Quantum networking projected to be $5.5 billion market in 2025 – TechRepublic

Several companies are working to advance the technology, according to a new report.

The market for quantum networking is projected to reach $5.5 billion by 2025, according to a new report from Inside Quantum Technology (IQT).

While all computing systems rely on the ability to store and manipulate information in individual bits, quantum computers "leverage quantum mechanical phenomena to manipulate information" and to do so requires the use of quantum bits, or qubits, according to IBM.

SEE:Quantum computing: An insider's guide (TechRepublic)

Quantum computing is seen as the panacea for solving the problems computers are not equipped to handle now.

"For problems above a certain size and complexity, we don't have enough computational power on earth to tackle them,'' IBM said. This requires a new kind of computing, and this is where quantum comes in.

IQT says that quantum networking revenue comes primarily from quantum key distribution (QK), quantum cloud computing, and quantum sensor networks. Eventually, these strands will merge into a Quantum Internet, the report said.

Cloud access to quantum computers is core to the business models of many leading quantum computer companiessuch as IBM, Microsoft and Rigettias well as several leading academic institutions, according to the report.

Microsoft, for instance, designed a special programming language for quantum computers, called Q#, and released a Quantum Development Kit to help programmers create new applications, according to CBInsights.

One of Google's quantum computing projects involves working with NASA to apply the tech's optimization abilities to space travel.

The Quantum Internet network will have the same "geographical breadth of coverage as today's internet," the IQT report stated.

It will provide a powerful platform for communications among quantum computers and other quantum devices, the report said.

And will enable a quantum version of the Internet of Things. "Finally, quantum networks can be the most secure networks ever built completely invulnerable if constructed properly," the report said.

The report, "Quantum Networks: A Ten-Year Forecast and Opportunity Analysis," forecasts demand for quantum network equipment, software and services in both volume and value terms.

"The time has come when the rapidly developing quantum technology industry needs to quantify the opportunities coming out of quantum networking," said Lawrence Gasman, president of Inside Quantum Technology, in a statement.

Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) adds unbreakable coding of key distribution to public key encryption, making it virtually invulnerable, according to the report.

QKD is the first significant revenue source to come from the emerging Quantum Internet and will create almost $150 million in revenue in 2020, the report said.

QKD's early success is due to potential usersbig financial and government organizationshave an immediate need for 100% secure encryption, the IQT report stated.

By 2025, IQT projects that revenue from "quantum clouds" are expected to exceed $2 billion.

Although some large research and government organizations are buying quantum computers for on-premise use, the high cost of the machines coupled with the immaturity of the technology means that the majority of quantum users are accessing quantum through clouds, the report explained.

Quantum sensor networks promise enhanced navigation and positioning and more sensitive medical imaging modalities, among other use cases, the report said.

"This is a very diverse area in terms of both the range of applications and the maturity of the technology."

However, by 2025 revenue from quantum sensors is expected to reach about $1.2 billion.

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University of Sheffield launches Quantum centre to develop the technologies of tomorrow – Quantaneo, the Quantum Computing Source

A new research centre with the potential to revolutionise computing, communication, sensing and imaging technologies is set to be launched by the University of Sheffield this week (22 January 2020).

The Sheffield Quantum Centre, which will be officially opened by Lord Jim ONeill, Chair of Chatham House and University of Sheffield alumnus, is bringing together more than 70 of the Universitys leading scientists and engineers to develop new quantum technologies.

Quantum technologies are a broad range of new materials, devices and information technology protocols in physics and engineering. They promise unprecedented capabilities and performance by exploiting phenomena that cannot be explained by classical physics.

Quantum technologies could lead to the development of more secure communications technologies and computers that can solve problems far beyond the capabilities of existing computers.

Research into quantum technologies is a high priority for the UK and many countries around the world. The UK government has invested heavily in quantum research as part of a national programme and has committed 1 billion in funding over 10 years.

Led by the Universitys Department of Physics and Astronomy, Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering and Department of Computer Science, the Sheffield Quantum Centre will join a group of northern universities that are playing a significant role in the development of quantum technologies.

The University of Sheffield has a strong presence in quantum research with world leading capabilities in crystal growth, nanometre scale device fabrication and device physics research. A spin-out company has already been formed to help commercialise research, with another in preparation.

Professor Maurice Skolnick, Director of the Sheffield Quantum Centre, said: The University of Sheffield already has very considerable strengths in the highly topical area of quantum science and technology. I have strong expectation that the newly formed centre will bring together these diverse strengths to maximise their impact, both internally and more widely across UK universities and funding bodies.

During the opening ceremony, the Sheffield Quantum Centre will also launch its new 2.1 million Quantum Technology Capital equipment.

Funded by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC), the equipment is a molecular beam epitaxy cluster tool designed to grow very high quality wafers of semiconductor materials types of materials that have numerous everyday applications such as in mobile phones and lasers that drive the internet.

The semiconductor materials also have many new quantum applications which researchers are focusing on developing.

Professor Jon Heffernan from the Universitys Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, added: The University of Sheffield has a 40-year history of pioneering developments in semiconductor science and technology and is host to the National Epitaxy Facility. With the addition of this new quantum technologies equipment I am confident our new research centre will lead to many new and exciting technological opportunities that can exploit the strange but powerful concepts from quantum science.

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University of Sheffield launches Quantum centre to develop the technologies of tomorrow - Quantaneo, the Quantum Computing Source

5 Emerging Technologies That Will Shape this Decade – San Diego Entertainer Magazine

UncategorizedByJohn Breaux|January 22, 2020

Some say that we are in the midst of a new technological revolution, with emerging technologies taking shape to transform the world we live in. As we step into a new decade, expect to see a handful of amazing advancements in technology that will dramatically shape our society at large.

Weve been told for years that self-driving cars are the future, but this decade will bring us the greatest advancements in this field as of yet. Companies have been researching and testing autonomous fleets of cars for years now, and some are finally gearing up to deploy them in the real world. Tesla has already released a self-driving feature in its popular electric vehicles, while Google-owned Waymo has completed a trial of autonomous taxi systems in California where it successfully transported more than 6000 people.

This radically powerful form of computing will continue to reach more practical applications throughout the decade. Quantum computers are capable of performing exponentially more powerful calculations when compared to traditional computing, but the size and power required to run them makes them difficult to use in a more practical sense. Further research in quantum, computing will allow greater application for solving real-world problems.

Augmenting our bodies with technology will become more common as wearable devices will allow us to improve everything from hearing to sight. Examples include devices and implants that will be able to enhance sensory capabilities, improve health, and contribute to a heightened quality of life and functional performance.

The advent of 5G will perhaps be one of the most impactful technologies for the many starting this year and proceeding onwards. 5G networks will have the capability of connecting us to the digital world in ways weve never had before, affording us blazing fast speeds of nearly 10 Gb/s. The speed of 5G will allow for seamless control of vast autonomous car fleets, precise robotic surgery, or streaming of 4K video with no buffering.

Drones are already a pivotal piece of technology in areas including transportation, surveillance, and logistics. Swarm robotics will be a new multi-robot system inspired by nature that will have major potential in completing tasks with unparalleled efficiency. Applications could include providing post-disaster relief, geological surveying, and even farming. Swarm robotics will be able to accomplish tasks through cooperative behavior while adapting to situations in ways that would not be possible with a single drone.

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Theres Something Very Strange Going On With Bitcoin Exchange LocalBitcoins – Forbes

Bitcoin exchange LocalBitcoins, often used as a gauge of bitcoin interest and prices around the world, has suddenly begun suspending long-time users' accounts without warning.

Reports began coming in this week that LocalBitcoins users across Africa, the Middle East, and Asia have had their accounts "deactivated."

Bitcoin users around the world have complained that LocalBitcoins has suddenly suspended their ... [+] accounts without explanation.

Messages seen by this reporter were sent to account holders by LocalBitcoins in countries including Afghanistan, Iraq, Nigeria, Syria, and Pakistan informing them they could "withdraw [their] bitcoins by deleting [their] account," though some users have claimed to be unable to do so.

LocalBitcoin, a peer-to-peer bitcoin exchange which was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland, was unable to be reached for comment.

"One of my customers was due to travel out of the country and had to sell some of his bitcoin to be able to go only to notice on his way to the airport that he cannot even access his funds," said one LocalBitcoins user of three years in Nigeria, who wanted their identity to remain anonymous, adding their account had been suspended on Monday morning with no indication of when it might be reactivated.

According to the message received by users, LocalBitcoins now requires users in some countries to go through an "enhanced due diligence process," though LocalBitcoins has given no indication of what that process is or when details will be made clear.

Some reports have suggested the suspensions are a result of strict new European Union anti-money laundering regulations that came into effect this month, requiring bitcoin and cryptocurrency platforms and wallet providers to identify their customers.

However, LocalBitcoins, which has a reputation as being a relatively anonymous way for bitcoin users around the world to buy and sell bitcoin, claimed to have compiled with the new legislation early last year, giving it ample time to verify users' identities ahead of the changes taking effect this month.

The regulatory changes have been blamed for bitcoin trading volumes on LocalBitcoins falling sharply in recent months, with reports suggesting bitcoin volume on the site fell by around 70% between September and November 2019.

In an interview last year, LocalBitcoins chief executive Sebastian Sonntag said the exchange was signing up between 4,000 and 5,000 new users per day but warned "changes" to the site have "had an impact on overall trade volume."

"We expect the situation to become more stable in the following weeks and improvements in the verification flow should also influence positively," Sonntag told finance trade site LearnBonds.

Meanwhile, other major bitcoin and crypto exchanges have been struggling with declining volumes over the last year, sparking fears the market could be on course for a correction.

The bitcoin price has climbed over the last 12-months but declining trade volumes have some worried. ... [+]

Bitcoin and cryptocurrency exchanges around the world have long struggled with hacks, data breaches, and theftswith many millions of dollars worth of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies lost.

Last year, hackers stole around $28,000 worth of bitcoin from users' LocalBitcoins accounts.

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Theres Something Very Strange Going On With Bitcoin Exchange LocalBitcoins - Forbes

The Dark Side of Becoming the Next Bitcoin – CCN.com

Your favorite altcoins path to becoming the next Bitcoin is a lot more treacherous than you think.

The CEO of uPlexa (UPX) told CCN.com about the financial and ethical minefield faced by upstart altcoin projects in the cryptocurrency industry. Kyle Pierce the projects co-founder and lead developer paints a miserable picture of an industry that may already have been taken over by its worst people.

The king-making ability of centralized exchanges is no secret. The CEO of DigiByte (DGB) claims he was asked for $300,000, plus 3% of his 58th ranked altcoins entire coin supply, to get listed on Binance.

The demands made of the 1,371st-ranked uPlexa were equally outrageous. According to Pierce:

Weve had offers for 50% of the premine to get listed on an exchange. 50% of our premine thats allocated to exchange listings, marketing, hiring, founding team, core members, security audits, etc. They somehow believe that one hour of their time is worth nearly 6,000+ of our current man hours into this project.

Pierce says the saturation of centralized exchanges is making matters worse. Over 1,500 exchanges now compete for the same territory. As that number increases, the desperation of each rises accordingly.

Theres 1500+ centralized exchanges that offer the exact same service, and theyre starting to lose volume. So they artificially boost the volume and hire VAs to go around soliciting every team member of every project in hopes to quickly make a quick buck before their watering hole dries up.

These exchanges have become a choke-point for the cryptocurrency industry. The only way to get listed is to play their game. That means new cryptocurrency projects have their development plans dictated to them before theyve even begun.

For projects who did not participate in the IEO/ICO stages and have no funding, it is nearly impossible to get listed on an exchange. So, firstly, not only are people predominantly trading on centralized exchanges in a decentralized area, but the exchanges that are making huge sums of money are killing off the potential for real-world technologies to get noticed/adopted.

Another exchange told Pierce they would be happy to list his project, if only they moved away from the whole privacy thing.

Pierce told us that when uPlexa finally got listed on its first exchange (for around 1 BTC), even more scammers emerged from the woodwork. Pierce says he was contacted by someone asking to buy 20 BTC worth of UPX over-the-counter for 30% less than its market price.

The stated plan was to become invested in the coin, and then get behind its marketing efforts for their own benefit and that of the community. Pierce was suspicious, but he directed the buyer towards a miner with large UPX holdings.

After promoting the coin for two days and then moving on, Pierce realized the buyer was basically a pump and dump artist, who buys coins at a markdown then sells them for profit.

At this time, I had pretty much told them to f*ck off with their pump & dump scheme after reading about other groups who participated in major supression of other coins and then trying to sell to their group of investors who they make calls to on a daily basis.

According to Pierce, these solicitations are not uncommon. In fact, he thinks the cryptocurrency industry is largely dominated by these market manipulators.

Most of the time, when you see people talking about cryptos, its because they already got their bag at a cheap price and are looking to unload their bag at a quick 2x profit on you. Investors come into the market looking to make 5-10x (which, yes, may be unreasonable in most circumstances), only to be eaten alive by these types of manipulators.

Pierce states that even cryptocurrency influencers are twisting the screw as hard as they possibly can. When reaching out to Twitter and YouTube content creators, he found that every one demanded close to half a Bitcoin just to talk about uPlexa.

Every single one expected to be paid anywhere from 0.35-5BTC to talk about our technology. It became very clear to me at that moment, that 99% of all media regarding cryptocurrencies is paid by projects with massive amounts of funding. Little to nothing in the crypto world is organic.

Almost every service imaginable seems to be hidden behind a paywall in the cryptocurrency world. Even those which are free, such as CoinMarketCap listings.

we had a flock of different users advertising new services to us: CMC listings (even though this is free), exchange listings, supposed market making services, and even dumping strategies. One user even went so far to say they could help us sell our entire premine on the exchanges without market selling, which was obviously not in our interest.

Every service offered by exchanges comes at a cost. If an update is required, they charge 0.25 Bitcoin. If you want a new trading pair added, it costs another quarter of a Bitcoin. Thats despite the widespread use of modern technologies that make these services a five-minute job.

Pierce says he does see the industry changing over time, and his outlook for the future remains optimistic. But in the meantime, he says centralized exchanges will continue to reign as the banks of the crypto world.

I want to see everybody have a chance at succeeding and for ground-breaking technologies to run wild. Instead, centralised exchanges have become the new banks of the crypto world, and are just as greedy and corrupt. If youre not partnered up at the top 1% with them, its going to be a very long journey for your project.

Disclaimer: The opinions in this article do not represent investment or trading advice from CCN.com.

This article was edited by Josiah Wilmoth.

Last modified: January 22, 2020 2:53 PM UTC

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Nothing Special Bitcoin Slumps 6% on Coronavirus, Chinese New Year – Cointelegraph

Bitcoin (BTC) has shed 6% in a week thanks mainly to Chinese New Year and uncertainty over coronavirus, commentators are suggesting.

Analyzing Bitcoin price data along with Chinese stocks performance on Jan. 24, social media resource Light said a slump in performance had spread to cryptocurrency.

Cryptocurrency market daily overview. Source: Coin360

Over the past several days, it notes, Bitcoin has in fact broadly correlated with stocks. Such behavior is reminiscent of what many perceived as a reaction to another global event the Iran crisis earlier this month.

China coronavirus-driven risk-off blanketing Chinese equities and Bitcoin. Iran correlation, now Chinese equities, Light commented.

The analysis summarized:

If there was ever a statement to the effect, Bitcoin has now made it to the global stage.

Bitcoin vs. Chinese equities. Source: Light/ Twitter

Coronavirus continues to spread beyond China, despite authorities attempts to contain it by imposing travel bans and boosting healthcare provision.

BTC/USD has lost just over 6% in the past seven days and at press time trading at $8,300. The virus factor comes at a sensitive time historically, data reveals, with Chinese New Year traditionally creating sell pressure for Bitcoin.

Compiled by trader and analyst Alex Krueger, figures circulating on Twitter show that in the run-up to the celebrations, Bitcoin returns often turn out negative.

In 2019, they averaged around -0.2% losses for the week prior, but Krueger himself appeared unperturbed by the results.

Nothing special, he summarized on Jan. 22.

As Cointelegraph reported, critics have protested against the theory that Bitcoin price action is directly influenced by geopolitical or other world events.

Nonetheless, issues involving China tend to impact the market conspicuously, against the backdrop of a blanket crypto trading ban imposed by Beijing in 2017. The country still accounts for the majority of Bitcoin mining activity.

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Nothing Special Bitcoin Slumps 6% on Coronavirus, Chinese New Year - Cointelegraph

Notes From the WEF: Oil-Producing Nations Want Dollar Alternatives, Just Not Bitcoin – Coindesk

DAVOS, Switzerland Most Middle Eastern elites at the World Economic Forum are highly skeptical of bitcoin, but there are whispers about its potential for cross-border settlements in the energy sector.

According to Egyptian businessman M. Shafik Gabr, chairman of the ARTOC Group for Investment & Development, some Middle Eastern nations are already exploring the possibility of settling oil contracts in bitcoin. But he declined to specify which, and most of the leaders gathered in Davos for the annual conference that wrapped up Friday are adamant they see bitcoins post-sovereign nature as anathema.

Fellow Egyptian investor Ahmed Heikal, CEO of Qalaa Holdings, said hes not bullish on bitcoin because it doesnt have the legal framework for such wholesale deals. If nations or energy enterprises are to use bitcoin, he argued, it wont be for at least another decade.

Delegates from Oman to the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia all expressed similarly dismissive views about bitcoin as an asset, often referring to it as a gambling conduit. But when asked if it could still be used to settle oil contracts especially considering the United States aggressive economic pressure on energy exporters Iran and Iraq one Omani politician, who did not want to be identified, teased, It depends on who's asking.

U.S. sanctions are top-of-mind across the region, as when President Donald Trump urged Europe not to trade with unfriendly energy suppliers. Iraqi President Barham Salih pushed back with a speech on Wednesday that asserted it was Iraqs sovereign right to have relations with neighbors on its own terms.

Saudi Arabian businessman Hamza Alkholi, CEO of Al-Kholi Group, dismissed the idea that bitcoin-denominated oil contracts could ever be more than an outlier.

Weve been trying for 30 years, he said, referencing efforts to move beyond the U.S. dollar by settling oil contracts in euros. Until bitcoin is regulated like the stock market, I dont see that happening.

Crescent Enterprises CEO Badr Jafar, who is heavily invested in the oil and gas industry, agreed theres no urgency among most players in his industry to move away from the dollar. Leaders and businessmen still dont trust cryptocurrency, Jafar said, and he expects central banks would push back if bitcoin gained more significant usage.

However, if oil contracts were to be settled in currencies beyond the dollar, Jafar said that might be driven by political factors related to Russia and China.

And soon there will be a digital currency issuer eager to help dollar-weary energy suppliers find alternative settlement systems. Equally concerned about trust, China is hyper-focused on both compliance and global market opportunities.

China's new Silk Road?

Chinese businesspeople see Eurasian crypto ventures as a stepping stone toward addressing more complex commodities markets.

China Blockchain Delegation Chairman Danny Deng said Chinas blockchain-based currency, which he expects the Peoples Bank of China (PBoC) to launch on a limited scale in 2020, could offer a backbone for energy markets.

Bitcoin has a larger and larger ecosystem, but it still cant afford the trading volume of such a commodity, Deng said. The traders of oil and gas are using leverage. That leverage must be backed by financial systems. Regions, like Iran may use bitcoin or other payment systems. But other countries that dont have this problem may play an important role in national [cryptocurrency] settlements.

From his perspective, fiat currency has become too political, rather than a strictly commercial tool. One of Chinas most revered bitcoiners, Wang Wei, a leader of nearly a dozen associations from the Shanghai Stock Exchange Corporate Governance Advisory Committee to the China Mergers and Acquisitions Association, said bitcoin lost its chance to be the dominant currency for settlements and will instead primarily be a store of value.

Several Chinese businessmen who work with the government and PBoC agreed the bank could offer an alternative to dollar settlement systems by 2021. For example, Zhang Shousong, secretary general of the China Blockchain Application Center, said by the next Davos conference PBoCs digital currency will be operational not only in China, but all over the globe.

Given the tenor of public officials statements, Deng said cryptocurrency rails are on a fast track. Shousong added its not like Libra, its certainly going to launch, referring to the Facebook-initiated global currency project whose debut remains uncertain.

In the meantime, Wei has taken Chinese-speaking Kazakhstani entrepreneur Tilektes Adambekov under his wing and helped the latter establish the licensed EBX crypto exchange in Kazakhstan, the worlds 10th-largest oil exporter. Adambekov joined the Chinese delegation for lunch in Davos to discuss the future of global markets over foie gras and fig chutney in a mountaintop restaurant with a panoramic view. Adambekov quoted Mao Zedong in a thank you speech to the delegation, which prompted resounding applause.

From the delegations perspective, Adambekov is a perfect fit for Chinas aspirations. He spent eight years working in China before returning home to focus on serving Russian-speaking crypto markets across borders. Plus, Kazakhstan has an open regulatory framework and is strategically situated along the path of Chinas Belt and Road initiative. Adambekov said his exchange aims to support tokenized oil and gas options, settled in national cryptocurrencies yet offering bitcoin liquidity.

From China to Oman, all businesspeople and diplomats agreed the dollar will remain king in commodities markets for the near future. But alternative options may already be on the horizon.

When asked if such options could usurp the greenback by 2025, Matthew Blake, the World Economic Forum's monetary systems lead, said the dollars role is so pronounced that to displace it in a meaningful way would take longer than four years.

Bitcoin may, or may not, participate in that shift.

Bitcoin has demonstrated some of the qualities that a distributed currency can possess, Blake said. Its also had challenges too. The role of a currency is to have a store-of-value with an inherent level of stability. There needs to be liquidity. In the case of bitcoin, it hasnt had those qualities thus far.

The leader in blockchain news, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

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What influenced the Bitcoin SV price surge? – Coin Rivet

The New Year has only just got underway, but 2020 is already proving to be a roller-coaster for investors in Bitcoin SV.

The Bitcoin Cash rival has experienced some incredible price surges over the past couple of weeks, making it one of the best-performing coins of the year so far.

But why has Bitcoin SV been pumping so much? Lets take a look at what can influence a BSV price surge.

Bitcoin SV the story so far

Bitcoin SV was created out of the hard fork of Bitcoin Cash on November 15 2018.

Led by Craig Wright, who famously claims to be Bitcoin founder Satoshi Nakamoto, the split aimed to restore the proposed original vision of the Bitcoin protocol.

Since the fork, Bitcoin SV has proved popular among investors, and it currently ranks as the fifth-largest coin on CoinMarketCap.

Other than a small rally last summer, 2019 proved to be a fairly tepid year for the Bitcoin SV price. It started 2019 valued at $92 and finished just $5 higher at $97.

Things couldnt be more different in 2020. Bitcoin SV has pumped 300% since the start of the year, hitting highs of $372 and briefly overtaking Bitcoin Cash as the fourth-largest crypto coin by market cap.

There is a lot of speculation about what has influenced the recent surges in the Bitcoin SV price, with the most common theory surrounding Craig Wrights recent lawsuit with the Dave Kleiman estate.

The lawsuit against Craig Wright

Developments in a long-running legal case against Wright have seen the Bitcoin SV price experiencing massive gains as well as losses.

The lawsuit was initiated by Ira Kleiman, the brother of Wrights former and now deceased partner David Kleiman with whom Wright claims to have developed the early Bitcoin protocol.

Ira Kleiman sued Wright on the grounds that the estate should be entitled to half of the Bitcoins Dave Kleiman and Wright mined together which would be worth billions of dollars today.

Wright said he was unable to access the Bitcoins because they had been moved to a blind trust, and that a bonded courier would deliver the keys to the funds.

On January 14 when the Bitcoin SV price hit its all-time high various sources suggested that Wright had managed to get details of the accounts containing the Bitcoin fortune.

However, he has so far only produced the encryption key which unlocks a list of total Bitcoin holdings and has not provided the private keys necessary to access the funds themselves. As such, the FOMO eventually wore off and the Bitcoin SV price dropped back down.

As a result, the pressure is still on Wright to deliver the final private keys, which he claims will arrive before February 3.

More volatility on the horizon?

Whatever the reasons for the Bitcoin SV price surges, it looks like investors should brace themselves for more volatility over the coming months.

Bitcoin SVs Genesis hard fork, due to take place at the beginning of February, could result in volatility around the event.

Meanwhile, the Kleiman vs Wright case is yet to be resolvedand is due to go to trial shortly, so investors should expect further ups and downs in the Bitcoin SV price as it develops.

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Does the Chinese New Year really affect Bitcoins price? – Decrypt

For the last five years running, the price of Bitcoin has fluctuated drastically in January.

Historically, the wild price action seen in January often makes it the worst month for Bitcoin performance; for the last five years, Bitcoin has experienced a dump of between 15% and 50% beginning in early to mid-January, which often sends Bitcoin down to its lowest value of the year.

Although there have been several explanations postulated for why this dump occurs so consistently around this time, one of the most persistent argues that the dump is caused by Chinese New Year.

The exact date of Chinese New Year changes each year since it is based on the Lunar Calendar, rather than the Gregorian calendar used in most of the world. In 2020, the Year of the Rat, Chinese New Year falls on January 25 and ends on January 27.

As for exactly how Chinese New Year directly influences the price of Bitcoin, there are several plausible theories. The first suggests that responsibility lies with the tradition of Hngbo, which roughly translates to "red package." Every year, millions of red envelopes containing cash are given out as gifts, typically in whole numbers that are multiples of 50 or 100.

As such, it isn't unrealistic to think that Chinese Bitcoin investors could dip into their BTC reserves to fund their Hngbo packets. Since the New Year is celebrated by an estimated 2 billion ethnic Chinese worldwide, this could lead to a significant amount of BTC being exchanged back to cash via P2P and OTC markets in the days and weeks surrounding Chinese New Year. Such a sustained sell-off could be sufficient to change the dynamics of supply and demand such that supply outstrips demand, causing Bitcoin prices to tumble as exchange volume drops.

According to statistical analysis performed by blockchain enthusiast Phoon Mei Hui, there is some evidence to suggest this may be the case, since there is a strong correlation between negative price action and volume changes in the days leading up to Chinese New Year. Likewise, older analysis performed by Percy Venegas, Chief Scientist at EconomyMonitor, found that there is a significant uptick in WeChat, QQ, CoinCola and BitcoinWorld activity in the days and weeks before Chinese New Year. Since these apps are commonly used from Bitcoin off ramping, an increase in activity could indicate increased selling activity.

BitMEX CEO Arthur Haynes appears to agree, tweeting, "The year of the rat starts this weekend. Time for #Bitcoin volatility and volumes to nose dive."

Others, however, simply believe that Chinese New Year is a red herring, and that the frequent January dump in Bitcoin's price is an example of a self-fulfilling prophecy. Since Bitcoin has dumped for the last five years in a row, traders looking for trends in the market might be tempted to believe this year will be no different, leading to an early sell-off in order to protect against further losses. However, this sell-off could actually be the cause of a broader dump that sends Bitcoin prices tumbling.

Whatever the case, trader and economist Alex Krger believes that Bitcoin is also going through the motions this year, telling Decrypt that, "Data appear consistent with normal performance during/after the CNY," referring to the below chart showing the average price change prior to Chinese New Year at various time scales.

On the other hand, CoinGecko Co-founder Bobby Ong believes that this year's relatively muted activity in the run up to Chinese New Year can be attributed to the recent coronavirus scare in Wuhan, China.

"It's been observed that Bitcoin make movements on the run up towards Chinese New Year. One may argue that Bitcoin moves up towards the Chinese New Year period as Chinese traders created a feel good feeling before taking profit and closing off the accounts for a week for the festivities," said Bobby, "That being said, celebrations are muted this year as China is currently battling the coronavirus in Wuhan and many people are scared of the effect of this fast-spreading virus."

This uncertainty hasn't stopped several platforms taking the interest surrounding the relationship between Chinese New Year and Bitcoin price action and running with it. For example, cryptocurrency derivatives exchange BTSE is currently taking predictions on how much BTC will be worth almost two weeks after Chinese New Year for a Tether (USDT) prize.

Will the trend continue in 2020? We'll soon find out.

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Does the Chinese New Year really affect Bitcoins price? - Decrypt

Shock & Awe: Bitcoin Losing Momentum Could Result in Elliot Wave Correction to $1,000 – newsBTC

Theres no denying that Bitcoin is at a critical junction, either ready to fall deeper into a downtrend or explode into a new bull rally driven by pre-halving hype and speculation.

Losing momentum here, according to one crypto analyst, would almost certainly lead to an Elliot Wave Theory C-wave that would take the cryptocurrency further down toward $1,000 a move that would surely leave the crypto market in shock and awe.

Bitcoin price recently spiked from local downtrend lows of around $6,400 toward a high of over $9,200 before a rejection at overhead resistance stopped the rally in its tracks.

Although the bullish momentum was strong, causing Bitcoin to gain over 40% in 30 days, that momentum has since been waning after the rejection occurred, as traders begin to fear that the breakout wasnt enough to sustain positive price action into a new uptrend.

If Bitcoin loses further momentum here, it could be devastating for the cryptocurrency market.

A failure to maintain momentum, according to one crypto analyst, would likely result in an Elliott Wave Theory C-wave driving the price of the first-ever cryptocurrency down to just $1,000.

Related Reading | Psychology of a Market Cycle: Are Bitcoin Investors In Denial?

However, such a move would first require that Bitcoin falls through the 100-week moving average, which is currently sitting at roughly $7,200. The leading cryptocurrency by market cap losing that level would almost certainly cause a retest of the 200-week moving average.

The 200-week moving average is what caught Bitcoin at its current $3,100 bottom in late 2018, and held it as support, igniting a new rally in 2019.

This analyst speculates that Bitcoin wouldnt hold in another test, and it would send the price per BTC tumbling down towards $1,000.

According to Elliott Wave Theory, impulse waves move in the primary trend direction with 5 waves, then a three-wave corrective ABC pattern follows. In this scenario, the A-wave target would have been $3,100, and B-wave would be the top in late June at $14,000.

In ABC corrections, the C-wave is always lower than the A-wave, suggesting that such a move would put a new lower bottom in, potentially at $1,000 the previous bull market top before Bitcoin reached $20,000.

Related Reading | Elliott Wave Theory Suggests Bitcoin May Be Due For Biggest Correction Yet

A fall to $1,000 would cause extreme shock and awe across the crypto industry, and could even cause many crypto companies to go bankrupt or fold as a result. Some analysts claim that this is all necessary for Bitcoin to experience another bull market that it first requires the investors of the previous cycle to be entirely flushed out, much like what occurred during the dot com bubble.

However, if Bitcoin holds here, and momentum maintains, the crypto asset could go on a new bull run leading into the assets upcoming halving.

Link:
Shock & Awe: Bitcoin Losing Momentum Could Result in Elliot Wave Correction to $1,000 - newsBTC