Daily Archives: May 3, 2021

Post Views: 551

It is sometimes very hard to understand human nature. We can take one of the best examples for such a statement from the act of gambling. It is impossible to find logical reasoning behind the behavior of a regular gambler. Casinos offer numerous types of games of chance but they all have one thing in common: They are all made to make the casino owners profitable.

We live in an era of abundant online gambling. It is one of the favorite pastimes for people of all generations across the globe. From regular online pokies in Australia to extraordinary progressive jackpots at American casinos, large masses are drawn by these simple machines. It doesnt matter that a player can never beat any casino game in the long run. Why are so many people still so tempted to head over to these brick-and-mortar establishments? Why does the gambling industry keep flourishing? The near-miss effect could provide some answers.

The potency of near misses is greater than you can imagine. As wrong as it sounds in gambling, people are usually not aware of their losses. They rather see them as almost-wins. Indeed, if you think of any other niche or branch, there is much more rationale behind such a theory.

Lets take tennis as an example. Youve started your career as a teenager and received a wildcard for the first round of the US Open. You got lucky with the draw and actually offered a strong display taking the match into the fifth set. In the decider, a single point made the difference in the favor of your opponent. Would you consider that defeat a failure? No, you would rather look at the match as the one you had a chance of winning. It will only motivate you to keep training harder for the next battle.

Now, lets imagine you losing that same match in straight sets without offering any sort of resistance. You would think that tennis was not the right sport for you. You would not be motivated to train and you would eventually give it up.

Can you now recognize the difference between the two losses? At the end of the day, it was the same outcome, as you lost the match. However, it was that moment when you almost won that kept you motivated and eventually made all the difference.

The aforementioned example can be applied to a wide array of activities. When you play video games like Fortnite, Ninjala, Cyberpunk 2077, etc., you will have the option to improve your characters by completing certain challenges. If these challenges are impossible to beat, you will try them just once and never again. However, if you get close to making it count, the effect will compel you to try again.

Such a rationale is perfectly fine when it comes to activities that require skills. Unfortunately (or should we say luckily for casinos), our brain is incapable of differentiating these from activities driven by luck (the majority of casino games).

Casinos are well aware of the near-miss effect and they take the maximum advantage from it. Lets say you want to spin some reels on your favorite slot machine. The paytable reveals that the life-changing jackpot is paid when you land three lucky sevens. You will come so close to hitting it by landing two lucky 7s and an orange. You will almost feel like youve won, and you will immediately be tempted to insert more money into the machine in an attempt to hit it next time.

A royal flush is the strongest hand in poker. If you have a ten, jack, queen and king of hearts, you just need an ace of hearts to be unbeatable. However, if it doesnt land, you have a trash hand and youd be better off with a pair of twos. The same goes for roulette and pretty much any other casino game.

At the end of the day, close losses should never make any kind of difference at games with no skill involved. Sadly, our dopamine neurons just dont get it.

The rest is here:

The Effects of the Near-Miss Feature in Gambling - Study Breaks

Louisville, Ky.

For racing purists, the Kentucky Oaks stretch duel between the still undefeated Malathaat and the formerly undefeated Search Results provided plenty of excitement Friday afternoon in the 75-degree sunshine at Churchill Downs.

For gamblers, though, it was pretty entertaining to see one click of the tote board about 2 hours earlier. That was when Mattress Mack dropped the gauntlet on what he promises will be a seven-figure investment Saturday in Kentucky Derby favorite Essential Quality.

The owner of Gallery Furniture and a renowned whale of a sports gambler, Jim McIngvale put $500,000 on a Friday win bet, the equivalent of an appetizer. The main course is coming Saturday, when he reaches deeper into the $4 million he wired to the Downs.

Im going to be betting with both hands, is what he told Horse Racing Nation right after he moved the needle. Actually, he pegged it.

When one of his associates proxied his ante at a betting window around 3:15 p.m. EDT, Essential Quality went from a 5-1 second choice to a 3-5 favorite. At the time McIngvales money represented about 40 percent of the win pool. Four hours later, though, the pool was catching up with Mack. Essential Quality had drifted to even money.

Wait til Saturday.

Mack said this week he would probably bet $2 million on Essential Quality to win. By the time McIngvale and everyone else are done before the Derbys6:57 p.m. EDT post time Saturday, that stake might be about 3 percent of the total win-place-show pool. In other words, expect plenty more movement in the odds between now and post time.

Fridays Oaks might have provided a good omen to McIngvale. That is because another favorite prevailed in the Oaks. Despite a poor start from post position 10, Malathaat (5-2) and his Hall of Fame jockey John Velzquez appeared unfazed, especially chasing soft early fractions of 23.60 and 47.47 seconds.

The strategy was to break well and get a good position, he said. I thought I would take my chances and put my horse into the position that I should have been. She helped me get there.

That was within striking distance of Search Results (5-1). Velzquez took Malathaat wide through the second turn and was set to pounce down the middle of a track that yielded the sixth-fastest time in the 62 times the Oaks has been run at its current 1-mile distance.

It was just a matter that hopefully there was enough pace up front that they would come back to her a little bit, said winning trainer Todd Pletcher, now a four-time Oaks winner. Shes the kind of filly who loves a target.

Going stride for stride through the deep stretch with that target, a.k.a. Search Results, Malathaat finally got the lead and won by a neck. Now she is 5-for-5. Search Results is 3-for-4.

With 60-year-old Jon Court riding, Wills Secret (26-1) came out a nose ahead of Clairire (7-1) in the show photo to finish third. Wills Secret is trained by Dallas Stewart, who has a penchant for getting long shots to hit the board and fatten exotic bets in the biggest races. Fridays trifecta paid 463-1.

This fillys been knocking heads all year, Stewart said of Wills Secret, a five-time starter since Dec. 20. We ran hard in Hot Springs (for two stakes wins), and now we ran hard here.

At a time when horse racing long ago preceded the NBA into a mindset of load management, rolling a young filly out for five starts in a little more than four months is strictly old school. In contrast, Malathaat was rested for four months between her three victories as a 2-year-old and her two victories as a 3-year-old, both in April.

Running a filly a little or a lot is a gamble, a word that should have a lot more definitions in the dictionary. As a noun it has just one. An enterprise undertaken or attempted with a risk of loss and a chance of profit or success.

Still, it just seems like Malathaat and Wills Secret and Mattress Mack are in different leagues. Major league? Minor league? Perhaps those distinctions are in the eyes of the gamblers themselves.

Ron Flatters regularly scheduled racing column is available every Friday morning at VSiN.com. It is posted more frequently during coverage of big events like this weeks Kentucky Derby. You may also hear the Ron Flatter Racing Pod posted Friday mornings at VSiN.com/podcasts. There are two episodes this week. One is a pop-up featuringLas Vegas bookmakers and horseplayers Chris Andrews, Johnny Avello and Duane Colucci. They analyze every horse inSaturdays running of the Derby. The regular episode from Louisvilleincludes trainers Brad Cox, Chad Brown and Todd Pletcher plus jockey Luis Sez, Kentucky turf writer and publisher Jennie Rees and Jim Mattress Mack McIngvale, who talks about his $2 million worth of bets on Essential Quality. Every episode of the RFRP is available at iHeart, Apple, Google, Spotify, Stitcher and at VSiN.com/podcasts.It is sponsored by 1/ST BET.

More here:

Gambling: It is defined by Mack and the Oaks - VSiN

Arlington Heights trustees Monday will consider prohibiting Churchill Downs Inc. from placing a restrictive covenant on the Arlington Park land, as part of the municipality's effort to preserve redevelopment options for the massive site -- including its continued operation as a horse racing track or adding other forms of gambling there.

Trustees will also vote on a resolution calling for an overlay zoning district that would list specific uses village officials don't want to see on the property, from adult businesses to kiddie parks.

"We are planning to take some proactive steps to ensure that any future plans discussed for Arlington Racetrack meet the desired land uses the village would like to see on this significant parcel, and that the door to continued horse racing at the track remains open," Mayor Tom Hayes said in a statement Friday.

The village board meeting will be the elected panel's first significant discussion on the disposition of the 326 acres at Euclid Avenue and Wilke Road since Churchill Downs put the site up for sale in February. The meeting comes ahead of a June 15 deadline for interested developers and investors to submit proposals to the Louisville, Kentucky-based horse racing and gambling corporation.

Horse trainer Mike Campbell, president of the Illinois Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association, told the Daily Herald this week that he's serving as a facilitator with a group of investors who hope to preserve live horse racing at the track. Their proposal includes the addition of industrial, residential and entertainment components, plus a hotel, on the sprawling property.

Fellow trainer Larry Rivelli also told the Daily Herald this week he's involved in an effort with other trainers and owners to buy the historic track.

Hayes said this week the continuation of live horse racing -- as well as the long-rumored prospect of a Chicago Bears stadium -- are both on the table.

The proposed prohibition on Churchill from creating any restrictive private real estate covenants on gambling appears designed to head off the possibility the company might seek such language in a land deal. Churchill's sale of Arlington was precipitated by its decision not to add slots and table games at the track after its earlier acquisition of a 61% stake in Rivers Casino in nearby Des Plaines.

The move not to apply for extra gambling at the track was decried by Campbell, horsemen and village officials, but Churchill executives said the tax structure of the 2019 state gambling expansion law was unworkable.

The ban on restrictive covenants would "preserve all options for the property whether it includes complete redevelopment through a long-term master plan or continued use as a horse racing facility with additional redevelopment," the village staff wrote in the board meeting packet.

Village officials believe any type of restrictive covenant concerning gambling uses would be contrary to village code and the village's public policy, they wrote.

The village board meeting is set for 7:30 p.m. and will be held virtually at vah.com.

See the original post here:

Arlington Heights to consider prohibiting Churchill Downs from barring gambling in track sale - Daily Herald

The gambling industry is surprisingly thriving despite the current situation. When the pandemic started, the online gambling sector somewhat blew up. The industrys online sector is what we can say has benefited from the pandemic since land casinos were forced to temporarily halt their operations during the lockdown period.

Last year, the global gambling industrys market size was able to reach an astonishing value of over 465 billion US dollars. Yet, this number is still expected to grow in the coming years as technology gets better than ever.

With that, we can expect that the best online casinos out there will be welcoming more customers or players this year and even in the next few years. Some reports do suggest that by the end of this year, the global gambling market value could grow as much as 516 billion USD. The future of the gambling industry is just looking bright.

The Online Gambling Sector

When it comes to gambling, there are the three most common ways to go about it. There is the land casino market, the underground or the black market, and the online gambling market. In 2019, the online gambling market size was estimated to be around 54 billion USD. By 2027, it should be able to reach over 127 billion USD with a CAGR of 11.5 percent.

Its easy to understand why people are starting to gamble online more often. Aside from the pandemic, its generally convenient and could even be cheaper. Traveling to land casino hotspots like Las Vegas or the Atlantic City could be an expensive experience compared to just going online to gamble.

Technology has also made the online gambling experience better than ever. Its also generally safe to transact online nowadays that people are more willing to participate in online activities like shopping and gambling.

With the pandemic, many land casinos and bookies operate at a limited capacity. There are also travel restrictions in some places until today and the best solution to be able to entertain ones self with gambling is to go online. This is why the online sector is booming and is likely to remain to do so in the next years.

Online Gambling Trends That Are Shaping the Future

Gambling and technology go hand in hand when it comes to development and advancement. As online gambling gets bigger, the bigger the demand is getting when it comes to a great user experience. Today, here are the latest online gambling trends that are shaping up the future of gambling.

Many online gamblers are now starting to prefer live dealer games and live betting. Live dealer games are available for casino favorites like blackjack, poker, and roulette. Here, online players get to sit on a virtual table and interact with a live dealer. Some would also allow the players to chat with each other.

Live betting or also known as in-game or in-play betting is also a hit for many punters out there. With this, they can place a bet during a live match. Usually, a live betting odd would only be available for a few seconds that using a betting app is the most convenient for this. People take part in live gambling for a more thrilling and realistic online experience.

Cryptocurrency gambling is still in its infancy but its becoming more popular these days because of its value. As Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies like Doge, Cardano, and many more make noise because of their value, more people are starting to use cryptos to transact online.

The gambling industry was quick to adopt its use and today, there are many online casinos and betting sites that are finally accepting cryptocurrency transactions. Many are saying that the use of cryptocurrencies in the future of online transactions including online gambling. Its not impossible as today, there are even gambling sites that only cater to cryptocurrency users.

When online gambling started in the 90s, many probably thought that it would not go any further than that. However, when smartphones were created, online businesses quickly shifted to the mobile market. Today, the mobile market accounts for a huge chunk of the gambling industry. A great example is how 80 to 90 percent of the sports betting handle in New Jersey is from the mobile sector.

Right now, when we think of mobile, we immediately picture smartphone devices but things may be different in the future. Wearables like a smartwatch are also becoming more advanced than today, people can place bets with them. Its not impossible that this could very well be a huge trend in the gambling business.

Read more here:

What the Future of Online Gambling Looks Like - Santa Clarita Valley Signal

Late-season NBA is in full swing and if you arent familiar with what that entails, it means a lot of late news, 10-day contracts, whacky rotations, and injury reports longer than your 8-year-old childs Christmas list. That also means betting opportunities ripe for the picking.

Below are a pair of bets that I am targeting Tuesday. If odds are available at the time of writing, they are listed. If not, I will note the cut-off of when I would avoid making the bet and what odds to target.

Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets

The pick: over 220.5 points (-115, PointsBet)

What do you get when you combine two teams averaging over 100 possessions per game that have combined for an average of 243 points per game in each of their first two games this season? Apparently, an implied total of only 220.5 points. If youre following, thats incredibly low for this matchup. Both games have sailed over so far this season, the latter being without LaMelo Ball and Gordon Hayward for the Hornets, spelling any concern that their absences will have a massive impact.

The Bucks, while one of the best teams in the league, have proven to be beatable this season, as evidenced by their last game when they lost to the Trae Young-less Hawks. While this isnt to say the Hornets will beat them for a third time this season, the chances this game stays competitive are higher than the spread entails, which could lead to a lot more points. It also helps that the Bucks have the second-best record in the NBA in terms of hitting the over (35-24-1). I feel confident in the over here and would bet it as a one-unit play until 224.5.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics

The pick: Celtics -13.5

I typically try my best to avoid spreads of this size, but with the Thunder not even attempting to hide their tank, I have more confidence in the Celtics covering Tuesday. While Luguentz Dort should be active on the second leg of a back-to-back after sitting out Monday, the team will still be without Al Horford and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with the potential to see more role players sit out. On the flip side, the Celtics welcomed Jaylen Brown back last game after a couple of absences and with it being the front end of a back-to-back for them, were likely to see Kemba Walker active as well.

The Thunder have lost seven of their 14 straight losses by at least 13 points and while the Celtics have not been blowing teams out, the last team that they absolutely steam-rolled was none other than these same Thunder in a 111-94 win March 27.

See the article here:

Gambling: Considering two games to bet on late in the NBA season - Colorado Springs Gazette

Niall McNamee reckons hell spend most of today asleep, his energy levels whacked after a day of fielding questions about his gambling addiction and how others can be helped.

There were radio, print and online interviews throughout Wednesday for the veteran Offaly footballer who admits it takes all his mental energy to get through them.

The round of interviews were to highlight the Extern Problem Gambling service and the support it provides for those affected by problem gambling.

The thing is, McNamee isnt an addiction counsellor or a therapist but his high profile as a top intercounty footballer means hes often the face of such campaigns and is regularly the first point of contact for individuals who find themselves in trouble.

About two years into his own recovery, he made a conscious decision to embrace such a role.

I suppose it snowballed from there, he says. The guys here [Extern] got me at a good time, they could have rang me in a weeks time and I mightnt have . . . sometimes you have to weigh it up because it does take a big toll on you.

Obviously Im in recovery from gambling and I will always be in recovery from gambling and I do my meetings and meet people. But I suppose you dont necessarily want to be defined by it either, if that makes sense. I do have that conversation with myself a lot of the time when these things come up and this was no different I suppose.

McNamee, still playing for Offaly at 35, admits the thoughts of ever returning to gambling just terrifies me. It took him nine years to pay off the debts he accumulated for starters.

Thats why when hes watching sports on TV, hell hit the mute button when the ads come on as they inevitably promote betting in some form.

If I was to gamble again, I dont know if I would stop. I dont know if I would have the balls to come back and say if I had a relapse and then go back to square one and start all over again, he said.

Life throws curve balls at him too, when that discipline is tested. He admits he struggled generally in 2020 with the effects of a concussion picked up while playing for Rhode in the previous years Offaly semi-finals.

It was difficult, I was getting very tired during days, having to sleep for an hour or two during the day as well, he said. I wouldnt say its completely gone, the last few weeks, it comes and goes. Id say Im 90 per cent there. Scary enough, theres no doubt about it. Ive been knocked out a few times down the years but never had any after effects but this one was a tough one to deal with, it was hard to get over it.

At one stage after the concussion, and a spell in hospital, he found himself at home in tears for no reason he could comprehend.

I was sitting on the couch and just started to cry, I just burst out crying for no apparent reason, he said. Herself was here with me and I was saying, I have no idea why Im crying. The pamphlets that they gave me at the hospital, I hadnt read them but she had and she said, Look, its just one of the side effects, its perfectly normal. There were those days where you just feel down, it lasted for a while.

It was difficult, for the most part Id be a positive person so to wake up some mornings and really feel groggy and foggy in the head and not feel like myself was tough, because its not who I am. I just had to deal with it. But it has gotten much better in the last couple of months, it kicks in now and then but for the most part I think Ive over the worst of it.

McNamee picked up another injury in training last weekend, dislocating his finger.

We stitched it up on Sunday so hopefully Ill be back 100 per cent in a week or so, he says. Im really enjoying it, Ill stay going as long as I feel Im adding a bit of value.

*Less than 1 per cent of people who could benefit from treatment for problem gambling ever seek it. Extern Problem Gambling provides support for anyone affected by problem gambling and offers remote services by fully qualified and accredited addiction counsellors. For support send a text to Extern Problem Gambling on 089 241 5401 (ROI) or 07537142265 (NI). See http://www.problemgambling.ie

The rest is here:

Fear of gambling relapse just terrifies Offalys Niall McNamee - The Irish Times

Residents in one of Melbourne's most disadvantaged local council areas are pumping almost half a million dollars a day through the pokies.

The City of Brimbank took the unenviable historic daily record in electronic gaming machine losses in Victoria in February.

John* who gambled in Brimbank for more than two decades until fighting his addiction in 2014 believes he lost more $1 million to the pokies.

"I just ruined everything, I almost lost my life," John told the ABC.

ABC News: Kyle Harley

He lost his house, two marriages and access to his children.

"I pretty much lost my sanity. I was depressed. I suffered anxiety, I suffered panic attacks. I tried to take my life on three occasions," he said.

The local council has recorded the largest losses in the state for the past eleven years, but those numbers have increased significantly since the end of the stage four lockdown in Victoria.

In the months after the reopening of gaming venues in the state, Brimbank recorded losses of $14.7 million in December 2020 and $13.8 million in January 2021.

They were the two highest loss months ever in Brimbank.

And in February, they recorded the state's highest ever daily losses of up to $482,168.

Brimbank mayor, Ranka Rasic, said over the last decade the area had lost more than $1.4 billion.

ABC

Most of that money has come from people who have moderate to severe problems with gambling.

"It's not a coincidence that the areas with the highest level of pokie machine losses are also some of the more disadvantaged," Ms Rasic said.

"We are number one and we don't want to be number one."

Charles Livingstone, an associate professor in the School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, said there had been significant increases in poker machine expenditure since the lockdown ended, particularly in March.

"If you compare expenditure with March 2019, which is the last time we had a normal March, if you look, then across Victoria's expenditure, (it) is up around 8 per cent," Dr Livingstone said.

"But in Brimbank, it was up well over 17 per cent in real terms."

Dr Livingstone said stressful conditions, uncertain employment and fears about the future were connected to spending more on pokie machines as people sought relief from those circumstances.

"But it's considerably above other comparable areas such as Hume and Melton," he said.

Supplied: Monash University

Dr Livingstone isn't certain what's caused Brimbank's higher losses compared to other lower-socioeconomic local council areas in Victoria.

Victorian gaming venues are open 20 hours a day the longest permitted in Australia the council and the Alliance for Gambling Reform believe this is a key factor in Brimbank's pokie losses.

Rose O'Leary, Victorian campaigner at the Alliance for Gambling Reform, said historical evidence showed gambling increased during and after a crisis, whether it is a pandemic, economical, or something like a natural disaster.

"That's why it was so disappointing the Victorian government ignored our warnings about this, and has again ignored the evidence that showed that reduced operating hours post-lockdown had a positive effect, reducing gambling harm," she said.

Supplied: Alliance for Gambling Reform

John believes the number of machines and the extended opening times of venues aren't necessary. He said they had only caused harm.

After he stopped gambling, he had to alter his route home to limit his contact to venues.

"In my car, there were 46 venues that I could easily access within 35 minutes," he said.

"I work about 15 minutes from home, and it did take me over an hour to get home. Because I had to avoid roads away from venues because seeing the venues was a bit of a trigger.

ABC

"They sort of become like a magnet or a subconscious thing. In the end, you don't even realize that you've pulled into the car park, it just becomes so automatic."

Ms Rasic said she had met with Victorian government Minister for Gambling, Melissa Horne, to raise her concerns over the pokie losses in Brimbank. Despite describing the meeting as "constructive" Ms Rasic believes drastic reform is the only solution.

"I think we have been forgotten," she said.

"The state government needs to acknowledge its own addiction and its reliance on gambling venues as income."

The council is pushing for reform, including a reduction of operating hours, maximum $1 bets and daily $200 maximum EFTPOS limits, which it believes will help stop the large losses.

Supplied: City of Brimbank

A Victorian government spokesperson said the government was investing in new research to examine the impact of the pandemic on gambling.

The government also asserts the average real-term gaming machine loss per adult in the state has decreased by more than 40 per cent since December 2008.

Ms Rasic wants firmer reform.

"We don't want this in our municipality, we're going to keep advocating and try and get reform from the state government," she said.

John said he went to a financial counsellor in 2010 to try to figure out how much he had lost since he started gambling on the pokies 23 years ago.

"When he got to a certain amount I asked him to stop, because I couldn't face the figure that was appearing in front of my eyes," he said.

ABC News: Kyle Harley

John "heavily gambled" a further four years after that review with the financial counsellor.

"I was at a point where I couldn't feed myself, I couldn't pay my bills. But I was still at a venue for five in the morning," he said.

However, John hasn't gambled now in more than six years.

He has started rediscovering things that brought him joy in his youth before gambling took over his life.

"I enjoyed riding my bike. So I went out and bought a bike. I enjoyed my pets. So what I got some budgies and some love birds, I got a dog, then I got another dog," he said.

ABC News: Kyle Harley

"I have no depression, I have no anxiety, so life is in a good place."

Name has been changed for privacy reasons.

Go here to see the original:

Brimbank records highest daily gambling ever in Victoria, with residents pumping $500k a day through the pokies - ABC News

On a recent episode of the MMA Gambling Podcast, Jeff Fox and I broke down our 10 Commandments for MMA betting. There are trends we all follow and stats we like, but those are steadfast rules. And while we gave you these already if youre a subscriber to the show (by the way, you should be), we figure there might be some who like the written version as well. So here they are!

MMA is a sport where anything can happen, but underdogs that are over +300 tend to be a money pit. There are only 50 or so that have happened in all of UFC history. So even if you feel like you got the hot tip, you probably dont.

When youre looking at an up-and-comer arriving in the UFC, it is so tempting to look at their results and be wowed. The UFC must have been as well for the person to be signed. They likely have a stellar record and a whole bunch of quick finishes. However, if we dont look at what those opponents looked like, we can often run into trouble. A great example of this is Jordan Wright, who a lot of people were on, but take a peek at his opponents.

In the world of MMA betting, it is always tempting to write off a big KO loss when it was to a big puncher. But if somebody gets knocked silly by Francis Ngannou, it doesnt make it less likely that somebody else will knock him silly next time out. It actually makes it more likely. Once that chin starts to go, especially in the upper weight classes, try to stay away from that moneyline, no matter how tempting.

Were living in a golden age of MMA coverage. Not only does UFC Fight Pass exist, but there is YouTube, FloCombat, and a slew of other places to catch regional-level action. So theres really no reason not to take a peek at a fighter before you lay a wager. Some people like to read analysis from their favorites (or maybe listen to our show?), but taking five minutes to watch a round of an old fight is so valuable.

Every fighter says the words, this is the best camp of my life. Every fighter thinks they might have one more run to the top of the division. However, youll find once those former champions and title challengers have slipped way down the rankings, there isnt much that will bring them way back up. Andrei Arlovski made a great comeback but he isnt knocking on the door of a title shot. So how do we apply this to MMA betting? When a guy is stepping back into his old world, we need to remember the more recent, not the former glory.

This person beat the person that beat the person hes fighting next famous last words. Styles make fights in MMA. So sometimes your opponent, who lost to someone you beat, is really your worst nightmare. Dont spend time using peoples fights that way, its lazy analysis.

You can believe hype when it comes to whether or not you think the fighter will win, but also recognize that it is going to mess up their line badly. When Conor McGregor steps into the cage, his number will rarely have any value on it. The casuals love a bet on the big boys, so keep your money smart and stay away from them.

When were looking at a prop bet, we love to look at our picks wins. We say hes got 10 submissions in 13 fights and thats awesome. However, we rarely look at the fact that his opponent never gets taken down and never been submitted. That information is just as important when compiling your MMA bets.

Which you can, of course, do on the MMA Gambling Podcast. But seriously, MMA betting on newcomers is not an easy gig, so combine what we said about watching a round of their work with some more expert analysis. See what somebody who has seen them fight half a dozen times already has said. If your first opinions match, it can put a mind and wallet at ease.

From a mathematical standpoint, this has never made sense to me. If you like the fighter to win by stoppage and you bet them at +400 in the first round and +550 in the second, you actually cut both of those odds in half. You bet twice as much money as you would with just one bet, which means youre only getting +200 value on the first one, and you cant cash both tickets. Just seems silly to me.

See the article here:

The 10 Commandments of MMA Betting - The Sports Gambling Podcast

NewsRachael Espinet3 Days AgoWHAT'S THE MARK?: Co-founder of the Eye On Dependency radio talk show programme Garth St Clair is warning that gambling addiction is a cause for concern in the country. FILE PHOTO -

Gambling addiction is real, is a cause for concern and in some cases, can have negative social effects similar to that of cocaine addiction.

This was the warning raised by Garth St Clair, co-founder of radio talk show programme Eye on Dependency, as he spoke at the National Lottery Board's (NLCB) virtual media launch of its responsible gaming campaign.

While the body is not being poisoned by addictive substances, when it comes to gambling addiction, a person's financial health, mental health and family/relationships health can be adversely affected. Compulsive gambling affects not only the life of the gambler but his/her work environment and also the lives and well-being of his/her family.

It is for this reason that the NLCB has partnered with Eye on Dependency to have anti-gambling addiction awareness raised on the talk show's programmes.

"Someone who has a crack (cocaine) problem is almost similar to someone who has a gambling problem. The same denial, the same overspending, trying to achieve that 'high' you constantly have to chase, and you will never achieve it after that same hit," St Clair said.

There is a big difference between an avid lotto player and someone who is addicted to gambling. St Clair said an avid player will maybe wake up with a dream or get a hunch and play a mark. They may win or they may lose, but they pay no mind to the result.

"It's not compulsive. Let's say they are occupied with something, they would not run away to play that mark. They would not be irritated if they could not get the chance to run away and play the mark."

However, a gambling addict will find every reason possible to go to a lotto booth to play. A gambling addict, he said, will mind a mark, and play it for weeks or months in the belief they will win...eventually. An addict will pour all of his/her money; or money belonging to a spouse or relative, into that mark in the hope of striking it with lady luck. All sense of reason goes out the window, he said.

"The person who has that problem will go after that, especially if they won the first time. They would play all the draws, play all the scratch they get. Even if they win, they would continue to chase that 'high.' It is as if they take that first shot of rum or cocaine, they want to live through that constantly."

However, like all first highs, St Clair said, it is impossible to relive, and that person will develop a problem because every time they lose, there is a crash. "Just like when they crash from cocaine, they want more."

Other signs of gambling addiction include: obsession with gambling; gambling despite consequences; gambling to improve happiness; denying there is a problem; mood swings; inability to stop gambling; psychological withdrawal when not gambling; stealing or other law-breaking to gamble; financial problem and hiding gambling.

"If you look at the signs of a crack addict, it is almost similar to what happens." The pandemic, St Clair said, further exposed gambling problems, particularly for those who had to work from home.

The Emmanuel Community, The Rebirth House and Serenity Place Empowerment Centre for Women are the NGOs Eye on Dependency are working with to support helping those with gambling addiction. Posters for the contact numbers of these facilities will be hung at all NLCB outlets.

St Clair said Eye on Dependency and NLCB will continue to share the numbers so that people can get the help they need.

"Gambling is supposed to be fun, but any time it turns to be compulsive and addictive behaviour, it becomes a problem...If you need that help, please do not hesitate. Call the numbers."

Where to get help

If you require counselling and addiction treatment services or know someone who does, help can be sought from the Emmanuel Community at 628-1064 or the Rebirth House and Serenity Place Empowerment Centre for Women, whose number is: 466-3166.

Read the original post:

Gambling addiction is cause for concern in Trinidad and Tobago - TT Newsday - TT Newsday