In 2020, lets stop AI ethics-washing and actually do something – MIT Technology Review

Last year, just as I was beginning to cover artificial intelligence, the AI world was getting a major wake-up call. There were some incredible advancements in AI research in 2018from reinforcement learning to generative adversarial networks (GANs) to better natural-language understanding. But the year also saw several high-profile illustrations of the harm these systems can cause when they are deployed too hastily.

A Tesla crashed on Autopilot, killing the driver, and a self-driving Uber crashed, killing a pedestrian. Commercial face recognition systems performed terribly in audits on dark-skinned people, but tech giants continued to peddle them anyway, to customers including law enforcement. At the beginning of this year, reflecting on these events, I wrote a resolution for the AI community: Stop treating AI like magic, and take responsibility for creating, applying, and regulating it ethically.

In some ways, my wish did come true. In 2019, there was more talk of AI ethics than ever before. Dozens of organizations produced AI ethics guidelines; companies rushed to establish responsible AI teams and parade them in front of the media. Its hard to attend an AI-related conference anymore without part of the programming being dedicated to an ethics-related message: How do we protect peoples privacy when AI needs so much data? How do we empower marginalized communities instead of exploiting them? How do we continue to trust media in the face of algorithmically created and distributed disinformation?

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But talk is just thatits not enough. For all the lip service paid to these issues, many organizations AI ethics guidelines remain vague and hard to implement. Few companies can show tangible changes to the way AI products and services get evaluated and approved. Were falling into a trap of ethics-washing, where genuine action gets replaced by superficial promises. In the most acute example, Google formed a nominal AI ethics board with no actual veto power over questionable projects, and with a couple of members whose inclusion provoked controversy. A backlash immediately led to its dissolution.

Meanwhile, the need for greater ethical responsibility has only grown more urgent. The same advancements made in GANs in 2018 have led to the proliferation of hyper-realistic deepfakes, which are now being used to target women and erode peoples belief in documentation and evidence. New findings have shed light on the massive climate impact of deep learning, but organizations have continued to train ever larger and more energy-guzzling models. Scholars and journalists have also revealed just how many humans are behind the algorithmic curtain. The AI industry is creating an entirely new class of hidden laborerscontent moderators, data labelers, transcriberswho toil away in often brutal conditions.

But not all is dark and gloomy: 2019 was the year of the greatest grassroots pushback against harmful AI from community groups, policymakers, and tech employees themselves. Several citiesincluding San Francisco and Oakland, California, and Somerville, Massachusettsbanned public use of face recognition, and proposed federal legislation could soon ban it from US public housing as well. Employees of tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Salesforce also grew increasingly vocal against their companies use of AI for tracking migrants and for drone surveillance.

Within the AI community, researchers also doubled down on mitigating AI bias and reexamined the incentives that lead to the fields runaway energy consumption. Companies invested more resources in protecting user privacy and combating deepfakes and disinformation. Experts and policymakers worked in tandem to propose thoughtful new legislationmeant to rein in unintended consequences without dampening innovation. At the largest annual gathering in the field this year, I was both touched and surprised by how many of the keynotes, workshops, and posters focused on real-world problemsboth those created by AI and those it could help solve.

So here is my hope for 2020: that industry and academia sustain this momentum and make concrete bottom-up and top-down changes that realign AI development. While we still have time, we shouldnt lose sight of the dream animating the field. Decades ago, humans began the quest to build intelligent machines so they could one day help us solve some of our toughest challenges.

AI, in other words, is meant to help humanity prosper. Lets not forget.

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In 2020, lets stop AI ethics-washing and actually do something - MIT Technology Review

designboom TECH predictions 2020: AI and the third era of computing – Designboom

tech predictions 2020: scientists have already used it to explore our ancient origins, beer lovers have rigged taps with it to pour the perfect pint, and now humankind wants to use it to find everything out about everyone artificial intelligence is making rapid strides and theres talk of a new evolution that could fundamentally change life on our planet.

this month, LA-based studio ouchhh created a 3 billion-pixel digital monolith combining AI with data learnt from the pre-pottery neolithic period (read more)

in 2020, artificial intelligence will reach new heights. robotic scanners that serve the perfect pizza, seem pretty schoolboy in comparison to its future potential. the AI of tomorrow uses its political prowess instead of its culinary skills. it will decide who should be hired and who should be fired, who is guilty and who is innocent, deciding the fate of entire nations.

earlier this year, dominoes announced the launch of a new pizza-checkingrobot which uses a mix of AI, advanced machine learning and sensor technology to identify pizza type, even topping distribution and correct toppings (read more)

deepfakes refer to manipulated videos, or other digital representations produced by sophisticated artificial intelligence, that generate fabricated images and sounds that appear to be real. these falsified videos are becoming increasingly sophisticated and accessible, with the danger of making people believe something is real when it is not. its just in time for the 2020 US election where some fear it could be used to undermine the reputation of political candidates by making the candidate appear to say or do things that never actually occurred.

in june, a doctored video of mark zuckerberg was uploaded to instagram raising concerns over falsified content (read more)

gartner, an IT research and advisory company, reports that by 2024, the world health organization will identify online shopping as an addictive disorder. that might be in part because by then, as the same report suggests, AI which is able to identify emotions will influence more than half of the online advertisements you see. by 2020, it is predicted that 85% of customer interactions in retail will be managed by artificial intelligence. new technology could monitor customers reactions to brands, pricing and store layouts, helping retailers make decisions based on consumer responses. its kind of like market research but 24/7: if emotions read negative, it might be time to lower prices, and if shoppers appear confused, it might be time for a redesign.

just a couple of months ago, researchers at openAI developed a roboticarm that usesartificial intelligence to solve a rubiks cube one-handed (read more)

theres no hiding your emotions in the future. newly developed artificial emotional intelligence puts power in the hands of big businesses with an incentive to know exactly whats on your mind and when. it might not change the way we shop entirely, but the use of AI to detect consumer emotions will surely change the way we are sold to. imagine a hyperpersonalized shopping experience curated by humanoid sales assistants whose ability to understand what you want or need happens before youve even had time to articulate it.

in september, designboom reported on a new PSA in america that used artificial intelligence to create a composite portrait of hunger by scanning the faces of americans (read more)

the biggest concern of the future is if brands will be transparent and if so, how? consumers will demand an education on how their data is being collected and used. AI that can scan human beings for their emotional state is already being used to vet job seekers, test criminal suspects for signs of deception, and set insurance prices but just cause AI can read our emotionsshould it? research center AI now institute has called for new laws to restrict the use of emotion-detecting for fears that it is built on markedly shaky foundations. we just cant rely on AI doing its job properly when peoples lives are at stake. with AI around theres no room for human error, but theres still plenty of space for machine-made mistakes.

israel-based startup seedo is developing fully automated, commercial-scale cannabis farms for example (read more)

but its not all bad AI is set to drive sustainability in 2020 and beyond. companies will use it to measure environmental and social effects within their businesses, automatically optimizing operations for sustainability. that includes operating responsibly, reducing waste, making smarter transportation strategies.

kieron marchese I designboom

dec 27, 2019

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designboom TECH predictions 2020: AI and the third era of computing - Designboom

Artificial Intelligence in Transportation Market 2020: New Innovative Solutions to Boost Global Growth with New Technology, Business Strategies,…

Global Artificial Intelligence in Transportation Market Research Report 2020-2029 is a vast research database spread across various pages with numerous tables, charts, and figures in it, which provides a complete data on the Artificial Intelligence in Transportation market including key components such as main players, size, SWOT analysis, business situation, and best patterns in the market. This analysis report contains different expectations identified with income, generation, CAGR, consumption, cost, and other generous elements. Further, the report determines the opportunities, its restraints as well as analysis of the technical barriers, other issues, and cost-effectiveness affecting the market during the forecast period from 2020 to 2029. It features historical & visionary cost, an overview with growth analysis, demand and supply data. Market trends by application global market based on technology, product type, application, and various processes are analyzed in Artificial Intelligence in Transportation industry report.

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Artificial Intelligence Identifies Previously Unknown Features Associated with Cancer Recurrence – Imaging Technology News

December 27, 2019 Artificial intelligence (AI) technology developed by the RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project (AIP) in Japan has successfully found features in pathology images from human cancer patients, without annotation, that could be understood by human doctors. Further, the AI identified features relevant to cancer prognosis that were not previously noted by pathologists, leading to a higher accuracy of prostate cancer recurrence compared to pathologist-based diagnosis. Combining the predictions made by the AI with predictions by human pathologists led to an even greater accuracy.

According to Yoichiro Yamamoto, M.D., Ph.D., the first author of the study published in Nature Communications, "This technology could contribute to personalized medicine by making highly accurate prediction of cancer recurrence possible by acquiring new knowledge from images. It could also contribute to understanding how AI can be used safely in medicine by helping to resolve the issue of AI being seen as a 'black box.'"

The research group led by Yamamoto and Go Kimura, in collaboration with a number of university hospitals in Japan, adopted an approach called "unsupervised learning." As long as humans teach the AI, it is not possible to acquire knowledge beyond what is currently known. Rather than being "taught" medical knowledge, the AI was asked to learn using unsupervised deep neural networks, known as autoencoders, without being given any medical knowledge. The researchers developed a method for translating the features found by the AI only numbers initially into high-resolution images that can be understood by humans.

To perform this feat the group acquired 13,188 whole-mount pathology slide images of the prostate from Nippon Medical School Hospital (NMSH), The amount of data was enormous, equivalent to approximately 86 billion image patches (sub-images divided for deep neural networks), and the computation was performed on AIP's powerful RAIDEN supercomputer.

The AI learned using pathology images without diagnostic annotation from 11 million image patches. Features found by AI included cancer diagnostic criteria that have been used worldwide, on the Gleason score, but also features involving the stroma connective tissues supporting an organ in non-cancer areas that experts were not aware of. In order to evaluate these AI-found features, the research group verified the performance of recurrence prediction using the remaining cases from NMSH (internal validation). The group found that the features discovered by the AI were more accurate (AUC=0.820) than predictions made based on the human-established cancer criteria developed by pathologists, the Gleason score (AUC=0.744). Furthermore, combining both AI-found features and the human-established criteria predicted the recurrence more accurately than using either method alone (AUC=0.842). The group confirmed the results using another dataset including 2,276 whole-mount pathology images (10 billion image patches) from St. Marianna University Hospital and Aichi Medical University Hospital (external validation).

"I was very happy," said Yamamoto, "to discover that the AI was able to identify cancer on its own from unannotated pathology images. I was extremely surprised to see that AI found features that can be used to predict recurrence that pathologists had not identified."

He continued, "We have shown that AI can automatically acquire human-understandable knowledge from diagnostic annotation-free histopathology images. This 'newborn' knowledge could be useful for patients by allowing highly-accurate predictions of cancer recurrence. What is very nice is that we found that combining the AI's predictions with those of a pathologist increased the accuracy even further, showing that AI can be used hand-in-hand with doctors to improve medical care. In addition, the AI can be used as a tool to discover characteristics of diseases that have not been noted so far, and since it does not require human knowledge, it could be used in other fields outside medicine."

For more information:www.riken.jp/en/research/labs/aip/

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Close to Home | Artificial Intelligence and us – Mindanao Times

A curious event in 2018 when Facebooks AI robots started communicating among themselves with their own language which programming experts on Facebook could not understand had the company shutting down their bots and no news of having opened it yet again.

This happening with Facebook is not isolated. The AlphaGo incident where a professional human player of the game was beaten by a robot sent alarm to human beings concerned. AlphaGo is a computer program that plays the Chinese board game called Go. It was in March 2016 that AlphaGo beat Gos Best Player Lee Sedol in the game where combinations of moves are said to be as many as the stars in the universe.

A workshop called Sprit, Science, and Artificial Intelligence, facilitated by social scientist and activist Nicanor Perlas, discusses why these leaps on technology and the seemingly subsequent surrender of humans to it should be something that must be met with our full consciousness and wakefulness. With the technologys lure of conveniences and perfection, we human beings are slowly giving up our inherent capacities.

While we are so out to believe that technology is neutral, we need to dig deeper to come face to face with its inner logic. I used to say, and these days, I hear many say often, that technology is neither good or bad. That it is up to us to make it advantageous or otherwise. It sure looks like that on the surface level. But just beneath it, lies the inner logic of technology: if we look deeper, technology makes us give up our inherent capacities as human beings.

So then, it is best to ask ourselves: IF we have been created in the Divines image and likeness, what could be our inherent capacities? What could have been planted in us if we are to be the true and full human beings that the Divine intends us to be?

Technology tycoon Elon Musk has been very vocal about the threats to humanity that pervade with the proliferation of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Recently, Tesla, Musks company, released all its patents to help humanity survive. In first world countries, it is said that teachers are being replaced by robots and computers. If you have seen Jimmy Falons interview with the robot named Sophia, it looks amusing at a glance, but if given a thought, one might think of the danger with human resources being replaced by these technological devices that seem to supersede us in terms of intelligence.

The lure of technology in the name of AI (now gearing up to be Artificial Super Intelligence, [ASI]) has three facets: Super Health, Super Intelligence, and Immortality. This has been created by AI companies to counter human imperfections. People get sick, so they offer super health, people often think at a very slow pace and what poor memory, so they offer super intelligence. Finally, people die, so they offer immortality. The proponents of these ideas think that consciousness resides on the brain, and so by creating artificial bodies that can accommodate the consciousness in the brain, thus making immortality at hand. They call this Transhumanism.

This Transhumanism gear of AI is slowly leading the human being to mass extinction as this would mean no more reproduction as humans. Are we, as humanity, moving like the sleeping children who were led by the Pied Piper of Hamelin to the abyss?

We will be convinced of this technology hype if we do not stop and discern over this lures. But taking time to contemplate over these things, it will be revealed that all these lures are become effective once we deviate from the path of nature. Mother Nature has been cradling our humanity.

For our super health, we have the plants and the four elements to take care of us. For our super intelligence, our thoughts and capacity to create has been inherent in us, provided that we commune with her. It is almost forgotten but our ancestors showed super intelligence. There were documents that tell of our ancestors being capable of telepathy and teleportation. Yes, truth is stranger than fiction. And finally, for our concern of death. We only need to be assured that we no longer die. A Spiritual Being in the name of Christ had long defeated death for us. But if we only look at it in a materialist perspective, we cannot have the faculties to understand it. Nonetheless, it still needs to be said.

While AI poses an abominable threat to the existence of humanity, there is no need to fear. The call is to face this task wide awake and conscious. The AI has become a dragon to defeat because we have not been living up to who were truly are. Now, this dragon wants us to show our courage and together brave this challenge for the future of our humanity. Many, I, myself included, believe that by going back to nature, the human being will make manifest once more that no one is stronger than us except God. Simply because, we are the summit of His creations His own image and likeness.

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Close to Home | Artificial Intelligence and us - Mindanao Times

China should step up regulation of artificial intelligence in finance, think tank says – msnNOW

Jason Lee/REUTERS A Chinese flag flutters in front of the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, May 27, 2019. REUTERS/Jason Lee

QINGDAO, China/BEIJING (Reuters) - China should introduce a regulatory framework for artificial intelligence in the finance industry, and enhance technology used by regulators to strengthen industry-wide supervision, policy advisers at a leading think tank said on Sunday.

"We should not deify artificial intelligence as it could go wrong just like any other technology," said the former chief of China's securities regulator, Xiao Gang, who is now a senior researcher at the China Finance 40 Forum.

"The point is how we make sure it is safe for use and include it with proper supervision," Xiao told a forum in Qingdao on China's east coast.

Technology to regulate intelligent finance - referring to banking, securities and other financial products that employ technology such as facial recognition and big-data analysis to improve sales and investment returns - has largely lagged development, showed a report from the China Finance 40 Forum.

Evaluation of emerging technologies and industry-wide contingency plans should be fully considered, while authorities should draft laws and regulations on privacy protection and data security, the report showed.

Lessons should be learned from the boom and bust of the online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending sector where regulations were not introduced quickly enough, said economics professor Huang Yiping at the National School of Development of Peking University.

China's P2P industry was once widely seen as an important source of credit, but has lately been undermined by pyramid-scheme scandals and absent bosses, sparking public anger as well as a broader government crackdown.

"Changes have to be made among policy makers," said Zhang Chenghui, chief of the finance research bureau at the Development Research Institute of the State Council.

"We suggest regulation on intelligent finance to be written in to the 14th five-year plan of the country's development, and each financial regulator - including the central bank, banking and insurance regulators and the securities watchdog - should appoint its own chief technology officer to enhance supervision of the sector."

Zhang also suggested the government brings together the data platforms of each financial regulatory body to better monitor potential risk and act quickly as problems arise.

(Reporting by Cheng Leng in Qingdao, China, and Ryan Woo in Beijing; Editing by Christopher Cushing)

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China should step up regulation of artificial intelligence in finance, think tank says - msnNOW

Artificial intelligence – Wikipedia

Intelligence demonstrated by machines

In computer science, artificial intelligence (AI), sometimes called machine intelligence, is intelligence demonstrated by machines, in contrast to the natural intelligence displayed by humans. Leading AI textbooks define the field as the study of "intelligent agents": any device that perceives its environment and takes actions that maximize its chance of successfully achieving its goals.[1] Colloquially, the term "artificial intelligence" is often used to describe machines (or computers) that mimic "cognitive" functions that humans associate with the human mind, such as "learning" and "problem solving".

As machines become increasingly capable, tasks considered to require "intelligence" are often removed from the definition of AI, a phenomenon known as the AI effect.[3] A quip in Tesler's Theorem says "AI is whatever hasn't been done yet."[4] For instance, optical character recognition is frequently excluded from things considered to be AI, having become a routine technology.[5] Modern machine capabilities generally classified as AI include successfully understanding human speech, competing at the highest level in strategic game systems (such as chess and Go),[7] autonomously operating cars, intelligent routing in content delivery networks, and military simulations.

Artificial intelligence was founded as an academic discipline in 1956, and in the years since has experienced several waves of optimism,[8][9] followed by disappointment and the loss of funding (known as an "AI winter"),[10][11] followed by new approaches, success and renewed funding.[9][12] For most of its history, AI research has been divided into subfields that often fail to communicate with each other.[13] These sub-fields are based on technical considerations, such as particular goals (e.g. "robotics" or "machine learning"),[14] the use of particular tools ("logic" or artificial neural networks), or deep philosophical differences.[15][16][17] Subfields have also been based on social factors (particular institutions or the work of particular researchers).[13]

The traditional problems (or goals) of AI research include reasoning, knowledge representation, planning, learning, natural language processing, perception and the ability to move and manipulate objects.[14] General intelligence is among the field's long-term goals.[18] Approaches include statistical methods, computational intelligence, and traditional symbolic AI. Many tools are used in AI, including versions of search and mathematical optimization, artificial neural networks, and methods based on statistics, probability and economics. The AI field draws upon computer science, information engineering, mathematics, psychology, linguistics, philosophy, and many other fields.

The field was founded on the assumption that human intelligence "can be so precisely described that a machine can be made to simulate it".[19] This raises philosophical arguments about the nature of the mind and the ethics of creating artificial beings endowed with human-like intelligence. These issues have been explored by myth, fiction and philosophy since antiquity.[20] Some people also consider AI to be a danger to humanity if it progresses unabated.[21], [22]. Others believe that AI, unlike previous technological revolutions, will create a risk of mass unemployment.[23]

In the twenty-first century, AI techniques have experienced a resurgence following concurrent advances in computer power, large amounts of data, and theoretical understanding; and AI techniques have become an essential part of the technology industry, helping to solve many challenging problems in computer science, software engineering and operations research.[24][12]

Thought-capable artificial beings appeared as storytelling devices in antiquity,[25] and have been common in fiction, as in Mary Shelley's Frankenstein or Karel apek's R.U.R. (Rossum's Universal Robots).[26] These characters and their fates raised many of the same issues now discussed in the ethics of artificial intelligence.[20]

The study of mechanical or "formal" reasoning began with philosophers and mathematicians in antiquity. The study of mathematical logic led directly to Alan Turing's theory of computation, which suggested that a machine, by shuffling symbols as simple as "0" and "1", could simulate any conceivable act of mathematical deduction. This insight, that digital computers can simulate any process of formal reasoning, is known as the ChurchTuring thesis.[27] Along with concurrent discoveries in neurobiology, information theory and cybernetics, this led researchers to consider the possibility of building an electronic brain. Turing proposed changing the question from whether a machine was intelligent, to "whether or not it is possible for machinery to show intelligent behaviour".[28] The first work that is now generally recognized as AI was McCullouch and Pitts' 1943 formal design for Turing-complete "artificial neurons".

The field of AI research was born at a workshop at Dartmouth College in 1956,[30] where the term "Artificial Intelligence" was coined by John McCarthy to distinguish the field from cybernetics and escape the influence of the cyberneticist Norbert Wiener.[31] Attendees Allen Newell (CMU), Herbert Simon (CMU), John McCarthy (MIT), Marvin Minsky (MIT) and Arthur Samuel (IBM) became the founders and leaders of AI research.[32] They and their students produced programs that the press described as "astonishing": computers were learning checkers strategies (c. 1954)[34] (and by 1959 were reportedly playing better than the average human),[35] solving word problems in algebra, proving logical theorems (Logic Theorist, first run c. 1956) and speaking English.[36] By the middle of the 1960s, research in the U.S. was heavily funded by the Department of Defense[37] and laboratories had been established around the world.[38] AI's founders were optimistic about the future: Herbert Simon predicted, "machines will be capable, within twenty years, of doing any work a man can do". Marvin Minsky agreed, writing, "within a generation... the problem of creating 'artificial intelligence' will substantially be solved".[8]

They failed to recognize the difficulty of some of the remaining tasks. Progress slowed and in 1974, in response to the criticism of Sir James Lighthill and ongoing pressure from the US Congress to fund more productive projects, both the U.S. and British governments cut off exploratory research in AI. The next few years would later be called an "AI winter",[10] a period when obtaining funding for AI projects was difficult.

In the early 1980s, AI research was revived by the commercial success of expert systems,[40] a form of AI program that simulated the knowledge and analytical skills of human experts. By 1985, the market for AI had reached over a billion dollars. At the same time, Japan's fifth generation computer project inspired the U.S and British governments to restore funding for academic research.[9] However, beginning with the collapse of the Lisp Machine market in 1987, AI once again fell into disrepute, and a second, longer-lasting hiatus began.[11]

In the late 1990s and early 21st century, AI began to be used for logistics, data mining, medical diagnosis and other areas.[24] The success was due to increasing computational power (see Moore's law), greater emphasis on solving specific problems, new ties between AI and other fields (such as statistics, economics and mathematics), and a commitment by researchers to mathematical methods and scientific standards.[41] Deep Blue became the first computer chess-playing system to beat a reigning world chess champion, Garry Kasparov, on 11 May 1997.

In 2011, a Jeopardy! quiz show exhibition match, IBM's question answering system, Watson, defeated the two greatest Jeopardy! champions, Brad Rutter and Ken Jennings, by a significant margin. Faster computers, algorithmic improvements, and access to large amounts of data enabled advances in machine learning and perception; data-hungry deep learning methods started to dominate accuracy benchmarks around 2012.[44] The Kinect, which provides a 3D bodymotion interface for the Xbox 360 and the Xbox One, uses algorithms that emerged from lengthy AI research[45] as do intelligent personal assistants in smartphones.[46] In March 2016, AlphaGo won 4 out of 5 games of Go in a match with Go champion Lee Sedol, becoming the first computer Go-playing system to beat a professional Go player without handicaps.[7][47] In the 2017 Future of Go Summit, AlphaGo won a three-game match with Ke Jie,[48] who at the time continuously held the world No. 1 ranking for two years.[49][50] This marked the completion of a significant milestone in the development of Artificial Intelligence as Go is a relatively complex game, more so than Chess.

According to Bloomberg's Jack Clark, 2015 was a landmark year for artificial intelligence, with the number of software projects that use AI Google increased from a "sporadic usage" in 2012 to more than 2,700 projects. Clark also presents factual data indicating the improvements of AI since 2012 supported by lower error rates in image processing tasks.[51] He attributes this to an increase in affordable neural networks, due to a rise in cloud computing infrastructure and to an increase in research tools and datasets.[12] Other cited examples include Microsoft's development of a Skype system that can automatically translate from one language to another and Facebook's system that can describe images to blind people.[51] In a 2017 survey, one in five companies reported they had "incorporated AI in some offerings or processes".[52][53] Around 2016, China greatly accelerated its government funding; given its large supply of data and its rapidly increasing research output, some observers believe it may be on track to becoming an "AI superpower".[54][55] However, it has been acknowledged that reports regarding artificial intelligence have tended to be exaggerated.[56][57][58]

Computer science defines AI research as the study of "intelligent agents": any device that perceives its environment and takes actions that maximize its chance of successfully achieving its goals.[1] A more elaborate definition characterizes AI as a systems ability to correctly interpret external data, to learn from such data, and to use those learnings to achieve specific goals and tasks through flexible adaptation.[59]

A typical AI analyzes its environment and takes actions that maximize its chance of success.[1] An AI's intended utility function (or goal) can be simple ("1 if the AI wins a game of Go, 0 otherwise") or complex ("Do mathematically similar actions to the ones succeeded in the past"). Goals can be explicitly defined or induced. If the AI is programmed for "reinforcement learning", goals can be implicitly induced by rewarding some types of behavior or punishing others.[a] Alternatively, an evolutionary system can induce goals by using a "fitness function" to mutate and preferentially replicate high-scoring AI systems, similar to how animals evolved to innately desire certain goals such as finding food. Some AI systems, such as nearest-neighbor, instead of reason by analogy, these systems are not generally given goals, except to the degree that goals are implicit in their training data. Such systems can still be benchmarked if the non-goal system is framed as a system whose "goal" is to successfully accomplish its narrow classification task.[62]

AI often revolves around the use of algorithms. An algorithm is a set of unambiguous instructions that a mechanical computer can execute.[b] A complex algorithm is often built on top of other, simpler, algorithms. A simple example of an algorithm is the following (optimal for first player) recipe for play at tic-tac-toe:

Many AI algorithms are capable of learning from data; they can enhance themselves by learning new heuristics (strategies, or "rules of thumb", that have worked well in the past), or can themselves write other algorithms. Some of the "learners" described below, including Bayesian networks, decision trees, and nearest-neighbor, could theoretically, (given infinite data, time, and memory) learn to approximate any function, including which combination of mathematical functions would best describe the world[citation needed]. These learners could therefore, derive all possible knowledge, by considering every possible hypothesis and matching them against the data. In practice, it is almost never possible to consider every possibility, because of the phenomenon of "combinatorial explosion", where the amount of time needed to solve a problem grows exponentially. Much of AI research involves figuring out how to identify and avoid considering broad range of possibilities that are unlikely to be beneficial.[64] For example, when viewing a map and looking for the shortest driving route from Denver to New York in the East, one can in most cases skip looking at any path through San Francisco or other areas far to the West; thus, an AI wielding a pathfinding algorithm like A* can avoid the combinatorial explosion that would ensue if every possible route had to be ponderously considered in turn.[66]

The earliest (and easiest to understand) approach to AI was symbolism (such as formal logic): "If an otherwise healthy adult has a fever, then they may have influenza". A second, more general, approach is Bayesian inference: "If the current patient has a fever, adjust the probability they have influenza in such-and-such way". The third major approach, extremely popular in routine business AI applications, are analogizers such as SVM and nearest-neighbor: "After examining the records of known past patients whose temperature, symptoms, age, and other factors mostly match the current patient, X% of those patients turned out to have influenza". A fourth approach is harder to intuitively understand, but is inspired by how the brain's machinery works: the artificial neural network approach uses artificial "neurons" that can learn by comparing itself to the desired output and altering the strengths of the connections between its internal neurons to "reinforce" connections that seemed to be useful. These four main approaches can overlap with each other and with evolutionary systems; for example, neural nets can learn to make inferences, to generalize, and to make analogies. Some systems implicitly or explicitly use multiple of these approaches, alongside many other AI and non-AI algorithms; the best approach is often different depending on the problem.[68]

Learning algorithms work on the basis that strategies, algorithms, and inferences that worked well in the past are likely to continue working well in the future. These inferences can be obvious, such as "since the sun rose every morning for the last 10,000 days, it will probably rise tomorrow morning as well". They can be nuanced, such as "X% of families have geographically separate species with color variants, so there is a Y% chance that undiscovered black swans exist". Learners also work on the basis of "Occam's razor": The simplest theory that explains the data is the likeliest. Therefore, according to Occam's razor principle, a learner must be designed such that it prefers simpler theories to complex theories, except in cases where the complex theory is proven substantially better.

Settling on a bad, overly complex theory gerrymandered to fit all the past training data is known as overfitting. Many systems attempt to reduce overfitting by rewarding a theory in accordance with how well it fits the data, but penalizing the theory in accordance with how complex the theory is. Besides classic overfitting, learners can also disappoint by "learning the wrong lesson". A toy example is that an image classifier trained only on pictures of brown horses and black cats might conclude that all brown patches are likely to be horses. A real-world example is that, unlike humans, current image classifiers don't determine the spatial relationship between components of the picture; instead, they learn abstract patterns of pixels that humans are oblivious to, but that linearly correlate with images of certain types of real objects. Faintly superimposing such a pattern on a legitimate image results in an "adversarial" image that the system misclassifies.[c][71][72][73]

Compared with humans, existing AI lacks several features of human "commonsense reasoning"; most notably, humans have powerful mechanisms for reasoning about "nave physics" such as space, time, and physical interactions. This enables even young children to easily make inferences like "If I roll this pen off a table, it will fall on the floor". Humans also have a powerful mechanism of "folk psychology" that helps them to interpret natural-language sentences such as "The city councilmen refused the demonstrators a permit because they advocated violence". (A generic AI has difficulty discerning whether the ones alleged to be advocating violence are the councilmen or the demonstrators.)[76][77][78] This lack of "common knowledge" means that AI often makes different mistakes than humans make, in ways that can seem incomprehensible. For example, existing self-driving cars cannot reason about the location nor the intentions of pedestrians in the exact way that humans do, and instead must use non-human modes of reasoning to avoid accidents.[79][80][81]

The cognitive capabilities of current architectures are very limited, using only a simplified version of what intelligence is really capable of. For instance, the human mind has come up with ways to reason beyond measure and logical explanations to different occurrences in life. What would have been otherwise straightforward, an equivalently difficult problem may be challenging to solve computationally as opposed to using the human mind. This gives rise to two classes of models: structuralist and functionalist. The structural models aim to loosely mimic the basic intelligence operations of the mind such as reasoning and logic. The functional model refers to the correlating data to its computed counterpart.[82]

The overall research goal of artificial intelligence is to create technology that allows computers and machines to function in an intelligent manner. The general problem of simulating (or creating) intelligence has been broken down into sub-problems. These consist of particular traits or capabilities that researchers expect an intelligent system to display. The traits described below have received the most attention.[14]

Early researchers developed algorithms that imitated step-by-step reasoning that humans use when they solve puzzles or make logical deductions.[83] By the late 1980s and 1990s, AI research had developed methods for dealing with uncertain or incomplete information, employing concepts from probability and economics.[84]

These algorithms proved to be insufficient for solving large reasoning problems, because they experienced a "combinatorial explosion": they became exponentially slower as the problems grew larger.[64] In fact, even humans rarely use the step-by-step deduction that early AI research was able to model. They solve most of their problems using fast, intuitive judgments.[85]

Knowledge representation[86] and knowledge engineering[87] are central to classical AI research. Some "expert systems" attempt to gather together explicit knowledge possessed by experts in some narrow domain. In addition, some projects attempt to gather the "commonsense knowledge" known to the average person into a database containing extensive knowledge about the world. Among the things a comprehensive commonsense knowledge base would contain are: objects, properties, categories and relations between objects;[88] situations, events, states and time;[89] causes and effects;[90] knowledge about knowledge (what we know about what other people know);[91] and many other, less well researched domains. A representation of "what exists" is an ontology: the set of objects, relations, concepts, and properties formally described so that software agents can interpret them. The semantics of these are captured as description logic concepts, roles, and individuals, and typically implemented as classes, properties, and individuals in the Web Ontology Language.[92] The most general ontologies are called upper ontologies, which attempt to provide a foundation for all other knowledge[93] by acting as mediators between domain ontologies that cover specific knowledge about a particular knowledge domain (field of interest or area of concern). Such formal knowledge representations can be used in content-based indexing and retrieval,[94] scene interpretation,[95] clinical decision support,[96] knowledge discovery (mining "interesting" and actionable inferences from large databases),[97] and other areas.[98]

Among the most difficult problems in knowledge representation are:

Intelligent agents must be able to set goals and achieve them.[105] They need a way to visualize the futurea representation of the state of the world and be able to make predictions about how their actions will change itand be able to make choices that maximize the utility (or "value") of available choices.[106]

In classical planning problems, the agent can assume that it is the only system acting in the world, allowing the agent to be certain of the consequences of its actions.[107] However, if the agent is not the only actor, then it requires that the agent can reason under uncertainty. This calls for an agent that can not only assess its environment and make predictions, but also evaluate its predictions and adapt based on its assessment.[108]

Multi-agent planning uses the cooperation and competition of many agents to achieve a given goal. Emergent behavior such as this is used by evolutionary algorithms and swarm intelligence.[109]

Machine learning (ML), a fundamental concept of AI research since the field's inception,[110] is the study of computer algorithms that improve automatically through experience.[111][112]

Unsupervised learning is the ability to find patterns in a stream of input, without requiring a human to label the inputs first. Supervised learning includes both classification and numerical regression, which requires a human to label the input data first. Classification is used to determine what category something belongs in, and occurs after a program sees a number of examples of things from several categories. Regression is the attempt to produce a function that describes the relationship between inputs and outputs and predicts how the outputs should change as the inputs change.[112] Both classifiers and regression learners can be viewed as "function approximators" trying to learn an unknown (possibly implicit) function; for example, a spam classifier can be viewed as learning a function that maps from the text of an email to one of two categories, "spam" or "not spam". Computational learning theory can assess learners by computational complexity, by sample complexity (how much data is required), or by other notions of optimization.[113] In reinforcement learning[114] the agent is rewarded for good responses and punished for bad ones. The agent uses this sequence of rewards and punishments to form a strategy for operating in its problem space.

Natural language processing[115] (NLP) gives machines the ability to read and understand human language. A sufficiently powerful natural language processing system would enable natural-language user interfaces and the acquisition of knowledge directly from human-written sources, such as newswire texts. Some straightforward applications of natural language processing include information retrieval, text mining, question answering[116] and machine translation.[117] Many current approaches use word co-occurrence frequencies to construct syntactic representations of text. "Keyword spotting" strategies for search are popular and scalable but dumb; a search query for "dog" might only match documents with the literal word "dog" and miss a document with the word "poodle". "Lexical affinity" strategies use the occurrence of words such as "accident" to assess the sentiment of a document. Modern statistical NLP approaches can combine all these strategies as well as others, and often achieve acceptable accuracy at the page or paragraph level, but continue to lack the semantic understanding required to classify isolated sentences well. Besides the usual difficulties with encoding semantic commonsense knowledge, existing semantic NLP sometimes scales too poorly to be viable in business applications. Beyond semantic NLP, the ultimate goal of "narrative" NLP is to embody a full understanding of commonsense reasoning.[118]

Machine perception[119] is the ability to use input from sensors (such as cameras (visible spectrum or infrared), microphones, wireless signals, and active lidar, sonar, radar, and tactile sensors) to deduce aspects of the world. Applications include speech recognition,[120] facial recognition, and object recognition.[121] Computer vision is the ability to analyze visual input. Such input is usually ambiguous; a giant, fifty-meter-tall pedestrian far away may produce exactly the same pixels as a nearby normal-sized pedestrian, requiring the AI to judge the relative likelihood and reasonableness of different interpretations, for example by using its "object model" to assess that fifty-meter pedestrians do not exist.[122]

AI is heavily used in robotics.[123] Advanced robotic arms and other industrial robots, widely used in modern factories, can learn from experience how to move efficiently despite the presence of friction and gear slippage.[124] A modern mobile robot, when given a small, static, and visible environment, can easily determine its location and map its environment; however, dynamic environments, such as (in endoscopy) the interior of a patient's breathing body, pose a greater challenge. Motion planning is the process of breaking down a movement task into "primitives" such as individual joint movements. Such movement often involves compliant motion, a process where movement requires maintaining physical contact with an object.[126][127] Moravec's paradox generalizes that low-level sensorimotor skills that humans take for granted are, counterintuitively, difficult to program into a robot; the paradox is named after Hans Moravec, who stated in 1988 that "it is comparatively easy to make computers exhibit adult level performance on intelligence tests or playing checkers, and difficult or impossible to give them the skills of a one-year-old when it comes to perception and mobility".[128][129] This is attributed to the fact that, unlike checkers, physical dexterity has been a direct target of natural selection for millions of years.[130]

Moravec's paradox can be extended to many forms of social intelligence.[132][133] Distributed multi-agent coordination of autonomous vehicles remains a difficult problem.[134] Affective computing is an interdisciplinary umbrella that comprises systems which recognize, interpret, process, or simulate human affects. Moderate successes related to affective computing include textual sentiment analysis and, more recently, multimodal affect analysis (see multimodal sentiment analysis), wherein AI classifies the affects displayed by a videotaped subject.[138]

In the long run, social skills and an understanding of human emotion and game theory would be valuable to a social agent. Being able to predict the actions of others by understanding their motives and emotional states would allow an agent to make better decisions. Some computer systems mimic human emotion and expressions to appear more sensitive to the emotional dynamics of human interaction, or to otherwise facilitate humancomputer interaction.[139] Similarly, some virtual assistants are programmed to speak conversationally or even to banter humorously; this tends to give nave users an unrealistic conception of how intelligent existing computer agents actually are.[140]

Historically, projects such as the Cyc knowledge base (1984) and the massive Japanese Fifth Generation Computer Systems initiative (19821992) attempted to cover the breadth of human cognition. These early projects failed to escape the limitations of non-quantitative symbolic logic models and, in retrospect, greatly underestimated the difficulty of cross-domain AI. Nowadays, the vast majority of current AI researchers work instead on tractable "narrow AI" applications (such as medical diagnosis or automobile navigation).[141] Many researchers predict that such "narrow AI" work in different individual domains will eventually be incorporated into a machine with artificial general intelligence (AGI), combining most of the narrow skills mentioned in this article and at some point even exceeding human ability in most or all these areas.[18][142] Many advances have general, cross-domain significance. One high-profile example is that DeepMind in the 2010s developed a "generalized artificial intelligence" that could learn many diverse Atari games on its own, and later developed a variant of the system which succeeds at sequential learning.[143][144][145] Besides transfer learning,[146] hypothetical AGI breakthroughs could include the development of reflective architectures that can engage in decision-theoretic metareasoning, and figuring out how to "slurp up" a comprehensive knowledge base from the entire unstructured Web. Some argue that some kind of (currently-undiscovered) conceptually straightforward, but mathematically difficult, "Master Algorithm" could lead to AGI. Finally, a few "emergent" approaches look to simulating human intelligence extremely closely, and believe that anthropomorphic features like an artificial brain or simulated child development may someday reach a critical point where general intelligence emerges.[148][149]

Many of the problems in this article may also require general intelligence, if machines are to solve the problems as well as people do. For example, even specific straightforward tasks, like machine translation, require that a machine read and write in both languages (NLP), follow the author's argument (reason), know what is being talked about (knowledge), and faithfully reproduce the author's original intent (social intelligence). A problem like machine translation is considered "AI-complete", because all of these problems need to be solved simultaneously in order to reach human-level machine performance.

There is no established unifying theory or paradigm that guides AI research. Researchers disagree about many issues.[150] A few of the most long standing questions that have remained unanswered are these: should artificial intelligence simulate natural intelligence by studying psychology or neurobiology? Or is human biology as irrelevant to AI research as bird biology is to aeronautical engineering?[15]Can intelligent behavior be described using simple, elegant principles (such as logic or optimization)? Or does it necessarily require solving a large number of completely unrelated problems?[16]

In the 1940s and 1950s, a number of researchers explored the connection between neurobiology, information theory, and cybernetics. Some of them built machines that used electronic networks to exhibit rudimentary intelligence, such as W. Grey Walter's turtles and the Johns Hopkins Beast. Many of these researchers gathered for meetings of the Teleological Society at Princeton University and the Ratio Club in England.[151] By 1960, this approach was largely abandoned, although elements of it would be revived in the 1980s.

When access to digital computers became possible in the mid 1950s, AI research began to explore the possibility that human intelligence could be reduced to symbol manipulation. The research was centered in three institutions: Carnegie Mellon University, Stanford and MIT, and as described below, each one developed its own style of research. John Haugeland named these symbolic approaches to AI "good old fashioned AI" or "GOFAI".[152] During the 1960s, symbolic approaches had achieved great success at simulating high-level "thinking" in small demonstration programs. Approaches based on cybernetics or artificial neural networks were abandoned or pushed into the background.[153]Researchers in the 1960s and the 1970s were convinced that symbolic approaches would eventually succeed in creating a machine with artificial general intelligence and considered this the goal of their field.

Economist Herbert Simon and Allen Newell studied human problem-solving skills and attempted to formalize them, and their work laid the foundations of the field of artificial intelligence, as well as cognitive science, operations research and management science. Their research team used the results of psychological experiments to develop programs that simulated the techniques that people used to solve problems. This tradition, centered at Carnegie Mellon University would eventually culminate in the development of the Soar architecture in the middle 1980s.[154][155]

Unlike Simon and Newell, John McCarthy felt that machines did not need to simulate human thought, but should instead try to find the essence of abstract reasoning and problem-solving, regardless whether people used the same algorithms.[15] His laboratory at Stanford (SAIL) focused on using formal logic to solve a wide variety of problems, including knowledge representation, planning and learning.[156] Logic was also the focus of the work at the University of Edinburgh and elsewhere in Europe which led to the development of the programming language Prolog and the science of logic programming.[157]

Researchers at MIT (such as Marvin Minsky and Seymour Papert)[158] found that solving difficult problems in vision and natural language processing required ad-hoc solutionsthey argued that there was no simple and general principle (like logic) that would capture all the aspects of intelligent behavior. Roger Schank described their "anti-logic" approaches as "scruffy" (as opposed to the "neat" paradigms at CMU and Stanford).[16] Commonsense knowledge bases (such as Doug Lenat's Cyc) are an example of "scruffy" AI, since they must be built by hand, one complicated concept at a time.[159]

When computers with large memories became available around 1970, researchers from all three traditions began to build knowledge into AI applications.[160] This "knowledge revolution" led to the development and deployment of expert systems (introduced by Edward Feigenbaum), the first truly successful form of AI software.[40] A key component of the system architecture for all expert systems is the knowledge base, which stores facts and rules that illustrate AI.[161] The knowledge revolution was also driven by the realization that enormous amounts of knowledge would be required by many simple AI applications.

By the 1980s, progress in symbolic AI seemed to stall and many believed that symbolic systems would never be able to imitate all the processes of human cognition, especially perception, robotics, learning and pattern recognition. A number of researchers began to look into "sub-symbolic" approaches to specific AI problems.[17] Sub-symbolic methods manage to approach intelligence without specific representations of knowledge.

This includes embodied, situated, behavior-based, and nouvelle AI. Researchers from the related field of robotics, such as Rodney Brooks, rejected symbolic AI and focused on the basic engineering problems that would allow robots to move and survive.[162] Their work revived the non-symbolic point of view of the early cybernetics researchers of the 1950s and reintroduced the use of control theory in AI. This coincided with the development of the embodied mind thesis in the related field of cognitive science: the idea that aspects of the body (such as movement, perception and visualization) are required for higher intelligence.

Within developmental robotics, developmental learning approaches are elaborated upon to allow robots to accumulate repertoires of novel skills through autonomous self-exploration, social interaction with human teachers, and the use of guidance mechanisms (active learning, maturation, motor synergies, etc.).[163][164]

Interest in neural networks and "connectionism" was revived by David Rumelhart and others in the middle of the 1980s.[167] Artificial neural networks are an example of soft computingthey are solutions to problems which cannot be solved with complete logical certainty, and where an approximate solution is often sufficient. Other soft computing approaches to AI include fuzzy systems, Grey system theory, evolutionary computation and many statistical tools. The application of soft computing to AI is studied collectively by the emerging discipline of computational intelligence.[168]

Much of traditional GOFAI got bogged down on ad hoc patches to symbolic computation that worked on their own toy models but failed to generalize to real-world results. However, around the 1990s, AI researchers adopted sophisticated mathematical tools, such as hidden Markov models (HMM), information theory, and normative Bayesian decision theory to compare or to unify competing architectures. The shared mathematical language permitted a high level of collaboration with more established fields (like mathematics, economics or operations research).[d] Compared with GOFAI, new "statistical learning" techniques such as HMM and neural networks were gaining higher levels of accuracy in many practical domains such as data mining, without necessarily acquiring a semantic understanding of the datasets. The increased successes with real-world data led to increasing emphasis on comparing different approaches against shared test data to see which approach performed best in a broader context than that provided by idiosyncratic toy models; AI research was becoming more scientific. Nowadays results of experiments are often rigorously measurable, and are sometimes (with difficulty) reproducible.[41][169] Different statistical learning techniques have different limitations; for example, basic HMM cannot model the infinite possible combinations of natural language. Critics note that the shift from GOFAI to statistical learning is often also a shift away from explainable AI. In AGI research, some scholars caution against over-reliance on statistical learning, and argue that continuing research into GOFAI will still be necessary to attain general intelligence.

AI has developed many tools to solve the most difficult problems in computer science. A few of the most general of these methods are discussed below.

Many problems in AI can be solved in theory by intelligently searching through many possible solutions:[179] Reasoning can be reduced to performing a search. For example, logical proof can be viewed as searching for a path that leads from premises to conclusions, where each step is the application of an inference rule.[180] Planning algorithms search through trees of goals and subgoals, attempting to find a path to a target goal, a process called means-ends analysis.[181] Robotics algorithms for moving limbs and grasping objects use local searches in configuration space.[124] Many learning algorithms use search algorithms based on optimization.

Simple exhaustive searches[182] are rarely sufficient for most real-world problems: the search space (the number of places to search) quickly grows to astronomical numbers. The result is a search that is too slow or never completes. The solution, for many problems, is to use "heuristics" or "rules of thumb" that prioritize choices in favor of those that are more likely to reach a goal and to do so in a shorter number of steps. In some search methodologies heuristics can also serve to entirely eliminate some choices that are unlikely to lead to a goal (called "pruning the search tree"). Heuristics supply the program with a "best guess" for the path on which the solution lies.[183] Heuristics limit the search for solutions into a smaller sample size.

A very different kind of search came to prominence in the 1990s, based on the mathematical theory of optimization. For many problems, it is possible to begin the search with some form of a guess and then refine the guess incrementally until no more refinements can be made. These algorithms can be visualized as blind hill climbing: we begin the search at a random point on the landscape, and then, by jumps or steps, we keep moving our guess uphill, until we reach the top. Other optimization algorithms are simulated annealing, beam search and random optimization.[184]

Evolutionary computation uses a form of optimization search. For example, they may begin with a population of organisms (the guesses) and then allow them to mutate and recombine, selecting only the fittest to survive each generation (refining the guesses). Classic evolutionary algorithms include genetic algorithms, gene expression programming, and genetic programming.[185] Alternatively, distributed search processes can coordinate via swarm intelligence algorithms. Two popular swarm algorithms used in search are particle swarm optimization (inspired by bird flocking) and ant colony optimization (inspired by ant trails).[186][187]

Logic[188] is used for knowledge representation and problem solving, but it can be applied to other problems as well. For example, the satplan algorithm uses logic for planning[189] and inductive logic programming is a method for learning.[190]

Several different forms of logic are used in AI research. Propositional logic[191] involves truth functions such as "or" and "not". First-order logic[192] adds quantifiers and predicates, and can express facts about objects, their properties, and their relations with each other. Fuzzy set theory assigns a "degree of truth" (between 0 and 1) to vague statements such as "Alice is old" (or rich, or tall, or hungry) that are too linguistically imprecise to be completely true or false. Fuzzy logic is successfully used in control systems to allow experts to contribute vague rules such as "if you are close to the destination station and moving fast, increase the train's brake pressure"; these vague rules can then be numerically refined within the system. Fuzzy logic fails to scale well in knowledge bases; many AI researchers question the validity of chaining fuzzy-logic inferences.[e][194][195]

Default logics, non-monotonic logics and circumscription[100] are forms of logic designed to help with default reasoning and the qualification problem. Several extensions of logic have been designed to handle specific domains of knowledge, such as: description logics;[88] situation calculus, event calculus and fluent calculus (for representing events and time);[89] causal calculus;[90] belief calculus (belief revision);[196] and modal logics.[91] Logics to model contradictory or inconsistent statements arising in multi-agent systems have also been designed, such as paraconsistent logics.

Many problems in AI (in reasoning, planning, learning, perception, and robotics) require the agent to operate with incomplete or uncertain information. AI researchers have devised a number of powerful tools to solve these problems using methods from probability theory and economics.[197]

Bayesian networks[198] are a very general tool that can be used for various problems: reasoning (using the Bayesian inference algorithm),[199] learning (using the expectation-maximization algorithm),[f][201] planning (using decision networks)[202] and perception (using dynamic Bayesian networks).[203] Probabilistic algorithms can also be used for filtering, prediction, smoothing and finding explanations for streams of data, helping perception systems to analyze processes that occur over time (e.g., hidden Markov models or Kalman filters).[203] Compared with symbolic logic, formal Bayesian inference is computationally expensive. For inference to be tractable, most observations must be conditionally independent of one another. Complicated graphs with diamonds or other "loops" (undirected cycles) can require a sophisticated method such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, which spreads an ensemble of random walkers throughout the Bayesian network and attempts to converge to an assessment of the conditional probabilities. Bayesian networks are used on Xbox Live to rate and match players; wins and losses are "evidence" of how good a player is[citation needed]. AdSense uses a Bayesian network with over 300 million edges to learn which ads to serve.

A key concept from the science of economics is "utility": a measure of how valuable something is to an intelligent agent. Precise mathematical tools have been developed that analyze how an agent can make choices and plan, using decision theory, decision analysis,[205] and information value theory.[106] These tools include models such as Markov decision processes,[206] dynamic decision networks,[203] game theory and mechanism design.[207]

The simplest AI applications can be divided into two types: classifiers ("if shiny then diamond") and controllers ("if shiny then pick up"). Controllers do, however, also classify conditions before inferring actions, and therefore classification forms a central part of many AI systems. Classifiers are functions that use pattern matching to determine a closest match. They can be tuned according to examples, making them very attractive for use in AI. These examples are known as observations or patterns. In supervised learning, each pattern belongs to a certain predefined class. A class can be seen as a decision that has to be made. All the observations combined with their class labels are known as a data set. When a new observation is received, that observation is classified based on previous experience.[208]

A classifier can be trained in various ways; there are many statistical and machine learning approaches. The decision tree[209] is perhaps the most widely used machine learning algorithm. Other widely used classifiers are the neural network,[211]k-nearest neighbor algorithm,[g][213]kernel methods such as the support vector machine (SVM),[h][215]Gaussian mixture model,[216] and the extremely popular naive Bayes classifier.[i][218] Classifier performance depends greatly on the characteristics of the data to be classified, such as the dataset size, distribution of samples across classes, the dimensionality, and the level of noise. Model-based classifiers perform well if the assumed model is an extremely good fit for the actual data. Otherwise, if no matching model is available, and if accuracy (rather than speed or scalability) is the sole concern, conventional wisdom is that discriminative classifiers (especially SVM) tend to be more accurate than model-based classifiers such as "naive Bayes" on most practical data sets.[219]

Neural networks were inspired by the architecture of neurons in the human brain. A simple "neuron" N accepts input from other neurons, each of which, when activated (or "fired"), cast a weighted "vote" for or against whether neuron N should itself activate. Learning requires an algorithm to adjust these weights based on the training data; one simple algorithm (dubbed "fire together, wire together") is to increase the weight between two connected neurons when the activation of one triggers the successful activation of another. The neural network forms "concepts" that are distributed among a subnetwork of shared[j] neurons that tend to fire together; a concept meaning "leg" might be coupled with a subnetwork meaning "foot" that includes the sound for "foot". Neurons have a continuous spectrum of activation; in addition, neurons can process inputs in a nonlinear way rather than weighing straightforward votes. Modern neural networks can learn both continuous functions and, surprisingly, digital logical operations. Neural networks' early successes included predicting the stock market and (in 1995) a mostly self-driving car.[k] In the 2010s, advances in neural networks using deep learning thrust AI into widespread public consciousness and contributed to an enormous upshift in corporate AI spending; for example, AI-related M&A in 2017 was over 25 times as large as in 2015.[222][223]

The study of non-learning artificial neural networks[211] began in the decade before the field of AI research was founded, in the work of Walter Pitts and Warren McCullouch. Frank Rosenblatt invented the perceptron, a learning network with a single layer, similar to the old concept of linear regression. Early pioneers also include Alexey Grigorevich Ivakhnenko, Teuvo Kohonen, Stephen Grossberg, Kunihiko Fukushima, Christoph von der Malsburg, David Willshaw, Shun-Ichi Amari, Bernard Widrow, John Hopfield, Eduardo R. Caianiello, and others[citation needed].

The main categories of networks are acyclic or feedforward neural networks (where the signal passes in only one direction) and recurrent neural networks (which allow feedback and short-term memories of previous input events). Among the most popular feedforward networks are perceptrons, multi-layer perceptrons and radial basis networks.[224] Neural networks can be applied to the problem of intelligent control (for robotics) or learning, using such techniques as Hebbian learning ("fire together, wire together"), GMDH or competitive learning.[225]

Today, neural networks are often trained by the backpropagation algorithm, which had been around since 1970 as the reverse mode of automatic differentiation published by Seppo Linnainmaa,[226][227] and was introduced to neural networks by Paul Werbos.[228][229][230]

Hierarchical temporal memory is an approach that models some of the structural and algorithmic properties of the neocortex.[231]

To summarize, most neural networks use some form of gradient descent on a hand-created neural topology. However, some research groups, such as Uber, argue that simple neuroevolution to mutate new neural network topologies and weights may be competitive with sophisticated gradient descent approaches[citation needed]. One advantage of neuroevolution is that it may be less prone to get caught in "dead ends".[232]

Deep learning is any artificial neural network that can learn a long chain of causal links[dubious discuss]. For example, a feedforward network with six hidden layers can learn a seven-link causal chain (six hidden layers + output layer) and has a "credit assignment path" (CAP) depth of seven[citation needed]. Many deep learning systems need to be able to learn chains ten or more causal links in length.[233] Deep learning has transformed many important subfields of artificial intelligence[why?], including computer vision, speech recognition, natural language processing and others.[234][235][233]

According to one overview,[236] the expression "Deep Learning" was introduced to the machine learning community by Rina Dechter in 1986[237] and gained traction afterIgor Aizenberg and colleagues introduced it to artificial neural networks in 2000.[238] The first functional Deep Learning networks were published by Alexey Grigorevich Ivakhnenko and V. G. Lapa in 1965.[239][pageneeded] These networks are trained one layer at a time. Ivakhnenko's 1971 paper[240] describes the learning of a deep feedforward multilayer perceptron with eight layers, already much deeper than many later networks. In 2006, a publication by Geoffrey Hinton and Ruslan Salakhutdinov introduced another way of pre-training many-layered feedforward neural networks (FNNs) one layer at a time, treating each layer in turn as an unsupervised restricted Boltzmann machine, then using supervised backpropagation for fine-tuning. Similar to shallow artificial neural networks, deep neural networks can model complex non-linear relationships. Over the last few years, advances in both machine learning algorithms and computer hardware have led to more efficient methods for training deep neural networks that contain many layers of non-linear hidden units and a very large output layer.[242]

Deep learning often uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs), whose origins can be traced back to the Neocognitron introduced by Kunihiko Fukushima in 1980.[243] In 1989, Yann LeCun and colleagues applied backpropagation to such an architecture. In the early 2000s, in an industrial application CNNs already processed an estimated 10% to 20% of all the checks written in the US.[244]Since 2011, fast implementations of CNNs on GPUs havewon many visual pattern recognition competitions.[233]

CNNs with 12 convolutional layers were used in conjunction with reinforcement learning by Deepmind's "AlphaGo Lee", the program that beat a top Go champion in 2016.[245]

Early on, deep learning was also applied to sequence learning with recurrent neural networks (RNNs)[246] which are in theory Turing complete[247] and can run arbitrary programs to process arbitrary sequences of inputs. The depth of an RNN is unlimited and depends on the length of its input sequence; thus, an RNN is an example of deep learning.[233] RNNs can be trained by gradient descent[248][249][250] but suffer from the vanishing gradient problem.[234][251] In 1992, it was shown that unsupervised pre-training of a stack of recurrent neural networks can speed up subsequent supervised learning of deep sequential problems.[252]

Numerous researchers now use variants of a deep learning recurrent NN called the long short-term memory (LSTM) network published by Hochreiter & Schmidhuber in 1997.[253] LSTM is often trained by Connectionist Temporal Classification (CTC).[254] At Google, Microsoft and Baidu this approach has revolutionised speech recognition.[255][256][257] For example, in 2015, Google's speech recognition experienced a dramatic performance jump of 49% through CTC-trained LSTM, which is now available through Google Voice to billions of smartphone users.[258] Google also used LSTM to improve machine translation,[259] Language Modeling[260] and Multilingual Language Processing.[261] LSTM combined with CNNs also improved automatic image captioning[262] and a plethora of other applications.

AI, like electricity or the steam engine, is a general purpose technology. There is no consensus on how to characterize which tasks AI tends to excel at.[263] While projects such as AlphaZero have succeeded in generating their own knowledge from scratch, many other machine learning projects require large training datasets.[264][265] Researcher Andrew Ng has suggested, as a "highly imperfect rule of thumb", that "almost anything a typical human can do with less than one second of mental thought, we can probably now or in the near future automate using AI."[266] Moravec's paradox suggests that AI lags humans at many tasks that the human brain has specifically evolved to perform well.[130]

Games provide a well-publicized benchmark for assessing rates of progress. AlphaGo around 2016 brought the era of classical board-game benchmarks to a close. Games of imperfect knowledge provide new challenges to AI in the area of game theory.[267][268] E-sports such as StarCraft continue to provide additional public benchmarks.[269][270] There are many competitions and prizes, such as the Imagenet Challenge, to promote research in artificial intelligence. The most common areas of competition include general machine intelligence, conversational behavior, data-mining, robotic cars, and robot soccer as well as conventional games.[271]

The "imitation game" (an interpretation of the 1950 Turing test that assesses whether a computer can imitate a human) is nowadays considered too exploitable to be a meaningful benchmark.[272] A derivative of the Turing test is the Completely Automated Public Turing test to tell Computers and Humans Apart (CAPTCHA). As the name implies, this helps to determine that a user is an actual person and not a computer posing as a human. In contrast to the standard Turing test, CAPTCHA is administered by a machine and targeted to a human as opposed to being administered by a human and targeted to a machine. A computer asks a user to complete a simple test then generates a grade for that test. Computers are unable to solve the problem, so correct solutions are deemed to be the result of a person taking the test. A common type of CAPTCHA is the test that requires the typing of distorted letters, numbers or symbols that appear in an image undecipherable by a computer.

Proposed "universal intelligence" tests aim to compare how well machines, humans, and even non-human animals perform on problem sets that are generic as possible. At an extreme, the test suite can contain every possible problem, weighted by Kolmogorov complexity; unfortunately, these problem sets tend to be dominated by impoverished pattern-matching exercises where a tuned AI can easily exceed human performance levels.[274][275]

AI is relevant to any intellectual task. Modern artificial intelligence techniques are pervasive and are too numerous to list here. Frequently, when a technique reaches mainstream use, it is no longer considered artificial intelligence; this phenomenon is described as the AI effect.

High-profile examples of AI include autonomous vehicles (such as drones and self-driving cars), medical diagnosis, creating art (such as poetry), proving mathematical theorems, playing games (such as Chess or Go), search engines (such as Google search), online assistants (such as Siri), image recognition in photographs, spam filtering, predicting flight delays,[278] prediction of judicial decisions,[279] targeting online advertisements, [280][281] and energy storage[282]

With social media sites overtaking TV as a source for news for young people and news organizations increasingly reliant on social media platforms for generating distribution,[283] major publishers now use artificial intelligence (AI) technology to post stories more effectively and generate higher volumes of traffic.[284]

AI can also produce Deepfakes, a content-altering technology. ZDNet reports, "It presents something that did not actually occur, Though 88% of Americans believe Deepfakes can cause more harm than good, only 47% of them believe they can be targeted. The boom of election year also opens public discourse to threats of videos of falsified politician media. [285]

AI in healthcare is often used for classification, whether to automate initial evaluation of a CT scan or EKG or to identify high risk patients for population health. The breadth of applications is rapidly increasing.As an example, AI is being applied to the high cost problem of dosage issueswhere findings suggested that AI could save $16 billion. In 2016, a ground breaking study in California found that a mathematical formula developed with the help of AI correctly determined the accurate dose of immunosuppressant drugs to give to organ patients.[286]

Artificial intelligence is assisting doctors. According to Bloomberg Technology, Microsoft has developed AI to help doctors find the right treatments for cancer.[287] There is a great amount of research and drugs developed relating to cancer. In detail, there are more than 800 medicines and vaccines to treat cancer. This negatively affects the doctors, because there are too many options to choose from, making it more difficult to choose the right drugs for the patients. Microsoft is working on a project to develop a machine called "Hanover"[citation needed]. Its goal is to memorize all the papers necessary to cancer and help predict which combinations of drugs will be most effective for each patient. One project that is being worked on at the moment is fighting myeloid leukemia, a fatal cancer where the treatment has not improved in decades. Another study was reported to have found that artificial intelligence was as good as trained doctors in identifying skin cancers.[288] Another study is using artificial intelligence to try to monitor multiple high-risk patients, and this is done by asking each patient numerous questions based on data acquired from live doctor to patient interactions.[289] One study was done with transfer learning, the machine performed a diagnosis similarly to a well-trained ophthalmologist, and could generate a decision within 30 seconds on whether or not the patient should be referred for treatment, with more than 95% accuracy.[290]

According to CNN, a recent study by surgeons at the Children's National Medical Center in Washington successfully demonstrated surgery with an autonomous robot. The team supervised the robot while it performed soft-tissue surgery, stitching together a pig's bowel during open surgery, and doing so better than a human surgeon, the team claimed.[291] IBM has created its own artificial intelligence computer, the IBM Watson, which has beaten human intelligence (at some levels). Watson has struggled to achieve success and adoption in healthcare.[292]

Advancements in AI have contributed to the growth of the automotive industry through the creation and evolution of self-driving vehicles. As of 2016[update], there are over 30 companies utilizing AI into the creation of driverless cars. A few companies involved with AI include Tesla, Google, and Apple.[293]

Many components contribute to the functioning of self-driving cars. These vehicles incorporate systems such as braking, lane changing, collision prevention, navigation and mapping. Together, these systems, as well as high performance computers, are integrated into one complex vehicle.[294]

Recent developments in autonomous automobiles have made the innovation of self-driving trucks possible, though they are still in the testing phase. The UK government has passed legislation to begin testing of self-driving truck platoons in 2018.[295] Self-driving truck platoons are a fleet of self-driving trucks following the lead of one non-self-driving truck, so the truck platoons aren't entirely autonomous yet. Meanwhile, the Daimler, a German automobile corporation, is testing the Freightliner Inspiration which is a semi-autonomous truck that will only be used on the highway.[296]

One main factor that influences the ability for a driver-less automobile to function is mapping. In general, the vehicle would be pre-programmed with a map of the area being driven. This map would include data on the approximations of street light and curb heights in order for the vehicle to be aware of its surroundings. However, Google has been working on an algorithm with the purpose of eliminating the need for pre-programmed maps and instead, creating a device that would be able to adjust to a variety of new surroundings.[297] Some self-driving cars are not equipped with steering wheels or brake pedals, so there has also been research focused on creating an algorithm that is capable of maintaining a safe environment for the passengers in the vehicle through awareness of speed and driving conditions.[298]

Another factor that is influencing the ability for a driver-less automobile is the safety of the passenger. To make a driver-less automobile, engineers must program it to handle high-risk situations. These situations could include a head-on collision with pedestrians. The car's main goal should be to make a decision that would avoid hitting the pedestrians and saving the passengers in the car. But there is a possibility the car would need to make a decision that would put someone in danger. In other words, the car would need to decide to save the pedestrians or the passengers.[299] The programming of the car in these situations is crucial to a successful driver-less automobile.

Financial institutions have long used artificial neural network systems to detect charges or claims outside of the norm, flagging these for human investigation. The use of AI in banking can be traced back to 1987 when Security Pacific National Bank in US set-up a Fraud Prevention Task force to counter the unauthorized use of debit cards.[300] Programs like Kasisto and Moneystream are using AI in financial services.

Banks use artificial intelligence systems today to organize operations, maintain book-keeping, invest in stocks, and manage properties. AI can react to changes overnight or when business is not taking place.[301] In August 2001, robots beat humans in a simulated financial trading competition.[302] AI has also reduced fraud and financial crimes by monitoring behavioral patterns of users for any abnormal changes or anomalies.[303][304][305]

AI is also being used by corporations. Whereas AI CEO's are still 30 years away,[306][307] robotic process automation (RPA) is already being used today in corporate finance. RPA uses artificial intelligence to train and teach software robots to process transactions, monitor compliance and audit processes automatically.[308]

The use of AI machines in the market in applications such as online trading and decision making has changed major economic theories.[309] For example, AI based buying and selling platforms have changed the law of supply and demand in that it is now possible to easily estimate individualized demand and supply curves and thus individualized pricing. Furthermore, AI machines reduce information asymmetry in the market and thus making markets more efficient while reducing the volume of trades[citation needed]. Furthermore, AI in the markets limits the consequences of behavior in the markets again making markets more efficient[citation needed]. Other theories where AI has had impact include in rational choice, rational expectations, game theory, Lewis turning point, portfolio optimization and counterfactual thinking[citation needed].. In August 2019, the AICPA introduced AI training course for accounting professionals.[310]

Artificial intelligence paired with facial recognition systems may be used for mass surveillance. This is already the case in some parts of China.[311][312] An artificial intelligence has also competed in the Tama City mayoral elections in 2018.

In 2019, the tech city of Bengaluru in India is set to deploy AI managed traffic signal systems across the 387 traffic signals in the city. This system will involve use of cameras to ascertain traffic density and accordingly calculate the time needed to clear the traffic volume which will determine the signal duration for vehicular traffic across streets.[313]

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Artificial intelligence - Wikipedia

Artificial Intelligence – Journal – Elsevier

The journal of Artificial Intelligence (AIJ) welcomes papers on broad aspects of AI that constitute advances in the overall field including, but not limited to, cognition and AI, automated reasoning and inference, case-based reasoning, commonsense reasoning, computer vision, constraint processing, ethical AI, heuristic search, human interfaces, intelligent robotics, knowledge representation, machine learning, multi-agent systems, natural language processing, planning and action, and reasoning under uncertainty. The journal reports results achieved in addition to proposals for new ways of looking at AI problems, both of which must include demonstrations of value and effectiveness.

Papers describing applications of AI are also welcome, but the focus should be on how new and novel AI methods advance performance in application areas, rather than a presentation of yet another application of conventional AI methods. Papers on applications should describe a principled solution, emphasize its novelty, and present an indepth evaluation of the AI techniques being exploited.

Apart from regular papers, the journal also accepts Research Notes, Research Field Reviews, Position Papers, and Book Reviews (see details below). The journal will also consider summary papers that describe challenges and competitions from various areas of AI. Such papers should motivate and describe the competition design as well as report and interpret competition results, with an emphasis on insights that are of value beyond the competition (series) itself.

From time to time, there are special issues devoted to a particular topic. Such special issues must always have open calls-for-papers. Guidance on the submission of proposals for special issues, as well as other material for authors and reviewers can be found at http://aij.ijcai.org/special-issues.

Types of Papers

Regular Papers

AIJ welcomes basic and applied papers describing mature, complete, and novel research that articulate methods for, and provide insight into artificial intelligence and the production of artificial intelligent systems. The question of whether a paper is mature, complete and novel is ultimately determined by reviewers and editors on a case-bycase basis. Generally, a paper should include a convincing motivational discussion, articulate the relevance of the research to Artificial Intelligence, clarify what is new and different, anticipate the scientific impact of the work, include all relevant proofs and/or experimental data, and provide a thorough discussion of connections with the existing literature. A prerequisite for the novelty of a paper is that the results it describes have not been previously published by other authors and have not been previously published by the same authors in any archival journal. In particular, a previous conference publication by the same authors does not disqualify a submission on the grounds of novelty. However, it is rarely the case that conference papers satisfy the completeness criterion without further elaboration. Indeed, even prize-winning papers from major conferences often undergo major revision following referee comments, before being accepted to AIJ.

AIJ caters to a broad readership. Papers that are heavily mathematical in content are welcome but should include a less technical high-level motivation and introduction that is accessible to a wide audience and explanatory commentary throughout the paper. Papers that are only purely mathematical in nature, without demonstrated applicability to artificial intelligence problems may be returned. A discussion of the work's implications on the production of artificial intelligent systems is normally expected.

There is no restriction on the length of submitted manuscripts. However, authors should note that publication of lengthy papers, typically greater than forty pages, is often significantly delayed, as the length of the paper acts as a disincentive to the reviewer to undertake the review process. Unedited theses are acceptable only in exceptional circumstances. Editing a thesis into a journal article is the author's responsibility, not the reviewers'.

Research Notes

The Research Notes section of the Journal of Artificial Intelligence will provide a forum for short communications that cannot fit within the other paper categories. The maximum length should not exceed 4500 words (typically a paper with 5 to 14 pages). Some examples of suitable Research Notes include, but are not limited to the following: crisp and highly focused technical research aimed at other specialists; a detailed exposition of a relevant theorem or an experimental result; an erratum note that addresses and revises earlier results appearing in the journal; an extension or addendum to an earlier published paper that presents additional experimental or theoretical results.

Reviews

The AIJ invests significant effort in assessing and publishing scholarly papers that provide broad and principled reviews of important existing and emerging research areas, reviews of topical and timely books related to AI, and substantial, but perhaps controversial position papers (so-called "Turing Tape" papers) that articulate scientific or social issues of interest in the AI research community.

Research Field Reviews: AIJ expects broad coverage of an established or emerging research area, and the articulation of a comprehensive framework that demonstrates the role of existing results, and synthesizes a position on the potential value and possible new research directions. A list of papers in an area, coupled with a summary of their contributions is not sufficient. Overall, a field review article must provide a scholarly overview that facilitates deeper understanding of a research area. The selection of work covered in a field article should be based on clearly stated, rational criteria that are acceptable to the respective research community within AI; it must be free from personal or idiosyncratic bias.

Research Field Reviews are by invitation only, where authors can then submit a 2-page proposal of a Research Field Review for confirmation by the special editors. The 2-page proposal should include a convincing motivational discussion, articulate the relevance of the research to artificial intelligence, clarify what is new and different from other surveys available in the literature, anticipate the scientific impact of the proposed work, and provide evidence that authors are authoritative researchers in the area of the proposed Research Field Review. Upon confirmation of the 2-page proposal, the full Invited Research Field Reviews can then be submitted and then undergoes the same review process as regular papers.

Book Reviews: We seek reviewers for books received, and suggestions for books to be reviewed. In the case of the former, the review editors solicit reviews from researchers assessed to be expert in the field of the book. In the case of the latter, the review editors can either assess the relevance of a particular suggestion, or even arrange for the refereeing of a submitted draft review.

Position Papers: The last review category, named in honour of Alan Turing as a "Turing Tapes" section of AIJ, seeks clearly written and scholarly papers on potentially controversial topics, whose authors present professional and mature positions on all variety of methodological, scientific, and social aspects of AI. Turing Tape papers typically provide more personal perspectives on important issues, with the intent to catalyze scholarly discussion.

Turing Tape papers are by invitation only, where authors can then submit a 2-page proposal of a Turing Tape paper for confirmation by the special editors. The 2-page proposal should include a convincing motivational discussion, articulate the relevance to artificial intelligence, clarify the originality of the position, and provide evidence that authors are authoritative researchers in the area on which they are expressing the position. Upon confirmation of the 2-page proposal, the full Turing Tape paper can then be submitted and then undergoes the same review process as regular papers.

Competition Papers

Competitions between AI systems are now well established (e.g. in speech and language, planning, auctions, games, to name a few). The scientific contributions associated with the systems entered in these competitions are routinely submitted as research papers to conferences and journals. However, it has been more difficult to find suitable venues for papers summarizing the objectives, results, and major innovations of a competition. For this purpose, AIJ has established the category of competition summary papers.

Competition Paper submissions should describe the competition, its criteria, why it is interesting to the AI research community, the results (including how they compare to previous rounds, if appropriate), in addition to giving a summary of the main technical contributions to the field manifested in systems participating in the competition. Papers may be supplemented by online appendices giving details of participants, problem statements, test scores, and even competition-related software.

Although Competition Papers serve as an archival record of a competition, it is critical that they make clear why the competition's problems are relevant to continued progress in the area, what progress has been made since the previous competition, if applicable, and what were the most significant technical advances reflected in the competition results. The exposition should be accessible to a broad AI audience.

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Artificial Intelligence - Journal - Elsevier

Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare: the future is amazing …

The role of artificial intelligence in healthcare has been a huge talking point in recent months and theres no sign of the adoption of this technology slowing down, well, ever really.

AI in healthcare has huge and wide reaching potential with everything from mobile coaching solutions to drug discovery falling under the umbrella of what can be achieved with machine learning.

That being said, many healthcare executives are still too shy when it comes to experimenting with AI due to privacy concerns, data integrity concerns or the unfortunate presence of various organizational silos making data sharing next to impossible. Weve covered the main barriers to adopting AI in healthcare here.

However, the future of healthcare & the future of machine learning and artificial intelligence are deeply interconnected.

Following our comprehensive guides on Artificial Intelligence in Pharma and Blockchain in Healthcare, weve decided to take a closer look at how the healthcare industry is positively impacted by the rise in popularity of artificial intelligence.

But first, a definition:

Artificial intelligence in healthcare refers to the use of complex algorithms designed to perform certain tasks in an automated fashion. When researchers, doctors and scientists inject data into computers, the newly built algorithms can review, interpret and even suggest solutions to complex medical problems.

Applications of Artificial Intelligence in healthcare are endless. That much we know.

We also know that weve only scratched the surface of what AI can do for healthcare. Which is both amazing and frightening at the same time.

At the highest level, here are some of the current technological applications of AI in healthcare you should know about (some will be explored further in the article while some use cases have gotten their own standalone articles on HealthcareWeekly already).

Medical diagnostics: the use of Artificial Intelligence to diagnose patients with specific diseases. Check out our roundup report from industry experts here. Also, a report AI platform was announced in March 2019 which is expected to help identify and anticipate cancer development.

Drug discovery: There are dozens of health and pharma companies currently leveraging Artificial Intelligence to help with drug discovery and improve the lengthy timelines and processes tied to discovering and taking drugs all the way to market. If this is something youre interested in, check our report titled Pharma Industry in the Age of Artificial Intelligence: The Future is Bright.

Clinical Trials: Clinical Trials are, unfortunately, a real mess. Most clinical trials are managed offline with no integrated solutions that can track progress, data gathering and drug tria outcomes. Read about how Artificial Intelligence is reshaping clinical trials here. Also, you may also be interested in the Healthcare Weekly podcast episode with Robert Chu, CEO @ Embleema where we talk about how Embleema is using AI and blockchain to revolutionize clinical trials. If Blockchain in healthcare is your thing, you may also be interested in our Global Blockchain in Healthcare Report: the 2019 ultimate guide for every executive.

Pain management: This is still an emergent focus area in healthcare. As it turns out, by leveraging virtual reality combined with artificial intelligence, we can create simulated realities that can distract patients from the current source of their pain and even help with the opioid crisis. You can read more about how this works here. Another great example of where AI and VR meet is the Johnson and Johnson Reality Program which weve covered at length here. In short, J&J has created a simulated environment which used rules-based algorithms to train physicians in a simulated environment to get better at their job.

Improving patient outcomes: Patients outcomes can be improved through a wide variety of strategies and outcomes driven by artificial intelligence. To begin with, check our report on 10 ways Amazons Alexa is revolutionizing healthcare and our Healthcare Weekly Podcast with Helpsys CEO Sangeeta Agarwal. Helpsy has developed the first Artificial Intelligence nurse in the form of a chatbot which assists patients at every stage of the way in their battle with cancer.

These are just a few examples and theyre only meant to quickly give you a flavor of what artificial intelligence in healthcare is all about. Lets dig into more specific examples that every healthcare executive should be aware of in 2019.

Artificial intelligence in the medical field relies on the analysis and interpretation of huge amounts of data sets in order to help doctors make better decisions, manage patient data information effectively, create personalized medicine plans from complex data sets and discover new drugs.

Lets look at each of these amazing use-cases in more details.

AI in healthcare can prove useful within clinical decision support to help doctors make better decisions faster with pattern recognition of health complications that are registered far more accurately than by the human brain.

The time saved and the conditions diagnosed are vital in an industry where the time taken and decisions made can be life-altering for patients.

AI in healthcare is a great addition to the information management for both physician and patient. With patients getting to doctors faster, or not at all when telemedicine is employed, valuable time and money are saved, taking the strain off of healthcare professionals and increasing comfort of patients.

Doctors can also further their learning and increase their abilities within the job through AI-driven educational modules, further showing the information management capabilities of AI in healthcare.

Around $5bn was invested into AI companies in 2016 and its no surprise that healthcare is up there with one of the fastest growing sectors. The healthcare industry is expected to get more than $6.6bn in investments by 2021.

There are 4 main machine learning initiatives within the top 5 pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies ranging from mobile coaching solutions and telemedicine to drug discovery and acquisitions.

Mobile coaching solutions come in the form of advising patients and improving treatment outcomes using real-time data collection. Theres a huge push in telemedicine in recent years too with companies employing AI for minor diagnosis within smartphone apps.

The ability to analyze large amounts of patient data to identify treatment options. The technology is able to identify treatment options through cloud-based systems able to process natural language.

Acquisitions continue to feed to innovation needs of both large and old biotech firms and with the development of AI, theres plenty to offer up when it comes to company control.

With startups combining the world of AI and healthcare, theres more choice for older and larger companies to acquire information, systems and even the people responsible for leaps and bounds in technology.

Drug discovery is another great place for AI to slip in with pharma companies able to include cutting-edge technology into the expensive and lengthy process of drug discovery.

The benefits of AI are instantly apparent with the focus on time-saving and pattern recognition upon testing and identification of new drugs.

In early-stage drug discovery, start-ups such as BenevolentAI or Verge Genomics are known to adopt algorithms which comb through portions of data for patterns too complex for humans to identify, saving both time and innovating in a way that we otherwise may not have been able to.

Insilico, another company with a heavy AI focus, has taken a different approach by using AI to design treatments not yet found in either nature of chemical libraries. An approach of using AI to simulate clinical trials before human trials have also been seen, leaving plenty of scope available for what AI can create.

For more information regarding how AI used in pharma, click here.

Growth opportunities may be hard to come by without significant investment from companies, but a major opportunity exists in the self-running engine for growth within the artificial intelligence sector of healthcare.

AI applications within the healthcare industry have the potential to create $150 billion in savings annually for the United States, a recent Accenture study estimates, by 2026. With AI in healthcare funding reading historic highs of $600m in equity funding (Q218) there are huge projected equity funding deals and equity deals as the years continue.

We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next 10 Bill Gates

Saliently, AI represents a significant opportunity for bottom line growth with the introduction of AI into the healthcare sector, with a combined expected 2026 value of $150bn:

The growth, however, is not unexpected and with the needs of the healthcare industry of which AI fits the gap its a match made in heaven.

With the predicted 2026 value of robot-assisted surgery, virtual nursing assistants and administrative workflow assistance are expected to be valued at $40bn, $20bn and $18bn respectively, its the numbers that come with claims that are the most impressive.

Although AI in healthcare has huge potential, as with most developments in the technological space, there are a number of known current limitation.

Experiencing teething problems with the introduction of any new technology is not rare, but must be overcome for large scale adoption of AI to occur in the healthcare market.

Ultimately, the adoption of AI will attract stakeholders who will invest in AI and successful case studies need to be highlighted and presented for future encouragement. These case studies will require some early adopters of healthcare companies to kickstart the process.

Privacy within healthcare is, by nature, extremely sensitive and thus confidential.

For utmost confidence in the technology, systems should be put in place to ensure data privacy and protection from hackers. Unfortunately, data breaches continue to be a common occurrence as reported before when UW Medicine exposed 1 million patient records or with Missouri Medicaid.

But privacy concerns should not be a deterrent from adopting artificial intelligence in the healthcare space. In fact, last year we did a story on how Artificial Intelligence can actually help healthcare data security.

HIPAA and a number of other patient data laws are subject to the approval of governing organizations e.g. FDA to ensure that federal standards are maintained.

The sharing of data among a variety of databases poses challenges to the HIPAA compliance and care must be taken around these areas if future developments are to succeed. As companies developing software, therefore AI, are also required to comply with Hitrust rules, current rules are regulations are definitely known to be a barrier to AI adoption.

Deep learning, AI and machine learning do not have the ability to ask the question why?. As a result, the logic behind decisions is not justified, meaning mostly guesswork is required to how the decision was made.

How and why the decision has been made is key to the information within the treatment plan. With a lack of reasoning can come a lack of confidence within the decision, potentially rendering the technology as unreliable or untrustworthy by both patients and professionals.

When it comes to the stakeholders within the adoption of AI in healthcare, everyone, including patients, insurance companies, pharma companies, healthcare workers etc. are key.

Resistance to pursue the technology at any of the aforementioned levels would result in issues and potential failure to the incorporation of the technology in the macro. Stakeholdering is one of the top ten reasons why the healthcare industry as a whole is not innovating enough in 2019.

Diagnostic errors account for 60% of all medical errors and an estimated 40,000 to 80,000 deaths each year. As a result, artificial intelligence has been employed in a variety of different areas in a bid to reduce the toll and number of errors made by human judgement.

That said, there continues to be significant pushback when it comes to AI adoption in the clinical decision support process as scientists and medical personnel continue to approach the topic of AI with incredible caution.

With minimal operator training needed and design with common output formats that directly interface with other medical software and health record systems, the system is incredibly easy to use and simple to implement.

A clear output from the system allows 60 seconds to identify whether the exam quality was of sufficient quality, the patient is negative for referable DR or the patient has signs of referable DR. Following signs of referable DR, further action in the form of a human grader over-reading, teleconsultation and/or referral to an ophthalmologist may be suggested.

Despite some setbacks and limitations, Artificial Intelligence in healthcare are virtually announced every day. In this section, we will cover some of the most remarkable and revolutionary uses of AI in healthcare with an understanding that this list is by no means complete and definitely a work in progress.

With the launch of the Apple Watch Series 4 and the new electrodes found within the gadget, its now possible for users to take an ECG directly from the wrist.

The Apple Watch Series 4 is the very first direct-to-consumer product that enables users to get a electrocardiogram directly from their wrist. The app that permits the readings provides vital data to physicians that may otherwise be missed. Rapid and skipped heartbeats are clocked and users will now receive a notification if an irregular heart rhythm (atrial fibrillation) is detected.

The number of accessories and add ons that technology companies are releasing for the Apple Watch is also beginning to crossover into the health industry. Companies, such as AliveCor have released custom straps that allow a clinical grade wearable ECG that replaces the original Apple Watch band. Although the strap may be rendered useless with the Series 4, for any of the earlier watches, the strap may prove a useful attachment to identify AF.

In addition, earlier this year, Omron Healthcare made the news when they deployed a new smart watch, called Omron HeartGuide. The watch can take a users blood pressure on the go while interpreting blood pressure data to provide actionable insights to users on a daily basis.

Last year, Fitbit released their signature Charge 3 wristband which uses Artificial Intelligence to detect sleep apnea.

What all these examples have in common is how wearable technologies are slowly being repurposed or augmented to improve medical outcomes. And in all these examples, artificial intelligence is leveraged, under the hood, to collect, analyze and interpret massive amounts of data which can improve the quality of life of patients everywhere.

Late 2018 marked the announcement from Aidoc that it had been granted its U.S. FDA clearance of its first AI-based workflow solution, the diagnosis of bleeds on the brain.

The systems created work with radiologists to flag acute intracranial haemorrhage (ICH), or bleeds on the brain, in CT scans. With over 75 percent of all patient care involving cardiovascular diseases, the workload on radiologists is massive.

Integration into the health industry is simple and wont require significant IT time and with additional hardware not required, its a simple resource that can be set up and maintained remotely. With a solution to assist workflow optimizations and increase the number of correct and high-quality scans, the demand for this AI-enabled technology is expected to be huge.

IDxhas developed an AI diagnostic system, IDx-DR, that autonomously analyzes images of the retina for signs of diabetic retinopathy. The software has received FDA approval to be used in the US.

1. Using a fundus camera, a trained operator captures two-color, 45 FOV images per eye

2. The images are transferred to the IDx-DR client on a local computer

3. The images are then submitted to the IDx-DR analysis system

4. Inside 60 seconds, IDx-DR provides an image quality or disease output and follow-up care instructions

5. If negative for mtmDR, the patient can be rescreened at a later date. If positive for mtmDR, refers the patient to eye care.

iCAD announced the launch of iReveal back in 2015 with the goal to monitor breast density via mammography to support accurate decisions in breast cancer screening.

With an estimated 40% of women in the US having dense breast tissue that can block the mammography from viewing potential cancerous tissue, the issue is huge and a solution was imperative.

The technology uses AI to assess breast density in order to identify patients that may experience reduced sensitivity to digital mammography due to dense breast tissue.

Ken Ferry, CEO of iCAD stated that With iReveal, radiologists may be better able to identify women with dense breasts who experience decreased sensitivity to cancer detection with mammography.

Mr. also Ferry added that The increasing support for the reporting of breast density across the US, there is a significant opportunity to drive adoption of iReveal by existing users of the PowerLook AMP platform and with new customers, which represents an incremental $100 million market opportunity over the next few years. Longer-term, we plan to integrate the iReveal technology into our Tomosynthesis CAD product, which is the next large growth opportunity for our Cancer Detection business.

Ultimately, the system remains at the forefront of breast cancer identification in women in the U.S. and with so many lives expected to be saved, I think everyone can agree what a fantastic use of AI it is.

QuantX is the first MRI workstation to provide a true computer-aided diagnosis, delivering an AI-based set of tools to help radiologists in assessment and characterization of breast abnormalities.

Using MR image data, QuantX uses a deep database of known outcomes and combines this with advanced machine learning and quantitative image analysis for real-time analytics during scans. A fast comprehensive display is seen with all processing on-demand in real-time with rapid display and reformatting of MPR, full MIPs, thin MIPs and subtractions.

A QI Score, a clinical metric correlated to the likelihood of malignancy is calculated with the images and regions of interest during scans. This is paired with a similar case compare, a tool which allows up to 45 similar cases from a reference library to be displayed for each analyzed lesion.

This information is passed on to radiologists to make accurate clinical decisions, decreasing the number of incorrect diagnoses in high-risk environments.

Coronary calcium scoring is a biomarker of coronary artery disease and quantification of this coronary calcification is a very strong predictor for cardiovascular events, including heart attacks or strokes.

A conventional coronary calcium scoring requires dedicated cardiac, ECG gated CT performed with and without contrast.

However, in recent times, a reliable derivation of coronary calcium score has been found algorithmically with the use of AI from low dose chest CT data. Zebra Medicals scoring algorithm uses these standard, non-contrast Chest CTs and automatically calculates the Coronary Calcium Scores.

The tool is vital for the early detection of people at high risk of severe cardiovascular events that otherwise would not be aware of the risk without extensive testing.

San Francisco-based privately held company Bay Labs gained FDA approval in June 2018 for the fully automated and AI-based selection of the left ventricular ejection fraction (EF). Note that Healthcare Weekly has included Bay Labs is our list of the most promising healthcare startups to watch for in 2019.

With EF noted as the single most widely used metric of cardiac function, used as the basis for numerous clinical decisions, Bay Labs AI based EchoMD and AutoEF algorithms work to reduce the errors and minimise workflow that surrounds the industry. The algorithms eliminate the need to manually select views, choose the best clips, and manipulate them for quantification, which is often noted as a particularly time-consuming and highly variable process.

The algorithms automatically review all relevant information and digital clips from a patients echocardiography study and proceeds to rate accordingly with image quality as the focus criteria. What may be most impressive about Bay Labs artificial intelligence solution is the method that the system learned clip selection in which over 4 million images were used to maximise algorithm success.

Ultimately, EchoMD and AutoEF will strive to maximise workflow efficiency while reducing the error in clinical decision making by helping physicians make correct choices.

Neural Analytics, a medical device company tackling brain health, announced a device for paramedic stroke diagnosis back in 2017, revolutionising the way that paramedics diagnose stroke victims.

Neural Analytic Lucid M1 Transcranial Doppler Ultrasound System tackles the issues of expensive and time-consuming stroke diagnosis for patients that suffer blood flow disorders.

This ultrasound system is designed for measuring cerebral blood flow velocities. This is no joke. Is successful, this technology will change how early doctors can detect stroke and could drastically improve patient outcomes.

The use of Transcranial Doppler (TCD), a type of ultrasound, allows for AI to assess the brains blood vessels from outside the body, preventing the need for more invasive tests. The AI software helps physicians detect stroke and other brain disorders caused by blood flow issues, increasing the capability of correct clinical decisions.

Icometrix is a company with the mission to transform patient care through imaging AI. With MRI brain interpretation used to decrease error in clinical diagnosis, the company is well on the way to changing the way that abnormalities are discovered within the brain.

The system developed objectively quantifies brain white matter abnormalities in patients, decreasing the amount of time taken, increasing the accuracy and improving patient care for those with brain issues. Changes in the brain are confidently evaluated with a focus on the structure with utmost accuracy. The system allows an increased sensitivity and augmented detection, ultimately leading to improved healthcare.

With quantification of clinically relevant brain structures for individual patients and a range of identifiable neurological disorders, theres plenty that AI had to offer in the space.

The OsteoDetect software is an AI based detection/diagnostic software that utilises intelligent algorithms that analyze two-dimensional X-rays.

The software searches for damage in the bone, specifically a common wrist fracture called the distal radius fracture. The software utilises the machine learning techniques to identify these problem areas and mark the location of the fracture on the image, assisting the physician with identification of a break.

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Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare: the future is amazing ...

What is Artificial Intelligence (AI)? – Definition from …

Artificial intelligence is a branch of computer science that aims to create intelligent machines. It has become an essential part of the technology industry.

Research associated with artificial intelligence is highly technical and specialized. The core problems of artificial intelligence include programming computers for certain traits such as:

Knowledge engineering is a core part of AI research. Machines can often act and react like humans only if they have abundant information relating to the world. Artificial intelligence must have access to objects, categories, properties and relations between all of them to implement knowledge engineering. Initiating common sense, reasoning and problem-solving power in machines is a difficult and tedious task.

Machine learning is also a core part of AI. Learning without any kind of supervision requires an ability to identify patterns in streams of inputs, whereas learning with adequate supervision involves classification and numerical regressions.

Classification determines the category an object belongs to and regression deals with obtaining a set of numerical input or output examples, thereby discovering functions enabling the generation of suitable outputs from respective inputs. Mathematical analysis of machine learning algorithms and their performance is a well-defined branch of theoretical computer science often referred to as computational learning theory.

Machine perception deals with the capability to use sensory inputs to deduce the different aspects of the world, while computer vision is the power to analyze visual inputs with a few sub-problems such as facial, object and gesture recognition.

Robotics is also a major field related to AI. Robots require intelligence to handle tasks such as object manipulation and navigation, along with sub-problems of localization, motion planning and mapping.

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What is Artificial Intelligence (AI)? - Definition from ...