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Daily Archives: January 21, 2021
Cathie Woods ARK Innovation sees space as the next frontier for ETFs – Stockhead
Posted: January 21, 2021 at 3:13 pm
Interest in space stocks companies with products that are literally out of this world has been growing steadily thanks in no small part to the success of Elon Musks SpaceX and now exchange-traded fund (ETF) investment in these pioneering plays is poised to explode.
And the fingers are pointed at well-known disruptive technology portfolio manager and Tesla believer Cathie Wood, who is now planning to launch a new space focused ETF.
Wood clearly has her fingers on the technology pulse if her flagship ARK Innovation ETF near 150 per cent gain last year on the back of its biggest component, Tesla, rising more than 740 per cent, is any indicator.
This strong performance means that investors are now whipping out their chequebooks to snap up shares in space companies that could find their way into Woods new ARK Space Exploration ETF.
While SpaceX itself is privately-held and has no shares available for any intrepid investor or ETF to acquire on the market, there are several other companies that are on their radars.
Space tourism pioneer Virgin Galactic hit a high of $US33.40 on Thursday, up 21.4 per cent from the previous day while fellow pure space play Stable Road Acquisition jumped nearly 30 per cent to $US22. Just on news of Woods interest.
Virgin Galactic counts maverick business magnate Sir Richard Branson as one of its founders and seeks to open up space for tourists along with developing ultrafast hypersonic planes that will drastically reduce travel time.
The companys commercial spacecraft is air launched from specialised carrier airplane and seek to provide suborbital spaceflights to space tourists.
Stable Road, which is acquiring space transportation company Momentus, is developing space tugs that will deliver satellites to their final destination before collecting used cargo that can be repurposed or reused rather than be left in orbit as debris.
Said space tugs will hitch a ride on other rockets such as SpaceXs highly successful Falcon 9.
Other potential companies are US defence contractors with exposure to launch systems or satellites such as Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin.
Space is a fast growing sector that is driven by growing demand for Earth observation imagery, satellite communications and exploration.
According to ResearchandMarkets.com, the global small satellite market is projected to grow from $US2.8bn in 2020 to $US7.1bn in 2025.
Much of this growth is fuelled by the use of small satellites for efficient Earth observation and tracking of weather phenomena as well as its use for broadband communications.
SpaceX is one of the leaders in the latter with just under 900 satellites launched out of its planned initial constellation of 12,000 satellites. This is just the first stage of its plans with filings submitted for 30,000 additional satellites.
While the Australian space sector is still tiny compared to its US counterpart, there are still a number of ASX small caps who are looking to make an impact.
In December, Kleos Space (ASX:KSS) signed a new evaluation agreement with the Chilean Air Force on the analysis of geospatial information data from the company.
The Chilean Air Force will participate in testing and evaluation of Kleos geospatial RF data collected by its first cluster of satellites for a three month trial period that will begin once the data is made available.
This will facilitate research on Kleos radio frequency spatial geolocation data and methods of collaboration to develop an added value proposition for current and future opportunities.
Kleos first cluster of four satellites was launched in November last year and is progressing towards data and revenue delivery.
Defence contractor Electro Optical Systems (ASX:EOS) also continues to progress its SpaceLink satellite communications system which will Medium-Earth Orbit (MEO) satellites.
These will provide high bandwidth and security, low latency while avoiding the limitations of geosynchronous equatorial orbit and low earth orbits.
EOS expects the first constellation of MEO satellites to be launched and be operational in 2024.
It has projected a net present value of $US1bn and internal rate of return of 20 per cent for each constellation.
XTEK (ASX:XTE) is looking to leverage its processing technology that allows it to make things lighter and stronger for use in the space industry while Sky and Space (ASX:SAS) remains in suspension as it heads towards an annual general meeting seeking shareholder approval for its recapitalisation and proposed re-listing.
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Space and Physics Developments to Look Forward to in 2021 – ZME Science
Posted: at 3:13 pm
Unfortunately, science journalists dont generally carry crystal balls as part of their arsenal, and if 2020 taught us anything, its not always safe to predict what the forthcoming year will bring. With that said, there are some space and physics developments that we can be fairly certain that will come to pass in 2021.
These are ZME Sciences tips for the top space science and physics events scheduled to occur in 2021.
Its almost impossible to talk about the future of astronomy without mentioning NASAs forthcoming James Webb Space Telescope (JWST). To call the launch of Webb much-anticipated is a vast understanding.
The reason astronomers are getting so excited about the JWST is its ability to see further into the Universe, and thus further back in its history than any telescope ever yet devised. This will allow astronomers to observe the violent and tumultuous conditions in the infant Universe. Thus, it stands poised to vastly improve our knowledge of the cosmos and its evolution.
Part of the reason for JWSTs impressive observational power lies in its incredible sensitivity to infrared lightwith longer wavelengths than light visible with the human eye.
The ability to observe the early Universe could help settle confusion about what point in its history galaxies began to form. Whilst the current consensus is that galaxies began to form in later epochs, a wealth of recent research has suggested that galaxies could have formed much earlier than previously believed.
Galaxies, we think, begin building up in the first billion years after the big bang, and sort of reach adolescence at 1 to 2 billion years. Were trying to investigate those early periods, explains Daniel Eisenstein, a professor of astronomy at Harvard University and part of the JWST Advanced Deep Extragalactic Survey (JADES). We must do this with an infrared-optimized telescope because the expansion of the universe causes light to increase in wavelength as it traverses the vast distance to reach us.
The reason infrared is so important to observe the early Universe is that even though the stars are emitting light primarily in optical and ultraviolet wavelengths, travelling these incredible distances means light is shifted into the infrared.
Only Webb can get to the depth and sensitivity thats needed to study these early galaxies.
After years of setbacks and delays and an estimated cost of $8.8 billion the JWST is set to launch from French Guiana, South America, on 31st October 2021.
The race is on to achieve fusion power as a practical energy source here on Earth. Nuclear fusion is already the process that powers the stars, but scientists are looking to make it an energy source much closer to home.
When it comes to bringing star power down to Earth the Joint European Torus (JET)the worlds largest tokamakleads the way, housing plasmas hotter than are found anywhere else in the solar system, barring the Sun.
A tokamak is a device that uses a powerful magnetic field to trap plasma, confining it in a doughnut-like shape. Containing and controlling these plasmas is the key to generating energy through the fusion process. Within the plasma, particles collide with enough energy to fuse together forming new elements and releasing energy.
The process is cleaner and more efficient than fission power, which rips the atoms of elements apart, liberating energy whilst leaving behind radioactive waste.
JET itself isnt a power station, rather it was designed to conduct experiments with plasma containment and study fusion in conditions that approach that which will be found in working fusion power plants. So, whilst the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER)set to be the worlds largest tokamakis still under construction and wont be operational until at least 2025, this year is set to be an important year for the experiment that inspired it.
Following upgrades conducted during 2020, JET is scheduled to begin experiments with a potent mix of the hydrogen isotopes deuterium and tritium (D-T). This fuel hasnt been used since 1997 due to the difficulties presented by the handling of tritium a rare and radioactive isotope of hydrogen with a nucleus of one proton and two neutrons.
The JET team will be looking to attain an output similar to the 16 megawatts of power that was achieved in 97, but for a more sustained period and with less energy input. The initial test at the end of the 20th century consumed more power than it produced.
2021 will mark the 52nd anniversary of NASAs historic moon landing and will see the launch of several missions back to Earths natural satellite as well as continuing efforts to send humans following in the footsteps of Armstrong and the crew of Apollo 11.
As part of NASAs deep space exploration system, Artemis I is the first in a series of increasingly complex missions designed toenable human exploration of the Moon and beyond.
This is a mission that truly will do what hasnt been done and learn what isnt known. It will blaze a trail that people will follow on the next Orion flight, pushing the edges of the envelope to prepare for that mission.
Artemis I will begin its journey aboard the Orion spacecraft, which at the time of its launch in November will be the most powerful spacecraft ever launched by humanity producing a staggering 8.8 million pounds of thrust during liftoff. After leaving Earths orbit with the aid of solar arrays and the Interim Cryogenic Propulsion Stage (ICPS) Orion will head out to the moon deploying a number of small satellites, known as CubeSats.
After a three week journey to and from the moon and six weeks in orbit around the satellite, Orion will return home in 2022, thus completing a total journey of approximately 1.3 million miles.
NASA isnt the only space agency with its sights set on the moon in 2021. The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) will launch the Chandrayaan-3 lunar lander at some point in 2021. It will mark the third lunar exploration mission by ISRO following the Chandrayaan-2s failure to make a soft landing on the lunar surface due to a communications snafu.
Chandrayaan-3 will be a repeat of this mission including a lander and rover module, but lacking an orbiter. Instead, it will rely on its predecessors orbiter which is still in good working despite its parent modules unfortunate crash lander. Should Chandrayaan-3 succeed it will make Indias ISRO only the fourth space agency in history to pull off a soft-landing on the lunar surface.
The worlds largest, most powerful particle accelerator, the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) ceased operations in 2018 and this year, after high-luminosity upgrades, it will begin to collide particles again.
During its first run of collisions from 2008 to 2013 physicists successfully uncovered the Higgs Boson, thus completing the standard model of particle physics. With the number of collisions increased significantly, in turn, increasing the chance of spotting new phenomenon, researchers will be looking for clues of physics beyond the standard model.
The function of the LHC is to accelerate particles and guide them with powerful magnets placed throughout a circular chamber that runs for 17 miles beneath the French-Swiss border. When these particles collide they produce showers of daughter particles, some that can only exist at high energy levels.
These daughter particles decay extremely quicklywithin fractions of a second and thus spotting them presents a massive challenge for researchers.
Luminosity when used in terms of particle accelerators refers to the number of particles that the machine can accelerate and thus collide. More collisions mean more daughter particles created, and a better chance of spotting exotic and rare never before seen particles and phenomena. Thus, high luminosity means more particles and more collisions.
To put these upgrades in context, during 2017 the LHC produced around 3 million Higgs Boson particles. When the High-Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC) begins operations, researchers at cern estimate it will be producing around 15 million Higgs Bosons per year.
Unfortunately, despite firing up for a third run after these high luminosity upgrades, there is still work to be done before the LHC becomes the HL-LHC.
The shutdown that is drawing to completionreferred to by the CERN team as Long Shutdown 2 (LS2)was just part of the long operations that are required to boost the LHCs luminosity. The project began in 2011 and isnt expected to reach fruition until at least 2027.
That doesnt mean that the third run of humankinds most audacious science experiment wont collect data that reveals stunning facts about the physics that governs that cosmos. And that collection process will begin in 2021.
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Study upending theories on auroral formation –
Posted: at 3:13 pm
By Lin Chia-nan / Staff reporter
A Taiwan-made space instrument installed on Japans scientific satellite Arase has helped researchers observe aurora formation at unexpectedly high altitudes, helping to advance understanding about space weather and communications systems on Earth, scientists said on Tuesday.
The Taiwanese-Japanese team detailed their findings in a paper titled Active auroral arc powered by accelerated electrons from very high altitudes, which was published in the journal Scientific Reports on Monday.
Scientists from National Cheng Kung University (NCKU) and Academia Sinica were in charge of the Low-Energy Particle Experiments-Electron Analyzer, one of the nine instruments on the satellite, enabling it to observe energy distribution and density of low-energy electrons surrounding the Earth.
This is the first time that Taiwan has manufactured such fine and high-resolution instrument for space measuring, the university said in a news release.
Auroras are generated by electrons accelerated by a static electric field hitting the atmosphere, producing bright and elongated arcs in the nightside polar regions, Academia Sinica said.
Over the past 50 years, scientists had assumed that the electron acceleration takes places at altitudes of no more than 20,000km, but observations made through the Taiwan-made instrument found that it could occur at altitudes of up to 30,000km, it said.
The breakthrough not only overturns previous conception about the region of auroral formation, but generates new questions about how electrons work at higher altitudes, and might affect space weather, as well as communications and electrical systems on Earth, NCKU Institute of Space and Plasma Sciences professor Sunny Tam () said.
While domestic studies on space weather mainly revolve around the ionosphere, Tam said that more attention should be paid to the magnetosphere.
Tam said that his team was in 2010 invited by Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) to join the satellites development.
Due to budgetary concerns, they later invited Academia Sinica to join the team, Tam said.
From 2010 until the satellite was launched in 2016, the university and Academia Sinica devoted nearly NT$30 million (US$1.06 million) to the instruments development, he added.
The funding was modest when compared with that of a major satellite project, but the outcome is precious, Tam said, describing the case as an example of optimal international cooperation of space technology that would usually need astronomical funds.
While Taiwan aspires to launch more satellites into space, it should overlook developing advanced scientific instruments in partnership with other countries, he added.
The satellite is operating at an orbit of 200km to 32,000km above ground, meaning their instrument has flown farther than any other Taiwanese instrument has done before, said Wang Shiang-yu (), acting director of Academia Sinicas Institute of Astronomy and Astrophysics.
That also means it has proved resistant to strong radiation and temperature differences of up to 200oC in space, he said.
The satellite, designed to serve for only one year, has operated for more than four years, he added.
As auroras can also be observed in other celestial bodies, the teams findings would assist other efforts in space exploration, Wang said.
The Arase satellite, formerly known as the Exploration of Energization and Radiation in Geospace, is headed by JAXA, with NCKU and Academia Sinica being the only instrument team from outside of Japan.
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Memo to Biden: ‘in science, think global’ survey results – Science Business
Posted: at 3:13 pm
For the research community watching Joe Bidens inauguration from around the globe, there is one overwhelming demand: For the sake of science and the world, the US needs to play better with others.
In an online survey by Science|Business, international cooperation in science was the No. 1 recommendation that the research world has for the new administration. At least 90% of respondents said he should rejoin the Paris Climate Accord and the World Health Organisation which he promptly began doing within hours of his inauguration. But beyond that, the vast majority of survey respondents endorsed new ways for US scientists and agencies to work with the rest of the world.
On pandemic research, 83% called for greater international cooperation in general, and 55% specifically urged creation of a new international system to monitor and model infectious diseases.
Science is a world-wide activity, wrote one anonymous respondent to the survey. Collaborate rather than isolate the USA.
On science generally, the top of a list of possible recommendations was to increase the number of bilateral R&D funding programmes with other countries; 64% ranked that suggestion in their top three wishes for the new administration. Further, 56% urged that the US join the European Unions Horizon Europe R&D programme an invitation from Brussels that the Trump Administration pretty much rejected in 2019.
And 67% urged Biden to reform US visa rules so researchers and engineers can more easily enter the country another agenda item on which Biden immediately announced plans for action.
And then theres China
The only hesitation among respondents was over how to handle China: 50% said Biden should force China to protect US intellectual property with trade penalties if necessary, and another 39% said that maybe he should take that hard-line approach (11% were opposed). Likewise, opinion was split when asked if Biden should end Trump-era constraints on scientific collaboration with China: 21% said yes, 49% said maybe and 21% voted no.
The survey was conducted online from December 16 to January 19 a turbulent month in which the world watched aghast as the chaotic US pandemic response killed thousands more Americans, and a Trump-incited mob stormed the US Capitol. In all, 231 people from the world research community completed the questionnaire 70% from Europe, and 10% from the US. There wasnt a vast difference in responses between US and non-US respondents, though the Americans tended to be more leery about China and urged higher US research funding. By profession, respondents were pretty evenly split among the academic, industry and policy worlds.
So far, every indication is that the incoming administration is listening to the science community. A few days before the inauguration, Biden vowed to put scientific evidence at the top of his policy agenda and named his chief scientific adviser to a cabinet-level position.
A to-do list for Biden
The survey asked respondents to vote on a specific list of ideas for international collaboration and most of them attracted a plurality of respondents. About 62% said he should expand international student exchange programmes and boost R&D collaborations with developing countries. About 40% urged that he call a global summit to create a new world order for funding and managing science.
But many also volunteered ideas rather than merely tick survey boxes. On China, one respondent suggested focusing scientific collaboration on non-conflict issues, like clean water. In the same vein, another proposed goodwill cooperation in climate, COVID or space exploration. One, however, urged that Biden support freedom of speech of Chinese scientists.
On climate, 79% suggested establishing a new federal agency specifically dedicated to climate research; 78% urged that Biden plan and fund green infrastructure development. One respondent suggested a private sector and public sector Manhattan Project to tackle climate change, while another urged he go full ahead with nuclear fusion and make the US the first country to power itself on fusion energy. Currently, the worlds most advanced fusion energy development project is in southern France.
Another suggested that the US and EU create bilateral incentive mechanisms for startups to get a foothold in the US (and for US companies in Europe.)
There were also not surprisingly given the dramatic news over the holidays many who suggested that Americans need some serious help understanding science.
As one respondent said, Get science back into schools at all levels, in order to make the US science literate again. And start the process of getting the US to join the metric system!
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To Say the Least, Altruism Is Not an Easy Fit with Darwinism – Discovery Institute
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Image, Belisarius Begging for Alms, by Jacques-Louise David.
On a new episode ofID the Future, host Andrew McDiarmid presents an Evolution News essay,How to Destroy Love with Darwinism.Download the podcast or listen to it here. Altruism as defined by evolutionists means behavior by an animal that may be to its disadvantage but that benefits others of its kind. Its not an easy fit with Darwinism, since Darwinian evolution is all about passing your favored genes onto your offspring. How can a creature do that if she gives her life for another, particularly when its not even her own children, and before she has produced any offspring? Such individuals fail to pass on their own genes a seeming conundrum for Darwinism.
Evolutionists have made some progress (they think) explaining such things with theories of group selection or kin selection. But those explanations face some fresh challenges and dont even begin to explain self-sacrificial acts done for non-kin, a behavior we see among humans. From a design perspective, though, such behaviors are not baffling, for they are not genetically determined acts, as if humans are only wet robots governed by genes. They are acts of true self-sacrificial love, done freely and made possible because reality is more than matter and energy, and humans are more than just DNA survival machines.
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When Darwinism Reigns, The Pyramid Is the Point – Discovery Institute
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Photo credit: Satwinder Singh via Unsplash.
Darwinism isnt just a scientific theory. It has implications for culture, politics, and personal interactions. Writing at The Stream, John Zmirak describes his interest in documentaries about gorillas and other beautiful animals. He includes deserved kudos for Discovery Institutes popular YouTube videos:
At days end, when Im exhausted, I wind down by finally turning on the television. The last things I usually watch are nature films, on the diverse, fascinating, and mostly apolitical channel CuriosityStream. For a grand total of $12 per year (as of now), you get access to thousands of polished, beautifully produced documentaries on every subject from ancient history to contemporary science. Its the best entertainment money Ive ever spent.
Invariably, I look for animal films. First of all, Im a sucker for Gods innocent creatures, especially the furry ones. But I take delight in all the evidence of direct, Divine design all through the animal kingdom from speeding sharks to circling condors. I do wish CuriosityStream would air some programming from the Discovery Institute. Its scientists do much better explaining nature via design than Darwinists do with their just so stories and smuggled-in teleology. (Evolution developed the eagles eye to make it a better hunter .)
The Pyramid Is the Point
One thing I notice among most higher mammals, especially primates: the almost universal preoccupation with hierarchy. In some species, only the highest status female gets to breed. Once she claims that position, usually by bullying other females, it goes mostly unchallenged. But much more prevalent are species where the status that matters is male. The dominant male collects a harem of she-gorillas or sea lionesses, and fathers all the groups children. Lesser males steer well clear of females, and accept the scraps from hunts, lest they summon the alpha males wrath. Often the dominant males will go out of their way to humiliate their lesser brethren, just to remind them whos boss.
Its true: on one hand, animals inform us about the mind and the care for beauty, charm, and nobility that lie behind biology. In a way, they speak to us about the vision, and the love, of their creator. That is the design perspective.
Looked at another way, the animal world is a theater for brutality, where social interactions can be about brute displays of force, and the strong dominating the weak. As Zmirak argues, the Darwinian view, when embraced, whatever the context, encourages a way of interacting with others individuals and other groups where the aim is to humiliate [ones] lesser brethren, just to remind them whos boss. After all, humans are just animals.
As Zmirak puts it, They pyramid is the point. If thats the kind of worlds you want to live in, Darwinian evolution is the view of reality for you.
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When Darwinism Reigns, The Pyramid Is the Point - Discovery Institute
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Social Darwinism and News. – The Organization for World Peace
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Social Darwinism focuses on the principle of survival of the fittest. Within the news ecosystem, this means that only news outlets which are heavily profitable will survive. Some news organisations receive public funding while others are privately run. This creates a competition environment for news organisations who are actively competing for viewers attention.
To compete within the news ecosystem, news organizations have to diversify their content. As a consequence of this, journalists often experience burnout as they are having to produce multiple pieces at once in order to conduct their job. Within this instance, the news is distorted because of this perspective as the news networks are promoting their economic and business obligations over the well-being of their employees. This can lead to misprints, incorrect information being reported because of a lack of fact-checking, or lead to an article being biased because of the framing of the content to attract more viewers. An example of this is clickbait articles which use strategic phrasing within the title to get viewers to read the material.
Within diversifying news organizations create pieces for infotainment, which are designed to focus more on entertaining the viewer rather than educating them. This distortion allows for a business to gain higher viewership and therefore increased revenue, however the information is again framed to create a specific narrative to engage the user to spend more time on a specific news platform. The Spinoff recently created a series on political youth wings; this was designed primarily for entertainment rather than to educate viewers. They attracted viewership to this series using strategic sound bites which appeared on multiple social media platforms artificially inflating their viewership and therefore their revenue.
News organizations often have multiple revenue streams, all of which rely on the ability to attract viewers to them rather than their competition. Many articles are written for a wide target audience in order to capture a high viewership and therefore more revenue whether it be from advertising, grant funding, or private sponsorship.
Furthermore, news organizations exaggerate news conflicts to increase viewership. News corporations compete with each other for the accolade of having the most graphic imagery, which attracts viewers to their content. Humans are attracted to violence and conflict and therefore news organizations are able to distort news through exaggeration, curation of imagery and creating an attractive narrative to engage viewers. The aim of journalism is to report factually correct information which has been fact-checked to be accurate, as conflict news is distorted it doesnt fit the aim of news. News organizations fail to complete this aim, because of the nature of competition within Social Darwinism, as they have to put the economic and business needs ahead of its duty to give its viewers an accurate portrayal of both sides of news.
News organizations actively have to manipulate viewers and their behaviour in order to be able to keep operating as businesses. News organizations have to prioritise their business and economic needs first. As a result of the competitive nature of the news ecosystem and the attitude of Social Darwinism within news journalism, news organizations diversify content, use clickbait articles to attract viewers, focus on entertaining rather than producing news content, write broad pieces attractable for large audiences and exaggerate news. We must ask ourselves as a society whether we are able to accept these unethical news practices or whether we need to look differently as to how we fund news organisations.
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I’m Excited to Return to Discovery Institute to Find Intelligent Design Stronger Than Ever! – Discovery Institute
Posted: at 3:11 pm
Photo: Casey Luskin in South Africa.
Five years ago, on December 31, 2015, after working at Discovery Institute for ten years, I wrote a farewell message. I said the following:
It is with a mixture of sadness and excitement that I write this to announce that, as the year 2015 closes, I am leaving Discovery Institute. I am doing so in order to fulfill a lifelong goal of furthering my studies. My colleagues, who entirely support this decision, are people of the utmost integrity and they have been incredibly generous and welcoming to me and my family. I know we will miss each other.
Now at the beginning of 2021, it is with a mixture of joy and excitement that I write to announce that Im grateful to return to Discovery Institute as Associate Director of the Center for Science & Culture (CSC). And Im very optimistic about the future!
Over the past few years, Ive seen critics of intelligent design (ID) advance some wild and amusing conspiracy theories about the reasons for my departure and absence. Fortunately, none of them are true. I chuckled when they wishfully and confidently asserted that I had, alternatively, jumped ship, abandoned ID, was fired or retired.
So where was I for the last five years? Hiding out because I couldnt take the heat? Finally seeing the light and converting to Darwinism? Fired from Discovery Institute? Not at all. The truth is exactly what I said in my farewell post: I was fulfilling a lifelong goal of furthering my studies specifically, to earn a PhD in geology.
This pursuit took me to the University of Johannesburg (UJ) in South Africa, where I used paleomagnetism to study the early plate tectonic history of the Kaapvaal Craton, an ancient portion of Earths crust in southern Africa that traces back to over 3 billion years in age. Although my research does have some implications for early earth habitability, it was not related to intelligent design. And while many of my colleagues were aware of my ID views (and my prior work at Discovery Institute), to my knowledge they did not share them. My colleagues at UJ are first-rate geologists doing phenomenal research, and are great people who have nothing to do with ID. The focus of my PhD at UJ simply was not intelligent design, but rather Archean geology (and the subfield of paleomagnetism). I had a great time doing it.
My PhD project focused on the Pongola Supergroup, a major section of supracrustal rocks in southeastern South Africa (Kwazulu-Natal and Mpumalanga provinces) and southern Swaziland, aged ~2.8 3.0 billion years old. These rocks represent some the earliest deposits of volcanic rocks and siliciclastic sedimentary rocks that were deposited on stable continental crust. Specifically, my research investigated the paleomagnetism of the Pongola Supergroups volcanic rocks of the Nsuze Group, focusing on trying to determine where they were located on Earth at the time they formed about 2.95 3.0 billion years ago.
When molten rock cools, it frequently gets magnetized by the Earths magnetic field. Because the magnetic field varies according to latitude (i.e., angular distance from the equator), studying the magnetic properties of rocks can reveal where on Earth the rock originally formed in terms of its original paleolatitude (though not paleolongitude). If you have enough data, you can use paleomagnetism to attempt to reconstruct the plate tectonic history of a continent that is, figure out where continents were located in the past, what they may have looked like, and where they have drifted over time.
Suffice to say, this project involved months and even years of fieldwork, lab work, data analysis, and writeup. Like most PhDs, mine had its ups and downs, complete with excitement, fun, blood, sweat, tears, near-madness, sheer terror, and utter boredom.
Regarding excitement and terror, more than once I collected samples where signs warned of crocodiles, pythons, hippos, leopards, and other hazards. Fieldwork also gave me new experiences such as getting tick bite fever and other weird illnesses, getting caught in lightning storms, an angry farmer threatening to shoot me, and nervously tromping through countless kilometers of snake-infested bush.
Regarding the boredom and tears, my PhD required me to endure machinery and lab instrument breakdowns which slowed progress significantly and forced travel to other continents to finish lab work, amounting to untold days and nights spent alone in a small, windowless room measuring rock samples. As for the madness, thats what happened after I wrote over 30,000 lines of Python code to create new software tools for generating paleomagnetic diagrams. My family bought me a t-shirt that said I dream in Python because for months it was all I ever thought about.
None of the above makes me special or unusual. It just makes me like every other geologist who has done fieldwork, lab work, and data analysis. But in the end, the research was immensely rewarding because it allowed us to test fascinating hypotheses about whether Kaapvaal Craton of southern Africa and the Pilbara Craton of western Australia were once connected as an ancient supercontinent billions of years ago in the Archean.
Oh yes, the big question! Over the last few years many friends have asked me, Why did you go to South Africa for your PhD? Well, a major reason is that my wifes family is South African and we have a lot of extended family there. Another reason is that I wanted to study geology, and with South Africas rich mineral resources and extensive mining industry, it has among the best national infrastructures for geological research in the world.
The University of Johannesburg has a world-class geology department doing many forms of cutting-edge geological research, and was a superb place to study. Many other top geology research institutions are located in South Africa, offering prime opportunities for research collaborations. There are other reasons I went there, too, but all in good time. In sum, South Africa was an ideal place to do geological research.
Critics of ID often claim that if you dont have a PhD then you cant understand science and you dont deserve to speak on the topic. This is simply false.
There are lots of very smart people with PhDs but an amusing and astute saying Ive heard says that Science is 50 percent luck, 50 percent hard work, and the rest brains. Earning a PhD isnt easy, but Im now more convinced than ever that a PhD is not a litmus test for whether youre intelligent, whether you understand science, whether you have the ability and right to cogently speak in public about science, or whether your scientific views are ultimately correct. That said, Im immensely grateful for the experiences and opportunities I had working toward my PhD.
Of course everyone on the planet who has ever gotten a PhD did so because they wanted to improve their skills, credentials, and advance their career. But to be frank, before I did the PhD I was content with my credentials and my career. So for me, those werent the driving concerns.
Prior to attending law school, I had a bachelors degree and a masters degree in earth sciences from UC San Diego. As a kid, I would make my dad pull over our familys old RV on road trips so I could scamper off into the desert to collect rocks. Science was always my first academic love, and I was a weird geology-loving kid from a young age. Simply put: Going on to obtain a PhD in geology was a lifelong goal I had. None of my close friends were surprised when I told them I was doing this.
So why did I do the PhD? Answer: For the love of science, a desire to do research, and a quirky passion for rocks Ive had my entire life! And South Africa was an amazing place to do it.
So, you dont need a PhD to do good science, but that doesnt mean a PhD is a cakewalk. My PhD was the most mentally and emotionally exhausting academic venture of my life and I suspect that most folks who have gone through the experience will agree. Im still recuperating. In the end, I feel incredibly grateful to have learned a ton, met amazing people from all over the world, made many great friends, and had the experience of a lifetime.
As I return to Discovery Institute, I remain as optimistic about IDs future as I was when I wrote my farewell post in December 2015: my personal support for ID and confidence in its future have never been stronger the fundamentals of ID are sound. In that post, I discussed four general areas where ID was forging ahead: (1) scientific advancements and peer-reviewed papers, (2) failed attempts by critics to suppress ID, (3) IDs performance in high-level debates against top critics, and (4) a growing community of ID-friendly graduate students and scientists. Considering various developments over the past few years while I was doing the PhD, I believe this optimism remains warranted, and that ID is in an even stronger position than when I left:
Evidence supporting ID and/or challenging standard materialistic evolutionary models has continued to grow these past few years. There are so many examples its hard to know where to begin. In 2016, the Royal Society held a meeting on New trends in evolutionary biology, in which some talks were sharply critical of modern evolutionary biologys ability to explain the origin of new complex biological features. Also in 2016, a team led by Scott Minnich published a paper in the Journal of Bacteriology which showed that the famous Cit+ phenotype of Richard Lenskis Long Term Evolution Experiments actually involved, as the paper argued, No new genetic information. Then, in 2017, Discovery Institute released an updated list of pro-ID peer-reviewed papers, now topping over 100 papers.
There will surely be quite a few more papers added when we next update our peer-reviewed articles page, but there are a few worth mentioning that showed ID expanding into new areas of research. One of my favorite developments of the past few years was a paper published in BIO-Complexity in 2018 by computer scientist Winston Ewert. He applied the concept of common design to produce a dependency graph model of organismal relationships based upon the principle that software designers frequently re-use the same coding modules in different programs. Ewert tested his model by comparing the distribution of gene families in nine diverse organisms to a treelike pattern predicted by neo-Darwinism versus a dependency graph distribution used by computer programmers. His preliminary analysis showed that a common design-based dependency graph fit the genetic data 103000 times better than a Darwinian evolutionary tree!
Another important novel contribution from the ID camp was a project on human origins that published a paper in BIO-Complexity in 2019. This paper used population genetics to refute those who cite evolutionary models to claim that human genetic diversity indicates we could not have originated from an initial couple. As a final example, in 2020 a major article came out in the Journal of Theoretical Biology which supported intelligent design by name, noting that ID aims to adhere to the same standards of rational investigation as other scientific and philosophical enterprises, and it is subject to the same methods of evaluation and critique. The authors predicted that we will establish fine-tuning as a sustainable and fully testable scientific hypothesis, and ultimately a Design Science.
How did critics respond to IDs advances? Well, the media gave muffled coverage to the Royal Society conference in 2016 while participants tried hard not to think about ID. As for the Journal of Theoretical Biology, it issued a tepid disclaimer and weak rebuttal to the 2020 pro-ID paper, which, as John West pointed out, showed the article survived peer-review and was accepted for publication despite the open hostility of the journals top editors! The episode demonstrated the bias and opposition often faced by ID theorists in the scientific community, but that quality pro-ID science is being published nonetheless. Another episode from last year was telling. When we merely cited evidence from a mainstream journal that fulfilled IDs prediction of function for junk DNA though making it clear that the writers did not intend to support ID the same journal responded by calling for us to be censored!
I suppose little has changed in the past five years while I was doing the PhD: attempts to suppress ID continue, but the evidence for ID grows stronger apparently so strong that it cant be answered on the merits and must be suppressed. One wonders why there cant just be a serious, civil conversation about ID.
ID has fared superbly in high-level debates against its top opponents in recent years. Consider Brian Millers exchange with fellow physicist Jeremy England in the journal Inference. Miller showed that leading origin-of-life thinkers like Dr. England still cannot account for the high-energy, low-entropy states of living systems. As Miller explains, doing so requires explaining the origin of molecular machines which perform work to maintain these states. And explaining the origin of molecular machines requires accounting for the information that encodes them. Miller identifies the crux of the matter: Until origins researchers address the central role of information, the origin of life will remain shrouded in mystery. The exchange showed that even brilliant origin-of-life theorists like England simply do not have an answer for the origin of that necessary genetic information.
Or consider the scientific debate over Michael Behes book Darwin Devolves which came out in February 2019 and argued that evolutionary adaptations typically break or diminish function at the molecular level. The book received a critical though serious review in the journal Science, as well as in other scientific journals, and a lively debate ensued online. I followed the debate closely, and could not help but participate in it with a few anonymously submitted posts here at Evolution News. What I saw was that top anti-ID scientists like (such as Richard Lenski, Jerry Coyne, and others) barely put a dent in Behes arguments. Undoubtedly they would feel otherwise, but consider this: On degradation in polar bear genes, Behes defenders carefully answered every objection from critics and uncovered medical research showing that, as Behes model predicts, degradative mutations to APOB can help reduce cholesterol (see here for a summary and guide to that intense debate).
As we dug into other criticisms, Behes arguments stood the test at almost every turn. Then last year, Behes arguments were further vindicated when a Harvard geneticist wrote in Current Biology that the majority of the mutations that lead to adaptation are loss-of-function mutations that impair or eliminate the function of genes rather than gain-of-function mutations that increase or qualitatively alter the function of proteins. Read the Criticism & Response page on the books website to get a sense of how well Behes arguments fared.
This past year I had the pleasure of assisting with the 2020 Summer Seminar on Intelligent Design my first time teaching at the program in five years. I was reimpressed that there are dozens upon dozens of bright and motivated ID-friendly graduate students around the world doing (or planning to do) research in fields including biology, biochemistry, physics, cosmology, chemistry, and many other fields who want to advance the case for ID. Quite a few Summer Seminar alumni are already publishing papers contributing to the ID research program showing that ID is a healthy science with an up-and-coming crop of international scientists. Meanwhile, high-level defections, such as Yale computer scientist David Gelernter, show that its not just young scientists who are coming to doubt Darwin. Gelernter came out in 2019 as a critic of Darwin after reading Stephen Meyers Darwins Doubt (though hes not persuaded by ID). Another example is Gnter Bechly, a German paleontologist and entomologist who first officially came out as a Darwin-skeptic and ID-sympathizer in late 2015, but became widely known in 2016 when he publicly joined the ID community, and gained even more notoriety in 2017 after being forced to resign from his position as scientific curator for amber and fossil insects at the State Museum for Natural History in Stuttgart, and Wikipedia tried to erase him from history.
Over the last few years, many other scientific advances turned out to support ID and/or challenge Darwin. I hope to discuss those in depth on other occasions. For now, I want to list one final reason for optimism. Prior to my leaving Discovery in 2015 I helped craft the vision for the ID 3.0 research program a vision that has since become a reality. As Associate Director of the CSC, Im excited about helping to manage the research that is being funded by Discovery Institute and about renewing my contributions to the ID community in many other ways.
Despite this positive outlook, I must again confess a lingering sadness: I left a major part of my heart in the South Africa. With its wonderful people, rich multicultural society, cheerful vibe, and unmatched natural beauty, including incredible wildlife testifying to natures design, South Africa will always be a special place for me. If you ever plan to go there, feel free to contact me and Ill offer some tips for your trip!
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The Evolutionary Origins of Friendship – Scientific American
Posted: at 3:09 pm
As awful as 2020 was, its ability to reveal the genuine strengths and weaknesses of our relationships was an unexpected boon. When severe trouble strikes, whether it be a death in the family, divorce, lost fortune, public cancellation or global crisis, true friends rise above the posers.
Strange as it might sound, severe downturns are watershed moments. They enable us to discern fair-weather friends from friends tried and true. Flush times, when all is going well, do not provide the clarifying moments that enable us to see who will come to our aid when the chips are down. In fact, the ironic implication is that during times of good fortune, we might be less certain of who our friends really are and only glean this insight during times of hardship. Indeed, over the past year, Ive experienced the gratifying strengthening of relationships with people not previously in close orbit, but also the distressing unraveling of relationships I had thought beyond question. Some relationships can withstand intense stress; others break like brittle bones.
As an evolutionary psychologist, I have conducted research on social relationships and emotions for over 20 years. Friendships are an important class of relationships that evolved in response to the benefits of having additional people beyond family invested in ones welfare. But how do we make other people carethat is, redirect their time, money and social benefits to us instead of themselves or their kin?
The answer: we make ourselves valuable.
The evolution of friendships relied on the ability to recognize the unique benefits other people have on offer. Benefits can include the usual suspects of prestige, status and attractiveness, but there are myriad reasons why you might value another person: they are of the same political party, they like the same kinds of foods, they like to golf, surf or play chess, or they enjoy talking endlessly about Star Wars. Friendships tend to begin when one individual perceives value in another and performs a beneficent act: You can borrow my phone if you need to make a call; Can I help you carry that? These actions serve as a fishing line, cast out to see if the target individual might be in the market for a new friend. Signals of their gratitude are promising indicators of a bite; anger and annoyance are indicators of a lost lure.
What begins as a mere platitude, though, can snowball into a deep engagement. If I demonstrate that I value you, then, all else equal, it pays for you to value me in return. Your increased valuation of me can then lead me to care more about you, and so forth. To the extent we can make ourselves valuable to each other, we will have a vested interest in keeping each other around, which comes in handy during times of misfortune.
The talk of value and benefits on offer sounds calculated and coldhearted. It is. But this jargon refers to the rationale behindwhythe thoughts and feelings we experience exist. You do not consciously calculate the likelihood that a person values you or the downstream benefits that could result from a relationshipinstead the algorithms doing these calculations generate outputs, which percolate up from the unconscious as liking. Have you ever met someone, talked for hours, and left feeling like youve found a long-lost brother, sister, or soulmate? Chances are, you noticed similarities and evaluated the kinds of benefits future interactions might yield, which generated a sense of immediate closeness. Mutual valuation, when intense, can create storybook relationships.
But the tricky part is deciphering which individuals merely say they value us versus those who would be inclined to stand by our side during hardship. Talk is cheap and promises easily spoken: Id totally help you out in a pinch; You can ask me for money anytime; Feel free to stay at my place. Promises cost nothing when friends dont need help, money or a place to stay. As they say, actions speak louder than words. The pandemic has therefore been an unexpected (albeit unwanted) opportunity to test the tensile strength of our relationships.
As 2020 retreats farther into the rearview, it is as good a time as any to take stock of our relationships and to apply the old adage to ourselves and to others: friends in need are friends indeed.
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The Evolutionary Origins of Friendship - Scientific American
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The evolution of the shopping mall: What consumers want – Retail Dive
Posted: at 3:09 pm
This opinion piece was written by Barrie Scardina, Americas leader, Retail with Cushman & Wakefield, and Lee Peterson,executive vice president of thought leadership and marketing at WD Partners. Views are the authors' own.
On Cyber Monday, the retail industry achieved a new milestone the single largest e-commerce day on record with $10.8 billion in sales. According to a report from Creditntell, this represented over a 200% increase from 2016 Cyber Monday sales. Sensormatic Solutions shared that physical store traffic declined 49% for the four-day holiday weekend. Black Friday weekend confirmed that traditional brick-and-mortar retailers face an uphill battle as they enter the new year.
The growth of e-commerce sales and the decline of in-store traffic are creating new challenges for traditional malls. Department stores, which traditionally served as the pillars of these properties, are closing and consumers are looking for new points of engagement and authentic direct-to-consumer brands. When you combine this historical change with the impact that the pandemic has had over the past year,it's understandable that concerns are growing amongst mall owners, investors and developers:
Historically, traditional malls have offered a place where a community can come together to shop, eat and be entertained. Over the past 30 years, savvy developers have shifted their offerings from traditional shopping, focused on department and specialty stores, to new shopping experiences including digitally native brands, exciting food concepts, and larger and more sophisticated forms of entertainment from state-of-the-art movie theaters to water parks and rides. These malls have played an important role in the community providing a place to meet and share experiences, as well as delivering tax revenue that supports schools, health services, and police and fire departments.
Today, traffic is slowing down, stores are going dark, and consumers are expecting developers to reimagine a new experience to drive footsteps back to the mall. Now is the time for developers, owners and investors to revitalize their assets in order to maximize revenue.
To understand this and to help developers, owners and investors move forward, Cushman & Wakefield and WD Partners joined forces WD Partners compiled consumer insights to understand what they want in the mall today. When asked what concepts would increase visits to the mall, consumers demonstrated that they are looking for concepts that are valuable and desirable. The survey highlighted the following key trends:
Food was the winner two years in a row. Consumers didn't just mention restaurants, they also cited interest in grocery, farmer's markets, curated food courts, and quick service food. Food brings us together. It is an important point of engagement, offers memorable moments, and can be the cornerstone of a community. Food also drives traffic and extends mall foot traffic beyond the conventional store hours. Over 60% of those surveyed focused on this amenity.
Health and Wellness came in a strong second two years in a row with 43% surveyed leaning towards wellness and 36% towards fitness. Consumers continue to see tremendous value in staying well and physically fit. These concepts include the obvious walk-in medical clinics and gyms, to brands that sell fitness equipment and apparel.
New Concepts and Experiences were third with 35% of consumers looking for new concepts, experiential retail, and co-working spaces. These include pop-up shops, ax throwing bars, and gaming arenas. Some of these concepts are new additions to the survey illustrating how retail is evolving and focusing on consumer engagement.
Also emerging as an important trend were safety and convenience factors like buy online pick up in store and curbside pickup. Forty-four percent of those surveyed were looking for speed, convenience, touchless technology and safety. Consumers also indicated that "green space" would be an important part of engagement. These trends are not surprising given the pandemic's impact on consumer behaviors and experiences.
When analyzing the data by age, WD Partners reviewed the differences between two key groups: digital natives (ages 18 to 29) and digital immigrants (ages 45 to 60) and found that food continued to be the biggest draw, and that the largest spread was in the areas of fitness (19% spread) and gaming (18% spread). All age groups were focused on safety and wellness, as well as co-working spaces. Digital immigrants, who grew up in malls, have a greater attachment to the structure and purpose of malls. Digital natives are looking for a more creative experience overall. They are also very receptive to new ideas and concepts, especially when based on two premises: food and fitness. Much has been written recently about millennials and Gen Z in regards to behavior, but increasing their visitation to retail properties looks pretty straightforward.
The evolution of shopping malls has been an ongoing focus for decades. In the 1980s, we could not imagine that they would one day contain brands that extend from high-end dining to fitness to experiential concepts that sell sophisticated technology like phones and laptops. We could never envision trading in our Levi's for athleisure. Nor would we believe that we could work out at our gym and then grocery shop in the same place. The next evolution will bring new and exciting experiences that will differentiate the new decade from the last. Retail is an evolving ecosystem where consumers explore and experience brands, and malls are one of the most important hosts of that experience.
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The evolution of the shopping mall: What consumers want - Retail Dive
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