Text size
The stock and options markets are suffering from what might be called Neropathy. Just as the Roman emperor Nero played his fiddle as Rome burned around his palace, the markets are seemingly oblivious to the pain and destruction that has enveloped much of the U.S. and the world.
Despite massive unemployment and severe economic contractions sparked by an as-yet incurable virus, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index are nearing their highest levels ever. Not even days of nationwide protests sparked by the death of George Floyd while he was being arrested in Minneapolis have tarnished the stock markets momentum.
Tens of thousands of people are demonstrating in the streets, venting their anger about police brutality and social inequities that never seem to go away. President Donald Trump is bellicose. He berated governors for being weak, while his defense secretary told them to dominate the battlespace in their cities.
Earlier in the week, the Congressional Budget Office warned that it could take more than a decade for the economy to recover from the coronavirus pandemic. Yet the stock market marches ever higher. A key measure of the risk of owning stocks, the Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, is purring like an innocent kitten that is lapping up dour economic reports like sweet milk.
Some credit the Federal Reserve for rescuing stocks for the second time in a decade with low rates and easy-money policies, but others fret that the mighty Fed put could ultimately be overcome by the added risks of the latest events.
Newsletter Sign-up
Exclusive data, tables and charts from Barron's Market Lab.
Michael Schwartz, Oppenheimer & Co.s chief options strategist, told Barrons that he is increasingly struck by the singularity of this moment in market history.
I have lived through many unique events over the past five decades on Wall Street, he says, but this market seems to defy all logic based on historical experiences and data.
Stock prices are driven by corporate earnings, and earnings are influenced by economic conditions here and abroad. The equity market doesnt seemingly reflect reality.
Since the S&P 500 bottomed on March 23, it has gained more than 37%, while many stocks and sector funds have experienced more dramatic advances.
Chris Jacobson, a Susquehanna Financial Group strategist, told clients that investors appear eager to look past headwinds including deteriorating relations between the worlds two largest economies, U.S. and China, that should suppress investor enthusiasm to buy equities.
The market is done with Buy the dip and sell the rip. Its now Buy the dip and buy the rip, Dennis Dick, a Bright Trading proprietary trader, tweeted on Wednesday.
Many investors are caught in the middle. They arent willing to sell and miss this extraordinary rally, but dont want to put new money in stocks at these high levels. We know that people are curious about how to participate in the stock market without taking on incredible risk. A solution: selling put or call options on the S&P 500.
Calls give a buyer the right to buy stocks at a certain price and time; selling them is a bet on the markets expected trading range. Puts give a buyer the right to sell stocks at a certain time and price; selling them expresses a view that prices will rally higher.
If the sellers are right, they collect a wad of cash, and if they are wrong, they roll the trade to another month and try again. Tax treatment is favorable60% of gains are taxed at long-term rates, while 40% are taxed as short-term gains.
The traditional S&P 500 trade is selling puts or calls that are 100 points above or below the indexs level, but some investors are updating the strategy to reflect the current market. They are using strike prices that are 200 points away from the market, reflecting the extraordinary price swings that now define this Neropathic market.
Email: editors@barrons.com
See the rest here:
How to Play a Market That Shrugs Off Everything - Barron's
- Downloads - Singularity Viewer [Last Updated On: December 25th, 2016] [Originally Added On: December 25th, 2016]
- What is Singularity (the)? - Definition from WhatIs.com [Last Updated On: January 5th, 2017] [Originally Added On: January 5th, 2017]
- When Electronic Witnesses Are Everywhere, No Secret's Safe - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Report: AMD Ryzen Performance in Ashes of the Singularity Benchmark - PC Perspective [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Do you believe in the Singularity? - Patheos (blog) [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Editorial Note From the Singularity Hub Team - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Discover the Most Advanced Industrial Technologies at Exponential Manufacturing - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- 10th Letter looks at nature in the time of the Singularity - Creative Loafing Atlanta [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Donald Trump Is the Singularity - Bloomberg View - Bloomberg.com - Bloomberg [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- Wearable Devices Can Actually Tell When You're About to Get Sick - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 7th, 2017]
- AMD 8-core Ryzen benchmark show up on Ashes Of The Singularity ... - VR-Zone [Last Updated On: February 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 8th, 2017]
- Robot Cars Can Teach Themselves How to Drive in Virtual Worlds - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 8th, 2017]
- Physicists Unveil Blueprint for a Quantum Computer the Size of a Soccer Field - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- How Robots Helped Create 100000 Jobs at Amazon - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Ready to Change the World? Apply Now for Singularity University's 2017 Global Solutions Program - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Singularity Containers for Science, Reproducibility, and HPC - Linux.com (blog) [Last Updated On: February 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 10th, 2017]
- Families Finally Hear From Completely Paralyzed Patients Via New Mind-Reading Device - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 12th, 2017]
- artificial intelligence: the fear of a technological singularity ... - ETtech.com [Last Updated On: February 13th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 13th, 2017]
- Holograms Aren't The Stuff of Science Fiction Anymore - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 15th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 15th, 2017]
- How the World Has Changed From 1917 to 2017 - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 16th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 16th, 2017]
- Preparing for the Singularity - Inverse [Last Updated On: February 16th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 16th, 2017]
- Our Health Data Can Save Lives, But We Have to Be Willing to Share - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 17th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 17th, 2017]
- Ashes of the Singularity merges with standalone expansion Escalation, no upgrade fee - PCGamesN [Last Updated On: February 17th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 17th, 2017]
- Just Stand Inside this Room and it Will Wirelessly Charge Your Phone - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2017]
- AMD bundles Ashes of the Singularity with FX processors ahead of Ryzen's launch - PCWorld [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2017]
- Ashes of the Singularity: Escalation being merged with the original game - PC Invasion (blog) [Last Updated On: February 18th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 18th, 2017]
- Singularity - GameSpot [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2017]
- The roots of technological singularity can be traced backed to the Stone Age - Wired.co.uk [Last Updated On: February 20th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 20th, 2017]
- Jide's new OS is like an Android version of Windows 10's Continuum - The Verge [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2017]
- Jide Announces Remix Singularity: The Continuum Alternative for Android - XDA Developers (blog) [Last Updated On: February 22nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 22nd, 2017]
- New Tech Makes Brain Implants Safer and Super Precise - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 23rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 23rd, 2017]
- One Android company wants to use smartphones to make PCs truly dead - BGR [Last Updated On: February 23rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 23rd, 2017]
- Remix tries its hand at the mobile-desktop hybrid OS with Singularity - Android Police [Last Updated On: February 23rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 23rd, 2017]
- Financial Leaders: Make Your Mark on the Future at Exponential Finance - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 23rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 23rd, 2017]
- Remix Singularity is Jide's Android answer to Windows Continuum - SlashGear [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- AMD Radeon RX 580 Ashes of the Singularity Benchmarks Leaked 4K, Ryzen Combo, CrossFire and More! - Wccftech [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Damon Wayans Jr. Joins FX Sci-Fi Comedy Singularity - Den of Geek US [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- After Man? From Singularity to Specificity - Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) (press release) (blog) [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Why the Potential of Augmented Reality Is Greater Than You Think - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Damon Wayans Jr In Evan Goldberg & Seth Rogen AI comedy - /FILM [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Ashes of Singularity: Escalation Gets an Update - CGMagazine [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Google Updates: Scuba, Singularity, SMS and suing - The INQUIRER [Last Updated On: February 24th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 24th, 2017]
- Singularity Art Show Tonight In San Francisco! [Last Updated On: February 25th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 25th, 2017]
- Stardock celebrate v2.1 of Ashes of the Singularity: Escalation with a ... - PCGamesN [Last Updated On: February 27th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 27th, 2017]
- Video: AI Is Getting Smarter, Says Singularity University's Neil ... - Wall Street Journal (subscription) (blog) [Last Updated On: February 28th, 2017] [Originally Added On: February 28th, 2017]
- This Neural Probe Is So Thin, The Brain Doesn't Know It's There - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Citizen Science Means Anyone Could Discover Planet NineEven You - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Singularity University establishes new organisation in Denmark - Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Singularity University opening organisation in Denmark - The Copenhagen Post - Danish news in english [Last Updated On: March 1st, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 1st, 2017]
- Does Zapping Your Brain Actually Help You Learn Faster? - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 2nd, 2017]
- What You Need to Know About Elon Musk's Plan to Fly People to the Moon - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 2nd, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 2nd, 2017]
- Singularity: Explain It to Me Like I'm 5-Years-Old - Futurism - Futurism [Last Updated On: March 3rd, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 3rd, 2017]
- Singularity for PC Reviews - Metacritic [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- Singularity (mathematics) - Wikipedia [Last Updated On: March 4th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 4th, 2017]
- See How This House Was 3D Printed in Just 24 Hours - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 6th, 2017]
- NYC's Metrograph theater is running a sci-fi film series featuring Blade Runner, Ex Machina, and Metropolis - The Verge [Last Updated On: March 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 8th, 2017]
- 3 Exciting Biotech Trends to Watch Closely in 2017 - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 9th, 2017]
- New Burger Robot Will Take Command of the Grill in 50 Fast Food Restaurants - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 9th, 2017]
- Are These Giant Neurons the Seat Of Consciousness in the Brain? - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 10th, 2017]
- How Fully Synthetic Complex Life Just Got a Lot Closer - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: March 12th, 2017] [Originally Added On: March 12th, 2017]
- Singularity University launches inaugural Canada Summit | BetaKit - BetaKit [Last Updated On: April 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: April 8th, 2017]
- Singularity - Everything2.com [Last Updated On: April 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: April 8th, 2017]
- Singularity (Game) - Giant Bomb [Last Updated On: April 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: April 8th, 2017]
- Ashes of the Singularity: Escalation on Steam [Last Updated On: April 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: April 8th, 2017]
- Approaching the World of Collaboration Singularity - CommsTrader [Last Updated On: June 6th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 6th, 2017]
- Berkeley Lab's Open-Source Spinoff Serves Science | Berkeley Lab - Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [Last Updated On: June 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 7th, 2017]
- Beyond Politics: Innovating for a Sustainable Future - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: June 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 7th, 2017]
- Tune Into the Future of Fintech at Exponential Finance This Week - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: June 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 7th, 2017]
- Experts Weigh in on AI and the Singularity - Futurism [Last Updated On: June 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 7th, 2017]
- Singularity | Mass Effect Wiki | Fandom powered by Wikia [Last Updated On: June 7th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 7th, 2017]
- Quantum Computers Will Analyze Every Financial Model at Once - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: June 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 8th, 2017]
- Deloitte and Singularity University Extend Their Relationship To ... - PR Newswire (press release) [Last Updated On: June 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 8th, 2017]
- Ashes of the Singularity: Escalation 2.3 update adds a new campaign today - PC Gamer [Last Updated On: June 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 8th, 2017]
- Singularity and Docker | Singularity [Last Updated On: June 8th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 8th, 2017]
- Ashes of the Singularity gets a new fully-voiced campaign - PCGamesN [Last Updated On: June 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 9th, 2017]
- At Exponential Finance, the Singularity University Explores Visionary Applications of Blockchains - Crypto Insider (press release) (blog) [Last Updated On: June 9th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 9th, 2017]
- Get It While It's Hot: Why Fintech Is a Goldmine for Investors - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: June 10th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 10th, 2017]
- Forget Police Sketches: Researchers Perfectly Reconstruct Faces by Reading Brainwaves - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: June 14th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 14th, 2017]
- Singularity Summit comes to SA | IT-Online - IT-Online [Last Updated On: June 16th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 16th, 2017]
- These 7 Disruptive Technologies Could Be Worth Trillions of Dollars - Singularity Hub [Last Updated On: June 17th, 2017] [Originally Added On: June 17th, 2017]