Daily Archives: April 21, 2017

Meet the congressman who is pushing for a Charles Darwin Day … – Tulsa World

Posted: April 21, 2017 at 2:28 am

HARTFORD, Conn. U.S. Rep. Jim Himes has taken on the role of promoting Darwinism in the House of Representatives, saying he believes its the type of legislation his southwestern Connecticut constituents want him to pursue at a time when skepticism surrounds science.

I represent one of the most educated districts in the country. And so, I think my constituents expect this of me, said Himes, who took over proposing the perennial longshot legislation commemorating the birth date of Charles Darwin from former New Jersey Rep. Rush Holt, a research physicist who is now chief executive of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

Himes said he has championed the legislation for several years because science and truth remarkably always need advocacy against the forces of nostalgia and fear and irrationality. That message, he said, is especially important now in light of statements from President Donald Trump and his Environmental Protection Agency chief, Scott Pruitt, who has alarmed scientists by saying he does not believe carbon dioxide is a primary contributor to global warming.

At the end of the day, policy has to be guided by facts and truth, Himes said.

The legislation comes as lawmakers in at least three states Oklahoma, South Dakota and Texas have weighed bills this year allowing teachers to decide how much skepticism to work into lessons on contentious scientific issues such as evolution and climate change. Louisiana, Mississippi and Tennessee have enacted similar laws, according to Glenn Branch, deputy director of the California-based National Center for Science Education.

Sen. Richard Blumenthal, a Democrat from Connecticut, proposed a similar bill in the Senate this year.

Such proposals, however, dont get very far. Branch said the legislation is typically defeated in the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology by ideologically conservative Republicans who dont call a hearing on the bill.

The bill is unlikely to ever pass Congress, given that Darwin, who developed the scientific theory of evolution by natural selection, was British.

But Holt praises Himes, a former investment banker, for taking up the legislation, which only expresses the Houses support in designating Feb. 12 as Darwin Day, recognizing him as a worthy symbol of scientific advancement on which to focus and around which to build a global celebration of science and humanity intended to promote a common bond among all of Earths people.

Darwin, who was a religious person, didnt let personal bias interfere with him looking at evidence, Holt said. Thats a stance worth celebrating at a time when ideology and opinion are crowding out evidence, he said.

Of course, the Darwin Day legislation is more symbolic than practical, but theres an important lesson there that public issues should be informed by the best publicly available scientific evidence, Holt said. Its really to Jims credit that hes speaking up for this. Its harder for a non-scientist to do that.

Himes has taken other pro-science stances recently, including signing a congressional letter in December to Trump, urging the president to appoint a universally respected scientist to the position of assistant to the president for science and technology within his first 100 days in office an appointment that has not yet been made. The president has not responded.

Himes drew some criticism during his last re-election campaign for proposing the legislation. His Republican opponent, former Rep. John Shaban, called it a political stunt and a waste of time and resources.

Indeed, I believe in both evolution and that we must pursue balanced polices to address global climate change, but passive-aggressive resolutions do little to advance the cause, Shaban wrote on his campaign website.

For decades, there have been efforts to recognize Darwin and his theory of evolution, both nationally and internationally. The American Humanist Society promotes International Darwin Day each year, calling it a day of celebration, activism and international cooperation for the advancement of science, education, and human well-being.

A 2013 analysis by the Pew Research Center determined that 60 percent of Americans believe humans and other living things have evolved over time, while a third reject the idea of evolution. Pew also found about 24 percent of Americans believe that a supreme being guided the evolution of living things for the purpose of creating human beings.

Himes, an elder in his Presbyterian church, said he doesnt see his faith as being at odds with the Darwin Day bill.

No science can explain why human beings evolved, he said. But we shouldnt argue with the fact that they did evolve.

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Woodlands robotics team returns to global championship – Chron.com

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Photo: Steve Gonzales, Staff

Team SESI Big Bang, from Birigui, Brazil, cheer as they compete in the FIRST (For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology) Global Robotics Championship on Thursday.

Team SESI Big Bang, from Birigui, Brazil, cheer as they compete in the FIRST (For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology) Global Robotics Championship on Thursday.

Team SESI Big Bang, from Birigui, Brazil, cheer as they compete in the FIRST (For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology) Global Robotics Championship on Thursday.

Team SESI Big Bang, from Birigui, Brazil, cheer as they compete in the FIRST (For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology) Global Robotics Championship on Thursday.

Woodlands robotics team returns to global championship

Forty-five students from a Woodlands-based world-champion robotics team are among 15,000 students who gathered Thursday for the start of what organizers say is the "world's largest robotics celebration" at the George R. Brown Convention Center.

"We need more engineers in our society," said Oak Ridge High School senior and veteran robotics competitor London Darce. "Robots are taking over the world, so you want to be the one that's building them, not the one that they're replacing."

Her team, Texas Torque, is one of several Lone Star state teams in the competition. It previously has been a winner at the global championship.

As a result, ConroeISD agreed to construct new robotics labs at The Woodlands College Park High School and Caney Ceek High School, said Texas Torque mentor Sherry Coates. The $2.5million facilities are set to open next month.

'Every kid can go pro'

The Conroe students were among the more than 15,000 K-12 students to descend on Houston this week, arriving from 24 states and 33 countries for the 2017 FIRST Championship. It is an annual robotics competition presented by telecommunication equipment company Qualcomm Inc.

"It's exactly like sports, except we're using robots instead of humans," said Darce.

FIRST (For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology) is the ultimate showdown for student robotics teams around the world, combining sports with the challenges of science and technology.

Inventor and entrepreneur Dean Kamen founded the New Hampshire-based nonprofit in 1989 to encourage students to pursue Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics education.

FIRST, in partnership with National Instruments, came to an agreement in 2016 to get robotics recognized as an official varsity sport in school districts across Texas. This year, the initiative brought hands-on science lessons to 1,500 Texas students.

"This is the sport where every kid can go pro," said FIRST President Don Bossi. "The skills they're learning here are directly transferable to a whole host of careers where there is a shortage of people."

FIRST Championships are held around the nation to immerse participants in diverse cultures and accommodate low-income students who aren't able to travel.

This year marks FIRST's arrival in Houston, where it will remain annually until 2020 - generating what promoters estimate will be $30million for the Texas economy. FIRST chose Houston because of the convention center's capacity to hold their attendees, but also for the STEM-centric attractions, such as Johnson Space Center.

Much more than robots

In advance of the competition, students spendsix-eight weeks building their robots for regional events to qualify for FIRST. If qualified, they ship the robots to the Championship's host city. Each team is composed of students from different high schools within the same area.

Throughout the pits, teams were identifiable by their costumes: Texas Torque wore black, but other teams had brightly coloredT-shirts with team logos and matching dyed hair.

During 2 minute matches on a synthetic green field, participants stand on two "airships," or platforms, as their robot races across the field to relocate green balls, meant to represent the robot's "refueling." The robot then delivers fake gears to the airship "pilots."

The main objective is to get each robot hooked onto the airship and raised off the ground, despite their massive weight.

"Quite honestly, when I first heard of FIRST - you know, you hear 'robots,' and quite admittedly, I thought 'this is a little dorky,'" said Jennifer Brunelle, director of Positive NRG, a FIRST sponsor. "But when you talk to the students and see how much they're learning, it's so much more than robots."

The winning teams at this year's FIRST Championships will be awarded after their final matches at Minute Maid Park on Saturday.

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Robotics company ATI plans to add 275 employees in Apex – News & Observer

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Robotics company ATI plans to add 275 employees in Apex
News & Observer
Robotics parts maker ATI Industrial Automation plans to add 275 employees over the next four years in conjunction with a major expansion of its factory and corporate headquarters in Apex. The employee-owned company's revenue has been growing at a 20 ...

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Knob Noster robotics team earns berth to World Championships – The Daily Star-Journal

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Knob Noster's inaugural robotics team - Stealth Panther Robotics 6424 - competed in the 10,000 Lakes Regional Robotics Competition on April 8 in Minneapolis, Minnesota, where they won the Rookie All-Star award.

The award gives them a berth to the World Championships on April 26 in St. Louis.

At the competition, the Stealth Panther Robotics squad advanced to the quarterfinals before being bounced from the tournament.

The Rookie All-Star award is the highest judged award for first year teams. It is given based on preseason achievements, technical design and execution, competitive performance, gracious professionalism, teamwork, inspiring others to learn about science and technology and overall representation of the FIRST core values.

In this year's competition, the robot must collect and deliver wiffle balls to a boiler, which powers an airship. It must also collect gears for the airship's rotors. For the first 15 seconds of a match the robots operate autonomously, then the teams drivers take over to operate robots for the remainder of the match.

During the final 30 seconds of the match, the robot must acquire and use a rope to climb about the airship before the match ends.

Teams compete in groups of three, called alliances, that consists of robots of other schools participating in the competition.

Knob Noster was also among the 24 teams invited to participate in the Missouri State Robotics Championship May 12-13. The Stealth Panther Robotics are currently ranked 21 out of 72 active teams in Missouri and is the highest ranked rookie team in the state.

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Montabella Mustangs Robotics team is looking for support – Greenville Daily News

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Kalvin Quakenbush, a junior and the head electrician for the Mustang Robotics, tells the Montabella school board on Monday how he helped design a robot to be able to be successful in the gear component of a competition. Daily News/Meghan Nelson

HOME TOWNSHIP Being involved in robotics has helped Kalvin Quackenbush with his grades and direction after high school graduation.

This program kind of led me where I wanted to go, which is electrical engineering or robotic engineering, said Quackenbush, a Montabella High School junior and the head electrician of Mustangs Robotics.

Robotics is a sport of the mind, say Quackenbush and his coaches. At Montabella High School ninth through 12th grade students must have passing grades to participate in robotics.

One of the countless aspects coaches Tyler and Carrie Harkness enjoy about the robotics program is the direction that students get from participating.

Not only do they get to do all this really cool stuff with their hands, but they also utilizing real life skills that will take them into careers theyre interested in or just general daily life, Carrie said.

Montabella students have been able to participate in a robotics program for the last two years. During Mondays Montabella school board meeting, the coaches and four of the seven members of Mustang Robotics presented what they do as well as let board members know they are looking to fundraise.

(First Robotics) does grant processes trying to get rookie teams, and thats how weve been fortunate at Mustang Robotics is weve been recipients for the first year and second year, Carrie said. Now that were going into our third year, there is no more grant money available through them, and thats why were bringing it here: To try and drum up strong community support.

Mustang Robotics competes through First Robotics, which sets the rules and regulations for competitions. The team had six weeks to build a robot that can shoot balls into a hopper, grab large gears and place them into an airship and climb a rope.

This year, the team spent $3,000 for the two competition entry fees. Coach Tyler Harkness explained some of the cost goes toward materials for the robot, but some of it also goes back to First Robotics or into scholarship funds, which are available nationally.

Besides the $3,000, Mustang Robotics spent $900 building their robot. The maximum that can be spent on the robot is $4,000.

We took a very economical route, Carrie noted. We took robots and stripped every working part from them.

Montabellas team made it to the quarterfinals and placed 16th out of 40 teams. If they had done a bit better, the team would have been eligible to compete at a state competition.

The unique challenge is it would have cost $4,000 for the entry fee just for that tournament, Carrie said. You have about a one-week turnaround to raise that money.

Despite the costs and fundraising efforts the coaches enjoy being a part of the sport for the mind.

I know I have as much fun as they do, and Ive learned more than they did, Tyler said.

Along with the showcase at Montabellas school board meeting, the robotics team hopes to present their robot to the entire school district and find other ways to develop community support to keep the program at Montabella High School.

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Dayton Business: Robotics company wins Soin award – Dayton Daily News

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A Dayton company that has devised a way to help mobility-impaired people better enjoy their meals has won a local business award.

The Dayton Area Chamber of Commerce and Soin International announced this morning that DESiN LLC has won the 2017 Soin Award for Innovation.

DESiN produces a robotic dining companion known as Obi, which, in the words of a chamber announcement, helps restore dignity for those who, due to various reasons, are not able to enjoyably feed themselves.

We believe dining is one of lifes greatest pleasures that everyone should enjoy, said Jon Dekar, co-founder, DESN. What our device stands for is equally as important as what it does. It represents our belief that living with physical challenges can be fulfilling and inspiring. Technology, and specifically robots, combined with modern design, should facilitate that.

Obi is the first product from DESiN. The first Obi prototype was developed in 2006 by Dekar, who at the time was a University of Dayton engineering student.

Dekar saw the challenges faced by people with disabilities and was exposed to stories as varied as that of his aging grandfather or a 6-year-old girl with Arthrogryposis, the chamber said. Dekar graduated from UD and, with his father Tom, founded DESiN in 2010.

This has been an incredible nine-year journey to go from my dorm room prototype to having Obi units manufactured and ready to sell, Dekar said in the chambers release.

The Soin Award panel of judges is made up of area business leaders and representatives from small business supporters.

The creators and entrepreneurs behind Obi win a $25,000 prize and marketing opportunities.

The Soin Award for Innovation began on the Dayton Area Chamber of Commerces 100th anniversary as a way to honor the businesses carrying on the innovative heritage of the Dayton region. The Raj Soin family has been the benefactor of the award since its inception.

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Mohawk robotics students to compete on world stage – KVAL

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Just 126 students go to class at Mohawk middle and high schools, but nearly 50 of those kids call the robotics classroom home. (SBG)

MARCOLA, Ore. -- They've only been at it for two years, but robotics students from Mohawk middle and high schools are ready to compete on a world stage and the kids are excited.

Advisor and lead instructor Renee Klein says it's like working with big kids toys. The toys in this case are robots with a serious educational mission.

It's a new program the Marcola community has rallied around.

Just 126 students go to class at Mohawk middle and high schools, but nearly 50 of those kids call the robotics classroom home.

Klein says its not set up as a standalone course.

This program is also supported in our computer science program, where they are learning computer programming., Klein says, adding they're learning video game design as well.

Now, through a company called VEX, eight youngsters are headed to Louisville, Kentucky this weekend for the Robotics World Championships.

Im really excited; honestly, it means like a ton to me, says eighth grade robotics student Justin Bolton. Being able just to qualify for worlds just means a lot.

And if you think robotics is just for a select number of science whiz kids, think again. In the Marcola district, grades 6 through 12, about one third of that total student body, are involved in robotics.

I work with my dad and I like to build a lot, so it's really fun for me, says eighth grader Kendyle Gormley.

Oregon had only three middle school slots open for the VEX Worlds, and Mohawk qualified two teams.

For Klein, it's the ultimate reward.

It's so fun for me to see kids come into the program with absolutely zero skills and then be able to go and be competitive and be able to do things that they didn't even know that they could do.

Klein says the VEX World Championships will be three days of competition involving about 1,400 students from the US and 30 foreign nations.

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Local robotics teams battle in Houston for championship – Knoxville News Sentinel

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HIGH SCHOOL TEAMS CREATE AND BATTLE ROBOTSRobots battle in Knoxville | 2:56

Thirteen local high school robotics teams joined 35 more for this year's regional robotics competition at Thompson-Boling Arena. Wochit

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The 2017 Smoky Mountains Regional Robotics Competition at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville hosted hundreds of high school students whose teams competed with their own, individually built robots. Andrew Capps

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Members of the Secret City Wilbots work on their robot between the final rounds of the 2017 FIRST Robotics Smoky Mountain Regional Competition on March 25.(Photo: Andrew Capps / News Sentinel)Buy Photo

High school robotics teams from Oak Ridge High School, Farragut High School, Hardin Valley Academy, L&N STEM Academyand South Doyle High School are battlingin Houston this week for the FIRST (For Inspiration and Recognition of Science and Technology)Robotics World Championship.

The five teams previously competed with nine other local teams and 35 from the broader region at the 2017 FIRST RoboticsSmoky Mountain Regional Competition at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville.

Oak Ridge High School was a finalist team at the Smoky Mountain Regional and won an engineering inspiration award. Farragut High School won the overall competition at the Smoky Mountain Regionallast month, and Hardin Valley Academy won another regional competition in Palmetto.

However, teams don't have to place in the finals to go to the world championships. They can get there by winning other awards too. South Doyle High School qualified for the finals when itwon two rookie awards for its first year in the competition: the Rookie All Star Award and the Highest Rookie Seed Award.

In addition to winning the Palmetto regional, Hardin Valley Academy won the Chairman's Award at the Smoky Mountain Regional for having a well-rounded team businessand performing well in outreach projects and competitions.

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"It never gets old," David Nuttall, the Hardin Valley Academy team mentor, said."It's always a challenge. This is our first year tochange out our drive team, and we have the very good fortune that this team is just as good as our previous one."

Nuttall, who is a composites engineer at the ORNL Manufacturing Demonstration Facility,is one of about 15 scientists, researchers and engineers from Oak Ridge National Laboratory who mentor Knoxville-area robotics teams. He began mentoring about six years ago when his son was a student on Hardin Valley's team and has continued with the program ever since.

"There's that sense of pride that you feel like you might have touched their lives to help them along," he said. "To see them from one year to the next year, to the next year, really, it's all about maturing. They're still high school kids who mature into pre-adults and adults who are ready to go off to college, and it's just really fascinating and fun."

UT-Battelle supports 11 regional teams. Scientists, researchers and engineers at TVA and from Y-12's contractor, Consolidated Nuclear Security, also mentor teams across the state.

As many as 15 from as far as Johnson City participate in ORNL "Lunch and Learns" during their robot building season. Teams show up on Saturdays to eat lunch and talk about their projects with each other.

"Every team representative tries to get up and share what they've learned this week, what they need help with and what support they can give other teams, and if they need support we can reach out and help them too," Nuttall said.

Helping rival teams is not uncommon in the FIRST robotics program, which teachestenets like gracious professionalism and"coopetition," a term FIRST coined that means bettering others to better yourself.

ORNL also helps teamsuse 3-D printers to print parts for their robots at theManufacturing Demonstration Facility. Claus Daniel, the Farragut High Schoolteam mentor, said the Hardin Valley Academy team worked with ORNL and First Robotics to donate 4503-D printers to teams across the country thatdon't have the resources to print robotic parts.

"Everyone wants to win on their own merit, rather than wanting to win because someone else had a disadvantage," saidDaniel, who also directs ORNL's sustainable transportation program.

Daniel is on the ground at the Houston world championships with the Farragut High School team he mentors. FIRST holds two world championships each year to accommodate its growing number of teams.

Teams from the Southern and Western United States, the Middle East, South Africa and China are participating in Houston this week. Next week, teams from the northeastern United States, eastern Canada, Europe and other parts of Asia will compete in St. Louis.

"We see the sametenets exercised internationally here," Daniel said. His team's booth in Houston is neighbored by teams from Mexico, Turkey and China. "For teams who are coming from really far away, it can get expensive to send all of their stuff over."

The Turkish robotics team looked Daniel's Farragut team up before the competition and sent itssoon-to-be neighbors a request for help with supplies.

"They said, 'Hey, we can't send everything we have, can you help us out?' So we got together with a few other teams to make sure they got their tools, their fire extinguishersand things like that," he said. "So, they only had to bring the robot, and everything else comes from other teams helping them out so they can do their best too."

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Tips to select the best Broadband Service Provider / ISP – Gizmo Times

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Who doesnt have a broadband connection? Some of us even have a couple of connections or more if we rely on proper Internet to run our businesses. But there are many who are looking to have a broadband connection for the first time. In the guide below, we try to help you by explaining the tips that can help you choose the best broadband service provider in your locality.

Before knowing the various tips to select the best broadband service provider out there let us define Broadband service. Broadly speaking, broadband service is a much faster internet service providing method as compared to the traditional dial-up connections. Broadband service includes multiple services like the following.

How to choose the best broadband service provider?

This is one of those questions many Internet users out there have in their mind. Choosing the best broadband service provider is very important to ensure that you have a continuous and fast connection that helps you to stay connected to the Internet at all times.

Availability: This may seem obvious to quite a lot of readers but it also remains to be one of the most common mistakes being made. Before choosing your broadband service provider, make sure that they provide a healthy service in your area and can provide uninterrupted services to you at all times. To identify them, the best option would be to ask other broadband users in your area or even go online in an Internet Cafe to get the details and comparisons of the various Internet Service Providers (ISPs) in your area.

Download/Upload Rate: If you are going to pay for broadband services, you might as well make sure they have the best download and upload speeds in your area. You need to make this clear and sure because there is nothing that can irritate an internet user more than a slow internet connection!

Special Features: At an extra rate most Internet Service Providers (ISPs) provide extra features. These features can vary from provider to provider. Most common add-on feature available will be extra speed or extra usage limit by paying more money than the regular plan.

Broadband Plan: Even the best broadband service providers can have some lame plans that are total rip-offs and the worst providers can provide with best plans. Look out for the plans provided by the broadband provider you have chosen and carefully choose an Internet plan that suits you and your usage the best. Also, make sure that the broadband plan is not going to burn a hole in your pocket!

Customer Support: This is very important when you choose your ISP because no matter how good the connection is you will need some help from the provider at some point of time. You have to make sure that they have an excellent customer support and that they will be willing to provide you with assistance at all times.

Reliability: Quite obvious this is. If you spend money on a broadband connection and choose a plan that costs you quite some money, you need to make sure that the connection is reliable. Losing your Internet connection midway of uploading an important work file or while you are downloading or browsing can be very disturbing and irritating at the same time.

Keep these tips in your mind while you choose your ISP next time.

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Virtual Reality Companies Navigate ‘The Trough of Disillusionment’ – Bloomberg

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Twelve months ago the Virtual Reality World Congress in Bristol, England, was a sell-out show, with over 750 attendees gawping over the latest VR hardware and production techniques.

This year's event, which took place last week, attracted even more participants -- more than 1,200 over three days -- but the mood felt decidedly less upbeat. Virtual reality, it seems, has been mugged by reality.

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Sales of VR hardwarehave fallen 40 percent behind forecasts, CCS Insight, a technology research group, said in a February report. And the VR hardware that is selling has mostly been relatively inexpensive goggles that allow people to experience VR through their smartphones, such as Samsung'sGear VR and Google's Daydream, not higher-end, dedicated headsets such as those made by Sony Corp, Facebook Inc.'s Oculus and HTC Corp.

"Some people have said that 2016 was not a very good year for VR, that perhaps virtual reality is not where we would have hoped,"Roy Taylor, vice president for alliances at semiconductor manufacturer Advanced Micro Devices Inc., acknowledged in his keynote address at the conference, before going on to disputethis conclusion.

He listed a series of virtual reality achievements in 2016, including the first uses of the technology for surgery and in a courtroom, as well as several significant VR games and films.

And yet, talking to exhibitors at the conference, there was a distinct sense that virtual reality has entered the dreaded "trough of disillusionment." That's the bust part of the boom-and-bust in publicexpectationsthat precedes mass adoption of a new technology in research firm Gartner's famous "hype cycle."

"I think the problem was about hype and expectation versus reality," Stuart Gallop, Chief Executive Officer of ARiVR, a U.K. company working on product placement for brand marketing within virtual reality environments such as games and movies.

Many working in VR have run up against the hard economic reality of trying to produce content for a technology that remains, at least for the moment, fairly niche.

Daniel Kihlgren Kallander, a developer and programmer for the Swedish virtual reality startup SvrviveABAB, estimates that his company lost money on its first VR game, also called SVRVIVE, which it released for HTC's Vive platform last year. "This is a very small market right now," he said. "We need a bigger market to sustain ourselves."

This is doubly true for those working on virtual reality films, as opposed to computer games. Edward Saatchi, CEO and co-founder of Oculus Story Studio, a VR movie studio owned by Facebook's Oculus, compared early experiments in VR films to the transition from silent movies to talkies in the late 1920s, except, he said of those pioneers in sound, "at least they had a business model."

As disappointment is setting in for virtual reality, expectations are building around its less glamorous cousin, augmented reality, which is also sometimes called mixed reality because it places digitally-rendered elements in the real observed environment. In 2016, Pokemon Go, which is an augmented reality game played on smartphones, became a worldwide phenomenon. Microsoft launched its high-end AR headset, HoloLens, which has found customers mostly among industrial and business users -- such as aeronautical engineers and architects. Snap Inc.'s AR photo filters are one of the most popular features of its messaging service and Facebook has announced a big push into the field with its own AR camera filters. Many now expect Apple Inc. to introduce an augmented reality product in the next year, which might help AR to leapfrog VR to achieve mass adoption.

"Apple has not made a play yet in this space and I think they will and that it will be huge," said ARiVR's Gallop.

Technology company ABI Research says that virtual reality currently generates about 50 percent more revenue than augmented reality but that it relies heavily on hardware sales. Augmented reality, by contrast, relies more on software and in manycases can be experienced by users with their existing smartphones. ABI forecasts that AR revenues will surpass VR sales by 2019.

Virtual reality true believers, like Taylor, are dismissive of the idea that AR might outrun VR as ablockbuster consumer technology. Augmented reality requires too much training for the average consumerto learn how to integrate the digital images into the real world, Taylorsaid. "Mixing the virtual world and the real world is less natural," he said. Simply popping on a headset and diving into a completely virtual environment is, somewhat counter-intuitively, easier, he said.

ABI Research still forecasts that virtual reality device shipments will reach 110 million units by 2021 -- huge growth considering only about 6.3 million such devices were shipped last year, according to tech research company Super Data.

Taylor predicts that the virtual reality video game Fallout 4 VR, which Bethesda Softworks, a division of Rockville, Maryland-based ZeniMax Media Inc., is expected to release this year will be the event that catalyzes widespread adoption of home-based virtual reality hardware much as the game Super Mario Brothers and Sonic the Hedgehog helped drive adoption of Nintendo and Sega home gaming systems.

VR enthusiasts think the current "trough of disillusionment" is -- as the Gartner model would predict -- merely a temporary setback on the road to virtual reality becoming a mainstream technology-- and a cash cow. The question though, is how long the field will have to wallow in the trough.

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