Daily Archives: February 28, 2017

Building Economic Progress in Bangladesh – International Monetary Fund

Posted: February 28, 2017 at 8:00 pm

By Misuhiro Furusawa, IMF Deputy Managing director

Dhaka University, Bangladesh

February 28, 2017

I am honored by this opportunity to speak with the faculty and students of the University of Dhaka. This institution has a rich history that is closely identified with the history of this country.

I would like to start todays conversation with a brief overview of recent global economic developments, including in Asia. After that, I will offer some perspectives on the impressive economic performance of Bangladesh in recent years, and the work of the IMF in your country.

Global Outlook

In January, we released an updated forecast for the global economy. It was contained in an update World Economic Outlookour flagship publication on the global economy that is released twice a year, in April and October.

Our update projected global growth in 2016 of 3.1 percent. That was the weakest growth rate since 2009, because of a challenging first half last year that reflected difficulties in financial markets.

Among the advanced economies, activity rebounded in the United States after that weak first half. But output remained below potential in a number of other advanced economies, especially the euro area.

Among the emerging market and developing economies, we saw some signs of a rebound after a weak 2015. The growth rate in China was a bit stronger than expected. But activity was weaker than forecast in some countries, especially those that have been dealing with recessions.

Looking ahead, economic activity is expected to accelerate in 2017 and 2018. Our central projection is that global growth will rise to 3.4 percent in 2017, and 3.6 percent in 2018. This improved outlook reflects faster growth in advanced economies and in emerging and developing economies. Growth is projected to remain strongest in emerging and developing Asia.

But there is still reason for caution. We still see downside risks. Uncertainty has risen, in particular about the policies of the new U.S. administration. As these policies become clearer, we may adjust our forecast.

China is expected to remain a major driver of global economic developments in the coming year. This reflects an expectation of continued government support for the Chinese economy. But we cannot rule out the risks of a slowdown that could affect other countries. One key risk is rapid credit expansionparticularly government support for inefficient state-owned companiesand the overall accumulation of corporate debts.

Risks to the Outlook

Lets take a closer look at some of the other risks that could affect the global outlook. I would like to emphasize that these are only risks.

The first is political. I am sure you are very aware of recent developments in advanced economies that reflect discontent with globalization. If this important political trend leads to increased protectionism, there could be implications for productivity and incomes, market sentiments and economic growth.

There is also a risk from increased geopolitical tensions and terrorism. This already has affected the outlook for various countries, especially in the Middle East. Increasing refugee flows have clear implications for many countries, including in the advanced economies. It is essential to address the root causes of these problems.

In some advanced economies, there is a risk that an extended shortfall in private demand and inadequate progress on reforms could lead to permanently lower growth and lower inflation. This could also have negative implications for debt dynamics.

The issues that some emerging market economies face include high corporate debt, declining profitability, weak bank balance sheets, and thin policy buffers. If not addressed, these issues could increase the exposure of some countries in case of tighter global financial conditions

Finally, many low-income economies continue to feel the effects of low commodity prices. Some of these countries have pursued expansionary policies that have eroded fiscal reserves. They are vulnerable to further external shocks.

Again, let me emphasize that these are risks, and not foregone conclusions.

The Challenges Facing Asia

Lets take a moment to say a few more words about Asia. Since the global financial crisis in 2008, Asia has been a key engine of global growth. It has also been a source of economic stability.

The near-term outlook for the region remains strong and stable. Looking to the coming year, accommodative policies and a recent easing of financial conditions will underpin domestic demand. This should help to offset weak export growth.

As I mentioned earlier, growth in China is expected to remain strong in 2017. The projections have also been revised upward for Japan.

But the forecast for India in the current and next fiscal years has been trimmed. This is primarily due to the temporary impact of the recent currency note initiative. Growth has also been revised downward in Indonesia and Thailand.

Asia continues to face a number of longer-term challenges:

First, economic reforms will be critical to ensure that the region remains a global growth leader. These structural reforms are needed to help rebalance supply and demand, reduce vulnerabilities, and increase economic efficiency and potential growth.

Second, reforms will also be needed to foster more inclusive growth. This includes reducing income inequality, which has risen in most of Asia. This is in contrast to other regions where income inequality has been reduced.

Third is the challenge of rebalancing growth. This is especially important because demand from advanced economies is growing more slowly. Asia needs to rely more on domestic demand to fuel growth.

Finally, there is the challenge of climate change and natural disastersissues that I know are very important to this country. This will require a wide range of measurefrom investment in mitigation infrastructure to carbon taxes.

Bangladeshs Transformation

Lets turn now to Bangladesh. The Bangladeshi economy has undergone a major transformation over the past two decades. This change has been spearheaded by the rapid expansion of the garment industry, which has helped reduce poverty and raise the employment of women.

The result has been a sustained increase in per capita income. It is important to recognize that Bangladesh is making important progress toward its goal of middle-income status.

Bangladesh also stands out in terms of development indicators. Poverty has been nearly halved since 1990. Inequality remains low and stable, defying the regional trend I just described. Your country also stands out among low-income countries in terms of life expectancy, child mortality, and access to water and sanitation.

In addition, there has been good progress on financial inclusion. This includes efforts to enhance access and usage of financial services. Bangladesh compares very favorably with other developing countries across a broad range of FI indicators.

These are all impressive achievements.

The IMF-supported Extended Credit Facility Arrangement with your government was successfully completed in October 2015. It helped lay the foundations for strong policies that are helping to spur the recent strong growth. Macroeconomic stability has been preserved, and Bangladesh is now in a stronger position. This means higher reserves, lower public debt as a share of GDP, and lower underlying inflation.

Clearly, Bangladesh has done well. However, there is no reason for over-confidence. Major challenges remain that need to be addressed before your country leaps to the next stage of development.

We currently have an IMF team here in Dhaka at the moment for your countrys annual consultation with the Fund, called the Article IV consultation. At the end of their visit, the team will discuss in detail the specific challenges facing the Bangladeshi economy.

That said, allow me to lay out some of these challenges in broad terms. One is the need to increase private investment. This investment is very important if your country is to sustain the recent high levels of growth. At the same time, a significant increase in public investment is necessary to maintain competitiveness and generate further productivity growth. There also is clear scope to pursue capital market development to provide new vehicles to channel savings toward long-term investments.

Another way to achieve this needed increase in investment is to focus on raising revenues and lifting foreign direct investment. It is important that the VAT law be implemented. In addition, policies that remove red tape and simplify the trade regime should be put in place.

Structural reforms, strengthened institutions, and capacity development are all priorities if Bangladesh is going to unleash its full economic potential. The efficiency of the tax system is one priority, along with reforms to improve fiscal management and improve the business environment.

Finally, sustaining strong, medium-term growth will require a stable security situation. This is necessary to avoid adverse effects on market confidence.

The IMF and Bangladesh

The IMF can assist with these efforts. Just as we do with all of our 189 member countries, we are in a position to help Bangladesh secure financial stability and promote sustainable growth.

We offer analysis and policy advice for individual countries, as well as on regional and global trends. The IMF team currently in Dhaka is part of this ongoing effort. They are assessing economic and financial developments, and discussing economic and financial policies with your governments officials.

We also offer financial assistance through lending programs. This lending is aimed at supporting effective policies and structural reformsespecially in response to economic shocks. We provide loans to developing countries at concessional interest rates. This was the case with your countrys completed Extended Credit Facility arrangement.

Finally, an important part of our interaction with member countries is the provision of technical assistance and training. This work represents an important part of our operational budget. It is aimed at strengthening a governments capacity to design and implement effective policies. Bangladesh is one of the largest recipients of IMF technical assistancefocused on public financial management, tax policy and administration, banking supervision, and statistics.

Bangladesh is also a member of the recently established South Asia Regional Training and Technical Assistance Center in New Delhi. This center was opened earlier this month as a collaboration among the IMF, six member countries, and development partners to meet the regions demand for technical assistance and training. The other countries are Bhutan, India, the Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka.

I would encourage the Bangladeshi authorities to use the center to continue strengthening institutional and human capacity. This can make an important contribution to the efforts to design and implement economic and financial policies that promote growth and reduce poverty.

I can assure you that the IMF will continue to work closely with Bangladesh to support policies aimed at achieving these goals. Our Resident RepresentativeStella Kaenderawho is based here in Dhaka, is in daily contact with your governments officials. I assure you that the Fund will be here to provide assistance, analysis, and advice. Together, we can work to build a strong economy and a brighter future for Bangladesh.

Once again, thank you very much for your hospitality. We at the IMF strongly support the adventure of learning. So, as a measure of our respect for your university, I am announcing today that we will make a book donation to your university in the near future.

I wish the students and faculty of this great university every success in the future.

I now look forward to hearing from all of you.

PRESS OFFICER: Keiko Utsunomiya

Phone:+1 202 623-7100Email: MEDIA@IMF.org

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Ex-federal judge to monitor PG&E’s safety progress – SFGate

Posted: at 8:00 pm

By Bob Egelko, San Francisco Chronicle

Photo: Justin Sullivan, ST

Historic Chronicle Front Page September 11, 2010 A PG&E pipeline explosion would devastate a San Bruno neighborhood

Historic Chronicle Front Page September 11, 2010 A PG&E pipeline explosion would devastate a San Bruno neighborhood

Ex-federal judge to monitor PG&Es safety progress

A former federal judge has been chosen to monitor Pacific Gas and Electric Co.s efforts at safety improvements following the utilitys felony convictions for violating pipeline safety laws and obstructing the investigation of the lethal San Bruno pipeline explosion.

Mark Filip, who also served as a high-ranking U.S. Justice Department official, was jointly named by federal prosecutors and PG&E on Monday to oversee the companys safety performance for up to five years, the period of PG&Es court-ordered probation. The sentence imposed last month by U.S. District Judge Thelton Henderson required that an independent monitor be appointed by Henderson unless the opposing sides agreed on a selection.

Filip, 50, has worked as a private lawyer, representing business clients and, in the mid-1990s, as a federal prosecutor in Chicago, working on cases of health care fraud and political and judicial corruption, according to a Justice Department profile.

President George W. Bush appointed Filip to the federal court in Illinois in 2004, then named him four years later as deputy attorney general, the second-highest position in the Justice Department. When President Barack Obama took office in 2009, Filip served as acting attorney general for two weeks until the Senate confirmed Obamas nominee, Eric Holder. Filip then returned to a private law firm.

In August, the company he will monitor, Californias largest public utility, was convicted by a jury in San Francisco of five charges of failing to properly inspect and repair its aging gas pipelines. On a sixth felony count, jurors found that the company had interfered with the federal investigation of the San Bruno explosion by trying to conceal its practice of pumping gas at pressures up to 10 percent above legal limits.

Eight people were killed, 58 were injured, and 38 homes were destroyed in the September 2010 explosion and fire that started in a defective pipeline weld.

The sentence included a $3 million fine, 10,000 hours of community service by PG&E employees and public statements in newspapers and television ads acknowledging the companys guilt. The state Public Utilities Commission has fined PG&E $1.6 billion for the explosion.

The monitors task is to keep track of PG&Es safety performance and file reports to Henderson and his successors after the judge retires in August. At the sentencing hearing, Henderson said the monitor could recommend changes in PG&Es operations and, if the company objected, take the dispute to the prosecutors office and then to court.

A PG&E critic, state Sen. Jerry Hill, D-San Mateo, whose district includes San Bruno, said Tuesday he was somewhat surprised by Filips selection.

He seems to have spent more time getting big companies out of messes than working to get them to clean up their messes, Hill said, referring to Filips private law practice. He also noted Filips appointments by Bush and his work as a law clerk for the late conservative Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia in 1993-94.

Hopefully he can be impartial and really protect the interests of the public, Hill said.

Bob Egelko is a San Francisco Chronicle staff writer. Email: begelko@sfchronicle.com Twitter: @egelko

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Accountability system shows progress in New Haven student growth – New Haven Register

Posted: at 8:00 pm

NEW HAVEN >> The New Haven Public School district improved slightly in the second year of the Next Generation Accountability System, a 12-indicator system devised by the states Department of Education to holistically measure student achievement and school success.

NHPS earned 64.3 percent of all points in the 2015-16 school year, an improvement of 2.3 points from the year before, when the system debuted.

Conte/West Hills Magnet School was identified as a school of distinction for its growth in achievement on the 12 indicators by high-needs students those who are eligible for free or reduced price lunch, English language learners and students in special education. Of 116 schools named schools of distinction, Conte/West was one of 15 schools in the 30 lowest-performing districts in the state to receive the title.

Together, we are reaching new heights and making significant progress in our schools. Our new accountability system is more comprehensive and holistic allowing us to identify and replicate success and target support to the students and schools that need it most. We must continue to be steadfast in our commitment to improve outcomes for all students, said Gov. Dannel P. Malloy in a statement.

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The accountability system accounted for growth for the first time by establishing individual goals for students to reach in the following year. In English, 63.3 percent of all New Haven students met their growth goals in 2015-16 from the year prior; 61.5 percent of high-needs New Haven students did the same. In math, 63.5 percent of all New Haven students met their growth goals; 62.2 percent of high-needs New Haven students did the same.

The inclusion of student growth for the first time gives us a more accurate picture of how well we are delivering on our promise to kids. As we celebrate progress being made, we also push with great urgency to accelerate the pace of change for schools that need the most help so that all students in Connecticut can rise to their potential and achieve their goals, said Education Commissioner Dianna Wentzell in a statement.

District officials, who held a yearlong Attendance Matters campaign in 2015-16, concluded that year by celebrating a six-point drop in the rate of chronic absenteeism, or students missing 10 percent or more school days. The accountability system results reflected this change: the rate of all chronically absent New Haven students from 2014-15 to 2015-16 dropped from 25.6 percent to 19.9 percent. The rate of chronically absent high-needs students declined even more sharply: from 30 percent in 2014-15 to 22.9 percent in 2015-16.

The districts work on chronic absenteeism was the most significant change in its second year in the accountability system.

The concerted efforts made at the District and School level to combat chronic absenteeism has a direct impact on student growth as the more time we have with students in school the more education services can be delivered to allow each student to reach his or her potential, said interim Superintendent of Schools Reginald Mayo in a statement.

District officials highlighted that 31 of 40 schools in the district posted overall improvements in the accountability index, with seven boasting double-digit gains.

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Watch an 11-year-old explain why you’re making monumental progress – TNW

Posted: at 8:00 pm

Josephine is 11 years old, and opened our conference last year. I wrote this text for her, and then we fine-tuned it together so it would feel natural for her to speak the words in front of an audience of 5,000 people.

We wanted to make sure people understood that working in digital tech is not about just making a quick buck, but that with every small improvement you are making the world a better place.

It was an absolute joy to work withJosephine. She understood what we meant, wasnt shy, and knew the text by heart. She understood that her message was meant to give people goosebumps and get them ready to make the best of our event.

Heresthe full text of her talk:

My name is Josephine, and Im 11 years old. But it would be a mistake to see me as an 11 year old. Because what you are looking at is the future. Im the future.Im going to be your customer, your critic, your opponent, your competitor.

Ill be your enemy, your biggest fan and the person paying your bills.

Im the one that will help you out when youre in trouble and Im the one who will suffer from the worlds problems, or I will fix them.

Today is the first day of this conference, and Im the opening act. Over the next three days you will learn a lot.

You might do a deal, meet a potential partner, and advance your business in a small or big way. And that will be progress. But it wont just be ordinary progress. It will be essential and monumental progress.

At The Next Web we believe that technology is essential for the future of mankind and it is making the world a better place.

I cant solve all the worlds problems in one go. But together we can increase our knowledge, improve technology and take another step towards a better future.

Thats the way to solve the worlds problems, by improving every aspect of it.That is the mindset I want you to have.

You are not just here to be inspired. You are not just here to do business.The work you do is going to make the world a better place.You are not doing this for yourself or for me. You are doing it for a future me, and for your future self.

My name is Josephine, Im 11 years old and on behalf of The Next Web, and my future self, I hope you have a great conference.

I hope you will join me and Josephine again this year and makeessential and monumental progress. See you soon.

Read next: The new Raspberry Pi Zero W computer brings Wi-Fi and Bluetooth for just $10

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Sterling Crispin: Begin at the End – ArtSlant

Posted: at 7:59 pm

This essay was first published in the ArtSlant Prize 2016 Catalogue, on the occasion of theArtSlant Prize Shortlist exhibitionat SPRING/BREAK Art Show, from February 28March 6, 2016.Sterling Crispin is the ArtSlant Prize 2016 Third Prize winner.Other ArtSlant Prize 2016 catalogue essays:Brigitta Varadi & Tiffany Smith

What does the end, The End, look like? Is it a transcendent experience like the religious and singularitarians believe? Will humans transform into iridescent angels of ethereal nature, timeless in their march towards oneness? Will the end look like an episode of The Walking Dead? Like an episode of Doomsday Preppers? Will the remnants of society scrabble together the few resources left to find baseline survival the underlying truth of excess? Does the end resemble a person sitting in a concrete box buried underground swallowing baked beans out of a can, or do we become waves of energy, identifiable not by our body but by a collection of experiences and tropes traveling from host to host, like a Westworld protagonist?

It is hard to conceive of a greater tension between these two visions and yet they exist, in tandem, in our collective imaginations. To imagine civilization dwindling down to a couple thousand people, the Earth in environmental hell, taking global collapse to its conclusionits unimaginably terrible, says artist Sterling Crispin. But, he continues, take techno-optimism to its extreme, with humans living for hundreds of thousands of years, and its also kind of unimaginable.

Sterling Crispin explores the end. From a fascination with Buddhist conceptions of oneness and propelled by the rapid technological pace in the era of Moores Law[1], Crispin takes as his subject the hurtling hulk of humanity as it flies towards some kind of imagined or real conclusion. Transhumanism is on my mind a lot, he says.

Crispins materials are birthed in todays technology. Aluminum server frames, Alexa towers, emergency water filtration systems, canned food, Bitcoin miners, extruded plastics and resinsthese are the vocabulary of an end-times practice.

The singularity as a concept comes from a 1993 paper[2]by mathematician Vernor Vinge in which he states: We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth. The precise cause of this change is the imminent creation by technology of entities with greater-than-human intelligence. The basic principle of singularitarianism is that, at a certain point, advancement will be out of human hands. Technology will be free to replicate and improve on its own. Futurist Ray Kurzweilbelieves that at this point a massive rupture in human culture, philosophy, and civilization will occur, characterized by the end of death and anthropocentric evolution. Kurzweils end is an apocalypse of a different sort.[3] His is a moment of becoming and transcendence beyond the human.

Sterling Crispin, Self-Contained Investment Module and Contingency Package (Cloud-Enabled Modular Emergency-Enterprise Application Platform),2015. Courtesy of the artist

The globe just scored a hat trick of hottest years on record. The doomsday clock has begun ticking towards midnight again. Amidst the statistical evidence, markers of impending doom keep pinging us. The cries of apocryphal evangelists are beginning to ring true.

With each passing meteor, every seemingly-significant date on an ancient calendar that appears on our Julian calendar, throngs proclaim the end with rapturous fervency. But the end interrogated by Crispin is not fanciful. His work has a sincere immediacy: Trumps presidency and the collapse of civil society really gets you thinking about how fragile our whole global economy is and how loosely everything is held together. He goes on, Next month, some catastrophe could happen that could close down international shipping, close off the internet; millions of people could die because there wasnt enough food. Were just on the edge of this all of the time.

Never has the world been so interconnected. In 2015, $16 trillion (21% of GWP) in merchandise exchanged hands across the world. In 2013, one fifth of the average Americans diet was imported. This interdependence isnt trivial. As political forces around the world begin to pull back from the integrated system of globalized advanced capitalism, the connections holding it all together seem more tenuous than ever.

Crispins suite of four sculptures, N.A.N.O., B.I.O., I.N.F.O., C.O.G.N.O. (2015), serves as sentries. Each monolith is attached to an industry stock: N.A.N.O. comes with 100 shares of stock in a nanotechnology company, B.I.O., biotechnology, I.N.F.O., informatics, and C.O.G.N.O., cognitive research. If separated, these Gundam-like structures will track each other: a GPS display shows you where the other three horsemen are at all times. An emergency water purifier and food rations anchor the sculptures. N.A.N.O. et al. recall ancient statues guarding a crypt, protectors of humanity straight out of anime waiting for the right time to awaken and save the world. They reach towards the promises of advanced capital, zeroing in on the industries most likely to transform humanity via the singularity and save it from itself.

Sterling Crispin, N.A.N.O. , B.I.O. , I.N.F.O. , C.O.G.N.O., 2015. Courtesy of the artist

Of course, if that doesnt work out, theres always a jerrycan of clean water and some freeze-dried beef.[4]

Self-Contained Investment Module and Contingency Package (2015), like N.A.N.O., is practical and sculptural. Inside an aluminum frame sits an ASIC Bitcoin mining tube, a Lifesaver Systems 4000 ultra-filtration water bottle, an emergency radio, Mayday emergency food rations, a knife, heirloom seeds, etc. The connections are barely waiting to be pieced together by the viewer: theyre all there, visible in the cube. Crispins work makes hard connections, direct metaphors, in his search for the aesthetic of the end. The metaphors I use are heavy-handed but rounded in the utility of their function in reality, relays the artist.

This frankness fights the obfuscating nature of reality. Are things really as dire as they seem? It is readily accepted that things will be okay; we tell ourselves the same often enough. But why is it so difficult to accept that things might not be okay? Is it so difficult to imagine that, shit, were fucked?

In some remote corner of the universe, flickering in the light of the countless solar systems into which it had been poured, there was once a planet on which clever animals invented cognition. It was the most arrogant and most mendacious minute in the history of the world; but a minute was all it was. After nature had drawn just a few more breaths the planet froze and the clever animals had to die.[5]

There is something reflected in the gleaming aluminum, the candy-apple neon, and low hum of Self-Contained. An optimism, perhaps, that if we structure things just right, if we allow for recursive corrections, if we prepare and adjust, we wont be the ones responsible for bringing the short reign of humanity to an end. We might not be Nietzsches arrogant creatures doomed to death on a frozen, or in this case, scorched Earth. We may just be the ones that become whats next. Either way, be prepared.

Joel Kuennen

Joel Kuennenis the Chief Operations Officer and a Senior Editor at ArtSlant.

[1] Moores Law holds that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit doubles every two years. This law has been extrapolated to include the exponential rate of computational and technological advancement more broadly.

[2] Vernor Vinge, The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era (paper presented at the VISION-21 Symposium sponsored by NASA Lewis Research Center and the Ohio Aerospace Institute, March 30-31, 1993).

[3] Kurzweil, it should be noted, is driven to defeat death so that he may resurrect his father who died early on in Kurzweils life. How human is that?!

[4] Its difficult to ignore humor when discussing the end. One cannot approach nothingness without being a bit glib.

[5] Friedrich Nietzsche, On Truth and Lies in a Non-Moral Sense, Trans. Ronald Spiers. 1873.

(Image at top: Sterling Crispin, Self-Contained Investment Module and Contingency Package (Cloud-Enabled Modular Emergency-Enterprise Application Platform) (detail), 2015. Courtesy of the artist)

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MAGIC Fall 2017 Fashion Trend: Puffer Jackets WWD – WWD

Posted: at 7:58 pm

The Balenciaga effect proves its staying power for yet another season.

Puffer coats were abundant during UBM Fashions MAGIC and PROJECT trade shows for fall. Ath-leisure inspirations leaned into the coat category resulting in skiwear influences and slope-friendly pieces. Sportswear and generally casual looks dominated the tone of exhibitors collections despite their brand identity outerwear was no exception.

The best versions boasted updates to late-Eighties and early-Nineties styles that featured bold colors and shorter lengths that emphasized the puff factor. Especially of note was Biannuals neon pink number that channeled the 1991 flick Ski School. Also of note was Zadig &Voltaires army green coat that channeled Nineties hip-hop staples, refreshed by medallion-shaped quilting details that elevated the overall appearance.

Puffers have dominated the runways in recent seasons. Perhaps most distinctly at Demna Gvasalias fall 2016 Balenciaga collection his first as artistic director for the French fashion house. Of course, puffers were also present in the fall and spring 2017 collections for Vetements, the line forwhich he serves as head designer. Gvasalias collections werent the only ones that introduced puffers for fall 2016 Stella McCartney, MSGM, DKNY and Acne Studios all included versions.

The prevalence of puffer coats marks a new phase for outerwear in which utilitarian components and functionality reign as top priority over less performance-friendly counterparts. An undertone of survivalism is invading shoppers mind frames, urging the necessity to be prepared for any climate weather or otherwise.

This sentiment also dovetails with the rise of fitness and wellness as key areas of individuals investments. Compared to impulse buys on an accessory or two in the past, consumers are now splurging on juice cleanses and spin classes. Designers have wisely aligned themselves with the shifting paradigm of shopper priorities to align with newfound activities and values.

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Eye in the Sky: Where Nihilism and Hegemony Coincide – Antiwar.com (blog)

Posted: at 7:57 pm

Eye in the Sky (2015) is the first feature-length film about drone warfare to have received a decent amount of mainstream attention. This no doubt has something to do with the high-caliber cast, including lead roles by Helen Mirren as Colonel Katherine Powell, and Alan Rickman as Lieutenant General Frank Benson. Big names imply big budgets. But theres another reason why this movie, directed by Gavin Hood, has been discussed more than National Bird (2016), Good Kill (2015), Drone (2014), Drones (2013), Unmanned: Americas Drone Wars (2013), or Dirty Wars (2013).

None of these films is entertaining. Eye in the Sky, like some of the others in this growing genre, presents itself as a work of historical fiction, grounded in what is supposed to be a realistic portrayal of the contemporary practice of drone warfare against persons suspected of association with radical jihadist groups. But rather than condemning the remote-control killers, as the other films unequivocally do, Eye in the Sky portrays the protagonists wrestling with the complexities of morality before launching missiles and then congratulating one another on their success.

The evil enemy here, in Nairobi, Kenya, is Al Shabaab, and the fate of one of their cells is the subject of lengthy and sophistic just war debate among the drone warriors. A contingent of US and British military and civilian officials communicate with one another from different parts of the world over Skype-like video feed, and after arguing over the course of the workday, they ultimately decide to execute the suspects, who appear to be preparing to carry out a suicide attack in the proximate future or, as the drone warriors would say, imminently.

One of the suspects is a US citizen, recently recruited from Minnesota, and two are British nationals. The white woman, Susan Danford nom de guerre Ayesha Al Hady has been tracked by Colonel Powell for a remarkable six years. Powell is keen to kill Danford, even after having summarized her lifes story as that of a person who came from a troubled household, married a terrorist, and was converted to the jihadist cause as a result of her vulnerability.

The mission is supposed to culminate in capture, not killing, but when the group of suspects convenes at a house where a suicide vest is being assembled and a video message filmed, the military officials immediately call for a missile strike, to the initial protests of the civilian political officials in attendance, who insist that they are there to witness a capture, not a targeted assassination.

The rest of the film is essentially an extended consideration of a version of what professional analytic philosophers call The Trolley Problem, a thought experiment wherein people are persuaded that they must kill some people in order to save others. Such hypothetical scenarios like the proverbial ticking bomb, which is said by some to illustrate the necessity of torture under certain circumstances involve an eerie desire on the part of some thinkers to persuade others to condone what, left to their own devices, they would never have agreed to do. As David Swanson has correctly observed, there is no known case in reality of drone warriors who kill a person and his entourage as they strap a suicide vest onto the martyrs chest. That is why singling out this wildly implausible and entirely hypothetical scenario as representative of drone warfare in general is a consummate expression of pro-military propaganda.

Eye in the Sky attempts to portray the dilemmas involved in drone warfare but ultimately serves to promote the drone warriors all-too-sophistic modes of reasoning. Rather than ask deep and important questions such as how Al-Shabaab became such a powerful force in, first, Somalia and, later, places such as Kenya, the film allows the viewer steeped in New York Times headlines touting Six Suspected Militants Slain to float along blissfully in his or her state of ignorance regarding what precisely the US and British governments have been doing in the Middle East for the past sixteen years.

No indication is made of the fact and frankly Id be surprised if Director Hood himself were aware that the US-backed 2006 Ethiopian invasion of Somalia led directly to a massive increase in local support for Al-Shabaab. Its all-too-easy and comforting to swallow the official line that the members of local militias being targeted by drone strikes are bad guys who need to be extirpated from the face of the earth, even when it is likely that many of the people intentionally destroyed have been dissidents (or their associates) seeking to challenge the central government authority. (See Yemen for another example.)

It is abundantly clear from the very fact that new recruits from the United States and Britain indeed, the very targets of the mission in this story have been primarily either troubled youths or persons outraged at the Western devastation of the Middle East, and now Africa. Yet the film blithely allows the viewer to persist in puzzlement over the perennial question: Why do they hate us?

Colonel Powell wants to kill people, as is obvious by her calling for a missile strike even before explosives are seen at the meeting place. (Do the director and screenwriter win points from feminists for making the most ruthless military killer and her radical jihadist quarry both women? Or from progressives for making them white?)

Both Colonel Powell and General Benson consider Susan Danfords allegiance with Al-Shabaab to be, essentially, a capital offense. They dont bother with niceties such as the fact that capital punishment has been outlawed in the United Kingdom. Instead, the military personnel seek refuge in and parrot the simpleminded terms of just war theory which they learned in first-year ethics class at the military academy.

The missile strike is said to be a military necessity, proportional, and a last resort. It has furthermore been authorized by the legitimate authority, aka the US president, to whom the British continue to defer, even after the scathing Chilcot report in which Prime Minister Tony Blair was taken to task for embroiling Britain in the ill-fated 2003 invasion of Iraq. As though none of that ever happened, when President Barack Obama normalized the targeted assassination of anyone in any place on the planet where radical jihadist terrorists are said by some anonymous analyst to reside, Prime Minister David Cameron, too, followed suit. In August 2015, he authorized missile strikes from drones against British nationals in Syria, despite the Parliaments having voted down his call for war in 2013.

Perhaps Cameron was impressed by Barack Obama and drone killing czar John Brennans oft-flaunted fluency in just war rhetoric. Unfortunately, in Eye in the Sky, the sophomoric facility of the assassins with the terms of just war theory may, too, be taken as evidence to ignorant viewers that these people in uniform know what they are talking about and should be trusted with the delicate decision of where, when, and why to summarily execute human beings who have not been charged with crimes, much less permitted to stand trial.

The question how a missile strike in a country not at war can be conceived of as a military necessity is altogether ignored in this film, as though it were already a settled matter. Someone in the US government (President Obama under the advisement of John Brennan, former president and CEO of The Analysis Corporation, the business of which is terrorist targeting analysis) decreed that the entire world was a battlefield, and this opened up every place and other governments to the delusive casuistry of just war theorists, including their most strident advocates for war, the self-styled humanitarian hawks.

No matter that in this case there are no military soldiers from either the United States or Britain on the ground to be harmed. No matter that their collaborators are local spies who do in fact commit acts of treachery against their compatriots and are indeed brutally executed when this is discovered. Despite the complete absence of any of the aspects of a war which might warrant a missile strike as a military necessity above all, that soldiers on the ground will otherwise die the itchy trigger drone warriors point to their version of the dreaded Trolley Problem and a false and misleading application of utilitarianism to convince the naysayers that they must approve the launch of a missile in order to avert an even worse tragedy.

The military personnel are more persuasive than the sole civilian dissenter, and no one seems to be bothered in the least by questions of strategy. The word blowback is never even mentioned in this film. But judging by the growth of ISIS and Al-Shabaab over the past decade, and the testimony of suicide bombers such as Humam Al-Balawi (the Jordanian doctor who blew up a group of CIA personnel at Camp Chapman in 2009 in direct retaliation to US missile strikes on Pakistan), the tactic of drone assassination can reasonably be expected to cause the ranks of jihadists to continue to swell. No one denies that during the occupation of Iraq, an effective recruiting tactic of factional groups was to point to the civilians harmed by the Western infidels as confirmation that they were indeed the evil enemy. Knowing all of this, it does not seem unfair to ask: Is military necessity now conceived by the remote-control killers as whatever will ensure the continuation of a war?

In Eye in the Sky, the drone warriors are more than willing to risk the life of a little girl who has set up a table where she is selling loaves of bread because, they say, if they do not act immediately then perhaps eighty little children just like her will be killed instead. No mention is made of the psychological trauma suffered by the people who do not die in drone strikes, but witness what has transpired. (When was the last time one of your neighbors houses was cratered by a Hellfire missile?) Instead, the collateral damage estimate (CDE) so conscientiously calculated by a hapless soldier pressured by Colonel Powell to produce an estimated likelihood of the girls death at less than 50% altogether ignores the 100% probability that she and everyone in the neighborhood will be terrorized.

But even focusing solely on the likely lethality of the strike, the drone warriors in Eye in the Sky display what is in reality a lethal lack of imagination, an utter failure to conceive of counter measures such as warning the people in nearby markets and public places of the impending danger. That is because, in the minds of the drone warriors, if one terrorist attack is thwarted, then another will surely be carried out later on down the line. By this mode of reasoning, they have arrived at the depressing and nihilistic conclusion that they must kill all of the suspects. What would be the point of doing anything else?

Recruits from Western societies, young people such as Junaid Hussain, Reyaad Khan, and Ruhul Amin, are assumed to be beyond the reach of reason, despite the glaring fact that their recent conversion to the jihadist cause itself reveals that they have changed their view before and could, in principle, change it again. Nonetheless, the drone warriors persist in their worship of death as the be-all and end-all of foreign policy. They are literally trapped in the lethality box, because they cannot conceive of any other way of dealing with factional terrorism than by killing people. When obviously innocent persons are destroyed, maimed, terrorized and left bereft by Western missiles, these acts of so-called military necessity end by galvanizing support for the Anti-Western jihadist cause, both near the strike site and in lands far away.

Realistically, what self-respecting father would not wish to avenge the death of his young child at the hands of the murderous drone warriors who are so despicable as to kill without risking any danger to themselves? Instead of thinking through the likely implications of what they are doing, the drone warriors persist in invoking delusive just war rhetoric to promote what they want to do: kill the evil enemy. But the use of lethal drones in what has been successfully marketed to taxpayers as smart war, eliminates soldierly risk only by transferring it to civilians on the ground. No matter that new recruits continue to flock to the jihadist cause, seems to be the thinking of our great military minds, missiles are in ample supply.

It is a depressing view of humanity indeed which sees homicide as the solution to conflict when in fact it is its primary cause. But the delusion of the drone assassins is even worse than the corruption of criminal contract killers because they emetically congratulate each other, as in this film, for pushing buttons to eliminate their fellow human beings from the face of the earth, as though this were some kind of accomplishment, rather than the worst of all possible crimes.

New recruits such as Susan Danford will never stop arising from the ashes of drone strike sites until the drone strikes have come to a halt. Indulging in a false and Manichean division of people into black and white categories of good and evil, the killers corrupt more and more young people to collaborate with them, both informants and drone operators. Those who perform well in their jobs rise in the ranks to become the commanders of future killers, until at last the entire society is filled with people who upon watching a film such as Eye in the Sky end by sympathizing not with the victims but with those who destroyed them.

Focused as they will be upon this simpleminded Trolley Problem portrayal of drone warfare, Western viewers will likely miss altogether the obscene hegemonic presumptions of the killers who use beetle- and bird-sized drones to penetrate the private homes of people in order to stop them from wreaking havoc in countries where there are no US or British soldiers on the ground to harm. To pretend that all of this killing is for the benefit of the locals is delusional to the point of insanity.

If serial Western military interventions had not destroyed country after country across the Middle East, beginning with Iraq in 1991, then there would be no evil enemy to confront in the first place. To continue to ignore the words of jihadists themselves when they rail against the savage butchery of millions of Muslim people by the US military and its poodles is but the most flagrant expression of this smug hegemony. No, I am afraid, they do not hate us for our freedom.

In Eye in the Sky, anyone who opposes the use of military weapons against people living in their own civil society thousands of miles away is painted as a coward and a fool, as though there were some sort of moral obligation to launch missiles to save a hypothetical group of eighty people. The very same killers do not feel any obligation whatsoever to provide food, shelter, and potable water to the people living in such societies, even when the $70K cost of a single missile could be repurposed to save many more than eighty lives, in addition to winning over hearts and minds.

Here is the ugly truth shining through the willingness to kill but not to save lives in nonhomicidal ways: Peace does not pay. The drone killing machine is the latest and most lucrative instantiation of the military-industrial-congressional-media-academic-pharmaceutical-logistics complex. That Westerners continue to be taken in by this hoax is tragic for the people of Africa and the Middle East mercilessly terrorized (when they are not maimed or incinerated) while the killers gloat over what they take to be their moral courage.

Near the end of the film, Lieutenant Colonel Benson sanctimoniously admonishes the sole remaining dissenter among the witnesses to the mission, which she has denounced as disgraceful. He smugly retorts to her suggestion that he is a coward: Never tell a soldier that he does not know the cost of war. But the cost of the remote-control elimination of persons suspected of complicity in terrorism is not merely the tragic loss of human life. It is the destruction of such killers souls and the concomitant creation of even more killers who feel the need to retaliate in turn. It is the fact that they have rolled back all of the moral progress in procedural justice made by human societies since the 1215 Magna Carta. It is the fact that their dogged insistence on perpetuating and spreading this practice to the darkest and least democratic corners of the planet represents a categorical denial of human rights.

Laurie Calhoun, a philosopher and cultural critic, is the author of We Kill Because We Can: From Soldiering to Assassination in the Drone Age(Zed Books, September 2015; paperback forthcoming in 2016) and War and Delusion: A Critical Examination (Palgrave Macmillan 2013; paperback forthcoming in 2016). Visit her website.

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Eye in the Sky: Where Nihilism and Hegemony Coincide - Antiwar.com (blog)

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The fight between Nigel Farage and Douglas Carswell is the definition of political nihilism – The Independent

Posted: at 7:57 pm

Poor, poorNigel Farage. In any ordinary week, his consolation prize for missing out on a knighthood would be the Gerald Ratner Golden Knuckleduster (0.002 carat;touch it for a second, have a rash for a month) for Most Cataclysmic Instant Rebranding.

This is no ordinary week, however, and the Oscars finale robs him of another title he did more to deserve it than its actual recipients.When Woody Allen was asked how he would most want to be reincarnated, he said As Warren Beattys fingertips. Now those fingertips will be remembered less for gliding over Hollywoods most desirable women (check out the A-Z lists) than for grasping a card reading Best Actress, Emma Stone, La La Land while their owner gazed out sheepishly at the millions observing his bemusement around the world.

For all that, you wouldnt want to underplay the damage dealt to the Farage brand by the latest model to roll off the inexhaustible factory line of Ukip superfiasci. Nigel is furious with Douglas Carswell, the partys lone MP, over the latters efforts to stop him getting the knighthood Nigel deems his due reward for Brexit.

He has been furious with Carswell ever since that erstwhile Tory MP defected and won the Clacton by-election under the purple banner. He patently regards Carswell as an effete intellectual ponce, and his ambition to detoxify Ukip by moving the focus away from immigration as a treacherous affront to himself.That fury has boiled over with the leak of emails showing Carswell being mischievous when he was asked to help get Farage a knighthood by Malcolm Pearson. If that entrant on the capacious honours board of Ukip farceurs escapes you, it was Pearson who, when leader of Ukip,denied having read his own manifesto before the 2010 electionin a tone implying he wouldnt have the bloody thing in the house.

Nigel Farage says 'our real friends speak English'

This genius is so loyal to his predecessor andsuccessor on the Ukip iron throne that he originally hoped to wangle hima peerage. When that plan was abandoned for one of two reasons either 1) Nigel would have had to quit as an MEP, which he didnt care to do,or 2) The noble Baron Farage of Whiteseville in the County of Albinoshire? Are you pulling my bell end? his thoughts turned to a K.

In late December, Pearson asked Carswell to report on how his knighthood lobbying was going. As promised, I did speak to the government Chief Whip, emailed Carswell. Perhaps we might try angling to get Nigel an OBE next time round? For services to headline writers?The cheeky bleeder well knew how Farage would take the idea of an OBE. For guidance on this, we turn to a late expert on etiquette. An OBE is what you get, said Michael Winner on refusing one in 2006, if you clean the toilets well at Kings Cross Station.

But surely, you must be thinking, mainline termini toilet cleaners are the kind of people for whom Farage fights the good fight? Wouldnt an anti-establishment warrior,who in the US on the weekend cited the Brexit-Trump axis as the start of a global revolution, prefer a humble OBE to show solidarity with ordinary folk?Isnt a knighthood the emblem of how a self-serving political class rewards its cronies and donors? Could there be a tawdrier mascot for a decadent establishment than a K?

Apparently there could. And so Nigels man of the people schtick (never that convincing, but not as laughably exposed as now)can be seen spinning clockwise towards the reputationalU-bend.

The rotten luck here for dearNige is that there was no recent precedent of a populist icon who, after presenting his public work as wholly altruistic, was caught petulantly screeching about being denied a knighthood. Had there been, it would have warned him that rampant hypocrisy and a glaring sense of entitlement can incinerate any brand.Instead, the latest Ukip golden balls-up since Paul Nuttalls Walter Mitty tribute act finds Farage screaming in print that Ukip will collapse unless Carswell is expelled from the party.

This is a pretty useful working definition of politicalnihilism. Im no Stephen Hawking, but you neednt be Lucasian Professor of Mathematics to master this equation: if you have one MP, and you subtract one MP, what youre left with is nil MPs.

Advocating for a parliamentary strength of zero is an eccentric way to hammer home the message about Brexit restoring parliamentary supremacy. So if Carswell is kicked out, one hopes Nigel will have another crack at becoming an MP by standing against him in Clacton.

Eighth times a charm and if he does finally plant his bum on the green benches, it would only be the beginning of the rapid surge to Downing St that would end, as it does for all male ex-premiers, with the choice of knighthood or peerage.

Dont take my word for it. Farage will make a fine UK Prime Minister. Looking forward to that, tweets David Duke.

Lose a knighthood, gain the admiration of a formerImperial Wizard of the Ku Klux Klan Swings and roundabouts for plain Mister Nigel there as the crazy hurtling of the Ukip rollercoaster leaves it clinging to relevance by the tips of its fingers.

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The fight between Nigel Farage and Douglas Carswell is the definition of political nihilism - The Independent

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Meet the Group of Extreme Rationalists Bent on Cheating Death – Signature Reads

Posted: at 7:56 pm

In his latest bookTo Be a Machine, Mark OConnell probes the impulses, personalities, and technology of the people who believe the human body, particularly its stubborn insistence on dying and abdication of Moores law, is a system ripe for disruption. Meet the transhumanists.

OConnells book takes himdeep into the heartland of the professional disrupter class mostly the Bay Area and the cities, like Austin, eager to take in its spillover to meet with and discuss the ideas of everyone mostly men from billionaire tech CEOs and venture capitalists, to researchers at top-tier universities, to otherwise aimless loaners, apparently eager to extend their time in a world they scarcely seem to enjoy.

OConnell goes in as no diehard spokesman, and his report is not one of a jaunt through an imagined imminent utopia. Instead, its a journey that, like the books title, invites questionsWhat does it mean to be a machine? and speculative answers to them.

OConnell lives in Dublin. When I called him, we struggled at first to get a clear connection, an irony of relatively simple tech failure that was not lost. Once clearly connected, we discussed the possibility and consequences of a future where we are in some form machine and in some form potentially totally destroyed by machines.

SIGNATURE: You dont come out of the book as a devotee to transhumanism. When you started out, what were your thoughts on the movement?

MARK OCONNELL: My initial position was skeptical. At the same time, I never wanted to go in with a skeptical attitude and just come out with skepticism confirmed. I dont agree with the methods or ideology or the place where those transhumanist ideas come from, yet that almost childish horror that we get old and die, thats something I kind of share and I think a lot of people do as well. It is sort of basically unacceptable that we have this in our future. So there is something very compelling about the notion of people deludedly or otherwise thinking that this is a problem that can be solved.

SIG: A lot of it seems to be focused on this idea of not just overcoming death, but also overcoming general human inefficiency.

MO: When you talk to transhumanists most of them have a real, basic frustration with the human body and with the limitations of their sort of meat brains, thats the term you come across again and again. I suspect, it comes from an over-identification with computers. A lot of transhumanists are programmers and engineers and they spend a lot of time around computers, seeing systems, and thinking of efficiency and intelligence in a very machine-based way. Transhumanism makes perfect sense logically if you already think of yourself as a machine. It makes perfect sense to want to be a better machine, to want to be more efficient. It seems to me like being ultimately quite an insane way of thinking about human nature and thinking about what it means to be human. Thats really what interested me about transhumanism, is that it comes from this really strange notion of human existence that I think is kind of a confusion of the boundaries between the machines and the humans.

SIG: What do you see being lost in this view of man as machine?

MO: A sort of glib answer would be everything that doesnt involved a very narrow view of intelligence. Transhumanists have this battle cry that you hear over and over again that is optimized for intelligence and thats the bottom line for every metric of progress. Intelligence is the most important kind of value in the universe. I think thats a really narrow way of thinking about what it means to be human. It is also a very narrow view of what intelligence means, because when they talk about intelligence they tend to think about computational power. But I think being human is obviously a very messy, very inherently unquantifiable thing in terms of what makes it worthwhile. I suspect it has something to do with not being a machine and with not being ruthlessly efficient and productive and intelligent. But thats not a very good answer. As much time as I spent thinking about this stuff, and talking to these people, I never really came up with a satisfying answer to what it meant to be a human being.

SIG: One of the things that I was thinking about as I was reading the book, and you touch on it too, is that there is some similarity between transhumanism and millenerian thinking. The idea that since there is going to be this great reward at the end, that the contemporary world as it is now is kind of pointless. The problem of this, Ive always thought from the religious perspective, is that it deemphasizes solving the problems of today because its so focused on this thing that is going to come. I was wondering, did you find that transhumanists were very concerned about contemporary problems?

MO: The short answer is no. Because most of the time you are dealing with rationalists who are so extreme in their rationalism that it becomes insanity in a way. I wont say theyll dismiss things like climate change, but theyll say, oh yea climate change is a problem, but its fairly well served and there is a lot of people working on it and its not going to wipe out all of humanity, so lets not worry about it too much. They talk about it in terms of future lives. The lives of the people who are yet to be born are just as important or are given just as much weight in the moral calculus as people who already exists, which I guess as a utilitarian and sort of rigorously rationalist claim does make a kind of sense, but for most actually living human beings, it is kind of weird to think of things in that way, for me certainly. I find it hard to care about people who will be born in one-hundred years time as opposed to people who are alive now. Maybe thats wrong, maybe thats morally a bit dubious, but it seems to me strange to prioritize the lives of people who have yet to be born over those who are living and suffering now.

SIG: It seems like one obvious criticism of transhumanism is that if what they really want to do is extend human life, then they should be focusing on the things today that really shorten it like war and poverty and inadequate medical care.

MO: Yea. But to these folks like Aubrey de Grey, who I talked to for the book, you are just looking at it all wrong. To them, death is an ongoing holocaust that we deal with everyday and if we bring forward the cure of mortality by however many days, its thirty September 11ths a week that weve prevented. Its really hard to argue with that kind of extreme rationalism, I find, because youre kind of talking different languages altogether.

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Free speech isn’t easy – Durham Herald Sun

Posted: at 7:55 pm

The Orange County Schools Board of Education, faced with public demands Monday that it ban the Confederate flag from school grounds, essentially punted.

That wasnt a bad idea.

The flag controversy -- far from unique to Orange County or its schools -- raises sensitive issues of racism, hate speech -- and free speech.

We understand the flag is an abrasive symbol that to many evokes generations of white supremacy and enslavement and mistreatment of African-Americans.

On the other hand, when official bodies decree what symbolic speech is permitted and what is proscribed, the slope is slippery indeed.

The board said it would establish an equity committee to advise it on the flag and the issues it raises.

We understand that improvement is an ongoing process and we are committed to collaborating with our community to support the health and well-being of all students, board chairman Stephen Halkiotis said.

That collaboration might not be easy. Finding the right path through such sensitive issues seldom is.

Perhaps the committee and the board can view this if not as a teachable moment at least an opportunity to ponder the difficulties of honoring free speech in a time of societal discord.

We tend to look to the American Civil Liberties Union in this sphere. The organization has a staunch belief in the broadest construction of permitted speech, and argues persuasively that the most important speech to defend can be that we find most disagreeable.

A couple years ago, the ACLU raised some eyebrows when it praised the South Carolina legislatures decision to remove the Confederate flag from the State Capitol while at the same time criticizing Texas for not allowing a Confederate flag as an option in the states specialty license program.

Those license messages are designed and paid by individuals, and are not messages of the state, Lee Rowland, senior staff attorney with the ACLUs Speech, Privacy and Technology Project wrote in the Washington Post in July 2015.

If the schools were hoisting the Confederate flag, that would be government speech which government could (and should in this case) renounce.

But private speech? The government cant stop you from taping up your bumper sticker or rabble-rousing from your soapbox, whether your message is a peace sign, battle hymn, swastika or heart, Rowland wrote. Your individual liberty to speak, unconstrained by government, is at the heart of both the First Amendment and our American tradition of protest and freedom.

We hope the school boards committee has a full and spirited discussion, but that those words are on their minds.

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Free speech isn't easy - Durham Herald Sun

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