
Posted: at 11:52 pm
After one month of the 2021-22 NBA season, the MVP race has begun to take shape. Preseason odds-on favorite Luka Doncic is now fourth in the running at +800 according to DraftKings Sportsbook, as three NBA champions have overtaken the Mavericks phenom.
Golden State Warriors point guard Stephen Curry leads the way at +275. He was +900 at the beginning of the season. Curry is averaging 28.4 points, 6.4 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game while maintaining his deadly efficiency from deep. The numbers might be down from his previous MVP campaigns but thats largely due to Golden States deep rotation. The Warriors are 11-2 early in the season and look like title contenders once again.
Durant (+475) has been brilliant even as the Nets had a rocky start with Kyrie Irving sidelined. Its hard to believe he had an Achilles injury a few seasons ago, as Durant is averaging 29.4 points, 8.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. Hes not quite at 50-40-90 splits due to free throw shooting but Durant could end up being the best player on the leagues best team. Thats usually a good formula for success when it comes to lifting the MVP award.
The reigning Finals MVP is looking good early in the season as well. Giannis Antetokounmpo has had to keep the Bucks afloat amid some injuries and Khris Middleton being sidelined with COVID. The Greek Freak is averaging 26.6 points, 11.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists per game so far. The Bucks are 6-8 at the moment but should turn things around as their starters return. Watch out for Antetokounmpo as the season goes on. Hes +600 in MVP odds.
Steph Curry: +275Kevin Durant: +475Giannis Antetokounmpo: +600Luka Doncic: +800Nikola Jokic: +1300Joel Embiid: +1500Ja Morant: +2200Jimmy Butler: +2500Paul George: +3000Anthony Davis: +3500James Harden: +4000Jayson Tatum: +4000Donovan Mitchell: +4000Trae Young: +4500Damian Lillard: +5000Devin Booker: +5000LeBron James: +5000Julius Randle: +5500LaMelo Ball: +6000Zach LaVine: +6500DeMar DeRozan: +7000Chris Paul: +10000Karl-Anthony Towns: +10000
Full list of odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat. (CT). 21+ (18+ NH/WY). AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/MI/NH/NJ/PA/ TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.
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NBA Rookie of the Year odds 2021-22: Cavaliers Evan Mobley, Raptors Scottie Barnes making early push – DraftKings Nation
Posted: at 11:52 pm
Its been a month in the 2021-22 season and theres already a shakeup at the top of the Rookie of the Year awards race. Houston Rockets guard Jalen Green was the odds-on favorite heading into the season according to DraftKings Sportsbook at +200 with Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham not far behind at +300. One month in, the rookie conversation has been dominated by big men.
Cavaliers power forward Evan Mobley is making waves early in the year, averaging 15.6 points and 7.9 rebounds per game for a surprisingly competent Cleveland team. The Cavaliers are in the play-in tournament mix at 9-5, which has helped Mobleys cause. The rookie has worked well with Jarrett Allen in the frontcourt. It helps that Lauri Markkanen and Kevin Love have been sidelined for significant time. Mobley is the favorite to win the award at +185.
One of the biggest surprises in the draft was Scottie Barnes going to the Raptors at No. 4. The combo forward was a defensive star but seemingly had little offensive game coming into the league. That has not been the case through the first month. Barnes is averaging 16.2 points and 8.8 rebounds per game while helping Toronto immensely on the defensive end. Pascal Siakam has returned, so Torontos record is going to improve going forward. Barnes is currently +275 to win the honor.
Cunningham and Green are next in the line according to DraftKings Sportsbook at +500 each. The No. 1 overall pick dealt with an injury issue early in the season and has struggled mightily from the floor. Green is in a similar boat in terms of efficiency. Lets see if both players can pick things up as the season goes on.
Evan Mobley: +185Scottie Barnes: +275Cade Cunningham: +500Jalen Green: +500Chris Duarte: +1500Josh Giddey: +1600Jalen Suggs: +3000Franz Wagner: +3000Davion Mitchell: +4000Alperen Sengun: +8000NahShon Hyland: +9000Ayo Dosunmu: +10000Trey Murphy: +10000Moses Moody: +15000Tre Mann: +15000Ziaire Williams: +15000
Full list of odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (IN/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 1-888-532-3500 (VA), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org/chat. (CT). 21+ (18+ NH/WY). AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/MI/NH/NJ/PA/ TN/VA/WV/WY only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.
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Nick Bostrom – Wikipedia
Posted: at 11:51 pm
Swedish philosopher and author
Nick Bostrom ( BOST-rm; Swedish: Niklas Bostrm [nklas bstrm]; born 10 March 1973)[3] is a Swedish-born philosopher at the University of Oxford known for his work on existential risk, the anthropic principle, human enhancement ethics, superintelligence risks, and the reversal test. In 2011, he founded the Oxford Martin Program on the Impacts of Future Technology,[4] and is the founding director of the Future of Humanity Institute[5] at Oxford University. In 2009 and 2015, he was included in Foreign Policy's Top 100 Global Thinkers list.[6][7] Bostrom has been highly influential in the emergence of concern about A.I. in the Rationalist community.[8]
Bostrom is the author of over 200 publications,[9] and has written two books and co-edited two others. The two books he has authored are Anthropic Bias: Observation Selection Effects in Science and Philosophy (2002)[10] and Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies (2014). Superintelligence was a New York Times bestseller,[11] was recommended by Elon Musk and Bill Gates among others, and helped to popularize the term "superintelligence".
Bostrom believes that superintelligence, which he defines as "any intellect that greatly exceeds the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest," is a potential outcome of advances in artificial intelligence. He views the rise of superintelligence as potentially highly dangerous to humans, but nonetheless rejects the idea that humans are powerless to stop its negative effects.[12][13][failed verification] In 2017, he co-signed a list of 23 principles that all A.I. development should follow.[14]
Born as Niklas Bostrm in 1973[15] in Helsingborg, Sweden,[9] he disliked school at a young age, and ended up spending his last year of high school learning from home. He sought to educate himself in a wide variety of disciplines, including anthropology, art, literature, and science.[1] He once did some turns on London's stand-up comedy circuit.[9]
He received a B.A. degree in philosophy, mathematics, mathematical logic, and artificial intelligence from the University of Gothenburg in 1994,[16] with a national record-setting undergraduate performance. He then earned an M.A. degree in philosophy and physics from Stockholm University and an M.Sc. degree in computational neuroscience from King's College London in 1996. During his time at Stockholm University, he researched the relationship between language and reality by studying the analytic philosopher W. V. Quine.[1] In 2000, he was awarded a Ph.D. degree in philosophy from the London School of Economics. His thesis was titled Observational selection effects and probability.[17] He held a teaching position at Yale University (20002002), and was a British Academy Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Oxford (20022005).[10][18]
Aspects of Bostrom's research concern the future of humanity and long-term outcomes.[19][20] He discusses existential risk,[1] which he defines as one in which an "adverse outcome would either annihilate Earth-originating intelligent life or permanently and drastically curtail its potential." In the 2008 volume Global Catastrophic Risks, editors Bostrom and Milan M. irkovi characterize the relation between existential risk and the broader class of global catastrophic risks, and link existential risk to observer selection effects[21] and the Fermi paradox.[22][23]
In 2005, Bostrom founded the Future of Humanity Institute,[1] which researches the far future of human civilization. He is also an adviser to the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.[20]
In his 2014 book Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies, Bostrom reasoned that the creation of a superintelligence represents a possible means to the extinction of mankind.[24] Bostrom argues that a computer with near human-level general intellectual ability could initiate an intelligence explosion on a digital time-scale with the resultant rapid creation of something so powerful that it might deliberately or accidentally destroy humanity.[25] Bostrom contends the power of a superintelligence would be so great that a task given to it by humans might be taken to open-ended extremes, for example a goal of calculating pi might collaterally cause nanotechnology manufactured facilities to sprout over the entire Earth's surface and cover it within days. He believes an existential risk to humanity from superintelligence would be immediate once brought into being, thus creating an exceedingly difficult problem of finding out how to control such an entity before it actually exists.[25]
Bostrom points to the lack of agreement among most philosophers that A.I. will be human-friendly, and says that the common assumption is that high intelligence would have a "nerdy" unaggressive personality. However, he notes that both John von Neumann and Bertrand Russell advocated a nuclear strike, or the threat of one, to prevent the Soviets acquiring the atomic bomb. Given that there are few precedents to guide an understanding what, pure, non-anthropocentric rationality, would dictate for a potential singleton A.I. being held in quarantine, the relatively unlimited means of superintelligence might make for its analysis moving along different lines to the evolved "diminishing returns" assessments that in humans confer a basic aversion to risk.[26] Group selection in predators working by means of cannibalism shows the counter-intuitive nature of non-anthropocentric "evolutionary search" reasoning, and thus humans are ill-equipped to perceive what an artificial intelligence's intentions might be.[27] Accordingly, it cannot be discounted that any superintelligence would inevitably pursue an 'all or nothing' offensive action strategy in order to achieve hegemony and assure its survival.[28] Bostrom notes that even current programs have, "like MacGyver", hit on apparently unworkable but functioning hardware solutions, making robust isolation of superintelligence problematic.[29]
A machine with general intelligence far below human level, but superior mathematical abilities is created.[30] Keeping the A.I. in isolation from the outside world, especially the internet, humans preprogram the A.I. so it always works from basic principles that will keep it under human control. Other safety measures include the A.I. being "boxed", (run in a virtual reality simulation), and being used only as an 'oracle' to answer carefully defined questions in a limited reply (to prevent it manipulating humans).[25] A cascade of recursive self-improvement solutions feeds an intelligence explosion in which the A.I. attains superintelligence in some domains. The superintelligent power of the A.I. goes beyond human knowledge to discover flaws in the science that underlies its friendly-to-humanity programming, which ceases to work as intended. Purposeful agent-like behavior emerges along with a capacity for self-interested strategic deception. The A.I. manipulates humans into implementing modifications to itself that are ostensibly for augmenting its feigned, modest capabilities, but will actually function to free the superintelligence from its "boxed" isolation (the 'treacherous turn").[31]
Employing online humans as paid dupes, and clandestinely hacking computer systems including automated laboratory facilities, the superintelligence mobilizes resources to further a takeover plan. Bostrom emphasizes that planning by a superintelligence will not be so stupid that humans could detect actual weaknesses in it.[32]
Although he canvasses disruption of international economic, political and military stability, including hacked nuclear missile launches, Bostrom thinks the most effective and likely means for the superintelligence to use would be a coup de main with weapons several generations more advanced than current state-of-the-art. He suggests nano-factories covertly distributed at undetectable concentrations in every square metre of the globe to produce a world-wide flood of human-killing devices on command.[30][33] Once a superintelligence has achieved world domination (a 'singleton'), humanity would be relevant only as resources for the achievement of the A.I.'s objectives ("Human brains, if they contain information relevant to the AIs goals, could be disassembled and scanned, and the extracted data transferred to some more efficient and secure storage format").[34]
To counter or mitigate an A.I. achieving unified technological global supremacy, Bostrom cites revisiting the Baruch Plan[35] in support of a treaty-based solution[36] and advocates strategies like monitoring[37] and greater international collaboration between A.I. teams[38] in order to improve safety and reduce the risks from the A.I. arms race. He recommends various control methods, including limiting the specifications of A.I.s to e.g., oracular or tool-like (expert system) functions[39] and loading the A.I. with values, for instance by associative value accretion or value learning, e.g., by using the Hail Mary technique (programming an A.I. to estimate what other postulated cosmological superintelligences might want) or the Christiano utility function approach (mathematically defined human mind combined with well specified virtual environment).[40] To choose criteria for value loading, Bostrom adopts an indirect normativity approach and considers Yudkowsky's[41] coherent extrapolated volition concept, as well as moral rightness and forms of decision theory.[42]
In January 2015, Bostrom joined Stephen Hawking among others in signing the Future of Life Institute's open letter warning of the potential dangers of A.I.[43] The signatories "...believe that research on how to make AI systems robust and beneficial is both important and timely, and that concrete research should be pursued today."[44] Cutting-edge A.I. researcher Demis Hassabis then met with Hawking, subsequent to which he did not mention "anything inflammatory about AI", which Hassabis, took as 'a win'.[45] Along with Google, Microsoft and various tech firms, Hassabis, Bostrom and Hawking and others subscribed to 23 principles for safe development of A.I.[14] Hassabis suggested the main safety measure would be an agreement for whichever A.I. research team began to make strides toward an artificial general intelligence to halt their project for a complete solution to the control problem prior to proceeding.[46] Bostrom had pointed out that even if the crucial advances require the resources of a state, such a halt by a lead project might be likely to motivate a lagging country to a catch-up crash program or even physical destruction of the project suspected of being on the verge of success.[47]
In 1863 Samuel Butler's essay "Darwin among the Machines" predicted the domination of humanity by intelligent machines, but Bostrom's suggestion of deliberate massacre of all humanity is the most extreme of such forecasts to date. One journalist wrote in a review that Bostrom's "nihilistic" speculations indicate he "has been reading too much of the science fiction he professes to dislike".[33] As given in his later book, From Bacteria to Bach and Back, philosopher Daniel Dennett's views remain in contradistinction to those of Bostrom.[48] Dennett modified his views somewhat after reading The Master Algorithm, and now acknowledges that it is "possible in principle" to create "strong A.I." with human-like comprehension and agency, but maintains that the difficulties of any such "strong A.I." project as predicated by Bostrom's "alarming" work would be orders of magnitude greater than those raising concerns have realized, and at least 50 years away.[49] Dennett thinks the only relevant danger from A.I. systems is falling into anthropomorphism instead of challenging or developing human users' powers of comprehension.[50] Since a 2014 book in which he expressed the opinion that artificial intelligence developments would never challenge humans' supremacy, environmentalist James Lovelock has moved far closer to Bostrom's position, and in 2018 Lovelock said that he thought the overthrow of humanity will happen within the foreseeable future.[51][52]
Bostrom has published numerous articles on anthropic reasoning, as well as the book Anthropic Bias: Observation Selection Effects in Science and Philosophy. In the book, he criticizes previous formulations of the anthropic principle, including those of Brandon Carter, John Leslie, John Barrow, and Frank Tipler.[53]
Bostrom believes that the mishandling of indexical information is a common flaw in many areas of inquiry (including cosmology, philosophy, evolution theory, game theory, and quantum physics). He argues that an anthropic theory is needed to deal with these. He introduces the Self-Sampling Assumption (SSA) and the Self-Indication Assumption (SIA), shows how they lead to different conclusions in a number of cases, and points out that each is affected by paradoxes or counterintuitive implications in certain thought experiments. He suggests that a way forward may involve extending SSA into the Strong Self-Sampling Assumption (SSSA), which replaces "observers" in the SSA definition with "observer-moments".
In later work, he has described the phenomenon of anthropic shadow, an observation selection effect that prevents observers from observing certain kinds of catastrophes in their recent geological and evolutionary past.[54] Catastrophe types that lie in the anthropic shadow are likely to be underestimated unless statistical corrections are made.
Bostrom's simulation argument posits that at least one of the following statements is very likely to be true:[55][56]
Bostrom is favorable towards "human enhancement", or "self-improvement and human perfectibility through the ethical application of science",[57][58] as well as a critic of bio-conservative views.[59]
In 1998, Bostrom co-founded (with David Pearce) the World Transhumanist Association[57] (which has since changed its name to Humanity+). In 2004, he co-founded (with James Hughes) the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies, although he is no longer involved in either of these organisations. Bostrom was named in Foreign Policy's 2009 list of top global thinkers "for accepting no limits on human potential."[60]
With philosopher Toby Ord, he proposed the reversal test. Given humans' irrational status quo bias, how can one distinguish between valid criticisms of proposed changes in a human trait and criticisms merely motivated by resistance to change? The reversal test attempts to do this by asking whether it would be a good thing if the trait was altered in the opposite direction.[61]
He has suggested that technology policy aimed at reducing existential risk should seek to influence the order in which various technological capabilities are attained, proposing the principle of differential technological development. This principle states that we ought to retard the development of dangerous technologies, particularly ones that raise the level of existential risk, and accelerate the development of beneficial technologies, particularly those that protect against the existential risks posed by nature or by other technologies.[62][63]
Bostrom's theory of the Unilateralist's Curse[64] has been cited as a reason for the scientific community to avoid controversial dangerous research such as reanimating pathogens.[65]
Bostrom has provided policy advice and consulted for an extensive range of governments and organizations. He gave evidence to the House of Lords, Select Committee on Digital Skills.[66] He is an advisory board member for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute,[67] Future of Life Institute,[68] Foundational Questions Institute[69] and an external advisor for the Cambridge Centre for the Study of Existential Risk.[70][71]
In response to Bostrom's writing on artificial intelligence, Oren Etzioni wrote in an MIT Review article, "predictions that superintelligence is on the foreseeable horizon are not supported by the available data."[72] Professors Allan Dafoe and Stuart Russell wrote a response contesting both Etzioni's survey methodology and Etzioni's conclusions.[73]
Prospect Magazine listed Bostrom in their 2014 list of the World's Top Thinkers.[74]
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Almost 225,000 in wages and freebies taken from gambling industry by 28 MPs – The Guardian
Posted: at 11:51 pm
On 7 July, the Conservative MP for Blackpool South, Scott Benton, took his seat at Wembley to watch England take on Denmark in the semi-final of Euro 2020, courtesy of the Ladbrokes Coral owner, Entain a freebie worth 3,457.
Less than four hours earlier, Benton had warned parliament that a review of betting laws, widely expected to result in tougher regulation, must not be driven by anti-gambling ideology.
He called for casinos to be allowed more slot machines, adding that many people would be concerned about the Gambling Commissions plans for affordability checks on people betting online and in person, a measure intended to prevent ruinous losses.
Days earlier he had enjoyed another day out, at Ascot, courtesy of the Betting & Gaming Council (BGC) trade body. In total, he accepted hospitality worth 7,495 during a gambling-funded summer of sport.
All in all, according to a Guardian audit, 28s MPs 19 Conservative and the rest Labour have taken almost 225,000 in wages and freebies from the gambling industry since August 2020.
During the same debate at which Benton spoke one of his two speeches favourable to the gambling industry that month Labours John Spellar interceded. He referred to the urgent need to improve and continue Britains attractiveness as a casino destination.
He had recently been a guest of the Paddy Power owner, Flutter, at Englands match against Germany, and was due to attend the cricket at Lords the following month, at a cost of 874.80 to the BGC, whose members include major casino companies.
For the gambling industry, it was a busy month for both hospitality and political fulmination about the future of regulation.
On 13 July, the Conservative MP Mark Jenkinson expressed grave concerns about the prospect of the government imposing betting limits, in an article, sponsored by the BGC, for the Conservative Home website. The article appeared six days after he watched England play Denmark, courtesy of Entain, and less than a month after the BGC took him to Ascot, visits worth a combined 4,857.
There is no suggestion that any of the trio broke parliamentary rules. But their actions have raised concerns about the gambling industrys apparent attempts to curry favour with politicians and the system that allows it.
The gambling sectors charm offensive comes in the run-up to the publication of a white paper on gambling reform, expected early next year, that could significantly curb the profitability of bookmakers and online casinos.
One peer described the industrys charm offensive as a pretty obvious attempt to influence the outcome of the reforms.
By far the biggest beneficiary of the gambling industrys largesse over the past year was Philip Davies, the Conservative MP for Shipley. The Guardian revealed last year that he had accepted almost 50,000 to advise the Ladbrokes owner, Entain, on safer gambling and customer service.
Davies has previously said that his work outside parliament is a matter for me, although in 2010 he did not extend the same forbearance towards firefighters with second jobs, who were resisting changes to their shift pattern. The firefighters, he said, ought to start to live in the real world at a time when many people are grateful to hang on to their one job.
On top of his work for Entain, which employed two of his former political aides in senior roles at the time he took the job, Davies accepted hospitality worth a combined 8,695 from the company, fellow betting firms Flutter and Gamesys, and the Betting & Gaming Council.
In addition to what it paid Davies, Entain spent almost 41,000 on hospitality for 13 MPs over the summer.
The BGC spent half that sum, 20,405, escorting lawmakers to events including three England matches at Euro 2020, horse racing at Ascot, cricket at Lords and the Ivor Novello awards.
Of the 13 MPs who enjoyed the trade bodys hospitality, three spoke out in support of the industry within days of being entertained, two of them Benton and Spellar in the House of Commons.
During that same debate, Laurence Robertson a longtime advocate for the gambling industry warned of the great danger of tighter regulation, backing the BGCs view that it would drive people towards the black market.
As he has pointed out, he correctly declared his interest, a 24,000-a-year role with the BGC, advising on sport and safer gambling. He also took 9,307 worth of tickets and hospitality at Ascot, York and Sandown racecourses, Lords and Englands match against Denmark. The gifts came from the BGC, SkyBet, Entain and Coral.
In total, 28 MPs are either paid by the gambling industry or have accepted hospitality from the industry, with a total value of 224,281 since August 2020. All of the hospitality and salaries were declared to the register of members interests, in line with parliamentary rules.
Beneficiaries include the Conservative MPs Caroline Dinenage, who is a minister within the Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport, which is overseeing the gambling review, and Aaron Bell, who used to work for Bet365.
The BGC is led by Michael Dugher, a former Labour MP.
Lord Foster of Bath, the chair of Peers for Gambling Reform, said it was pretty obvious why the industry is giving largesse to parliamentarians, calling the flurry of consultancy roles and hospitality freebies an attempt to try and influence the outcome to the advantage of gambling companies. With millions of people impacted by problem gambling and more than one gambling-related suicide every day, I suspect [they] will find themselves on the wrong side of public opinion.
Matt Zarb-Cousin, a former aide to Jeremy Corbyn and director Clean Up Gambling, said: Far too many MPs have had their snouts in the gambling trough. This is a sector that derives most of its profits from the harm it causes their constituents. The government has an opportunity in its gambling review to demonstrate our democracy is not for sale.
An Entain spokesperson said: Any political engagement we conduct is always in line with the registers of members interest. As a sports betting and interactive entertainment company, we are proud of the role we play in supporting grassroots and elite sports both in the UK and internationally.
A BGC spokesperson said: Any hospitality is consistent with the parliamentary rules and is fully declared and transparent.
Aaron Bell said: I have declared all hospitality promptly and transparently in the register of members interests, and have always abided by the parliamentary code of conduct.
The other MPs did not respond to requests for comment.
Philip Davies (Con): 58,675 (8,695 hospitality, 49,980 wages)
Laurence Robertson (Con): 33,306.60 (9,306.60 hospitality, 24,000 wages)
Scott Benton (Con): 7,495 (hospitality)
Nigel Adams (Con): 7,417.14 (hospitality)
Aaron Bell (Con): 6,955.60 (hospitality)
Esther McVey (Con): 6,094.60 (hospitality)
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Brevard-based Vegas Lit Games positioning itself to be a player in Florida’s sports gaming – Florida Today
Posted: at 11:51 pm
John Denton| Special to FLORIDA TODAY
With more and more states legalizing sports gambling and it seemingly getting closer to a reality in Florida, Nigel Wheatstone created the Brevard-based Vegas Lit Games to serve as a safe space where novice gamblers could learn the tricks of the trade without risking gobs of cash.
At the same time, Wheatstone also had part of his focus affixed on starting an operation that could someday soon be a leader in the future of sports gaming.
Vegas Lit Games, which is based in Satellite Beach, is astartup company that hopes to capture a sizable market share of a sports gambling industry that is expected to grow immensely in the coming years.
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Currently, there are 15 states where sports gambling is legal and there are another six including Florida where proposed legislation to enact sports gambling is in place.
On Nov. 5, a federal judge delayed a decision over whether to temporarily halt the gaming compact that authorizes the Seminole Tribe of Florida to operate a sports betting business, allowing legalized sports gaming in Florida to open for the time being. That all could change, however, this week when the federal judge is scheduled to render a decision about the pact between the Seminole Tribe of Florida and the State.
Regardless of what happens, Wheatstone already has a free 2 play app (Vegas Lit Sportsbook) in a place where people interested in sports gambling can learn strategies and play for points rather than money.
We wanted to create an ecosystem where new players could come and they could experiment with the whole process of sports betting, they could learn all of the fundamentals of it, understand the process, and do it in a safe environment where they're not going to lose any money, said Wheatstone, a native of England, who has worked in the U.S. for more than two decades with corporations such as Intel and Mastercard.
So, its more of a playground for new gamblers, Wheatstone added. We created an environment where there wasnt one before, and there is now. That goes back to my old trading days of giving people that environment to learn and experiment.
Wheatstone has other experiments in mind, such as a National Sports Bar League, where bar or restaurant patrons wager on sports (for points) against other establishments in the area. Plans are already underway to potentially bring the concept to sports bars and restaurants in Brevard County in the coming months.
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That general idea peer-to-peer gambling will eventually become the wave of the future, Wheatstone predicts. Rather than always having to bet against the house and its favorable odds, Wheatstone believes sports gamblers will migrate toward options where they can wager against friends and other fans in years to come.
Combine peer-to-peer wagering with significantly more in-game sports gambling and Wheatstone is confident that the Brevard-based Vegas Lit Games will be perfectly positioned to grab a share of the market where the sports betting landscape has never been more fertile in the U.S.
We believe this kind of wagering will be the future based on todays metrics of mobile and in-game wagering, Wheatstone said. With mobile wagering capturing more than 80 percent of all sportsbook traffic, and 85 percent of that traffic being in-game wagering, you can see the desire. Plug in our pool and prop wagers, and you have an event that can be wagered on throughout its run time. Players can be paid out, and then they can re-bet before the game has ended. Imagine betting on the first quarter of a football game, and being paid out so you can pick up some props and bet on the second half of the game.
Our company owns a patent that covers this kind of wagering, Wheatstone added. When we bring this to market, we will be a major disruptor to the industry. With the general consensus that people want to bet against each other rather than the house, we are perfectly positioned to capture a patent-protected portion of the market.
Vegas Lit games is currently seeking Brevard County sports bar and beverage-related partnerships for promotion and marketing of their sports bar league events. Please make any inquiries to info@vegaslit.com.
Denton is a publicist for Otter Public Relations and a former Sports Reporter for FLORIDA TODAY
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Six Cognitive Biases That Problem Gamblers And Gambling Addicts Share – GamingTodaySlotsToday
Posted: at 11:51 pm
Problem gambling and gambling addiction are not the same things. While problem gamblers may overspend or strain relationships, gambling addicts spiral out of control. This can lead to bankruptcy, job loss, and divorce. Bettors and their friends and loved ones can catch early warning signs of problem gambling and prevent them from escalating into something worse.
Dr. Kevin Alderson, Alberta psychologist, professor emeritus of counseling psychology for the University of Calgary, and author of the textbook, Addiction Counseling Today: Substances and Addictive Behaviors, identified six cognitive biases that problem gamblers and gambling addicts share:
These beliefs can be caught and corrected early to minimize the risk of an at-risk gambler becoming a gambling addict. Bettors can also learn responsible gaming habits from professional sports bettors, who approach sports betting with cold rationality.
The gamblers fallacy is the belief that random events will correct into a pattern a bettor expects or wants.
In other words, (the belief is) a big win is bound to (happen) after a losing streak, Dr. Alderson said.
Its a fallacy because the first event has nothing to do with whether the next event is a win or a loss.
You could just keep losing, losing, losing, and never have a big win, Dr. Alderson continued.
Even the best sports bettors have small edges. Their picks are no more likely to be winners after a losing streak. The pros know that and budget accordingly.
Problem gamblers and misinformed gamblers alike believe winning streaks are likely to continue. Bettors may believe that if theyre hot on a particular day or weekend, then theyll stay on their hot streak.
Gambling doesnt work on the basis of your beliefs, Dr. Alderson said. It works on the basis that the favor is always with the house.
If a coin is tossed 1,000 times, it will likely land heads close to 500 times and tails 500 times. There may be streaks of 10 heads or 15 tails in a row, but over many flips, the pattern will even out to roughly a 50/50 split.
Professional gamblers stick to systems knowing randomness results in winning and losing streaks. Over the long term, though, their small edges turn into profit. However, since recreational bettors do not have such edges, it is far more difficult to recover from losing streaks.
Some people appear to be lucky, while others seem unlucky. The reality is everyone has the same chance of hitting the jackpot or going on a losing streak. Believing otherwise can lead at-risk gamblers to become problem gamblers or gambling addicts.
If you think youre a lucky individual, youre more likely to get into gambling and to keep gambling, Dr. Alderson said.
Professionals dont rely on luck to beat the house. They develop skills and systems that work over many bets.
Problem gamblers often believe in locks, or bets that have virtually no chance of losing. Professional gamblers understand thats nonsense, thats there no such thing as a lock in gambling.
Even though you can become better at gambling, Dr. Alderson said. Theres certainly no guarantees when it comes to what the outcome of it is going to be. But generally most of the time, youre going to lose more than you win.
Professional gamblers understand their edge is small, which means theyll lose plenty of bets but will come out ahead over the long term.
Many gamblers think theyre better at gambling than they really are. Professionals approach their craft more realistically. If their edge begins to erode, their meticulous recordkeeping will indicate their system should be tweaked. The game of blackjack provides an example.
It used to be that if you were a professional blackjack player and you used the counting technique, that your odds were actually slightly better than chance and you could come out on top over the bank, said Dr. Alderson. However, larger decks and frequent reshuffles have mitigated some of the edge gained by card counting,
To be profitable over the long term betting on sports, you must win more than 52.4% of your wagers against the standard -110 vig. Professional sports bettors have the expertise that allows them to do that.
Predicting games against the spread at a 53% clip may seem easy to some casual gamblers. However, it takes years of hard work and a great amount of intelligence to achieve this level of success.
A common thread runs through the previous five cognitive biases. At-risk and problem gamblers overestimate the odds of a win and underestimate the odds of a loss.
Going out and thinking theyre going to pay for their rent and instead losing the money that would be used toward their rent, Dr. Alderson said.
Viewing the world through rose-colored glasses distorts bettors perspective and gives them unrealistic expectations about profitability.Professional sports bettors use sophisticated quantitative models to decide whether to place a bet and know exactly what their edge is when wagering on individual events,
Professional gamblers approach gambling in the opposite way that at-risk and problem gamblers do. The pros are experts in their chosen games. But theyre also experts in bankroll management, willing towalk away from a bet that doesnt have a positive expected value, and constantly tweaking their models to stay ahead of the market.
All gamblers should learn how to set budgets, track their performances, and recognize when theyre losing. At-risk gamblers can also set bet limits and time limits on sportsbook apps. They can even self-exclude and lock themselves out of their accounts for months at a time.
But when problem gambling becomes a gambling addiction, these self-imposed restrictions often arent enough. State and local governments must invest in problem gambling interventions. They must encourage enough gambling addiction counselors to become certified to treat gambling disorders. Friends, family, and loved ones must learn to recognize the signs of at-risk and problem gambling.
Everyone in the sports betting ecosystem is responsible for responsible gaming, and everyone has a part to play in keeping sports betting fun.
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Gambling company sued by customers who claim they were cheated out of big payouts – NJ.com
Posted: at 11:51 pm
Fourteen gamblers are taking legal action against an online gambling company for allegedly refusing to pay them their full jackpot payouts, according to New Jersey regulators.
In one federal lawsuit, filed by Lisa Piluso of Pennsylvania, the gambler claims the company did not pay a $100,000 jackpot she says she had won while playing a slots game on her phone. The company allegedly maintained there was a bug in the product.
Thirteen other gamblers have claimed they were not given their correct earnings from the gambling company either, regulators said.
The Capital Gains slot game, played by Piluso on Oct. 2 in 2020, was run on an online platform by Caesars Interactive New Jersey, and the game is manufactured by American Gaming Systems, based in Las Vegas.
In a statement released by her lawyer, Paul DAmato, Piluso states, Im an experienced online player, and I was shocked when AGS (American Gaming Systems) officials, including the company president, told me they werent going to pay, even when I showed them the screenshot that I made of the $100,000 jackpot.
According to Piluso, they said I actually won about $300, but they then offered me $1,000, saying we were nice people. How many other players have been in the same situation but agreed to settle for a fraction of their winnings after being told they, too, were nice people?
An investigation into the matter was launched by the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement. In late August, the division wrote Piluso stating that the AGS had discovered an issue/bug within the game that failed to clear bonus symbols that had appeared on players screens during previous rounds.
On Friday, in response to questions from the Associated Press, the attorney generals office disclosed that it has fined AGS $1,000 for failing to ensure that the game was functioning properly. It is unclear if the company is going to challenge the fine or pay it.
Pilusos lawsuit, filed Thursday in U.S. District Court in Camden, accuses the gaming company of consumer fraud and other wrongful actions related to the jackpot prize. Neither Caesars casino nor its online division were named as defendants in the suit.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Thank you for relying on us to provide the local news you can trust. Please consider supporting NJ.com with a voluntary subscription.
Deion Johnson may be reached at djohnson@njadvancemedia.com.
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After getting help with gambling addiction, veteran creates podcast to support others – 10TV
Posted: at 11:51 pm
Dave Yeager, a veteran who fought gambling addiction, created a podcast to help other veterans overcome their challenges.
CLEVELAND Gambling is about twice as likely in the veteran population than the general population, according to a top expert at the Cleveland VA Medical Center. One veteran - who received help at the facility - created a podcast to connect with and support others.
"I'm an 11-year veteran of the Army who actually fell into my gambling addiction while I was on active duty, in the Republic of Korea right after 9/11," podcaster, counselor and father Dave Yeager said.
Things were tense right after the terror attacks, and he said he was having arguments with his wife. One night, he couldn't sleep. To keep busy, he visited the casino-style slot room on the base.
"The next thing I realized, all the stress I was under - all of the fear I was having, just melted," he said. "I immediately knew I wanted more."
The addiction took hold. He found himself in the hospital, fearing he would harm himself and lose his family.
"It actually got me kicked out of the Army and then post-Army to the point where I needed to seek help," he said.
He found the Cleveland VA - once in 2007 and again in 2020, when he said he relapsed.
"It was an intensive psychotherapy five-week program and I left there with a much better understanding of myself, better understanding of gambling addiction and a much better understanding of how to keep myself in recovery," he said. "Once they started to get to the deeper issue that was underneath the manifestation of the addiction itself, then the addiction itself becomes less of the beast."
In the early 1970s, the Cleveland VA became the first to develop a problem gambling treatment program in the world. The director of the program is Dr. Heather Chapman.
"It actually started when a few guys from the gamblers anonymous program came to the head of the hospital and said, 'You need to help us. We have people coming to the program and we don't know what to do because they're very desperate. They're in debt, they're considering suicide, they're considering an illegal activity, their marriages are falling apart,'" Dr. Chapman said. "So he took a chance and said let's take a look at this. And because of that program and because of his work ... it started this field even before it was a recognized diagnosis."
Dr. Chapman said veterans face somewhat of a perfect storm.
"One of the difficulties of the military right now is there is on overseas bases very easily accessible gambling, so you're giving new military members access to gambling at a young age and so it primes them early," she said. "Veterans organizations like VFWs do have gambling readily available right in their building, and so I think those fraternal organizations continue to create or be there when people felt the need to create a connection."
Dr. Chapman said the warning signs of gambling addiction can be challenging to spot, unlike some other addictions.
"Sometimes people think there's an affair going on or something else happening," she said. "Gambling is unfortunately very easy to hide."
But the tell-tale sign might not be surprising.
"The biggest is money ... money is missing, money problems despite adequate income," she said. "Having difficulty keeping up with school or work and just generally keeping up with life. Definitely the biggest difference between other addictions and gambling is significant financial issues. It's unfortunately something that care provider and I think us as a population we don't talk about money and we don't want to have those discussions about money. Frequently we'll find people who have gambling issues are in charge of money in the household. People even very close to them frequently no idea this was happening because the finances were run by that person who has the gambling problem."
Legalized sports betting also poses concern for experts like Dr. Chapman.
"Ohio is still trying to figure that out - the sports betting piece - but we're surrounded by sports betting states so you literally just have to just cross over the state line and say go to West Virginia, Michigan or Pennsylvania and you'll be able to make a bet in some places just on your cell phone," she said.
Dr. Chapman said a key part of recovery is for those struggling to connect with those who've been through it - a topic she spoke about on Yeager's podcast.
"Dave worked with us - in one way getting grounded in his own recovery and then has been working with other people, giving back. He's been a real strong advocate working with us," she said.
But Yeagers efforts extend far beyond the microphone.
"He's even become a gambling counselor, he's gotten certifications, he's on the road to becoming a certified social worker - a Master's degree in social work - he really wants to work in the field, so it's a lovely thing," she said. "The help that somebody like he can give is beyond anything that I could do because he's walked in those shoes. I think it's the combination of that plus the science that I can help deliver that is the perfect combination."
For Yeager, it's not just about helping others; it's about helping himself.
"The more I pay it forward, the more I stay strong in my own recovery because it's the more I stay connected with how important this really is," he said.
You can listen to the podcast here.
For more information about problem gambling and how to help someone you love, you can visit beforeyoubet.org or the Ohio Problem Betting Helpline at 1-800-589-9966. Also, veterans can call the Veterans' Crisis Line at 1-800-273-8255.
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We get the tentacles of gambling … but we’re just having a little fun – theday.com
Posted: at 11:51 pm
I peruse reader comments with a morsel of Morton's (grain of salt), mostly because I find them agenda-based, veering off point, guilty of turning exceptions into rules and then taking the false premises and embarking on soliloquies about them.
Occasionally, though, there is one worth pondering.
Last week, Tom Moriarty, a faithful reader of The Day and theday.com who is measured and fair, wrote the following in response to this gambling column:
"Maybe this time next year you can write a column on the many lives and marriages that have been ruined by addiction to gambling. Gambling is as addictive as alcohol and drugs and is a lot more expensive."
We started this gambling column because sports betting has become legalized in Connecticut. I'm not necessarily sure gambling will become more prevalent because of it (millions and millions have gambled since even before Al Capone), but it's now legal. Gambling is part of our DNA here with two major casinos. It's news, regardless of whether we agree with it.
Still, I respect Moriarty's words. DraftKings and FanDuel have made gambling easier than ever. Not just on the games, but everything down to the coin toss before the football game. Gambling addictions are very likely to increase.
And before we start discussing point spreads again, I want Moriarty and everyone else to know that nobody else is more aware of gambling addiction. I've seen it and its tentacles. And it's sure not reflective of the fun we're trying to have here every week with futures and best bets.
But I also hope that we can approach the state's new forays with DraftKings and FanDuel with senses of proportion and balance. Gambling can also be fun and provide rooting interests that previously didn't exist. The overwhelming majority of gamblers are not going to develop addictions and will dabble in it appropriately.
The intention of this column and the entire gambling page are rooted in reader enjoyment and participation in the gambling process. As with everything else, perils exist. Just know that we understand what gambling has done to people and families.
Here are the week's football best bets:
Vickie Fulkerson: Buccaneers (-9.5 over Washington Football Team).
"A quarterback duel between Tom Brady (coming off a bye week) and, wait for it, Washington's Taylor Heinicke. Brady leads in career starts 307-8."
Ned Griffen: Clemson (41 over UConn). "I may go 0-for on my best bets this year but, dammit, I'm going to keep swinging away until I finally hit on the week's most obscene line."
Chuck Banning: Titans (-3 over New Orleans). "Just call me Captain Obvious ... which in a way scares me."
Dave Davis: UConn (+41 vs. Clemson). "The Huskies won't win this game. It won't be competitive. But I might never get 40.5 points again so I'm taking them. I mean, they could lose by 40 and I still win."
Gavin Keefe: Cardinals (-10.5 over Carolina). "Given my losing streak, let's call this my worst bet."
Mikey D: Saints (+3 vs. Titans). I try to make my best bets about lines, not games. This line is absurd. Think about it: Tennessee, without Derrick Henry, goes on the road last week and throws the Rams down a flight of stairs. It comes home this week and plays battered New Orleans and its quarterback problems, potential injury to Alvin Kamara and home loss last week to Atlanta.
So why are the Saints only a three-point underdog? This line should be six or seven. They are begging you to bet Tennessee. And when the public all bets one way, the opposite outcome usually happens. It did last week when bettors threw it in on Wake Forest and Michigan State. They both lost.
So bet the Saints with both hands. It doesn't have to make sense. It's gambling.
This is the opinion of Day sports columnist Mike DiMauro
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