Remington/MOScout Poll: Senate 27

Survey conducted July 15 through July 16, 2020. 414 likely 2020 Republican Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2020 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-4.9% with a 95% level of confidence. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. Rehder is a client of Remington. See the full results here.

Q1: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trumps job performance as President of the United States?

Approve: 83%

Disapprove: 10%

Not sure: 7%

Q2: Candidates in the August 4th Republican Primary Election for State Senate are Holly Rehder and Kathy Swan. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Holly Rehder: 51%

Kathy Swan: 29%

Undecided: 20%

Q3: In general, how do you feel about reopening the economy?

We should be reopening faster: 40%

We are going at about the right speed: 34%

We are reopening too fast: 18%

Not sure: 8%

Q4: What do you think is the most pressing concern for state government?

Dealing with the coronavirus: 26%

Ending police brutality: 18%

Creating more jobs: 19%

Improving healthcare: 7%

Making neighborhoods safer: 8%

Something else: 6%

Not sure: 15%

TYPE OF GOP: Thinking about the various types of voters within the Republican party, which type of voter do you consider yourself to be? Evangelical, a Trump Republican, Traditional, Libertarian, or something else?

Evangelical: 18%

Trump: 48%

Traditional: 17%

Libertarian: 4%

Something else: 13%

MOScouts Hallway Index: Next Sessions CC #

The Senates Conservative Caucus is backing candidates in the Republican Senate primaries. I asked the hallway: How many members of the conservative caucus will there be when session starts in January? 25 replies

RESULTS

1. Less than 6 20%

2. 6 or 7 48%

3. 8 or 9 28%

4. 10 or more 4%

Sample of Comments

If they hold serve, could be 10+

10 inmates, controlling the asylum. Katy, bar the door!

It will be 8 or 9, but the number is a bit misleading because some of the new members are not on board with Eigel's fight against leadership.

The problem with any "caucus" is that as it gets bigger it invites dissension amongst the ranks. A caucus in the Senate probably works better if its just a few true believers instead of a greater number of folks that come and go on issues.

Ross and Rehder are looking likely to win so far. I believe the caucus will grow.

The Gang of Six might become Gang of Seven

My hopeful side wants to pick less than six but the realist in me cant do it.

I am saying five but am not counting Rehder as part of the group.

Who Won the Week?

Holly Rehder Jumps out to a lead in the latest MOScout poll.

Greg Razer Far outstripping his primary rival in money and organization with two weeks left.

Derek Grier Gets a White House invite for being a champion of regulatory reform.

Medicaid Expansion With the current outlook being that the opponents have decided on a grassroots campaign without big-dollar resources, passage gets better odds.

Deb Lavender Once again, she outraised incumbent Sen. Andrew Koenig by a large margin. She raised $141K to his $11K, and now holds a cash on-hand advantage of $426K to $175K.

See downloadable version here.

Franks to Gen Progress

Former Rep. Bruce Franks has joined Generation Progress as Senior Consultant.

See it here.

From their website: Generation Progress is a national advocacy and education organization that promotes progressive solutions to the political and social issues that matter to young people between the ages of 18 and 35. We strive to uplift the voices and leadership of young people across the country to ensure that their perspectives and needs are represented in policy-making spaces at all levels of government. Generation Progress is housed within the Center for American Progress, making us the only youth advocacy organization within a progressive think tank.

$5K+ Contributions

HBS MO State PAC - $25,000 from Altria Client Services.

Missourians for Healthcare - $20,000 from American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network, Inc.

Missourians for Healthcare - $18,993 from Missouri Hospital Association.

Women For Justice PAC - $10,000 from Laborers Union Local #110 Voluntary Political Fund.

Friends for Rusty MacLachlan - $7,500 from Coalition for Building a Better Tomorrow.

Birthdays

Happy birthdays to Becky Cook, Gary Otten, Charlie Davis, and Jim Gwinner.

Sunday: Rep. Rusty Black, John Griesheimer, Ashley Varner, David Overfelt, and Jim Anderson.

Go here to read the rest:

MOScout Weekender: Poll on Senate 27 - Hallway on Conservative Caucus Numbers - Franks to Gen Progress - WWTW and more... - Moscout