Daily Archives: April 25, 2021

Deepening Natos dialogue with India: To protect international rules-based order and address shared challeng – The Times of India Blog

Posted: April 25, 2021 at 1:45 pm

Freedom, democracy and the rule of law are at the core of the Nato Alliance. As the worlds largest democracy, these values matter to India, too. Protecting our values and way of life is our shared global responsibility. So it makes sense for Nato and India to deepen our dialogue to protect the international rules-based order and address jointly shared challenges to our security.

For over 70 years, Nato has provided unprecedented peace and security for the Euro-Atlantic area. As a fundamental pillar of the international order, we continue to contribute to global stability, including through our missions and operations beyond our borders. Today, our Alliance represents 30 nations, one billion people, and half of the worlds economic and military might. We are the most successful Alliance in history, because of our unity, our values and our ability to adapt as the world around us changes.

Nato is and will remain a regional alliance for Europe and North America. However, the challenges we face are global, so we need a more global approach. The international rules-based order is facing unprecedented pressure from increasing geopolitical competition and mounting authoritarianism, led by countries like Russia and China, who do not share our values. We also face sophisticated cyberattacks, more brutal forms of terrorism, disruptive technologies, nuclear proliferation, and the security impacts of climate change.

Global challenges are greater than any country or continent can tackle alone. So we must work together to find common solutions. As part of our ongoing adaptation, Nato wants to work closely with like-minded countries to protect the rules-based international order and defend our shared interests and values.

I was delighted to participate for the first time in the Raisina Dialogue, Indias premier gathering of global leaders committed to addressing common challenges and working more closely together. I sent a clear message that Nato is ready and willing to increase our cooperation with like-minded countries in the Indo-Pacific, including with India.

India is a pivotal regional player, a growing economy, and an important global actor. It is one of the largest troop contributors to United Nations peacekeeping missions. It is currently a member of the UN Security Council and it will hold the G20 presidency in 2023. Many Nato Allies have well established partnerships with India and they are enhancing their engagement in the Indo-Pacific. At the same time, India is increasing its contacts with Europe and the United States.

Over the years, Nato has developed a robust network of partners across the globe, and engaged in fruitful dialogue with non-partner countries like India. We already have a strong political dialogue and wide-ranging practical cooperation with countries in the Indo-Pacific, including formalised partnerships with Australia, Japan, New Zealand and the Republic of Korea.

Nato is not only a military Alliance, but also a political Alliance. Political dialogue and security cooperation are important tools to address global challenges, beyond purely military responses. So there are many ways for Nato and India to work together.

India is at the forefront of many of our shared challenges, from Afghanistan, to terrorism, and maritime security. Nato highly values its dialogue with India, and I see great potential to do more. This includes sharing information and expertise, and coordinating common approaches on shared interests, from the changing geopolitical landscape to the role of new technologies, and from safeguarding cyberspace to strengthening global governance, including on arms control.

Nato provides a strong platform on which to build a global community of democracies to defend our values and way of life. As we look to a more uncertain future, we want to strengthen our partnerships and enhance our engagement with like-minded countries, including in the Indo-Pacific, to protect the international rules-based order that benefits all of us.

Views expressed above are the author's own.

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Afghanistan pullout: Nato betrays its own values if interpreters and other local staff are left at risk – The Conversation UK

Posted: at 1:45 pm

The announcement of the US and Nato military withdrawal from Afghanistan later this year has elicited many responses, not least expressions of concern about the plight of interpreters and other local staff employed by western military forces. These concerns are not new but now have renewed urgency.

The release of 5,000 Taliban prisoners in 2020 as part of a US-brokered peace deal has already exacerbated fears about the insecure future of local Afghan staff. The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has long recognised that local Afghan staff, including local interpreters, security guards, cultural advisers and the rest, employed by western states are targeted by insurgent forces due to their association with the western military intervention.

Because the killings of former local staff are not tracked systematically, estimates of the number who have already been killed vary in the range of hundreds to more than 1,000. For many years during this long war, Afghan civilian employees have drawn attention to their need for protection. Advocacy and support organisations across the world have lobbied their governments and the United Nations (UN) to resettle their local staff.

The retired colonel Simon Diggins, a spokesperson for UK advocacy initiative Sulha Alliance and formerly British defence attach in Kabul, has warned against the ghastly betrayal of leaving Afghan local staff behind. American journalist and longstanding advocate George Packer has drawn attention to the USs record of betraying its local allies in Vietnam, where only an estimated 537 of the CIAs 1,900 local staff and 362 of USAIDs 924 employees were evacuated.

The notion of betrayal is a useful lens not only to capture the treatment of local staff, but also to highlight the betrayal of the values and international cooperation proclaimed by western states.

A recent Nato statement on Afghanistan refers to this cooperation, emphasising that our troops went into Afghanistan together [] and now we are leaving together. NATOs reference to the progress of the last two decades to safeguard human rights will likely ring hollow for former Afghan local staff. They are well versed in the language of human rights, as this was the way George W Bushs justification of the US military intervention in 2001 was rather opportunistically framed.

When I spoke to Adil*, an Afghan interpreter who now lives in the UK, he wondered out loud about the selectiveness of human rights.

These western countries who are always shouting about human rights, where are the human rights here? [Western countries] are always shouting [] Afghanistan is doing everything against human rights, but where are the human rights in the UK? Where are the human rights in Germany? Where are the human rights in America? [] We are from Afghanistan, but we are human beings as well. We have rights in this world as well.

A collective of local staff for the German army, which in 2018 staged a year-long protest in front of the military base Camp Marmal in Mazar-i-sharif, a city in northern Afghanistan, published an open letter to the German government ending on the note: We are sure that the Strong German government as human rights advocate will never deprive us of our rights and freedoms.

While Natos Afghanistan mission assembled one of the largest coalitions in history, what they never managed to do together was to set up a coordinated resettlement programme to protect local staff who worked for its member nations. Some countries, like Estonia, do not have any relocation scheme. Existing programmes vary wildly in their criteria and remit.

Former local staff are completely at the mercy of the politics of the nation-state which employed them. If they have worked for the French army, they are judged on their capacity to integrate in France, a criterion which justified the rejection of Afghans who were deemed too Muslim for France, as well as those who had worked as English rather than French-language interpreters.

If they worked for the Americans, they would likely get stuck in the backlog of Special Immigrant Visa applications, facing delays that have in some cases been fatal.

In the UK, a written question in parliament revealed that of the 2,850 locally employed civilian interpreters employed by the British government in Afghanistan between October 2001 and December 2018, a total of 1,010 (35%) had been dismissed for disciplinary reasons, without right to appeal. This has conveniently excluded them from protection through resettlement to the UK.

In some cases their dismissal was for arriving late at work or using a mobile phone. Neither of these constitutes a security risk to the UK nor protects them from Taliban revenge.

Guaranteeing the human rights of local staff in Afghanistan and those resettled to the west would lend greater credibility to Nato secretary general Jens Stoltenbergs appeal to the Afghan people to build a sustainable peace [that] safeguards the human rights of all Afghans.

Without a coordinated approach to the protection of the Afghan local staff that supports its partner nations, Nato risks betraying its promise that their drawdown will be orderly, coordinated, and deliberate.

*Name has been changed for security reasons.

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Afghanistan pullout: Nato betrays its own values if interpreters and other local staff are left at risk - The Conversation UK

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Membership of Ukraine and Georgia in EU, NATO is a matter of time Kuleba – Ukrinform. Ukraine and world news

Posted: at 1:45 pm

Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine Dmytro Kulebabelieves that membership of Ukraine and Georgia in the EU and NATO is a matter of time.

He said this during the talks with Minister of Foreign Affairs of Georgia David Zalkaliani, Ukrinform reports with reference to the Foreign Ministry's press service.

The membership of Ukraine and Georgia in the European Union and NATO is only a matter of time, Kuleba said.

The parties agreed on further cooperation and coordination of actions to bring Ukraine and Georgia closer to joining the EU and NATO, in particular, obtaining a Membership Action Plan.

The interlocutors discussed security in the region, the buildup of Russia's military presence near the borders with Ukraine and in the temporarily occupied territories of Donbas and Crimea. They paid special attention to strengthening security in the Black Sea region, in particular, deepening the interaction of the navies of Ukraine, Georgia, and NATO member states intheBlack Searegion.

The foreign ministers strongly condemned Russia's numerous violations of international law, in particular the blocking of the Kerch Strait, the ongoing occupation of Ukrainian and Georgian territories, the borderisation in Georgia, and the Russian Federation's reluctance to reaffirm its commitment to a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine.

In addition, the Georgian minister welcomed Ukraines Crimean Platform initiative and confirmed his country's readiness to actively participate in its activities.

As Ukrinform reported, on April 23, Ukraine took part for the first time in a working meeting of the foreign ministers of the three NATO member states - Poland, Romania, and Turkey.

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Membership of Ukraine and Georgia in EU, NATO is a matter of time Kuleba - Ukrinform. Ukraine and world news

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Astronomy: Supermassive black hole at center of Milky Way has mass of 4.6 million suns – The Columbus Dispatch

Posted: at 1:44 pm

Kenneth Hicks| For The Columbus Dispatch USA TODAY NETWORK

The American Physical Society held their annual conference this past week, withallpresentations givenonZoom.Many new results in the area of astrophysics were presented, ranging from black holes to gravitational waves(as well asseveralother topics).

For me,a talk onasupermassive black hole at the center of ourMilky Way galaxy was the most interesting. Only 20 years ago, there was scant evidence that such an object existed in our galaxy.But now, withadvances in technology,the evidence is overwhelming.The black holetherehasthemassofamind-boggling4.6 million suns.When you consider that our sun is about a half-million times the mass of the entire Earth, then thisblack hole is more than atrilliontimes(or 1,000,000,000,000)more massive than the Earth.

So how can astronomers determine such a huge mass?It turns out that you can calculate the mass of any stellar object just by measuring the orbit of another body going around it.For example, we can measure the mass of the sun just by knowing the Earths orbit. Or we canfindthe mass of Jupiter just by measuring the orbit ofone ofJupiters moons.Its that simple along with a bit of math.

Advances in technology have madeitpossibleto get the mass of our galaxys black hole.There aretwoprimarycontributions.One is from building large telescopes that are designed to look at infrared lightin the night sky.

Although infrared light is invisible to our eyes, electronic sensors(like those in your phones camera)can be built to detect infrared light.It turns out that our Milky Way has a lot of gas and dust between Earth and the center of the galaxy, about 25,800 light-yearsaway.But infrared light can penetrate the dust, giving a clear view of stars that orbit the black hole.

The second contribution is a technique called adaptive optics, where the telescope can make near-instantaneous adjustments to the shape of the telescopes reflecting mirror to compensate for distortions of light passing through the atmosphere.

Think of looking past the top of a hot barbeque.Youll see a wavy distortion due to the hot swirling air above. Similarly, the air above a telescope is constantly moving, and causing distortions in the stars it is viewing.

With the new technology, astronomers can now clearly see stars that orbit the black hole at the center of our galaxy. Now that we know if exists, the next question is:how diditget so massive?Thats a mystery that likely wont be solved for many years.It may take the next generation of astronomers to figure out the answer.

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Astronomy: Supermassive black hole at center of Milky Way has mass of 4.6 million suns - The Columbus Dispatch

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Tiny newfound ‘Unicorn’ is closest known black hole to Earth – Space.com

Posted: at 1:44 pm

Astronomers have apparently found the closest known black hole to Earth,a weirdly tiny object dubbed "The Unicorn" that lurks just 1,500 light-years from us.

The nickname has a double meaning. Not only does the black hole candidate reside in the constellation Monoceros ("the unicorn"), its incredibly low mass about three times that of the sun makes it nearly one of a kind.

"Because the system is so unique and so weird, you know, it definitely warranted the nickname of 'The Unicorn,'" discovery team leader Tharindu Jayasinghe, an astronomy Ph.D. student at The Ohio State University, said in a new video the school made to explain the find.

Related: The strangest black holes in the universe

"The Unicorn" has a companion a bloated red giant star that's nearing the end of its life. (Our sun will swell up as a red giant in about five billion years.) That companion has been observed by a variety of instruments over the years, including the All Sky Automated Survey and NASA's Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite.

Jayasinghe and his colleagues analyzed that big dataset and noticed something interesting: The red giant's light shifts in intensity periodically, suggesting that another object is tugging on the star and changing its shape.

The team determined that the object doing the tugging is likely a black hole one harboring a mere three solar masses, based on details of the star's velocity and the light distortion. (For perspective: The supermassive black hole at the heart of our Milky Way galaxy packs about 4.3 million solar masses.)

"Just as the moon's gravity distorts the Earth's oceans, causing the seas to bulge toward and away from the moon, producing high tides, so does the black hole distort the star into a football-like shape with one axis longer than the other," study co-author Todd Thompson, chair of Ohio State's astronomy department, said in a statement. "The simplest explanation is that it's a black hole and in this case, the simplest explanation is the most likely one."

That explanation, likely though it may be, is not set in stone; "The Unicorn" remains a black hole candidate at the moment.

Very few such super-lightweight black holes are known, because they're incredibly hard to find. Black holes famously gobble up everything, including light, so astronomers have traditionally detected them by noticing the impact they have on their surroundings (though we did recently get our first direct image of a black hole, thanks to the Event Horizon Telescope). And the smaller the black hole, the smaller the impact.

But efforts to find extremely low-mass black holes have increased significantly in recent years, Thompson said, so we could soon learn much more about these mysterious objects.

"I think the field is pushing toward this, to really map out how many low-mass, how many intermediate-mass and how many high-mass black holes there are, because every time you find one it gives you a clue about which stars collapse, which explode and which are in between," he said in the statement.

Jayasinghe and his team report the detection of "The Unicorn" in a paper that's been accepted for publication in the journal Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. You can read it for free at the online preprint site arXiv.org.

Mike Wall is the author of "Out There" (Grand Central Publishing, 2018; illustrated by Karl Tate), a book about the search for alien life. Follow him on Twitter @michaeldwall. Follow us on Twitter @Spacedotcom or Facebook.

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Will Satellites Cripple Ground-Based Astronomy? – Optics & Photonics News

Posted: at 1:44 pm

Some worry that the growth of space technologywhich originally sprang from humanitys fascination with the starsnow threatens access to the clear skies vital for research with a new generation of Earth-based telescopes.

A stack of multiple consecutive exposures, across a 30 minute timespan, captured the trails of Starlink satellites over Bryce Canyon, Utah, USA. [Spencers Camera and Photo]

SpaceXthe space-technology company founded in 2002 by entrepreneur Elon Muskhad made no secret of its plans. The firm began talking in 2015 about putting a constellation of thousands of communication satellites into low-earth orbit (LEO), and launched the first two of its Starlink satellites on 22 February 2018. Yet the first mass launch of 60 Starlink satellites on 23 May 2019 caught astronomers flat-footed, as astronomical photos revealed streaks from the satellites, covering the sky with light pollution.

A new generation of telescopes promises dramatic advances in studies of the deep universe. To achieve their mission, however, these observatories depend on clear, dark skies.

Until we saw ... 60 of them clumped together in the sky, we had no idea how bright they were and no idea of their impact, says Constance Walker, a scientist at the NOIRLab of the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) in Tucson, Arizona.

The astronomy communitystunned, and embarrassed not to have seen what was comingimmediately contacted SpaceX, and Walker says the company responded graciously. Since then, astronomers and SpaceX engineers have worked together to understand why the satellites reflect so much light, how they might affect astronomy and what might be done to reduce that impact. In the nearly two years since the rude shock of the Starlink mass launch, meanwhile, the astronomy community has assembled two separate workshops stressing the need for urgent action to address the problemone that, if left unsolved, could spell big trouble for next-generation, Earth-based telescopes seeking new insights from deep-space surveys.

Astronomical image from Lowell Observatory, AZ, USA, showing trails of light from 25 SpaceX Starlink satellites passing the telescopes field of view, a few days after launch. The satellites tend to become dimmer when they reach final orbit. [Victoria Girgis/Lowell Observatory]

While SpaceX has led in commercializing space and in satellite constellations, it has plenty of company. A few weeks before the 2019 launch, Aviation Week & Space Technology reported that 32 firms had plans to launch a total of 13,529 communication satellites into LEO. By the time of the astronomy communitys workshops last year, the total number of proposed LEO communication satellites, by some estimates, had mushroomed to around 100,000.

In 2018, the U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC) approved deployment of a fleet of 4,425 Starlink satellites, in orbits ranging from 550 to 1325 km; later, it increased the approved number to 12,000, in orbits as low as 340 km. (SpaceX has announced plans for another 30,000 Starlinks.) The agencys main interest lies in improving broadband internet service in underserved U.S. areas. But the Starlink service will be global. Laser links will transport signals between satellites, with radio transmitters connecting the satellites with ground terminals.

A British company, OneWeb, is also building a constellation chasing the same market. Only 74 of its originally planned fleet of 47,844 satellites had been launched when the firm entered bankruptcy in March 2020. Astronomers hoped the scheme was dead, but the British government later took part-ownership, bailed OneWeb out of bankruptcy in November 2020, and paid to launch 36 more satellites in December. In January 2021 OneWeb obtained outside funding to complete a much-shrunken constellation of 648 satellites; current plans are to later expand the constellation to 6,372.

Another familiar name, Amazon, has plans for its Project Kuiper to loft 3,236 satellites into LEO, but has so far launched none and released no timetable. Startups such as AST SpaceMobile and Swarm plan smaller constellations of more than a hundred satellites aimed at niche markets such as mobile communications and the Internet of Things. Companies in China also reportedly have their own plans, filed with the International Telecommunications Union, for 12,992 satellites; still other plans are evolving, with total numbers hard to pin down.

Space technology has given astronomers a vital observing post above Earths blurry atmosphere, most notably in the Hubble Space Telescope and in next-gen projects such as the expensive, complex James Webb Space Telescope. Ground-based telescopes are cheaper, larger and can be remarkably sharp with adaptive optics. A new generation of such telescopes coming online in the next decade promises dramatic advances in studies of the deep universe (see A Deeper View of the Cosmos, OPN, September 2020, p. 42).

The large CCD array at the heart of the Vera C. Rubin Observatorys ultrasensitive camera. [J.Orrell/SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory]

To achieve their mission, however, those new observatories depend on clear, dark skies. In the past, large observatories dodged light pollution by locating in remote, dark areas such as the Atacama Desert in Chile, or on Mauna Kea in Hawaii. Now, for the first time, light pollution from spacecraft threatens Earth-based astronomys view of the skyand a remote location offers no escape.

Under particular threat is the 8.4-m Vera C. Rubin Observatory, high in the Chilean mountains. With a 3200-megapixel imaging camera, the Rubin telescope has the largest etenduethe product of its effective light-collecting area and its angular fieldof any camera in the world. Built to sweep the whole sky visible from Chile repeatedly for the 10-year Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), the camera will focus, every 30 seconds, on 9.6 square degrees of sky, recording objects down to an incredibly faint magnitude 24.5. (In astronomy, the lower the magnitude number, the brighter the object. The faintest stars visible to the unaided eye on a very dark night are magnitude 7; the sun has a negative magnitude, 26.74.)

A simulation by Peter Yoachim, University of Washington, USA, showing the tracks of 47,708 illuminated LEO satellites from the point of view of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory in Chile over a 10-minute period shortly after twilight, gives some suggestion of the difficulty of scheduling observations around the impact of the satellite tracks. [Courtesy of P. Yoachim, in SATCON1 report]

The LSST will yield vast amounts of data for scientific analysismaking it especially vulnerable to systematic errors likely to arise from trails of satellites following regular orbits across the sky, according to Tony Tyson, chief scientist of the Rubin observatory. Also, the cameras use of extremely-low-noise charge-coupled device (CCD) detectors to observe ultra-faint sources makes it vulnerable to an effect called blooming: If bright light saturates a pixel, it can wipe out the data recorded in a whole column of sensors.

Even if satellite brightness can be reduced, the sensitive camera will record trails that will have to be masked out to keep from obscuring the images. That, Tyson has warned, will add to the observing time needed, and the three-arcsecond-wide images of satellites in 550-km orbits would inevitably wipe out data for such sensitive telescopes. In addition to hobbling observations of the deep sky, this could affect another major mission of the Rubin Observatorysearching for potentially threatening near-Earth asteroids and comets.

In mid-2019, when astronomers first awoke to the threat from the SpaceX constellations, it was obvious the satellites reflected sunlight down toward Earth, but the details were unclear. An early bit of good news was that the scattered sunlight faded somewhat as the satellites moved from their initial 380-km parking orbit to their final 550-km elevation. The reduction, SpaceX explained, came from adjustment of the solar cells to track the sun more efficiently in the final orbit. However, that only reduced the averaged measured visual magnitude to 4.63, leaving the satellites visible to the unaided eye except in areas with serious light pollution.

In mid-2019, when astronomers first awoke to the threat from the SpaceX constellations, it was obvious the satellites reflected sunlight down toward Earth, but the details were unclear.

SpaceX next tried darkening the diffuse white material that had been applied to the satellite radio antennas to keep them cool in orbit. These DarkSats went up on the next available mass Starlink launch, and showed solar scattering some 55 percent below standard Starlinksa decrease of about 0.77 magnitudewhich was not as much as hoped. And darkening the satellite surface also caused undesired heating and increased reflectivity in the infrared, a potential problem for NIR observations.

The Starlinks unusual shape offered other possible ways to reduce reflections. The satellites consist of two largely flat components that can bend along their junction: a chassis including the antennas, transmitters and circuitry, and a flat metal frame containing solar cells. One trick the design made possible was reducing the reflected light within a week after launch by changing the attitude at which the satellites fly on their way to their operational orbit, so that the thin edge of the solar panel faces the sun and only a very narrow area can reflect sunlight to the ground.

[Illustration by Phil Saunders/Background: ESO] [Enlarge graphic]

Once in operational orbit, with the solar panels turned to face the sun and collect energy, the bright reflections, according to SpaceX modeling, come when the sun illuminates the underside of the satellite. This geometry happens only in twilight, when the sun is below the horizon but the satellite is not yet in Earths shadow, so sunlight strikes the bottom of the satellite at a low angle and can be reflected down to the ground.

Thanks to this odd geometry, the brightness of the reflected light does not vary with phase angle as for other satellites. The unusual geometry also opened the possibility for SpaceX to add a light-blocking rim or visor around the edge of the satellite. The visor could be turned down to block sunlight from reaching the antennas that might otherwise reflect sunlight, and also avoid the heating caused when the dark surface absorbed light. (The visor is opaque optically, but not to radio frequencies, which must reach the antennas.)

The first VisorSat was launched on 4 June 2020 in the seventh batch of Starlinks. From 430 observations after the satellite has reached 550-km orbit, Anthony Mallama, a retired astronomer in Maryland, USA, found that VisorSat had a visual magnitude of 5.921.29 magnitudes fainter than the magnitude 4.63 of the original Starlink design. That meant VisorSat reflected only 31% as much light as the original design, which Mallama calls a marked improvement (though its still plainly visible in a dark sky). SpaceX has used the VisorSat design for all Starlinks since the ninth mass launch on 7 August 2020, and says its goal is magnitude 7 or fainter for most phases of satellite operation.

Calculations comparing visibility (during summer, at the location of the Vera Rubin Observatory) of proposed Starlink Generation 2 satellites, most at around 350-km altitude, and phase two of the plans of OneWeb, which would place tens of thousands of satellites at a higher altitude of 1200 km. While the higher-altitude OneWeb satellites would be dimmer, they would be illuminated and visible during the entire night, whereas the Starlink craft would cease to be illuminated shortly after twilight. [O. Hainaut, ESO, in SATCON1 report][Enlarge graphic]

Notwithstanding these efforts, by mid-2020, astronomers were seeing more and more images of the night sky contaminated by satellite trails. Scientists who just 14 months earlier had looked forward to a new age of exploring the dark sky now feared a juggernaut of light that would blind their latest and greatest telescopes.

The SATCON1 workshop identified six approaches to mitigate the threat of satellite megafleets to optical and infrared astronomy.

1. Launch fewer or no LEO satellite constellations. Would require turning off/deorbiting existing satellites to achieve zero impact

2. Orbit satellites at altitudes no higher than 600 km. Would require deactivating/deorbiting satellites in higher orbits

3. Darken satellites by lowering their albedo or shielding them from sunlight. Requires action by companies; SpaceX is doing this with VisorSat

4. Control each satellites attitude to minimize reflection of sunlight to the ground. Requires action by satellite operators

5. Computationally remove or mask satellite trails from being recorded on images. Requires action by observatories

6. Schedule telescope observations to avoid recording trails. Requires coordination between observatories and satellite operators

To assess the constellations potential impact, and how to lessen it, astronomers gathered at two virtual workshops. One, SATCON1, was convened by the American Astronomical Society (AAS) and NSF from 29 June to 2 July. The other formed part of the Dark and Quiet Skies for Science and Society meeting conducted by the International Astronomical Union from 5 to 9 October. SATCON1 identified six potential approaches for mitigating the threatranging from the quixotic (not launching any of the satellites at all) to the numerical (computer processing to remove satellite trails).

In particular, both workshops recommended avoiding orbits above 600 km. OneWeb already has satellites at 1200 km, and some other companies have planned similar orbits. Spacecraft at these altitudes reflect less light to the ground, and telescopes focus that light to smaller spots, than at lower altitudes. But satellites at 1200 km would reflect sunlight to Earth all night long, unlike those below 600 km, which stay in the Earths shadow for several hours in the middle of the night.

This has different implications for different programs. As of February 2021, SpaceX had more than a thousand Starlink satellites in orbit near 550 km. It had obtained FCC approval to orbit more than 2,800 Starlinks in four shells ranging from 1100 to 1325 km, but after talking with astronomers it asked the agency to let them orbit at 550 km instead. (So far, the FCC has not acted.) Amazon, which has not yet launched satellites under its Project Kuiper program, says it picked orbits at 590 and 630 km for its planned 3,236-satellite constellation in light of the workshop recommendations.

The U.K.-based firm OneWeb has near-term plans for a fleet of 648 satellites, with plans to expand to 6,372 spacecraft in the future. The satellites are boxier in design than those of SpaceX, giving them a different reflectivity profile. [NASA/JPL]

The third big player, OneWeb, has already deployed satellites at 1200 km. Its boxy spacecraft include microwave antennas on short arms and a pair of large solar panels on longer arms, giving them a different reflective profile than Starlinks. Mallama measured the mean brightness of the OneWeb craft already in orbit at magnitude 7.58, with a fairly wide standard deviation of 0.7, probably because of their complex shapes. Thats about 1.6 magnitudes fainter than a VisorSat at 550 kmbut, because of the higher orbit, the OneWeb satellites would be visible most of the night.

That makes them much more problematic for astronomers, according to simulations by Jonathan McDowell of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, which concluded that constellations at 1200 km would have much more impact on professional astronomy than fleets at lower altitude. Qualitatively, Starlinks are really annoying but manageable, he says. OneWeb is, Pack up your telescope and go home.

Maurizo Vanotti, OneWebs senior director of technology, told a 14 January 2021 AAS virtual meeting that the company plans to complete its 648-satellite first-generation constellation at 1200 km. Moving existing satellites is impractical, and the design of the remaining spacecraftmany of which have already been builtwould need changes for orbits under 600 km. That would be tantamount to starting over. Vanotti did say that OneWeb pursued responsible space design but gave no details.

The worlds of satellite communications and astronomy have been using the same space, but didnt realize they might interfere until the first 60 Starlinks lit up the sky in front of astronomers. With most satellites actively emitting radio waves for communications, radio astronomy faces even tougher problems (see A death ray for radio astronomy?, p. 34).

Satellite communications and astronomy have been using the same space, but didnt realize they might interfere until the first 60 Starlinks lit up the sky in front of astronomers.

Meanwhile, a vast population of new, privately managed satellites also increases another threat: collisions in space. In 1978, NASA scientist Donald J. Kessler used two decades of military space tracking data to argue that space junk in LEO was accumulating to a point where high-velocity collisions might eventually threaten human activity in space. Subsequently, Kessler warned that continued accumulation of collisional debris could lead to a cascading chain reaction that would shred satellites into shrapnelthe dreaded Kessler syndrome.

NASA has tracked space debris since 1979, and routinely issues warnings to move Hubble, the International Space Station and other satellites out of the way of hazardous objects. The only known collision between two satellites took place on 10 February 2009, when an Iridium satellitepart of the first commercial fleet of communication satellites in LEOsmashed into an inoperative Russian Kosmos military communication satellite at a speed of 11.7 km/s at 789 km altitude. The event scattered nearly 2,300 fragments large enough to track from the ground. In September 2019, the European Space Agency had to move its Aeolus wind-measurement satellite out of the way of one of the 60 Starlinks launched a few months earlier.

Collisions and close calls depend on the populations of spacecraft and some 200,000 pieces of orbital debris, only about 20,000 of which are now trackable. Almost all close encounters thus far have involved spacecraft and debris, but that will change as satellite populations increase. A late 2019 simulation by the Center for Space Standards and Innovation found that having 60,000 spacecraft in LEO could increase close encounters between spacecraft to about 40 per year, excluding those involving the much larger population of uncontrollable, largely untrackable space debris.

Unfortunately, projecting future growth of satellite constellations is difficult, as estimatesbased on press releases, news reports and regulatory filingsare continually in flux. On the one hand, planned telecom systems often fall through for lack of funding, regulatory approval or demand. On the other, declining launch costs are opening LEO to more ventures, in communications, education and other applications. Whatever the number, once in space, those ventures will share a region increasingly cluttered with satellites and space debris ranging from chips of paint to spent rocket stages.

Because of these imponderables, the anticipated number of LEO satellites has varied over time. In summer 2020, according to astronomer Pat Seitzer of the University of Michigan, the firm Analytical Graphics Inc. projected a total of 107,000 LEO communication satellites by 2029. When OneWeb downsized its planned fleet in bankruptcy proceedings, however, estimates dropped to around 80,000.

[C. ORear/Getty Images]

Radio astronomys problems with satellite constellations differ from those faced by optical astronomy. Satellite-reflected light is noise, so getting rid of it doesnt jeopardize the satellites mission. However, satellites use radio waves to deliver their signals to users, and cant do their job if their radio output is blocked.

Radio astronomy competes for usable spectrum with other radio applications. During the 20th century, agencies such as the International Telecommunications Union and the U.S. Federal Communications Commission were charged with allocating frequencies to commercial carriers and government agencies as well as to astronomers. Radio astronomers managed to secure protection for important parts of the radio spectrumwhen frequencies were readily available.

In recent decades, however, the radio spectrum has become more crowded, and most bands now are shared by multiple users, including satellites. Looking ahead, expansion of radio transmission to higher frequencies and the proliferation of radio transmission in space could put radio astronomy on the endangered list.

The beams of communication satellites in low Earth orbit scan continually across the ground, which is a huge problem if their tracks scan across radio telescopes. Thats because transmitter signals are 60100 dB stronger than the faint astronomical sources in the sky that the telescopes were built to record. The signals can overload antennas and destroy sensitive receivers, says Harvey Liszt, spectrum manager at the National Radio Astronomy Observatory in Charlottesville, VA, USA. Satellite signals also can spill over into adjacent frequencies, which he says has been a problem for 20 years with the Iridium fleet. The Dark Skies report of the International Astronomical Union specifically recommended avoiding illumination of radio telescopes or quiet zones with satellite beams or side lobes.

Other satellite businesses pose new threats. A drop in the price of synthetic aperture radar for Earth mapping launched a half-dozen startups with plans to scan the world with a few dozen radar satellites. Radio astronomers can ask companies not to illuminate their telescopes, but the companies dont have to follow those requests. With kW-class powers, these beams are like death rays for radio astronomy receivers, Liszt says.

Were just a few years in, and perhaps 20% of [the satellites] wed seen applied for have been realized in this time notes Dan Oltrogge, administrator of the Space Safety Coalition, an organization including space companies, government agencies and other groups. This is very difficult to forecast, and yet it is a critical element to determining whether well have a problem or not. What is certain, he adds, is that in the last three years alone, the number of conjunctions [close approaches] between active satellites in certain orbits have as much as doubled the increase over the previous decade.

And avoiding collisions in such encounters requires a human responseto warnings sent by email. While operational satellites and large debris are tracked, and while their orbits are calculated, there is no automated control system.

Unfortunately, protection of space falls in a vast legal loophole. In the United States, the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 established a broad framework for environmental protection, but allowed government agencies to decide their responsibility. In 1986, the FCC ducked, accepting responsibility only for special locations such as wildlife preserves; for high-intensity lighting; and for human exposure to dangerous radio-frequency power.

That exemption is now being challenged. In December 2020 Viasat, which is building military LEO communication satellites, filed a complaint opposing SpaceXs request to launch more Starlinks in 600-km orbits, because the crowding would cause collisions that would pollute spaceand, presumably, affect Viasats own spacecraft. That challenge, nominally intended to protect the space environment, has stalled FCC approval of SpaceXs request to put its satellites in the lower orbit preferred by astronomers.

Another challenge came in March 2021 in the form of an emergency petition from four groups asking the FCC to delay launches into LEO for 180 days, and to also pause a planned US$886 million grant to SpaceX. Astronomers are represented by the Safeguarding the Astronomical Sky Foundation; other groups include opponents of 5G wireless networks, radio transmission and the militarization of space. These groups promote broadband fiber transmission as a proven and economical alternative to the satellite radio networks.

Indeed, despite the money being spent on LEO constellations, it remains unclear whether they can deliver affordable broadband internet to those now unserved, which is touted as their main potential benefit. While there undeniably is a need for high-speed, accessible, affordable Internet service, writes astronomer Meredith Rawls of the Univerity of Washington, USA, and colleagues, corporate satellite constellations are not humanitarian projects. The US$80-per-month subscription planned by SpaceX, the group maintains, is prohibitive to all countries in greatest need of access, and does not include installation costs of US$100US$300 per user.

Aparna Venktesan, chair of the physics and astronomy department at the University of San Francisco, USA, views the space and sky as an ancestral global commons, and has called for careful deliberation about the satellite megafleets. [University of San Francisco]

The issue goes further than protecting ground-based astronomy from light pollution. Opposition to the siting of some high-profile observatories on land deemed sacred by indigenous groupssuch as the Thirty Meter Telescope project on Mauna Kea, Hawaiihas made many astronomers more sensitive to the impact of their craft on nature and indigenous peoples. For many of these groups, the sky and the constellations themselves, as well as the mountains hosting telescopes, are part of their culture.

Aparna Venktesan, a cosmologist at the University of San Francisco whose first language is Tamil and who grew up in India and Singapore, was one of the astronomers speaking at the January AAS meeting. She has written of space and the sky as an ancestral global commons for all of the worlds people. The satcom industry is extremely fast, she said, but stressed the need for slow, careful collaboration that includes all stakeholders.

Aparna Venktesan, a cosmologist at the University of San Francisco, has written of space and the sky as an ancestral global commons for all of the worlds people.

Part of SpaceXs pitch for its Starlink system, of course, is its ability to bring broadband internet to a wider range of people around the world. In late 2020, the company opened up a beta test of Starlink to the members of the Hoh Tribe on a remote reservation in the northwestern part of the U.S. state of Washington. The tribe members, who had lacked broadband, wrote that they felt like wed been paddling upriver with a spoon.

But while satellite constellation technology is plausible, it has never operated on the scale, complexity and bandwidth promised by SpaceX and is not a sure thing. It also faces the real risk of triggering the Kessler syndrome, which could shut down LEO for everyone. In contrast, high-speed fiber is well established, with the potential for more backbone bandwidth; the challenge is to make the costs work for dispersed populations.

The situation raises an important question for the world to answer: Is the prospect of a riskier but potentially cheaper short-cut to universal broadband worth allowing satellite fleets to bulldoze their way across the sky? Some believe that looking up at night and pondering what might be out there is part of what has made us human. If you cant go outside and see a placid night sky, says Harvey Liszt of the National Radio Astronomy Observatory, I dont know what will happen to humanity.

Jeff Hecht is an OSA Fellow and freelance writer who covers science and technology.

For references and resources, visit: http://www.osa-opn.org/link/satellites-vs-astronomy.

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Did forgotten astronomy artist have Bradford connections? – Bradford Telegraph and Argus

Posted: at 1:44 pm

THE grave of a forgotten space art pioneer has been discovered in Nab Wood Cemetery.

Scriven Bolton was an amateur astronomer and also a skilled artist and commercial illustrator, specialising in astronomical subjects. The Yorkshiremans work appeared in books, newspapers and magazines in Britain and America and was widely considered to be scientifically accurate; reflecting the astronomical knowledge of the early 20the century.

But little has been published about him and he remains, says local historian Andrew Bolt, largely forgotten.

Despite having the same surname as the space enthusiast, Mr Bolton isnt related to him and wasnt familiar with him when he came across the grave. On one of my walks around Nab Wood Cemetery I spotted headstone of an astronomer, Scriven Bolton. So I delved into the internet and found that he was quite the character and famous for illustrations of space and the planets in the Illustrated London News, said Mr Bolton.

He must have done hundreds of amazing drawings. Looking on the internet I could find very little and no mention of where hes buried. He was from Leeds, mainly located in Bramley, but buried in Nab Wood Cemetery. I have no idea what led to his burial here.

He was Yorkshires very own pioneer on planets, but seems largely forgotten. I thought his headstone may be of interest to your readers, especially with the recent Mars landing (NASAs Mars helicopter mission).

Simeon Scriven Bolton, known as Scriven, was born in 1883 to a family of textile manufacturers. In the late 19th century his father bought into a mineral oil merchant business, which Scriven worked for, but astronomy was his passion.

In the early 1900s the family moved to Bramley in Leeds and Scriven set up his own private observatory. He also used equipment at Leeds Universitys Duncombe Observatory and was a member of Leeds Astronomical Society, among others.

Scrivens day job was an oil merchant but he also wrote astronomical observations which regularly appeared in various journals.

He was however best known for his space art and illustrations and he was on the staff of the Illustrated London News for 15 years, contributing astronomical drawings.

He developed a new method for producing realistic lunar landscapes that involved building detailed plaster models of the surface of the moon, which he would then photograph then paint over. He often painted stars and other details onto the final print.

His work is said to have influenced other astronomical illustrators and, later, special effects specialists working in the movies.

Scrivens space art became popular with academics and amateur enthusiasts at a time when there was much speculation about the planets, and debates on whether the earth had a second moon.

His illustrations included lunar landscapes and scenes on Mercury, Venus and Mars and he took care in making his art scientifically accurate, illustrating astronomical ideas of the time.

His work appeared in a popular astronomy publication Splendour of the Heavens, which featured around 1,000 illustrations.

Scriven died aged 46 on Christmas Day 1929, after catching influenza.

He had been in the process of installing a new telescope in his observatory.

The University of Leeds pays tribute to Scriven with an annual lecture named in his honour.

But why is he buried in Nab Wood Cemetery?

* Anyone with information about Sriven Bolton is asked to email emma.clayton@nqyne.co.uk

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Did forgotten astronomy artist have Bradford connections? - Bradford Telegraph and Argus

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Mapping cancer as if it were the universe – The Economist

Posted: at 1:44 pm

Apr 22nd 2021

OVER THE past two decades Alexander Szalay, an astronomer at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, has helped create the most detailed maps of the cosmos yet made. His raw material comes from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, which began in 2000. So far, this project has charted a third of the heavens and observed nearly 1bn astronomical objects.

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The surveys telescope, which sits on a mountain top in New Mexico, collects its data by recording the arrival of photons of light on a charge-coupled device. This turns them into an electrical signal that Dr Szalay and his confrres translate into a representation of reality by winnowing out the noise and determining, from what remains, what sorts of objects the telescope is looking at and how far away they are.

Now, Dr Szalay has added a microscope to his telescope. In collaboration with Janis Taube, a colleague at Johns Hopkins who is a pathologist, he is developing AstroPath. This is a project that combines his knowledge of astronomy with hers of pathology into a system which does for images of cancer cells and tissues what the Sloan survey does for images of the universe.

Dr Szalay, ever handy with an astronomical analogy, compares the most common current approach to the examination of images of cancerswhich is to look in great detail, but at only a few tumoursto studying the universe using the Hubble Space Telescope. This instrument can focus on only a restricted area of the sky, but is then able to record what it sees with immense precision by spending lots of time taking long exposures.

As a consequence, the Hubble has surveyed only 45 of the 41,253 square degrees which constitute the celestial sphere. By contrast, the Sloan survey has so far covered, in a more cursory manner, about 15,000 square degrees of that sphere. This sweeping approach lets astronomers understand the universes large-scale structure by seeing entire clusters of galaxies and the relationships between them.

Both methods are valuable. But because fewer cancer biologists use the second than the first, AstroPath is designed to fill the gap. The specialised microscopes the project uses capture images of broad slices of tumours, and do so in multiple wavelengths. These images are then subjected to data-analysis techniques developed as part of the Sloan survey.

In particular, AstroPath employs a technique called immunofluorescence to make its images. This works by using antibodies to attach fluorescent tags to specific sorts of protein molecules. That permits the distributions of these proteins throughout a tumour to be mapped cell by cell. So far, AstroPath can do this simultaneously for between 20 and 30 proteins. Dr Taubes long-term goal is to do likewise for hundreds of individual tumours of more than 20 different types, enabling comparisons to be made both within and between types.

Currently, AstroPath has scanned more than 226m cells from three types of tumourlung cancer and two skin cancers, melanoma and Merkel-cell carcinoma. Dr Szalay points out that dealing with these three alone meant processing more pixels than the whole Sloan survey to date. But this is only a start. Eventually, he and Dr Taube aspire to collect and process 1,000 times more data than this.

For herself, Dr Taube particularly hopes AstroPath will flag up molecules that will help her develop blood tests for melanoma and lung cancer, and will improve her understanding of how tumours respond to a form of treatment called immunotherapy. Some cancers are able to put the brakes on the immune systems anti-tumour activity. Disable this ability and the immune system can return to the fray. She hopes to identify markers, such as the levels of a substance called PD-1, a so-called immune checkpoint protein, that will be able to predict whether a patient will respond to such therapyand, if so, precisely which sort of it.

The projects wider aim, though, is to make the results available to the world as a cancer atlas in a format similar to Google Maps. Then, any interested oncologist can take a look and draw conclusions relevant to his or her own area of interest and expertise. If that can be done, it really will enable cancer researchers to reach for the stars.

A version of this article was published online on April 21st, 2021.

This article appeared in the Science & technology section of the print edition under the headline "An inward observatory"

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Mapping cancer as if it were the universe - The Economist

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In the light of the Super Pink Moon, look for the radiant Tycho crater – Space.com

Posted: at 1:44 pm

If you look up at the Super Pink Moon this Monday (April 26), don't expect to see anything rosy this full moon is named after a flower, the wild ground phlox, which proliferates during April and has a distinctive pinkish coloration. But with binoculars, you may be able to spot a magnificent lunar feature.

While most amateur and professional astronomers detest a full moon because its dazzling light blots out all but the brightest stars, the lunar disk appears flat and one-dimensional, and its topography is hard to distinguish, there is one feature that appears at its best during a full moon: Tycho, a crater named after Tycho Brahe, a 16th-century Danishnobleman, astronomer and writer known for his accurate and comprehensiveastronomicalobservations.

Tycho is a spectacular target, thanks primarily to its magnificent system of rays that emanate in all directions, in some cases for more than a thousand miles.

Related: The moon has way (way) more craters than we thought

To some, Tycho looks like a sunflower on the moon. Others see something else. "Tycho and its amazing rays give the full moon the general appearance of a peeled orange, the crater marking the point where the sections meet," Ernest H. Cherrington Jr. wrote in his book "Exploring the Moon Through Binoculars" (McGraw Hill Publishing, 1969).

At 53 miles (85 kilometers) in diameter, Tycho is a fairly large crater. Yet it can be completely overlooked when it's positioned near the lunar terminator the line separating day and night on the moon because of the abundance of other craters on this part of the moon, some of which are even larger.

But from a few days before to a few days after the full moon, there is no way you can miss Tycho. Indeed, at full phase, the crater appears most dazzling so bright that no details within it can readily be seen. And around its periphery, there appears to be a gray ring, or collar, from where its bright rays radiate in all directions.

In terms of lunar topography, the walls of Tycho rise more than 12,000 feet (3,660 meters) above the lunar surface and contain peaks 5,000 feet (1,500 m) higher. Near the center of the crater lies a central mountain, some 5,200 feet (1,600 m) tall. On the crater's northwest flank is a smaller mountain and, between the two, a short cleft.

Check out these mountains, as well as many of the other features of Tycho, in this incredible 3D video composed of images taken by the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency's Kaguya (Selene) Terrain Camera.

The moon is approximately 3.9 billion years old, but Tycho is a relatively "new" feature. Based on analysis of samples from one of the crater rays recovered during theApollo 17 mission at Mare Serenitatis in December 1972, scientists think Tycho is "only" about 108 million years old.

Around that time, a meteoroid a projectile from space likely measuring 5 or 6 miles (8 to 10 km) across crashed into the rock of the moon, seemingly at a relatively low angle. The intense heat of impact vaporized that rock as it rose high above the lunar surface. Then, it quickly condensed into a liquidy substance, forming spherical shapes and freezing almost immediately not into crystalline material but into baubles of glass, which were collected and brought back to Earth by the last crewed lunar mission.

Indeed, yet another subjective impression one might get by gazing at Tycho is its resemblance to a pane of shattered glass surrounding a bullet hole.

A full moon can be blindingly bright; glare dazzles the eye and can make you squint too much to perceive any real detail. And after just a minute or two of gazing through the eyepiece, you may need to turn away to relax your eyes. Therefore, you can get the best views of a full moon through a small telescope at low power (25x to 40x) or good binoculars.

You can easily spot Tycho through handheld 7-power binoculars by looking about one-third of the way up from the center of the lunar disk.

Historically, some astronomers have claimed that Tycho is even visible to the naked eye at the full moon. If you think you have better-than-average eyesight, you might want to try.

As exciting as it is to gaze at Tycho around the time of the full moon, next month's full moon, on May 26, will offer even more excitement, with the occurrence of the first total lunar eclipse in nearly two and a half years.

Space.com will have much more to say about that event next month, so stay tuned!

Joe Rao serves as an instructor and guest lecturer at New York'sHayden Planetarium. He writes about astronomy forNatural History magazine, theFarmers' Almanacand other publications. Follow uson Twitter@Spacedotcomand onFacebook.

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