Now a 4 Point Lead for Scott Brown over Martha Coakley
A scant 4 weeks ago, Republican candidate for Senate Scott Brown was as much as 30 points behind Democrat Martha Coakley in one poll. Polls released earlier this week had him down by 4, another down by 2, and 1 actually showing him ahead by a single point. Now, State Senator Brown, appears to be pulling off the impossible: Poised to win what some liberal commentators have described as the "Ted Kennedy seat," in the United States Senate.
In what's being called a "Poll Shocker" by the Boston Herald this morning, Brown has opened up a 4-point lead.
From the Boston Herald:
Brown’s 4-point lead over Democrat Martha Coakley is within the Suffolk University/7News survey’s margin of error, the underdog’s position at the top of the results stunned even pollster David Paleologos.
"It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape."
The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technology executive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.
Pollster Paleologos went on to say that Brown clearly had the momentum, and predicted that all signs point to him posting a stunning come-from-behind victory:
"Either Brown’s momentum accelerates and his lead widens, or this becomes a wake-up call for Coakley to become the ‘Comeback Kid’ this weekend,” Paleologos said.
Sidenote: Various polls in New Jersey, days before the Governor's election in November had Chris Christie within the margin of error, ahead by 2 to 3 points. He won by 4.5%.
(H/t Memeo)
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