Daily Archives: July 17, 2017

FORUM: The crisis of confidence that’s roiling liberalism – New Haven Register

Posted: July 17, 2017 at 4:34 am

Asked what he thought of Western civilization, Mohandas Gandhi is said to have answered that it would be a good idea. Debate about liberal democracy in the Trump era is suffused with similar pessimism about Western achievement, bordering on self-damaging despair. The liberal mix of capitalism and democracy is denounced for yielding social inequality, cronyist kleptocracy and sheer governmental incompetence - failings that opened the door to Donald Trumps dispiriting presidency and that may be entrenched by it in turn. In the wake of the recent Group of 20 summit, some went so far as to claim that the chief threat to Americans was not from the aggressively illiberal despots of Russia, North Korea, China or the Islamic theocracies. Rather, it was from Trump which is to say, from the perverse fruit of our own system. The enemy is us.

This intellectual bandwagon needs to be stopped. Liberalism faces two challenges on the one hand, external enemies; on the other, an internal crisis of self-confidence and it is time we all acknowledged that the external threat is more severe. However bad Trump may be, he is not Vladimir Putin or Kim Jong Un. And although it is true that liberalism faces an internal crisis Ive done my bit to contribute to the alarmism it is worth remembering how liberalism got started two centuries ago.

As Edmund Fawcett has argued in his magisterial history of liberalism, the creed originated as a set of principles for managing bewildering change. For most of human history, economic growth and social evolution proceeded at a snails pace, but between 1776 and the first decades of the 19th century, revolutions both political and industrial caused everything to speed up. Liberalism skeptical of central power, respectful of diverse beliefs, comfortable with vigorous disagreement offered a means of handling the resulting tumult. If headlong technological and economic dislocation made political conflict unavoidable, humanity needed a way to contain it, civilize it a way to hang on to timeless standards of humanity while providing an escape valve for argument and change.

Seen in this light, todays technological and economic convulsions the part-time jobs of the gig economy, the menacing shadow of the robots - are not signs that the liberal system is in crisis. To the contrary, they are signs that liberalism is more essential than ever. We are in the midst of another industrial revolution, which will create winners and losers and bitter political arguments and Trump is testament to that. Liberalism will not end these conflicts; only absolutist doctrines create political silence. But liberalism will set the rules of the game that allow the conflict to be managed. For now, Trump is expressing the frustration of a part of the country, but liberal checks and rules of process are containing the impact.

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In its long history of facilitating clamorous argument, liberalism has succumbed, unsurprisingly, to repeated neuroses. In 1956 Nikita Khrushchev boasted of the superiority of state-directed industrialization, telling a group of Westerners, we will bury you; some in the West made the mistake of believing him, especially when the Soviet Union launched the first-ever space satellite the following year. In the 1960s, U.S. democracy was rocked by political assassinations, violence at the 1968 Democratic National Convention and a bubbling up of radical challenges to the system. Amid the stagflation of the 1970s, a business school dean sounded a warning about an end-to-Western-capitalism syndrome; and no less a figure than the U.S. president lectured the nation on its moral turpitude. All these episodes generated existential crises, just as Trump today leads people to doubt the resilience of our system. But pessimists should note that liberalism emerged robustly from those moments of self-doubt.

Whats more, pessimists should remember that, if a few dice had settled differently, the current conversation would be completely different. Absent strong proof to the contrary, Trumps election must be accepted as legitimate, but a small swing in a few places would have put the status quo candidate in the White House.

Similarly, Britains Brexit referendum was decided 52 to 48 percent; and a recent poll suggested that the voters now have doubts. In France, to cite a contrary example, the ambitious liberal Emmanuel Macron was lucky to face a bevy of weak opponents, and France was even luckier that Macron emerged out of nowhere, clad in white. The point is that political outcomes often hinge on quirks of fortune. None of these events should be interpreted as durable signals that liberalism is either moribund or resurgent.

Finally, it pays to remember that the two disasters that discredited the liberal establishment the 2008 financial crisis and the Iraq War were not errors that flowed from liberalism itself. There was nothing liberal about taxpayer backstops for private financial risk-taking, nor about the failure to temper the objective of Iraqi regime change with a sober calculation of available resources. These episodes do hold lessons for our democracy avoid cronyism, avoid hubris but they absolutely do not show that liberalism is wanting. To the contrary, liberalism arose during the first industrial revolution. We need it to navigate the second industrial revolution as it roils around us now.

Courtesy of The Washington Post

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Obituary: James Davidson, naval officer who became farmer, Liberal MP and television presenter – The Scotsman

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James Duncan Gordon Davidson OBE MVO, naval officer, farmer and politician. Born: 10 January, 1927 in Chatham, Kent. Died: 29 June,2017 in Newtonmore, aged 90

As he once observed, with a considerable degree of understatement, life is full of surprises none more so than finding yourself on the wrong end of a Kalashnikov, dancing with the Queen and two princesses or being mooted as a potential leader of the Liberal Party.

For James Davidson the first came courtesy of a period in Moscow at the height of the Cold War, by which time he had already served King George VI and family as a naval officer, the latter followed his election as MP for West Aberdeenshire.

In a brilliantly multi-faceted life he also became a hill farmer, television presenter, organiser of Scotlands premier agricultural event The Royal Highland Show, climbed the Eiger and was a single parent to three young children.

Seemingly unstoppable, in retirement he became a healthy living campaigner, studied otters in Chile, created a childrens book and completed his first parachute jump all proof of his abilities not only as a master of reinvention but as a formidable operator.

His unusually varied life began in the port of Chatham where his father, a naval captain, was commissioning a destroyer. He spent his first two years in Malta and was schooled at various establishments before becoming a cadet at the Royal Naval College, Dartmouth in 1940, aged 13. Two key influencers were the sight of the battleships Nelson and Rodney, along with the cruiser Hood, off Nairn in 1938, and the film Sons of the Sea.

Still just 17 when he joined his first ship, in the final year of the Second World War, he served on HMS Anson, part of the Home Fleet at Scapa Flow, patrolling off the Danish and Norwegian coasts. He later joined the cruiser Newfoundland as a senior midshipman, sailing to join the British Pacific Fleet and reaching Manus in the Admiralty Isles the day Germany surrendered.

As the war with Japan continued he saw action in Operation Wewak, covering Australian troops landing on New Guinea, and in Operation Inmate, an attack on the Japanese stronghold of Truk in the Caroline Islands. He went on to serve on HMS Whimbrel, escorting a fleet train of tankers and store ships off the Japanese coast, and was 500 miles from Hiroshima when news of the first atomic bomb blast came through on August 7, 1945: Even now, more than half a century later, I wonder about the morality of that terrible act of destruction, he later wrote.

That, and the bombing of Nagasaki on August 9, ended the war. He was on Whimbrel at Tokyo harbour for the Japanese surrender on September 2 where he witnessed 250 Allied aircraft filling the skies, a vast array of Allied ships and despairing Japanese, heads in their hands.

On the way home he happened to read some General Election pamphlets which galvanised his Liberal views. At 19 he became a sub-lieutenant on HMS Vanguard, a battleship fitted out for the Royal cruise to South Africa, when he danced with the then Queen Elizabeth and Princesses Elizabeth and Margaret. He entertained them at gun room parties and attended Princess Elizabeths 21st birthday party before being posted to HMS Wren in the Persian Gulf.

Unsure his future lay at sea, he secretly applied to do a BSc at Aberdeen University but was told he had another seven years to serve before he could leave the Navy. Making the best of it, he decided to brush up on the Russian he had learned as a cadet and qualified, through the Navy, to study Russian at Cambridge, with six months in Paris when he lived with a family of Georgian princesses.

After passing the Civil Service Commissioners interpreter exams he was appointed assistant naval attach to the British Embassy in Moscow, taking up the post in 1952 after a year as Boys Training Officer for a Rosyth-based squadron of frigates.

The handsome 25-year-old lived in a dacha in the Perlovka forest, constantly tailed and in the glare of anti-Western propaganda. His encounter with a Kalashnikov-toting soldier came one Sunday afternoon when, during a forest walk, he was held at gunpoint until 3am, accused of entering an unmarked forbidden zone and of being an unacceptable person.

In Russia he saw Stalin both alive and lying in state, travelled widely taking discreet photos, including images of submarine construction on the Volga, and married Kit Jamieson, the beautiful secretary to the Canadian Charg dAffaires. In 1954 they were the first westerners since the Second World War to leave the Soviet Union via the Trans-Siberian Railway and Nakhodka, shadowed incessantly by an operative from the Ministry of Internal Affairs.

During a spell as third in command on a destroyer he inherited a farm that had been in his family for nearly 200 years and duly applied to go on the retired list. In 1956 he moved north to the property at Tillychetly near Alford, Aberdeenshire, He taught himself the agricultural business, took a correspondence course at night and was subsequently elected to the North-east Area executive of the National Farmers Union. He also supported the West Aberdeenshire Liberal Association and enormously expanded its branch network.

Adopted as the seats prospective Liberal Parliamentary candidate, he lost out in the 1964 general election but in 1966 became the first Liberal in 35 years to win the seat. Jo Grimond appointed him spokesman on Defence and Foreign Affairs and he was nominated as the Liberal Party vice-chairman of the Great Britain-USSR Association. However the Russians refused to accept him, hinting he had been a spy. After Grimond decided to retire as leader he privately asked Davidson if he would consider standing for the role. By this time Davidsons wife was suffering mental health issues and the prospect was unthinkable.

The couple split up and Davidson did not stand in the 1970 election, turning down the offer of a peerage and a seat in the House of Lords. Forging a new career he became chief executive of the Royal Highland & Agricultural Society of Scotland, responsible to a mammoth board of 52 directors, running the Royal Highland Show and establishing the Exhibition Centre at Ingliston. Meanwhile he had also been recruited as presenter of the Grampian Television programme, Country Focus, which he fronted from 1970 to 1982.

Divorced in 1973 and awarded custody of his three children, he married his second wife Janet with whom he had a son.

Awarded the MVO after serving the Royals on Vanguard, he was further honoured with an OBE for services to agriculture in 1984. He retired in 1992 and, shocked by Scotlands terrible record of heart disease and cancer, immediately busied himself establishing The Flower of Scotland campaign to promote a healthy lifestyle. He recruited rugby legend David Sole as a trustee and was supported by stars including Sean Connery and Evelyn Glennie, plus the British Medical Association and the World Health Organisation. He developed a book and video, distributed free to every Scottish secondary school, spoke at almost 130 schools across the country and raised 10,000 with a parachute jump.

Having retired to Newtonmore, he was founder chairman of the local community Woodland Trust. A passionate climber, he had climbed widely in Scotland and the Alps, including ascents of the Matterhorn and Eiger, and was a committed conservationist, tracking and tagging otters in Chile at the age of 74.

A former president of the Clan Davidson Association, he also wrote and illustrated a colouring book for children and titles including Scots and the Sea and his autobiography Thinker, Sailor, Shepherd, Spy?

Devoted to Janet, whom he met more than half a century ago, he is survived by her, their son Calum and his elder children Sandy, Ros and Polly.

ALISON SHAW

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Liberal National party conference calls for ban on headscarves for children under 10 – The Guardian

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Brooke Patterson, the Liberal National party member who moved the motion to call for a ban on headscarves for children under the age of 10. Photograph: Darren England/AAP

The Liberal National party state conference in Queensland has overwhelmingly voted against a limited Muslim immigration ban but has voted to call for headscarves to be banned for young children.

The main resolution had called for the federal government to ban immigration from countries with sharia law, with those in favour saying it was was culturally incompatible with Australian values.

However, those arguing against it said that immigrants should be judged on a case-by-case basis and are often fleeing persecution under sharia in those countries.

Ultimately the resolution was defeated by what the LNP president, Gary Spence, described as an overwhelming majority of attendees.

An emergency resolution calling for a general ban on clothing that obscures the face was also defeated, however a second emergency resolution calling for a ban on headscarves for children under the age of 10 was passed.

The delegate moving the motion to adopt the resolution, Brooke Patterson from the Southport State Electoral Council, said she was a P&C member at a local school and had been asked to design appropriate uniforms for young girls that incorporated sexual modesty coverings.

We need to debate this now, otherwise in three months there will be a Muslim uniform in state schools in Queensland, Patterson said.

Another delegate, Wendy Ko from the Surfers Paradise SEC, argued against the resolution, saying the Liberal National party should be in favour of freedom of religion.

We shouldnt even be having this discussion, Ko said. I dont think anyone has the right to tell an Islamic family how to raise their daughter.

Ultimately the resolution was passed.

The Queensland Labor government frontbencher Leeanne Enoch later on Sunday said she was disappointed by that result.

I think its absolutely appalling, we live in a multicultural society, Enoch told reporters. Theyre talking about what children should wear in schools that is the dark ages.

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The liberal international order: Just who shredded it? – Salon

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For at least a couple of decades now, the words liberal international order have been used by mainstream strategic thinkers in the United States as a codeword for a world led by the United States.

Under that concept, all nations (ideally) operate in a rational manner, wedded to the rule of law and free from excessive statism in daily life and the economy often with the involvement of multilateral institutions.

Putin gets blamed

For quite a while now, these same U.S. voices have professed great indignation about the venerable liberal international order being shredded.

They are crystal clear about who is to blame for that: none other than Russias President Vladimir Putin.

There is no doubt that Putin plays all sorts of dirty games all over the globe and often uses what is left of international order and international law in the most cynical manner.

But that does not mean that Putin is the one responsible for shredding the liberal international order.

The problem with the very convenient Its Putins fault argument is that it has never been Putins job to preserve or support that order.

Anybody who believes that only betrays his own naivet or wishful thinking. The Russian, as well as the Chinese, governments interest clearly lies in establishing a non-U.S. centric world order.

Somebody else is a far bigger culprit

The big problem with U.S. policymakers loudly broadcasting their disappointment with Putins supposed shredding of the liberal international order is their damning silence on the United States own role in tearing that order apart.

Whatever the deficiencies of Western powers in global affairs, one of their presumed advantages, at least according to their own advertising, is that they are rational and responsible powers wedded to upholding the rule of law.

It is on that basis, in the Wests own doctrine, that its actions on the global stage have legitimacy.

The truth is that it wasnt Putin or even Trump now as much as George W. Bush and his reckless foreign policy cowboys remember Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, all names that should live in infamy who did most of the shredding of that liberal international order.

They committed acts of war that were clearly criminal in nature. Their only saving grace was and is that they have a U.S. passport.

The incredible legal gymnastics that they resorted to cover their tracks as best they could was continued under the Obama Administration, although in a much milder form.

Still, Obama did not break with his predecessors Bush league approach. Deliberately obscure mandates in Iraq simply changed topic, gone were the torture memos, in where drone strike memos.

Put yourself into the shoes of a Russian or Chinese policymaker for a moment and ask any one of these four questions:

1. What could possibly be the Russians and Chinese incentive to act responsibly (and legally), after the United States, the chief sermonizer of goodness in world affairs, under Bush IIs (and also, in part, under Obamas tutelage) had lowered its own behavioral standards so much?

2. Can the Russians and Chinese really afford not to behave in the same callous, reckless, mean and demeaning way as the Americans did in Iraq?

3. Are the Russians and Chinese supposed not to give in to the imperial temptation when they feel that need at a given moment and the U.S. government itself is showing little restraint?

4. Why should the Russians and the Chinese hold themselves to a higher standard in international affairs than the United States?

After all, it was the U.S. government with its wars of will argument over a decade ago that degraded the existing terms of reference for international behavior. That inevitably had effects on others.

If America can do it

The Russians and Chinese, with good reason from their vantage point, only demand equal rights to abuse the international system.

The way in which the Americans are proliferating the its Putins fault argument at the present time so mindlessly and so intensely for all of Putins faults does nothing to resurrect the international order.

Quite the opposite. It is yet another double standard, where other nations are held to a standard by the Americans the gross violation of which committed by themselves they have simply conveniently forgotten.

Collective amnesia may be a very self-serving way to try and wash ones hands of ones own crimes. But it is hardly a credible way to reestablish an order that prides itself on being rational and consistent.

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Larks series finale in Liberal postponed; makeup set for Monday – hays Post

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LIBERAL, Kan. Sunday nights series finale between the Hays Larks and Liberal Bee Jays has been postponed due to poor playing conditions at Brent Gould Field following weekend rains. The game, which has big implications on the Jayhawk League championship, will be made up at 6 pm Monday.

This is the second time in three days a game has been delayed in the series. Fridays opener was postponed and made up as part of a Saturday doubleheader which saw the Larks win game one 8-3 in eight innings and drop the second contest 2-1.

The Larks currently sit atop the Jayhawk League standings by one-game lead over the Bee Jays and Derby. The Twins close out their series in Dodge City Sunday night then play three next week at home against Great Bend. Liberal was scheduled to host Oklahoma City next week, but will receive three forfeit wins after the Indians folded following their game on Thursday. The Larks close with three at home against El Dorado starting Tuesday.

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Arkansas investment earnings top $57M – Arkansas Democrat-Gazette – Arkansas Online

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The state treasury earned $57.5 million on its investment of more than $3 billion in fiscal 2017, the largest amount in almost a decade, according to Treasurer Dennis Milligan's office.

The fiscal 2017 interest earnings are the largest since fiscal 2009's $72.6 million, the office's records show. Fiscal 2017 ended June 30.

By comparison, the treasury earned $22.3 million in fiscal 2015 and $48.9 million in fiscal 2016.

The records show that the treasury had an average of $3.4 billion to invest in fiscal 2017 -- up from $3.2 billion in fiscal 2016 and $2.8 million in fiscal 2015 -- so the office's increased earnings are based on a larger pool of investments.

The investments include $3.28 billion in bonds, about $277,500 in demand accounts and about $155,000 in money market accounts, said Milligan spokesman Stacy Peterson.

Milligan's office released information about the investment earnings last week in response to this newspaper's request under the Arkansas Freedom of Information Act.

An employee in the treasurer's office, Celeste Gladden, notified the state Board of Finance on Thursday that "it has been the policy of Treasurer Milligan not to release these results until the Board has been notified first. However, our quarterly meeting is not until next month and we must respond to this [FOI] request.

"As always, details will be provided to the Board at our quarterly meeting in August," Gladden wrote.

The state Board of Finance includes the governor or his representative; treasurer; auditor; bank commissioner; director of the state Department of Finance and Administration; the securities commissioner; and two appointees each by the House speaker and Senate president pro tempore.

Milligan, a Benton Republican who has been treasurer since January 2015, which was midway through fiscal 2015, said Friday that increased interest rates by the Federal Reserve contributed "a little bit to the growth" in the earnings.

"Part of the success that we've had is simply because we are on this every day. We went from a passive treasury to an active treasury, which means we are looking at numbers," Milligan said in an interview.

"I'm in here very early in the mornings. I'm looking at overnight markets. Since it is a global economy, I'm looking at how things are changing, especially with our short-term investments because something happens politically around the world, then it can change our attitudes," he said.

"I would certainly credit the investment team. I would credit our whole administration," Milligan said.

In a special session held in May 2016, the GOP-controlled Legislature enacted Republican Gov. Asa Hutchinson's highway funding legislation. The legislation relies largely on using a portion of general revenue surpluses and increased earnings from the treasury to raise about $50 million a year to match another $200 million in federal highway funds available each year. Starting in fiscal 2018, the plan relies in part on $20 million a year in treasury earnings.

While Milligan has praised his investment team, two of the team members have left in recent months.

Earlier this month, Larry Tate, who had worked in the treasurer's investment department, went to work as the Arkansas Development Finance Authority's housing programs manager at a salary of $69,776 a year, said Cheryl Schluterman, vice president of finance and administration at the authority.

Tate, who was paid $68,400 a year as a treasury manager, resigned his post in the treasurer's office, effective June 30. In his resignation letter, he said he enjoyed working with the investment team for the past two-plus years and has been "most impressed with both the quality of the state Board of Finance and the quality of the staff in the Investment Group."

Tate is a former business manager for First Baptist Church in Little Rock. He was operations manager for Hutchinson's unsuccessful campaign for governor in 2006, according to his resume. The Development Finance Authority is an agency that reports to the governor.

In March, legislation that would have shifted senior investment manager Ed Garner, treasurer manager Gladden and Tate under the purview of the Board of Finance cleared the state Senate but failed to clear a House committee. Chief Investment Officer Autumn Sanson currently works under the board's purview under a law enacted in 2013.

The sponsor of the ill-fated legislation -- Sen. Terry Rice, R-Waldron -- sought the change after Milligan hired Ronald Roberson, a former vice president and senior trader at the Bank of Oklahoma, as a senior investment manager in February. Rice said the position requires a college degree, which Roberson lacked. But Milligan spokesman Stacy Peterson said Roberson was placed in a post for which a degree is preferred, not required.

In May, Roberson resigned his job, which paid $70,000 a year, after the Board of Finance blocked Milligan's plans to reclassify Roberson as a senior investment manager. The Board of Finance voted to require that the person hired to fill the new senior investment manager II position have a college degree.

Roberson, who had 38 years of investment experience, had completed 135 college hours at the University of Arkansas at Little Rock. Roberson cited "the opinions raised ... by a few members of the state Board of Finance" in his resignation letter.

After Tate's and Roberson's resignations, Milligan said Friday "right now we are just in a holding pattern. We have to adhere to the state Board of Finance education requirements. We're looking at potential replacements for both."

SundayMonday on 07/16/2017

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Green’s Utopia: making everybody poorer – Scoop.co.nz (press release)

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Greens Utopia: The fastest way to achieving equality is to make everybody poorer

17 JULY 2017 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

The Taxpayers Union says the Green Partys attempt to increase the welfare state is not only an unnecessary burden on taxpayers but also founded on a misunderstanding of the economic realities facing New Zealand.

Mac Mckenna, an economist at the Taxpayers Union, says, The reality is that these new Green Party policies are based on misconstrued beliefs about the New Zealand economy. Firstly, that inequality has been increasing in New Zealand. This is quite simply not true. Two recent reports by the New Zealand Initiative and NZIER, respectively, demonstrate that inequality is unchanged in over two decades.

Secondly, their policy to increase the minimum wage by $2 an hour, and eventually indexing it to 66% of the average wage, comes in spite of New Zealand already having the highest minimum to average wage ratio in the OECD. As it currently stands, the minimum to average wage ratio in New Zealand is approximately 0.52. This is significantly higher than other comparable countries such as Australia (0.44), the UK (0.41), Canada (0.40), and the US (0.25).

The irony is that indexing the minimum wage to the average wage may become self-fulfilling under a Green Government. Their combination of policies deters growth, innovation and productivity, as well as pours away taxpayer money. It is therefore quite possible that the average wage will fall achieving their 66% average wage policy without even having to increase the minimum.

The Greens do not seem to grasp the concept that New Zealand can only get wealthier and increase living standards if we become more productive, innovative, and increase output. The Greens seem to think that disincentivizing the productive and rewarding the unproductive will make us better off.

The Greens are the only party to date who has proposed a tax increase, in the form of a new 40% top tax rate. Not only is this envy politics, but it is quite alarming that when the Governments books project enormous surpluses into the foreseeable future, the Greens still dont think New Zealand taxpayers are parting with enough of their money.

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The New Zealand Taxpayers' Union is an independent activist group, dedicated to being the voice for Kiwi taxpayers in the corridors of power. It's here to fight government waste and make sure New Zealanders get value for money from their tax dollar. New Zealanders are invited to join and donate at http://taxpayers.org.nz

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Is Dystopian Backlist a Publishing Utopia? – Publishers Weekly

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Its been a good half a year for two particular adult dystopian science-fiction backlist titles. In the months following the election of President Trump, George Orwells 1984 and Margaret Atwoods The Handmaids Tale shot to the top of the charts. Both titles landed on the NPD BookScan and Amazon bestseller lists for print and Kindle e-books, respectively, for the first half of 2017, and both were newly released in hardcover by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt in April.

So why arent there more sci-fi dystopian titles from the deep backlist on the bestselling lists?

In a way, the time was particularly right for these two titles. 1984, set in a world ruled by an authoritarian government that monitors how its population acts, speaks, and thinks, skyrocketed to the top of the charts after the use of the term alternative facts by Trump spokeswoman Kellyanne Conway reminded readers of the novels famous term doublespeak. The Handmaids Tale, set in a world run by a small group of white, straight men, imagines the persecution and subjugation of people of color, LGBTQ people, and women. It didnt hurt that Hulu adapted The Handmaids Tale into a TV series with Mad Men star Elizabeth Moss earlier this year.

Yet other titles appear to be equally relevant. John Brunners Club of Rome Quartetcomprised of the novels Stand on Zanzibar, The Jagged Orbit, The Sheep Look Up, and The Shockwave Riderwas released in the late 1960s and 70s and correctly predicted, respectively, overpopulation, a U.S. mired in weapons proliferation and interracial violence, pollution-related ecological disasters, and the emergence of computer viruses.

Or consider, on the more popular end, Aldous Huxleys Brave New World, which Harper published in a new hardcover edition this May for the books 85th anniversary. The novel predicts a situation in which advances in mass production, reproduction, and medical treatments have led to a society dominated by a rigid class structure and the intake of antidepressant and hallucinogenic drugs.

Yet Brunner remains all but ignored in the media cycle, and the new hardcover of Brave New World has sold 525 copies to date, according to NPD BookScan (although the trade paperback, ever a classroom favorite, has sold more than 80,000 this year, with 4,000 in the first week of July alone).

Jaime Levine, publisher at Diversion Books, said her company publishes the e-book versions of C.L. Moores quintessential dystopian book, Doomsday Morning, and Ursula LeGuins environmental sci-fi classic The Lathe of Heaven. But, she added, I cant say that I had been monitoring an uptick in trend.

Shes not the only one. There isnt a spike of interest in Stand on Zanzibar, although weve got a lot of books like that in our deep backlist, said Tor Books associate publisher Patrick Nielsen Hayden. I love that book. Im part of the reason we brought it back into print [in 2011]. But its kind of an artifact of its time.

That said, Tor is taking some advantage in the upsurge of activism, Nielsen Hayden added, by marketing more recent backlist titles like Cory Doctorows Little Brother and Kristen Simmonss Article Five directly to indie booksellers, including, in the case of the Doctorow, a mailing from the author.

On the other hand, John Siciliano, executive editor Penguin Classics, has seen a lot of demand for Yevgeny Zamyatins We, a Russian dystopian novel that inspired 1984, and William Goldings Lord of the Flies, along with its sister imprint Signets successes with Sinclair Lewiss It Cant Happen Here. And Open Road Integrated Media, which publishes the other three Brunner titles in e-book (and The Sheep Look Up in paperback, as of 2016), acquired those rights and re-released those titles in 2014, and has promoted the e-books in four pieces on its digital media verticals The Portalist and Early Bird Books.

The reason we do these is twofold, said executive v-p of marketing Mary McAveney. We want to keep pushing these books out, and were seeing that there are consumers looking for them. From a marketing perspective, I feel like nothing that is backlist is getting enough attention these days.

Betsy Mitchell, who works as a consultant for Open Road acquiring and republishing backlist sci-fi and fantasy, adds that the publisher also has the e-book versions of Octavia Butlers Parable of the Sower and Parable of the Talents. She was ahead of her time, Mitchell added. She actually has a demagogic president whose tagline is Make America Great Again.

What seems clear, thanks to Orwell and Atwood, is that backlist dystopian sci-fi titles can be a gold mine for publishers who promote them at just the right timeand theres no better time for sci-fi than a period of political upheaval. Or, as Nielsen Hayden puts it, I think one of the underrated reasons that people read science fiction in particular is that its a great tool for figuring out what you think about how the world works.

A version of this article appeared in the 07/17/2017 issue of Publishers Weekly under the headline: With 1984 All the Rage, Is Dystopian Backlist a Publishing Utopia?

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Turnbull’s coal delusions as COAG changes course on energy – RenewEconomy

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From ABC TVs Utopia series.

It is getting increasingly hard to make sense of exactly what is happening in Australian energy policy these days. Just ask comedian Rob Sitch, who looked at the industry while researching for his new series ofUtopia, where he plays the head of the fictional National Building Authority.

Looking for grand plans that his character could announce, he conducted a mini Finkel review of his own and looked specifically at Snowy Hydro,even before the Turnbull governments announcement of Snowy 2.0. What he found wasnt so much an energy industry as a market more in common with junk bonds on Wall Street.

Truth is stranger than fiction, he said in an interview last week. In the end, he just found it too bizarre, even for a program like Utopia, which specialises in improbable projects that have the lure of being announceble even if they are never built: Essentially a turntable for government naming rights.

There has been more than bit of that sort of caper in the last few months, and the late John Clarke summed it up neatly with Bryan Dawe in one of the last episodes of their weekly satire, in a memorable interview with Wal Socket.

But if we are to believe, as energy minister Josh Frydenberg suggested on Friday, that the latest COAG meeting will be remembered and hailed as the meeting that turned the ship around on energy policy, it is still not clear exactly where that ship is heading.

Frydenberg was quoting Tony Marxsen, the head of the Australian Energy Market Operator, and it was in reference to the 49 out of 50 recommendations that were adopted from the Finkel Review.

It is what everyone was hoping. But the Finkel Review recommendations were so vague it was not entirely clear what it means. That might be a good thing, if the future is beyond coal.

Turnbull tried not to frighten the horses on the weekend by telling the Queensland LNP congress that anyone who did not believe in the future of coal was delusional.

One could strongly argue the opposite, as did Bloomberg New Energy Finance when shooting down the absurd technology costs pushed by the Minerals Council. But that is the role that Turnbull and Frydenberg have to play if they are ever to get a version of the Clean Energy Target past the partys right wing.

There are four key considerations to be taken out of the COAG meeting last Friday.

The first is on the future of the CET itself. The states are promising to go it alone, but at this stage it seems little more than playing politics. It is hard to see what interest the ACT, already at 100 per cent renewables by 2020, would have in a state-based CET.

Victoria is still yet to introduce legislation for the VRET, its own state-based renewables target of 40 per cent by 2025. Studies show that the state-based initiatives, like the Victoria and Queensland targets, will be enough to get the country to the current 2030 emissions reduction targets.

That means that any national Clean Energy Target will be of little use unless it aims a lot higher than the 26-28 per cent reductions current sought by the Coalition government.

But with Turnbull still describing the Queensland governments target of 50 per cent renewables as reckless, there is little room to propose a scheme that will see that much renewable or more across the nation.

And he has to deal with outrageous outbursts last week by the likes of energy committee chief Craig Kelly (renewables are killing people); Resources Minister Matt Canavan (we should ignore climate change) and broadcaster Alan Jones (the head of AEMO should be run out of town).

Instead, the focus needs to be put on the other important aspects of the Finkel recommendations.

Chief among these is the Generator Security Obligation. COAG resolved to ask AEMO to put together a rule-change to put to the Australian Energy Market Commission, the rule-making body known for its glacial progress on rule changes.

If the AEMC can somehow bring itself to issue a rule change in less than five years, something it has been unable to do with other key proposals that might weaken the incumbent business model, then it is hoped that AEMO is given a huge amount of discretion on where dispatch ale storage needs to be installed.

Frydenberg was at pains to point out to RenewEconomy last week that he was not suggesting that each and every wind and solar farm would have to have certain amounts of storage. That, he insisted, is to be decided by AEMO.

And experts point out that the levels of storage and dispatchable generation will be different from state to state, and location to location. This mustnt be used simply as an excuse to make wind and solar more expensive. As ITK analyst David Leitch notes, it could be a dumb idea.

Its pointless to ask a wind farm in Tasmania to add back-up, given the high level of hydro power. But while a new solar farm in South Australia may need to provide more, a second solar farm in the area might not. AEMO will need to monitor and manage this, but it will be a rapidly evolving brief as new technologies come on to the market.

It was interesting to note that COAG also gave the AEMC a strict deadline on new rules for demand management, an issue on which it has been dragging its heals, instructing it to produce something concrete by the summer of 2018/19.

The question of the Energy Security Board is also interesting. An independent chair and a deputy chair are to be appointed, with each state proposing a name or names to be put forward. It is not entirely clear why a new layer of bureaucracy is needed.

Crikey reported earlier this month that two names being discussed included former energy ministers Ian Macfarlane and Martin Ferguson. Either would be a disaster for the industry, and hardly independent, given their respective roles as lobbyists for the coal industry, on one hand, and the oil and gas industry on another.

Finally, there is the question about market gaming by generators. Frydenberg has focused on the generators owned by the Queensland state government (Labor), seeking to embarrass them.

Queensland has left something of a smoking gun because ever since energy minister Mark Bailey put the word on the generators to change their bidding practices, Queensland has gone from rivalling South Australia with the highest wholesale prices over the last five years and not just this last summer as Bailey suggests to having the lowest.

Thats why Frydenberg should ensure that the AER also focuses on other states too. Everyone in the industry knows this practice is rampant, and that is the basis of the proposal to change the 30-minute settlement period to a 5-minute settlement, to match with dispatch.

The current arrangement is simply too easy to game, and it has been happening across the country, as one of the leading networks and some of the new specialist retailers have made very clear.

To hear RenewEconomy editor Giles Parkinson and ITK analyst David Leitch discuss these issues, please tune in to our Energy Insiders podcast, which can be found here.

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Sport: Pacific Oceania talk up Fed Cup promotion hopes | Radio … – Radio New Zealand

Posted: at 4:31 am

The Pacific Oceania women's tennis team believe it is a case of third-time lucky in their bid for Fed Cup promotion.

The composite team finished fifth and sixth in Asia/Oceania Zone Group Two over the past two years.

Samoa's Steffi Carruthers, Papua New Guinea's Abigail Tere-Apisah and Mayka Zima from Tahiti are back for another tilt at top spot, with Carol Lee from the Northern Marianas the new face, after impressing in the junior ranks.

Steffi Carruthers playing for Pacific Oceania in 2016. Photo: Supplied

Pacific Oceania are one of 13 teams competing on hardcourts this week in Dushanbe, Tajikistan for a shot at promotion to level one.

Team captain Patrice Cotti said they had a real chance.

"We were pretty close to finishing in the top four (last year) and because we lost two games - if we won these two games we were in the semi finals," he said.

"This year I think Abby is better than last year, Steffi is maybe better or at the same level, we have Mayka and Carol at a good level and I think this year the first step is to be in the semi final.

"And after if you are in the semi final you have to go in the final and in the final you want to be promoted."

Abigail Tere-Apisah speaks with Patrice Cotti during a singles tie in 2016. Photo: Supplied

Patrice Cotti said the current Fed Cup line up is probably the strongest it had ever been, with Carol Lee fresh from victories on the Junior ITF circuit and Abigail Tere-Apisah reaching a career-best 365 in the world singles rankings.

"She's now in the top 400 in the world so it's amazing and I think she can improve too and she wants to be better and she will be better," he said.

"Steffi is young too and playing in many tournaments since many years and she has the experience.

"For Mayka it's different because she lives in Tahiti but I know her very well because I'm training her sometimes during the year.

"She loved her experience last year in Thailand and when she saw how Steffi and Abby was playing she wanted to be better and I think she's better now than last year."

Meanwhile, the men's Davis Cup gets underway today in Sri Lanka.

Nine teams are vying for two promotion places from Asia/Oceania Zone Group Three.

The Pacific Oceania line-up of Heve Kelley from Tahiti, Vanuatu's Aymeric Mara, Brett Baudinet of the Cook Islands and newcomer Colin Sinclair from the CNMI have been drawn in the Pool A along with Sri Lanka, Syria and Jordan.

Tahiti's Heve Kelley representing Pacific Oceania in the Davis Cup in Bahrain. Photo: Supplied

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