STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. A winter storm barreling toward Staten Island is threatening to dump inches of snow on the borough beginning on Thursday.

The National Weather Services latest forecast issued Tuesday shows Staten Island and the surrounding boroughs are expected to receive around five inches of snow between Thursday morning and Friday night.

An AccuWeather forecaster told the Advance/SILive.com wed see about three to six inches.

The National Weather Service's high-end probability for the upcoming winter storm. (NWS graphic)

The National Weather Service said there is about a 10% chance Staten Island sees a higher snowfall amount of around six inches.

The predictive graphic shows the North Shore of Staten Island being hit harder in this scenario, with the South and East shores still seeing around five inches.

The National Weather Service includes experimental probabilistic snowfall models to show a range of snowfall possibilities to compliment its forecasts in an effort to better communicate uncertainty during winter weather events, including maps that show a range of potential weather outcomes.

The low-end prediction of the upcoming winter storm. (NWS graphic)

There is a 90% chance that Staten Island and the surrounding boroughs receive at least two inches of snowfall between Thursday and Friday, the National Weather Service predicts.

The storm comes on the heels of multiple snowstorms in recent weeks that have dropped significant snowfall on the borough, causing slick roads and plowed-in cars.

The National Weather Service's chance of snowfall graphic. (NWS graphic)

There is an extremely high chance that snowfall occurs on Thursday, according to the National Weather Service, with around a 95% probability that at least one-tenth of an inch falls on Staten Island.

The agency said snow will begin mainly after 1 p.m. on Thursday before accelerating into the evening. A mix of rain and snow is then expected to carry over into Friday, the National Weather Service said.

There is a high chance that Staten Island sees at least two inches of snow. (NWS graphic)

There is about an 80% chance that Staten Island experiences over two inches of snow, the National Weather Service forecasts.

That percentage is consistent across other parts of New York City, but falls slightly to 78% in the area around John F. Kennedy International Airport.

This National Weather Service predictive forecast illustrates the percentage chance that Staten Island experiences over four inches of snow. (NWS graphic)

The National Weather Service said there is about a 40% chance that over two inches of snow falls on Staten Island.

The North Shore, according to this illustration, has a higher likelihood of seeing more snowfall, while the brunt of the storm passes north of Staten Island.

There is almost no chance Staten Island sees more than six inches of snowfall, the National Weather predictive map indicates. (NWS graphic)

There is almost no chance that Staten Island sees more than six inches of snow during the aforementioned time frame, the National Weather Service forecasts.

There is a small chance 1% that Manhattan and the Bronx sees over this amount, but the areas surrounding Staten Island all register a 0% chance of that level of precipitation, according to the agency.

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Forecast maps show snowfall possibilities for Staten Island Thursday - SILive.com