Futurists, academics and technologists have always wondered what life will be like in the years ahead.
Making bold predictions can be a risky move, leaving one looking more fool than oracle especially when the crystal ball gazing is done from several decades away.
We've put together seven predictions for life in 2020, from as far back as the 1960s and as recent as 2017.
In 1984 it turned out Apple founder Steve Jobs was already envisioning how a Siri-like AI companion would be assisting us in our day-to-day lives, in 2020. "The next stage is going to be computers as 'agents,'" he said in a 1984 interview with Newsweek's Access Magazine. "In other words, it will be as if there's a little person inside that box who starts to anticipate what you want. Rather than help you, it will start to guide you through large amounts of information. It will almost be like you have a little friend inside that box." Jobs was bang on the money, as underlined by the advancing digital butler-type tech rolled out by Google, Apple and Amazon.
In 2017 John McAfee, the controversial computer antivirus mogul, predicted that by the end of 2020 the price of a single Bitcoin would reach $1 million. The current Bitcoin price is hovering just over AUD $10,000, so the world's most popular cyptocurrency has a lot of work to do over the next 365 days. McAfee has promised to eat a body part if his bold prediction does not happen.
The average human living 100 years
Thirty years ago, futurist Ray Kurzweil predicted the average life expectancy for humans would be 100. While Kurzweil may have missed the mark with that call, turns out he foresaw the rise of wearable tech and how that kind of data could potentially help us live healthier lives. "Computerised health monitors built into watches, jewellery, and clothing which diagnose both acute and chronic health conditions are widely used. In addition to diagnosis, these monitors provide a range of remedial recommendations and interventions," he wrote in The Age of Spiritual Machines.
In 1968, with the world under the foreboding shadow of a perilous Cold War, a Stamford professor predicted nuclear power would rise to become the dominant force in US energy by the year 2020. Professor Charles Scarlott also believed any advances in renewable energy would be negligible and not figure large in the US energy mix. Turns out his estimations were wildly off-target. According to US government figures, nuclear electric power makes up about 9 per cent of total US energy production. Fossil fuels still dominate, with 79 per cent, and renewables coming in on 12 per cent.
In 2009 Microsoft released a promotional video, laying out its vision for life in 2020 (watch above). Microsoft doesn't proposes anything too radical. A lot of the featured technology hinted at was already in early stage development when the film was made. There is a lot of glass screen computing, touch screen tech and augmented reality too. A man slides apart his mobile phone into a series of cards, which isn't something we can do yet, but Samsung did give us with a foldable phone last year.
In a 1968 paper, a political science professor at world-renowned MIT predicted humans would become a cohesive band of happy and loving people, thanks to better communication, translation of language and a deeper understanding of what makes us tick emotionally and psychologically. "By the year 2018 nationalism should be a waning force in the world," Ithiel de Sola Pool wrote. While we are more connected than ever before, and supposedly know more about ourselves and the human condition than at any other time in history, global nationalism has never been more fierce since the end of WWII.
Read the original here:
How futurists from the past predicted life in 2020 - 9News
- The G-Bound RC Car Drives On Water [Rc] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Nanoparticles Can Rip Your DNA Apart Without Ever Touching It [Nanoparticles] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- My Favorite Top 10 List Today: The Dumbest Evil Geniuses Of All Time [Evil Geniuses] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- 5,000 Volts Is More Than Enough Power To Crush a Soda Can [DIY] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Computers Are Scary, But Steve Allen Is Here to Help [Retromodo] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Pangolin Backpack [Bags] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- New For iPhone: 2 Balls 1 Cup [IPhone Apps] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Office Building Or Home To A Super Heroine? [Architecture] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- This Inflating Bra Commercial Left Me Confused Yet Reaching For My Wallet [Nsfw] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- 10 Terrible Tips for Longer Battery Life [Humor] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Dealzmodo: $100 Xbox 360 at Amazon, More Electronics Deals All Day Long [Dealzmodo] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Gigabyte BIOS Update Fixes iPhone Syncing Issues [IPhone] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Hello Facebook User, I'm a Nigerian Prince in Need of Assistance... [Facebook] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Zune HD Update 4.3: Speedier Browser, Predictive Text and More [Zune Hd] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- 8-Bit Wedding Invitation Acknowledges the Marital Bickering to Come [8-Bit Wedding] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- The iPhone Nano Rumor Strikes Again: Coming to Verizon in 2010? [Rumor] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Building a NAS? Skip the Performance Drives [Nas] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Microsoft COFEE, Some of the Most Illegal Software You Can Pirate [Hacking] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Robot Cow Rectum: For Educational, not Recreational, Purposes [Robots] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Watch Jonathan Ive's Segment in Objectified [Apple] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- BlueBeat’s Innovative Defense That Will Never Hold Up in Court [Music] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Nokia Booklet 3G Landing November 15 at Best Buy [Nokia] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- Latest Snow Leopard Developer Build Breaks Hackintosh Support... Again [Hackintosh] [Last Updated On: November 7th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 7th, 2009]
- The Cité du Design Certainly Lives Up to Its Name [Architecture] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- 64% of Men Don’t RTFM Before Calling Tech Support [Tech Support] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- MIT Media Lab: Electronic Wallpaper, Conductive Threads and More [Fashion] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Famous Paintings Reproduced In Coffee [Art] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- How Far Can 'Medical Tourism' Go? [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Actuarial Escape Velocity [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- A Rebuttal to 'Peak Oil' Doomsday Predictions [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Reverend Jeremiah White,...I mean, Wright [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Energy vs. Financials, A Divergence of Historical Extremes [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- US Ideological Distribution, 2008 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Ten Biotechnology Breakthroughs Soon to be Available [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Nanohealing Material Heads to Market [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Solar Revolution is Near [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Why the US Will Still be the Only Superpower in 2030, v2.0 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Culture of Happiness [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Surfaces : The Next Killer Ap in Computing [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- More on the Economics of Medical Tourism [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Ten Myths in America [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Can Buildings be 'Printed'? [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Pre-Singularity Abundance Milestones [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Futurist's Stock Portfolio for 2009 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- A Future Timeline for Economics [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- A History of Stock Market Bottoms [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- A Few Electoral Statistics [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- It's Official : The Recession Began in December 2007 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- How We Decisively WON in Iraq in 2008 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- 2008 Technology Breakthrough Roundup [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Futurist's Stock Portfolio for 2008 - RESULTS [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Why Government is Set to Extinguish Silicon Valley [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Solar Power's Next 5 Game-Changing Technologies [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The End of Rabbit Ears, a Billion more Broadband Users - Part II [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Guantanamo Meets Geneva Convention Rules [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Nanotechnology : Bubble, Bust, ....Boom? [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Form of Economic Recovery [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Impact of Computing : 78% More per Year, v2.0 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Wolfram Alpha : The Birth of Web 3.0 [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Energy vs. Financials, RESULTS [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- SETI and the Singularity [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Eight Ways to Supercharge the US Economy [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Next Big Thing in Entertainment, A Half-Time Update [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Video Conferencing : A Cascade of Disruptions [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Timing the Singularity [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Mobile Broadband Surge : A Prediction Follow Up [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Next Two US Recessions [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Google Promotes Droid Day With Rare Homepage Ad [Google] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Microsoft Confirms Improved Xbox 360 Warranty Seal [Blockquote] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- OpenOfficeMouse Is An 18 Button Freak, But I Want It [Mouse] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- 10 Classic Analog Games Defiled By Digital [Tgif] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Wire Your House With Ethernet Cable For Better Home Networking [DIY] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Next Room Eavesdropping Device Is Way Better Than a Drinking Glass [Surveillance] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Steve Jobs and Sarah Jessica Parker Sittin' In A Courthouse B-E-I-N-G S-U-E-D [Lawsuits] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Folding Titanium Spork Is the Ultimate Portable Eating Utensil [Spork] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- The Queen of Google: "I Do Code All Night!" [Google] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- This Week's Best iPhone Apps [IPhone Apps] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- DIY Star Trek Bluetooth Communicator Almost Makes Regular Bluetooth Headsets Look Stylish [DIY] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- Intel Swears That It's Gonna Stop Its Firmware From Bricking Any More SSDs [Intel] [Last Updated On: November 8th, 2009] [Originally Added On: November 8th, 2009]
- H20 Audio's Waterproof iPod Nano Case Is Built for Surfer-Videographers [Accessories] [Last Updated On: December 12th, 2009] [Originally Added On: December 12th, 2009]