Monthly Archives: February 2017

SpaceX cargo ship finally reaches space station – CBS News

Posted: February 25, 2017 at 2:53 pm

Running a day late because of a navigation glitch, a SpaceX Dragon cargo ship loaded with nearly 5,500 pounds of supplies and equipment was captured by the International Space Stations robot arm early Thursday, four days after launch from the Kennedy Space Center.

With the cargo ship flying in formation 30 feet below the lab complex, European Space Agency astronaut Thomas Pesquet, operating the robot arm, locked onto a grapple fixture at 5:44 a.m. EST (GMT-5) to wrap up a picture-perfect automated rendezvous.

Looks like weve got a great capture, Expedition 50 commander Shane Kimbrough called down to mission control in Houston. Thomas did an awesome job flying it in.

Congratulations, Thomas, Shane, Expedition 50, great job with Dragon capture, and sorry about the delays, astronaut Mike Hopkins replied from the control center. Now the real work starts.

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With the Dragon firmly in hand, flight controllers at the Johnson Space Center in Houston took over arm operations and pulled the spacecraft in for berthing at the forward Harmony modules Earth facing port. Sixteen motorized bolts in the ports common berthing mechanism then drove home, locking the spacecraft in place and clearing the way for hatch opening.

During a rendezvous attempt Wednesday, the Dragons on-board computer aborted the approach because of incorrect navigation data defining its orbit and trajectory. The spacecraft backed off while SpaceX flight controllers in Hawthorne, Calif., assessed the issue, figured out what was wrong and rescheduled a second attempt Thursday. There were no problems the second time around.

Dragon is now officially arrived to ISS, Pesquet radioed. Were very happy indeed to have it on board, and Im very much looking forward to putting to good use the two-and-a-half tons of science and cargo it carries.

Wed like to congratulate all the teams that took part in the mission in Hawthorne, California, Houston, Texas, and all over the world. Such a strong partnership between agencies and commercial entities, together with international partners, is without a doubt the future of space exploration.

A view of the Dragon after capture by the space stations robot arm.

NASA

While the Dragon capsule was completing its rendezvous, a Russian Progress supply ship was continuing its own approach to the space station. The Progress MS-05/66P spacecraft was launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan on Wednesday and if all goes well, it will dock at the Russian Pirs module around 3:34 a.m. Friday.

The Dragon was launched atop a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket last Sunday from the Kennedy Space Center, the companys first Florida launch since a spectacular explosion Sept. 1 at the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station that destroyed another Falcon 9 and its communications satellite payload.

The cargo ships pressurized compartment, the section accessible to the crew inside the station, is packed with 3,150 pounds of supplies and equipment, including 580 pounds of food and clothing, 842 pounds of spare parts and other vehicle hardware and more than 1,600 pounds of science gear.

Twenty mice are housed in a rodent habitat, part of research to help scientists learn more about what processes govern bone regeneration and healing. Also on board: methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, or MRSA, in an experiment to learn more about designing more effective drugs by studying how the deadly bacteria mutate.

Mounted in the Dragons unpressurized trunk section are another 2,100 pounds of equipment: a $92 million ozone monitoring instrument, a $7 million sensor to monitor lightning strikes and experimental gear designed to help engineers perfect autonomous rendezvous and docking software.

The stations robot arm will be used by flight controllers to extract the cargo from the trunk so the devices can be mounted on the stations main power truss for long-term operation.

Reloaded with science samples, trash and no-longer-needed equipment, the Dragon is expected to return to Earth in about one month.

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Horror movie ‘Life’ draws upon real-life biology and worst-case space scenarios – GeekWire

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An astronaut administers a shock to an alien life form in a Petri dish aboard the International Space Station, in a scene from the movie Life. Bad idea? (CTMG via YouTube)

A real-life organism provides the inspiration for the alien monster at the center of Life, ahorror movie thats set on the International Space Station. But youd never guess which one.

Would you believe slime mold?

We used that as a model, working with the effects team, but ramped it up enormously, said Adam Rutherford, who served as a science consultant for the film. Moviegoers can get a glimpse at the results in the online trailers for Life, which opens in theaters on March 24.

Rutherford didnt just throw a dart at the tree of life to select slime mold. Its a weird kind of fungus-like critter that can be considered a one-celled or multicellular organism. Studies have shown that although it doesnt have a brain, it seems to be capable of learning and even figuring out railway routes.

Thats not a bad model for a fictional organism from Mars that combines neural and muscular functions in one cell. And its not a bad pick for Rutherford, a geneticist who also helped out with the AI movie Ex Machina and wrote a book titled Creation about the origin and future of life.

No one goes to a space horror flick for a science lecture, but the producers of Life took pains to throw in some real-life background about astrobiology, the challenges of studying samples from an alien world, and how to deal with a medical emergency on the space station.

One of the reasons it works so well is because its set in the near future, Rutherford told GeekWire.

China is already gearing up to bring samples back from the moon, as early as this year, and NASAs 2020 Mars rover is expected to lay the groundwork for an eventual Mars sample return mission.

Scientistsare thinking through all the protocols that will be needed to keep Martian samples from getting contaminated by terrestrial life forms, and to keep any potential life forms from getting into earthly environments.

The most likely scenario calls for sending a sealed sample canister directly back to Earth, for study in a specially built containment facility. In contrast, the movie plot is built around the idea that astronauts will study the sample on the space station, supposedly for safetys sake. Of course, something goes wrong.

In real life, the space stations crew would stick to very rigorous protocols to absolutely minimize risk of contamination, Rutherford said. But it wouldnt be much of a space horror thriller, he added.

Dealing with an alien outbreak isnt exactly on NASAs list of potential medical emergencies. But the films producers did want to stick as close to the space stations medical procedures as they could. So, they called in Kevin Fong, an expert on space medicine from University College London, to help keep the plot on the right side of plausibility.

They invented some capabilities that dont exist on the current International Space Station, Fong told GeekWire. I was really gobsmacked by just how much effort they put into creating these fictional modules.

Fong pointed out that the real space station has nothing like the capabilities of a hospital. The average medical astronaut is not thinking about doing open-heart surgery, he said.

Crew memberscan handle minor medical upsets, and theyre trained to deal with the two big emergency scenarios that is, explosive decompression or fire. But if an astronaut is facing a life-threatening medical condition such as acute appendicitis or a heart attack, youd be looking to come home fairly sharpish on a Russian Soyuz spacecraft, Fong said.

The filmmakers turned things up a couple of notches for Life, andFong is happy with the results.

I cant speak for the whole film, he said, but for the bits that were medical it was all pretty close to the bone of what reality would be.

For the bits that were physical, the filmmakers turned to Rudi Schmidt, an Austrian scientist who has worked on a long string of space missions for the European Space Agency and served as a consultant for The Martian, one of moviedoms most successful hard-sci-fisagas.

Schmidt advised the actors on how to move in zero gravity, even when they were harnessed in ropes and wires that had to be digitally removed during post-production.

The result, he told GeekWire, is probably as realistic as you can get on the ground.

Schmidt also dealt with questions from filmmakers and actors about life in space. He recalled that Russian actress Olga Dihovichnaya whoplays the space stations commander asked him what it was like to cry in space.

Its different from crying on Earth, because theres no gravity, Schmidt explained. The tears just stick to your eyes. They do not roll down on the cheek. They just stay in the eyes, getting bigger and bigger and bigger. So in the end, the idea of crying [in the movie] was not a really good one. (Check out Canadian astronaut Chris Hadfields video demonstrating the real-life effect.)

As a scientist whos actually managed a mission to Mars, Schmidt is also well-placed to weigh in on whether samples from the Red Planet would carry anything like the monster that gets loose in Life.

Schmidt said that samples of Martian rock and soil couldhold evidence for fossilized ancient life, but almost certainly nothing dangerous. Nobody, including myself, would expect that well bring back a living organism from Mars, he said.

Just keep telling yourself that after youve seen Life.

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Space Matter: Public (and Private) Space Stations – Paste Magazine

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Space Matter is a weekly column that delves into space science and the mechanics of spaceflight. From the latest discoveries in the universe around us to the fits and starts of rocket test flights, youll find analysis, discussion, and an eternal optimism about space and launching ourselves into the cosmos.

We all are aware that the International Space Station is out there, in low Earth orbitbut did you know that there are two other space stations up there as well? Or that the first private space station is currently in development? We have a rich history of space stations, from Skylab to Mir and beyond.

Americas first space station was Skylabwhich was never actually intended or built for that use. Skylab was actually the unused upper stage of a Saturn IVB rocket. It launched in 1973 aboard the last Saturn V rocket and hosted three manned missions before falling back to Earth in 1979. The retrofitted rocket stage was never intended to be a long-term space station, but it proved to Americans that humans can live and work in space. It also advanced space science considerably through its onboard workshop and solar observatory.

The Skylab space station. Photo courtesy of NASA

After Skylab, attention turned to the Space Shuttle program, which was launched on April 12, 1981. The orbiter fleet boasted a large payload bay that was perfect for conducting experiments in space. While we were focusing on a reusable space vehicle, the Russians were still using their trusty Soyuz capsules (still in use today) and instead turned their focus to building a space station.

Between 1971 and 1982, the Russians successfully launched six Salyut space stations. (Salyut 2 was unable to achieve a stable orbit, falling back into the atmosphere two weeks after launch). The last of these, Salyut 7 was in orbit from 1982 through 1991, with 10 manned visits over its lifetime. Through their experience with these space stations, the Russians became experts at living and working in space.

In 1986, the Russians launched Mir, the worlds first modular space station. This means that, much like the ISS, the station consisted of a core that was launched first. Over time, a total of six additional modules were launched and assembled in space, expanding the station over the years. It was on Mir that extended spaceflight became normal; expeditions generally lasted around six months (the same as the ISS).

The United States had plans to build a Mir counterpart: the Freedom space station. In the early 1980s, it was envisioned as a space-based destination at which orbiters could dock. Its cancellation (due to budget and design issues) was part of the reason the shuttle program came under such heavy fire: we spent an extraordinary amount of money to build a reusable space vehicle, but in the end, we had nowhere to actually send it.

The United States wasnt the only country with a desire to launch a space station; the European space agency was also interested in such an endeavor. Russia, in addition, was planning on launching Mir 2 to replace its aging space station. However, a space station is an expensive and difficult proposition, which led to the cooperative development of the International Space Station (among the United States, Russia, Japan, Canada, and the European Space Agency) in 1993, using Freedom and Mir 2 concepts as its core modules.

The International Space Station. Photo courtesy of NASA

The ISS has been in orbit since its launch in 1998; it has been continuously occupied since its first long duration crew arrived on Expedition 1 in November 2000. The station is funded through 2024 by both the U.S. and Russia (though that may be extended to 2028). Its unclear what will come next; Roscosmos (Russias space agency counterpart to NASA) made a statement in early 2015 that the U.S. and Russia had agreed to work on a follow-up space station, but NASA hasnt confirmed that statement.

Regardless of what happens with the future of the International Space Station, its clear that space stations are here to stay. China has launched two space stations: Tiangong-1 and Tiangong-2, which are both currently in orbit. Tiangong-1, designed as a prototype to test the rendezvous and docking of Chinese spacecraft, was only in use for two years. Its orbit is decaying, and it will reenter the atmosphere later this year.

Tiangong-2 is another test space station launched in late 2016, as China plans to launch a larger modular space station to rival the ISS in 2022 (in mission, if probably not in sizethe International Space Station is the most expensive object ever constructed). Tiangong-2 has only been visited oncea two-person crew stayed aboard the station for 30 days.

But its not China or Russia or the United States who are making headlines about space stationsits private companies. Could a private company launch a space station by the end of the decade? Its absolutely possible. Axiom Space, a company youve likely never heard of, is aiming to be the first company to build a private space station.

Axiom is planning on launching the Multi-Purpose Module in 2020, designed as an add-on for the International Space Station. Whether it is launched all at once or assembled in orbit remains to be seen; however, when its ready, it will fly to the ISS (yes, it will have its own engines). Their current plan is to dock it to, and therefore expand, the ISS. When the International Space Station eventually deorbits, the Multi-Purpose Module will undock and function as an independent, private space station.

Theres a lot of money in a private space station; the customers wouldnt be private individuals wanting to go to space (though that is an option). There are many countries that aspire to send their astronauts into orbit. The ISSs max capacity is eight astronauts, and because were all currently dependent on Soyuz to get us there, were further constrained. Russian Soyuz capsules can only hold three astronauts each. Once private human spaceflight is off the ground (primarily through SpaceXs Dragon), that will ease the transportation issues, but the destination constraints are still considerable. Thats where Axiom hopes to step in.

Whether public or private, space stations are here to stay. Lets hope that as the ability to get off of our planet and live and work in space becomes easier and more possible, it encourages all of us to set our sights on destinations beyond low Earth orbit.

Top photo courtesy of NASA/ESA

Swapna Krishna is a freelance writer, editor, and giant space/sci-fi geek.

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Genetic engineering could become terrorist weapon Bill Gates … – InterAksyon

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MUNICH Microsoft founder Bill Gates said at the Munich Security Conference that genetic engineering could be a terrorist weapon and may kill tens of millions of people.

The next epidemic could originate on the computer screen of a terrorist intent on using genetic engineering to create a synthetic version of the smallpox virus or a super contagious and deadly strain of the flu, Gates made the remarks on Saturday.

Having spent billions of U.S. dollars in a philanthropic drive to improve health worldwide, Gates said that bio-terrorism could kill more than 30 million people in less than a year.

Furthermore, he predicted that there is a possibility our globe will experience such an outbreak in the next 10 to 15 years.

Some intelligence agencies have noticed that the Islamic State has been trying to develop biological weapons at its bases in Syria and Iraq, according to the Guardian.

Although the threat seems tiny due to technological support and manpower, the pressure from bio-terrorism has become more and more realistic in the past years.

Getting ready for a global pandemic is every bit as important as nuclear deterrence and avoiding a climate catastrophe. Innovation, cooperation and careful planning can dramatically mitigate the risks presented by each of these threats, said Gates.

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Art Made with Human DNA Explores the Future of Genetics in Birmingham – Labiotech.eu (blog)

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Gene Craft: Art in the Biogenetic Ageopened this week at Birmingham Open Media (BOM) in the UK. Aiming to explore thesocial, economic and emotional implications of the most recent breakthroughs in genetics, the exhibition features two living art piecescreated with human DNAby bioartists Laurie Ramsell and Gina Czarnecki.

After theHuman Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA) approvedthe technology to create three-parent babies in the UK last December, many have started to question the broader implications of genetic technologies. The Gene Craft exhibition elaborates on this concept by presenting living artwork that makes visitors imagine a future of bioengineered beings built and controlled by humans.

The first piece is by British artist Laurie Ramsell,who explores the genetic relationship between humans and model organisms. One of them is the zebrafish, which is routinely used in research to understand basic molecular processes that can then be extrapolated to human biology.

Laurie Ramsells Homdanio Birminghamensis

Homdanio Birminghamensisis a sculpture taking the shape of a zebrafish embryo made from bacterial cellulose and the artists own DNA. The piecewas created in collaboration with professor and bioartist Simon Park. As part of the 100,000 Genomes Project, it is intended to raise public awareness about research into the human genome being pioneered at the University of Birmingham.

The second piece featured in the Gene Craft exhibition is Gina Czarneckis Heirloom, a living portrait of the artists daughters. Skin cells from the girls are cultured and grown onto glass casts of their faces, creating paper-thin portraits with their own DNA.

Gina Czarneckis Heirloom

Heirloom invites visitors to imagine a future where our own cells are grown on demand for medical applications. But, at the same time, it intends to highlight the ethical implicationsof these procedures regarding the ownership of our own biological materials.

Gene Craft: Art in the Biogenetic Age will be open until May 13 in Birmingham. During that time, the BOM gallery will host a series of talks and workshops to bring together artists and scientists and discuss the issues raised by the bioart pieces exhibited.

Images via BOM and Gina Czarnecki

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Professors Using DNA To Bridge Racial Divide, Focus On Our Similarities – CBS Local

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February 24, 2017 11:19 PM By Natasha Brown

PHILADELPHIA (CBS) Our region is filled with a mosaic of faces, diverse looks, ethnicities and languages abound.

Our differences are often pronounced, but professors at West Chester University are trying to start a different conversation, where diversity becomes more of a topic of finding similarities.

On campus, we met up with a group of curious students looking to delve into their ancestry. They found an outlet in Professor Anita Foemans diversity project.

The project started 10 years ago with a grant to look at diversity in a non-traditional way, Foeman said.

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A decade later and the availability and affordability of ancestry DNA tests has expanded her mission with students jumping at the chance to explore.

The way weve used it to get people to talk about race in a positive way, Foeman said. This project is humbling in that you start with yourself and the diversity within.

Some students have already gone through the process.

We went on a journey with these students as they began the process, submitting DNA samples, looking beyond the narrative theyve always been told about themselves. As they discover, there is more than meets the eye when they get their results.

I myself even decided to join in, exploring my own ancestry. After a few weeks, the ancestry DNA results were back. It was time for the big reveal.

My results: 59 percent African background and 40 percent European background. While one of the participants, Sarah, expected more Scandinavian roots, I didnt expect to find any.

Our results sparked lively conversations which is exactly the goal.

In our research so far, it doesnt change someones identity, but it does soften how they talk about race and diversity. At a time when headlines seem to suggest an ongoing racial divide in our country, Dr. Foeman is suggesting a new outlook, one DNA test at a time.

Natasha Brown is the Emmy Award-winning anchor for the weekend evening editions of Eyewitness News on CBS 3 and The CW Philly. Natasha joined CBS 3 as a general assignment reporter in December, 2002. She came to the station from Pittsbu...

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New tool to map RNA-DNA interactions could help researchers translate gene sequences into functions – Science Daily

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New tool to map RNA-DNA interactions could help researchers translate gene sequences into functions
Science Daily
The tool, called MARGI (Mapping RNA Genome Interactions), is the first technology that's capable of providing a full account of all the RNA molecules that interact with a segment of DNA, as well as the locations of all these interactions -- in just a ...

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3Q: Behind the scenes of the National Academy of Sciences’ report on human genome editing – The MIT Tech

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When the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) released its Human Genome Editing Report last week, a wave of questions arose regarding the reports scientific and clinical implications. The report, which outlines criteria that should be met before allowing clinical trials involving germline editing to go forward, was issued in response to the promising research and clinical opportunities associated with powerful genome-editing tools such as CRISPR/Cas9.

Richard O. Hynes is a Daniel K. Ludwig Professor for Cancer Research at MIT, a member of MIT's Koch Institute for Integrative Cancer Research, and a former director of the Koch Institute's predecessor, the MIT Center for Cancer Research. Hynes, a co-chair of the NAS study committee that created the report, sat down to shed additional light on the reports recommendations and its impact on the future of genome editing.

Q: Why is a report like this needed now?

A: We are in the midst of an explosion of new research and clinical opportunities that can be enabled by genome-editing tools. Genome editing is now much easier, faster, cheaper, and more versatile than ever. Because this field is advancing so rapidly, the issues and concerns that genome editing raises needed to be seriously reviewed and addressed, alongside the development of the technology itself.

There are, of course, many technical questions such as what risks exist, how to reduce them, and how to regulate the different ongoing applications which need to be explored further, but there are plenty of societal questions as well. For example, should one allow enhancement or going beyond treatment and prevention of disease and disability? Should heritable germline editing be allowed, if and when it might become sufficiently reproducible, accurate, and safe? And if so, how would that affect societal attitudes toward disability, issues of equity and fairness, and concerns around creating a slippery slope that could lead to inappropriate applications?

The reports committee represented four continents and included scientists, clinicians, ethicists, lawyers, and public engagement experts, among others. Each member offered a unique perspective on how oversight guidelines should be crafted and regulated and how to further public discussion. We believe the resulting recommendations will have universal applicability across multiple countries and cultures, and we recommend a set of principles that could be incorporated into the regulation and oversight in any country pursuing human genome editing.

Q: What are the reports primary take-home points?

A: First, human genome editing in the contexts of basic laboratory research, and somatic gene therapy for the treatment and prevention of disease and disability are valuable and well-regulated. They should proceed under the existing oversight and regulatory norms.

Second, editing for purposes other than treatment or prevention of disease and disability should not be approved at this time. Public engagement and discussion on this topic should be actively promoted before advancing past these purposes, and specific funding should be allotted to support this.

Finally, while human heritable germline editing is not yet practicable and much further research is necessary before it could be considered for clinical trials, there are arguments for limited applications to prevent heritable disease should that become feasible. At the same time, there are technical, practical, societal, and ethical concerns that need to be addressed. The report lays out a set of stringent criteria that would need to be met for approval of any trial of heritable germline editing, and it recommends extensive public engagement in discussionsabout how to assess its implications before any such trials.

Q: Are there any misconceptions about the report that you would like to address?

A: Of course, there is always the potential for concern around these topics when they enter the public sphere, but this report is firmly grounded in existing ethical, scientific, and regulatory practices and in consultation with the individuals and communities who will be directly affected by this technology. I would say that the committee is not opening the door to human genome editing, but we are, so to speak, removing the padlock pending possible new applications. Furthermore, the report is recommending human applications only for purposes of treatment and prevention of disease or disability and not for any applications that go beyond that, such as enhancements.

We limited our recommendations to this because of concerns about making unnecessary, potentially risky edits aimed toenhance human capacities beyond what is necessary to treat a life-threatening or debilitating condition. Enhancement is a topic that needs more discussion and public engagement to assess societal attitudes. At this time, we say no to any germline enhancements. If technology moves forward to enable the possibility, our current recommendation would be that it should be used to enable healthy babies, notdesigner babies. We also have confidence in the current systems of regulation and decision-making based on risk/benefit analysis but believe it should incorporate more engagement with public opinion.

Overall, we have been pleased with the coverage of the report so far, and the public seems to be excited about the major acceleration of our understanding of human biology. There is real potential to combat many diseases, such as cancer and thousands of genetically inherited diseases, which affect a significant number of people in the global population. Somatic editing is already in clinical trials, and many more are yet to come that we will learn a great deal from particularly about efficacy, risks, and the impact of this modern form of gene therapy. Germline editing is not possible yet probably not for several years but it is time to think carefully about the implications while the technical aspectsare still being explored, rather than waiting until the decisions as to whether or not to proceed are imminent.

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Average life expectancy is set to increase in many countries by 2030 – Medical Xpress

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February 21, 2017 Credit: Peter Griffin/public domain

Average life expectancy is set to increase in many countries by 2030and will exceed 90 years in South Korea, according to new research.

The study, led by scientists from Imperial College London in collaboration with the World Health Organization, analysed long-term data on mortality and longevity trends to predict how life expectancy will change in 35 industrialised countries by 2030.

Nations in the study included both high-income countries, such as the USA, Canada, UK, Germany, Australia, and emerging economies such as Poland, Mexico and the Czech Republic.

The study, published in The Lancet and funded by the UK Medical Research Council, revealed all nations in the study can expect to see an increase in life expectancy by 2030.

The results also found that South Koreans may have the highest life expectancy in the world in 2030.

The team calculated life expectancy at birth, and predicted a baby girl born in South Korea in 2030 will expect to live 90.8 years. Life expectancy at birth for South Korean men will be 84.1 years.

The researchers also calculated how long a 65-year-old person may expect to live in 2030. The results revealed that the average 65-year-old woman in South Korea in 2030 may live an additional 27.5 years.

Scientists once thought an average life expectancy of over 90 was impossible, explained Professor Majid Ezzati, lead researcher from the School of Public Health at Imperial: "We repeatedly hear that improvements in human longevity are about to come to an end. Many people used to believe that 90 years is the upper limit for life expectancy, but this research suggests we will break the 90-year-barrier. I don't believe we're anywhere near the upper limit of life expectancy -if there even is one."

Professor Ezzati explained that South Korea's high life expectancy may be due to a number of factors including good nutrition in childhood, low blood pressure, low levels of smoking, good access to healthcare, and uptake of new medical knowledge and technologies.

French women and Swiss men were predicted to have the highest life expectancies at birth in Europe in 2030, with an average life expectancy of 88.6 years for French women and nearly 84 years for Swiss men.

The results also revealed that the USA is likely to have the lowest life expectancy at birth in 2030 among high-income countries. The nation's average life expectancy at birth of men and women in 2030 (79.5 years and 83.3 years), will be similar to that of middle-income countries like Croatia and Mexico. The research team say this may be due to a number of factors including a lack of universal healthcare, as well as the highest child and maternal mortality rate, homicide rate and obesity among high-income countries.

The UK's average life expectancy at birth for women will be 85.3 years in 2030. This places them at 21st in the table of 35 countries. The average life expectancy of a UK man meanwhile will be 82.5 years in 2030. This places them at 14th in the table of 35 countries.

The team also predicted a 65-year-old UK man in 2030 could expect to live an additional 20.9 years (12th in the table of countries), while a 65-year-old woman in the UK could expect to live an additional 22.7 years, up (22nd in the table of countries).

The research also suggested the gap in life expectancy between women and men is closing.

Professor Ezzati explained: "Men traditionally had unhealthier lifestyles, and so shorter life expectancies. They smoked and drank more, and had more road traffic accidents and homicides. However as lifestyles become more similar between men and women, so does their longevity."

Along with the US, other countries who may see only small increases in life expectancy by 2030 included Japan, Sweden and Greece, while Macedonia and Serbia were projected to have the lowest life expectancies at birth for women and men respectively in 2030.

Life expectancy is calculated by assessing the age at which people die across the whole population. For instance if a country has high childhood mortality rate, this will make average national life expectancy much lower, as would a country in which many young people die in injuries and violence.

Professor Colin Mathers, co-author from the World Health Organization explained: "The increase in average life expectancy in high income countries is due to the over-65s living longer than ever before. In middle-income countries, the number of premature deaths - i.e. people dying in their forties and fifties, will also decline by 2030."

The team developed a new method to predict longevity, similar to the methods used for weather forecasting, which takes into account numerous different models for forecasting mortality and life expectancy. All the predictions in the study come with some uncertainty range. For instance, there is a 90 per cent probability that life expectancy for South Korean women in 2030 will be higher than 86.7 years, and a 57 per cent probability that it will be higher than 90 years.

The researchers chose the 35 industrialised countries in the study as they all had reliable data on deaths since at least 1985. The team then used this data, together with their new methodology to predict life expectancy to 2030.

Professor Ezzati added that these results suggest we need to be thinking carefully about the needs of an ageing population: "The fact that we will continue to live longer means we need to think about strengthening the health and social care systems to support an ageing population with multiple health needs. This is the opposite of what is being done in the era of austerity. We also need to think about whether current pension systems will support us, or if we need to consider working into later life."

Other findings from the research include:

Explore further: A country's level of education correlates well with life expectancy at birth

Journal reference: The Lancet

Provided by: Imperial College London

The level of education in a given country correlates well with life expectancy at birth, according to a new study published in the International Journal of Innovation and Learning. The researchers suggest that educating the ...

In the first Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 paper, published in The Lancet, the authors present new estimates of life expectancy for the last four decades in 187 different countries. While overall life expectancy is ...

Life expectancy in the globe's poorest countries has risen by an average of nine years over the past two decades, thanks to major improvements in infant health, the United Nations said Thursday.

Andrew Fenelon, Ph.D., of the National Center for Health Statistics, Hyattsville, Md., and colleagues estimated the contribution of 3 causes of injury death to the gap in life expectancy between the United States and 12 comparable ...

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Average life expectancy is set to increase in many countries by 2030and will exceed 90 years in South Korea, according to new research.

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Average life expectancy is set to increase in many countries by 2030 - Medical Xpress

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Average Life Expectancy Is Expected to Pass 90 for the First Time Ever – ScienceAlert

Posted: at 2:50 pm

If the measure of a good life is counted in years, the future looks bright, as the average life expectancy in many nations is set to climb.

A recent study has crunched the numbers on 35 industrialised countries from around the globe, and found their future populations will be living longer than today's in South Korea's case, potentially climbing as high as 90.

Statistically speaking, life expectancy is a measure of how long a newborn can be assumed to live.

Many things can affect this number as individuals face risks posed by diet; lifestyle habits such as smoking or drug use; infant mortality; access to healthcare; and traffic accidents.

A team led by scientists from Imperial College London working with the World Health Organisation ran data from a variety of countries through 21 different forecasting models, using the results to predict the life expectancy of citizens born in the year 2030.

The news is good for most of the countries, with life expectancy continuing to jump in leaps and bounds.

It will come as no surprise to most that women born in 2030 will more than likely live to a slightly older age than men, a trend which appears to be the reversal of how things were before the modern age.

Oddly, we're still not entirely sure whyfemales seem to outlive men across the board,though the study notes numbers seem to indicate the differences between the sexes come down to higher rates of accidents and differences in habits that lead to conditions such as cardiovascular disease.

Researcher Majid Ezzati explained, "Men traditionally had unhealthier lifestyles, and so shorter life expectancies. They smoked and drank more, and had more road traffic accidents and homicides. However as lifestyles become more similar between men and women, so does their longevity."

Women born in South Korea in the next 15 years might want to invest in birthday candles, with a 57 percent chance that their life expectancy will be 90.8 years, breaking the nonagenarian line for the first time in history.

Right now, that number for South Korean womenis 85.8, meaning a jump of five years.

French women can also expect a long life of 88.6 years, up from 85.1, followed by Japan at 88.4 years which barely moves from 88.5 years.

South Korean men, on the other hand, can expect a still-respectable 84.1 years in 2030 the highest predicted for males up from today's 79.3.

Good news for Australian blokes born in 2030 they will come in second on the list for men, also expecting to reach 84, just 3.6 years behind Australian women.

This general lift for life expectancy is largely attributed to socioeconomic improvements, better education, improved nutrition among children and adolescents, expanded access to healthcare, as well as factors such as a lower incidence of smoking among women.

While most of the countries studied can expect a significant boost in life expectancy over the next 15 years, the US will see only relatively minor improvements 82.1 to 83.3 for women born in 2030, and 77.5 to 79.5 for men,putting them on a similar level to life expectancies in Mexico and Croatia.

"Not only does the US have high and rising health inequalities, but also life expectancy has stagnated or even declined in some population subgroups," the researchers write.

Predicting a climb in life expectancy means looking to a future where society will need to care for an ageing population, especially in nations with a declining birth rate.

"The fact that we will continue to live longer means we need to think about strengthening the health and social care systems to support an ageing population with multiple health needs," says Ezzati.

Several decades ago, having a future general life expectancy exceeding the age of 85was believed to beunlikely.

The researchers themselves point out in their paper an early upper limit of 90 was proposed by some scientists at the beginning of the 20th century.

Should we even be thinking it terms of upper limits?

The current record for the oldest human is held by Jeanne Calment, a French woman who lived to 122 years and 164 days, but it seems unbelievable to think this could ever become a common statistic.

Ezzati doesn't seem to think so. "We repeatedly hear that improvements in human longevity are about to come to an end," he says. "I don't believe we're anywhere near the upper limit of life expectancy if there even is one."

This research was published in Lancet.

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Average Life Expectancy Is Expected to Pass 90 for the First Time Ever - ScienceAlert

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