Fidelity Is Launching Bitcoin 401(k)s. Fintech Start-Ups Are in the Market Too. – Barron’s

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Fidelity Investments made waves in the retirement-planning industry when it became the first of the major record-keepers to roll out Bitcoin for 401(k) plans. But fintech start-ups are moving in as well.

In April, Fidelity said that some of the 401(k) plans it administers would soon offer employees a way to invest in Bitcoin through dedicated digital assets accounts. The plan administrator, which oversaw $2.7 trillion in 401(k) assets spread over 20.4 million investors as of Dec. 31, is waiting to see which employers sign up for the Bitcoin option, according to a person familiar with the situation.

Employers that are considering adding Bitcoin to their 401(k) plans need to do due diligence and obtain the necessary approvals before they can offer it, the person said. This process can take several months, while Fidelity would need about 90 days to implement it, the person said.

MicroStrategy (ticker: MSTR), a software company, was the first company to sign up. But more are expected. Fidelity said Thursday that it has seen strong interest from employers. In fact, client interest has not only been strong, but also spans across a wide range of industries and company sizes, it said in a statement.

Fidelity said the first employers to offer a Bitcoin option in their 401(k)s will make it availablein the fall.

The investment management company, meanwhile, has faced pushback from Congress and the Labor Department, which has reiterated warnings about thedangers of cryptoin 401(k)s. Fidelity said it is continuing a respectful dialogue with regulators and policy makers.

While Fidelity was the first major plan administrator to offer a Bitcoin option for 401(k)s, several fintechs have offered crypto access to consumers, or plan to do so, mainly through individual retirement accounts.

Consider Bitcoin IRA, which lets users invest in 65 cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum, Solana and Bitcoin . Launched in 2016, Bitcoin IRA allows customers to roll over their 401(k)s or IRAs and begin buying crypto, COO Chris Kline told Barrons. Bitcoin IRA has 150,000 users and $2 billion in assets under custody, he said.

The start-up is mainly self-funded and has no plans to bring in outside capital, he said.We dont have anything on the roadmap right now, Kline said.

There is also ForUsAll, a 401(k) provider that is working with Coinbase Global (COIN) to offer a platform that would let workers invest in cryptocurrencies. Founded in 2012, ForUsAll plans to launch the Alt 401(k) product later this summer, according to a spokesman. We have over 150 customers on the waiting list for crypto, he said.The start-up has raised more than $43 million in funding.

Swan Bitcoin is launching an IRA that lets consumers use their retirement accounts to buy Bitcoin, according to CEO Cory Klippsten. Customers can start a new IRA, either traditional or a Roth, or they can roll over an existing IRA into Swan, he said.

Swan has about 100 customers for the IRA and plans to aggressively market the product when it launches in the third quarter, he said. Weve had so much demand for this for so long, Klippsten said. Swan, founded in 2019, is known for its app, which lets its 65,000 users buy Bitcoin. The start-up has raised $8.5 million in funding, including a $6 million A round in November, according to a statement. It plans to raise a Series B round in the fall with a $30 million target, Klippsten said.

Prime Trust provides the infrastructure that helps financial services companies offer crypto. This includes the Application Programming Interfaces, or APIs, that companies like Swan, which is a Prime customer, use to open accounts for their clients. In June, the start-up collected $100 million in a Series B round, bringing total funding to $170 million, according to CEO Tom Pageler.

He expects widespread adoption of Bitcoin in retirement vehicles, mainly because customers are asking for it. With the whole market down, a lot of people want to diversify their holdings. Baby boomers will want to use [Bitcoin] to retire, he told Barrons.

Write to Luisa Beltran at luisa.beltran@dowjones.com

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Fidelity Is Launching Bitcoin 401(k)s. Fintech Start-Ups Are in the Market Too. - Barron's

Cryptocurrencies a ‘Good Alternative to Traditional Settlement Processes’ Study Featured Bitcoin News – Bitcoin News

Cryptocurrencies can be a good alternative to conventional settlement processes because they are underpinned by blockchain technology which enables the instant finalization of transactions without the involvement of intermediaries, a new report has said. Some players in the cross-border money transfer industry perceive the blockchain and cryptocurrencies as technologies that can enhance remittance processes.

Using cryptocurrencies for the settlement of transactions can be a useful alternative to traditional settlement processes, the latest report by the International Association of Money Transfer Networks (IAMTN) has said. According to the report, this is due to the fact that on the blockchain the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies transactions are settled instantly without the need to go through intermediaries like correspondent banks.

The combination of declining correspondent banking relationships and the rising volume of cross-border transactions further accentuates the importance of the blockchain for not only lowering the cost of remitting funds but making the transfer of money across borders much quicker.

Cross-border transactions can be settled almost instantly, thus obviating the need for pre-funding accounts in receiving countries, which is an expensive practice for remittance providers. A number of businesses, ranging from traditional remittance services providers to cryptocurrency fintechs are using blockchain technology to improve remittance processes, explains the report.

To buttress this assertion, the report includes the findings of a study by IAMTN which sought industry players views on innovative technologies which can improve the process of sending funds across borders. As suggested by the findings, both the blockchain and cryptocurrencies are seen as innovations that bring [an] infinite number of possibilities in the realm of cross-border payments.

Open application programming interface (API) and artificial intelligence (AI) are the other two technologies perceived to have the potential to improve the remittance process, the IAMTN study also found. Besides disrupting the financial industry, many of these new technologies can permanently improve the infrastructure behind cross-border payments, in the interest of end-users.

Nevertheless, the report said remittance services providers that are keen on integrating new technologies into their operations often encounter challenges in the form of rigid national regulations or the absence of any laws that govern such technologies. According to IAMTN, the fact that only a few countries regulate the use of blockchain creates some level of uncertainty for businesses that use, or would like to use, this technology.

The report also said barriers, such as accessibility, lack of awareness, literacy and trust often work against or make new technologies unattractive even when their use results in significant savings. Therefore, to overcome some of these challenges, the IAMTN urges policymakers to tailor their solutions to these realities.

What are your thoughts on this story? Let us know what you think in the comments section below.

Terence Zimwara is a Zimbabwe award-winning journalist, author and writer. He has written extensively about the economic troubles of some African countries as well as how digital currencies can provide Africans with an escape route.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

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Cryptocurrencies a 'Good Alternative to Traditional Settlement Processes' Study Featured Bitcoin News - Bitcoin News

Bitcoin (BTC) price bottom: Here’s what the market wants to see

Cryptocurrencies have taken a tumble in 2022.

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An improvement in macroeconomic factors, a particular trading pattern and a further shakeout of companies and projects could be the key ingredients required for bitcoin and the broader crypto market to bottom, industry players told CNBC.

Bitcoin has plummeted more than 70% from its record high in November with around $2 trillion wiped off the value of the entire cryptocurrency market.

For the last few weeks, bitcoin has been trading within a tight range between $19,000 and $22,000 with no major catalyst to the upside and traders trying to figure out where the bottom is.

Here are some of the factors that could help the crypto market find a floor.

Bitcoin has been hurt by the macroeconomic situation of soaring inflation that has forced the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks into hiking interest rates which has hurt risk assets such as stocks.

Cryptocurrencies have seen some correlation with U.S. stock markets and have fallen in tandem with stocks.

There are also fears of a recession but an improving macroeconomic picture could help the crypto market find the bottom.

"I think if inflation is under control, the economy is under control, there is no really severe recession" then the market will stabilize, CK Zheng, co-founder of a cryptocurrency-focused hedge fund ZX Squared, told CNBC in an interview.

U.S. inflation data for June came in hotter-than-expected on Wednesday, deepening fears that the Fed will get more aggressive in its fight to tame rising prices. However, there are some signs it could be peaking.

If there are clues that the economy and inflation are "getting under control," that could help the crypto market find a bottom, according to Vijay Ayyar, vice president of corporate development and international at crypto exchange Luno.

"If we see signs of this this month or even over the next few months, it would give more confidence to the market that a bottom is in across all risk assets including equities and crypto," Ayyar said.

Meanwhile, a "softer" Fed and the peaking of U.S. dollar strength, could help the market find a bottom, according to James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares. Butterfill said a weaker economic outlook could push the Fed to slow down its tightening push.

"A turn around in Fed policy and the consequent peaking of the DXY [dollar index] would also help define a true floor, we believe this is likely to happen at the Jackson Hole meeting at the end of the summer," Butterfill said, referring to an annual meeting of central bankers.

One of the key features of the latest boom and bust cycle in crypto has been the amount of leverage in the system and the contagion that has caused.

Firstly, there have been lending platforms that have promised retail investors high yields for depositing their crypto. One of those companies is Celsius, which last month was forced to pause withdrawals as it faces a liquidity issue. That's because Celsius lends out this crypto from its depositors to others willing to pay a high yield and then pockets the profit. That profit is then supposed to pay for the yield Celsius offers to its retail customers. But as prices crashed, that business model was put to the test.

Another company that highlights the issue with excess leverage is crypto-focused hedge fund Three Arrows Capital or 3AC, which was known for its bullish bets on the industry. 3AC has an extensive list of counterparties that it is connected to and has borrowed money from.

One of those is Voyager Digital, whichfiled for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protectionafter 3AC defaulted on roughly $670 million from the company.

A number of other companies including BlockFi and Genesis also reportedly had exposure to 3AC.

Three Arrows Capital has itself plunged into liquidation.

"The deleveraging process we don't know if it is complete or not. I think it is still in the process of washing out the weak players," Zheng said, adding that when there are no more surprises with companies collapsing, that could help the market find a bottom.

CoinShares's Butterfill said so-called miners, which use specialized high-power computers to validate transactions on crypto networks, could be the next victims of the washout. With crypto prices under pressure, there will be many mining operations that are unprofitable. Butterfill notes there have been some mining start-ups that raised funding last and ordered equipment that has either not been delivered or turned on.

"A collapse in one of these mining startups or the associate lender is likely and would help define a trough to the cryptomarket," Butterfill told CNBC.

Luno's Ayyar explained some of the trading patterns that might help define a bottom for the market. He said there could be a "capitulation candle," where the price of bitcoin drops even further and "wipes out the last remaining weak hands," before "moving back up strongly."

If this happens, that indicates "liquidity has been captured at lower levels and the market is now ready to go back up," Ayyar said.

He noted that this happened in March 2020 when bitcoin fell more than 30% in a day before steadily climbing over the subsequent weeks.

A second pattern could be an "accumulation phase" where bitcoin bottoms and spends a few months trading within a range before moving higher.

In both cases, that could see bitcoin drop further to between $13,000 to $14,000, which would be a roughly 30% drop from the cryptocurrency's price on Wednesday.

Zheng of ZX Squared said that bitcoin at between $13,000 and $15,000 is a possibility. But if institutional investors step in then that could help to support prices.

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Bitcoin (BTC) price bottom: Here's what the market wants to see

Bitcoin requires an immense amount of energy. Heres why thats sparking a crypto backlash – PBS NewsHour

The first time Jackie Sawicky learned that a Bitcoin mining operation was coming to Corsicana, a rural Texas city 60 miles south of Dallas, was on April 27, when she happened upon a Facebook video of a meeting at the local public library. The featured speaker was Chad Everett Harris, the upbeat executive vice president of Riot Blockchain, a Bitcoin mining company based in Castle Rock, Colorado. Bald and comfortably plump, Harris wore a suit jacket and open-collared shirt over blue jeans and delivered his message with the verve of a motivational speaker.

Were coming to Corsicana to build the largest [Bitcoin mining facility] in the world, Harris announced, describing the four-building, 400,000 square-foot complex that will occupy 265 acres with number-crunching machines. We turn energy into opportunity.

READ MORE: Landmark bill to limit energy-intensive cryptomining passes New York Legislature

Riot already operates the largest Bitcoin mine in the country in Rockdale, Texas. When someone in the audience asked Harris what drew him to Corsicana, the seat of Navarro County (pronounced Nah-verr-o in local parlance), he answered without hesitation. The Navarro Switch! he said, referring to part of the 192-mile, 345-kilovolt transmission line that moves power from West Texas to eastern parts of the state, where demand is high. And water, he added. You can pay a lot to bring power somewhere. But you cant get water.

He literally told us, Sawicky says, that he was coming to exploit our resources.

To some people, Bitcoin the most valuable and well-known of the 10,000 or so currently circulating cryptocurrencies is nothing more than a pyramid scheme; to others, it represents the future of money: decentralized, unregulated, and tracked on a virtual ledger in the digital cloud that everyone can inspect, known as a blockchain. But its production consumes dizzying quantities of electricity. In May of 2022, the worlds sum total of Bitcoin mining operations had an annual energy budget nearly equal to the entire country of Argentina, or the Czech Republic, or, according to Cambridge Universitys Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index, all the tea kettles in England boiling water for 26 years.

In warmer climates, cryptocurrency-mining by the Bitcoin method, known as proof of work, typically needs water to cool those machines running fast and hot as they play the Bitcoin lottery (Riot says it will use a new technology in Corsicana that reduces water use). Proof-of-work mining is essentially a high-stakes guessing game: Computers spend all day throwing out random 64-digit numbers until one matches the right number, as determined by Bitcoins consensus-managed protocol. On the worldwide network of Bitcoin servers, you have 200 quintillion guesses every second of the day nonstop, explains Alex de Vries, a researcher at the School of Business and Economics at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. And even despite that, only one machine gets it right every 10 minutes.

The correct answer gets logged on Bitcoins blockchain, and the winner gets a reward: 6.2 Bitcoins. Thats not as much money as it used to be: In the coins current slump, each coin nets about $20,000, down from a high in November 2021 of just under $68,000.

Due to its high demand for electricity, proof-of-work cryptocurrency mining has not been welcomed in every corner of the world. Miners seek cheap energy to maximize their profits, but their energy-intensive activities typically drive electricity costs up for everyone. Even when mining plants run on renewable energy, critics say, they often exploit existing clean energy resources at the expense of ordinary consumers, who are then forced to buy more expensive, and often dirtier, power.

FILE IMAGE: A bank of cryptocurrency miners operates at the Scrubgrass Plant in Kennerdale, Pennsylvania, U.S., March 8, 2022. Alan Freed/Reuters

In Bonner, Montana, a small city in Missoula County, the Bitcoin company HyperBlock set up in 2016 and almost immediately began cutting into the communitys supply of hydropower from the Salish-Kootenai Dam; County Commissioner Dave Strohmaier called the plants energy use grotesque and equal to as much as one-third of the countys household demand. HyperBlock went bankrupt when Bitcoin plummeted at the start of the COVID pandemic. The county subsequently enacted a first-of-its-kind zoning ordinance requiring, among other things, that cryptominers supply their own, new renewable energy sources.

A similar scenario has played out in upstate New York. The region initially drew cryptominers with its abundant supply of cheap hydropower electricity from the 2.6 gigawatt Niagara Power Project. In 2017, when the Bitcoin company Coinmint set up in the vacant space behind the Family Dollar Store in Plattsburgh, a city of less than 20,000 residents, electricity costs were one-third of the national average. Bitcoin miners had registered as industrial consumers, says Colin Read, a professor of economics and finance at the State University of New York, Plattsburgh, who was also Plattsburghs mayor at the time. And our industrial rate was less than 2 cents per kilowatt hour, which might be the lowest in the world.

But Plattsburgh, which manages its own municipal utility, also has a monthly quota for electricity use. If the city exceeds that quota, it has to go looking elsewhere for electricity, forcing everyones utility bills up. In the winter of 2018, residents who heated their homes with electricity saw costs rise 30 to 40 percent, according to Read.

Plattsburgh quickly imposed a moratorium on new crypto-mining operations while city officials figured out how to make it more efficient. We imposed a regulation that says Bitcoin miners have to recycle a share of their heat, Read says. After that, they simply werent interested in coming here anymore. They always migrate to the places with the least regulation.

Bitcoin mining has faced similar challenges in other countries. China, despite once being the worlds largest supplier of the application-specific integrated chips used in crypto-mining, declared all virtual currency activities illegal in the fall of 2021, in part because the mining produces high carbon emissions. (The countrys central bank also wants to develop its own digital coin.) Icelands national power company, Landsvirkjun, which once attracted cryptocurrency miners with its climate-friendly geothermal energy, began denying power to new miners in late 2021. Even Iran, where the oversight-free nature of peer-to-peer currency had enabled entrepreneurs to dodge international sanctions, found crypto-mining so burdened its grid that the government was forced to ban it first for four months beginning in May 2021, then again the following December, as heating demands strained its electricity supply.

Neither energy consumption nor water nor Bitcoins volatility have deterred the elected leaders of Texas, who have welcomed the industry with effervescent enthusiasm. Blockchain is a booming business Texas needs to be involved in, Governor Greg Abbott tweeted last summer after signing into law a bill recognizing cryptocurrency in the states commercial code. (Texas was the second state to do so, after Wyoming.) And the miners have come, reveling in the states wide-open spaces, where the rattling fans that cool their hard-working rigs can operate without disturbing the neighbors, and abundant cheap energy keeps overhead low. Whereas once China hosted 75 percent of the crypto-mining business, now the United States is home to 40 percent of the activity, and one-quarter of it happens in Texas.

Three days after Harriss announcement at the Corsicana library, Jackie Sawicky founded Concerned Citizens of Navarro County to marshal opposition to Riot Blockhains plans for Corsicana. More than 600 people have signed a petition to stop the mine, and the group has more than 500 members on its Facebook page, where Sawicky and others post news stories about their states grid and water woes.

READ MORE: From the stock market to crypto, a punishing six months for investors

Were going to be paying increased electricity bills to upgrade ERCOTs grid to accommodate these places, she says, referring to Texass independent system operator, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas. The grid notoriously slumped under the strain of winter storm Uri in 2021, cutting power to more than 4 million homes and businesses, many of which relied on electricity to heat their buildings. Hundreds of people died from extreme cold exposure or the failure of medical equipment.

Harris has insisted in news stories that mining only uses excess power when demand is light; when the grid is overloaded, ERCOT issues them credits for shutting down, which miners can do within minutes. In that way, he says, Riots participation in demand response can actually stabilize ERCOTs unsettled and isolated grid.

Thats at least partially true, says de Vries, the Dutch researcher. But the companys participation in demand response isnt exactly altruistic. Riot Blockchains filings with the Securities Exchange Commission, he points out, state plainly that the company will pay a mere 2.5 cents per kilowatt hour for its electricity, a full 10 to 11 cents less than the going residential rate. That figure represents our contractual cost of power, confirms Trystine Payfer, spokesperson for Riot Blockchain, minus the credits the company earns for participating in the utilitys demand-response program. That program is a sweet deal: It means that, when electricity supply is tight and Riot voluntarily shuts down, the company earns credits for power. If electricity prices shoot up to $9 per kilowatt hour, as they did during 2021s winter storm, it might be more profitable to unplug from the grid than to keep mining Bitcoin.

Our utility provider does not actually pay us the credited amount each month, Payfer stresses, rather, we have the right to apply the credits toward future [bills].

Nevertheless, de Vries argues, its hard to see how that wont drive prices up for everyone. The utility still has to buy the power, he notes, and the credits it issues under the demand-response program come from the same pool of money other customers fund when they pay their bills.

We have a saying here in Texas, Sawicky says. Dont piss on my boots and tell me its raining. And thats pretty much whats going on.

Not every community has fought Bitcoin mining the way Sawickys group has. Riot Blockchains Rockdale facility, initially built on 100 formerly forested acres near the former Alcoa aluminum plant, has by most accounts been a boon to the community, which had long been a company town revolving around the now-shuttered factory. We rebuilt the animal shelter, Harris said at the Corsicana launch meeting. When I learned kids didnt have lights in their parks, we put lights in the ball fields. For a year, we rented an entire hotel. Bitdeer, another Bitcoin mining company, set up shop nearby and bought emergency ventilator equipment for Rockdales volunteer firefighters.

But Corsicana, Sawicky argues, is different. People came to Navarro County for farming and ranching and open space. We have wildlife. We have two pair of nesting bald eagles and tons of migrating birds. I worry about all of them.

Mostly she worries about electricity prices. Electricity prices in Texas are already up 70 percent over what they were a year ago. We have a 15 percent poverty rate in Navarro County, Sawicky notes. We cant pay more for electricity than we already do.

FILE IMAGE: A geothermal energy plant in Ahuachapan, El Salvador, where the Salvadoran president has expanded that infrastructure to begin bitcoin mining projects. Image taken June 16, 2021. Photo by Camilo Freedman/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Some ambitious Bitcoin miners have tried to eliminate their pressure on utilities by buying up their own fossil-fuel plants to power their mining activities. The coal-fired Greenidge power plant in New Yorks Finger Lakes region, decommissioned in 2010 and revived seven years later as a gas-fired plant, in 2021 became a gas-powered Bitcoin mine; 120 miles west, in North Tonawanda, Canadian cryptominer Digihost intends to inhabit a still-operational gas-fired power plant using the plants power to mine its coin.

But more such projects in New York State could be in peril if Governor Kathy Hochul signs a pending bill instituting a two-year moratorium on new fossil-fueled proof-of-work crypto-mining in the state. The bill, passed by New York legislators on June 3, is designed to give the state time to evaluate how the technology fits within the states 2019 climate law, which commits New York to 100 percent zero-emissions electricity by 2040. The state law would be the first in the country restricting cryptocurrency mining.

Read doesnt think the bill does enough. Even if Bitcoin miners arent using hydrocarbons, he says, theyre displacing renewable energy that would be used for other purposes. And theres no easy way to measure that. Bitcoin, he says, will continue to increase the use of fossil-gas-fired power in the state, regardless of whether miners use clean energy or not. Nor has Governor Hochul committed to signing the legislation. Both she and New York City Mayor Eric Adams, who has asked her to consider a veto, have received significant donations from the crypto industry.

There are ways to reduce the energy use and, consequently, the climate impact of cryptocurrency mining. Some energy companies have developed plans to capture fugitive methane from oil and gas drilling and divert it to electricity plants dedicated to Bitcoin mining. Crusoe Energy has already begun such operations in North Dakota and Colorado and plans to expand to Texas and New Mexico. Another company, the Casper, Wyoming-based JAI Energy was specifically founded to take advantage of waste gas to mine Bitcoin. The process could theoretically be a net win for the climate, as methane from the oil fields is typically ether flared or vented, releasing fast-acting planet-warming gases into the atmosphere.

An even better alternative, Read says, is to trade proof-of-work mining for another process, known as proof of stake. It doesnt use exorbitant amounts of energy, because it doesnt involve gazillions of computers taking 200 quintillion stabs per second at a random number. Instead of trying to win the lottery in 10 minutes, he explains, you put down a large deposit proving you have a stake in the outcome. You ensure you dont corrupt the system when you verify an entry on the cryptocurrencys blockchain. If you fail to verify properly, you lose your investment.

Proof-of-stake means you can have everything in crypto without having all these environmental problems, Read says. Several currencies, such as Cardano and Peercoin, use proof-of-stake exclusively; Ethereum, the second most-valuable coin next to Bitcoin, is in the process of transitioning to proof-of-stake.

In fact, almost all cryptocurrency currencies are mined with proof-of-stake right now, Read says. We just dont hear about it so much because Bitcoin represents 99 percent of all capitalization in cryptocurrency. There may come a day when you get auto and home loans on a smartphone with decentralized, digital currency. But that currency probably wont be energy-devouring proof-of-work Bitcoin.

Bitcoin, Read says, is cryptocurrencys Model T.

This article is reproduced with permission from Yale Environment 360. It was first published on June 21, 2022. Find the original story here.

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Bitcoin requires an immense amount of energy. Heres why thats sparking a crypto backlash - PBS NewsHour

What is Bitcoin whale watching and how to track Bitcoin whales? – Cointelegraph

Whales are held responsible for sudden price fluctuations in the crypto and traditional markets every so often. Given their capability to manipulate market prices, it becomes paramount for the general Bitcoin (BTC) investors to understand the nuances that make one a whale and their overall impact on trading.

Wallet addresses that contain large amounts of BTC are identified as Bitcoin whales. Dumping or transferring large amounts of BTC from one wallet to another negatively impacts the prices, resulting in losses for the smaller traders. As a result, tracking Bitcoin whales in real-time allows small-time traders to make profitable trades amid a fluctuating market.

Despite Bitcoin's global and decentralized nature, tracking down and monitoring whales simply boils down to accessing readily available trading data from crypto exchanges and services. There are four primary ways to track whale activities, which include monitoring known whale addresses, order books, sudden changes in market capitalization and trades on crypto exchanges.

Monitoring known whales provide a headstart to smaller investors as the likeliness of coming across a whale trade increases significantly. Moreover, keeping track of market changes via order books and trades on crypto exchanges indicates incoming whale trades, which can be leveraged to profit during volatility.

The crypto community also uses free services that inform investors about successful whale trades, often including information about the senders and receivers wallets and the amount. One of the most popular services for automatically tracking whale trades is @whale_alert on Twitter, which issues alerts related to large transactions as shown above.

Related: Bitcoin whales still 'hibernating' as BTC price nears $21K

In a recent market update, Cointelegraph revealed that on-chain data suggested that the largest Bitcoin hodlers were reluctant to act at current prices. BlockTrends analyst Caue Oliveira supported the above finding by highlighting a "hibernation" continuing among whale wallet. He added:

Moreover, numerous altcoins continue to mimic Bitcoins bearish trends as whales await a greener sentiment across the crypto market.

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What is Bitcoin whale watching and how to track Bitcoin whales? - Cointelegraph

‘World War III Has Begun,’ Says Gerald Celente; Plus, Long-Term BTC Predictions and Scorching US Inflation Bitcoin.com News Week in Review The…

Trend forecaster Gerald Celente told Bitcoin.com News that World War III has begun, weighing in on Covid-19, crypto, the Great Reset, and gold in an exclusive interview. Jordan Belfort, aka the Wolf of Wall Street, talked long-term BTC investing, as scorching inflation in the U.S. continues to plague Americans, though Bidens White House says the latest numbers are out-of-date. All this and more in your bite-sized digest of this weeks hottest stories from Bitcoin.com News.

This week Bitcoin.com News spoke with Gerald Celente, the popular trends forecaster, and publisher of the Trends Journal. During a telephone conversation, Celente discussed the uncertainty surrounding the global economy after governments worldwide locked down the worlds citizens over the Covid-19 pandemic, shut down businesses and injected trillions into the economy.

The discussion touches upon gold, bitcoin, the pandemic, the Ukraine-Russia war, and the Federal Reserve. The trends forecaster believes that World War III has already begun, and if people do not assemble to bolster peace in this world, then we the people are doomed. Celente stressed that if people want real change, they cannot rely on hope as they need to take a stand to make it happen themselves.

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Jordan Belfort, aka the Wolf of Wall Street, says if you take a three, four, or five-year horizon, he would be shocked if you didnt make money investing in bitcoin because the underlying fundamentals are really strong.

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Shark Tank star Kevin OLeary, aka Mr. Wonderful, has warned of an impending big panic event in the crypto space. I dont believe weve seen the bottom yet and I have a different view of it, he said.

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According to the latest Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, U.S. inflation remains scorching hot as it has risen at the fastest yearly rate since 1981. Junes CPI data reflected a 9.1% year-over-year increase, even though a number of bureaucrats and economists thought Mays CPI data would be the record peak.

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What are your thoughts on this weeks hottest stories from Bitcoin.com News? Let us know in the comments section below.

Bitcoin.com is your premier source for everything Bitcoin-related. We can help you buy bitcoins and choose a bitcoin wallet. You can also read the latest news, or engage with the community on our Bitcoin Forum. Please keep in mind that this is a commercial website that lists wallets, exchanges and other Bitcoin-related companies.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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'World War III Has Begun,' Says Gerald Celente; Plus, Long-Term BTC Predictions and Scorching US Inflation Bitcoin.com News Week in Review The...

US and UK to Deepen Ties on Crypto Regulation, Says British Regulator Regulation Bitcoin News – Bitcoin News

Britains top financial regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), says the U.S. and U.K. will deepen ties on crypto regulation. In the past, innovative firms would have been pleading for less regulation. Now they understand and appreciate that rules are there to help provide certainty, said the British regulator.

The U.K. Financial Conduct Authoritys chief executive, Nikhil Rathi, outlined the FCAs regulatory goals Wednesday at Peterson Institute for International Economics.

One area of global focus is crypto, both opportunities and risks, the FCA chief said. Currently, our remit is limited to anti-money laundering rules for platforms. We have applied those strict rules as we would to any other firm that wants to operate in the U.K. market.

The regulator added:

The U.S. and U.K. will deepen ties on crypto-asset regulation and market developments including in relation to stablecoins and the exploration of central bank digital currencies.

Rathi proceeded to mention that the FCA held Cryptosprints earlier this year, which drew nearly 200 participants. The objective of the events was to seek industry views around the current market and the design of an appropriate regulatory regime, the FCA explained on its website.

The chief financial regulator described:

Participants told us they wanted a regulatory regime for cryptoassets as a high priority They also want regulation phased in over time, to allow firms and investors to prepare and for the rules to fit the evolving crypto assets.

In the past, innovative firms would have been pleading for less regulation. Now they understand and appreciate that rules are there to help provide certainty, he opined.

The FCA chief noted:

We are demonstrably supporting responsible use cases for the underlying technology while ensuring it is not at the expense of appropriate consumer protection or market integrity.

The U.K. government outlined in May its legislative agenda for the next parliamentary year in the Queens Speech. One of the bills aims to support the safe adoption of cryptocurrencies and resilient outsourcing to technology providers. Another aims to create powers to more quickly and easily seize and recover crypto assets, which are the principal medium used for ransomware.

Furthermore, the British government unveiled a detailed plan in April to make the country a global crypto hub and a hospitable place for crypto. The plan includes establishing a dynamic regulatory framework for crypto, regulating stablecoins, and working with the Royal Mint to create a non-fungible token (NFT) to be issued by the Summer.

What do you think about the U.S. and the U.K. working together on crypto regulation? Let us know in the comments section below.

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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US and UK to Deepen Ties on Crypto Regulation, Says British Regulator Regulation Bitcoin News - Bitcoin News

Bitcoin’s big influence on other Cryptos? – Cyprus Mail

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Bitcoin's big influence on other Cryptos? - Cyprus Mail

Bitcoin Up, Stocks Down as BTC Correlation to Nasdaq Weakens – Decrypt

While the crypto and stock markets both remain bearish, Bitcoins correlation with stocks is close to its lowest point this year. The 40-day correlation between the largest cryptocurrency and the Nasdaq 100 index is now below 0.50, according to Bloomberg data.

Bitcoin is trading for $20,712 at the time of writing, a 2.5% increase in the past 24 hours according to CoinMarketCap. In contrast, U.S. stocks were hit hard on Thursday as investors worry about the Federal Reserve continuing to hike interest rates. And it isnt just the tech-heavy Nasdaq: global equities markets also took a beating on Thursdayalong with oilas more investors move towards holding onto their greenbacks.

Correlation with the Nasdaq is measured on a -1 to 1 scale: -1 means the prices always move in opposite directions; 1 means they move together. Today, Bitcoin is at its lowest correlation with the Nasdaq since early January.

This is a very different story from as recently as April, when its 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq was at its highest level in over a year.

The correlation is still positive, which means that Bitcoin and tech stocks still move in similar directions. But if the correlation continues to weaken, it might be taken as a sign crypto has seen the bottom and is ready to rebound.

For most of the pandemic, Bitcoin has moved in the same direction as stocks. Right now it is down nearly 70% from its all-time high last November near $69,000. This is largely because crypto is seen as a risky asset by many big investors, and we are in a risk-off environment as sky-high inflation hits virtually every country on the planet. Political uncertainty with Russias war in Ukraine and supply chain chaos from China make a recession seemingly imminent.

Since 2020, Bitcoin had been going more mainstream than ever as major companies like MicroStrategy and Tesla added it to their balance sheets and even previous Wall Street skeptics changed their tune, leading Bitcoin to perform like a tech stock. Until it crashed in May.

Could the crypto rebound be in full swing?

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Bitcoin Up, Stocks Down as BTC Correlation to Nasdaq Weakens - Decrypt

Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 in 2024? – The Motley Fool

In just 13 years, Bitcoin (BTC 1.31%) went from trading for just a few pennies to nearly $69,000 at the peak. Even though the world's original cryptocurrency is only worth about $21,000 today, many are optimistic that Bitcoin will rebound.

These hopeful price predictions use varying methods and different reasoning for their estimates. For this evaluation of Bitcoin's future price, we will focus on the patterns between halving events and use the year 2024 as the deadline, since that is when the next Bitcoin halving should occur.

Halving events are what helps make Bitcoin so unique. Bitcoin's code is programmed to ensure that the growth in supply falls with time. Since Bitcoin's code is open source, we can do a little math and find out that Bitcoin's block reward is cut in half every 210,000 blocks -- or roughly every four years.

The halving events serve as an easy marker to track the progression of Bitcoin's price. Bitcoin analysts refer to the time between each halving as a cycle.

Bitcoin's first halving was in November 2012 and dropped the block reward from 50 Bitcoins to 25. The second was in the summer of 2016. And the most recent was in May 2020, resulting in the reward being cut from 12.5 to 6.25 Bitcoins.

When looking at the data between halvings, a few things become evident. First, the price at each halving is roughly 55% less than the all-time high from the previous cycle.

Before Bitcoin's first halving, the price topped out near $34 in June 2011. By the time of the November 2012 halving, Bitcoin was worth just about $12 -- a drop of just over 60%. At the 2016 halving, Bitcoin was worth around $650. This was about a 45% decrease from Bitcoin's previous all-time high of around $1,200 in November 2013.

A similar situation occurred at the halving in May 2020. Back then, Bitcoin was worth about $8,800 -- nearly 65% less than the December 2017 all-time high. When averaging those decreases, we discover that on average, Bitcoin's price is about 55% less than the previous all-time high when the halving occurs.

The next halving is set to take place about May 2024. Simple math can help us arrive at a possible price that Bitcoin will reach by then. In the current cycle Bitcoin peaked at almost $69,000 in November 2021 -- based on past behavior, Bitcoin's price should be about 55% less than that. This implies a price of about $30,000 if past patterns continue at the time of the next halving.

Another insight we can gather from data is that the amount Bitcoin increases in between each halving diminishes from the previous cycle.

Bitcoin was trading at about $11 at the time of the first halving in November 2012. It then peaked in December 2013 to about $1,100 -- an increase of almost 10,000%. From the next halving in July 2016, Bitcoin's price rose from around $650 to a new high in December 2017 of just under $20,000 -- almost a 3,000% gain. From the most recent halving in May 2020, when it was trading for about $9,000 to the all-time high of just under $69,000 in November 2021, Bitcoin increased about 670%.

It becomes further evident that Bitcoin's returns diminish with each halving cycle that passes. But how much will the price increase after the next halving?

On average, Bitcoin returns about 25% less with each new cycle. Subtracting a quarter from the previous 670% return, we arrive at about a 500% increase. A gain of this size from our speculative $30,000 price in May 2024 price would imply a new all-time high of almost $150,000.

We could speculate on Bitcoin's price until the last Bitcoin is mined sometime after 2100. Regardless of what the actual price becomes, there is one clear trend that has held true: Those who hold Bitcoin longer are rewarded with better returns as each halving passes.

Investors who bought Bitcoin after the May 2020 halving likely haven't seen great returns. To maximize potential returns, the data show us that Bitcoin should be held for at least one halving. Although recent weakness in Bitcoin caused every portfolio to take a hit, current prices should be viewed as an opportunity to increase exposure before the next halving in May 2024.

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Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 in 2024? - The Motley Fool