Greta Thunberg Says UN Climate Conference Is a Scam and She’s Not Attending

The UN's upcoming COP27 climate conference in Egypt is basically a

COP Out

Ever since she lambasted world leaders at a UN conference in 2018 when she was only 15 years old, Swedish environmental activist Greta Thunberg has had the ear of the international community.

Now, Thunberg says she's skipping out on next week's COP27 UN climate summit in Egypt. Why? Because it's rife with "greenwashing."

"I'm not going to COP27 for many reasons, but the space for civil society this year is extremely limited," Thunberg said at a press event for her book, "The Climate Book," as quoted by The Guardian. "The COPs are mainly used as an opportunity for leaders and people in power to get attention, using many different kinds of greenwashing."

Ultimately, in Thunberg's view, the COP conferences "are not really meant to change the whole system" and instead only promote incremental change. Bluntly put, they're feel-good events that don't accomplish much, so she's bowing out.

Wasted Breath

It's not an unfair assessment. For all the pledges made to drastically cut back emissions and achieve net carbon zero by 2050, very few nations have followed through in the short term. And in Europe, the energy crisis in the wake of the war in Ukraine has further sidelined those climate commitments.

So we can't blame her for not going. But it's a bit disheartening that even a tenacious young spokesperson like Thunberg has given up on convincing world leaders at the biggest climate summit in the world.

Maybe it's indicative of the frustrations of her generation at large. When Thunberg was asked what she thought about the recent wave of Just Stop Oil protests that included activists throwing soup on a Van Gogh painting, she said that she viewed what many detractors perceived as a dumb stunt to be symptomatic of the world's failure to effect meaningful environmental change.

"People are trying to find new methods because we realize that what we have been doing up until now has not done the trick," she replied, as quoted by Reuters. "It's only reasonable to expect these kinds of different actions."

Maybe the real question is: if even a UN climate conference isn't the place to get the message out and change hearts, where's the right place, and what's the right way? If the headlines are any indication, zoomers are struggling to figure that out.

More on Greta Thunberg: Greta Thunberg Thinks Germany Shutting Down Its Nuclear Plants Is a Bad Idea

The post Greta Thunberg Says UN Climate Conference Is a Scam and She's Not Attending appeared first on Futurism.

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Greta Thunberg Says UN Climate Conference Is a Scam and She's Not Attending

Huge Drone Swarm to Form Giant Advertisement Over NYC Skyline

Someone apparently thought it was a great idea to fly 500 drones over NYC as part of an ad experiment without much warning.

Droning On

Someone thinks it's a great idea to fly 500 drones over New York City to create a huge ad in the sky on Thursday evening. Because New Yorkers certainly don't have any historical reason to mistrust unknown aircraft over their skyline, right?

As Gothamist reports, the drone swarm is part of a "surreal takeover of New York City’s skyline" on behalf of — we shit you not — the mobile game Candy Crush.

Fernanda Romano, Candy Crush's chief marketing officer, told Gothamist that the stunt will "turn the sky into the largest screen on the planet" using the small, light-up drones.

Though this is not the first time the Manhattan skyline has been used as ad space — that distinction goes to the National Basketball Association and State Farm, which did a similar stunt this summer during the NBA draft — local lawmakers are ticked off about it nonetheless.

"I think it’s outrageous to be spoiling our city’s skyline for private profit," Brad Hoylman, a state senator that represents Manhattan's West Side in the NY Legislature, told the local news site. "It’s offensive to New Yorkers, to our local laws, to public safety, and to wildlife."

Freak Out

Indeed, as the NYC Audubon Society noted in a tweet, the Candy Crush crapshoot "could disrupt the flight patterns of thousands of birds flying through NYC, leading to collisions with buildings" as they migrate.

Beyond the harm this will do to birds and the annoyance it will undoubtedly cause the famously-grumpy people of New York, this stunt is also going down with very little warning, considering that Gothamist is one of the only news outlets even reporting on it ahead of time.

While most viewers will hopefully be able to figure out what's going on pretty quickly, the concept of seeing unknown aircraft above the skyline is a little too reminiscent of 9/11 for comfort — and if Candy Crush took that into consideration, they haven't let on.

So here's hoping this event shocks and awes Thursday night city-goers in a good way, and not in the way that makes them panic.

More drone warfare: Russia Accused of Pelting Ukraine Capital With "Kamikaze" Drones

The post Huge Drone Swarm to Form Giant Advertisement Over NYC Skyline appeared first on Futurism.

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Huge Drone Swarm to Form Giant Advertisement Over NYC Skyline

War in Ukraine: latest developments

Here are the latest developments in the war in Ukraine:

Russian authorities in the Crimean Black Sea peninsula -- seized by Moscow from Ukraine in 2014 -- say a small explosive device from a commercial drone, likely launched nearby, hit the navy command in Sevastopol.

The local mayor blames "Ukrainian nationalists" for the attack that forced the cancellation of festivities in the city marking Russia's annual holiday celebrating the navy.

But a spokesman for Ukraine's Odessa region military administration denies Kyiv -- whose nearest positions are some 200 kilometres (125 miles) away -- is responsible, calling the incident "a sheer provocation".

"Ourliberation of Crimea from the occupiers will be carried out in another way and much more effectively," spokesman Sergiy Bratchuk writes on Telegram.

Authorities in Ukraine's southern city of Mykolaiv say widespread Russian bombardments overnight killed at least two civilians including a grain tycoon, as Moscow continues to pummel the sprawling front line.

"Mykolaiv was subjected to mass shelling today. Probably the strongest so far," the city's mayor Oleksandr Senkevych writes on Telegram.

The authorities say leading Ukrainian agricultural magnate Oleksiy Vadatursky, 74, and his wife Raisa were killed when a missile struck their house

Vadatursky, who was ranked Ukraine's 24th richest man with a fortune worth $430 million by Forbes, owned major grain exporter Nibulon and was previously decorated with the prestigious "Hero of Ukraine" award.

A spokesman for the Turkish presidency says there is a "high probability" that a first ship carrying Ukrainian grain could leave Ukraine's port of Odessa on Monday.

That is despite Russian missiles hitting the city in the wake of the July 22 agreement on shipping grain between Russia, Turkey, the UN and Ukraine.

"There is a strong possibility that a first ship could leave tomorrow morning if everything is sorted out by this evening," Ibrahim Kalin says in an interview with Kanal 7 television Sunday.

Story continues

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky calls for the evacuation of the eastern Donetsk region which has seen fierce clashes between his country's forces and the Russian military.

"There's already a governmental decision about obligatory evacuation from Donetsk region. Please, follow evacuation. At this phase of the war, terror is a main weapon of Russia," he says.

Official Ukrainian estimates put the number of civilians still living in the unoccupied area of Donetsk at between 200,000 and 220,000.

"The decision to leave should be taken at some point. The more people who leave Donetsk region now, the fewer people the Russian army will kill," Zelensky says.

Kyiv and Moscow trade blame over strikes on a jail holding Ukrainian prisoners of war in Kremlin-controlled Olenivka.

Russia's military says 50 Ukrainian servicemen died, including troops who had surrendered after weeks of fighting off Russia's brutal bombardment of the sprawling Azovstal steelworks in the port city of Mariupol.

Ukraine says Russia was behind the attack, with Zelensky accusing the Moscow of the "deliberate mass murder of Ukrainian prisoners of war".

Russia's defence ministry says it has invited the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) and the United Nations to visit the site "in the interests of an objective investigation".

bur-imm/pvh

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War in Ukraine: latest developments

Russia-Ukraine war: what we know on day 163 of the invasion – The Guardian

Ukraine has ceded some territory in the Donbas region to Russian forces, with Kyiv acknowledging Russias partial success in recent days. The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has described the pressure his forces are under in the east of the country as hell. They have recaptured two villages near the city of Sloviansk, according to Ukrainian general Oleksiy Hromov, but have been forced to abandon a coal mine regarded as a key defensive position as forces are pushed to the outskirts of Avdiivka.

Russia may launch an offensive in the southern Ukrainian region of Kherson to try to wrest back momentum from Kyiv and has been visibly building up forces, Hromov said on Thursday. Much of the region is already occupied by Russia after it captured areas at the beginning of its invasion, but Ukrainian forces have been developing a counter-offensive to regain territory.

Three more ships carrying grain have been authorised to leave Ukraines ports on Friday as part of an international accord brokered to unblock grain exports and alleviate the global food crisis. The ships are bound for Turkey, Ireland and the UK. Millions of tonnes of grain have been stuck in Ukraine since Russia invaded just over six months ago.

Ukraine will receive another financing package worth about $8bn from the European Union by September, a German government source told Reuters.

Canada is sending up to 225 Canadian armed forces to the UK to recommence the training of Ukrainian military recruits, the Canadian defence minister has announced. Since 2015, Canada has trained 33,000 Ukrainian military and security personnel but in February paused aspects of the training.

Eight people have been killed and four wounded in Russian artillery shelling in the eastern Ukrainian town of Toretsk in Donetsk oblast on Thursday, the regional governor has said. The shelling hit a public transport stop where people had gathered. Three children were among the wounded, said the areas governor, Pavlo Kyrylenko.

Nato members are working closely with defence companies to ensure Ukraine gets more supplies of weapons and equipment to be prepared for a drawn out war with Russia, the Nato secretary general, Jens Stoltenberg, said on Thursday. He told Reuters in an interview: We are providing a lot of support but we need to do even more and be prepared for the long haul.

A US official accused Moscow of preparing to plant fake evidence to make it look like the recent mass killing of Ukrainian prisoners in an attack on a Russian-controlled prison was caused by Ukraine. Kyiv and Moscow have traded blame over the strikes on the prison in Kremlin-controlled Olenivka, in eastern Ukraine, last week.

Amnesty International has said the Ukrainian army is endangering the life of civilians by basing themselves in residential areas. The report has been rejected by Ukrainian government representatives, who say it places blame on Ukraine for Russias invasion. The human rights groups researchers found that Ukrainian forces were using some schools and hospitals as bases, firing near houses and sometimes living in residential flats. Ukraines deputy defence minister, Hanna Maliar, accused Amnesty of distorting the real picture and of failing to understand the situation on the ground.

Original post:

Russia-Ukraine war: what we know on day 163 of the invasion - The Guardian

Ukraine military aid doesn’t always get to the front lines: "Like 30% of it reaches its final destination" – CBS News

Watch theCBS Reports documentary "Arming Ukraine" in the video player above, or stream it on the CBS News app Sunday, Aug. 7, at 8 p.m., 11 p.m. or 2 a.m. ET.

In a war being fought largely in World War II era trenches, with Soviet ammunition, the vast influx of modern NATO weapons and military supplies from the West into Ukraine has proven to be among the largest determinants of whether territory is lost, or gained, along Ukraine's embattled border region with Russia.

The bulk of these weapons and military supplies make their way to the border of Poland, where U.S. and NATO allies quickly ferry it across the border and into the hands of Ukrainian officials. That's where U.S. oversight ends.

"All of this stuff goes across the border, and then something happens, kind of like 30% of it reaches its final destination," said Jonas Ohman, founder and CEO of Blue-Yellow, a Lithuania-based organization that has been meeting with and supplying frontline units with military aid in Ukraine since the start of the conflict with Russia-backed separatists in 2014.

"30-40%, that's my estimation," he said in April of this year.

The United States has committed over $23 billion in military aid to Ukraine since the start of the war at the end of February, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, which has been tracking global commitments of aid to Ukraine. The United Kingdom has committed $3.7 billion, Germany $1.4 billion, and Poland $1.8 billion, with multiple other countries following suit.

A combination of Ukraine's constantly shifting front lines with its largely volunteer and paramilitary forces has made delivery of the military aid difficult for those attempting to navigate the dangerous supply lines to their destination. Some have raised concerns about weapons falling into Ukraine's black market, which has thrived on corruption since the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Ohman relies largely on unofficial channels to deliver his supplies, which can include anything from night-vision scopes and radios to Kevlar vests, ballistic helmets and modern drones, which have proven to be essential eyes in the sky for breaking through stalemates on the battlefield. His group's status as an NGO does not permit him to deliver "lethal weapons."

"There are like power lords, oligarchs, political players," Ohman said, describing the corruption and bureaucracy he has to work around. "The system itself, it's like, 'We are the armed forces of Ukraine. If security forces want it, well, the Americans gave it to us.' It's kind of like power games all day long, and so eventually people need the stuff, and they go to us."

Andy Millburn is a retired U.S. Marine colonel who served in Iraq and Somalia and recently founded the Mozart Group, a company dedicated to training frontline Ukrainian soldiers. He traveled to Ukraine after the Russian invasion and set up a base in the capital Kyiv.

"If you provide supplies, or a logistics pipeline, there has got to be some organization to it, right? If the ability to which you're willing to be involved in that stops at the Ukrainian border, the surprise isn't that, oh, all this stuff isn't getting to where it needs to go the surprise is that people actually expected it to," said Millburn.

"If United States' policy is to support Ukraine in the defense of its country against the Russian Federation, you can't go halfway with that. You can't create artificial lines. I understand that means that U.S. troops are not fighting Russians. I understand even U.S. troops are not crossing the border. But why not at least put people in place to supervise the country? They can be civilians to ensure that the right things are happening," he said.

In July, Ambassador Bonnie Denise Jenkins, Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security at the U.S. State Department, said "the potential for illicit diversion of weapons is among a host of political-military and human rights considerations."

But she added, "We are confident in the Ukrainian Government's commitment to appropriately safeguard and account for the U.S.-origin defense equipment."

Ukraine has created a temporary special commission to track the flow of weapons inside the country. But still, weapons experts say they have seen situations like this before.

"Every country and every situation is very different, but certainly if I look back, Iraq is another country where there have been cyclical deliveries. We saw a lot of weapons come in 2003 with the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq, and then 2014 happened when ISIS took over large parts of the country and took over large stocks of weapons that had been meant for Iraqi forces," said Donatella Rovera, a senior crisis adviser for Amnesty International who has been monitoring human rights violations in Ukraine.

"More recently, we saw the same situation occur in Afghanistan," she said of the U.S. withdrawal and Taliban takeover of the country. "Oversight mechanisms should be in place to avoid that."

"That's one of the reasons we have to win the war," said Ohman. "If we lose the war, if we have this kind of gray zone, semi-failed state scenario or something like that. If you do this you funnel lots of lethal resources into a place and you lose then you will have to face the consequences."

Dymtro Vlasov contributed to this report.

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Ukraine military aid doesn't always get to the front lines: "Like 30% of it reaches its final destination" - CBS News

Russia Steps Up Attacks on Ukrainian Fortifications in the East – The New York Times

Ukrainian soldiers along frontline trenches near Barvinkove in eastern Ukraine on Monday.Credit...David Guttenfelder for The New York Times

DRUZHKIVKA, Ukraine Longstanding strongpoints of Ukraines defense in the east have come under intense attack in recent days, according to the Ukrainian Army and Western military analysts.

That Ukrainian soldiers still hold the trench mazes and fortifications in two suburban towns, Avdiivka and Pisky, on the edge of the city of Donetsk is a testament to the value of their dug-in positions in the east. Ukraines strong defensive positions have slowed the Russian Armys advance to a crawl, with only two large cities, Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk, and a few dozen miles of territory changing hands despite thousands of soldiers killed on both sides.

It was unclear exactly why assaults on the fortifications have been intensifying, and the assaults are an exception to a general tapering off of Russian attacks in the eastern Donbas region, which had been the focus of the war for months. Some military analysts believe that the relative lull has been partly a result of Russian forces diverting to the south to fend off a Ukrainian counteroffensive there.

The two towns, mostly deserted and destroyed, are hardly big prizes to capture, but if they were to fall, that could ease Russian advances toward the three large cities in the Donetsk region remaining under Ukrainian control, Bakhmut, Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.

The Ukrainian army and paramilitary groups built the fortifications in the two towns during the eight years of low-intensity war after Russias 2014 military intervention in Ukraine to prop up a separatist region, the Donetsk Peoples Republic. They are now among Ukraines easternmost positions.

Weaving through abandoned factories and mines, taking advantage of root cellars in country homes and using swamps as natural barriers, the defensive lines there have withstood countless assaults. After failing to flank Avdiivka, Russia began direct tank assaults this week, according to the Institute for the Study of War, a Washington-based research organization.

The institute noted Russian propaganda videos suggesting that Russian troops had overrun a position at the ventilation shaft of the Butiyka coal mine, which since 2015 had been the closest Ukrainian position to the city of Donetsk, a few miles from what the separatists claim is their capital.

The Ukrainian general staff has said the tank assaults did not push its soldiers from Avdiivka, but noted that they were a partial success, in a possible acknowledgment of the loss of the strategically and politically important position.

For days in a row now, the enemy has not let up on attempts to attack, the Ukrainian military governor of Avdiivka, Vitaliy Barabash, told Radio Liberty on Wednesday. Everywhere is being hit by artillery and aviation bombs.

The Russian military has also fired into the town with rockets that spray flammable material into the air and then ignite it, creating a giant fireball. The Russian thermobaric rocket system, nicknamed the Heatwave, is one of the most destructive weapons in Russias arsenal.

People are living in horrible, inhuman conditions, Mr. Barabash said. He said that about 2,000 civilians remained in Avdiivka out of a pre-invasion population of about 20,000. Every day, the city is shelled about 20 times, he said.

Overall, Russias campaign in Donbas has tapered off in recent weeks after the appearance on the battlefield of American HIMARS, the long-range rocket-launching system used to hit ammunition depots behind Russian lines, and the start of Ukraines counteroffensive around the southern city of Kherson, according to Serhiy Grabskiy, a former Ukrainian army colonel and commentator on the war for the Ukrainian news media. Russia has diverted about 10,000 soldiers from the attack on Sloviansk to defend the south, he said.

Ukrainian forces created in the Donbas quite effective defensive positions over the past several years, Mr. Grabskiy said in a telephone interview. The Russians are frankly stuck in Donbas now without real success, he said. And they have a new headache: the south, which from the perspective of the Ukrainian armed forces is a more important strategic goal.

Read the rest here:

Russia Steps Up Attacks on Ukrainian Fortifications in the East - The New York Times

Western media and the war on truth in Ukraine – Al Jazeera English

Who is winning the war in Ukraine depends on who is doing the talking.

Predictably, Russia says that it is winning as planned, while the United States says Ukraine is pulling a surprise win, thanks to its steadfast resistance and Western support.

On the face of it, authoritarian Russia cannot be trusted with the facts, let alone the truth about the war, while the liberal West inspires greater credibility as it allows for a free and independent inquiry. But in reality, as Chinese military strategist Sun Tzu said, all warfare is based on deception. Neither side could or should be trusted to reduce the fog of war, because both are fully engaged in psychological warfare, which is key to winning the overall war in Ukraine.

In fact, both sides are propagating their own selective facts and myths, while censoring counterclaims, as each needs to maintain an appearance of progress in order to justify big sacrifices in blood or treasure. And both sides need to up the ante in order to harden public resolve behind their goals, which thus far have excluded any serious effort towards a diplomatic solution.

Russia hopes to degrade the morale of the Ukrainian resistance and deflate European support for a war that cannot be won, while the US wants to shore up Ukrainian and European enthusiasm for a winnable war, even if privately, US officials doubt Ukraine could recover all its occupied territories.

While the Russian media has little or no choice but to parrot the official line, Western media has a choice but chooses to trust NATO and Pentagon briefs and reports, regardless of their intentions. Take for example the declaration of an anonymous (why anonymous?) senior Pentagon official that: Russia has committed nearly 85 percent of its military to the war in Ukraine and has removed military coverage from other areas on their border and around the world; Russia still has not figured out how to use combined arms effectively; Russia is taking hundreds of casualties a day. Among Russias military fatalities have been thousands of lieutenants and captains, hundreds of colonels, and many generals.

Now I have no clue if any of this or other such claims are true, and nor I suspect do the officials propagating it or the journalists spreading it. But it is out there, shaping the opinions of the public, the elites and the experts, most of who believe Ukraine is able to pull off some sort of an upset if not an outright victory against its largely more powerful neighbour. But the Western and especially Anglo-American media seems to suffer from short, or should I say selective memory when it takes the official line at face value, as if the official deception during yesterdays wars in Afghanistan, Iraq or Vietnam, has no bearing on covering todays war in Ukraine.

In 2019, theWashington Post newspaper revealed that senior US officials failed to tell the truth about the war in Afghanistan throughout the 18-year campaign, making rosy pronouncements they knew to be false and hiding unmistakable evidence the war had become unwinnable. In other words, they lied. But media outlets, think-tanks and influential pundits continued to rely on these officials; even after it was revealed that they have also lied about another war the Iraq war, which was also fought on false pretence and fabricated evidence.

Official deception was even worse during the Cold War. For example, the Pentagon Papers published about half a century ago revealed that the US government was guilty of an enormous cover-up regarding the terrible losses in the Vietnam war, which led to some 55,000 American and more than a million Vietnamese deaths. Any expectation that US media and the publics trust in the governments take on wars was forever diminished, turned out to be premature, as official lies about the dirty wars in Asia and Central America continued to be widely reported as facts.

Even today, as US Special Operation Command covertly deploys special forces across Africa to fight shadow wars, it blatantly preaches free and transparent press. One does not know whether to laugh or cry.

So it is no surprise that governments, whether autocracies or democracies, lie about wars for tactical or strategic reasons. In fact, there is a fancy name for it stratagem, which means to deliberately send untrue signals to unsettle the enemy while reassuring ones own side.

What is shocking is how the free press in the free world, which to its credit has helped reveal much of the official deception in the past as in the Pentagon Papers and the Afghan Papers, is adamant about echoing and amplifying the official line as if it were complicit in the war.

Watching journalists and pundits in respected American and British journals exhaust the synonyms of fascist, evil and dangerous to describe Russias Putin, with little or no attempt at balance or objectivity, one is inclined to believe that Western media has largely been enlisted in NATOs crusade against Putins Russia until victory. But what does victory entail here: liberating all of Ukraine? Or weakening Russia to the extent it no longer threatens other European countries?

The difference cannot be overstated, because NATOs ultimate objective is to defeat Russia and deter China from following in its footsteps, regardless of the price for Ukraine. That is why both sides seem adamant to continue the fight regardless of the cost. Russia hopes time will force a weakened Ukraine and a wobbly Europe to blink first and eventually back down. And the US is keen on Ukrainians fighting on regardless of whether a victory is achievable, as long as the war exhausts the Russian military and weakens its economy. It is betting that Putins Russia will crack in Ukraine just as the Soviet Union imploded after a decade-long war against the US-supported armed uprising in Afghanistan. But then again, Ukraine is no Afghanistan; not in any relevant way, and Russia does not view it as a disposable geopolitical asset.

So even if Ukraine has in fact managed a surprise upset against the invading Russian forces and forced Moscow into an unexpected war of attrition, it remains far from certain that it could maintain its counter-offensive for another six months, let alone another six years.

The ongoing battle for Kherson may provide a clearer signal about where things are heading. But as long as Western military support remains robust but defensive in nature so as not to risk a nuclear confrontation with Russia, expect the destructive war of attrition to continue in the medium run, or reach a tense stalemate at best, not any form of a decisive victory for either side.

Did someone say diplomacy?!

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Western media and the war on truth in Ukraine - Al Jazeera English

Ukraine’s wedding dress industry is alive and well, despite the war – NPR

Inside the workshop and showroom of Giovanna Alessandro, in Chernivtsi, Ukraine. Eleanor Beardsley/NPR hide caption

Inside the workshop and showroom of Giovanna Alessandro, in Chernivtsi, Ukraine.

CHERNIVTSI, Ukraine American bride-to-be Nona Griffin fell in love with the first wedding dress she tried on in a small bridal shop where she lives in Dublin.

"I was like, yes, this is the dress. It has really intricate embroidery on it the details are just really special," she told NPR over the phone.

Griffin had brought her mom along, who wanted to make sure the dress wasn't made somewhere like China. That's when they found out it was from Ukraine. It was the last week of December.

"She was, like, 'I don't know what we're going to do if Russia invades Ukraine,'" says Griffin. "The dress shop owner said that's not gonna happen. She said you're crazy, basically, and we just kind of laughed it off."

Griffin says she was seized with guilt when the invasion did happen. She felt superficial for worrying about whether she'd get her dress on time when Ukrainians were fighting a war.

Seamstresses Lilya Chorpiyta and Oksana Harik working in the workshop and showroom of Giovanna Alessandro. Eleanor Beardsley/NPR hide caption

Seamstresses Lilya Chorpiyta and Oksana Harik working in the workshop and showroom of Giovanna Alessandro.

But dress designer Yana Bashmakova understands Griffin's feelings perfectly.

"It's normal," she says. "It's the one day in the life of the bride. And it's very important to receive the dress on time."

Thirty-three-year-old Bashmakova runs a dressmaking business along with her husband Alexandr Marandyuk, in Chernivtsi, a western Ukrainian town near the Romanian border that was once the wedding dress capital of the Soviet Union.

As the war shatters Ukraine's economy, many businesses are going bankrupt. But others that anticipated the conflict and adapted have found new opportunities.

That is the case for Bashmakova and Marandyuk, and their wedding dress company, which is called Giovanna Alessandro an Italianized combination of the couple's first names.

At their factory showroom and workshop, seamstresses lean over tables piled with white satin and lace. Sewing machines hum. Giovanna Alessandro exports all over the world, but that wasn't always the case.

When they started their business in 2009, countries from the former Soviet Union were their market. That all changed in 2014, the year of the Maidan uprising in Kyiv, when Ukrainians ousted their pro-Kremlin president.

Wedding dress designer Yana Bashmakova, holding son Adam, runs the Ukrainian wedding dress company Giovanna Alessandro along with her husband Alexandr Marandyuk. Eleanor Beardsley/NPR hide caption

Wedding dress designer Yana Bashmakova, holding son Adam, runs the Ukrainian wedding dress company Giovanna Alessandro along with her husband Alexandr Marandyuk.

Russian President Vladimir Putin responded by annexing Crimea, and fomenting and arming a separatist revolt in Ukraine's Donbas region.

Marendyuk says that's also when Russia's propaganda machine really geared up.

This couple says the current war really started in 2014.

"I felt the aggression of the dress shop owners we worked with in Moscow and it was unacceptable for me," he says. "I told them, you're calling me fascist and telling me we have Nazis in Ukraine but you're ordering my dresses?"

Bashmakova remembers going to a bridal show in Moscow in 2015.

"When they saw my passport, I always had problems," she says. "Everything would be OK until I pulled out my Ukrainian passport. Then I could wait two or three hours in a hotel lobby to get my room number or key. And I waited hours to get gas if they saw Ukrainian license plates."

Marandyuk says they decided to no longer work with dress shop owners who approved of the annexation of Crimea.

In 2014, the ruble also plummeted, leaving many of their Russian clients unable to afford their dresses. Out of the 90 stores they once partnered with in Russia, today they only do business with two.

"That's why 80% of the wedding industry in Chernivitsi went bankrupt," says Marandyuk.

Seamstress Yana Motulyak inspects a dress inside the workshop and showroom of Giovanna Alessandro. Eleanor Beardsley/NPR hide caption

Seamstress Yana Motulyak inspects a dress inside the workshop and showroom of Giovanna Alessandro.

Giovanna Alessandro would have followed that same path if the company had not pivoted to the West, he says.

"We survived because of Yana's talent designing dresses, and because we decided to sell dresses to America and Europe and traveled to various international exhibitions," Marandyuk says.

But the pivot wasn't easy. Their cheaper fabrics and glued-on beads didn't cut it in the West. Name recognition was another problem. Marandyuk says people confused Ukraine with the U.K. Or had no idea where or even what Ukraine was.

Despite that, bridal show participants were struck by their unique designs.

The couple made investments. They sourced better-quality fabrics. Every bead is now sewn by hand. Marendyuk says today, each of their dresses is a couture creation, but with a lower price tag than dresses by Western designers.

Diana Lupascu is the owner of the Dublin shop Angelo Bridal, where American bride Griffin bought her dress. Lupascu says Ukrainian designers are very popular.

"There is a big, big interest in Ukrainian designers," she says. "It's a different design, very high-quality fabrics and a lot of handmade. We see how well their dresses do in our shop compared to other designers."

The Giovanna Alessandro dressmaking business, in Chernivtsi, Ukraine, makes around 350 dresses a month. They're sold in more than 200 shops in 48 countries. Eleanor Beardsley/NPR hide caption

The Giovanna Alessandro dressmaking business, in Chernivtsi, Ukraine, makes around 350 dresses a month. They're sold in more than 200 shops in 48 countries.

The Ukrainian dress makers also offer strong client service, says Lupascu. With no problem doing alterations.

Marendyuk believes they have another advantage over Western designers: a greater range of sizes. Several large-size mannequins wear wedding dresses in their showroom.

"European designers don't propose so many sizes," he says. "They propose five, we propose 10."

The couple says the full-on Russian invasion this winter stunned them and they closed but only for a week. Seventy percent of their employees who fled have returned.

"We found a way to deliver through Romania and we haven't disappointed any of our brides," says Bashmakova.

Today they're making around 350 dresses a month, which are sold in more than 200 shops in 48 countries, with no end in sight in a post-COVID wedding boom.

Bashmakova says they're now working for more than their own success.

"We are not removing our production or our manufacturing to another country to Poland or to Romania," she says. "We are staying in Ukraine. We will build our economy."

And now, she says with a laugh, everyone knows Ukraine!

Read more here:

Ukraine's wedding dress industry is alive and well, despite the war - NPR

Beyond Ukraine: refugees relying on the kindness of strangers – Financial Times

More than 6mn people have fled Ukraine since Russia launched its full invasion of the country, many of them travelling across the globe in search of safety.

The refugees have mainly sought safety in nearby European countries such as Poland, Germany and the Czech Republic, but some have travelled as far afield as Japan and Iceland. It marks the biggest movement of people in Europe since the second world war.

After the Financial Times asked readers for their accounts of ways in which they had been affected by the war, hundreds shared stories of helping Ukrainians, with some putting us in touch with those they were hosting.

We heard directly from Ukrainian refugees, who described the anxiety of fleeing a war zone, their experiences adjusting to unfamiliar countries and their hopes for the future. Hardship, heartache and uncertainty were constants, but so too were acts of kindness by people who offered a safe place to call home.

A passion for karate was the one connection that made Japan seem less alien for Artem Tsymbaliuk. He arrived in the small Japanese mountain town of Nagano three months ago after fleeing Ukraine with his mother.

Tsymbaliuk, who started learning martial arts four years ago, was among nine Ukrainian refugees brought to Japan by Takashi Ozawa, founder of an international karate group to which some of them belonged, after Russias invasion of Ukraine. The war has divided his family with his father, a construction worker, fighting on the front line while his 22-year-old brother lives in Poland.

We all miss each other, Tsymbaliuk said in an interview through an interpreter. But Im very proud of my father for defending our country and I want to be like him when I grow up.

He was speaking a week after a Russian air strike on his hometown of Vinnytsia last month that killed at least 25 people, including three children.

We search for new information on the internet every morning, noon and evening, said Olena Volosenko, his 44-old-mother. We put in calls to make sure our relatives and friends are safe. This is the biggest concern for us.

Tsymbaliuk tries to speak to his father every day but on some days when he is out on the battlefield, they are unable to reach each other, leaving him uncertain about his parents wellbeing.

Despite the disruption caused by the war, Tsymbaliuks face breaks into a smile when asked about his new life in the town of Takamori.

I go to school every day and have made new friends. I also take karate lessons and am eating various Japanese foods that Ive never tasted before, said Tsymbaliuk, who is learning Japanese and keeps in touch with friends at home via occasional online chats.

Japan has accepted just 1,586 people from Ukraine since the war began, according to the Immigration Services Agency. While the Ukrainians have not been granted formal refugee status, allowing that number of people to flee to Japan is a big policy shift for Tokyo and the figure for the evacuees contrasts sharply with the 74 refugees a record at the time Japan accepted last year.

In April, Ozawa personally arranged for plane tickets to Japan for the nine Ukrainian refugees and collected donations to support them in the absence of government funding.

All the kids are very cheerful and its hard to tell that there is a war going on looking at their faces, Ozawa said.

Tsymbaliuk receives karate lessons from Ozawa twice a week and, he said, the experience has been one of the highlights of his stay in Japan. I love karate because I can feel myself getting stronger, he said.

Before the war, life was good for Yelyzaveta Taranukha. When Russian forces invaded, the philology and comparative literature student was reluctant to join the exodus out of Kyiv with her friends.

How could I leave my life, my partner? I thought it would be over in a matter of days, she recalled. I was one of those people who, until the very last moment, could not accept the idea that a full-scale invasion was actually happening.

She and her partner spent the first week sleeping in a shelter as the Russians launched air strikes that shook the capital. The psychological impact of constant shelling quickly took its toll. Taranukha decided to leave for Lviv, the first step to finding a haven abroad.

She packed a few possessions into a rucksack, taking just a laptop, passport, student diploma, personal documents and a single change of clothes.

The hardest thing was leaving Ukraine without my partner. He couldnt go with me as men were expected to stay and join the military even though he has health issues so cant fight. I went on to London and he returned to Kyiv.

Taranukha already spoke some English and had visited the UK, so London seemed the natural place to go until conditions became safe enough for a return home. She had colleagues in London, at the Ukrainian Institute, for whom she taught Ukrainian as a foreign language online from Kyiv.

One of her students, Ian Gaunt, contacted her when the war began and suggested she come and live with him and his wife, Iryna, who also worked at the institute. About 86,000 Ukrainians have resettled in the UK since March under the Homes for Ukraine scheme or a related programme for Ukrainians with family already living in the country.

But both Taranukha and her hosts became frustrated by the complex bureaucracy that every Ukrainian refugee has to navigate to enter the UK.

The paperwork imposed by the British government at the outset seriously delayed the arrival of Ukrainians in Britain. Particularly challenging were the biometric tests needed to obtain a visa, said Gaunt.

Even getting a UK bank account was difficult. Taranukha said it took six weeks to gather the supporting documents and receive a bank card. Even then it took still longer to set up an international transfer, she said.

But she has grown accustomed to her new life. She works for the institute, co-ordinating English courses for Ukrainians. In her spare time, she helps others navigate the British visa application system. But she constantly worries about her family back in Ukraine, some of whom are in territory now occupied by the Russians.

I feel guilty all the time. The people I love are still in Ukraine and yet Im here, safe, in London. Im happy to be away from the bombs but constantly scared for the people Ive left behind.

Russian was the language Alevtyna Kudinova had always used with family and friends. That changed a few months ago after the bombing began. She could no longer bring herself to use the invaders tongue and switched instead to Ukrainian.

Not only have the Russians taken away my life, my home and my family, theyve robbed me of my mother tongue, said the 47-year-old economics professor whose parents were Russian-speaking Ukrainians. I can no longer speak Russian without feeling sick to my core.

Before the invasion she lived in Bucha, 30km north-west of Kyiv, and worked as the director of a business school. One night, soon after the invasion, her husband Denys Verba joined the local defence organisation and she left home to embark on the journey out of Ukraine.

We didnt take much, just the clothes on our backs and a couple of changes. Only what we thought we would need, she said. Then we got in the car and I drove to Truskavets in the Lviv region. We drove for 20 hours.

One of her lasting memories of that journey was seeing hundreds of people walking down a long road dragging suitcases behind them, many walking to towns up to 400 kilometres away.

Weve seen this sort of thing in movies, but never dreamt it could happen in real life.

She drove her twin boys, her mother and niece through Poland to the Czech Republic, Germany, France and finally the UK.

I was humbled by how nice and kind everyone we met along the journey was. People went out of their way to help us, giving us food and shelter and keeping us company. They cried with us when we cried, and supported us when we needed it. she said.

During that journey, her cousin sent a text telling her about a group of parents in the UK who were inviting young Ukrainians to enrol in their childrens independent school Moor Park, and offering to host families.

One of these hosts was Frank Bury whose family runs a country home in the English county of Shropshire and owns rental properties. He and his wife provided three properties on their estate as accommodation for Ukrainian families.

Bury worked alongside volunteers and local people in the village to obtain visas for the Ukrainians staying with him. I pretty much had to down tools from my day job for a few weeks while I helped apply for visas for the Ukrainians, he said.

Kudinovas boys now go to Moor Park and she continues to work remotely, running the business school from Shropshire. They spend time with the other families on the estate.

I enjoy learning English and my boys are speaking the language more fluently every day. I just wish I didnt have to forget the language of my childhood.

Alex Nikolayuk arrived in Poland less than 24 hours after learning that Russia had invaded Ukraine. He travelled with his flatmate by bus from the western city of Lviv, where they attended university, to another city near the Polish border.

After crossing over, they rode on another bus to Warsaw, where a friend had already found them a temporary home in Polands capital. Its all been about getting helped by friends of friends of friends, he said.

Nikolayuks host family posted a message on LinkedIn to help him get a job in which he used his computer skills. Although Nikolayuk was in his third year of studying psychology, he had initially considered studying computer sciences and becoming a software developer.

His Warsaw job search quickly yielded fruit. Since April, Nikolayuk has worked as an online recruiter at Boston Consulting Group, under an initiative it launched to recruit Ukrainian refugees. His job involves searching online for suitable candidates for the consultancy firm.

I felt a lot of guilt and shame about working in a good company and not having to go to a shelter and hide from the bombs, as some of my classmates have had to do, he said of his life in Warsaw. My friends told me that its OK, that me feeling guilty wont help Ukraine win the war.

Nikolayuk hopes to finish his university studies online. He must also choose whether to forge ahead in IT or stick with psychology in Warsaw he has volunteered as a therapist on an online platform that connects him to young people struggling in Ukraine.

He now shares a Warsaw flat with three other young Ukrainians. We really dont talk about the war: sometimes we mention something that were missing, but mostly we talk about the present, things here in Warsaw, Nikolayuk said.

Nikolayuks mother and his half-brother recently visited him in Warsaw. Their hotel stay was paid by the bank that employs his mother, and she worked remotely while in Warsaw.

I sometimes get homesick, I miss my community and friends, but Warsaw is a good place and I have some close Ukrainian friends here, he said.

But Nikolayuk added that he had been overwhelmed by the welcome given by Poles to Ukraines refugees. I didnt think that the relationship between Poles and Ukrainians had been warm before the war, but everybody here really seems to care a lot about Ukraine.

A small German town near the Polish border is now home for Marianna Pelykh. She relocated to Niesky in March with her 14-year-old son Andrew, who has autism, and her elderly parents.

Their lives have changed beyond recognition. They are living in a group of apartments alongside 60 other Ukrainian families of children with special educational needs. The families were all helped by Marina Krisov, an Israeli who has spent a lot of time working in Kharkiv, Ukraines second-biggest city, which came under heavy bombardment.

For years, Krisov worked with families and educators in Ukraine to develop an inclusive education system, particularly for children on the autism spectrum. When the war broke out she contacted Pelykh and offered to help her evacuate her family from Ukraine.

I was so happy that she remembered us. Because of Covid we hadnt seen her for two years. She came to our rescue, said Pelykh.

Kharkiv train station was packed with thousands of desperate Ukrainians and Andrey was petrified by the crowds. Marina waited for hours to get my son and my parents on to a bus and bring them to me. I will never forget how it felt to hug them for the first time in two weeks. She saved us that day.

At the apartments where the Pelykhs now live there is a large space for group activities, and also for individual lessons with teachers and consultations with psychologists. Families gather together there to help each other fill in forms and obtain visas.

We split up the jobs that need doing, said Pelykh. One person looks for a local doctor, another tries to find an insurance company and someone else organises our supplies.

As important as the help with the administrative work is the emotional support available in the group. Its much easier to get through this hell together. When one of us is crying, and we feel like we cant go on, others pick us up, dust us off and encourage us to carry on.

Outside the group in Niesky, Krisov and her friends have helped more than 135 other refugees settle in different towns and cities. She is working with people she knows to establish hubs in Italy, Germany and the Netherlands, where families and children could get support in their native language.

Pelykh yearns to return home, but knows that such a move would be too dangerous.

The Russians decided to destroy my country...so for me there is no safe home there now, she said. Its going to be so hard to go back and see all those historic buildings and familiar places destroyed.

Olga Odnopozova felt unsettled after arriving as a refugee in the quiet Italian town of Lubriano, as the 34-year-old mother of two struggled to adjust to the slower pace of life.

Everyone was always staring...but eventually they got used to us, Odnopozova said. Italy is very different, she added, you dont know what to do, you have no plans.

In March, after Odnopozova had endured a week of heavy shelling in Kyiv, Francesca Zanoni an Italian businesswoman who knew the Ukrainian womans husband professionally offered the use of her three-bedroom holiday home in Lubriano.

After fleeing the Ukrainian capital by car, she drove through Romania and Budapest before arriving in Italy with her daughter Emma, aged 7, and her 16-month-old son Boris.

Before the invasion, Italy had the largest Ukrainian population in western Europe with about 235,000 people, many of them older women involved in care work.

But in Lubriano with its tight-knit local community, transient visitors and no Ukrainians at all the family felt isolated, without friends who could understand their experiences.

Helping Odnopozovas daughter, Emma, to socialise with other children was among the biggest challenges. The child participated in online classes with pupils from her English-language private school in Kyiv, which helped give her a sense of solidarity. Of the 22 children in her class, just two had remained in Ukraine, while most like her were elsewhere.

But she felt isolated once classes ended. Most local children play in their own gardens, and the public park was virtually empty.

Zanoni arranged for Emma to join daily classes at a local swimming pool in another town nearby, which helped to build Emmas confidence.

Odnopozova is torn about her next move. The Italian town offered refuge initially, but does not feel like a place for a long stay for a Ukrainian family, she said. Yet she is reluctant to return home with her children while fighting rages, even though schools in Kyiv have reopened.

She is now considering whether to move to Milan, where she has other Ukrainian friends. She thinks a school could be found there that was better suited to her daughters needs.

Were looking for a school with English my daughter doesnt know Italian at all.

London is also an option, but Kyiv is off the list for now. We wont go back to Ukraine until the war ends, she said. I hope it wont last for years.

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Beyond Ukraine: refugees relying on the kindness of strangers - Financial Times

Before Russia invaded Ukraine, Ilona helped veterans as a social worker. Now shes fighting for her country – ABC News

Ilona has known war for her entire adult life.

When Russia invaded the east in 2014, she and her friends became volunteers to deliver aid. Now aged 25, she Is a private in Ukraine's Territorial Defence Force and awaiting deployment to the front lines.

"I'mpretty sure that it's going tohappen in [the]near future," she told 7.30.

"That's why I spent every minute training."

Ilona was educated as a social worker, intending to care for people and make their lives better.

Now she spends her days training to shoot and to take lives, if necessary.

"I didn't register and mobilise to kill people," she said.

"I mobilised because I love my people. And I'm ready to defend my country.

"So even if I will have to shoot the enemy, I will do it with the love [for]my country and my people."

For the past fiveyears, Ilona has worked with veterans of Ukraine's conflict.

She even visited Australia as part of Ukraine's official team for the Invictus Games in 2018 a memory that makes her break out into a beaming smile.

"It was a very life-changing experience," she said.

"Then [it was] the highest honour to become the team operation manager for the Ukraine [team].

"This is why I think I am so resilient now to stress, because my team taught me a lot that there is no disability, and only capability, and how to be resilient to life."

Ilona is from Kherson,the focus of Ukraine's most significant counteroffensive.

The port city was one of the first to fall under Russian occupation.

"It was hard to see them walking in my streets," she told 7.30.

"The Russians live and stay in theprimary school and the high school that I graduated from."

Ilona is also worried for relatives who remain in her home city.

"I had my mum and my relatives there," she said.

"I just evacuated my mum last week.

"A lot of my friends began serving in 2014. They came back from the war and they went back again, and a lot of them died already killed in action.

"Since February, I have lost about 10 of my very close friends that had combat experience."

Ilona is not alone in the defence forces of Ukraine.

Tens of thousands of women are already serving across all aspects of the military.

"We have a lot of women who are serving in the armed forces and Territorial Defence [Forces]," Alina Frolova, the former deputy defence minister, said.

"I think that around 25 per cent, at least, of all the forces are women so that's [an] extremely big number."

But by October, all Ukrainian women of "fighting age" between 18 and 60 will have to register with the government just as men did before the war started. Those with small children will be excused.

Ms Frolova points out that despite the call for more women, the Ukrainian government is yet to mobilise all the men who registered.

That time may come soon as Ukraine attempts to achieve battlefield successes before the northern winter, along a front line that is more than 1,000 kilometreslong.

Ukraine's government is aware its arms suppliers in Europe and the US are suffering economically because of this war.

"It's critical to gain substantial victories before December, let's say before the end of the year, to demonstrate that this war can be ended up with a military operation that Ukrainians will win," Ms Frolova said.

"And that is why, for us, it's quite critical [and] important to have the necessary weapons to make counteroffensive.

"That's quite simple, because otherwise Russia will constantly blackmail Europe with the gas, with energy supplies, and that will influence on political fluctuations."

Director of the International Crisis Group's European program, Olga Oliker, says every attack by Russia increases Ukraine's motivation to fight.

"A large chunk of Ukraine's success, particularly in the early days, has been the massive mobilisation of the population as a whole, of Ukrainians being willing to fight, to support the fight, to do everything they possibly can do to defend their country," she said.

"You're looking at a country that probably doubled the number of people that had armed in the course of weeks.

"Not all of them [are] effectively trained, not all of them are properly equipped,but people are willing to fight.That's huge."

Soldiers like Ilona areprepared to answer the call to the front line when it comes.

"I must warn you, there's no heroic story likeI came to defend my country or die for my country," she said.

"I just didn't have a choice. There's no excuse [for]why you can't serve.

"We want to live in prosperity, free, in a developed country. Russians wantus dead."

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Before Russia invaded Ukraine, Ilona helped veterans as a social worker. Now shes fighting for her country - ABC News

Ukraine war: The artillery slugging match for the south will be a slow and deadly grind – Sky News

The roads leading south are empty of cars. Fighting is intensifying here along this front as Ukraine tries to recapture the city of Kherson.

We travelled with a military escort through checkpoints, along desolate highways, to reach the slowly shifting frontlines.

The villages have all been heavily shelled - and it's getting worse.

The roofs of homes have been pancaked by the impact of the explosions and the fences surrounding them peppered with shrapnel.

Nowhere is safe here.

But amazingly there are a few residents who've decided not to leave.

Russia 'creates military strike force aimed at Zelenskyy hometown' - latest updates

Even after all the months of fighting, Ivan tells me he still shudders when the bombs start to drop.

"They are shelling, shelling on the sea. There are two fires, you can see. And a fire over there. They shell every day," he says.

The attacks come at anytime but it's worse at night and in the early morning.

Those who remain say they don't have the resources to leave.

Others are too unwell to flee and have no choice but to stay in the line of fire.

Lubov shows me where she waits out the barrages of Russian artillery.

She descends through a trapdoor in her small house, which has been hit by shrapnel many times.

It's a dark and lonely existence as the war roars above.

"Every night we come here till morning. During the day if it is a lot of shelling we also have to go down. We are afraid. We hide and are scared. We are waiting for it to end, maybe," she says.

After six months of conflict, the junk of war along the southern front litters the countryside.

Burnt-out Russian armoured personnel carriers (APCs) tell the story of a massive Ukraine attack, on the ground the scorched uniforms of the soldiers who perished.

The Russian armour was destroyed at the beginning of the invasion and the frontlines haven't moved significantly here for months.

Ukraine is hoping its forces will be able to roll back the Kremlin's war machine from areas further south as it launches a counter offensive.

This is now a war that's being fought across vast open areas and hiding in this landscape artillery teams wait for co-ordinates to strike new targets.

But the units stationed here say they need more supplies from the West to win this fight.

Along the line of contact, trenches stretch for miles.

Infantry units hold defensive positions but are waiting to move further forward.

There is a worry amongst the soldiers that western support may fade without steady progress.

But Vasily, from the 59th Brigade, warns a defeat here will have consequences for democracies everywhere.

"A lot of civilians are dying. The Russians fight very dirty. They have no morals no war ethics. They just came in marauding, killing and raping."

"If we will not stop them here in our land, if they God forbid they will take our land and destroy all our army, they will not stop here. It's better to push them back here."

The troops are 100% confident they can win but Ukraine says there are signs Moscow is becoming more desperate.

Attacks on civilian targets are increasing.

In Mykolaiv, residents live under the constant threat of bombing. At a bus stop on the outskirts, seven were killed recently by a Russian rocket.

The war here is entering a new phase but this conflict will not be over quickly.

The artillery slugging match for the south will be a slow and deadly grind.

Read more:

Ukraine war: The artillery slugging match for the south will be a slow and deadly grind - Sky News

In Taiwan, as in Ukraine, the west is flirting with disaster – The Guardian

Arguments in the foothills of war are always the same. Those for war shout loudest and beat their chests, eager for tanks to rumble and jets to roar. Those against are dismissed as wimps, appeasers and defeatists. When the trumpets sound and the drums beat, reason runs for cover.

The visit to Taiwan of the US congressional speaker, Nancy Pelosi, has been so blatantly provocative it seems little more than a midterm election stunt. She declares it essential that America and her allies make clear that we never give in to autocrats. Chinas gross overreaction is a classic example of precipitate escalation. Yet when Joe Biden asserted that the US would defend Taiwan militarily, the presidents office instantly backtracked, reasserting a policy of strategic ambiguity. It remains the case that no one quite believes the US will go to war over Taiwan so far.

A similar ambiguity infuses the wests attitude towards Russia over Ukraine. The US and Britain reiterate that Russia must fail and be seen to fail. But can Russia really be relied on to tolerate ever greater destruction of its armaments without escalation? The west seems set on holding Ukraine to a drawn game, hoping to postpone some horrific penalty shootout. All Russia can do is perpetrate ever more atrocities to keep its team in play. Suppose it escalates something else?

These are the same uncertainties that overwhelmed European diplomacy in 1914. Rulers dithered while generals strutted and rattled sabres. Flags flew and newspapers filled with tallies of weaponry. Negotiations slithered into ultimatums. As the frontline pleaded for help, woe betide anyone who preached compromise.

During the two east-west nuclear crises of the cold war, in 1962 over Cuba and 1983 over a false missile alarm, disaster was averted by informal lines of communication between Washington and Moscow. They worked. Those lines reportedly do not exist today. The eastern bloc is led by two autocrats, internally secure but paranoid about their borders.

The west is blighted by weakened and failing leaders, striving to boost their ratings by promoting conflicts abroad. What is new is the conversion of the old western imperialism into a new order of western interests and values, ready to be prayed in aid of any intervention.

Such an order has become arbitrary and knows no boundaries. Despite Pelosis claim, the west gives in at its own convenience, intervening or failing to do so. Hence wayward policies towards Iran, Syria, Libya, Rwanda, Myanmar, Yemen, Saudi Arabia and others. Britain abandoned Hong Kong to China and donated Afghanistan to the Taliban, the futility of the latter intervention shown last week in the drone killing of al-Qaidas leader in Kabul.

Never in my lifetime has the Ministry of Defence had to defend my country against a remotely plausible overseas threat, least of all from Russia or China. Instead, in the cause of interests and values it has killed untold thousands of foreigners in my name and to virtually no gain.

Now, with the looming threat of a serious east-west confrontation, the least we should expect of Britains probable next prime minister, Liz Truss, is that she drops her cliches and articulates clearly what she sees as Britains objectives, if any, in Ukraine and Taiwan.

Neither country is a formal ally of Britain or critical to its defence. Horror at Russian aggression justified military aid to Kyiv, but that was a humanitarian rather than strategic response. Probably the greatest aid we can be to Ukraine is to assist in the eventual return of its exiled labour force and help in rebuilding its shattered cities. Taiwan likewise merits sympathy in its historic struggle with China, but its status poses no military threat to Britain. Its population has long been content with an ambiguous relationship with China as it knows it is at its long-term mercy.

Boris Johnsons dispatch of the aircraft carrier Queen Elizabeth to the South China Sea last year was a senseless act of vanity.

Russia and China are both experiencing border disputes of the sort that occur in most corners of the world. Outsiders rarely assist their resolution. The days when western powers could ordain the spheres of interest of states such as China and Russia are rightly over, as was acknowledged during the cold war. Since that conflict ended, the wests global interventions have become parodies of imperial outreach, notably across the Muslim world. With few exceptions, neither China nor Russia has shown a comparable desire to possess the world. They have merely desired, however callously, to repossess ancestral neighbours.

The fates of Ukraine and Taiwan merit every diplomatic support but they cannot be allowed to lurch downhill towards global war or nuclear catastrophe. This may reduce the effect always overstated of nuclear deterrence, and make them vulnerable to blackmail. But it is one thing to declare yourself rather dead than red, quite another to inflict that decision on others.

It may be that one day a global war, like global heating, delivers the world a catastrophe it may have to confront. For the time being liberal democracy surely owes it to humanity to avert rather than provoke that risk. Both sides are now flirting with disaster. The west should be ready to back off and not call it defeat.

Simon Jenkins is a Guardian columnist

Do you have an opinion on the issues raised in this article? If you would like to submit a letter of up to 300 words to be considered for publication, email it to us at guardian.letters@theguardian.com

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In Taiwan, as in Ukraine, the west is flirting with disaster - The Guardian

Ukraine’s Zelenskiy says harvest could be halved by war – Reuters

A combine harvests wheat during Ukraine-Russia conflict in the Russia-controlled village of Muzykivka in the Kherson region, Ukraine July 26, 2022. REUTERS/Alexander Ermochenko

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ODESA, July 31 (Reuters) - Ukraine's president said on Sunday that the country's harvest could be half its usual amount this year due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

"Ukrainian harvest this year is under the threat to be twice less," suggesting half as much as usual, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy wrote in English on Twitter.

"Our main goal to prevent global food crisis caused by Russian invasion. Still grains find a way to be delivered alternatively," he added.

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Ukraine, a key global supplier of grains, has struggled to get its product to buyers due to a Russian naval blockade of Ukraine's Black Sea ports.

An agreement signed under the stewardship of the UN and Turkey on July 22 provides for safe passage for ships carrying grain out of three southern Ukrainian ports.

Speaking in one of those ports on Friday, Ukraine's infrastructure minister said Ukraine was ready to start shipping grain, and that he was hopeful the first ships would leave by the end of the week. read more

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Reporting by Max Hunder; Editing by Hugh Lawson

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Ukraine's Zelenskiy says harvest could be halved by war - Reuters