Bitcoin Price Reaches Fair Market Valuation, While Costs of Production Rise – newsBTC

Bitcoin price may be dropping deeper into a downtrend over the course of the last few months, but the first-ever cryptocurrency is actually much closer now to fair market value than it has been throughout the year.

However, as Bitcoin price falls toward fair valuations, the cost of production rises exponentially, and may be part of the cause of the downtrend itself.

Chartered financial analyst and staunch Bitcoin supporter Timothy Peterson has shared various metrics from crypto data aggregator CoinMetrics related to the leading cryptocurrency by market cap.

Related Reading | Former IMF Economist: Current Bitcoin Trend is Textbook Echo Bubble

According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently trading at prices that would be considered fair for the cryptocurrency. Prices have fallen back toward levels of fairness, after spending much of 2019 soaring higher than the fair market valuation of what Bitcoin should be priced at.

Following the crypto asset bottoming out at fair prices around $3,100 at the start of the year, Bitcoins parabolic rally took the cryptocurrency beyond its fair price, but nowhere near as overvalued as it was during the crypto hype bubble in late 2017, or even its value during the 2018 bear market.

It wasnt until Bitcoin bottomed at $3,100 that the cryptocurrency reached fair value, and prior to that, it was 2016 before the crypto bull market really began. At the height of the bubble, Bitcoin reached valuations 1,000% higher than what it should have been.

But even though crypto prices are falling toward fair valuations, the cost of producing each BTC continues to rise.

According to a chart shared by digital asset analyst Charles Edwards, who has developed a tool that plots production costs onto Bitcoin price charts on TradingView, the price per BTC has begun to fall below the cost of production, causing miners to capitulate en masses, which could be in part responsible for the recent downtrend in crypto markets.

With Bitcoins halving in May set to reduce the block reward crypto miners receive in BTC by half, the cost of production could double overnight. How this may impact the market is anyones guess, but it could cause extreme selling by capitulating crypto miners, rather than pushing up the price of the scarce digital asset as many others are expecting to happen.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Must Clear Multiple Resistance Levels Before Its Out of The Woods

Bitcoin price is currently trading at roughly $7,150, a couple of hundred dollars less than the cost to produce each BTC. Interestingly, the fair market valuation metric also appears to coincide with of producing each Bitcoin.

Read more:

Bitcoin Price Reaches Fair Market Valuation, While Costs of Production Rise - newsBTC

Bitcoin And Crypto Market On The Edge: BCH, Litecoin, EOS, XLM Analysis – newsBTC

Bitcoin (BTC) and the crypto market cap are holding key supports. Ethereum (ETH), LTC, ripple, bitcoin cash, EOS, TRX, and stellar are struggling to continue higher.

After tagging the $170 level, bitcoin cash price started a decent upside correction against the US Dollar. BCH price traded above the $180 level and it is currently consolidating near the $185 level.

On the upside, there are two important hurdles near the $192 and $195 levels, above which the price could climb towards the $215 level. On the downside, if the price fails to stay above the $180 level, it could revisit the $170 low in the near term.

Litecoin price is recovering above the $38.50 level, but it is currently struggling to settle above the $40.00 region. A successful close above the $40.00 level might lead the price above the $42.00 resistance level. If not, the price could trade below $38.50 and resume its decline. The next key support is near the $37.00 level.

EOS price is holding the $2.400 support area and it is currently trading in a range. On the upside, there are many resistances, starting with $2.500. The main ones are $2.550 and $2.600, above which the bulls are likely to aim the $3.000 resistance area in the near term.

Stellar price held the $0.0420 support area and recently corrected above the $0.0450 level. However, XLM price is facing a lot of hurdles on the upside, starting with $0.0460 and $0.0465. To start a strong recovery, the price climb above the $0.0500 resistance area.

Crypto Market Cap

Looking at the total cryptocurrency market cap 4-hours chart, there was a sharp recovery wave from the $166.0B area. The crypto market cap jumped above the $185.0B resistance and tested the $192.0B resistance. It is currently consolidating near $185.0B and preparing for the next move.

If there is a clear break above the $190.0B and $192.0B resistance, there are chances of another increase in bitcoin, Ethereum, EOS, litecoin, ripple, XLM, BCH, ADA, BNB, TRX, ICX, and other altcoins in the coming sessions.

Continue reading here:

Bitcoin And Crypto Market On The Edge: BCH, Litecoin, EOS, XLM Analysis - newsBTC

Bitcoin vs . Ethereum: Which Cryptocurrency Should You Invest In? – Robb Report

Cryptocurrency is more than just Bitcoin. New cryptos have emerged and given the blockchain forefather a run for its (digital) money. Most notable among them is Ethereum, which is both an online currency and a platform for creating smart contracts and blockchain-supported apps. It typically runs second to Bitcoin in overall value but has been adopted by some corporate entities, acquiring a possible edge in legitimacy.

Courtesy of Shutterstock

Courtesy of Shutterstock

2009

BEGAN IN

2015

Satoshi Nakamoto, which is almost certainlya pseudonym. The creators true identityor identitiesremains unknown.

Eight people are attributed as cofounders,but programmer Vitalik Buterin isthe most active today.

Prague

San Francisco

Mike Tyson. The former pro boxer launched a line ofBitcoin ATMs that would convert real-world moneyinto crypto. Its design featured his signature face tattoo.

Courtesy of Shutterstock

Ashton Kutcher. The actor tweeted his supportfor Ethereum and decentralizing the world in 2014(prior to its launch) with a link to the site.

Courtesy of Shutterstock

18 million

HOW MANY IN CIRCULATION?

108 million

BUNDLE OF ENERGY

In a year, mining consumes moreenergy than all of Singapore.

BUNDLE OF ENERGY

Ethereum minings yearly energy usage isequivalent to all of Costa Ricas.

VALUE AS OF 12/2/2019

$7,277

VALUE AS OF 12/2/2019

$147

YOU CAN BUY WHAT WITH IT?

A trip to space via Virgin Galactic.

Courtesy of Virgin Galactic

YOU CAN BUY WHAT WITH IT?

A $30 million beaux arts mansion in New York.

Courtesy of Anton Brookes/H5 Properties

IF YOU INVESTED $1,000 WHEN IT WASFOUNDED IT WOULD NOW BE WORTH

Roughly $170 million

IF YOU INVESTED $1,000 WHEN IT WASFOUNDED IT WOULD NOW BE WORTH

$67,000

EVERYONES A CRITIC

Probably rat poison squared.Warren Buffet

EVERYONES A CRITIC

Ethereum could have done a better job in its life.It hasntWilliam Mougayar, author

BUY A 2019 FERRARI 812 SUPERFAST FOR

64.7

BUY A 2019 FERRARI 812 SUPERFAST FOR

3,201.4

Continued here:

Bitcoin vs . Ethereum: Which Cryptocurrency Should You Invest In? - Robb Report

Key indicator shows its time to accumulate Bitcoin, but the bottom is far ahead – CryptoSlate

Despite the high levels of volatility seen yesterday, Bitcoin stabilized around $7,200. Now, a renowned technical analyst suggests that it is a good time to be stacking sats while another estimates a further correction.

In a recent tweet, Ecoinometrics points out that Bitcoin is trading at a cheap price relative to its long-term trend. Based on the Mayer Multiple, a ratio of the price of BTC to its 200-day moving average, the analyst believes that under the current price levels the pioneer cryptocurrency presents a good opportunity for investors to buy.

Ecoinometrics said:

[Bitcoin is] still cheap when looking at the big picture. So no reason for not #StackingSats today!

At the moment, the Mayer Multiple sits at 0.78x. A low value, such as the current one, is indicative of fair prices while a high value implies that Bitcoin is relatively expensive.

Regardless of the low value given by the Mayer Multiple, CryptoKea, a crypto investor and technical strategist, maintains that it is far from presenting a good buy opportunity.

The chartist argues that this technical index is stipulating that the pioneer cryptocurrency is currently in a bear market. After spending more than 40 days below the 200-day moving average, BTC could be pushing for lower lows.

CryptoKea affirms that Bitcoin is trading within the bearish channel of the Mayer Multiple, which is between 1.1x and 0.55x. He considers this area to be the first stop.

From now on, BTC could continue trending down for the next one to six months before it enters the oversold territory. According to the analyst, this is when a very good buy opportunity will be presented as the Mayer Multiple goes below 0.55x.

CryptoKea stated:

If we take a look at how much higher the [Mayer Multiple] lows came in each [of the previous] bear cycles, conservatively, the 4th one could come in 15 percent higher than 0.51x which would lead to a low of $5,500.

Although Bitcoin appears to have entered an accumulation zone, CryptoKea is not the only prominent analyst in the industry who is expecting lower lows. The growing concerns about the PlusToken scammers manipulating the market have prevented investors from buying in while others are still holding. Time will tell whether BTC is ready to break out of the downtrend it entered in June or continue falling.

Bitcoin, currently ranked #1 by market cap, is down 0.12% over the past 24 hours. BTC has a market cap of $130.19B with a 24 hour volume of $26.94B.

Chart by CryptoCompare

Bitcoin is down 0.12% over the past 24 hours.

Get our daily newsletter containing the top blockchain stories and crypto analysis straight to your inbox.

After Ali began forex trading in 2012 In 2014, he came across Bitcoins whitepaper and was so fascinated by the idea of a decentralized, borderless, and censorship-resistant currency that he started buying Bitcoin. By 2015, he started traveling to spread the word about Bitcoin.

Commitment to Transparency: The author of this article is invested and/or has an interest in one or more assets discussed in this post. CryptoSlate does not endorse any project or asset that may be mentioned or linked to in this article. Please take that into consideration when evaluating the content within this article.

Disclaimer: Our writers' opinions are solely their own and do not reflect the opinion of CryptoSlate. None of the information you read on CryptoSlate should be taken as investment advice, nor does CryptoSlate endorse any project that may be mentioned or linked to in this article. Buying and trading cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk activity. Please do your own due diligence before taking any action related to content within this article. Finally, CryptoSlate takes no responsibility should you lose money trading cryptocurrencies.

View original post here:

Key indicator shows its time to accumulate Bitcoin, but the bottom is far ahead - CryptoSlate

CNN: Bitcoin was the best investment of the decade – The Next Web

Major news outlet CNN has touted Bitcoin as the star investment of the decade, eclipsing stocks, bonds, commodities, and (of course) fiat currencies worldwide.

CNN backed its claim with numbers provided by Bank of America Securities, which showed a tiny $1 investment in Bitcoin at the start of 2010 would be worth more than $90,000 today (or, considering its latest price dives, until quite recently).

Still, regardless of its recent performance, Bitcoin dominated more traditional investments. Even though the US stock market is the strongest in the world, $1 in American stocks at the start of the decade would now reportedly be valued at just $3.46.

One dollar invested in a 30-year US treasury bond over the same time period would now be worth $2.08.

Gold, however, was reportedly the top commodity of the 2010s (aside from Bitcoin, of course). A$1 gold investment in 2010 is said to be worth just $1.34, while the same in oil would equate to 74 cents.

CNN listed some terrible investments, too. A dollar in Myanmar currency at the start of the decade would now reportedly be worth a measly 4 tenths of one US cent today.

Thanks to Greeces debt crisis, 100 cents in the Greek equity market would now equate to only seven cents.

While BTCs value indeed went from fractions of a penny to thousands of dollars today, itll surely be hard to defend its title of best investment of the decade.

Now, Bitcoin faces its next test: the 2020s.

This is not investment advice. This is for educational purposes only. Do your own research, damnit. No, really, dont buy Bitcoin because you read this article. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Im not even qualified to tell you that. See what I mean? Do your own research. Please.

Here is the original post:

CNN: Bitcoin was the best investment of the decade - The Next Web

4 Reasons Why Bitcoin Is Now Retesting November Lows $6.4K Next? – Cointelegraph

On Monday Bitcoin price (BTC) abruptly fell below the $7,040 support and dropped to $6,800. As recent as Nov. 22 and Nov. 27, $6,800 served as support so a number of traders had already identified the price as the point where Bitcoin would land if the price pulled back.

Cryptocurrency market daily overview. Source: Coin360

At the time of writing Bitcoin is struggling to hold $6,600 and if the current level fails to hold, traders will look for the price to follow the familiar pattern of dropping to the long-term descending channel trendline support at $6,400. Lets take a look at several technical reasons why BTC/USD is now eyeing a new 7-month low.

As mentioned by Cointelegraph analyst Keith Wareing, BTC is resoundingly bearish on multiple time frames.

Moreover, yesterdays downside move produced a bear cross on the monthly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) for the first time since June when the signal line crossed above the MACD line.

The monthly MACD histogram also flipped negative, suggesting that further downside could be in store for Bitcoin.

BTC USD MACD monthly chart. Source: TradingView

Another disconcerting sign on the daily time frame is a bearish cross between the 100-day and 200-day moving average, something which according to the chart below does not happen often.

BTC USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The daily timeframe also shows that the relative strength index (RSI) has dipped into oversold territory and the lack of follow-through from traders buying into the dip means a strong oversold bounce has yet to occur.

The last time Bitcoin price dipped to $6,522, the RSI dropped to 22 so if the sell-off resumes, the RSI could easily drop to this level again.

BTC USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

A revisit to the descending channel lower support at $6,400 is not exactly disastrous for Bitcoin price. Traders who analyze the weekly timeframe will remember that Bitcoin traded in the $6K region for nearly 8 months prior to the November 2018 drop to $3,100.

Furthermore, seasoned traders will recall that every Tom, Dick and Harry had called $6K the bottom prior to the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) hard fork debacle in November 2018, which may have been one of the reasons for the unexpected drop to $3K.

BTC USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView

As shown by the volume profile visible range (VPVR) on the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin has support to about $6,300 then below $6,200 the price could swiftly drop to $5,350 where support was built on Bitcoins parabolic move from $3,120 in February.

BTC USD weekly RSI chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI on the weekly timeframe is at 39.6 and slowly creeping toward oversold territory.The last time the weekly RSI was oversold was on Dec. 10 when the price was $3,160 and Jan. 21 at $3,425.

While the analysis is not calling for a drop to $5,300 or $4,100, Bitcoins price action on multiple time frames suggests further downside so its crucial to be realistic and honest, rather than driven by emotion and hope.

On the bright side, theres always the possibility that the price could form a double bottom at $6,520, a point that was seen on Nov. 25 and May 17, 2019.

Ultimately, Bitcoin price needs to hold the pink highlighted zone between $6,700 and $6,300 to avoid a drop back toward the May through April lows in the $4,900 to $5,500 region.

In the meantime, traders should keep an eye out for a possible double bottom around $6,530 and given that the daily and weekly RSI and Stoch are oversold, aggressive traders might look to play an oversold bounce, which seems ripe to take place as Bitcoin comes closer to falling below the long-term descending channel support at $6,400.

Cautious traders can observe to see how traders and price react to this oversold bounce (if it even happens), and they can also watch to see if the daily RSI becomes deeply oversold to form a double bottom at 22.

A relatively risk-free trade might involve playing a bounce at $6,500 to $6,400 with a stop loss placed closely below the entry. If this tactic proves fruitless, then the next option might be setting up a low leveraged long at $5,300 or at least looking to play a deeply oversold bounce at this price.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author (@HorusHughes) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

View original post here:

4 Reasons Why Bitcoin Is Now Retesting November Lows $6.4K Next? - Cointelegraph

BitGo Warns Users to Withdraw Bitcoin SV Over Hard Fork Threat to Wallets – Coindesk

A major code update for the cryptocurrency bitcoin SV (for Satoshi's vision) will render some features of BitGo's wallets useless, the crypto custodian says.

In a blog update on Wednesday, "Murch," a software engineer at the firm, said the Genesis hard fork scheduled for Feb. 4, 2020, would usher in a new consensus mechanism making BitGo's BSV wallets unable to receive payments.

Specifically, the post stated:

"This consensus rule change will make Pay-to-Script-Hash (P2SH) outputs invalid. Since BitGos BSV wallets use P2SH-based multi-signature addresses, the protocol change will render BitGo BSV wallets unable to receive funds."

This means that, following the hard fork, funds in these wallets will still be spendable and BSV can be sent from the wallets. However, sending BSV to a wallet will produce an invalid transaction even if it's a BitGo wallet sending "change" back to itself, said Murch.

Customers holding the cryptocurrency itself a fork of the bitcoin blockchain are advised to either exchange their BSV into bitcoin, or withdraw their coins to an external wallet before the fork.

"If you continue holding BSV in your BitGo wallet after February 4th, you will only be able to sweep the wallet and most functionality will be disabled," Murch wrote.

BitGo stores billions of dollars in cryptocurrency for clients such as institutional investors and exchanges. The firm recently claimed it's processing over 20 percent of all bitcoin transactions.

In 2018, BitGo was approved in the U.S. to act as a qualified custodian for digital assets.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

Excerpt from:

BitGo Warns Users to Withdraw Bitcoin SV Over Hard Fork Threat to Wallets - Coindesk

It’s Not Just the Money, It’s the People in Bitcoin: Anil Lulla – Coindesk

This post is part of CoinDesk's 2019 Year in Review, a collection of 100 op-eds, interviews and takes on the state of blockchain and the world. Anil Lulla is a co-founder of Delphi Digital, a research and consulting boutique specializing in digital assets.

Anil Lulla co-founded Delphi Digital in mid-2018 with four friends he met while working at Bloomberg and Deutsche Bank. Their idea: to provide credible, actionable research for an industry populated by noisy clout-chasers and ensnaring scammers.

When I left my job, my managing director literally didnt understand why I was leaving for fake internet money, Lulla said. In a way, this goodbye proved his thesis that there wasnt anything anyone could point to to explain the value proposition of bitcoin, he said.

While I personally buy into the crypto ethos, were not selling anarchist thoughts, just offering perspective on why should you pay attention: because crypto is a great investment opportunity.

More than a year later, Lulla reflects on the intricacies of the market, how a background analyzing distressed debt can help one understand the token industry, and why crypto will always be infinitely more interesting than real money.

Has this past years cycle from bust to boom to bust revealed anything new about how BTC operates?

This cycle has been interesting to see from a crypto fund perspective, which use bitcoin as both an investment and beta. We saw the thesis of bitcoins market supremacy play out in real time in the first two quarters, as bitcoin continued to get all the attention and alt-bagholders saw their satoshis disappear. The headlines and investment interest flowing back in proves the reflexivity of the market. Its also interesting to consider over the past 12 months where every incremental dollar was added in the market. While some was new money, most was sitting on the sidelines from people who had sold their positions and were waiting to come back in.

Whats the deal with technical analysis? What does it actually tell you, if anything?

At Delphi, we dont use TA as much as fundamentals, though weve added a little more because it's a traders market. If it can help execute trades accurately 60 percent of the time, its worth it. But we think bitcoins real advantages over traditional assets for market analysis is on-chain indicators. My partner Yan led our UTXO analysis which was used to call the bottom of the market by looking at HODL waves, or when certain massive hodlers start selling. Its a way to help predict when people will take cash off the table based on their potential returns and selling pressure.

How has the addition of institutional holders affected bitcoin?

Its a slow change, but we think Bakkt and Fidelity will be huge for the market long term. My team laughed at the focus given to Bakkts launch, and the reaction once it didnt move the needle the first week. The benefit of these products isnt from short term inflows of capital, but that credible brands are making long-term investments because they view crypto as a long-term project. This allows traditional investors to take risks they wouldnt otherwise with the latest crypto unicorn.

The amount of capital coming in also includes human capital.

Does Delphi get any crossover from traditional finance?

Whenever you have volatility in the market, we have people crossing over from that side of the market. They may not actually be interested in making an allocation, but funds may have clients who see bitcoin spike and ask them why they are not allocated to that asset, or at least wonder whats going on. Most conversations revolve around bitcoin. At a macro view, a lot of the people who look at the market seriously are starting to understand the value proposition of bitcoin beyond being a store of value.

If 2019 was year of bitcoin, where does that leave tokens or ICO projects for 2020?

Next year will see a lot of layer ones launching. But, the reality is a lot of token projects need help figuring out their economic or governance structures. Meanwhile, a lot of the projects that raised during the 2017 craze have essentially become distressed assets. That doesnt necessarily mean theyre dead projects. One of cryptos biggest value propositions is how quickly developments can happen. Maybe the biggest is changes on ethereum. We werent even aware of the real efficiency gains of Optimistic Rollups until Vitalik published a blog post. These things come from long periods of hard work and then, to the general public, they seem to come out of nowhere.

Sometimes I cringe at comparisons between crypto and the early days of e-commerce, just because of the investment activity. In the 90s, every website was an iteration of the same basic website, but with crypto its a constant evolution.

The amount of capital coming in also includes human capital. Its amazing to see what people are creating. The easiest way to talk about crypto is that its dis-intermediating middlemen while organizing or incentivizing groups to work together. Instadapp. Uniswap. The composability between projects is incredible. Things like that are why I think this sector will ultimately produce things that are valuable and give mainstream audience no choice but to participate. It's something Im willing to bet my career on.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

Read more from the original source:

It's Not Just the Money, It's the People in Bitcoin: Anil Lulla - Coindesk

Snowball: The Effort to Bring Privacy to Every Bitcoin Wallet – CoinDesk

Developer Ben Woosley was watching the Hong Kong protesters when he saw something interesting: They were using Bluetooth technology to dodge the internet, allowing them to create a mesh network for organizing and messaging while avoiding intrusion.

To create their mesh, the protestors used an app and software development kit, or SDK, called Bridgefy to bypass normal Internet connections. Woosley wondered about the implications of this decentralized, disconnected technology for bitcoin. The problem, he found, was that even though crypto was theoretically resistant to censorship, in practice it was easy to knock out the network by turning off the internet.

To solve this, Woosley created a Bluetooth-based network, Snowball, to make it easier to make private bitcoin transactions, and based his technology on the concept of CoinJoins.

CoinJoins?

CoinJoins are one of the main bitcoin privacy technologies. They are used to scramble several transactions together to hide all parties' tracks. The Wasabi bitcoin wallet makes CoinJoins easy to use but, since CoinJoins are more difficult and expensive than normal bitcoin transactions, they only make up a small portion of the total bitcoin transactions despite having been around for years.

Woosley wants to try to make privacy easier with a variant of CoinJoins called PayJoins.

"That's the main element of the project, making PayJoins easy, where you don't need to need to know that they're occurring," he said.

The goal is to get the technology to "snowball" ensuring that every transaction will at least have the option of traversing the mesh network if the internet is unavailable.

How it works

It all started in a blockchain hackathon in Wyoming. Woolsey was there because of a "fascination with cowboy culture." Woosley and fellow bitcoin developer Justin Moon teamed up for the multi-day event and explored what kind of product they wanted to make.

"Bluetooth is the most commonly available wireless technology, in every phone. The ubiquity of Bluetooth makes it a good target for this," Woosley said.

The pair considered other technologies but abandoned them after a bit of research. Another wireless technology, NFC, wasn't as widespread because it's only supported in Android smartphones. But once it has Bluetooth in a stable place, the team might try to work on making Snowball compatible with these other types of technologies, Woosley said.

In the end, Woolsey and team used a tech called Pay to EndPoint or P2EP., a year-old idea for achieving bitcoin privacy. Instead of requiring a bunch of people to make a transaction at the same time, as is done with CoinJoins, the tech only requires the sender and the receiver to mix transactions.

They chose to use P2EP because it improves security in two ways. First, users don't have to find another person trying to make a transaction at the same time. Second, it might be even more private than regular CoinJoins since it makes the fact that you're using a mixer to hide transaction history much less obvious.

For developers like Woosley, it's important to make private transactions easier for a couple of reasons.

"It's a property that impacts everyone. But it's a public good in a sense. As more people make private transactions, it increases the privacy of everyone else," he said.

Plus, Woosley wants to "undermine Chainalysis people." Right now, it's not so hard to figure out what transactions are owned by which people by using "blockchain analysis," or looking through the history of bitcoin transactions to find patterns.

Further, experts worry bitcoin's transparent transaction history could hurt its chances of becoming a serious currency. One crucial property of money is "fungibility," the idea that every coin is worth the same amount as every other coin.

The risk with bitcoin is some coins could become tainted by a past crime and be rendered useless.

"The coin might be associated with some event that happened a long time ago," Woosley said. "It's possible to scrutinize coins to see if it's gonna be spendable based on outside rules like what the government thinks. It undermines using bitcoin. It's a significant risk to any user."

Hurdles to adoption

However, it might not be so easy to make private bitcoin transactions simple. One big hurdle with P2EP, as well as Snowball, is that both the sender and the receiver need to adopt the technology in order to communicate.

In addition, some experts question whether it's the best way forward for private bitcoin transactions. P2EP has been around for a year, but it hasn't gained much traction.

"It's not hard to see why P2EP and PayJoin doesn't really see any adoption. Every implementation is limited. JoinMarket only for JoinMarket users, BustaPay only for merchants, Snowball only for smartphones," said Adam Fiscor, developer of Wasabi, a leading privacy-minded bitcoin wallet that uses normal CoinJoins. He went so far as to say privacy wallet Samourai's technology is for "idiots." He and Samourai were involved in a public spat earlier this year about the different approaches in privacy technologies they've taken.

Woosley hopes Snowball will expand into a more pliable standard. He argues the key ingredient it has that other projects don't is they're trying to make it "effortless" for wallets to implement.

As such, the team is looking for a developer to help build out an app that works for Android devices.

Once they're done with that, they'll open "pull requests" to wallets to try to help them to adopt the changes. "The integration effort should be pretty modest," Woosley said. In all, his hope is that adoption to start with a flurry and roll into a storm.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

Excerpt from:

Snowball: The Effort to Bring Privacy to Every Bitcoin Wallet - CoinDesk

Bitcoin Just Dropped Below $6,500: Why Its Risking a Big Fall to $5,000 – newsBTC

Bitcoin risks plunging to its eight-month low after closing below a crucial support level earlier last week and dropping to the $6,400s.

The benchmark cryptocurrency invalidated its 50-weekly moving average support for the first time since May 2018. The historical level confirmed bitcoins long-term bullish bias in periods when the price was trending above it.

Conversely, it alarmed traders about imminent bearish corrections when the price slipped below it.

The role of 50-period MA in bitcoins recent price behaviors | Source: TradingView.com, Coinbase

The last time bitcoin closed below the 50-weekly MA had resulted in a price drop of approx 61.39 percent. On the other hand, when the cryptocurrency broke above the MA, it rallied by as much as 161.79 percent to the upside (data from Coinbase).

With bitcoin dropping below the 50-weekly MA, the sentiment for an extended downside move is increasing in the long-term.

The latest breakdown has brought the cryptocurrencys 200-weekly moving average in view as the next potential downside target. It is largely because of the levels historical significance while capping bitcoins wild bearish move from flourishing in December 2018.

The 200-weekly MA assisted the cryptocurrency in bottoming out near $3,120 last year. After that, its price surged by as much as 343.24 percent towards a $13,868.44 top. So it appears, the MA could again behave as support to bitcoins ongoing downside attempts.

The next potential bottom for bitcoin | Source: TradingView.com, Coinbase

As of the time of this writing, the 200-weekly MA sits near $5,026.38.

The weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), which evaluates bitcoins overbought or oversold conditions based on certain numerical readings, appears in line with the possibility of an extended breakdown.

The current RSI reading is 40, which shows bitcoin is only ten points away from becoming an oversold asset. The journey from 40 to 30 coincides with the cryptocurrencys move from the current price to that of the 200-weekly MA.

The weekly RSI readings also hint a potential bottom formation | Source: TradingView.com

The RSI downtrend also indicates a potential reversal near 30 based on historical behaviors. That further validates 200-weekly MA as the level that could serve as bottom to bitcoins current downtrend.

[Disclaimer:Cryptocurrency trading involves ample risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. All trading strategies are used at your own risk.]

See original here:

Bitcoin Just Dropped Below $6,500: Why Its Risking a Big Fall to $5,000 - newsBTC